Independent Predictor Of All-cause Mortality Research Articles

Characterization and Mortality Risk of Impaired Left Ventricular Filling in COPD.

In COPD, impaired left ventricular (LV) filling might be associated with coexisting HFpEF or due to reduced pulmonary venous return indicated by small LV size. We investigate the all-cause mortality associated with small LV or HFpEF and clinical features discriminating between both patterns of impaired LV filling. We performed transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) in patients with stable COPD from the COSYCONET cohort to define small LV as LVEDD below the normal range and HFpEF features according to recommendations of the European Society of Cardiology. We assessed the E/A and E/e' ratios, NT-pro-BNP, hs-Troponin I, FEV1, RV, DLCo, and discriminated patients with small LV from those with HFpEF features or no relevant cardiac dysfunction as per TTE (normalTTE). The primary outcome was all-cause mortality after four and a half year. In 1752 patients with COPD, the frequency of small LV, HFpEF-features, and normalTTE was 8%, 16%, and 45%, respectively. Patients with small LV or HFpEF features had higher all-cause mortality rates than patients with normalTTE, HR: 2.75 (95% CI: [1.54 - 4.89]) and 2.16 (95% CI: [1.30 - 3.61]), respectively. Small LV remained an independent predictor of all-cause mortality after adjusting for confounders including exacerbation frequency and measures of RV, DLCo, or FEV1. Compared to normalTTE, patients with small LV had reduced LV filling, as indicated by lowered E/A. Yet in contrast to patients with HFpEF-features, patients with small LV had normal LV filling pressure (E/e') and lower levels of NT-pro-BNP and hs-Troponin I. In COPD, both small LV and HFpEF-features are associated with increased all-cause mortality and represent two distinct patterns of impaired LV filling.

Nocturnal Hypoxemic Burden in Patients with Heart Failure: Emerging Prognostic Role of Its Non-Specific Component

BackgroundNocturnal hypoxemic burden has been shown to be a robust, independent predictor of all-cause mortality in patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and to occur in a severe form even in patients with low or negligible frequency of respiratory events (apneas/hypopneas). This suggests the existence of two components of hypoxemic burden: one unrelated to respiratory events and the other related. The aim of this study was to characterize these two components and to evaluate their prognostic value. MethodsNocturnal hypoxemic burden was assessed in a cohort of 280 patients with HFrEF by measuring the percentage of sleep with an oxygen saturation (SpO2) <90% (T90), and the area of the SpO2 curve below 90% (Area90). Both indices were also recalculated within the sleep segments associated with respiratory events (event-related component: T90Eve, Area90Eve) and outside these segments (non-specific component: T90Nspec, Area90Nspec). The outcome of the survival analysis (Cox regression) was all-cause mortality. ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 60 months, 87 patients died. T90, Area90, and their components were significant in univariate analysis (p<0.05 all). However, when these indices were adjusted for known risk factors, T90, T90Nspec, Area90, and Area90Nspec remained statistically significant (p=0.018, hazard ratio (HR)=1.12, 95%CI=(1.02, 1.23); p=0.007, HR=1.20, 95%CI=(1.05, 1.37); p=0.020, HR=1.05, 95%CI=(1.01, 1.10); p=0.0006, HR=1.15, 95%CI=(1.06, 1.25)), whereas T90Eve and Area90Eve did not (p=0.27, p=0.28). These results were internally validated using bootstrap resampling. ConclusionsBy demonstrating a significant independent association of non-specific hypoxemic burden with all-cause mortality, this study suggests that this component of total nocturnal hypoxemic burden may play an important prognostic role in patients with HFrEF.

Echocardiographic Predictive Factors of Worsening Outcome in Type 1 Cardiorenal Syndrome.

Type 1 cardiorenal syndrome (CRS) is defined as acute decompensated heart failure (AHF) leading to secondary acute kidney injury. Few studies have evaluated the reliability of transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) in assessing outcomes in patients with type 1 CRS. We sought to identify echocardiographic predictors of outcomes (death and rehospitalization) in patients with type 1 CRS. This was a prospective longitudinal monocentric study, conducted from December 2020 to December 2022 in the cardiology department of the Internal Security Forces Hospital in Marsa, Tunisia. 68 patients with type 1 CRS were included prospectively. Physical, biological, and echocardiographic data were collected during the index hospitalization and at 3 and 6 months of follow-up. The mean age was 69 ± 10.1 years with a male predominance (72.0%). The mortality rate during initial hospitalization for AHF was 11.7%. The all-cause mortality rate at six months was 22.0%. The rehospitalization rate was 38.0%. Severe tricuspid regurgitation (p = 0.031), the subaortic velocity time integral (LVOT-VTI) with a cut-off value of 16, a sensitivity (Se) of 65%, and a specificity (Sp) of 85% (Area under the curve (AUC) = 0.818, p < 0.001), the right ventricular fractional area change (RV-FAC) with a cut-off value of 16, a Se of 60% and a Sp of 81% (AUC = 0.775, p < 0.001) were independent predictors of the cumulative rates of rehospitalization and mortality at six months. Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 35% (HR = 0.828, 95% CI: 0.689-0.995, p = 0.044) and the RV-FAC (HR = 0.564, 95% CI: 0.361-0.881, p = 0.012) were independent predictors of all-cause mortality. LVOT-VTI (AUC = 0.766, p < 0.001) was a significantly independent predictor of rehospitalization. This study confirmed that type 1 CRS is associated with a poor prognosis. LVEF, LVOT-VTI, and RV-FAC are simple, reproducible, and sensitive ultrasound parameters for predicting outcomes in patients with type 1 CRS.

