Incidence Of Vaccine-preventable Diseases Research Articles

Vaccine-preventable diseases in migrants to Europe: a systematic review

Abstract Migrant populations in Europe are at increased risk of under-immunisation and therefore likely to be at high risk of vaccine-preventable diseases (VPD), yet the relationship between migration and VPD incidence is not fully understood. This study aimed to explore the prevalence of VPDs in migrant populations in Europe and to define at-risk groups. Following PRISMA guidelines, Embase, MEDLINE and Global Health were searched for peer-reviewed papers published from 1st January 2010. Inclusion criteria comprised primary research on VPD cases (measles, mumps, rubella, diphtheria, pertussis, tetanus) among migrants to/within EU/EEA and Switzerland. We defined migrants as foreign-born nationals. Forty-seven eligible studies from 15 EU/EEA countries and Switzerland were included, with a total of 1357 migrant VPD cases reported. Analysis revealed 1357 migrant cases across measles (28 publications; 926 cases), pertussis (9; 267 cases), mumps (9; 107 cases), diphtheria (11; 67 cases), rubella (2; 6 cases imported from Romania and Pakistan), tetanus (2; 2 cases). Over-representation of measles cases was observed among migrant children and adolescents, predominantly from the WHO Europe region (particularly Bulgaria, Bosnia and Herzegovina and Serbia). Migrants of East African origin were over-represented among diphtheria cases. This study underscores the association between migration and VPD cases in EU/EEA and Switzerland, establishing a clear association between European migrant children and adolescents in measles outbreaks, and adult migrants from East Africa in diphtheria cases. This study suggests strengthening systems for targeted catch-up vaccination for migrants is imperative upon arrival in European countries to align them with national schedules, alongside the need to improve data collection and surveillance systems to inform effective public health interventions. Key messages • Migrant populations in Europe face heightened risk of vaccine-preventable diseases and need to be better incorporated into catch-up vaccination initiatives on arrival. • Improved data collection and surveillance systems are crucial for informing effective public health interventions targeting migrant populations.

Developing a roadmap to reach and sustain 90% full immunization coverage through a cross-sectoral system strengthening strategy in Bihar, India

IntroductionReducing childhood mortality by curtailing the incidence of vaccine preventable diseases is contingent upon a robust and high-performing routine immunization system. According to the available data, the full immunization coverage (FIC) in the state of Bihar (India) has reached ~ 71%. While the government aspires to reach 90% FIC, a systematic evidence-based investigation of the reasons behind underimmunization as well as the identification of drivers and enablers to reach and sustain 90% FIC is critical. This study aimed to review the factors leading to underimmunized children in the state of Bihar and develop a forward-looking roadmap to reach and sustain 90% FIC by adopting a system strengthening approach.MethodWe conducted a desk review, followed by extensive stakeholder interviews and field visits to document and analyze the data and evidence relevant to routine immunization system performance in the state of Bihar. The stakeholders included the State Immunization Officer, District Immunization Officers, Block-level health officials, representatives from development agencies, healthcare workers, and caregivers. A total of eighty-six structured interviews were conducted, which included qualitative and quantitative parameters.ResultWhile positive results were observed from the assessment of Bihar’s immunization system, the implementation of targeted strategies for supply, service delivery and demand can provide a means to achieve FIC of 90%. The roadmap developed by the Government of Bihar enlists 40 + interventions across key thematic areas and has been prioritized over a 5-year time horizon as short, medium, and long-term milestones to achieve 90% FIC. These interventions include strengthening the data availability and quality, improving the governance and review mechanism, augmenting the capacity of health workers involve with immunization programme, and initiatives to increase demand for immunization services.ConclusionThe Bihar’s Immunization Roadmap development project work follows a methodical approach to assess and identify intervention to improve immunization coverage and can provide information and reference to other states and countries that are aiming to formulate similar action plans.

