Incident Pancreatic Cancer Cases Research Articles

Epidemiology and Socioeconomic Impact of Pancreatic Cancer: An Analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 1990-2019.

The aim of this study is to estimate the global burden of pancreatic cancer from 1990 to 2019. We reconstructed the Global Burden of Diseases (GBD) study results for pancreatic cancer across 204 countries and territories. Our study generated estimates for key disease burden indicators, including incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and cost. Linear regression analysis of the natural logarithm of age-standardized outcomes was used to calculate annual percent change. In 2019, there were a total of 530,296 incident and 442,101 prevalent cases of pancreatic cancer, resulting in 531,107 deaths and 11.5 million DALYs lost. The age-standardized incidence and prevalence of pancreatic cancer has increased from 5.22 (95% CI 4.97-5.40) to 6.57 (CI 6.00-7.09) per 100,000 people per year, and 4.1 (95% CI 3.95-4.26) to 5.4 (CI 4.96-5.87), respectively. This equated to 10 million (95% CI 9.5 to 10.4 million) incident cases of pancreatic cancer. The number of DALYs lost as a result of pancreatic cancer was 225 million years (95% CI 216-234 million years). Mortality from pancreatic cancer increased over the study period from 3.7 (95% CI 3.54-3.83) to 6.9 (95% CI 6.36-7.32). Incidence, prevalence, DALYs, and mortality were higher in countries with a higher socio-demographic index. Pancreatic cancer is rising around the world and is associated with a high economic burden. Programs aimed at reducing modifiable risk factors are needed.

Abstract A015: Impact of healthy lifestyles and polygenic risk scores on pancreatic cancer risk: The Multiethnic Cohort Study

Abstract Background: Healthy lifestyles have been observed to reduce the risk of pancreatic cancer. However, it is unknown whether this protective impact varies among individuals with different levels of genetic susceptibility for pancreatic cancer. Methods: We investigated the association between healthy lifestyles, genetic risk, and pancreatic cancer incidence in 70,780 participants (32,783 males, 37,907 females) from the Multiethnic Cohort Study (MEC), a prospective cohort of White, African American, Native Hawaiian, Japanese American, and Latino men and women. We calculated a healthy lifestyle factor score (HLFS) based on smoking status, alcohol intake, body mass index and physical activity. We also estimated genetic risk using an established polygenic risk score (PRS) of 49 pancreatic cancer risk variants. Cox regression was used to assess the independent and joint associations of the HLFS (analyzed as quintiles) and PRS (analyzed as quintiles and high/low categories) with pancreatic cancer risk. Models were adjusted for age at blood draw, sex, race, family history of pancreatic cancer, and in the genetic analyses, the first ten principal components to account for population stratification. Results: The analytical cohort was comprised of 23,643 (33.4%) Japanese Americans, 16,816 (23.8%) Latinos, 14,305 (20.2%) Whites, 10,645 (15.0%) African Americans, and 5,371 (7.6%) Native Hawaiians. There were 721 incident cases of pancreatic cancer from an average follow-up period of 13.7 (SD 4.8) years. Higher levels of the PRS were associated with a 25-62% increase in pancreatic cancer risk, compared to the first PRS quintile. These elevated risks were borderline significant for quintile 2 (HR 1.25, 95% CI 0.97-1.61) and statistically significant for quintile 3 (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.05-1.73), quintile 4 (HR 1.46, 95% CI 1.15-1.87), and quintile 5 (HR 1.62, 95% CI 1.27-2.06). For the HLFS, higher quintiles were associated with a 10-27% decreased risk of pancreatic cancer, compared to the lowest quintile, but this was only statistically significant for the highest quintile (HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.56-0.94). When evaluating the HLFS by levels of the PRS (low 0-50% vs. high 50-100%), the association between the highest HLFS quintile and pancreatic cancer was more pronounced among those in the high PRS group (HR 0.64, 95% CI 0.45-0.91), compared to those in the low PRS group (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.55-1.18). However, this difference in effect by PRS levels was not statistically significant (p-interaction=0.43). Conclusions: Our study demonstrates that including information on healthy lifestyles and genetic risk may improve the risk stratification of pancreatic cancer for multiethnic populations. In addition, it is possible that healthy lifestyles could provide more benefit to individuals at higher genetic risk. Citation Format: Brian Huang, Adelynn Paik, David Bogumil, Fei Chen, Peggy Wan, Lynne Wilkens, Loic Le Marchand, David Conti, Christopher Haiman, Veronica Wendy Setiawan. Impact of healthy lifestyles and polygenic risk scores on pancreatic cancer risk: The Multiethnic Cohort Study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Special Conference in Cancer Research: Pancreatic Cancer; 2023 Sep 27-30; Boston, Massachusetts. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(2 Suppl):Abstract nr A015.

