Increase In Incidence Of Cirrhosis Research Articles

A nationwide population-based prospective study of cirrhosis in Iceland

Background & AimsThe incidence of cirrhosis in Iceland has been the lowest in the world with only 3 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. Alcohol consumption has almost doubled in Iceland from 1980 to 2016. Obesity has also risen and hepatitis C virus has spread among people who inject drugs in Iceland. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of these risk factors on the incidence and aetiology of cirrhosis in Iceland. MethodsThe study included all patients diagnosed with cirrhosis for the first time during 2010–2015. Diagnosis was based on liver histology or 2 of 4 criteria: cirrhosis on imaging, ascites, varices, and/or elevated INR. ResultsOverall, 157 patients were diagnosed, 105 (67%) males, mean age 61 years. The overall incidence was 9.7 cases per 100,000 inhabitants annually. Alcohol was the only underlying cause in 48/157 (31%), non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in 34/157(22%), and alcohol and hepatitis C together in 23/157(15%) were the most common causes. Only 6% of patients had an unknown cause of cirrhosis. Upon diagnosis, the median model for end-stage liver disease score was 11 (IQR 8–15), 53% were of Child-Pugh class A whereas 61 (39%) had ascites, 11% encephalopathy, and 8% variceal bleeding. In all, 25% of deaths were from HCC and 25% from liver failure. ConclusionA major increase in incidence of cirrhosis has occurred in Iceland associated with increases in alcohol consumption, obesity, and hepatitis C. In a high proportion NAFLD was the aetiology and very few had unknown cause of cirrhosis. The highest death rate was from HCC. Lay summaryIn a nationwide population-based study from Iceland, including all patients diagnosed with cirrhosis of the liver over a period of 5 years, we found the incidence of new cases had increased 3-fold compared with a previous study 20 years ago. The increase is attributable to increased alcohol consumption, an epidemic of diabetes and obesity, and infection with the hepatitis C virus. Furthermore, we found that with thorough investigations, a specific cause for cirrhosis could be found in 94% of patients. Patients with cirrhosis frequently die of liver cancer and other complications related to their liver disease.

Incidence of cirrhosis in young birth cohorts in Canada from 1997 to 2016: a retrospective population-based study

Recent data show that the prevalence of chronic liver disease and cirrhosis is increasing in adolescents and young adults in the USA. We aimed to describe the epidemiology of cirrhosis using an age-period-cohort approach to define birth-cohort effects on the incidence of cirrhosis in Ontario, Canada. We did a retrospective population-based cohort study in Ontario, Canada, using linked administrative health data from the databases of ICES, formerly the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences. Patients aged at least 18 years with cirrhosis were identified by use of a validated case definition (defined as at least one inpatient or outpatient visit with a diagnosis of cirrhosis or oesophageal varices without bleeding). We calculated annual standardised incidence and prevalence in the general population. We used an age-period-cohort approach to assess the independent association between birth cohort and incidence of cirrhosis in men and women. Between Jan 1, 1997, and Dec 31, 2016, 165 979 individuals with cirrhosis were identified. The age-standardised incidence increased over the study (from 70·6 per 100 000 person-years in 1997 to 89·6 per 100 000 person-years in 2016) as did the prevalence (from 0·42% in 1997 to 0·84% in 2016). Using age-period-cohort modelling and the median birth year as the reference, the incidence of cirrhosis was higher in participants born in 1980 (incidence rate ratio 1·55, 95% CI 1·50-1·59, p<0·0001); and in participants born in 1990 (2·16, 95% CI 2·06-2·27, p<0·0001) compared with a person of the same age born in 1951. The increase in incidence of cirrhosis was greater in women than in men (eg, women born in 1990: 2·60, 95% CI 2·41-2·79; men born in 1990: 1·98, 1·85-2·12). The incidence of cirrhosis has increased over the past two decades, and more so in younger birth cohorts and in women. Future studies to define the cause and natural history of cirrhosis in these groups are essential to develop strategies that could reverse these trends for future generations. Southeastern Ontario Academic Medical Association New Clinician Scientist Award; American Association for the Study of Liver Disease (AASLD) Foundation Clinical, Translational and Outcomes Research Award in Liver Disease (JAF).

Long-term change in incidence and risk factors of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma in Crete, Greece: a 25-year study.

BackgroundNo sequential long-term data exist for Greece on the etiological evolution and incidence of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Therefore, we studied their etiological evolution over a period of 25 years in the island of Crete.MethodsWe studied 812 cases of cirrhosis (561 male, median age 69 years) and 321 cases of hepatocellular carcinoma (234 male, median age 70 years) from the database of our Center. Cases were classified into five-year periods according to incidence and etiology (hepatitis B, hepatitis C, alcohol, alcohol plus viral, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease).ResultsOverall, there was an increase in the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma. A significant fourfold reduction in the incidence of hepatitis C-related cirrhosis was observed, which was degraded from first to third place as a risk factor for cirrhosis. Alcohol gradually became the first risk factor in cirrhosis (1990-94: 36.1%, 2010-14: 52.3%) and carcinoma, while the steepest increase in incidence of cirrhosis and carcinoma was associated with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.ConclusionsThe incidence of cirrhosis remained constant over the years, but the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma increased during the last decade. Risk factors for cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma have changed over the past 25 years in Crete. The initial high hepatitis C virus association has significantly decreased, with alcohol now ranking first among risk factors. Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease is continually increasing and is a prominent risk factor for cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma.

Incidence and prevalence of cirrhosis in the United Kingdom, 1992–2001: A general population-based study

To determine the incidence and prevalence of cirrhosis in the United Kingdom. We identified patients aged 25 or over with cirrhosis, oesophageal varices or portal hypertension from the UK General Practice Research Database between 1992 and 2001. We measured incidence rates by sex, year and aetiology, incidence rate ratios and estimated prevalence figures. Three thousand three hundred and sixty cases of cirrhosis were identified. Crude incidence was 14.55 per 100,000 person years increasing from 12.05 to 16.99 per 100,000 person years from 1992 to 2001. Incidence was over 50% higher in men compared with women (adjusted incidence rate ratio 1.52 (95%CI [1.42-1.63])). A statistically significant increase in incidence of both alcoholic cirrhosis and non-alcohol-related cirrhosis was seen in men and women. Prevalence of cirrhosis was an estimated 76.3 per 100,000 population aged over 25 in mid-2001. There was a 45% increase in the incidence of cirrhosis during the decade 1992-2001 in the UK and a 68% increase in prevalence. Cirrhosis occurred more commonly and at younger ages in men than women. Cirrhosis represents a growing burden of morbidity and mortality in the UK, with an estimated 30,000 people living with cirrhosis and at least 7000 new cases being diagnosed each year.

Hepatic cirrhosis: A clinico-pathological review of 520 cases

A clinico-pathological review of 520 patients with hepatic cirrhosis coming to necropsy at the Western Infirmary, Glasgow over the period 1900-69 is reported. There has been an overall increase in incidence of cirrhosis since the 1940s, and this has been largely due to a rise in female incidence. A similar trend in the period 1940-71 has been confirmed at a national level in data abstracted from the Annual Reports of the Registrar General for Scotland. The mean age at death has risen for both sexes. Aetiologically, the cirrhosis was alcoholic in 18.5%, posticteric in 10.4%, cryptogenic in 61.9%, and haemochromatosis was diagnosed in 7.5%. Primary malignant tumours of liver supervened in 12.3%. The causes of death and the morphological patterns of the cirrhosis are reviewed.