Independent Predictor Of Poor Outcome Research Articles

Multinucleated tumor cells and micropapillary morphology appear to be predictors of poor prognosis in renal cell carcinoma with papillary and oncocytic features

Renal cell carcinoma with papillary and oncocytic features (RCC-PO) are poorly understood, partially due to conflicting results in multiple studies. The histological features that predict behavior of RCC-PO have not been elucidated. The aim is to review clinicopathologic features and to correlate clinical outcomes of patients with RCC-PO to further expand our knowledge on these heterogeneous tumors. An archival search was done for “RCC” and “papillary,” and tumors with >50% papillary and oncocytic features were included. Clinicopathologic data including tumor size, grade, stage, molecular and immunohistochemical testing when performed, and follow-up data were collected. Using multivariate analyses, correlation between histological features, tumor stage and prognosis were analyzed. Sixty-one patients with RCC-PO were identified of which 49 (80%) were male with a median age of 65 (range: 36–93) years, and a mean tumor size of 5.2 (range: 1–21.5) cm. Micropapillary features were seen in 4, bizarre nuclei (at least 3 times larger or with irregular shape) in 6, multinucleated tumor cells (MTC) in 15, single or small clusters (SSC) (made of 2–3 tumor cells) located away from areas of necrosis in 16, and striking eosinophilic cytoplasmic inclusions in 3 tumors, respectively. Thirty-six (59%) tumors were high-grade (WHO/ISUP grade 3–4), and 23 (38%) had a high stage (≥pT3 or pN1). Tumors were positive for AMACR (15/16) and CK7 (13/17), with preserved FH (7/7) staining and were all negative for CD117 (0/7), ALK, TFE3, cathepsin K, Melan A, and HMB45 (0/4, each). Three tumors underwent chromosomal microarray (CMA) plus gene fusion assay, and FISH and germline testing for FLCN and MET gene alterations by PCR were done on 1 each. Ten (16%) patients had a local recurrence (LR) or metastasis after nephrectomy; 4 died of disease (2 had tumors with micropapillary features), with a median follow-up of 7 (range: 0.01–19) years. Tumors with micropapillary features showed significantly higher RCC-PO-related mortality (50% vs. 3.5%, p < 0.001). In multivariable analysis, SSC correlated with a higher stage (HR: 11.95; p = 0.005); micropapillary features (HR: 18.42; p = 0.017) and MTC (HR: 180.22; p = 0.036) with presence of metastasis/LR; and micropapillary features with a higher RCC-PO-related mortality (HR: 60.35; p = 0.036). RCC-PO are cytogenetically heterogeneous with overlapping features of various renal neoplasms. Micropapillary features and MTC appear to be independent predictors of poor outcomes in these tumors.

Characteristics, Predictors, and Clinical Outcomes in Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction According to a 1-Year Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction Following Sacubitril/Valsartan Treatment.

Optimal medical treatment can lead to improvement in left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) in patients with heart failure with reduced EF (HFrEF). We investigated the characteristics, predictors, and outcomes of HFrEF according to the 1-year LVEF following angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitors therapy (ARNI). Using the STRATS-HF-ARNI (Strain for Risk Assessment and Therapeutic Strategies in Patients With Heart Failure Treated With Angiotensin Receptor-Neprilysin Inhibitor) registry, we identified 1074 patients with HFrEF who took ARNI and underwent baseline and 1-year echocardiography. Patients were classified as HF with improved ejection fraction (HFimpEF) and persistent HFrEF (perHFrEF) (1-year LVEF >40% and ≤40%). The primary and secondary outcomes were all-cause and cardiac mortality from the 1-year follow-up. Among 1074 included patients, 498 (46.4%) had HFimpEF, and 576 (53.6%) had perHFrEF. Older age, male sex, and large LV end-diastolic volumes were positive predictors of perHFrEF, whereas atrial fibrillation and high systolic blood pressure were identified as inverse predictors. Patients with HFimpEF showed lower all-cause and cardiac mortality rates (both log-rank P<0.001). In the multivariable analysis, perHFrEF (hazard ratio, 2.402 [95% CI, 1.251-4.610]; P=0.008) was an independent predictor of poor outcomes. The risk of all-cause mortality decreased as the 1-year LVEF increased up to 40%; however, no additional risk reduction was observed beyond 40%. Compared with patients taking renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors in the STRATS-AHF (Strain for Risk Assessment and Therapeutic Strategies in Patients With Acute Heart Failure) registry, those in the STRATS-HF-ARNI registry demonstrated better outcomes in both HFimpEF and perHFrEF. Patients with HFimpEF had better prognosis than those with perHFrEF, and ARNI treatment in HFrEF could be more beneficial than renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors for both HFimpEF and perHFrEF. URL: https://www.who.int/clinical-trials-registry-platform; Unique identifier: KCT0008098.