Excess pancreatic cancer risk due to smoking and modifying effect of quitting smoking: The Multiethnic Cohort Study

PurposeRisk factors for pancreatic cancer include racial/ethnic disparities and smoking. However, risk trajectories by smoking history and race/ethnicity are unknown. We examined the association of smoking with pancreatic cancer by race/ethnicity to generate age-specific incidence estimates by smoking history.MethodsWe modeled pancreatic cancer incidence by race/ethnicity, age, pack-years, and years-quit using an excess relative risk model for 182,011 Multiethnic Cohort participants. We tested heterogeneity of smoking variables and pancreatic cancer by race/ethnicity and predicted incidence by smoking history.ResultsWe identified 1,831 incident pancreatic cancer cases over an average 19.3 years of follow-up. Associations of pack-years (p interaction by race/ethnicity = 0.41) and years-quit (p interaction = 0.83) with pancreatic cancer did not differ by race/ethnicity. Fifty pack-years smoked was associated with 91% increased risk (95% CI 54%, 127%) relative to never smokers in the combined sample. Every year quit corresponded to 9% decreased excess risk (95% CI 2%, 15%) from pack-years smoked. Differences in baseline pancreatic cancer risk across racial/ethnic groups (p < 0.001) translated to large differences in risk for smokers at older ages across racial/ethnic groups (65–122 cases per 100,000 at age 70).ConclusionSmoking pack-years were positively associated with elevated pancreatic cancer risk. Predicted risk trajectories showed a high impact of smoking cessation at < 65 years. Although we did not identify significant heterogeneity in the association of pack-years or years quit with pancreatic cancer risk, current smoker risk varied greatly by race/ethnicity in later life due to large differences in baseline risk.

Diabetes and pancreatic cancer risk in a multiracial cohort.

To determine the relationship of diabetes with pancreatic cancer incidence among African American and Whites of similar socio-economic status. Using the Southern Community Cohort Study, we conducted a follow-up during 2002-2015 of pancreatic cancer incidence of 73,378 mostly low-income participants aged 40-79 years; 15,913 reported diabetes at baseline. Multivariable Cox analysis controlling for sex, family history of pancreatic cancer, BMI, smoking status, alcohol consumption, education, income and other important covariates, and with age as the timescale was used. Totally, 265 incident pancreatic cancer cases were observed. Pancreatic cancer risk was increased among those with diabetes (HR 1.54, CI 1.16-2.05), with similar increases among African Americans (HR 1.51, CI 1.08-2.11) and Whites (HR 1.78, CI 1.00-3.16). No trend in risk was observed for diabetes duration among those with diabetes, with HRs of 1.39 (0.91-2.11), 2.31 (1.51-3.54) and 1.23 (0.80-1.89) for <5, 5-9 and 10+ years duration, respectively. African Americans were at increased risk of pancreatic cancer (HR = 1.40, 95% CI 1.05-1.87), which persisted after adjusting for diabetes (HR 1.36, CI 1.02-1.81). The effect sizes for other pancreatic cancer risk factors with pancreatic cancer were similar by diabetes status, although a stronger association with low BMI was evident among those with diabetes. Diabetes increases pancreatic cancer risk similarly among African Americans and Whites in this Southern U.S.

Major dietary patterns in the United Kingdom Women's Cohort Study showed no evidence of prospective association with pancreatic cancer risk

Diet is a modifiable risk factor for pancreatic cancer. We hypothesized that specific dietary patterns would increase/decrease pancreatic cancer risk. We evaluated the association of dietary patterns with pancreatic cancer risk in the UK Women's Cohort Study. Dietary patterns were assessed at enrollment using: (1) self-reported practice of vegan/vegetarian dietary habits, (2) diet quality indices (World Health Organization Healthy Diet Indicator and Mediterranean Diet Score), and (3) principal component analysis-derived dietary patterns. The association of dietary patterns with pancreatic cancer incidence was quantified using Cox regression survival analysis. Over a median follow-up of 19 years of 35,365 respondents, there were 136 incident cases of pancreatic cancer. No association between dietary habits/quality and pancreatic cancer incidence was evident after adjustments (hazard ratio (95% confidence interval): self-reported omnivores vs vegan/vegetarian dietary habit: 1.13 (0.73-1.76); per-unit increase in World Health Organization Healthy Diet Indicator scores: 0.99 (0.91-1.09); per-unit increase in Mediterranean Diet Score: 0.92 (0.83-1.02). Similarly, no association of principal component analysis-derived dietary patterns with pancreatic cancer risk was evident ("prudent:" 1.02 [0.94-1.10]; ``meat-based:'' 1.00 [0.92-1.09]; ``fast-food, sugar-sweetened beverages, and carbohydrate-rich snacks:'' 0.96 [0.86-1.07]; ``cereal and dairy-rich:'' 1.04 [0.94-1.16], and ``low-diversity and lowfat:'' 1.00 [0.89-1.13]). In this prospective cohort of women, several major dietary patterns were of poor quality. There was no evidence of a prospective association between any of the dietary patterns explored and pancreatic cancer incidence.