Navigating Pakistan's immunization landscape: Progress and pitfalls

ObjectivesThis study aims to assess the impact of the 2022 floods in Pakistan on the incidence of vaccine-preventable diseases (VPDs) in flood-affected regions, specifically focusing on areas with traditionally low vaccination coverage. DesignWeekly incidence data of VPDs from September to November 2021 and 2022 were collected and analyzed for the provinces of Sindh, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and Baluchistan. The study compared year-on-year changes in disease incidence to evaluate the effect of the floods on disease burden. ResultsThe analysis revealed significant increases in the incidence of various VPDs in the flood-affected regions compared to the previous year. Diseases such as pertussis showed a 171% increase, while mumps exhibited nearly a 1000% increase in reported cases. Other diseases including polio, diphtheria, neonatal tetanus, measles, chickenpox, and rubella also experienced substantial rises in case numbers. Concurrently, cases of lower respiratory tract illnesses and diarrheal diseases in children under five years old surged notably. ConclusionsThe findings underscored the failure of relief and healthcare efforts in managing vaccine-preventable diseases in flood-affected areas of Pakistan. The study highlights an urgent need for targeted intervention strategies, including enhanced immunization drives and healthcare infrastructure improvements in vulnerable regions. The post-flood scenario presents a critical opportunity to address existing challenges in vaccination coverage and to mitigate future disease outbreaks through comprehensive public health initiatives.

Impact of National Immunization Strategies on Vaccine-Preventable Diseases - China, 1950-2021.

The incidences of vaccine-preventable diseases (VPDs) included in the Expanded Program on Immunization in China have decreased significantly in recent decades. This study summarizes the national incidences of nine VPDs and the seroprevalence of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) under different immunization strategies from 1950 through 2021 in China. The sharpest decreases in VPD incidence and under-5-year HBsAg seroprevalence occurred during the latest stage of the National Immunization Program. The decreases in VPD incidence were most prominent among children under five years of age. These findings provide valuable insights for vaccine value assessment and emphasize the importance of implementing immunization strategies in targeted populations.

Associations of parental education with children's infectious diseases and their mediating factors: the Japan Environment and Children's Study (JECS).

BackgroundParents' educational background is presumed to influence the incidence of vaccine-preventable diseases in children through their decisions about vaccinations and other family lifestyle choices. Regarding voluntary vaccination, a household's economic situation may also be associated with non-vaccination. Therefore, this study investigated the association between parental education and vaccine-preventable diseases (varicella, mumps, influenza [flu], pertussis, measles, and rubella) in children, which currently remains elusive.MethodsWe used datasets from the Japan Environment and Children's Study, which included 104,062 fetal records; our study population comprised 80,930 children up to the age of three years. The associations between parental educational background and children's infectious diseases were examined using binomial logistic regression analysis. The mediating effects of household income, vaccination, and smoking were examined using a path analysis.ResultsFor varicella, mumps, and influenza covered by voluntary vaccination, a higher education level of the father was associated with a lower incidence of infection. The association between mothers' education and children's infection was limited. There were both income-mediated and non-income-mediated pathways between parental education and voluntary vaccination. For pertussis, measles, and rubella, which are covered by routine vaccines, there was no association between parental education and the child's infection.ConclusionAn association between parental education and childhood infections was observed. Additionally, providing financial support for vaccination and communicating the benefits of vaccination in a way that parents at all levels of education can understand will help reduce the incidence of infectious diseases among children.

Vaccination Approaches of Primary Healthcare Personnel and Their Communication Levels with Parents Having Childhood Vaccine Hesitancy