Prognostic Factors of Outcome in Patients Undergoing Surgical Intervention following Traumatic Intracerebral Haemorrhage

Background: Intracerebral hemorrhage is a common complication after traumatic brain injury. While it is accepted practice to remove extra-axial (extradural and subdural) haematoma following traumatic brain injury, but surgical practice in the treatment of traumatic intracerebral hemorrhage (TICH) differs widely, and prognostic factors associated with outcome following surgery have not yet been well established. Aims: The study aimed to determine the prognostic factors of outcome in patients undergoing surgical intervention following traumatic intracerebral hemorrhage in a tertiary care hospital in southeastern part of Bangladesh. Materials and Methods: This prospective interventional study included 45 patients requiring craniotomies for decompression and evacuation of an intracranial hemorrhage following traumatic intracerebral hemorrhage in the Neurosurgery Department of Chittagong Medical College Hospital between December 2021 to June 2023. Demographic features, perioperative clinical and radiological characteristics of these patients were examined in relation to favorable/good outcome, defined as Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) score &gt;3 at 3months follow-up, and unfavorable/poor outcome, defined as 3months mortality or GOS score d”3 at 3months after surgery. Results: The median age was 45 (range 8-75) years, 82.2% were male, and road traffic accident was the commonest cause (73.3%). Initial loss of consciousness was found in 75.7% of patients and the median GCS on admission was 9 (Interquartile range 8-10). Craniotomy and evacuation was done in 23(51.1%) of the cases, followed by craniectomy and evacuation in 22 (48.9%)patients. In-hospital and 3 months mortality rate was 28.9%. At three months post surgery, all of the survived patients(32) had good outcomes; 29 (92.3%) had GOS scores of 5, while the remaining 3 had GOS scores of 4. In bivariate analysis, age, history of comorbidity and loss of consciousness, GCS on admission, hematoma volume, and injury to surgery interval was found to have significant association with poor outcome (p&lt;0.05). Age (OR: 1.211, 95% CI: 1.012-1.241, p=0.009) and GCS score on admission (OR: 0.301, 95% CI: 0.086-0.827, p=0.004) were independent predictors of 3-months poor outcome or mortality in multivariate logistic regression analysis. Conclusions: This study presented that older age(60 years) and lower GCS(7-10) on admission were the independent predictors of poor outcome after 3 months of surgery. Multicenter studies are needed to provide accurate data on traumatic intracerebral hemorrhage in Bangladesh. Bang. J Neurosurgery 2024; 13(2): 104-111

Outcome Predictor of Spontaneous Supratentorial Intracerebral Hemorrhage Management

Background: Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (SICH) is responsible for higher morbidity and mortality rates than ischemic stroke. Although SICH is less common than ischemic stroke. Identifying the predictors of outcome after spontaneous supratentorial intracerebral hemorrhage is crucial for a clinical decision-making framework and implementing efficient therapeutic measures. Aims: The study aimed to analyze the clinical profile, assess the outcome, and identify the outcome prognosticators after supratentorial SICH in the Neurosurgery Department of a tertiary care hospital in the southeastern part of Bangladesh. Materials and Methods: This prospective interventional study included 183 patients with computerized tomography (CT) evidence of supratentorial SICH above 18 years of age from the Department of Neurosurgery of Chittagong Medical College Hospital between September 2021 and February 2023.The variables analyzed were age, sex, comorbidities, Glasgow coma scale (GCS) score on admission, radiological features, treatment modality and outcome at 90-day. Glasgow outcome scale (GOS) score was used to assess the outcome. GOS score 4-5 was considered good outcome and GOS score 1-3 was considered as poor outcome. Results: The mean age of the patients was 58.9±14.4 years and 52.5% were male. The 90-day mortality rate was 50.8% and 55.2% patients had poor outcomes. On bivariate analysis, higher age, comorbid CKD state, low GCS score, higher hematoma volume, midline shift, hydrocephalus and intraventricular hematoma (IVH) were associated with poor outcome. Independent predictors of poor outcome included a higher baseline age (OR: 1.07, 95% CI:1.02-1.11, p=0.002), lower GCS on admission (OR: 0.55, 95% CI: 0.39- 0.76, p&lt;0.001), and medical management (OR = 30.56, 95% CI = 7.15-130.69, P &lt;0.001). Conclusions: In conclusion, SICH is associated with high mortality and morbidity. Higher age, low GCS on admission and medical management independently predicted poor outcome in the present study. Patients with a lower age, higher GCS on admission and who were managed surgically were more likely to have a good outcome. Bang. J Neurosurgery 2024; 13(2): 96-103

Thrombocytopenia as a Prognostic Marker in Patients with Acute Encephalitis at a Tertiary Care Center in Northern India.

