Increase In Price Of Rice Research Articles

Strategi Pemerintah Kota Surabaya dalam Menghadapi Kenaikan Harga Beras

The phenomenon of rising rice prices often occurs due to several influencing factors, one of which comes from the climate and the existence of a bumper harvest. In addition, higher market demand than production is also one of the causes. Surabaya as a city that is predicated as a consumer rather than a producer of rice is very careful in maintaining the existing rice supply. Public panic over the increase in rice prices has led the government to issue programs as a strategy to overcome it, one of which is consistently implemented to date is the Cheap Market Movement. The purpose of this research is to describe the government's strategy in overcoming the price of rice based on the five indicators of Geoff Mulgan's theory. This research uses descriptive qualitative research methods by taking results from interviews as primary data and secondary data obtained from literature reviews such as articles, journals, and relevant references. The results of this study reveal that the Cheap Market Movement program and the existence of SPHP rice can help people's lives and achieve the success rate of strategies issued by the Surabaya city government, especially by the Food Security and Agriculture Office.

COMPARISION OF RICE PRICE PREDICTION RESULTS IN EAST JAVA USING FOURIER SERIES ESTIMATOR AND GAUSSIAN KERNEL ESTIMATOR SIMULTANEOUSLY

Extreme weather changes and the El Nino phenomenon in 2023 will cause drought, resulting in a decrease in rice production and an increase in rice prices. It has significantly impacted East Java Province as it is the most extensive rice supplier in Indonesia. This study aims to predict the price of rice with six different qualities using the Fourier series estimator and Gaussian kernel function simultaneously. The results show that the Gaussian kernel method, with a bandwidth value of 1, produces a better model with a MAPE value of 0.228259% than the sine function Fourier series method in predicting rice prices based on six different qualities. The prediction results using the Gaussian kernel function method are categorized as highly accurate because they are less than 10%. This research accelerates the realization of SDG 2 related to "Zero Hunger" through government policies to control the high price of rice in Indonesia. Recommendations that can be given through the research results include cooperation with the government, which can help access information and resources needed to manage price risks.

Dampak Perubahan Harga Beras terhadap Kesejahteraan Petani

The high level of agricultural production in Solok Regency has not been in line with the increase in farmers' welfare. In fact, the level of farmer welfare is an important factor in the development of the agricultural sector. The aim of this research is to determine the impact of changes in rice prices on farmer welfare using a case study approach. Data collection techniques include interviews, observation and documentation. For technical data analysis through percentage analysis. This research revealed that 59.2% of farmers before the increase in rice prices had a good economic condition, however, when the price of rice increased, the economic condition of rice farmers became less good, amounting to 66.3%. Apart from that, some farmers stated that their income increased by a percentage of 9.2%. The increase in rice prices does not result in the consumption patterns of farming communities decreasing, farmers reduce rice consumption and use other foods that contain carbohydrates as substitute foods.

Analysis of Financial Performance for Rice Producing Companies Listed on the IDX to the Volatility Increase in Rice Prices

Analysis of Financial Performance for Rice Producing Companies Listed on the IDX to the Volatility Increase in Rice Prices

Tinjauan Hukum Ekonomi Syariah Terhadap Kenaikan Harga Beras di Nusa Tenggara Barat

Indonesia is experiencing an increase in rice prices nationally, especially in West Nusa Tenggara. The NTB Province Central Statistics Agency (BPS) stated that the increase in rice prices in NTB in September 2023 will reach 46 percent. This increase was due to the impact of the long dry season or El Nino. This quite high increase in rice prices caused inflation in NTB. This research aims to determine the practice of increasing rice prices in the people of Nusa Tenggara Bara. The type of approach used in this research is a descriptive qualitative approach. Data collection in this research method uses observation and documentation methods. The research results show that West Nusa Tenggara is experiencing a rice surplus. Still, the reality is different from the real conditions, namely price increases in the region, so there needs to be serious monitoring, including from a policy perspective, especially restrictions on outbound rice distribution. Because what takes priority first is the needs of the local community which must be met. The increase in rice was caused by national prices not being the same as regional conditions, which caused price increases. In a market mechanism, the demand and supply sides must be balanced. Islam provides the view that the interests of the ummah are more important than other needs.