#1458 Adverse muscle composition predicts all-cause mortality in CKD

Abstract Background and Aims Sarcopenia is common in CKD and associates with morbidity and mortality. A rapid and standardized MRI (Magnetic Resonance Imaging) scan protocol allows an accurate muscle composition analysis by quantification of skeletal muscle volume and muscle fat infiltration (MFI). The combined observation of low muscle volume and high muscle fat infiltration, i.e. adverse muscle composition (AMC), is a prevalent muscle composition phenotype within CKD and associates to poor function, high prevalence of comorbidity, and an increased risk for coronary heart disease (CHD). It has also been shown that AMC is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and in general population. In this study we aimed to investigate muscle composition as predictor of all-cause mortality within participants with CKD in the UK Biobank imaging study (UKB). Method This is a prospective study including UKB participants with CKD defined as having an eGFR cystatin C &amp;lt; 60 ml/min/1, 73 m2. A control group was created by matching each participant with CKD for sex, age, and BMI to four participants with normal eGFR. Cystatin C was analyzed based on blood samples at time of study enrolment 7-9 years prior to the MRI. Fat-tissue free thigh muscle volume and MFI were quantified using a rapid neck-to-knee water and fat separated MRI protocol and automated image analysis (AMRA® Researcher). For each participant, a personalized muscle volume z-score (sex- and body size-specific) was calculated and combined with MFI to divide the participants into four muscle composition phenotype groups; 1) normal muscle composition, 2) only low muscle volume, 3) only high MFI and 4) AMC, using previously published thresholds based on the whole UKB cohort. The thresholds were the 25th percentile (&amp;lt; -0.68 SD) for muscle volume z-score and the 75th percentile (men &amp;gt;7.69%; women &amp;gt;8.82%) for MFI. The mortality data were obtained through the UKB´s linkage to national death registries. All-cause mortality was investigated using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression. Models within participants with CKD were crude and subsequently adjusted for sex, age, BMI, low hand grip strength (&amp;lt;16/27 kg for females/males), physical activity, smoking, alcohol, and previous diagnosis of cancer, prevalent CHD and type 2 diabetes, all assessed at the time of imaging. Results Conclusion AMC, determined by standardized MRI, was a strong predictor of all-cause mortality in CKD. The study results indicate that CKD patients with poor muscle health, identified as having both low muscle volume z-score and high MFI, have a significantly higher mortality risk. This vulnerable group would potentially benefit from targeted interventions and is also of specific interest when evaluating new treatments for CKD.

#1358 The association between TNFRSF1B rs1061624 polymorphism and hypertension in end-stage kidney disease patients on dialysis