External validation of genetically predicted protein biomarkers for pancreatic cancer risk using aptamer-based plasma levels: A prospective analysis in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study.

Genetically predicted proteins have been associated with pancreatic cancer risk previously. We aimed to externally validate the associations of 53 candidate proteins with pancreatic cancer risk using directly measured, prediagnostic levels. We conducted a prospective cohort study of 10 355 US Black and White men and women in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. Aptamer-based plasma proteomic profiling was previously performed using blood collected in 1993 to 1995, from which the proteins were selected. By 2015 (median: 20 years), 93 incident pancreatic cancer cases were ascertained. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for protein tertiles, and adjust for age, race, and known risk factors. Of the 53 proteins, three were statistically significantly, positively associated with risk-GLCE (tertile 3 vs 1: HR = 1.88, 95% CI: 1.12-3.13; P-trend = 0.01), GOLM1 (aptamer 1: HR = 1.98, 95% CI: 1.16-3.37; P-trend = 0.01; aptamer 2: HR = 1.86, 95% CI: 1.07-3.24; P-trend = 0.05), and QSOX2 (HR = 1.96, 95% CI: 1.09-3.58; P-trend = 0.05); two were inversely associated-F177A (HR = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.35-1.00; P-trend = 0.05) and LIFsR (HR = 0.55, 95% CI: 0.32-0.93; P-trend = 0.03); and one showed a statistically significant lower risk in the middle tertile-endoglin (HR = 0.50, 95% CI: 0.29-0.86); by chance, we expected significant associations for 2.65 proteins. FAM3D, IP10, sTie-1 (positive); SEM6A and JAG1 (inverse) were suggestively associated with risk. Of these 11, 10 proteins-endoglin, FAM3D, F177A, GLCE, GOLM1, JAG1, LIFsR, QSOX2, SEM6A and sTie-1-were consistent in direction of association with the discovery studies. This prospective study validated or supports 10 proteins as associated with pancreatic cancer risk.

Dietary Inflammatory Index, Alternative Healthy Eating Index-2010, Mediterranean Diet Score and the risk of pancreatic cancer

BackgroundPrevious studies of dietary patterns and pancreatic cancer risk have been inconclusive; we aimed to investigate the association of Mediterranean Diet Score (MDS), Alternative Healthy Eating Index-2010 (AHEI-2010), and Dietary Inflammatory Index (DII®) with risk of pancreatic cancer. MethodsWe used data from the Melbourne Collaborative Cohort Study including 33,690 men and women aged 40–69 years at recruitment in 1990–1994. A total of 258 incident cases of pancreatic cancer was identified over an average of 23.7 years of follow-up. Hazard ratios (HR) were estimated using Cox regression, with age as the underlying time metric, adjusting for potential confounders including sex, height, country of birth, education, socio-economic position, physical activity, energy intake, smoking status, pack-years smoking, years since quitting smoking, and alcohol intake. ResultsA healthier diet as assessed by the AHEI-2010 was associated with a lower risk of pancreatic cancer [HRQuartile4 vs Quartile1 = 0.58; 95%CI 0.40 – 0.85; p for trend 0.003]. Weaker but consistent evidence was observed for the other indexes [DII® HRQuartile4 vs Quartile1 = 1.30; 95%CI 0.82 – 2.06; p for trend 0.1], [MDS HRCategory3 vs Category1 = 0.79; 95%CI 0.49 – 1.26; p for trend 0.06]. ConclusionAdherence to a healthier diet, as assessed by the AHEI-2010, may reduce the risk of pancreatic cancer.

Impact of Microscopic Confirmation on Therapeutic Management of Pancreatic Cancer Patients: Lessons from an Italian Regional Tumor Registry.