Natural farming negatively influences the growth of Sangyod Muang Phatthalung rice (<i>Oryza sativa</i> L.) but not its grain production or quality in preliminary comparison to conventional farming

Sangyod Muang Phatthalung (SMP) rice is a great source of various nutritional ingredients, but it is only grown in chemical-dependent systems with synthetic fertilizers and insecticides. Farming practices for food security and environmental conservation in the paddy field are highly controversial, but most practices have focused on either chemical-dependent or organic farming. In this study, we compared the growth, yield, quality, phytochemical profiles, and data on grain elements (EDX associated with SEM analysis) of SMP rice along with its production costs when using natural farming (NF) [<i>Azolla</i> and leaf compost applied] with those when using conventional farming (CF) [chemical fertilizer use (18-8-8 and 46-0-0) and high dose fertilizer (HF) as recommended by the supplier (18-4-5, 20-8-20, and 15-15-15)]. Our data show negative results in terms of plant growth and positive results in terms of yield, physical grain qualities, chemical grain qualities, and chemical composition for SMP rice grown under a natural farming system. A total of six important inorganic elements were present in the kernel (C and O) and the aleurone layer (P, K, Mg, and S) of rice grain. This study claims a high performance for natural farming, based on rice yield and quality with decreased production costs and a possible increase in the market price of high-value rice. These findings have significant implications for applying natural farming practices in the context of food security and environmental conservation, without risk to farmers’ finances and health or the agroecosystem.

Market Intervention Policy in The Case of Rising Rice Prices in Indonesia From The Perspective of Ibn Taimiyah

Rice is an important commodity and is needed by the wider community, its existence is vital as a means to fulfil the needs of life, therefore the Indonesian government's intervention in this commodity is very high. The price of rice in Indonesia continues to rise for many factors. This research employs qualitative methods which is called library research. The result of this study is the increase in rice prices in Indonesia according to Ibn Taymiyyah is entirely caused by market forces. According to Ibn Taymiyyah what is needed therefore is market intervention, instead of price intervention. The market intervention carried out by the Indonesian government is by intensifying the social assistance program, running market operations with the SPHP program, and strengthening the stock of government rice reserves (CBP). Meanwhile, the policy of setting the price ceiling should not be carried out by the government because the market conditions related to this rice commodity run perfectly and there is no market distortion.

The Government's Role in Stabilizing Rice Prices in Central Sulawesi

This research aims to find out the government's role in stabilizing rice prices. This research focuses on what things are being done by the government, in this case Perum Bulog and Disperindag, Central Sulawesi to reduce the increase in rice prices. The method used is qualitative. Collection uses observation, interviews, documents and internet searching. The location of this research includes the city of Palu, Kab. Parigi Moutong, Kab. Donggala, and Kab. Sigi. The theory used is the role of government in the economy based on its activities which consist of the role of government as regulator, producer and consumer. The results of the research show that the government's role is not optimal, it can be seen from the government's role as a regulator, to implement various policies and programs, the government has a basis, namely the government purchasing price (HPP) and the highest retail price (HET), which then created the SPHP rice program by Bulog and cheap market by Disperindag. The role of the government as a producer, the government has constraints or problems with the amount of rice stock, the lack of stock it has means that the efforts made do not run optimally so that it has not been able to stabilize or withstand the increase in rice prices. The role of the government as a consumer, the government has difficulty absorbing local rice and imported rice, HPP regulations seem to make it difficult for the government because prices at the milled farmer level are high above HPP and importing countries impose export restrictions and some even stock exports.

