Independent Predictors Of Operative Mortality Research Articles

Operative Morbidity and Mortality of Aortic Stenosis with Left Ventricular Dysfunction

Objectives: Study of the operative morbidity and mortality of aortic stenosis with left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVEF < or = 35%). Method: 73 patients with a mean age of 55+/-8 years, 59 of whom were men, underwent surgery between January 2014 and december 2019; 14% (10/73) of these patients had a pre-operative low trans-valvular aortic gradient (<30mmHg). We determined the factors predictive of operative mortality using univariate and multivariate analyses, analysed changes in functional status and left ventricular ejection fraction, and compared operative mortality and late survival in these 73 patients with those in a control group with no left ventricular dysfunction. Results: The mean NYHA stage, before and after aortic valve replacement, fell from 3.8 to 1.7, and the mean improvement in LVEF was 28+/-13. In univariate analysis, the parameters significantly associated with operative mortality were arterial hypertension (p=0.039), congestive heart failure (p=0.030), a smaller indexed left ventricular mass (p=0.039), a mean gradient of less than 30mmHg (at the limit of significance (p=0.053)), a low cardiac index (p=0.0045), and mono-truncular coronary involvement (p=0.042). In multivariate analysis, no variable was identified as an independent predictor of operative mortality. Conclusion: Operative mortality was significantly higher 11.7%vs 2.9% (p=0.048) in the group with left ventricular dysfunction, although late survival rates were similar in the 2 groups (86.8% vs 93%). Given the spontaneous prognosis and the increased operative risk, these patients should be operated on.

Heart failure presentation thirty years after tricuspid valvectomy for infective endocarditis

Heart failure presentation thirty years after tricuspid valvectomy for infective endocarditis

Reoperative Aortic Arch Surgery under Mild Systemic Hypothermia: Two-Center Experience.

Background The aim of the study was to assess the indications, surgical strategies, and outcomes after reoperative aortic arch surgery performed generally under mild hypothermia. Methods Ninety consecutive patients (60 males, mean age, 55 ± 16 years) underwent open reoperative aortic arch surgery after previous cardiac aortic surgery. The indications included chronic-progressive arch aneurysm (55.5%), chronic aortic dissection (17.8%), contained arch rupture (16.7%), and graft infection (10%). The reoperation was performed through a repeat sternotomy (96%) or clamshell thoracotomy (4%) using antegrade cerebral perfusion under mild systemic hypothermia (28.9 ± 2.5°C) in all except three patients. Results The surgery comprised hemiarch or total arch replacement in 41 (46%) and 49 (54%) patients, respectively. The distal extension included classic or frozen elephant trunk technique, each in 12 patients, and total descending aorta replacement in 4 patients. Operative mortality was 6 (6.7%) among all patients, with age identified as the only independent predictor of operative mortality ( p = 0.05). Permanent and transient neurologic deficits occurred in 1% and 9% of the patients, respectively. Estimated survival at 8 years was 59 ± 8% with advanced heart failure predictive for late mortality ( p = 0.014). Freedom from second reoperation or intervention on the aorta was 78 ± 6% at 8 years, with most of these events occurring downstream in patients with chronic degenerative aneurysms. Conclusion Aortic arch reoperations performed using antegrade cerebral perfusion under mild systemic hypothermia offer favorable operative outcomes with an exceptionally low rate of neurologic morbidity without any difference between hemiarch and complex arch procedures.

Midterm outcome of off-pumpCABG for severe LV dysfunction-Does LV size and function predict their midterm outcome?