Incidence of pancreatic cancer (PC) is increasing worldwide and is set to become the second leading cause of cancer-related death in 2040 with a poor 5-year overall survival (OS). The aim of this study was to analyze the impact of microscopic diagnosis of PC (MiDPC) on diagnostic-therapeutic management and outcome. The Veneto region (north-eastern Italy) has been covered by a cancer registry (CR) since 1987. Clinical and oncological data about all cases of PC in the Veneto region from 1987 were extracted from the Veneto CR database. In 2018, 1340 incident cases of PC in the Veneto population were registered (4.1% of all malignant tumors), with an increasing trend in females and stable incidence in males. Five-year OS in patients with PC was 8%. The percentage of MiDPC increased from 44% in 2010 to 60% in 2018 (p = 0.001). MiDPC was higher among patients aged &lt; 75 years old (84.4%) compared to those aged ≥75 years old (38.9%), p = 0.001. Between 2010 and 2018, a significant increase in biopsy on the primary neoplasm (24.9% vs. 13%, p &lt; 0.001) was reported. Patients with MiDPC had higher 5-year survival than patients with no MiDPC (12.9% vs. 1.2%, p &lt; 0.001). The implementation of MiDPC was essential to improve diagnostic-therapeutic pathways and consequently the survival of PC patients.

Diet Quality and Pancreatic Cancer Incidence in the Multiethnic Cohort.

Data on diet quality and pancreatic cancer are limited. We examined the relationship between diet quality, assessed by the Healthy Eating Index-2015 (HEI-2015), the Alternative Healthy Eating Index-2010 (AHEI-2010), the alternate Mediterranean Diet (aMED) score, the Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension (DASH) score and the energy-adjusted Dietary Inflammatory Index (E-DII), and pancreatic cancer incidence in the Multiethnic Cohort Study. Diet quality scores were calculated from a validated food frequency questionnaire administered at baseline. Cox models were used to calculate HR and 95% confidence intervals (CI) adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, diabetes, family history of pancreatic cancer, physical activity, smoking variables, total energy intake, body mass index (BMI), and alcohol consumption. Stratified analyses by sex, race/ethnicity, smoking status, and BMI were conducted. Over an average follow-up of 19.3 years, 1,779 incident pancreatic cancer cases were identified among 177,313 participants (average age of 60.2 years at baseline, 1993-1996). Overall, we did not observe associations between the dietary pattern scores and pancreatic cancer (aMED: 0.98; 95% CI, 0.83-1.16; HEI-2015: 1.03; 95% CI, 0.88-1.21; AHEI-2010: 1.03; 95% CI, 0.88-1.20; DASH: 0.92; 95% CI, 0.79-1.08; E-DII: 1.05; 95% CI, 0.89-1.23). An inverse association was observed with DASH for ever smokers (HR, 0.75; 0.61-0.93), but not for nonsmokers (HR, 1.05; 0.83-1.32). The DASH diet showed an inverse association with pancreatic cancer among ever smokers, but does not show a protective association overall. Modifiable measures are needed to reduce pancreatic cancer burden in these high-risk populations; our study adds to the discussion of the benefit of dietary changes.

Smoking and pancreatic cancer: a sex-specific analysis in the Multiethnic Cohort study

PurposeTo examine whether the detrimental smoking-related association with pancreatic cancer (PC) is the same for women as for men.MethodsWe analyzed data from 192,035 participants aged 45–75 years, enrolled in the Multiethnic Cohort study (MEC) in 1993–1996. We identified PC cases via linkage to the Hawaii and California Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program cancer registries through December 2017.ResultsDuring a mean follow-up of 19.2 years, we identified 1,936 incident PC cases. Women smokers smoked on average less than men smokers. In multivariate Cox regression models, as compared with sex-specific never smokers, current smokers had a similar elevated risk of PC for women, hazard ratio (HR) 1.49 (95% CI 1.24, 1.79) and as for men, HR 1.48 (95% CI 1.22, 1.79) (pheterogeneity: 0.79). Former smokers showed a decrease in risk of PC for men within 5 years, HR 0.74 (95% CI 0.57, 0.97) and for women within 10 years after quitting, HR 0.70 (95% CI 0.50, 0.96), compared with their sex-specific current smokers. Both sexes showed a consistent, strong, positive dose–response association with PC for the four measures (age at initiation, duration, number of cigarettes per day, number of pack-years) of smoking exposure among current smokers and an inverse association for years of quitting and age at smoking cessation among former smokers (all ptrend’s < 0.001).ConclusionAlthough MEC women smoke on average less than their men counterparts, the smoking-related increase in PC risk and the benefits of cessation seem to be of similar magnitudes for women as for men.

Prediagnostic BMI trajectories in relation to pancreatic cancer risk in the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial.