Abstract Background and Aims In chronic kidney disease (CKD), hypertension (HT) is commonly found during its development and is a leading cause for its progression. HT, dyslipidemia and visceral obesity are among the components of metabolic syndrome (MetS) and seem to associate with progression of CKD to end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). Enhanced levels of soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor 2 (sTNFR2) are known to associate with progressive CKD; and this biomarker was reported as an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in ESKD patients under dialysis. Concerning the TNFRSF1B gene, the polymorphism rs1061624 (A &amp;gt; G), located in the 3′-untranslated region (3′-UTR), was associated with the development of HT in men and with increased risk of MetS. The aim of this study was to determine the genotype frequencies of TNFRSF1B rs1061624 in ESKD patients with and without HT, and to evaluate its relationship with the circulating levels of some MetS biomarkers. Method We studied 277 ESKD patients on dialysis (recruited between 2016-2019), 170 diagnosed with HT and 107 without HT (no-HT group); age, sex, body mass index (BMI), systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and statin therapy were recorded. Real time PCR TaqMan SNP genotyping assay was used to assess genotype frequencies of TNFRSF1B rs1061624. We also evaluated the conventional lipid profile and the levels of oxidized low-density lipoprotein, adiponectin and leptin. Results The genotype frequencies in patients with and without HT were different (P = 0.002); the AA genotype was less frequent in HT than in no-HT group, while GG and AG genotypes were more frequent. Considering the AA genotype carriers, HT ESKD patients (n = 23), compared to the no-HT group (n = 33), presented lower adiponectin levels (P = 0.025); for the AG genotype carriers, HT group (n = 89) presented a trend towards lower adiponectin concentrations (P = 0.055), and were younger than no-HT patients (n = 48; P&amp;lt;0.001); in both comparisons, groups were matched for sex, BMI and number of patients under statins treatment, and in the first case also for age. Considering GG genotype, HT patients (n = 58) only differed from no-HT subjects (n = 26) in SBP, that was higher (P&amp;lt;0.001). Among HT patients, AG genotype carriers presented higher DBP (P = 0.004), lower values of leptin (P = 0.012) and leptin/adiponectin ratio (P = 0.022) and were younger (P&amp;lt;0.001) than GG genotype patients; compared to AA carriers, cholesterol levels were lower (P = 0.012). For the no-HT group, AG genotype patients presented lower DBP (P = 0.008) than AA genotype carriers. Conclusion The genotype frequencies were different in ESKD patients with and without HT, being G allele more frequent in HT. The HT ESKD patients with the AA or the AG genotypes seem to present lower adiponectin levels than the ESKD no-HT patients with the same genotypes. Acknowledgements This work was financed by CESPU, through the project SNPsCKD-GI2-CESPU-2022; FCT, in the scope of the project UIDP/04378/2020 and UIDB/04378/2020 of the Research Unit on Applied Molecular Biosciences—UCIBIO and the project LA/P/0140/2020 of the Associate Laboratory Institute for Health and Bioeconomy—i4HB.

Native myocardial T1 and right ventricular size by CMR predict outcome in systemic sclerosis-associated pulmonary hypertension.

Measures of right heart size and function are prognostic in systemic sclerosis-associated pulmonary hypertension (SSc-PH), but the importance of myocardial tissue characterisation remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the predictive potential and interaction of cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) myocardial tissue characterisation and right heart size and function in SSc-PH. A retrospective, single-centre, observational study of 148 SSc-PH patients confirmed by right heart catheterization who underwent clinically-indicated CMR including native myocardial T1 and T2 mapping from 2016 to 2023 was performed. Sixty-six (45%) patients died during follow-up (median 3.5 years, range 0.1-7.3). Patients who died were older (65 vs 60 years, p= 0.035) with more dilated (RVEDVi and RVESVi, p< 0.001), hypertrophied (RVMi, p= 0.013) and impaired (RVEF, p< 0.001) right ventricles, more dilated right atria (RAi, p= 0.043) and higher native myocardial T1 (p< 0.001).After adjustment for age, RVESVi (p = 0.0023) and native T1 (p = 0.0024) were independent predictors of all-cause mortality. Both RVESVi and native T1 remained independently predictive after adjusting for age and PH subtype (RVESVi p < 0.001, T1 p = 0.0056). Optimal prognostic thresholds for RVESVi and native T1 were ≤38 mL/m2 and ≤1119 ms, respectively (p < 0.001). Patients with RVESVi ≤ 38 mL/m2 and native T1 ≤ 1119 ms had significantly better outcomes than all other combinations (p < 0.001). Furthermore, patients with RVESVi > 38mL/m2 and native T1 ≤ 1119 ms had significantly better survival than patients with RVESVi > 38mL/m2 and native T1 > 1119ms (p = 0.017). We identified prognostically relevant CMR metrics and thresholds for patients with SSc-PH. Assessing myocardial tissue characterisation alongside RV function confers added value in SSc-PH and may represent an additional treatment target.

Dialysis parameters associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection and prognosis in end-stage kidney disease

Background The Covid-19 pandemic has affected patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). Whether dialysis parameters have a prognostic value in ESKD patients with Covid-19 remains unclear. Materials and Methods We retrospectively evaluated clinical characteristics, blood pressure (BP) and dialysis parameters in ESKD patients undergoing maintenance outpatient hemodialysis, with (Covid-ESKD) and without (No-Covid-ESKD) Covid-19, at four Brazilian hemodialysis facilities. The Covid-ESKD (n = 107; 54% females; 60.8 ± 17.7 years) and No-Covid-ESKD (n = 107; 62% females; 58.4 ± 14.6 years) groups were matched by calendar time. The average BP and dialysis parameters were calculated during the pre-infection, acute infection, and post-infection periods. The main outcomes were Covid-19 hospitalization and all-cause mortality. Results Covid-ESKD patients had greater intradialytic and postdialysis systolic BP and lower predialysis weight, postdialysis weight, ultrafiltration rate, and interdialytic weight gain during acute-illness compared to 1-week-before-illness, while these changes were not observed in No-Covid-ESKD patients. After 286 days of follow-up (range, 276–591), there were 18 Covid-19-related hospitalizations and 28 deaths among Covid-ESKD patients. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that increases in predialysis systolic BP from 1-week-before-illness to acute-illness (OR, 95%CI = 1.06, 1.02–1.10; p = .004) and Covid-19 vaccination (OR, 95%CI = 0.16, 0.04–0.69; p = .014) were associated with hospitalization in Covid-ESKD patients. Multivariable Cox-regression analysis showed that Covid-19-related hospitalization (HR, 95%CI = 5.17, 2.07–12.96; p < .001) and age (HR, 95%CI = 1.05, 1.01–1.08; p = .008) were independent predictors of all-cause mortality in Covid-ESKD patients. Conclusion Acute Covid-19 illness is associated with variations in dialysis parameters of volume status in patients with ESKD. Furthermore, increases in predialysis BP during acute Covid-19 illness are associated with an adverse prognosis in Covid-ESKD patients.