Vaccines have saved more lives than any other health development in the 20th century. One of the most cost-effective programs for reducing infant/child morbidity and mortality is the vaccination of children against common vaccine-preventable diseases. Türkiye is one of the countries that has managed to achieve a significant reduction in the incidence of vaccine-preventable diseases by increasing immunization rates. Currently, 13 different antigens are included in the vaccination calendar of the Ministry of Health of the Republic of Türkiye, and all vaccines to be administered (vaccination calendar) are determined and continuously updated by the Immunization Advisory Board of the Ministry of Health of the Republic of Türkiye. Our study is a cross-sectional descriptive study. A total of 410 family physicians and family health workers were included in the study. An interactive training meeting on vaccines, vaccine hesitancy, communication, and counseling was organized in 18 groups (including the study participants) in May-June 2019. A questionnaire form consisting of 24 topics was applied to the participants before the training presentation. When comparisons between groups were analyzed according to the answers given by the participants to some questions, it was found that 57.1% of the group with a good average of knowledge, attitude and behavior score reflecting the level of communication with parents with vaccine hesitancy had received training on vaccines and their characteristics, while 43.6% of the group with a poor average had received this training, and the difference was statistically significant (p=0.008). Parents with vaccine refusal were most hesitant about Measles-Mumps-Rubella (MMR) vaccine (87.7%). Healthcare professionals play a very important role in the provision of healthcare services and in the decision-making of families about vaccination with the counseling they provide all over the world. To reduce vaccine hesitancy, continuous education activities on vaccination for health professionals, the creation of educational materials for public education, the use of mass media, and legal regulations can be made.

Entangled epidemics: tackling vaccine-preventable diseases in the era of frequent epidemics in Africa.

Whilst the largely limited health system and funds are already overstretched while responding to multiple epidemics, ongoing vaccine-preventable diseases (VPD) including polio and measles continue to be a public health threat and expose the weaknesses of the public health system in many African countries. The surge in VPD outbreaks during epidemics appears to be a common trend in Africa, often due to reduced vaccination coverage. The World Health Organization reported that, in 2021, nearly 25 million children missed their first measles dose, 5 million more than in 2019. The drop in childhood immunizations was partly attributed to the COVID-19 pandemic which has caused significant interruption in public health services delivery and reduced vaccination coverage. Vaccines help reduce the incidence of VPD. Therefore, effective VPD outbreak response mechanisms and strategies that include ramping up catch-up campaigns for immunization during epidemic troughs including the provision of vaccines outside clinics as well as assessing newer vaccine delivery models during pandemics are essential to minimize the impact of VPD outbreaks during emerging epidemics. Ensuring access to vaccines to address outbreaks and provide supplemental vaccination is essential if we are to be a VPD-free region.

Modeling the relative risk of incidence and mortality of select vaccine-preventable diseases by wealth group and geographic region in Ethiopia.

Immunization is one of the most effective public health interventions, saving millions of lives every year. Ethiopia has seen gradual improvements in immunization coverage and access to child health care services; however, inequalities in child mortality across wealth quintiles and regions remain persistent. We model the relative distributional incidence and mortality of four vaccine-preventable diseases (VPDs) (rotavirus diarrhea, human papillomavirus, measles, and pneumonia) by wealth quintile and geographic region in Ethiopia. Our approach significantly extends an earlier methodology, which utilizes the population attributable fraction and differences in the prevalence of risk and prognostic factors by population subgroup to estimate the relative distribution of VPD incidence and mortality. We use a linear system of equations to estimate the joint distribution of risk and prognostic factors in population subgroups, treating each possible combination of risk or prognostic factors as computationally distinct, thereby allowing us to account for individuals with multiple risk factors. Across all modeling scenarios, our analysis found that the poor and those living in rural and primarily pastoralist or agrarian regions have a greater risk than the rich and those living in urban regions of becoming infected with or dying from a VPD. While in absolute terms all population subgroups benefit from health interventions (e.g., vaccination and treatment), current unequal levels and pro-rich gradients of vaccination and treatment-seeking patterns should be redressed so to significantly improve health equity across wealth quintiles and geographic regions in Ethiopia.

Towards Eliminating Nonmedical Vaccination Exemptions Among School-Age Children.

The increase in childhood vaccine hesitancy and corresponding use of nonmedical exemptions to abstain from vaccination has deleteriously impacted the public’s health. This has many in the field calling for widespread elimination of nonmedical school-entry exemptions, as has been done in six states to date: West Virginia, Mississippi, California, New York, Maine, and Connecticut. By eliminating nonmedical exemptions, vaccination rates can be improved, with the corresponding decline in vaccine-preventable disease incidence. Yet the path towards widespread adoption of these policies presents legislative and judicial implications which evolve with the changing political landscape. In this this article, we discuss legislative actions concerning the expansion of exemptions, whether the widespread elimination of nonmedical exemptions would be effective from a practical and legal end, and how the COVID-19 pandemic has influenced such legislation, with specific focus on Delaware.