The superiority of surgical revascularization in ischemic cardiomyopathy is established beyond doubt, and off-pump CABG (OP-CABG) is a safe way of revascularization in this high-risk subset. Data on the effect of postoperative ventricular function and size on their midterm outcome is scarce. A retrospective study was done on 211 consecutive patients with severe LV dysfunction who underwent OP-CABG from January 2017 to December 2018. Data were collected from the institutional database. Their operative and midterm outcomes were statistically analyzed. The mean age of the cohort was 58.4 ± 8.3 years. An average number of grafts was 3.1 ± 0.8 (cumulative intended number of grafts-3). Operative mortality was 10.9%. Preoperative NYHA class (p < .0001; OR, 19.72) and postoperative IABP insertion (p < .008; OR,88.75) were independent predictors of operative mortality. The mean follow-up period was 3.14 ± 0.07 years, was 97.4% complete with cardiac mortality of 5.8%. Postoperative LVEF (p = .002; OR, 0.868)and LV dimensions (systole & diastole) (p = .013, OR = 1.182 and p = .036, OR = 1.184, respectively) were independent predictors of midterm mortality. Midterm major adverse cardiovascular event-free survival of operative survivors was 89%. There was no correlation between postoperative LV dimension and NYHA status(p > .05). Myocardial viability was not associated with early (p = .17) or midterm mortality (p = .676). OP-CABG can achieve complete revascularization in patients with severe LV dysfunction with good midterm outcomes,albeitwith high early operative mortality. Postoperative change in LV dimension and EF are predictors of midterm mortality.

Predictive Factors of Mortality in Acute Aortic Dissection and Validity of the EuroSCORE Algorithm in a Small-Sized Cardiac Surgery Institution.

IntroductionAcute aortic dissection (AAD) is a devastating surgical emergency, with high operative mortality. Several scoring algorithms have been used to establish the expected mortality in these patients. Our objective was to define the predictive factors for mortality in our center and to validate the EuroSCORE and Penn classification system.MethodsPatients who underwent surgery for AAD from 2006 to 2016 were retrieved from the institution’s database. Preoperative, operative and postoperative variables were collected. Observed and expected mortality was calculated by EuroSCORE. Logistic regression analysis and Cox regression analysis were performed to find predictors of operative mortality and survival, respectively. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted for logistic EuroSCORE, and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was calculated.Results87 patients (27.6% female) underwent surgery for AAD. The mean age was 58.6±9.7 years. Expected and observed operative mortality was 25.8±15.1% and 20.7%, respectively. Penn Aa, Ab and Abc shared similar observed/expected (O/E) mortality ratio. The only independent predictor of operative mortality (OR: 3.63; 95% CI: 1.19-11.09) and survival (HR: 2.6; 95% CI: 1.5-4.8) was female gender. EuroSCORE showed a very poor prediction capacity, with an AUC=0.566.ConclusionFemale gender was the only independent predictor of operative mortality and survival in our institution. EuroSCORE is a poor scoring algorithm to predict mortality in AAD, but with consistent results for Penn Aa, Ab and Abc.

Impact of left ventricular ejection fraction on the outcomes of open repair of descending thoracic and thoracoabdominal aneurysms

ObjectiveTo discern the impact of depressed left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) on the outcomes of open descending thoracic aneurysm (DTA) and thoracoabdominal aneurysms (TAAA) repair. MethodsRestricted cubic spline analysis was used to identify a threshold of LVEF, which corresponded to an increase in operative mortality and major adverse events (MAE: operative death, myocardial infarction, stroke, spinal cord injury, need for tracheostomy or dialysis). Logistic and Cox regression were performed to identify independent predictors of MAE, operative mortality, and survival. ResultsDTA/TAAA repair was performed in 833 patients between 1997 and 2018. Restricted cubic spline analysis showed that patients with LVEF <40% (n = 66) had an increased risk of MAE (odds ratio [OR], 2.17; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.22-3.87; P < .01) and operative mortality (OR, 2.72; 95% CI, 1.21-6.12; P = .02) compared with the group with LVEF ≥40% (n = 767). The group with LVEF <40% had a worse preoperative profile (eg, coronary revascularization, 48.5% vs 17.3% [P < .01]; valvular disease, 82.8% vs 49.39% [P < .01]; renal insufficiency, 45.5% vs 26.1% [P < .01]; respiratory insufficiency, 36.4% vs 21.2% [P = .01]) and worse long-term survival (35.5% vs 44.7% at 10 years; P = .01). Nonetheless, on multivariate regression, depressed LVEF was not an independent predictor of operative mortality, MAE, or survival. ConclusionsLVEF is not an independent predictor of adverse events in surgery for DTA.