Urinary non-albumin protein-creatinine ratio is an independent predictor of mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes: a retrospective cohort study

Albuminuria is a well-known predictor of chronic kidney disease in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM). However, proteinuria is associated with chronic complications in patients without albuminuria. In this retrospective cohort study, we explored whether non-albumin proteinuria is associated with all-cause mortality and compared the effects of non-albumin proteinuria on all-cause mortality between patients with and without albuminuria. We retrospectively collected data from patients with type 2 DM for whom we had obtained measurements of both urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) and urinary protein-to-creatinine ratio (UPCR) from the same spot urine specimen. Urinary non-albumin protein-creatinine ratio (UNAPCR) was defined as UPCR–UACR. Of the 1809 enrolled subjects, 695 (38.4%) patients died over a median follow-up of 6.4 years. The cohort was separated into four subgroups according to UACR (30 mg/g) and UNAPCR (120 mg/g) to examine whether these indices are associated with all-cause mortality. Compared with the low UACR and low UNAPCR subgroup as the reference group, multivariable Cox regression analyses indicated no significant difference in mortality in the high UACR and low UNAPCR subgroup (hazard ratio [HR] 1.189, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.889–1.589, P = 0.243), but mortality risks were significantly higher in the low UACR and high UNAPCR subgroup (HR 2.204, 95% CI 1.448–3.356, P < 0.001) and in the high UACR with high UNAPCR subgroup (HR 1.796, 95% CI 1.451–2.221, P < 0.001). In the multivariable Cox regression model with inclusion of both UACR and UNAPCR, UNAPCR ≥ 120 mg/g was significantly associated with an increased mortality risk (HR 1.655, 95% CI 1.324–2.070, P < 0.001), but UACR ≥ 30 mg/g was not significantly associated with mortality risk (HR 1.046, 95% CI 0.820–1.334, P = 0.717). In conclusion, UNAPCR is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in patients with type 2 DM.

Comparison of Mini Nutritional Assessment Tool and Geriatric Nutrition Risk Index in Predicting 12-Y Mortality Among Community-Dwelling Older Persons

BackgroundMalnutrition is a common and dangerous condition in older adults, which has been associated with increased risk of mortality. ObjectivesThis study aimed to evaluate and compare the abilities of Mini Nutritional Assessment short form (MNA-SF), MNA full form (MNA-FF), and geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) to predict all-cause and expanded cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related mortality in community-dwelling older adults. MethodsThis research was an observational cohort study conducted in a community setting, with a 12-y follow-up involving 1001 community-living older adults aged 65 y or older who were enrolled in 2009 and followed up until 2021. Nutritional status assessment was carried out in 2009 using MNA-SF, MNA-FF, and GNRI. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression was applied to determine adjusted hazard ratios of mortality with 95% CIs. ResultsA total of 368 deaths (36.76%) and 122 expanded CVD-related deaths (12.19%) were observed after a median follow-up of 12 y. Compared with normal nutritional status, poor nutritional status assessed by the MNA-SF, MNA-FF, and GNRI was found to be associated with an increased all-cause mortality in older persons. MNA-SF and MNA-FF, but not GNRI, were associated with expanded CVD-related mortality. The MNA-FF showed better discriminatory accuracy for all-cause (C-statistics: 0.77; 95% CI: 0.63, 0.79) and expanded CVD-related mortality (C-statistics: 0.79; 95% CI: 0.70, 0.83) than MNA-SF (C-statistics: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.73–0.79; and C-statistics: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.72–0.81, respectively) and GNRI (C-statistics: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.73–0.79; and C-statistics: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.72–0.80, respectively). ConclusionsOur findings indicate that MNA-SF, MNA-FF, and GNRI were all independent predictors of all-cause mortality. In particular, the MNA-FF may be the best nutritional assessment tool for predicting all-cause and CVD-related mortality among older persons residing in community, compared with MNA-SF and GNRI.