Penentuan Rute Optimal dan Alokasi Kendaraan dalam Pendistribusian Beras di Provinsi Kalimantan Tengah

Central Kalimantan is one of the most populous provinces in Indonesia where rice has the greatest impact on the calculation of the poverty line. As of August 2022, 0.44 percent of the inflation in Palangkaraya is attributable to rice, which can contribute to an increase in the MPP rate. Margin perdagangan dan pengangkutan (MPP) is a percentage that indicates the increase in rice prices from producers to final consumers, taking into account transportation costs. The objective of this paper is to determine the optimal route and allocation of each vehicle fleet serving each depot, given several constraints using an open-source spreadsheet solver. Vehicle Routing Problem (VRP) is one of the most frequently encountered optimization problems in logistics. In this instance, we optimize the paddy distribution fleet in Central Kalimantan using the VRP method. The results of the data processing led to the choice of the best route that could adhere to all the limitations, demonstrating that the VRP spreadsheet solver could be used for the case in this study. Based on the computations of 13 vehicles, hereinafter referred to as vehicle (V) which serves 100 Customers, it is obtained that V1 will serve 4 Customers, V2 will serve 5 Customers, V3 will serve 26 Customers, V4 will serve 5 Customers, V5 will serve 5 Customers, V6 will serve 6 Customers, V7 serves 3 Customers, V8 serves 4 Customers, V9 serves 14 Customers, V10 serves 5 Customers, V11 serves 3 Customers, V12 serves 11 Customers, and V13 serves 9 Customers.

ANALISIS PENGARUH PANDEMI COVID-19 TERHADAP HARGA BERAS PROVINSI DI PULAU JAWA

The Covid-19 pandemic has impacted several sectors in Indonesia, but the agricultural sector continues to grow amid the weakening national economy. This study aims to analyze the fluctuations in the price of provincial rice in Java before and during Covid-19 and the factors that affect the price of provincial rice in Java using panel data. The results showed that the Covid-19 pandemic affected rice prices and resulted in fluctuations in provincial rice prices on the island of Java. Provincial rice prices in Java are also influenced by international rice prices, HPP and per capita consumption, while rice production has a negative effect on rice prices. In the short and long term, every increase in international rice prices, per capita consumption, HPP, and cases of Covid-19 will increase the price of rice, while every increase in rice production will reduce the price of provincial rice on the island of Java.

A simulation of increasing rice price toward the disparity of income distribution: An evidence from Indonesia

PurposeConsidering the significance of rice as a staple food in Indonesia, this study aims to analyze the impact of various factors, i.e., domestic price production level, exchange rate, international rice price, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita, on domestic rice prices and the resultant disparity in income distribution and inequality in the country. MethodsA simulation analysis has been performed to assess the impact of the above-mentioned factors on rice prices and the resultant income disparity in Indonesia. For that, input data from 2006 to 2020 was used to depict the change in domestic rice prices from 2021 to 2026 due to independent variables changes. FindingsResults revealed that a regular increase in rice production decreases rice prices in the longer term. Besides, a rise in the exchange rate decreases rice prices, and a fall in the exchange rate results in higher rice prices. Results also showed the insignificant impact of international rice prices on domestic rice prices in Indonesia. In contrast, an increase in per capita income reflected an increase in rice prices. Moreover, the result of the study exemplifies that the expenditure for rice has a very low elasticity (0.0975) compared to the expenditure on non-rice food (0.4096). More than half of the total household expenditure (50.71%) is spent on food, while the rest (49.29%) is used for non-food. The increase in rice prices affects the rise of income amongst farmers and declines the income of non-farmers. Hence it affects the decline of disparity in households' income distribution. Originality/valueThis study adds value to the existing literature with several implications for practitioners, policymakers, and government organizations to take necessary measures to stabilize rice prices and income distribution among the various income groups.

Consumer satisfaction with local rice attributes and willingness to pay for improvement by internal migrants and natives in urban Ghana

PurposeThis study investigated consumers' satisfaction with local rice attributes and willingness to pay (WTP) for improvement by internal migrants and natives in urban Ghana.Design/methodology/approachPrimary data was sourced from 304 urban consumers and ordered probit regression was employed.FindingsUrban consumers had higher satisfaction with imported rice attributes than local rice. Consumers were unsatisfied with aroma, availability/accessibility, cleanliness, packaging, grain appearance, measurement standard, and taste of local rice. Moreover, 90% were willing to pay higher prices for local rice with improved attributes and WTP was higher among natives than migrants. Averagely, urban consumers are willing to pay 51% increase in market price of local rice if attributes were improved. Natives, males, educated, high-income, local rice consumption, shopping from supermarkets, trust in certification bodies, and dissatisfaction with local rice attributes boost WTP for improved local rice attributes.Research limitations/implicationsThere is a great market potential for local rice with improved attributes. Thus, there should be an improvement in local rice attributes and sold at moderate price and in supermarkets.Originality/valueWe compared consumers' satisfaction and WTP for improved local rice attributes among internal migrants and natives in urban Ghana.