Optimum surgical treatment for tricuspid valve infective endocarditis: An analysis of the Society of Thoracic Surgeons national database

ObjectiveThe incidence of intravenous drug–associated tricuspid valve endocarditis in the United States is rapidly increasing. Our goal was to evaluate the outcomes of isolated tricuspid valve operations using the Society of Thoracic Surgeon Adult Cardiac Surgical Database. MethodsFrom July 2011 to December 2016, 1613 patients with intravenous drug–associated tricuspid valve endocarditis underwent isolated tricuspid valve operations for endocarditis. Patients were stratified on the basis of type of tricuspid valve operation: valvectomy in 119 (7%), repair in 532 (33%), and replacement in 962 (60%). Risk factors and 30-day outcomes were compared among groups using Kruskal–Wallis and Pearson's chi-square tests. Multivariable logistic regression evaluated risk-adjusted operative mortality and morbidity by operative technique. ResultsAge, gender, race, and renal function were comparable among groups. Compared with the repair and replacement groups, the valvectomy group had a higher rate of acute infection (90% vs 79%, 84%; P < .01), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score (10.17 vs 8.44, 9.74, P < .01), and urgent/emergency surgery (91% vs 75%, 83%; P < .01), respectively. Operative mortality was higher in those undergoing valvectomy (16%) (P < .01) compared with repair (2%) or replacement (3%). After risk adjustment, valvectomy was associated with a higher risk of operative mortality compared with repair (odds ratio, 3.82; P < .01), whereas there was no difference in operative mortality between repair and replacement (odds ratio, 0.95; P = .89). ConclusionsThis contemporary series of intravenous drug–associated tricuspid valve endocarditis reveals that valvectomy is an independent predictor of operative mortality. When anatomically possible, repair should be the preferred management for tricuspid valve endocarditis to avoid recurrent valve infection and prosthetic valve degeneration.

Comparison of Risk Scores for the Prediction of Outcomes after Surgery for Acute Type A Aortic Dissection

We compared the performance of four existing risk models and a newly developed risk score for type A acute aortic dissection surgery. In 327 consecutives with type A aortic dissection surgery patients during 2003/03-2017/03 at our centre, operative mortality occurred in 65 (19.9%). Independent predictors of operative mortality were critical pre-operative state and malperfusion syndrome, and a novel additive “CritMal” Score was constructed from this. C-statistics (95% confidence interval) for operative mortality were EuroSCORE 0.60 (0.52-0.67), EuroSCORE II 0.64 (0.57-0.72), Rampoldi 0.68 (0.59-0.76), Leontyev 0.56 (0.48-0.64), and CritMal 0.72 (0.64-0.80) respectively. This is the first study externally assessing surgical scores for aortic dissection surgery, with modest accuracy for all and moderate for CritMal. There is room for improvement of these risk models, and further refinements and external validation are warranted for clinical application.

Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score Independently Predicts Mortality in Cardiac Surgery

