Independent Predictor Of Deterioration Research Articles

Effects of Premature Ventricular Complex Burden on Left Ventricular Global Longitudinal Strain in Patients without Structural Heart Disease.

Background: Evaluation of left ventricular (LV) function in patients with idiopathic premature ventricular contraction (PVC) with preserved LV ejection fraction (LVEF), especially in the subclinical stage, may be of great importance in terms of directing early treatment. Methods: A total of 122 patients, retrospectively recruited, were divided into three groups according to PVC burden: Group 1; 5% ≤ PVC < 10%, Group 2; 10% ≤ PVC < 15%, and Group 3; 15% ≤ PVC. Transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) was performed to evaluate LV parameters. Results: LV-GLS (Global longitudinal strain) was found to be significantly lower in groups 2 and 3 with high PVC burden (18.9% ± 1.4, 17.5% ± 2.1, 16.3% ± 1.3; p < 0.001, respectively). Correlation analysis revealed a positive and significant correlation between PVC burden and deterioration in LV-GLS (r: 0.536; p < 0.001). In addition, PVC burden was found to be an independent predictor of LV-GLS deterioration in multiple linear regression analysis (β: 0.525, p < 0.001). The ROC curve analysis demonstrated that a PVC burden cut-off value of 8.4% was associated with a LV-GLS deterioration greater than -18, with a specificity of 75.4% and a sensitivity of 75.4% (AUC: 0.81 [0.73-0.88] 95% CI; p < 0.001). Conclusions: PVC burden was an independent predictor of deterioration in LV-GLS. The presence of LV-GLS deterioration due to PVC burden emphasizes the necessity for closer patient monitoring, observation of the response to pharmacological treatment, and evaluation of early invasive treatment strategies in selected patient groups.

Improvement of outcome prediction of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 by a dual marker strategy using high-sensitive cardiac troponin I and copeptin

BackgroundCOVID-19 has been associated with a high prevalence of myocardial injury and increased cardiovascular morbidity. Copeptin, a marker of vasopressin release, has been previously established as a risk marker in both infectious and cardiovascular disease.PurposeInvestigate the prognostic impact of copeptin and high-sensitive cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) in COVID-19.MethodsThis prospective, observational study of patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 infection was conducted from June 6th to November 26th, 2020 in a tertiary care hospital. Copeptin and hs-cTnI levels on admission were collected and tested for their association with the primary composite endpoint of ICU admission or 28-day mortality.ResultsA total of 213 eligible patients with COVID-19 were included of whom 55 (25.8%) reached the primary endpoint. Median levels of copeptin and hs-cTnI at admission were significantly higher in patients with an adverse outcome (Copeptin 29.6 pmol/L, [IQR, 16.2–77.8] vs 17.2 pmol/L [IQR, 7.4–41.0] and hs-cTnI 22.8 ng/L [IQR, 11.5–97.5] vs 10.2 ng/L [5.5–23.1], P<0.001 respectively). ROC analysis demonstrated an optimal cut-off of 19.6 pmol/L for copeptin and 16.2 ng/L for hs-cTnI and an increase of either biomarker was significantly associated with the primary endpoint. The combination of raised hs-cTnI and copeptin yielded a superior prognostic value to individual measurement of biomarkers and was a strong prognostic marker upon multivariable logistic regression analysis (OR 4.274 [95% CI, 1.995–9.154], P<0.001). Addition of copeptin and hs-cTnI to established risk models improved C-statistics and net reclassification indices.ConclusionThe combination of raised copeptin and hs-cTnI upon admission is an independent predictor of deterioration (ICU admission) or 28-day mortality in hospitalized patients with COVID-19.Funding AcknowledgementType of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Bürgermeisterfond der Stadt WienLudwig Boltzmann Cluster for Cardiovascular ResearchAssociation for the Promotion of Research on Arteriosclerosis, Thrombosis, and Vascular Biology (ATVB) Copeptin and hs-cTnI in COVID-19Biomarker based risk assessment

Decreased size of the left anterior descending coronary artery is an independent predictor of deterioration in non-high-risk patients with acute pulmonary embolism.

