Adiponectin, an adipokine with anti-inflammatory properties, has been implicated in various liver diseases. This study aimed to elucidate the prognostic value of serum adiponectin levels in critically ill patients with liver disease. This observational study included 161 critically ill patients admitted to the medical ICU of RWTH Aachen University Hospital due to acute liver failure or decompensated advanced chronic liver disease. Serum adiponectin levels were measured at ICU admission and after 48 h. Clinical parameters and outcomes, including transplant-free survival, were analyzed. Serum adiponectin concentrations were significantly elevated compared to healthy controls (p < 0.001). Levels were particularly high in patients with sepsis compared to those with gastrointestinal bleeding as the precipitating factor of acute decompensation (p = 0.045) and were higher in female patients (p = 0.023). Adiponectin concentrations correlated with the Model of End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and Child-Pugh score. Multivariate analysis confirmed a significant correlation with total bilirubin (r = 0.292, p < 0.001) and serum sodium (r = -0.265, p = 0.028). Higher adiponectin concentrations were associated with a trend towards poorer 30- and 180-day survival. Cox regression analysis identified a significant association between increased adiponectin concentration and reduced transplant-free survival (p = 0.037), supported by a Kaplan-Meier analysis using a cutoff of 119 ng/mL (log-rank 5.145, p = 0.023). Elevated serum adiponectin concentrations are associated with liver dysfunction and poor outcomes in critically ill patients. Higher adiponectin levels at ICU admission may predict poorer transplant-free survival. Further research in larger, multicenter cohorts is warranted to validate these findings and explore the underlying mechanisms.
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