Although liver disease increases surgical risk, it is not considered in The Society for Thoracic Surgeons (STS) risk calculator. This study assessed the impact of Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) on outcomes after cardiac surgical procedures and the additional predictive value of MELD in the STS risk model. Deidentified records of 21,272 patients were extracted from a regional STS database. Inclusion criteria were any cardiac operation with a risk score available (2011-2016). Exclusion criteria included missing MELD (n= 2,895) or preoperative anticoagulation (n= 144). Patients were stratified into three categories, MELD < 9 (low), MELD 9 to 15 (moderate), and MELD > 15 (high). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression assessed risk-adjusted associations between MELD and operative outcomes. Increasing MELD scores were associated with greater comorbid disease, mitral operation, prior cardiac operation, and higher STS-predicted risk of mortality (1.1%, 2.3%, and 6.0% by MELD category; p < 0.0001). The operative mortality rate increased with increasing MELD score (1.6%, 3.9%, and 8.4%; p < 0.0001). By logistic regression MELD score was an independent predictor of operative mortality (odds ratio, 1.03 per MELD score point; p < 0.0001) as were the components total bilirubin (odds ratio, 1.22 per mg/dL; p= 0.002) and international normalized ratio (odds ratio, 1.40 per unit; p < 0.0001). Finally, MELD score was independently associated with STS major morbidity and the component complications renal failure and stroke. Increasing MELD score, international normalized ratio, and bilirubin all independently increase risk of operative mortality. Because high rates of missing data currently limit utilization of MELD, efforts to simplify and improve data collection would help improve future risk models.

The Incidence and Outcomes of Surgical Pulmonary Embolectomy in North America

There has been renewed interest in surgical pulmonary embolectomy (SPE) for the treatment of pulmonary embolism, but the real-world incidence and outcomes of SPE have yet to be well described using a large, granular data set. We examined the modern experience with SPE in North America as reported to the Society of Thoracic Surgery Adult Cardiac Surgery Database (STS ACSD). The STS ACSD was queried for all isolated SPE for the treatment of acute pulmonary embolism (2011 to 2015). Groups were stratified based on presentation: no cardiogenic shock (NCS), cardiogenic shock without arrest (CS), and cardiogenic shock with cardiac arrest (CS/CA). Preoperative characteristics, intraoperative variables, postoperative in-hospital complications, and operative mortality were compared. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify risk factors for in-hospital mortality. Of the 1,144 centers reporting during the study period, only 310 performed at least 1 SPE (overall mean, 0.42 ± 1.03 cases • year-1 • center-1). A total of 1,075 eligible SPE were identified (NCS= 719, CS= 203, CS/CA= 153). Median age was 57 years (interquartile range, 45 to 67), 54% were male, and preoperative thrombolysis was used in 8%. Overall, operative mortality was 16%, but increased with presenting acuity (NCS= 8%, CS= 23%, CS/CA= 44%, p < 0.001). Independent predictors of operative mortality included age, obesity, cardiogenic shock, preoperative arrest, chronic lung disease, unresponsive neurologic state, and prolonged cardiopulmonary bypass time. SPE is uncommonly performed in North America, and, in selected patients, it may be associated with favorable outcomes. Nevertheless, significant mortality exists, and attention to patient presentation and other risk factors may help distinguish patients appropriate for SPE.

Clinical Outcomes of Mitral Valve Reoperations in the United States: An Analysis of The Society of Thoracic Surgeons National Database

This study evaluated outcomes of reoperative mitral valve surgery (MVS) in the United States. Adults undergoing isolated MVS with prior open-heart operation in The Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) National Database between July 2011 and September 2016 were included. Urgent or emergent operations as well as all indications and causes for MVS were included. Primary outcomes were operative mortality and morbidity. Multivariable models were used for risk-adjustment, incorporating variables from the STS Valve Risk Model as well as type of prior operation and reoperative approach. A total of 17,195 patients underwent isolated reoperative MVS at 962 centers. The STS predicted risk of mortality was 8.0%, with 20% having an STS predicted risk of mortality greater than 10%. Prior cardiac operations included previous MVS (61%), coronary artery bypass (39%), aortic valve surgery (18%), and tricuspid valve surgery (6%). Operative mortality for the overall study cohort was 6.6%, and postoperative stroke occurred in 2.4%. Observed-to-expected mortality for the overall cohort was 0.82. The strongest independent predictors of operative mortality included salvage operation, preoperative dialysis dependence, congestive heart failure, recent myocardial infarction, and active endocarditis. Prior aortic valve replacement was associated with increased mortality risk, whereas prior MVS reduced mortality risk. Surgical approach did not affect mortality. For patients with prior MVS undergoing elective, non-endocarditis operations, the operative mortality was3.4%. Despite a high-risk patient profile, surgical outcomes of reoperative MVS were acceptable, particularly in patients with prior MVS and without endocarditis undergoing elective operations.