It remains elusive whether prediagnostic BMI trajectory is associated with pancreatic cancer. This study investigated this question among 145,489 participants who gave rise to 696 incident cases of pancreatic cancer over a median follow-up of 12 years in the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian (PLCO) Cancer Screening Trial. At baseline, participants were asked to recall their weight at ages 20, 50, and 55 to 74 years (at enrollment), as well as their height. At age 50 years, people with obesity had a significantly increased risk of pancreatic cancer compared with those with a normal weight after adjustment for confounders (hazard ratio [95% CI]: 1.27 [1.01-1.60]). Individuals who had overweight at age 20 years experienced a marginally significant elevated risk of pancreatic cancer (hazard ratio [95% CI]: 1.22 [0.99-1.50]). Compared with individuals who maintained a steady normal weight during follow-up, no significantly altered risk of pancreatic cancer was observed for those whose weight status changed from normal weight to overweight, from normal weight to obesity, and from overweight to obesity. The present study revealed that prediagnostic adulthood BMI trajectory was not associated with pancreatic cancer risk, but overweight at young adulthood and obesity at middle adulthood may confer an elevated risk of this malignancy.

Association between age at diabetes onset or diabetes duration and subsequent risk of pancreatic cancer: results from a longitudinal cohort and mendelian randomization study

The aim of the study is to estimate the incidence of pancreatic cancer among individuals with new-onset type 2 Diabetes (T2DM) and evaluate the relationship of pancreatic cancer risk with age at diabetes onset and diabetes duration. This longitudinal cohort study included 428,362 new-onset T2DM patients in Shanghai and Mendelian randomization (MR) in the east-Asian population were used to investigate the association. Incidence rates of pancreatic cancer in all patients and by subgroups were calculated and compared to the general population. A total of 1056 incident pancreatic cancer cases were identified during eight consecutive years of follow-up. The overall pancreatic cancer annual incidence rate was 55·28/100,000 person years in T2DM patients, higher than that in the general population, with a standardized incidence ratio (SIR) of 1·54 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1·45-1·64). The incidence of pancreatic cancer increased with age and a significantly higher incidence was observed in the older groups with T2DM. However, the relative pancreatic cancer risk was inversely related to age of T2DM onset, and a higher SIR of 5·73 (95%CI, 4·49-7·22) was observed in the 20-54 years old group. The risk of pancreatic cancer was elevated at any diabetes duration. Fasting blood glucose ≥10·0 mmol/L was associated with increased risk of pancreatic cancer. MR analysis indicated a positive association between T2DM and pancreatic cancer risk. Efforts toward early and close follow-up programs, especially in individuals with young-onset T2DM, and the improvement of glucose control might represent effective strategies for improving the detection and results of treatment of pancreatic cancer. Chinese National Natural Science Foundation.

The association of dietary intake and plasma fatty acid panel in pancreatic cancer patients: Results from Golestan cohort study.

High mortality rate of pancreatic cancer (PC) as one of the most common cancers worldwide made it a center of attention for recent researches on its pathology, etiology, screening and early diagnosis. In previous researches, association of dietary intake and plasma levels of fatty acids with risk of pancreatic cancer was investigated. In this study we aimed to evaluate the correlation between dietary and plasma fatty acids in case and control groups. From 50,045 adults between 40-75 years old participated in Golestan cohort study, fifty incident cases of PC were diagnosed and 150 controls matched by age, sex and residence place were randomly selected. Dietary intakes and plasma levels of fatty acids was evaluated by validated food-frequency questionnaire (FFQ) and Gas Chromatography - Flame Ionization Detector (GC-FID), respectively. Then, Spearman's correlation was used to measure the correlation between dietary and plasma levels of fatty acids in case and control groups. Among all the fatty acids, there was a significant association between plasma and dietary intake of a few fatty acids including trans fatty acids (TFA), polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA), 22:6n-3 and 14:0 only in control group. Only total PUFA intake modified plasma level of some fatty acids in case group. There was no difference between association of desaturase enzymes and fatty acids in case and controls. Since, plasma levels of fatty acids might be influenced by recent diet, we did not find any specific differences between the associations of plasma levels of fatty acids with dietary intake of fats in case and control groups.

Abstract 5891: The age-dependent association of risk factors with pancreatic cancer