Acute encephalitis (AE) is associated with a high burden of mortality and permanent disability and has a spectrum of underlying etiologies. The prognosis of encephalitis is difficult and almost all the patients seem to be at a high risk of poor outcomes. A number of physiological changes take place during encephalitis and have been evaluated for their prognostic value. Platelet count, which has been recognized as a surrogate prognostic marker in various viral illnesses, has recently been recognized to have a prognostic value in AE too. In the present study, we attempted to study the role of thrombocytopenia in the prognosis of AE. Total of 98 cases based on clinical, cerebrospinal fluid, and radiological profiles consistent with the diagnosis of AE were enrolled in the study. A clinical profile was noted, and platelet count was assessed. Thrombocytopenia was defined as platelet count <150,000/mm3. Platelet count 100,000-150,000, 50,000-99,999, and <50,000/mm3 were considered mild, moderate, and severe thrombocytopenia. The underlying etiology was explored, and patients were followed till discharge/outcome. The outcome was noted in terms of the Modified Rankin score (MRS). MRS 0-2 was considered good, 3-4 fair, and 5-6 as poor outcome. The mean age of patients was 34.06 ± 18.76 years. Majority of patients were women (54.1%). Prevalence of thrombocytopenia was 75.5%. A total of 34 (45.9%) had mild, 30 (40.5%) had moderate, and 10 (13.5%) had severe thrombocytopenia. Acute viral encephalitis (unclassified) was the most common etiology (33.7%), followed by scrub meningoencephalitis (24.5%) and Japanese encephalitis (12.2%), respectively. Good, fair, and poor outcomes were noted in 48 (49%), 21 (21.4%), and 29 (29.6%) cases. On univariate analysis, no significant association of poor outcome was seen with age, sex, duration of fever, and mechanical ventilation need (P > 0.05). Low Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), splenomegaly, low platelet count, and Japanese encephalitis virus/scrub typhus etiologies were found to be significantly associated with poor outcomes (P < 0.05). Thrombocytopenia compared to normal platelet count and severe thrombocytopenia compared to mild and moderate thrombocytopenia were significantly associated with poor outcomes (P < 0.05). On multivariate analysis, GCS <8 (odds ratio [OR] =4.52; 95% confidence interval [CI] =1.56-13.20) and thrombocytopenia (OR = 11.92; 95% CI = 1.38-103.32) emerged as independent predictors of poor outcome. The findings of the study showed that low GCS and thrombocytopenia could be used as predictors of poor outcomes in AE cases.

Delayed door to puncture time during off-duty hours is associated with unfavorable outcomes after mechanical thrombectomy in the early window of acute ischemic stroke

BackgroundsThe impact of off-duty hours mechanical thrombectomy on outcomes remains a subject of controversy. The impacts of off-duty hours on procedures are influenced by various factors, but the most critical one is the time delay in initiating the procedure after the patient’s arrival at the emergency room. Recently, a report suggested that the impact of time delay on post-procedural outcomes is evident in patients who arrive at the emergency room within 6 h of symptom onset, referred to as the “early window.” We hypothesized that the impact of procedure delays on outcomes during off duty-hours would be most significant within this early window. This study aimed to investigate the impact of door-to-puncture time (DTPT) delays in patients who underwent mechanical thrombectomy for acute ischemic stroke (AIS) during off-duty hours in both the early and late time windows.MethodsWe investigated patients who presented to the emergency center between 2014 and 2022. Among a total of 6,496 AIS patients, we selected those who underwent mechanical thrombectomy within 24 h of the onset of acute anterior circulation occlusion. The eligible patients were divided into two groups: those who arrived within 6 h of symptom onset and received the procedure within 8 h (early window), and those who received the procedure between 8 h and 24 h after symptom onset (late window). The study assessed the association between the onset to puncture time in each group and poor outcomes, measured by the modified Rankin scores(mRs) at 90 days. Furthermore, the study analyzed the impact of receiving the procedure during off-hours in both the early and late windows on outcomes. Specifically, the analysis focused on the impact of delayed DTPT in patients during off-duty hours on outcomes measured by the 90-days mRS.ResultsAmong the eligible patients, a total of 501 AIS patients underwent mechanical thrombectomy for acute anterior circulation occlusion within 24 h. Of these, 395 patients (78.8%) fell into the early window category, and 320 patients (63.9%) underwent the procedure during off-duty hours. In the early window, for every 60-minute increase in OTPT, the probability of occurrence a poor outcome at 90 days significantly increased in the fully adjusted model (OR = 1.21; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.43; p = 0.03). In the early window, delayed procedures during off-duty hours (exceeding 103 min of DTPT) were identified as an independent predictor of poor outcomes (OR = 1.85; 95% CI, 1.05 to 3.24; p = 0.03). However, in the late window, there was no association between DTPT and outcomes at 90 days, and the impact of DTPT delays during off-hours was not observed.ConclusionsThrough this study, it became evident that the impacts of off-duty hours in mechanical thrombectomy were most pronounced in the early window, where the impact of time delay was clear. Therefore, it is believed that improvements in the treatment system are necessary to address this issue.

Predictive Factors for Poor Prognosis in Non-Surgical Treatment of Proximal Humerus Fractures in Elderly Patients.