Early acute respiratory distress syndrome after pneumonectomy: Presentation, management, and short- and long-term outcomes

ObjectivePostpneumonectomy acute respiratory failure leading to invasive mechanical ventilation carries a severe prognosis, especially when acute respiratory distress syndrome develops. The aim of this study was to describe the risk factors, management, and outcome of postpneumonectomy acute respiratory distress syndrome. MethodsWe retrospectively reviewed the clinical files of patients undergoing pneumonectomy in a single center between 2005 and 2015. Risk factors for acute respiratory distress syndrome, management characteristics, and short- and long-term outcomes were assessed. ResultsAmong the 543 patients undergoing pneumonectomy, 89 (16.4%) needed reintubation within the 30th postoperative day, including 60 (11%) who developed acute respiratory distress syndrome. At multivariate analysis, right-side pneumonectomy (odds ratio [OR], 2.75; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.51-5.02; P = .0009) and higher Charlson Comorbidity Index (OR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.07-1.49; P = .007) were identified as independent risk factors for acute respiratory distress syndrome. Operative mortality was 8.1% for all pneumonectomies, 43.8% (n = 39/89) in intubated patients, and 56.7% (34/60) in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome. Mortality was higher in severe (25/36, 69.4%) than in mild or moderate acute respiratory distress syndrome (9/24, 37.5%, P = .014). Logistic regression identified 3 independent predictors of operative mortality in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome: age (OR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.01-1.15; P = .02), right pneumonectomy (OR, 5.97; 95% CI, 1.33-26.71; P = .02), and severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (OR, 7.19; 95% CI, 1.74-29.73; P = .006). Five-year survival was 17.6% for patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome. ConclusionsAcute respiratory distress syndrome is a severe early complication of pneumonectomy with a poor outcome. The low survival underlines the need for novel management strategies.

Proximal aortic surgery in the elderly population: Is advanced age a contraindication for surgery?

ObjectiveThe study objective was to describe the clinical outcomes of elderly patients undergoing ascending aortic surgery. MethodsPatients aged 70 years or older who underwent ascending aortic surgery between January 2002 and December 2013 were examined. Of 415 included patients, 285 were elderly patients (age 70-79 years) and 130 were very elderly (age ≥80 years). Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate operative mortality and long-term survival, respectively. ResultsSurgical indications included aortic aneurysm (63.1%), calcified aorta with need for other cardiac procedure (26.4%), and type A dissection (10.5%). Compared with elderly patients, the very elderly patients had a higher burden of comorbidities and operative mortality (13% vs 7%, P < .04). The very elderly patients were also more likely to be discharged to a rehabilitation facility than home (P < .001). However, risk-adjusted operative mortality and 30-day readmissions rates were similar (P > .05). Kaplan–Meier estimates of survival at 1 and 5 years were 85.6% and 72.6% for elderly patients versus 79.2% and 57.1% for the very elderly patients. Age was a strong risk variable for late mortality in the unadjusted and adjusted analyses. ConclusionsAfter adjusting for these comorbidities, the cause of aortic disease, and the type of procedure, age was not an independent predictor of operative mortality, but was strongly associated with reduced late survival. Thus, advanced age alone should not be an absolute contraindication for ascending aortic surgery.

Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio: Prognostic Impact in Heart Surgery. Early Outcomes and Late Survival

The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a recognized marker of inflammation associated with poor outcomes in various clinical situations. We analyzed the prognostic significance of preoperative elevated NLR in patients undergoing cardiac surgery. We performed a retrospective review of 3,027 consecutive patients undergoing cardiac surgery. Receiver-operating-characteristic was used to determine the cutoff value for elevated NLR. Multivariate regression was used to determine the predictive value of preoperative NLR on clinical outcomes. Cox proportional hazards functions were used to determine predictors of late events. Late survival data to 16 years was obtained from the Ministry of Interior. The cutoff value for elevated NLR was 2.6. Patients with elevated NLR were older (p < 0.0001), had a higher incidence of cardiac comorbidity (p < 0.0001), and higher European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation score (p < 0.0001). An elevated NLR emerged as an independent predictor of operative mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 2.15, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.51 to 3.08, p < 0.0001); pleural effusion (HR 1.42, 95% CI: 1.13 to 1.80, p= 0.003); low output syndrome (HR 1.54, 95% CI: 1.23 to 1.93, p= 0.0002); prolonged ventilation (HR 1.49, 95% CI: 1.23 to 1.82, p= 0.0001); orcomposite outcomes (HR 1.61, 95% CI: 1.36 to 1.91, p< 0.0001). The NLR emerged as an independent predictor of late mortality (HR 1.19, 95% CI: 1.11 to 1.28; p < 0.0001). Elevated NLR is associated with a higher incidence of adverse outcomes after cardiac surgery. It is a predictor of operative as well as late mortality. Further studies are warranted to determine whether prophylactic treatment with antiinflammatory agents can prevent such outcomes. It may be warranted to include the baseline NLR as another variable in risk stratification of patients about to undergo cardiac surgery.

Contemporary Mitral Valve Surgery for Septuagenarians and Octogenarians

Background: The increasing prevalence of degenerative and functional mitral valve disease as the population ages alongside introduction of percutaneous mitral valve interventions mandates revision of outcomes of mitral valve surgery (MVS) in elderly and high risk patients. We compared the characteristics and outcomes of octogenarians and septuagenarians undergoing MVS. Methods: All patients over 70 years of age having isolated MVS at Auckland City Hospital during 2005-2012 were studied and divided into 70-79 and &gt;80 years age-groups for analysis. Results: There were 20 octogenarians and 81 septuagenarians studied. Apart from median age (82.0 vs. 74.0 years, P&lt;0.001) and previous stroke (15.0% vs. 1.2%, P=0.024) respectively, there were no significant differences in pre-operative characteristics. Octogenarians however had significantly higher median EuroSCORE (4.5% vs. 3.4%, P=0.010) and STS Score (5.6 vs. 2.8%, P=0.002). Despite this, octogenarians had numerically but not statistically significantly less operative mortality (0.0% vs. 7.4%, P=0.340). One, three and five-year survivals were 100.0%, 80.0% and 70.0% for octogenarians and 91.4%, 86.4% and 73.8% septuagenarians. There was also no difference in composite and individual post-operative complications including stroke (P=0.358-1.000). The only independent predictor of operative mortality was cardiopulmonary bypass time odds ratio 1.02, 95% confidence interval 1.00-1.04, P=0.044. Conclusion: Although octogenarians were older with higher risk scores, they did not have increased mortality and morbidity from MVS. MVS remains a safe procedure in selected octogenarians, and other factors beyond age and risk scores such as frailty would be important in deciding the modality of mitral valve intervention in elderly patients.

Axillary Versus Femoral Arterial Cannulation During Repair of Type A Aortic Dissection?: An Old Problem Seeking New Solutions.