Geographic disparities and predictors of vaccination exemptions in Florida: a retrospective study.

BackgroundIn the United States, state-level policies requiring vaccination of school-going children constitute a critical strategy for improving vaccination coverage. However, policies allowing vaccination exemptions have also been implemented and contribute to reductions in vaccination coverage and potential increases in the burden of vaccine-preventable diseases. Understanding the geographic disparities in the distribution of vaccination exemptions and identifying high risk areas is necessary for guiding resource allocation and public health control strategies. This study investigated geographic disparities in vaccination exemptions as well as socioeconomic and demographic predictors of vaccination exemptions in Florida.MethodsVaccination exemption data were obtained from the Florida Department of Health’s Florida HealthCHARTS web interface. Spatial patterns in geographic distribution of total and non-medical vaccination exemptions were assessed using county-level choropleth maps. Negative binomial models were used to identify significant predictors of county-level risks of both total and non-medical vaccination exemptions.ResultsTotal exemptions varied from 0 to 30.2 per 10,000 people. Nine counties had exemption risks in the top two classes (10.4–15.9 and 15.9–30.2 exemptions per 10,000 people). These counties were distributed in five distinct areas: Western Panhandle, central northern area, central, South-eastern coastal area, and the southern coastal border of the state. Non-medical exemptions varied from 0 to 10.4 per 10,000 people. Fifteen counties had exemption risks in the top two classes (3.7–5.6 and 5.6–10.4 exemptions per 10,000 people), and were located in six distinct areas: Western and Central Panhandle, Northeastern, Central-eastern coastal area, Central-western coastal area, and the South-western coastal border of the state. Predictors of high risk of total vaccination exemptions were high density of primary care providers (p < 0.001), high median income (p = 0.001), high percentage of Hispanic population (p = 0.046), and low percentage of population with a college education (p = 0.013). A predictor of high risk of non-medical vaccination exemptions was high percentage of White population (p = 0.045). However, predictors of low risks of non-medical exemptions were high percentages of population: living in rural areas (p = 0.023), with college education (p = 0.013), with high school education (p = 0.009), and with less than high school education (p < 0.001).ConclusionsThere is evidence of county-level geographic disparities in both total and non-medical vaccination exemption risks in Florida. These disparities are explained by differences in county-level socioeconomic and demographic factors. Study findings are important in guiding resource allocation for health planning aimed at improving vaccination rates and reducing incidence of vaccine-preventable diseases.

Determinants of vaccine coverage and timeliness in a northern Pakistani village.

The incidence of vaccine preventable disease in Pakistan remains high despite a long-standing Expanded Program on Immunization (EPI). We describe vaccine completeness, timeliness and determinants of coverage from a remote rural cohort (2012–2014). Vaccination histories were taken from EPI records. Vaccination was complete if all doses were received according to the EPI schedule and timely if doses were not ≥3 days early or ≥ 28 days late. Three models are presented: a multivariable logistic regression of household demographic and socioeconomic factors associated with complete vaccination, a multivariable mixed effects logistic regression assessing whether or not the vaccine was administered late (versus on-time), and a mixed effects multivariable Poisson regression model analysing the interval (in days) between vaccine doses. Of 959 enrolled children with full vaccination histories, 88.2 and 65.1% were fully vaccinated following either the pentavalent or DPT/HBV schedules if measles was excluded; coverage dropped to 50.0 and 27.1% when both doses of measles were included. Sixty-four (6.7%) were unvaccinated. Coverage and timeliness declined with subsequent doses. Migrating into the village after 1995 (95%CI 1.88 to 5.17) was associated with late vaccination. Being male, having an older father, and having parents with at least some formal education reduced the likelihood of a late dose. The interval between doses was consistent at 5 weeks (compared with the 4 weeks recommended by EPI). None of the socio-demographic variables were related to the likelihood of receiving full coverage. Vaccine coverage in Oshikhandass was higher than national averages. Measles vaccine coverage and timeliness were low; special consideration should be paid to this vaccine. The local vaccination schedule differed from the EPI, but the consistency suggests good local administration.