Proximal humerus fractures (PHF) are common in the elderly, accounting for significant morbidity and mortality. Non-surgical treatment is a common option for low-demand elderly patients, but it can lead to unsatisfactory functional outcomes in some cases.The identification of predictive factors for poor prognosis in non-surgical management remains unclear. This study aimed to determine the predictive factors for poor prognosis in elderly patients treated non-surgically for displaced PHF and to assess associated complications. A retrospective cohort study was conducted involving patients aged 60 years or older with displaced PHF treated non-surgically from May 2020 to January 2023 at a reference hospital for orthopedic trauma. The primary outcome was functional assessment using the American Shoulder and Elbow Surgeons (ASES) scale at 12 months. Predictive factors such as metaphyseal fracture comminution, Pain Catastrophizing Scale (PCS) scores, and radiographic criteria were analyzed. Multivariate regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of poor outcomes. Out of 140 initially selected patients, 103 met the inclusion criteria and completed the follow-up. The mean ASES score was 71.3±25.4 points. Multivariate analysis identified metaphyseal comminution (p < 0.001) and PCS scores ≥ 30 (p < 0.001) as significant predictors of poorer functional outcomes. Complications were observed in 17.4% of patients, including osteonecrosis (6.7%), nonunion (4.9%), and persistent pain and stiffness (5.8%). Metaphyseal comminution and high PCS scores are significant predictors of poor prognosis in elderly patients undergoing non-surgical treatment for displaced PHF. These findings highlight the importance of considering both biomechanical and psychological factors when managing proximal humerus fractures in this population. Further studies with larger sample sizes and prospective designs are needed to validate these findings and refine treatment strategies.

Systemic immune-inflammation index, and neutrophilto-lymphocyte and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratios can predict clinical outcomes in patients with acute coronary syndrome.

Inflammatory mechanisms play an important role in the pathogenesis of atherosclerosis and myocardial infarction. The clinical and prognostic importance of inflammatory parameters, such as neutrophil-lymphocyte (NLR) and platelet-lymphocyte ratios (PLR) in complete blood counts in acute myocardial infarction and other cardiovascular diseases has been demonstrated. However, systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) calculated from neutrophils, lymphocytes and platelets in the complete blood cell count has not been studied sufficiently and is thought to provide a better prediction. This study investigated whether haematological parameters such as SII, NLR and PLR were associated with clinical outcomes in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients. We included 1 103 patients who underwent coronary angiography for ACS between January 2017 and December 2021. The association between major adverse cardiac events (MACE) that developed in hospital and at 50 months of follow up and SII, NLR and PLR was compared. Long-term MACE were defined as mortality, re-infarction and target-vessel revascularisation. SII was calculated using the formula: NLR × total platelet count in the peripheral blood (per mm3). Of the 1 103 patients, 403 were diagnosed with ST-elevation myocardial infarction and 700 with non-STelevation myocardial infarction. The patients were divided into a MACE and a non-MACE group. In hospital and during the 50-month follow up, 195 MACE were observed. SII, PLR and NLR were found to be statistically significantly higher in the MACE group (p < 0.001). SII, C-reactive protein level, age and white blood cell count were independent predictors of MACE in ACS patients. SII was found to be a strong independent predictor of poor outcomes in ACS patients. This predictive power was greater than that of PLR and NLR.

Association between tumor size and prognosis in patients with small bowel adenocarcinoma-a SEER-based study

BackgroundThe association between small-bowel adenocarcinoma (SBA) tumor size and prognosis is unclear, and we used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to assess the prognostic value of SBA tumor size. MethodsPatients with postoperative SBA were selected from the SEER database, and overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were used as outcome variables. Tumor size was used as a categorical and continuous variable, respectively, to adjust for confounders and analyze the association between SBA tumor size and prognosis using Cox proportional hazard regression, and the results were visualized using restricted cubic splines (RCS). Spearman correlation coefficient was used to evaluate the statistical correlation between tumor size and tumor invasion depth (T-stage). Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to estimate OS at different T stages. ResultsWhen the tumor size was analyzed as a quantitative variable, the adjusted covariate model showed that the HR was 1.008 (P = 0.04) for OS and 1.021 (P = 0.03) for CSS. And regardless of OS or CSS, when the tumor size < 3–4 cm, there was a close linear relationship between tumor size and HR. What's more, in the SEER database, the 5-year survival rates of T1, T2, T3 and T4 patients were 81.8 %, 81.1 %, 66.0 % and 50.9 % (P < 0.001) according to AJCC T-stage. However, in the modified T-stage (mT), these rates were 82.8 %, 70.6 %, 60.7 % and 39.8 % (P < 0.001). When patients within each of the AJCC T stages were stratified by mT stages, significant survival heterogeneity was observed within each of the AJCC T1 to T4 stages(P < 0.001). ConclusionWhen tumor size is used in a quantitative way, tumor size is an independent predictor of poor outcome in patients with SBA. Furthermore, we established a modified T-stage based on tumor size and depth of invasion.

Clinical and laboratory characteristics and outcome predictors of cerebral venous sinus thrombosis in a referral neurology hospital in Bangladesh.