The goal of this study was to compare early postoperative outcomes and actuarial-free survival between patients who underwent repair of acute Type A aortic dissection with axillary or femoral artery cannulation. A total of 305 patients from five academic medical centers underwent acute Type A aortic dissection repair via axillary (n = 107) or femoral (n = 198) artery cannulation between January 2000 and December 2010. Major morbidity, operative mortality, and 5-year actuarial survival were compared between groups. Multivariate logistic regression was used to determine predictors of operative mortality, and Cox regression hazard ratios were calculated to determine predictors of long-term mortality. Operative mortality was not influenced by cannulation site (16% for axillary cannulation vs. 19% for femoral cannulation, p = 0.64). In multivariate logistic regression analysis, hemodynamic instability (p < 0.001) and prolonged cardiopulmonary bypass time (>200 min; p = 0.05) emerged as independent predictors of operative mortality. Stroke rates were comparable between the two techniques (14% for axillary and 17% for femoral cannulation, p = 0.52). Five-year actuarial survival was comparable between the groups (55.1% for axillary and 65.7% for femoral cannulation, p = 0.36). In Cox regression analysis, predictors of long-term mortality were: age (p < 0.001), stroke (p < 0.001), prolonged cardiopulmonary bypass time (p = 0.001), hemodynamic instability (p = 0.002), and renal failure (p = 0.001). The outcomes of femoral versus axillary arterial cannulation in patients with acute Type A aortic dissection are comparable. The choice of arterial cannulation site should be individualized based on different patient risk profiles.

Associated bare stenting of distal aorta with a Djumbodis® system versus conventional surgery in type A aortic dissection

The effectiveness of additional stenting of the distal aorta as compared to conventional surgery alone in type A aortic dissection (TAD) has yet to be proven. We conducted this multicenter comparative study to evaluate the effects of antegrade bare stenting of the dissected aorta beyond the distal anastomosis with a Djumbodis(®) device system (DDS). Outcomes that were measured included early outcomes, overall mortality from aortic cause and late aortic events including re-interventions. A consecutive series of 134 patients operated on in two participating centers were distributed into study and control groups according to the treatment received: conventional surgery with DDS (DJ group, n=42) or without (control group, n=92). Operative mortality was 21.4% and 17.6% in the DJ and control groups, respectively (P=0.9), and was within pre-specified alarm lines for both groups. In multivariate analysis, the only independent predictor of operative mortality was the presence of any complication (cardiac tamponade or malperfusion, P=0.05), which occurred more in the DJ group (OR =1.3; non-significant). Sixty patients were included into the matched survivors cohorts study (propensity scoring). The aortic event-free survival at 7 years for early survivors was 77%±10% and 48%±11% in the matched DJ group and control group, respectively (HR =0.66). Late mortality from an aortic cause was 10% and 20% in the matched DJ group and control group, respectively (RR =0.5). Actuarial freedom from aortic or vascular interventions was 71%±10% and 67%±9% in the matched DJ and control group, respectively. Operative mortality was not influenced by the use of DDS as compared to conventional surgery alone for TAD. We observed a trend towards better organ perfusion in the DJ group postoperatively, and more aortic events and deaths of aortic cause in the control group during follow-up.

Comparison between antegrade and retrograde cerebral perfusion or profound hypothermia as brain protection strategies during repair of type A aortic dissection.

The goal of this study was to compare early postoperative outcomes and actuarial-free survival between patients who underwent repair of acute type A aortic dissection by the method of cerebral perfusion used. A total of 324 patients from five academic medical centers underwent repair of acute type A aortic dissection between January 2000 and December 2010. Of those, antegrade cerebral perfusion (ACP) was used for 84 patients, retrograde cerebral perfusion (RCP) was used for 55 patients, and deep hypothermic circulatory arrest (DHCA) was used for 184 patients during repair. Major morbidity, operative mortality, and 5-year actuarial survival were compared between groups. Multivariate logistic regression was used to determine predictors of operative mortality and Cox Regression hazard ratios were calculated to determine the predictors of long term mortality. Operative mortality was not influenced by the type of cerebral protection (19% for ACP, 14.5% for RCP and 19.1% for DHCA, P=0.729). In multivariable logistic regression analysis, hemodynamic instability [odds ratio (OR) =19.6, 95% confidence intervals (CI), 0.102-0.414, P<0.001] and CPB time >200 min(OR =4.7, 95% CI, 1.962-1.072, P=0.029) emerged as independent predictors of operative mortality. Actuarial 5-year survival was unchanged by cerebral protection modality (48.8% for ACP, 61.8% for RCP and 66.8% for no cerebral protection, log-rank P=0.844). During surgical repair of type A aortic dissection, ACP, RCP or DHCA are safe strategies for cerebral protection in selected patients with type A aortic dissection.