The utility of serum glucose potassium ratio as a predictive factor for haemorrhagic transformation, stroke recurrence, and mortality among ischemic stroke patients

Background and ObjectiveGlucose-Potassium Ratio (GPR) has emerged as a biomarker in several pathophysiological conditions. However, the association between GPR and long-term outcomes in stroke patients has not been investigated. Our study evaluated the applicability of baseline GPR as a predictive prognostic tool for clinical outcomes in ischemic stroke patients. MethodsThe multicenter retrospective cohort study included acute-subacute adult ischemic stroke patients who had their baseline serum GPR levels measured. Eligible patients were categorized into two sub-cohorts based on the baseline GPR levels (<1.67 vs. ≥ 1.67). The primary outcome was the incidence of 30-day hemorrhagic transformation, while stroke recurrence, and all-cause mortality within twelve months, were considered secondary. ResultsAmong 4083 patients screened, 1047 were included in the current study. In comparison with GPR < 1.67 group, patients with ≥ 1.67 GPR had a significantly higher ratio of all-cause mortality within twelve months (aHR 2.07 [95 % CI 1.21–3.75] p = 0.01), and higher ratio of 30-day hemorrhagic transformation but failed to reach the statistical significance (aHR 1.60 [95 % CI 0.95–2.79], p = 0.08). ConclusionOverall, baseline GPR serum is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality within twelve months in patients with acute and subacute ischemic stroke. Further clinical studies are necessary to validate these findings.

Imaging of the brain-heart axis: prognostic value in a European setting.

Increasing data suggest that stress-related neural activity (SNA) is associated with subsequent major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and may represent a therapeutic target. Current evidence is exclusively based on populations from the U.S. and Asia where limited information about cardiovascular disease risk was available. This study sought to investigate whether SNA imaging has clinical value in a well-characterized cohort of cardiovascular patients in Europe. In this single-centre study, a total of 963 patients (mean age 58.4 ± 16.1 years, 40.7% female) with known cardiovascular status, ranging from 'at-risk' to manifest disease, and without active cancer underwent 2-[18F]fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography between 1 January 2005 and 31 August 2019. Stress-related neural activity was assessed with validated methods and relations between SNA and MACE (non-fatal stroke, non-fatal myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization, and cardiovascular death) or all-cause mortality by time-to-event analysis. Over a maximum follow-up of 17 years, 118 individuals (12.3%) experienced MACE, and 270 (28.0%) died. In univariate analyses, SNA significantly correlated with an increased risk of MACE (sub-distribution hazard ratio 1.52, 95% CI 1.05-2.19; P = .026) or death (hazard ratio 2.49, 95% CI 1.96-3.17; P < .001). In multivariable analyses, the association between SNA imaging and MACE was lost when details of the cardiovascular status were added to the models. Conversely, the relationship between SNA imaging and all-cause mortality persisted after multivariable adjustments. In a European patient cohort where cardiovascular status is known, SNA imaging is a robust and independent predictor of all-cause mortality, but its prognostic value for MACE is less evident. Further studies should define specific patient populations that might profit from SNA imaging.

His Bundle Pacing: Predicting Mortality and Major Complications in Mid-Term Follow-Up.

Introduction: His bundle pacing (HBP) is suitable for 80% of patients with any indication for permanent pacemaker implantation, with a clinical benefit compared to right ventricular pacing (RVP). Although complications and mortality related to RVP are widely reported in the literature, data on HBP are limited. This study aimed to analyze HBP complications and outcomes in the short-term (up to 30 days) and long-term (up to the following 24 months) follow-up (F/U). Materials and Methods: The study includes 373 patients aged ≥ 18, enrolled from October 2015 to May 2019 in a single-center HBP prospective registry conducted in the Department of Electrocardiology, Upper Silesian Medical Centre of the Medical University of Silesia in Katowice, Poland. Mortality and HBP complications were used as end-points: during hospitalization and up to 30 days (short-term F/U), and for each F/U point-six months, 12 months, and 24 months after the procedure (long-term F/U). Results: Successful HBP was achieved in 252 patients (68%), with an increasing success rate during consecutive years: 57% in 2015-2016 and 73% in 2017-2019. Complications were found in 8.4% of patients (21/252) in short-term F/U and 5.8% (13/224), 5.5% (11/201), and 6.9% (12/174) at six months, 12 months, and 24 months, respectively. There were no deaths during the first 30 days. However, 26 patients (10.3%) died within 24 months. A left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤ 34% was the only independent predictor of all-cause mortality or any major complication in the 24-month F/U. Conclusions: This single-center study reported a low risk of mortality and complications associated with HBP at the short-term F/U. However, during the long-term F/U, we observed a higher but acceptable risk of major complications, with a lower LVEF being an independent predictor of the composite end-point of all-cause mortality or any major complication.

De Novo Metabolic Syndrome 1 Year after Liver Transplantation and Its Association with Mid- and Long-Term Morbidity and Mortality in Liver Recipients.