An Exploratory Study of an Online Vaccine Education Program in Middle-School Students to Promote Vaccine Acceptance.

Background: While vaccines have reduced the incidence of vaccine-preventable diseases, vaccine hesitancy threatens the re-emergence of childhood infectious diseases. Purpose: This randomized controlled study evaluated an online vaccine education program to advance vaccine acceptance among middle-school students. Methodology: Study participants were randomly assigned to an intervention group who viewed the VEP videos or to a comparison group who viewed a science-based video unrelated to vaccines. Results: Knowledge scores improved in both groups and more favorable shifts in vaccine-related beliefs and attitudes occurred in the intervention than in the comparison group. Conclusions: This program can be feasibly delivered via an online platform to middle school students, resulting in shifts in vaccine-related knowledge, beliefs and attitudes. Implications: Delivering evidence-based content to instruct about vaccine effectiveness and safety is an area in which school nurses have demonstrated an important role as a resource for patient education to promote vaccine advocacy.

Full childhood immunization coverage and incidence of vaccine preventable disease in Nigeria: a regression analysis

Background: Childhood immunization contributes significantly in the reduction of cases of vaccine preventable diseases in children. DHIS2 data showed that only 60.59% of children under one were fully immunized in 2020. This implies that 39.41% did not receive all recommended vaccinations therefore at risk of contracting vaccine preventable diseases. This study therefore examined the effect of full immunization coverage on incidence of vaccine preventable diseases.Methods: Full childhood immunization coverage and incidence of vaccine preventable disease was examined using simple linear regression model at 5% level of significance and 95% confidence interval. Measles new case for children under five was the dependent variable while children under one fully immunized was the independent variable. Data was retrieved from DHIS2 for the period 2017-2020.Results: The study showed a negative relationship between full immunization coverage and incidence of under-five measles new cases. The study found that any unit increase in full immunization coverage would lead to decrease in measles cases by 6%.Conclusions: Full immunization coverage is still low (below WHO target of 80%) despite effort by government and partners. This implies that a lot of children are at risk of contracting vaccine preventable diseases. In order to avert this risk, health authorities and partners should devise appropriate means of educating the populace on the importance of childhood immunization.

Abstract 13656: Outcomes of Vaccine Preventable Diseases and Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction

Background: Over five million Americans suffer from Heart Failure (HF), and this is associated with multiple chronic comorbidities and recurrent decompensations. Currently, there is an increased incidence of vaccine-preventable diseases (VPDs). We aim to investigate the impact of VPDs on hospitalization outcomes in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Methods: A retrospective analysis from all hospital admissions from the 2016-2018 National Inpatient Sample (NIS) using the ICD-10CM codes for patients admitted with a primary diagnosis of VPDs with HFrEF and those without reduced ejection fraction. Outcomes evaluated were in-hospital mortality, length of stay (LOS), health care utilization, frequency of admissions, and in-hospital complications. Multivariate regression analysis was conducted to adjust for confounders. Results: Out of 317,670 VPDs discharges, we identified 12,130 (3.8%) patients with HFrEF as comorbidity. The most common admission diagnosis for VPDs was influenza virus (IV) infection (75.0% vs 64.1%; P:&lt;0.01), followed by Pneumococcal pneumonia (PNA) (13% vs 9.4%; P:&lt;0.01). After adjusting for confounders, patients with HFrEF had higher odds of being admitted due to a diagnosis of IV (aOR 1.42; P:&lt;0.01) and PNA (aOR 1.27; P:&lt;0.01). Patients with VPDs and HFrEF had significantly higher odds of mortality (aOR 1.76; P:&lt;0.01), LOS, respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation, and mechanical ventilation for less than 96 hours. Conclusion: Influenza and PNA were the most common VPDs admitted to the hospital in patients with HFrEF. They were associated with increased mortality and in-hospital complications.