Acute kidney injury and outcome following aortic valve replacement for aortic stenosis.

Most studies on acute kidney injury (AKI) following open-heart surgery have focused on short-term outcome following coronary artery bypass grafting. We reviewed the incidence, risk factors and outcome, including long-term survival, of AKI after aortic valve replacement (AVR) in a population-based cohort. A retrospective review of 365 patients who underwent AVR for aortic stenosis during 2002-2011 was made. AKI was defined according to the RIFLE criteria. All patients requiring dialysis were followed up in a centralized registry. Risk factors for AKI were analysed with univariable and multivariable analysis, and survival was graphically presented with the Kaplan-Meier method. The rate of AKI was 82/365 (22.5%); 40, 28 and 14 patients belonging to the Risk, Injury and Failure groups, respectively. Preoperatively, 37 (45.1%) AKI patients had reduced kidney function. Transfusion of red blood cells, obesity and prolonged cardiopulmonary bypass time were independent risk factors for AKI. Acute postoperative dialysis was required in 15 patients (4.1%), and 1 patient developed dialysis-dependent end-stage renal disease. Major postoperative complications were more common in the AKI group (65 vs 22%, P < 0.001). The 30-day mortality rate in the AKI group was 18%, as opposed to 2% in the non-AKI group (P < 0.001), with a 5-year survival rate of 66 vs 87%, respectively (P < 0.001). In multivariable analysis AKI was an independent predictor of operative mortality [odds ratio = 5.89, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.99-18.91] but not of long-term survival (hazard ratio = 1.44, 95% CI = 0.86-2.42). More than 1 in 5 patients (22.5%) who underwent AVR developed AKI postoperatively. AKI was associated with higher morbidity and was an independent predictor of operative mortality. However, AKI was not a determinant of long-term survival.

Retuning mortality risk prediction in paediatric cardiac surgery: the additional role of early postoperative metabolic and respiratory profile.

The existing risk stratification scores for paediatric patients undergoing cardiac surgery include the Aristotle Basic Complexity (ABC) Score, the Risk Adjustment in Congenital Heart Surgery-1 (RACHS-1) Score and the Aristotle Comprehensive Complexity (ACC) Score. They are all based on the nature of the surgical operation (ABC and RACHS-1 Scores) with possible adjustment for a number of patient conditions (ACC Score). The present study investigates if the early postoperative parameters may be used to improve the preoperative mortality risk prediction. A retrospective study on 1392 consecutive patients aged ≤12 years old, undergoing cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass and without a residual right-to-left shunt was conducted. The ABC Score and metabolic and respiratory postoperative parameters at arrival in the intensive care unit were tested for association and discriminative power for operative mortality. The ABC yielded a c-statistic of 0.746. Additional independent predictors of operative mortality were postoperative hypoxia [Formula: see text] and arterial blood lactates. In a multivariable model including the ABC Score, postoperative hypoxia and arterial blood lactates remained independently associated with operative mortality. A modified ABC Score was created, consisting of the ABC Score plus 1.5 points in case of postoperative hypoxia plus 1 point per each 1 mmol/l of arterial blood lactates. The new model was significantly (P = 0.043) more discriminative than the ABC Score, with a c-statistic of 0.803. Early postoperative respiratory and metabolic parameters increased the accuracy and discrimination of the ABC Score. An external validation is needed to confirm our results.