Abstract Importance: Pancreatic cancer presents as advanced disease in &amp;gt;80% of patients; yet, appropriate ages to consider prevention and early detection strategies are poorly defined. Objective: To investigate age-specific associations and attributable risks of pancreatic cancer for established modifiable and non-modifiable risk factors. Design, Setting, and Participants: We included 167,483 participants from 2 prospective U.S. cohort studies with 1190 incident cases of pancreatic cancer identified during &amp;gt;30 years of follow-up; 5107 pancreatic cancer cases and 8845 control participants of European ancestry from a completed multicenter genome-wide association study (GWAS); and 248,893 pancreatic cancer cases documented in the U.S. Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program. Exposures: Across different age categories, we investigated cigarette smoking, obesity, diabetes, height, and non-O blood group in the prospective cohorts; weighted polygenic risk score of 22 previously identified single nucleotide polymorphisms in the GWAS; and male sex and Black race in the SEER program. Main outcomes and measures: Risk of developing pancreatic cancer by age evaluated by Cox, logistic, or Poisson regression, as determined by the study design. Results: In the prospective cohorts, all 5 risk factors were more strongly associated with pancreatic cancer risk among younger participants, with associations greatly attenuated among those over 70 years. The HRs comparing participants with 3-5 risk factors to those with no risk factors were 9.24 (95% CI, 4.11-20.77) among those aged ≤60 years, 3.00 (95% CI, 1.85-4.86) among those aged 61-70 years, and 1.46 (95% CI, 1.10-1.94) among those over 70 years (Pheterogeneity = 3×10-5). These factors together were related to 65.6%, 49.7%, and 17.2% of incident pancreatic cancers in these age groups, respectively. In the GWAS, the polygenic risk score was most strongly associated with pancreatic cancer risk among those aged ≤60 years, with lesser associations identified in older participants (Pheterogeneity = .01). In the SEER Program, male sex and Black race were also more strongly associated with pancreatic cancer risk among younger individuals (Pheterogeneity &amp;lt; 1×10-8). Conclusions and relevance: Inherited and lifestyle factors are more strongly associated with earlier-onset pancreatic cancer, emphasizing the importance of age at initiation for cancer prevention and control programs targeting this highly lethal malignancy. Citation Format: Chen Yuan, Jihye Kim, Qiao-Li Wang, Alice A. Lee, Ana Babic, PanScan/PanC4 I-III Consortium, Laufey T. Amundadottir, Alison P. Klein, Donghui Li, Marjorie L. McCullough, Gloria M. Petersen, Harvey A. Risch, Rachael Z. Stolzenberg-Solomon, Kimberly Perez, Kimmie Ng, Edward L. Giovannucci, Meir J. Stampfer, Peter Kraft, Brian M. Wolpin. The age-dependent association of risk factors with pancreatic cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2022; 2022 Apr 8-13. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(12_Suppl):Abstract nr 5891.

Abstract 5870: Diet quality and pancreatic cancer incidence in the Multiethnic Cohort

Abstract Background: Pancreatic cancer is one of the deadliest cancers, and its incidence has been increasing steadily in the past decade. While some dietary components have been implicated as risk factors for pancreatic cancer, epidemiological data on the role of overall diet quality in pancreatic cancer etiology are limited, especially from population-based prospective studies. This study examined the relationship between diet quality and pancreatic cancer incidence in the Multiethnic Cohort Study (MEC). Methods: Data were analyzed from 177,313 African American, Native Hawaiian, Japanese American, Latino, and White men and women aged 45-75 years who completed a quantitative food frequency questionnaire at cohort entry. Diet quality was assessed by a priori diet quality indices (DQIs), the Healthy Eating Index-2015 (HEI-2015), the Alternative Healthy Eating Index-2010 (AHEI-2010), the alternate Mediterranean Diet (aMED) score, the Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension (DASH) score, and the Dietary Inflammatory Index (DII®). These five DQIs were investigated because of their potential to capture differences in various nutritional patterns across different racial/ethnic groups. Multivariate Cox models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the DQIs and pancreatic cancer incidence adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, diabetes status, family history of pancreatic cancer, vigorous physical activity, smoking status with pack years, total energy intake, body mass index (BMI), and alcohol consumption. Stratified analyses were done by sex, race/ethnicity, smoking status and BMI. Results: During an average follow up of 19.3 years, 1,782 incident pancreatic cancer cases were identified. Overall, we did not observe statistically significant associations between the DQIs and pancreatic cancer risk. In subgroup analyses comparing the highest vs. lowest quintiles of the scores, a protective association was observed with the DASH for ever smokers (HR = 0.75, 95% CI: 0.60-0.92) and individuals with BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2 (HR = 0.77, 95% CI: 0.63-0.94), but not for never smokers (HR = 1.04, 95% CI: 0.82-1.31, P for heterogeneity = 0.004) or those with BMI &amp;lt; 25 kg/m2 (HR = 1.21, 95% CI: 0.94-1.56, P for heterogeneity = 0.097). There were no differences in associations by sex or race/ethnicity (P for heterogeneity ≥ 0.43). Conclusion: In this large prospective study, we did not find reduction in pancreatic cancer risk associated with healthier diet as assessed by the 5 DQIs. There is some indication that adherence to the DASH diet may potentially be protective against pancreatic cancer among ever smokers or individuals classified as overweight or obese. Further investigations are needed to confirm these findings. Citation Format: Heather Steel, Song-Yi Park, Tiffany Lim, Daniel Stram, Loic Le Marchand, Anna H. Wu, V. Wendy Setiawan. Diet quality and pancreatic cancer incidence in the Multiethnic Cohort [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2022; 2022 Apr 8-13. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(12_Suppl):Abstract nr 5870.