Estimating food demand and the impact of market shocks on food expenditures: The case for the Philippines and missing price data

Abstract This study uses the Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System to estimate food demand among Filipino households. Our study uses the recently released 2018 Family Income and Expenditure Survey and the Stone-Lewbel price index in the absence of price data on food groups. Results show that demand for rice with respect to prices and expenditures is relatively inelastic compared with that for other food groups. The income elasticity for rice is inelastic (0.26), slightly higher than the income elasticity for sugar. Demand for rice is generally less elastic for higher-income Filipinos and families residing in urban areas than for their counterparts. The findings reveal that, in the short term, a 15 per cent decrease in income or a 20 per cent increase in rice prices induces families to spend more of their income on rice at the expense of other cereals, meat, fish, and other food groups. Income and rice price shocks have differential impacts on low-income and high-income Filipino families. Policymakers may be able to moderate the food price impacts of market shocks through targeted interventions and programs that improve the accessibility to and availability of quality agri-fishery products.

Rice Marketing Systems Model to Strengthen Institutional of Rice Marketing in Lampung Province Indonesia

A marketing system is efficient if it is able to deliver production results to consumers at the lowest possible cost and relatively even margins to the actors involved. But in reality, when production is in surplus while demand is not, it causes the market mechanism to produce price distortions. This study aims to analyze the rice marketing system with an organizational approach and market demand (market trends, market demand functions, and price elasticity). The data is obtained from the relevant authorities as well as from observations and internet searches. The results showed that the marketing actors for unhusked rice/rice consisted of collectors, rice millers, inter-district traders, and retailers where almost half of the profits were enjoyed by rice mills. The results of the market demand function analysis show that rice consumption will tend to decrease if there is an increase in rice prices. Consumers will divert some of their consumption expenditure on rice substitute products. The results of market trend analysis show that rice consumption has a positive trend over time. Keywords: Market Demand, Market Trends, Organizational Approach, Price Elasticity, Rice Marketing System.

Intervention on biofuels and the Japan WTO rice stock to stabilise world food prices

On international markets, prices of grains (wheat, maize) and vegetable oils (rapeseed, sunflower, soybean, palm) have been rising since mid-2020. Biofuels play a major part in this increase, and the war in Ukraine, which began in February 2022, has exacerbated it. Biofuels in fact link the price of these commodities to that of crude oil: when the crude oil price rises, the biofuels industry increases its demand for maize and vegetable oils. Temporarily limiting this industrial usage would reduce the price of these commodities. Moreover, in case of an increase in rice prices, one solution would be to authorise Japan to export the rice stock it has built up under World Trade Organization (WTO) rules. In order to prevent future crises, these two levers could be activated as soon as world prices of these agricultural commodities reach predetermined levels.

The Long Run Impact of a Macroeconomic Crisis on Schooling Outcomes

The effect of an aggregate economic shock on human capital formation is theoretically ambiguous. When real wages fall during a recession, households face both a drop in their real incomes, as well as lower wages in available jobs. The impacts, particularly in the long run, on educational attainment and labour market outcomes is uncertain. I exploit the heterogeneous impact of an economic recession as measured by the variation in rice price increases to find that, for net consumers of rice, higher rice price increases are associated with small declines in school participation for younger children, who have limited labour market opportunities, and large declines in employment for older children, who face higher opportunity costs of schooling. The results are reversed for net producers of rice. The fall in wages protects older children from suffering adverse long-run consequences to their educational attainment. However, children who face higher wages during critical junctures in their schooling are more likely to start working and face reductions in human capital investments. These differences in investments have significant long-term effects on later-life income, employment status and sector of employment.