To evaluate the efficacy of measuring left coronary artery size to predict deterioration in non-high-risk acute pulmonary embolism (PE) patients. This retrospective study enrolled non-high-risk acute PE patients from January 2011 to December 2019. Patient deterioration was defined as the occurrence of adverse events within 30days of hospital admission. Patients with adverse events were sex- and age-matched to patients without adverse events. Risk stratification was performed. Cross-sectional areas (CSAs) of the left main and left anterior descending (LAD) coronary artery inlets were measured. The main pulmonary artery (MPA) inlet and outlet and MPA LAD plane, which adjoined the LAD in the MPA, were reconstructed. CSAs, perimeters, and hydraulic diameters were measured to evaluate MPA size and deformation. Cardiac volume was also measured. Quantitative parameters were divided into tertiles. After adjustment by risk stratification, univariate and multivariate analyses were performed. Correlations between different parameters were analysed. Seventy-three patients with adverse events were matched to 73 patients without adverse events. The results of the univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that LAD inlet CSAs (middle and high) predicted adverse events (odds ratio: 0.28 and 0.07, 95% confidence interval: 0.10-0.77 and 0.02-0.22, p = 0.013 and < 0.0001). LAD inlet CSA was strongly and negatively correlated with MPA LAD hydraulic diameter and CSA (correlation coefficients: - 0.643 and - 0.604, p < 0.001). LAD inlet CSA measurement would facilitate adverse event prediction in non-high-risk acute PE patients on the basis of risk stratification. The dilated MPA may involve the decrease in LAD inlet CSA.

Presence of varices in patients after hepatitis C virus eradication predicts deterioration in the FIB-4 index.

The liver function of patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection who obtained sustained virologic response (SVR) has been known to improve after HCV eradication. However, a predictor of liver function after SVR has not been definitively identified. The aim of this retrospective study was to identify a predictor of deteriorated liver function and Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index after SVR was achieved by direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment. This study retrospectively enrolled 248 patients who obtained SVR by DAA treatment. None of the patients developed hepatocellular carcinoma during this study. Liver function was assessed at the end of treatment (EOT) and at 24, 48, 72, and 96weeks after EOT. At 96weeks after EOT, the serum aspartate aminotransferase and alanine aminotransferase levels were significantly decreased from those at EOT. The platelet count was significantly increased from 14.9 × 104 /μL at EOT to 17.1 × 104 /μL at 96weeks after EOT. Ten patients showed an increased FIB-4 (>1.00) index. Multivariate analysis with 171 patients who underwent endoscopic assessment revealed that the presence of varices was an independent predictor of deterioration in the FIB-4 index (odds ratio, 5.56; P = 0.041). Most of the study patients who obtained SVR showed improved liver function after EOT. Patients without increasing platelet counts after SVR due to DAA therapy should be evaluated for complications induced by portal hypertension.

Derivation and Validation of Predictive Factors for Clinical Deterioration after Admission in Emergency Department Patients Presenting with Abnormal Vital Signs Without Shock.

IntroductionStrategies to identify high-risk emergency department (ED) patients often use markedly abnormal vital signs and serum lactate levels. Risk stratifying such patients without using the presence of shock is challenging. The objective of the study is to identify independent predictors of in-hospital adverse outcomes in ED patients with abnormal vital signs or lactate levels, but who are not in shock.MethodsWe performed a prospective observational study of patients with abnormal vital signs or lactate level defined as heart rate ≥130 beats/min, respiratory rate ≥24 breaths/min, shock index ≥1, systolic blood pressure <90mm/Hg, or lactate ≥4mmole/L. We excluded patients with isolated atrial tachycardia, seizure, intoxication, psychiatric agitation, or tachycardia due to pain (ie: extremity fracture). The primary outcome was deterioration, defined as development of acute renal failure (creatinine 2× baseline), non-elective intubation, vasopressor requirement, or mortality. Independent predictors of deterioration after hospitalization were determined using logistic regression.ResultsOf 1,152 consecutive patients identified with abnormal vital signs or lactate level, 620 were excluded, leaving 532 for analysis. Of these, 53/532 (9.9±2.5%) deteriorated after hospital admission. Independent predictors of in-hospital deterioration were: lactate >4.0mmol/L (OR 5.1, 95% CI [2.1–12.2]), age ≥80 yrs (OR 1.9, CI [1.0–3.7]), bicarbonate <21mEq/L (OR 2.5, CI [1.3–4.9]), and initial HR≥130 (OR 3.1, CI [1.5–6.1]).ConclusionPatients exhibiting abnormal vital signs or elevated lactate levels without shock had significant rates of deterioration after hospitalization. ED clinical data predicted patients who suffered adverse outcomes with reasonable reliability.