Background: Metabolic syndrome (MS) constitutes an important source of cardiovascular- and cancer-related morbidity and mortality in the general population. Limited information is available on whether these findings can be directly extrapolated to liver recipients. This study aimed to investigate the impact of post-transplant MS present 1 year after liver transplantation on survival rates, risk of major cardiovascular events (CVEs), and de novo malignancies. Methods: Adult deceased-liver-donor recipients who underwent transplantation in our centre between 2010 and 2019 and reached at least 1 year of post-transplantation follow-up were eligible. Results: Of 259 enrolled patients, 20% developed post-transplant MS 1 year after the procedure. The presence of post-transplant MS at 1 year did not affect all-cause mortality (p = 0.144) and risk of de novo malignancies (p = 0.198) in liver recipients. However, it was associated with an overall and time-dependent increase in the risk of major CVEs (p < 0.001). MASH aetiology of liver disease, pre-existing major CVEs, and development of de novo malignancy were independent predictors of all-cause mortality in liver recipients. Conclusions: New onset MS exerts a wide-ranging effect on the post-transplant prognosis of liver recipients. Obtaining optimal control over all modifiable metabolic risk factors is central to improving long-term outcomes in this population.

The relative and combined ability of stress hyperglycemia ratio and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide to predict all-cause mortality in diabetic patients with multivessel coronary artery disease

BackgroundStress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) are independently associated with increased mortality risk in diabetic patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). However, the role of these biomarkers in patients with diabetes and multivessel disease (MVD) remains unknown. The present study aimed to assess the relative and combined abilities of these biomarkers to predict all-cause mortality in patients with diabetes and MVD.MethodsThis study included 1148 diabetic patients with MVD who underwent coronary angiography at Tianjin Chest Hospital between January 2016 and December 2016. The patients were divided into four groups according to their SHR (SHR-L and SHR-H) and NT-proBNP (NT-proBNP-L and NT-proBNP-H) levels. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to evaluate the association of SHR and NT-proBNP levels with all-cause mortality.ResultsDuring a mean 4.2 year follow-up, 138 patients died. Multivariate analysis showed that SHR and NT-proBNP were strong independent predictors of all-cause mortality in diabetic patients with MVD (SHR: HR hazard ratio [2.171; 95%CI 1.566–3.008; P < 0.001; NT-proBNP: HR: 1.005; 95%CI 1.001–1.009; P = 0.009). Compared to patients in the first (SHR-L and NT-proBNP-L) group, patients in the fourth (SHR-H and NT-proBNP-H) group had the highest mortality risk (HR: 12.244; 95%CI 5.828–25.721; P < 0.001). The areas under the curve were 0.615(SHR) and 0.699(NT-proBNP) for all-cause mortality. Adding either marker to the original models significantly improved the C-statistic and integrated discrimination improvement values (all P < 0.05). Moreover, combining SHR and NT-proBNP levels into the original model provided maximal prognostic information.ConclusionsSHR and NT-proBNP independently and jointly predicted all-cause mortality in diabetic patients with MVD, suggesting that strategies to improve risk stratification in these patients should incorporate SHR and NT-porBNP into risk algorithms.

Comparative outcomes of open mesenteric bypass after a failed endovascular or open mesenteric revascularization for chronic mesenteric ischemia

IntroductionClinical practice guidelines have recommended an endovascular-first approach (ENDO) for the management of patients with chronic mesenteric ischemia (CMI), whereas an open mesenteric bypass (OMB) is proposed for subjects deemed to be poor ENDO candidates. However, the impact of a previous failed endovascular or open mesenteric reconstruction on a subsequent OMB is unknown. Accordingly, this study was designed to examine the results of a remedial OMB (R-OMB) after a failed ENDO or a primary OMB (P-OMB) for patients with recurrent CMI. MethodsAll patients who underwent an OMB from 2002 to 2022 at the University of Florida were reviewed. Outcomes after an R-OMB (ie, history of a failed ENDO or P-OMB) and P-OMB were compared. The primary end point was 30-day mortality, whereas secondary outcomes included complications, reintervention, and survival. The Kaplan-Meier methodology was used to estimate freedom from reintervention and all-cause mortality, whereas multivariable Cox proportional hazards modeling identified predictors of death. ResultsA total of 145 OMB procedures (R-OMB, n = 48 [33%]; P-OMB, n = 97 [67%]) were analyzed. A majority of R-OMB operations were performed for a failed stent (prior ENDO, n = 39 [81%]; prior OMB, n = 9 [19%]). R-OMB patients were generally younger (66 ± 9 years vs P-OMB, 69 ± 11 years; P = .09) and had lower incidence of smoking exposure (29% vs P-OMB, 48%; P = .07); however, there were no other differences in demographics or comorbidities. R-OMB was associated with less intraoperative transfusion (0.6 units vs P-OMB, 1.4 units; P = .01), but there were no differences in conduit choice or bypass configuration.The overall 30-day mortality and complication rates were 7% (n = 10/145) and 53% (n = 77/145), respectively, with no difference between the groups. Notably, R-OMB had decreased cardiac (6% vs P-OMB, 21%; P < .01) and bleeding complication rates (2% vs P-OMB, 15%; P = .01). The freedom from reintervention (1 and 5 years: R-OMB: 95% ± 4%, 83% ± 9% vs P-OMB: 97% ± 2%, 93% ± 5%, respectively; log-rank P = .21) and survival (1 and 5 years: R-OMB: 82% ± 6%, 68% ± 9% vs P-OMB: 84% ± 4%, 66% ± 7%; P = .91) were similar. Independent predictors of all-cause mortality included new postoperative hemodialysis requirement (hazard ratio [HR], 7.4, 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.1-17.3; P < .001), pulmonary (HR, 2.7, 95% CI, 1.4-5.3; P = .004) and cardiac (HR, 2.4, 95% CI, 1.1-5.1; P = .04) complications, and female sex (HR, 2.1, 95% CI, 1.03-4.8; P = .04). Notably, R-OMB was not a predictor of death. ConclusionsThe perioperative and longer-term outcomes for a remedial OMB after a failed intraluminal stent or previous open bypass appear to be comparable to a P-OMB. These findings support the recently updated clinical practice guideline recommendations for an endovascular-first approach to treating recurrent CMI due to the significant perioperative complication risk of OMB. However, among the subset of patients deemed ineligible for endoluminal reconstruction after failed mesenteric revascularization, R-OMB results appear to be acceptable and highlight the utility of this strategy in selected patients.