We aimed to describe clinical and laboratory characteristics and determine the predictors of outcome in patients with cerebral venous sinus thrombosis. This prospective study was conducted over 2 years among hospitalized patients with cerebral venous sinus thrombosis. Patient outcome was assessed using the Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score at 3 months. Outcome predictors were identified using logistic regression analysis. Eighty-one patients were included in this study. The median mRS outcome at 3 months was 1 (interquartile range 1-3). Poor outcomes were observed in 27.2% of patients, and the mortality rate was 9.8%. Factors associated with poor outcomes were age >60 years (relative risk [RR] 5.1), hemiparesis (RR 5.4), altered level of consciousness (RR 7.1), and transverse sinus involvement (RR 1.1). In general, mRS scores were not associated with D-dimer levels (RR 2.4). However, older patients with elevated D-dimer levels showed a significant association with poor outcomes (1.6) according to mRS scores. Older age, hemiparesis, and altered consciousness levels were independent predictors of poor outcomes in patients with cerebral venous sinus thrombosis. High D-dimer level showed no association with functional disability, except in older patients.

Prediction of Long-Term Poor Clinical Outcomes in Cerebral Venous Thrombosis Using Neural Networks Model: The BEAST Study.

Risk prediction models are commonly performed with logistic regression analysis but are limited by skewed datasets. We utilised neural networks (NNs) model to identify independent predictors of poor outcomes in cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) due to the limitations of logistic regression (LR) analysis with complex datasets. We evaluated 1309 adult CVT patients from the prospective BEAST (Biorepository to Establish the Aetiology of Sinovenous Thrombosis) study. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve confirmed the goodness-of-fit of prediction models. The normalised importance (NI) of the NNs determines the significance of independent predictors. The stepwise logistic regression model found thrombolysis (OR 32.1; 95% CI 3.6-287.0; P=0.002), craniotomy (OR 6.9; 95% CI 1.3-36.8; P=0.02), and cerebral haemorrhage (OR 4.5; 95% CI 1.3-15.4; P=0.01) as predictors of poor clinical outcome with the AUROC of 0.71. Conversely, the NNs model identified major independent predictors of long-term poor clinical outcomes as cerebral haemorrhage (NI 100%) and thrombolysis (NI 98%), as well as trivial predictors of age (NI 2.8%) and altered mental status (NI 3.5%). The accuracy of the NNs model was 95.1% and 94.1% for self-learned randomly selected training and testing samples with an AUROC of 0.82. Positive and negative predictive values for poor outcomes were 13.2% and 97.1% for the LR model, compared with the NNs model of 18.8% and 98.7%, respectively. Cerebral haemorrhage and thrombolysis was a strong independent predictor, whereas age merely impacts the long-term poor clinical outcome in adult CVT. Integrating unorthodox neural networks risk prediction model can improve decision-making as it outperforms conventional logistic regression with complex datasets.

Outcome of Guillain-Barré syndrome with bulbar palsy

BackgroundElective intubation is advocated in Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) with bulbar palsy to prevent aspiration pneumonia and lung collapse. We evaluate the outcome of GBS patients with bulbar palsy, and also compare the risks and benefits of intubation and MV in them. Methods187 GBS patients with bulbar palsy from a cohort of 547 GBS registry were analyzed. Detailed clinical records and peak disability on a 0-6 GBS Disability Scale (GBSDS) were noted. The patients were intubated if arterial blood gas (ABG) analysis revealed hypoxia, hypercarbia or acidosis. The patients with normal ABG parameters were fed by nasogastric tube, and nursed in lateral position. Occurrence of pneumonia, in-hospital death and outcomes at 6-months were classified as complete (GBSDS <2), partial (GBSDS 2-3) and poor (GBSDS >3). Results76/187(40.6%) patients required MV, and they had a shorter duration of illness (p = 0.007), higher peak disability (p < 0.001), autonomic dysfunction (p < 0.001) and more frequently received IVIg (p = 0.02). Pneumonia (63% vs 10.8%; p < 0.001) and in-hospital deaths (7.9% vs 1.8%; p = 0.06) were more frequent in MV group compared to nasogastric fed group. At 6-months,104 (55.6%) patients recovered completely. On multivariate analysis, the independent predictors of poor outcome were peak disability [Adjusted Odds Ratio (AOR) 9.84, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 3.15-30.74, p < 0.0001], day of hospitalization from disease onset (AOR 1.09, 95% Cl 1.01-1.01; p=0.009) and requirement of MV (AOR 0.10; 95% 0.02-0.50; p = 0.005). ConclusionGBS patients with bulbar palsy may be managed by nasogastric feeding and nursing in lateral position without increasing the risk of pneumonia. Mechanical ventilation based on ABG does not worsen outcomes of GBS with bulbar palsy.

Utility of A2L2 score in acute ischemic stroke patient triage: the "H.uni" experience.