The Association between Serum Serine and Glycine and Related-Metabolites with Pancreatic Cancer in a Prospective Cohort Study.

Simple SummarySerine and glycine have an important role in the folate-dependent one-carbon metabolism. No prior epidemiologic study has evaluated the associations for serum levels of serine and glycine with pancreatic cancer risk. We performed a nested case-control study of 129 incident pancreatic cancer cases and 258 individually matched controls within the Shanghai Cohort Study, a prospective cohort study involving 18,244 male residents in Shanghai, China. We found that the risk of pancreatic cancer was reduced by more than 70% in individuals with elevated levels of serine and glycine in serum collected, on average, more than 10 years prior to cancer diagnosis. These novel findings support a protective role of serine and glycine against the development of pancreatic cancer in humans that might have an implication for pancreatic cancer prevention.Background. Serine and glycine play an important role in the folate-dependent one-carbon metabolism. The metabolism of serine and glycine has been shown to be associated with cancer cell proliferation. No prior epidemiologic study has investigated the associations for serum levels of serine and glycine with pancreatic cancer risk. Methods. We conducted a nested case-control study involved 129 incident pancreatic cancer cases and 258 individually matched controls within a prospective cohort study of 18,244 male residents in Shanghai, China. Glycine and serine and related metabolites in pre-diagnostic serum were quantified using gas chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. A conditional logistic regression method was used to evaluate the associations for serine, glycine, and related metabolites with pancreatic cancer risk with adjustment for potential confounders. Results: Odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) of pancreatic cancer for the highest quartile of serine and glycine were 0.33 (0.14–0.75) and 0.25 (0.11–0.58), respectively, compared with their respective lowest quartiles (both p’s < 0.01). No significant association with risk of pancreatic cancer was observed for other serine- or glycine related metabolites including cystathionine, cysteine, and sarcosine. Conclusion. The risk of pancreatic cancer was reduced by more than 70% in individuals with elevated levels of glycine and serine in serum collected, on average, more than 10 years prior to cancer diagnosis in a prospectively designed case-control study. These novel findings support a protective role of serine and glycine against the development of pancreatic cancer in humans that might have an implication for cancer prevention.

The association of pancreatic cancer incidence with smoking status and smoking amount in Korean men.

OBJECTIVESOur study examined the dose-response relationship between smoking amounts (pack-years) and the risk of developing pancreatic cancer in Korean men.METHODSOf 125,743 participants who underwent medical health checkups in 2009, 121,408 were included in the final analysis and observed for the development of pancreatic cancer. We evaluated the associations between smoking amounts and incident pancreatic cancer in 4 groups classified by pack-year amounts. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of incident pancreatic cancer by comparing groups 2 (<20 pack-year smokers), 3 (20-≤40 pack-year smokers), and 4 (>40 pack-year smokers) with group 1 (never smokers).RESULTSDuring 527,974.5 person-years of follow-up, 245 incident cases of pancreatic cancer developed between 2009 and 2013. The multivariate-adjusted HRs (95% CIs) for incident pancreatic cancer in groups 2, 3, and 4 were 1.05 (0.76 to 1.45), 1.28 (0.91 to 1.80), and 1.57 (1.00 to 2.46), respectively (p for trend=0.025). The HR (95% CI) of former smokers showed a dose-response relationship in the unadjusted model, but did not show a statistically significant association in the multivariate-adjusted model. The HR (95% CI) of current smokers showed a dose-response relationship in both the unadjusted (p for trend=0.020) and multivariate-adjusted models (p for trend=0.050).CONCLUSIONSThe risk of developing pancreatic cancer was higher in current smokers status than in former smokers among Korean men, indicating that smoking cessation may have a protective effect.