Vaccination experiences of premature children in a retrospective hospital-based cohort in a Chinese metropolitan area

ABSTRACT Background In China, premature children in good health may be advised to receive routine immunization programs. However, delayed vaccination is common. This study aimed to characterize vaccination experiences of premature children and determine the impact of vaccination consultation clinic (VCC) assessment. Methods We performed a retrospective cohort study, including premature children visiting VCC at Children’s Hospital of Fudan University in 2017–2019. Data of these children, including demographics, recommendations of vaccination after VCC assessment, vaccination records, adverse events following immunization (AEFI), and incidence of vaccine-preventable diseases in 2017–2019, were collected retrospectively. Results A total of 1124 premature children were included, with vaccination uptake of 46.3% for expanded program of immunization (EPI) vaccines and 15.1% for non-EPI vaccines before VCC assessment. Furthermore, 77.5% of premature children who had not received any EPI vaccine were vaccinated after the assessment; however, most were delayed, regardless of vaccine types and recommendations. In contrast, 67.3% was vaccinated with non-EPI vaccines after the assessment. Majority (n = 35) of recorded AEFI was mild to moderate, in addition to one allergic rash. One each case of pertussis and varicella were recorded in those who had not received the corresponding vaccines. Conclusion Vaccination may be safe and epidemiological effective in premature children. However, it remains mostly delayed in premature children with recommendations of normal vaccination. It warrants improving implementation of VCC recommendations. In addition, there is a need of health promotion on more non-EPI vaccines for premature children.

Effectiveness of Mandatory and Incentive-Based Routine Childhood Immunization Programs in Europe: A Systematic Review of the Literature

There is a lack of comprehensive and systematic data and evidence regarding the effectiveness of mandatory and incentive-based vaccination schemes. The results of such programs in some countries have not been adequately studied. A number of countries have recently introduced tightening vaccination measures, and it is important to analyze and assess the results of these programs. The unprecedented situation due to the COVID-19 pandemic and mass vaccination made the topic of the effectiveness of vaccination policies and mandates even more relevant. The aim of the study is to assess childhood vaccination programs implemented in selected countries. The study focuses on initiatives implemented in the European Region of the World Health Organization (WHO). A total of 466 full-text articles were assessed for eligibility, and 26 articles on seven countries were included in the synthesis. Additionally, we obtained and performed an analysis of data on the impact of COVID-19 on vaccine coverage and incidence of vaccine-preventable diseases, and the implementation of vaccine mandates in the selected countries. The evidence collected and analyzed in this review allowed us to conclude that the introduction of children routine vaccination mandates increases vaccine coverage and reduces the incidence of vaccine-preventable diseases when compared to the situation before the introduction of the mandates.

Quality and Safety of Vaccines Manufacturing: An Online Survey on Attitudes and Perceptions of Italian Internet Users.

Background: Vaccination is a worldwide public health practice that requires high uptake levels in order to effectively reduce the incidence of vaccine-preventable diseases. The manufacturing of vaccines is a complex process, and little is known about people’s feelings and opinions on that. Our study aimed at investigating perceptions and attitudes of the general population towards the vaccine production process before the availability of COVID-19 vaccines. Methods: We designed a 15-question online survey in the Italian language which was spread via Facebook and an Italian website "Vaccinarsintoscana" between January and May 2020. We performed a descriptive analysis and applied statistical tests to assess differences in the given answers according to participants’ sociodemographic characteristics. Results: The collected responses (135 participants) about the perceptions on vaccine production process were largely positive: not being concerned about the vaccine production (70.3%); believing the vials did not contain harmful substances (75.6%) and considering the precautionary withdrawal of some batches as highly effective (83.7%). In contrast, a less positive perception was found for the question about the conflict of interest between manufacturing companies and the control systems (48.9%). Moreover, people’s perceptions towards the vaccine components (i.e., microorganism, adjuvants and opinion on batches withdrawal) also showed a good level of confidence and trust. Conclusions: Our study highlighted a generally positive attitude towards the vaccine production process and showed people’s confidence in the control systems, safety and high standards of quality of the vaccine production process.