Two or more National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) points on each motor items (A2L2 score) have shown good accuracy in predicting large vessel occlusion (LVO) in the prehospital setting of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) care. We aimed to study this score for LVO prediction in our stroke network and predictors of poor outcome (PO) after mechanical thrombectomy (MT). From our Safe Implementation of Thrombolysis in Stroke (SITS) registry including patients receiving reperfusion therapy for AIS, we retrospectively computed the A2L2 score from the admission NIHSS to test the diagnostic accuracy for LVO prediction. Multivariable analysis for independent predictors of LVO on the entire cohort and PO from patients with LVO were performed. From the 853 patients with AIS (67% LVO), A2L2 was positive in 52%. A2L2 score (Odds ratio [OR] 4.6;95%CI 3.36-6.34), smoking (OR 2.1;95%CI 1.14-3.85), atrial fibrillation (OR 1.6;95%CI1.1-2.4) and younger age (OR 0.98;95%CI0.97-0.99) were independent predictors of LVO. A2L2 score showed 82%/49% positive/negative predictive values with 66% accuracy (64%/72% sensitivity/specificity) for LVO prediction. Age (OR 1.05;95%CI 1.03-1.07), atrial fibrillation (OR 4.85;95%CI 1.5-15.7), diabetes (OR 2.62;95% CI 1.14-6.05), dyslipidemia (OR 2;95% CI 1.04-3.87), A2L2 score (OR 2.68;95% CI 1.45-4.98), longer onset-to-groin time (OR 1.003;95% CI 1.001-1.01), MT procedure (OR 1.01;95%CI 1.003-1.02) general anaesthesia (OR 2.06;95% CI 1.1-3.83) and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (OR 12.10;95%CI 3.15-46.44) were independent predictors of PO. A2L2 score independently predicted LVO and PO after MT. Patient characteristics and procedural factors determined PO of LVO patients after MT.

Radiologic and Blood Markers Predicting Long-Term Neurologic Outcome Following Decompressive Craniectomy for Malignant Ischemic Stroke: A Preliminary Single-Center Study.

Malignant ischemic stroke (MIS) is defined by progressive cerebral edema leading to increased intracranial pressure (ICP), compression of neural structures, and, eventually, death. Decompressive craniectomy (DC) has been advocated as a lifesaving procedure in the management of patients with MIS. This study aims to identify pre- and postoperative predictive variables of neurologic outcomes in patients undergoing DC for MIS. We conducted a retrospective study of patients undergoing DC in a single center from April 2016 to April 2020. Preoperative workup included baseline clinical status, laboratory data, and brain computed tomography (CT). The primary outcome was the 6-month modified Rankin score (mRS). The secondary outcome was the 30-day mortality. During data capture, a total of 58 patients fulfilled the criteria for MIS, of which 22 underwent DC for medically refractory increased ICP and were included in the present analysis. The overall median age was 58.5 years. An immediate (24 hour) postoperative extended Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOSE) score ≥5 was associated with a good 6-month mRS (1-3; p = 0.004). Similarly, low postoperative neutrophils (p = 0.002), low lymphocytes (p = 0.004), decreased neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR; p = 0.02), and decreased platelet-to-lymphocytes ratio (PLR; p = 0.03) were associated with good neurologic outcomes. Preoperative variables independently associated with worsened 6-month mRS were the following: increased age (odds ratio [OR]: 1.10; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01-1.20; p = 0.02), increased National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score (OR: 7.8; 95% CI: 2.5-12.5; p = 0.035), Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score less than 8 at the time of neurosurgical referral (OR: 21.63; 95% CI: 1.42-328; p = 0.02), and increased partial thromboplastin time (PTT) before surgery (OR: 2.11; 95% CI: 1.11-4; p = 0.02). Decreased postoperative lymphocytes confirmed a protective role against worsened functional outcomes (OR: 0.01; 95% CI: 0.01-0.4; p = 0.02). Decreased postoperative lymphocyte count was associated with a protective role against increased mRS (OR: 0.01; 95% CI: 0.01-0.4; p = 0.02). The occurrence of hydrocephalus at the postoperative CT scan was associated with 30-day mortality (p = 0.005), while the persistence of postoperative compression of the ambient and crural cistern showed a trend towards higher mortality (p = 0.07). This study reports that patients undergoing DC for MIS showing decreased postoperative blood inflammatory markers achieved better 6-month neurologic outcomes than patients with increased inflammatory markers. Similarly, poor NIHSS score, poor GCS score, increased age, and larger PTT values at the time of surgery were independent predictors of poor outcomes. Moreover, the persistence of postoperative compression of basal cisterns and the occurrence of hydrocephalus are associated with 30-day mortality.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as a predictor for outcomes in patients with short-term emergency department revisits.

Analysis of short-term emergency department (ED) revisits is a common emergency care quality assurance practice. Previous studies have explored various risk factors of ED revisits; however, laboratory data were usually omitted. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic significance of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte (PLR), and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) in predicting outcomes of patients revisiting the ED. This retrospective observational cohort study investigated short-term ED revisit patients. The primary outcome measure was high-risk ED revisit, a composite of in-hospital mortality or intensive care unit (ICU) admission after 72-hour ED revisit. The NLR, PLR, and SII were investigated as potential prognostic predictors of ED revisit outcomes. A total of 1916 encounters with short-term ED revisit patients were included in the study; among these, 132 (6.9%) encounters, comprising 57 in-hospital mortalities and 95 ICU admissions, were high-risk revisits. High-risk revisit patients had significantly higher NLR, PLR, and SII (11.6 vs 6.6, p < 0.001; 26.2 vs 18.9, p = 0.004; 2209 vs 1486, p = 0.002, respectively). Multiple regression analysis revealed revisit-NLR as an independent factor for predicting poor outcomes post-ED revisits (odds ratio: 1.031, 95% CI: 1.017-1.045, p < 0.001); an optimal cut-off value of 7.9 was proven for predicting high-risk ED revisit. The intensity of the inflammatory response expressed by NLR was an independent predictor for poor outcomes of ED revisits and should be considered when ED revisits occur. Future prediction models for ED revisit outcomes can include revisit-NLR as a potential predictor to reflect the progressive conditions in ED patients.