The age-dependent association of risk factors with pancreatic cancer

Pancreatic cancer presents as advanced disease in >80% of patients; yet, appropriate ages to consider prevention and early detection strategies are poorly defined. We investigated age-specific associations and attributable risks of pancreatic cancer for established modifiable and non-modifiable risk factors. We included 167 483 participants from two prospective US cohort studies with 1190 incident cases of pancreatic cancer during >30 years of follow-up; 5107 pancreatic cancer cases and 8845 control participants of European ancestry from a completed multicenter genome-wide association study (GWAS); and 248 893 pancreatic cancer cases documented in the US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program. Across different age categories, we investigated cigarette smoking, obesity, diabetes, height, and non-O blood group in the prospective cohorts; weighted polygenic risk score of 22 previously identified single nucleotide polymorphisms in the GWAS; and male sex and black race in the SEER Program. In the prospective cohorts, all five risk factors were more strongly associated with pancreatic cancer risk among younger participants, with associations attenuated among those aged >70 years. The hazard ratios comparing participants with three to five risk factors with those with no risk factors were 9.24 [95% confidence interval (CI) 4.11-20.77] among those aged ≤60 years, 3.00 (95% CI 1.85-4.86) among those aged 61-70 years, and 1.46 (95% CI 1.10-1.94) among those aged >70 years (Pheterogeneity= 3×10-5). These factors together were related to 65.6%, 49.7%, and 17.2% of incident pancreatic cancers in these age groups, respectively. In the GWAS and the SEER Program, the associations with the polygenic risk score, male sex, and black race were all stronger among younger individuals (Pheterogeneity ≤0.01). Established risk factors are more strongly associated with earlier-onset pancreatic cancer, emphasizing the importance of age at initiation for cancer prevention and control programs targeting this highly lethal malignancy.

Healthy lifestyle index and risk of pancreatic cancer in the Women's Health Initiative.

Lifestyle factors such as smoking, alcohol, body weight, physical activity, and diet quality have been associated with the risk of pancreatic cancer. However, studies of their combined association in women are limited. Data on smoking habits, alcohol intake, diet composition, recreational physical activity, body weight, and waist circumference, obtained at recruitment for 136,945 postmenopausal women (aged 50-79years) participating in the Women's Health Initiative study, were categorized separately, with higher scores for each variable assigned to the categories representing healthier behaviors. The combined healthy lifestyle index (HLI) score, created by summing the scores for each risk factor, was grouped into quartiles. We used multivariable-adjusted Cox regression to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for pancreatic cancer risk in association with the HLI. Over an average follow-up period of approximately 16.0years, 1,119 incident cases of pancreatic cancer were ascertained. Compared to women in the lowest HLI quartile, those in the upper quartiles (qt) had a reduced risk of pancreatic cancer (multivariable-adjusted HRqt3rd 0.83, 95% CI 0.74-0.99; and HRqt4th 0.74, 95% CI 0.62-0.88, respectively, p trend = 0.001). Use of waist circumference instead of BMI in the HLI score yielded similar results. Among women who were either non-diabetic or non-smokers, high HLI was also associated with reduced risk (HRqt4th 0.78, 95% CI 0.65-0.85 and HRqt4th 0.80, 95% CI 0.66-0.97, respectively). Stratification by BMI categories (18.5- < 25.0, 25.0- < 30.0 and > 30.0kg/m2) showed similar results in all groups. Our findings suggest that in postmenopausal women, a healthy lifestyle is associated with reduced risk of pancreatic cancer.

Use of Proton Pump Inhibitors and Risk of Pancreatic Cancer: A Nationwide Case-Control Study Based on the French National Health Data System (SNDS).

Only a few studies investigated the association between proton pump inhibitor (PPI) use and pancreatic cancer, with inconsistent results. Moreover, these studies had a number of methodologic limitations. Our objective was to assess this association in a nationwide case-control study. We used the French National Health Data System (SNDS), covering 99% of the French population since 2006. Incident cases of pancreatic cancer, identified between 2014 and 2018, were matched with up to four controls on year of birth, sex, frequency of hospitalization within 8 years prior to index date, and department of residence. Associations between PPIs and pancreatic cancer were estimated using conditional logistic regression models adjusted for sociodemographic characteristics, risk factors of pancreatic cancer (including diabetes mellitus, tobacco-related diseases, and morbid obesity), and other comorbidities. A total of 23,321 cases of pancreatic cancer (mean age, 69.8 years; 51.7% males) and 75,937 matched controls were included. Overall, 77.8% of cases and 75.5% of controls were PPI ever users. Ever (vs. never) PPI use was associated with an increased risk of pancreatic cancer [adjusted OR (aOR) = 1.05, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.01-1.09]. A dose-response relationship was observed [1-30 cumulative defined daily dose (cDDD): aOR = 0.92, 95% CI, 0.87-0.97; 31-180 cDDD: aOR = 1.05, 95% CI, 1.00-1.11; 181-1,080 cDDD: aOR = 1.18, 95% CI, 1.12-1.24; >1,080 cDDD: aOR = 1.17, 95% CI, 1.10-1.23]. On the basis of these findings, a slight increase in the risk of pancreatic cancer associated with high cumulative doses of PPIs cannot be excluded. Given the overuse of PPIs, efforts should be continued to limit treatments to appropriate indications and durations.