Pre implantation psychological functioning preserved in majority of implantable cardioverter defibrillator patients 12 months post implantation

BackgroundThe impact of ICD therapy on patient well being has typically focused on mean differences between groups, thereby neglecting changes within individuals. Using an intra-individual approach, we examined (i) the prevalence of implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) patients maintaining their pre implantation level of psychological functioning at 12months, and (ii) factors associated with deterioration in functioning. MethodsConsecutively implanted ICD patients (n=332) completed a set of standardized and validated patient reported measures at baseline and at 12months post implantation. ResultsThe majority of patients (72.8% to 81.7%) preserved their pre implantation level of psychological functioning 12months post implantation. In adjusted analysis, ICD shock (all ps<.001) and Type D personality (all ps<.05) were independent predictors of deterioration in psychological functioning at 12months across all domains, while baseline psychological status was associated with an improvement (all ps<.05). Patients with a primary prevention indication experienced a decrease in ICD concerns (p=.03) and anxiety (p=.006), and older patients (p=.04) a decrease in anxiety symptoms during the follow-up period. By contrast, patients with left ventricular dysfunction (p=.007) and atrial fibrillation (p=.02) were more likely to experience an increase in anxiety. ConclusionsThe majority of ICD patients maintained their pre implantation level of psychological functioning at 12months. A subset of patients was at risk of poor psychological adaptation, attributable to ICD shocks, Type D personality, atrial fibrillation, and left ventricular dysfunction, while primary prevention indication and older age had a protective effect against deterioration in functioning.

Rheumatoid factor is the major predictor of increasing severity of radiographic erosions in rheumatoid arthritis: Results from the Norfolk Arthritis Register Study, a large inception cohort

To identify the relative contributions of clinical and laboratory variables, determined at baseline, in predicting the deterioration of radiographic damage 5 years after presentation in patients with inflammatory polyarthritis. Data from 439 subjects who sought primary care for inflammatory polyarthritis were analyzed. All subjects had paired radiographs, of which the first was obtained within 24 months of presentation and the second at 5 years after presentation. The contribution of baseline clinical and laboratory variables in predicting the degree of radiologic severity as judged by the Larsen score was assessed at both time points. Additionally, the role of these factors in predicting change after adjustment for baseline severity was also measured. By 5 years, 49% of subjects had evidence of erosions. The median Larsen score on the first film was 2 (interquartile range [IQR] 0-10) and the median score on the followup film was 7 (IQR 1-25). These corresponded to a median deterioration of 3 (IQR 0-14) in all subjects, whereas those subjects with evidence of erosions at first film showed a median deterioration of 15 (IQR 6-29) on followup. The rheumatoid factor (RF) status, C-reactive protein levels, the presence of nodules, and number of swollen joints at baseline were all predictive of radiographic severity at first film. Not surprisingly, the baseline radiographic score was a predictor of severity of deterioration. However, after adjusting for baseline severity, a high titer of RF (>1:160) was also an independent predictor of deterioration over 5 years: individuals with an initial RF at that level had a progression in their Larsen score that was 2.3 times (95% confidence interval 1.7-3.2) higher than that in the RF-negative individuals. Apart from this, only age had an independent effect, after adjusting for baseline severity, in predicting increasing radiographic joint damage. High-titer RF is an important variable in predicting continuing severity of radiographic damage during the first 5 years after presentation with inflammatory polyarthritis.