Derivation and Validation of a Scoring System for Predicting Poor Outcome After Posterior Circulation Ischemic Stroke in China.

Guidelines for posterior circulation ischemic stroke (PCIS) treatment are lacking and outcome prediction is crucial for patients and clinicians. We aimed to develop and validate a prognostic score to predict the poor outcome for patients with PCIS. The score was developed from a prospective derivation cohort named the Third China National Stroke Registry (August 2015-March 2018) and validated in a spatiotemporal independent validation cohort (December 2017-March 2023) in China. Patients with PCIS with acute infarctions defined as hyperintense lesions on diffusion-weighted imaging were included in this study. The poor outcome was measured as modified Rankin scale (mRS) score 3-6 at 3 months after PCIS. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictors for poor outcome. The prognostic score, namely PCIS Outcome Score (PCISOS), was developed by assigning points to variables based on their relative β-coefficients in the logistic model. The PCISOS was derived from 3,294 patients (median age 62 [interquartile range (IQR) 55-70] years; 2,250 [68.3%] men) and validated in 501 patients (median age 61 [IQR 53-68] years; 404 [80.6%] men). Among them, 384 (11.7%) and 64 (12.8%) had poor outcome 3 months after stroke in respective cohorts. Age, mRS before admission, NIH Stroke Scale on admission, ischemic stroke history, infarction distribution, basilar artery, and posterior cerebral artery stenosis or occlusion were identified as independent predictors for poor outcome and included in PCISOS. This easy-to-use integer scoring system identified a marked risk gradient between 4 risk groups. PCISOS performed better than previous scores, with an excellent discrimination (C statistic) of 0.80 (95% CI 0.77-0.83) in the derivation cohort and 0.81 (95% CI 0.77-0.84) in the validation cohort. Calibration test showed high agreement between the predicted and observed outcomes in both cohorts. PCISOS can be applied for patients with PCIS with acute infarctions to predict functional outcome at 3 months post-PCIS. This simple tool helps clinicians to identify patients with PCIS with higher risk of poor outcome and provides reliable outcome expectations for patients. This information might be used for personalized rehabilitation plan and patient selection for future clinical trials to reduce disability and mortality.

High pre-treatment NLR and PLR predict poor prognosis of patients with recurrent/metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors.

e18001 Background: The treatment landscape of unresectable recurrent and/or metastatic (R/M) Head and Neck Squamous cell Carcinoma (HNSCC) has profoundly changed with the introduction of Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). High neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) have been associated with poor outcome in several tumor types. The aim of the present study was to investigate the role of pre-treatment NLR and PLR in predicting overall survival (OS) of patients treated with ICIs. Materials and Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the clinical records of 106 consecutive patients with R/M-HNSCC who received ICIs (single-agent or ICIs-based treatment) between January 2018 and June 2023 at the Istituto Oncologico Veneto of Padua. Patients were grouped into platinum-refractory (patients progressed within 6 months from the last platinum dose) and platinum-sensitive. The cut-off values of pre-treatment NLR and PLR were determined based on percentile distribution (75th percentile). OS was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to compare survival outcomes. Results: A total of 102 patients were analyzed. Four patients were excluded because of incomplete data. Primary tumor sites were oropharynx (37%), oral cavity (24%), hypopharynx (19%), larynx (15%), nasopharynx (5%) and nasal cavity (1%). 63 patients (62%) with platinum-refractory disease received nivolumab single-agent. All 39 patients (38%) with platinum-sensitive disease were PD-L1 positive (CPS≥1) and received pembrolizumab-based treatment. Median OS was 8.0 months (95% CI 5.8-10.1) in the platinum-refractory cohort and 13.3 months (95% CI 7.3-19.3) in the platinum-sensitive cohort. At the univariate analysis high NLR (≥7) and PLR (≥345) correlated with poor OS in the overall population and in both the platinum-refractory and the platinum-sensitive cohorts (Table1). At the multivariate analysis PLR was an independent predictor of OS. Conclusions: The efficacy results reported in this retrospective series were in line with the literature data. High PLR was an independent predictor of poor outcome regardless of the platinum sensitivity. Prospective studies are needed to better explore the predictive role of easily obtainable blood biomarkers in this poor prognostic population. Univariate analysis for OS [Table: see text]

Cytokeratin 15 is a novel and independent predictor of poor outcome in luminal B HER2-negative breast carcinomas