An Examination of Employee Immunization Policies Among Colorado Child Care Providers.

Child care employee vaccination policies can protect children and adults from vaccine-preventable diseases (VPDs) in child care programs. We aimed to understand the prevalence and characteristics of employee immunization policies at child care facilities and support among child care administrators for statewide employee vaccination regulations. A postal mail survey was distributed to a cross-sectional sample of 300 center-based and 300 home-based child care programs in Colorado. Programs were asked to report whether they had any type of policy requiring employee immunizations and if they would support statewide regulations mandating employee immunizations for influenza, pertussis, and measles. The response rate was 48% (288/600). About 55% of child care programs reported having an employee immunization policy. Child care centers (73%) were more likely than home-based child care programs (30%, P < .001) to report having a policy. Overall, 62% of respondents reported that they would support one or more statewide regulations requiring child care employees to be vaccinated. Home-based programs (71%) were more likely than center-based programs (53%, P = .001) to support one or more statewide child care employee immunization regulations. Our findings demonstrate the variability of employee immunization policies at child care programs across Colorado. These results may be used to inform strategies to increase employee immunization uptake and reduce the incidence of VPDs, including developing comprehensive employee immunization policies at the facility and state level. Future research is needed to understand vaccination knowledge, attitudes, and behaviors among child care employees including their perspectives on employee vaccination policies and regulations.

Vaccine-Preventable Disease Incidence Based on Clinically, Radiologically, and Etiologically Confirmed Outcomes: Systematic Literature Review and Re-analysis of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine Efficacy Trials.

BackgroundVaccine regulatory decision making is based on vaccine efficacy against etiologically confirmed outcomes, which may underestimate the preventable disease burden. To quantify this underestimation, we compared vaccine-preventable disease incidence (VPDI) of clinically defined outcomes with radiologically/etiologically confirmed outcomes.MethodsWe performed a systematic review of efficacy trials for several vaccines (1997–2019) and report results for pneumococcal conjugate vaccines. Data were extracted for outcomes within a clinical syndrome, organized from most sensitive to most specific. VPDI was determined for each outcome, and VPDI ratios were calculated, with a clinically defined outcome (numerator) and a radiologically/etiologically confirmed outcome (denominator).ResultsAmong 9 studies, we calculated 27 VPDI ratios; 24 had a value >1. Among children, VPDI ratios for clinically defined versus vaccine serotype otitis media were 0.6 (95% CI not calculable), 2.1 (1.5–3.0), and 3.7 (1.0–10.2); the VPDI ratios comparing clinically defined with radiologically confirmed pneumonia ranged from not calculable to 2.7 (1.2–10.4); the VPDI ratio comparing clinically suspected invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) with laboratory-confirmed IPD was 3.8 (95% CI not calculable). Among adults, the ratio comparing clinically defined with radiologically confirmed pneumonia was 1.9 (−6.0 to 9.1) and with vaccine serotype–confirmed pneumonia was 2.9 (.5–7.8).ConclusionsWhile there is substantial uncertainty around individual point estimates, there is a consistent trend in VPDI ratios, most commonly showing under-ascertainment of 1.5- to 4-fold, indicating that use of clinically defined outcomes is likely to provide a more accurate estimate of a pneumococcal conjugate vaccine’s public health value.

Forced Migration and the Spread of Infectious Diseases

We examine the role of Venezuelan forced migration on the propagation of 15 infectious diseases in Colombia. For this purpose, we use rich municipal-monthly panel data. We exploit the fact that municipalities closer to the main migration entry points have a disproportionate exposure to infected migrants when the cumulative migration flows increase. We find that higher refugee inflows are associated with increments in the incidence of vaccine-preventable diseases, such as chickenpox and tuberculosis, as well as sexually transmitted diseases, namely syphilis. However, we find no significant effects of migration on the propagation of vector-borne diseases. Contact with infected migrants upon arrival seems to be the main driving mechanism.