Prognostic impact of polypharmacy and discharge medications in octogenarians and nonagenarian patients with acute heart failure.

With the increasing frequency of heart failure (HF) in elderly patients, polypharmacy has become a major concern owing to its adverse outcomes. However, reports on the clinical impact of polypharmacy and discharge medications in hospitalized super-aged patients with acute HF are rare. Data from 682 patients aged 80years or older, hospitalized for treating acute HF, were analyzed. We recorded the number of medications at discharge and classified them into three groups: HF, non-HF cardiovascular, and non-cardiovascular medications. We investigated the correlation of polypharmacy, defined as daily administration of 10 or more medications at discharge, and the use of discharge medications with post-discharge prognosis. Polypharmacy was recorded in 24.3% of enrolled patients. Polypharmacy was not an independent predictor of all-cause mortality, the incidence of cardiac-related death, or HF-associated rehospitalization; however, the number of non-cardiovascular medications, multiple usage of potentially inappropriate medications, use of mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists, and doses of loop diuretics were associated with poor prognosis. Polypharmacy was significantly associated with higher mortality in patients with Barthel index ≥ 60 at discharge; hence, physical function at discharge was useful for the stratification of prognostic impacts of polypharmacy. The current study demonstrated that polypharmacy was not essentially associated with poor prognosis in super-aged patients with acute HF. Appropriate medications that consider the patient's physical function, rather than polypharmacy itself, are important for the management of HF.

Effect of Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio on Post-TAVR Mortality and Periprocedural Pulmonary Hypertension.

To evaluate the impact of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) on periprocedural pulmonary hypertension (PH) and 3-month all-cause mortality in patients with aortic stenosis (AS) who underwent transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) and to develop a nomogram for predicting the mortality for these patients. 124 patients undergoing TAVR were categorized into three groups according to systolic pulmonary artery pressure (sPAP): Group I (no PH, n = 61) consisted of patients with no pre- and post-TAVR PH; Group II (improved PH, n = 35) consisted of patients with post-TAVR systolic pulmonary artery pressure (sPAP) decreased by more than 10 mmHg compared to pre-TAVR levels; and Group III (persistent PH, n = 28) consisted of patients with post-TAVR sPAP no decrease or less than 10 mmHg, or new-onset PH after the TAVR procedure. The risk of all-cause mortality within 3 months tended to be higher in Group II (11.4%) and Group III (14.3%) compared to Group I (3.3%) (P=0.057). The multinomial logistic regression analysis demonstrated a positive correlation between NLR and both improved PH (OR: 1.182, 95% CI: 1.036-1.350, P=0.013) and persistent PH (OR: 1.181, 95% CI: 1.032-1.352, P=0.016). Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed a significant association between higher NLR and increased 3-month all-cause mortality (16.1% vs. 3.1% in lower NLR group, P=0.021). The multivariable Cox regression analysis confirmed that NLR was an independent predictor for all-cause mortality within 3 months, even after adjusting for clinical confounders. A nomogram incorporating five factors (BNP, heart rate, serum total bilirubin, NLR, and comorbidity with coronary heart disease) was developed. ROC analysis was performed to discriminate the ability of the nomogram, and the AUC was 0.926 (95% CI: 0.850-1.000, P < 0.001). Patients with higher baseline NLR were found to be at an increased risk of periprocedural PH and all-cause mortality within 3 months after TAVR.