Cytokeratin 15 (CK15) has been described as a stem cell marker in human organs and its expression is seen in breast tissue. CK15 expression is associated with aggressive features in endometrial and oesophageal cancers, but data on the breast are lacking. This study aims to investigate the clinicopathological associations and prognostic significance of CK15 in breast carcinomas. A multi-institute cohort of breast carcinomas were retrieved. Clinicopathological and outcome data were obtained and compared with immunohistochemical expression CK15 and a panel of biomarkers. In total, 1,476 cases were included, with an expression rate of 3.5%, preferentially expressed in luminal subtypes (p=0.024), with luminal B carcinomas being the highest (4.7%), as opposed to basal-like (1%) and HER2-overexpressed carcinomas (0%). Except for nodal stage (p=0.013) and nodal metastasis (p=0.048), oestrogen (p=0.035) and progesterone receptor (p=0.001) positivity, there were no associations with other clinicopathological parameters. A trend was observed with shorter breast cancer specific survival (BCSS) in CK15-positive luminal B carcinomas (p=0.062). On further subgroup multivariate analysis of luminal B HER2-negative carcinomas, CK15 expression exhibited robust correlation with shorter BCSS (HR=9.004, p=0.001) and disease-free survival (HR=7.085, p<0.001). Restricted to luminal breast carcinomas, specifically luminal B HER2-negative, CK15 is demonstrated to be a robust independent predictor of higher risk of recurrence and shorter survival, with potential as a clinical prognostic marker and an exclusive stem cell marker for this subgroup of carcinomas.

FT4-to-FT3 ratio is a novel prognostic marker in subacute combined spinal cord degeneration patients.

The FT4-to-FT3 ratio (FFR) variations in patients with subacute combined spinal cord degeneration (SCSD) as a potentially useful prognostic indicator are still unknown. This study aimed to investigate the changes of FFR as a potentially valuable prognostic predictor in patients with SCSD. This study included 144 consecutive SCSD patients who received standard diagnostic and therapeutic procedures between January 2015 and December 2021 and were admitted to the Department of Neurology at the First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical University. At the time of admission, we gathered data on all patients' demographics, daily routines, previous chronic conditions, medication histories, and other clinical details. For the purpose of measuring FFR, blood samples were specifically taken within 48 h of admission. The degree of neurological impairment of patients was assessed using the functional disability scale at the time of admission. At 6 months following discharge, the Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) was used to evaluate the clinical prognosis. To evaluate the relationship between the FFR and the risks of a poor outcome (mRS > 2), univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis was utilized. The significance of the FT4/FT3 ratio in predicting the clinical outcomes in SCSD patients 6 months after discharge was assessed using the area under curve-receiver operating characteristic (AUC-ROC). About 90 patients (62.5%) of the 144 patients had poor outcomes, while 54 (37.5%) had favorable outcomes. Higher FFR at admission was independently linked to higher odds of a poor outcome, according to a logistic analysis. With an optimized cutoff value of >2.843, the FFR exhibited the maximum accuracy for predicting a poor outcome, according to the AUC‒ROC curve (AUC 0.731, P < 0.001; sensitivity, 77.8%; specificity, 83.3%). FFR was identified as an independent predictor of poor outcomes by multivariate logistic regression (OR, 2.244; 95% CI, 1.74-2.90; P < 0.001). We discovered that in patients who had a bad result 6 months after discharge, the FFR had dramatically increased at the time of admission, providing a unique prognostic marker in patients with SCSD.

Long-term clinical outcomes of arterial bypass and the factors independently associated with the primary patency in patients with suprainguinal arterial occlusion

IntroductionAortoiliac occlusive disease and iliofemoral occlusion are impact patient quality of life, cause limb loss and mortality. The aim of this study was to investigate the long-term clinical outcomes of arterial bypass, and the factors associated with the outcomes. MethodThis retrospective chart/image review included all types of arterial bypass procedures performed for suprainguinal arterial occlusion during January 2004 to December 2017. The primary outcome was the primary patency. The secondary outcomes were the secondary patency, amputation-free survival, overall survival and the factors associated with the outcomes. ResultA total of 135 patients (107 males) were included. The median age was 65 years. The 1-year, 5-year, and 10-year primary patency rates were 74.3%, 65.7%, and 55.6%, respectively, with independent predictors of poor outcomes being underlying cerebrovascular disease (p = 0.003) and postoperative graft infection (p = 0.016). Secondary patency rates at 1-year, 5-year, and 10-year intervals were 90.1%, 87.1%, and 77.8%, respectively, with independent predictors of poor outcomes being underlying cardiovascular disease (p = 0.013) and postoperative acute kidney injury (p = 0.010). Amputation-free survival rates at 1-year, 5-year, and 10-year intervals were 77.1%, 71.6%, and 66.0%, respectively, with the independent predictor of poor outcome being preoperative foot infection (p = 0.013). Overall survival rates at 1-year, 5-year, and 10-year intervals were 84.4%, 58.6%, and 35.3%, respectively, with independent predictors of poor outcomes being chronic kidney disease (p = 0.030) and postoperative myocardial infarction (p = 0.018). However, antiplatelet therapy emerged as an independent predictor of favorable overall survival outcomes (p = 0.034). ConclusionOur results showed the primary patency rates of arterial bypass to be relatively low at our center; however, most grafts could be saved with high secondary patency. Both disease-associated factors and patient condition-associated factors were found to influence the outcomes of this fragile patient population.