Impacts of COVID-19 induced income and rice price shocks on household welfare in Papua New Guinea: Household model estimates.

Concerns over the potential effects of the COVID‐19 pandemic have led to trade restrictions by major rice exporters, contributing to an average 25% increase in Thai and Vietnamese rice export prices between December 2019 and March–September 2020. This article assesses the consequences of these rice price increases in Papua New Guinea (PNG), where 99% of rice is imported. Utilizing data from a PNG 2018 rural household survey along with earlier national household survey data, we examine rice consumption patterns in PNG and estimate demand parameters for urban and rural households. Model simulations indicate that a 25% rise in the world price of rice would reduce total rice consumption in PNG by 14% and reduce rice consumption of the poor (bottom 40% of total household expenditure distribution) by 15%. Including the effects of a possible 12% decrease in household incomes because of the COVID‐19 related economic slowdown, rice consumption of the urban and rural poor fall by 20% and 17%, respectively. Maintaining functioning domestic supply chains of key staple goods is critical to mitigating the effects of global rice price increases, allowing urban households to increase their consumption of locally produced staples.

Food price volatility and household food security: Evidence from Nigeria

Food prices vary seasonally, particularly in areas with rainfed agricultural production and imperfect markets, and are also subject to volatility arising from macroeconomic and climatic shocks, such as global supply shocks and abrupt policy changes. The specific nature of these relationships remains a pressing empirical question, particularly in contexts where food insecurity is prevalent, prices are subject to diverse sources of variation, and governments are seeking policy options to reduce price volatility. We use panel data from Nigeria to investigate the effects of non-seasonal food price volatility, in particular unexpected increases in prices, on household food security. Accounting for substitution effects and focusing on both domestic and imported rice—key components of the Nigerian diet—we find that imported rice price increases are damaging to both dietary diversity (downward impact) and the food share of consumption expenditure (upward impact), while impacts of domestic rice price volatility are ambiguous. We find differential effects by wealth status that vary across indicators of food security: an increase in the price of imported rice increases food share more among poor households than rich households, and decreases dietary diversity more among rich households than poor households. Our findings point toward the importance of improving food security by mitigating the effects of global shocks on imported food prices, and also highlight the data challenges and complexity involved in developing precise answers to these important policy questions.

THE PRICE CHANGES OF BASIC NEEDS ON THE POVERTY LEVEL

Poverty is often identified in developing countries. One measure of poverty is the ability to fulfill basic needs, particularly food needs. On the other hand, food needs are very sensitive to changes in inflation. The more fluctuating inflation will change the prices of necessities, which then exacerbate poverty conditions. Using time-series data for the period 2005-2016 and using the Ordinary Least Square method, this study examines the impact of changes in the prices of necessities on poverty levels in North Sumatra. The results showed that the increase in rice prices, sugar, cooking oil, beef, and salt had an impact on the poverty level in North Sumatra, while the increase in the price of eggs and kerosene was the opposite. The increase in rice prices significantly impacted all of the commodities studied than for other commodities, followed by salt, sugar, beef, and cooking oil. Changes in the ability to consume basic needs indicate a decrease in people's purchasing power. Further, this indicates that the change in consumption of these various commodities also means that the poverty rate tends to increase.

Impact of climate change on food security of small islands: The case of Mauritius

This paper studies the implications of high food prices resulting from climate change on food security in small islands, using Mauritius as a case‐study. Climate change may adversely impact prices of agricultural commodities. The study derives and calculates the government costs and the welfare effects of an increase in the world price of rice on consumers in Mauritius. Using an equilibrium displacement model, this study finds that an increase in the price of rice by 35%, as predicted by the literature on climate change and rice prices, will result in an increase of 28.8% in government spending, representing the additional outlays to support the subsidy scheme for food security. Using 2012 as the baseline, the welfare analysis results suggest that consumer surplus for ration rice consumers increases by 626 million Mauritian Rupees (MUR) or US$18 million while consumer surplus decreases by MUR454 million (US$13 million) for basmati rice consumers.