Prognostic value of native T1 and extracellular volume in patients with immunoglubin light-chain amyloidosis

BackgroundCardiac involvement in patients with immunoglubin light-chain amyloidosis (AL) is a major determinant of treatment choice and prognosis, and early identification of high-risk patients can initiate intensive treatment strategies to achieve better survival. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of native T1 and ECV in patients with AL-cardiac amyloidosis (CA).MethodsA total of 38 patients (mean age 59 ± 11 years) with AL diagnosed histopathologically from July 2017 to October 2021 were collected consecutively. All patients were performed 3.0-T cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) including cine, T1 mapping, and late gadolinium enhancement (LGE). Pre- and post-contrast T1 mapping images were transferred to a dedicated research software package (CVI42 v5.11.3) to create parametric T1 and ECV values. In addition, clinical and laboratory data of all patients were collected, and patients or their family members were regularly followed up by telephone every 3 months. The starting point of follow-up was the time of definitive pathological diagnosis, and the main endpoint was all-cause death. Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional risk model were used to evaluate the association between native T1 and ECV and death in patients with CA.ResultsAfter a median follow-up of 27 (16, 37) months, 12 patients with CA died. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that elevated native T1 and ECV were closely associated with poor prognosis in patients with CA. The survival rate of patients with ECV > 44% and native T1 > 1389ms were significantly lower than that of patients with ECV ≤ 44% and native T1 ≤ 1389ms (Log-rank P < 0.001), and was not associated with the presence of LGE. After adjusting for clinical risk factors and CMR measurements in a stepwise multivariate Cox regression model, ECV [risk ratio (HR):1.37, 95%CI: 1.09–1.73, P = 0.008] and native T1 (HR:1.01, 95%CI: 1.00-1.02, P = 0.037) remained independent predictors of all-cause mortality in patients with CA.ConclusionsBoth native T1 and ECV were independently prognostic for mortality in patients with CA, and can be used as important indicators for clinical prognosis assessment of AL.

Epicardial adipose tissue as an independent predictor of long-term outcome in patients with severe aortic stenosis undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement.

Accurate risk stratification is important to improve patient selection and outcome of patients with severe aortic stenosis (AS) undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). As epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) is discussed to be involved in cardiovascular disease, it could be useful as a marker of poor prognosis in patients with severe AS undergoing TAVR. A total of 416 patients diagnosed with severe AS by transthoracic echocardiography were assigned for TAVR and enrolled for systematic assessment. Patients underwent clinical surveys and 5-year long-term follow-up, with all-cause mortality as the primary endpoint. EAT volume was quantified on pre-TAVR planning CTs. Patients were retrospectively dichotomized at the median of 74 cm3 of EAT into groups with low EAT and high EAT volumes. Mortality rates were compared using Kaplan-Meyer plots and uni- and multivariable cox regression analyses. A total number of 341 of 416 patients (median age 80.9years, 45% female) were included in the final analysis. Patients with high EAT volumes had similar short-term outcome (p = 0.794) but significantly worse long-term prognosis (p = 0.023) compared to patients with low EAT volumes. Increased EAT volumes were associated with worse long-term outcome (HR1.59; p = 0.031) independently from concomitant cardiovascular risk factors, general type of AS, and functional echocardiography parameters of AS severity (HR1.69; p = 0.013). Increased EAT volume is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in patients with severe AS undergoing TAVR. It can be easily obtained from pre-TAVR planning CTs and may thus qualify as a novel marker to improve prognostication and management of patient with severe AS. DRKS, DRKS00024479.

Prognosis of pacing-dependent patients with cardiovascular implantable electronic devices.

Data on the prognostic significance of pacing dependency in patients with cardiovascular implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) are sparse. The prognostic significance of pacing dependency defined as absence of an intrinsic rhythm ≥ 30 bpm was determined in 786 patients with CIEDs at the authors' institution using univariate and multivariate regression analysis to identify predictors of all-cause mortality. During 49months median follow-up, death occurred in 63 of 130 patients with pacing dependency compared to 241 of 656 patients without pacing dependency (48% versus 37%, hazard ratio [HR] 1.34; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02-1.78, P = 0.04). Using multivariate regression analysis, predictors of all-cause mortality included age (HR 1.07; 95% CI: 1.05-1.08, P < 0.01), history of atrial fibrillation (HR 1.32, 95% CI: 1.03-1.69, P < 0.01), chronic kidney disease (HR 1.28; 95% CI: 1.00-1.63, P = 0.048) and New York Heart Association (NYHA) class ≥ III (HR 2.00; 95% CI: 1.52-2.62, P < 0.01), but not pacing dependency (HR 1.15; 95% CI: 0.86-1.54, P = 0.35). In contrast to age, atrial fibrillation, chronic kidney disease and heart failure severity as indexed by NYHA functional classIII orIV, pacing dependency does not appear to be an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in patients with CIEDs.