Incidence Of First Recurrence Research Articles

Cumulative incidence of first recurrence after curative treatment of stage I–III colorectal cancer. Competing risk analyses of temporal and anatomic patterns

Background Updated knowledge about the rates of recurrence and time to recurrence following curative treatment of colorectal cancer is essential to secure better patient information on prognosis, to serve as a premise in the discussion on adjuvant chemotherapy, and help to properly scale the intensity and length of follow-up. Methods This is a population-based study investigating aspects on first recurrence after radical treatment of clinical stages I-III of colorectal cancer in Central-Norway during 2001–2015. To reveal any time-trends, data were stratified by the time periods 2001–2005, 2006–2010 and 2011–2015. The cumulative incidence of first recurrence was calculated, treating death of unrelated causes as a competing event. Multivariable Cox analyses were done to calculate cause specific hazard ratios (HR) for risk of recurrence. Results At a minimum follow-up of six years, a first recurrence was detected in 1,113/5,556 patients at risk (20.0%). The recurrence rate was reduced from 23.6% in the first time period, through 20.0% in the second, and to 17.2% in the last, p < 0.001. The reduction applied to all tumor locations, to pathological disease stages II and III, to both gender, across different tumor differentiations, and to both elective and emergency surgery. In multivariable analyses time period, gender, disease stage, and tumor differentiation were significant determinants for risk of recurrence. Conclusions The rate of first recurrence after curative surgery for colorectal cancer was substantially reduced from 2001 to 2015. The reason for the reduction could not be attributed to a single factor only. A combined effect of several incremental improvements, such as an increased use of preoperative radiation for rectal cancers, improved adjuvant chemotherapy for colon cancer, and a reduced proportion of emergency surgery, is suggested.

Patterns of recurrence following definitive chemoradiation for patients with proximal esophageal cancer

IntroductionThe aim of this retrospective study was to determine the patterns of recurrence and overall survival (OS) in patients achieving clinical complete response after treatment with definitive chemoradiation (CRT) for proximal esophageal cancer. Materials and methodsPatients with proximal esophageal cancer treated with CRT between 2004 and 2014 in 11 centers in the Netherlands were included. OS and progression-free survival (PFS) were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cumulative incidence of first recurrence (locoregional or distant) and locoregional recurrence (LRR) were assessed using competing risk analyses. ResultsIn 197 of the 200 identified patients, response was evaluated, 133 (68%) showed a complete response. In complete responders, median OS, three-year OS, and PFS were 45.0 months (95% CI 34.8–61.5 months), 58% (95% CI 48–66), and 49% (95% CI 40–57), respectively. Three- and five-year risk of recurrence were respectively 40% (95% CI 31–48), and 45% (95% CI 36–54). Three- and five-year risk of LRR were 26% (95% CI 19–33), and 30% (95% CI 22–38). Eight of 32 patients with an isolated LRR underwent salvage surgery, with a median OS of 32.0 months (95% CI 6.8-not reached). ConclusionIn patients with a complete response after definitive CRT for proximal esophageal cancer, most recurrences were locoregional and developed within the first three years after CRT. These findings suggest to shorten locoregional follow-up from five to three years.

Prospective Study of Plasmodium vivax Malaria Recurrence after Radical Treatment with a Chloroquine-Primaquine Standard Regimen in Turbo, Colombia.

Plasmodium vivax recurrences help maintain malaria transmission. They are caused by recrudescence, reinfection, or relapse, which are not easily differentiated. A longitudinal observational study took place in Turbo municipality, Colombia. Participants with uncomplicated P. vivax infection received supervised treatment concomitantly with 25 mg/kg chloroquine and 0.25 mg/kg/day primaquine for 14 days. Incidence of recurrence was assessed over 180 days. Samples were genotyped, and origins of recurrences were established. A total of 134 participants were enrolled between February 2012 and July 2013, and 87 were followed for 180 days, during which 29 recurrences were detected. The cumulative incidence of first recurrence was 24.1% (21/87) (95% confidence interval [CI], 14.6 to 33.7%), and 86% (18/21) of these events occurred between days 51 and 110. High genetic diversity of P. vivax strains was found, and 12.5% (16/128) of the infections were polyclonal. Among detected recurrences, 93.1% (27/29) of strains were genotyped as genetically identical to the strain from the previous infection episode, and 65.5% (19/29) of infections were classified as relapses. Our results indicate that there is a high incidence of P. vivax malaria recurrence after treatment in Turbo municipality, Colombia, and that a large majority of these episodes are likely relapses from the previous infection. We attribute this to the primaquine regimen currently used in Colombia, which may be insufficient to eliminate hypnozoites.

Occult antithrombin deficiency manifesting as extensive superficial venous thrombosis after venous cannulation

Occult antithrombin deficiency manifesting as extensive superficial venous thrombosis after venous cannulation

Predictors for Recurrent Primary Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Underlying comorbidities, previous strokes, and medication may increase the risk for primary intracerebral hemorrhage (PICH) and its recurrence. The aim of this study was to determine the independent predictors for recurrent PICH. We identified 961 subjects with first-ever PICH from 1993 to 2008 among the population of Northern Ostrobothnia, Finland. Hospital and death records were reviewed and data on drug use were obtained from the national register of prescribed medicines. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox proportional hazards models were used to demonstrate predictors for recurrence of PICH. Total follow-up time of the 961 patients was 3481 person-years. During the follow-up time, 58 subjects had altogether 68 recurrent PICHs. The annual average incidence of first recurrence was 1.67%. Cumulative 5- and 10-year incidence rates were 9.6% and 14.2%, respectively. In univariable analysis, history of ischemic stroke, diabetes mellitus, and aspirin use were associated with a higher recurrence rate. In multivariable analysis, only previous ischemic stroke (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.22; 95% confidence interval, 1.22-4.05; P=0.009) independently predicted PICH recurrence. Diabetes mellitus tended to increase (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.38; 95% confidence interval, 0.98-5.80; P=0.056), whereas treated hypertension tended to decrease (0.45, 0.20-1.01; P=0.054) the risk for fatal recurrent PICH. Previous ischemic stroke independent of confounding factors may increase the risk for PICH recurrence.

Late Varicella-Zoster Virus Dendriform Keratitis in Patients With Histories of Herpes Zoster Ophthalmicus

To describe the characteristics and course of late varicella-zoster virus (VZV) dendriform keratitis in patients with histories of herpes zoster ophthalmicus (HZO); to describe responses of corneal lesions to antiviral treatment; and to investigate risk factors for recurrence. Retrospective case series. Included were patients known to have 1 or more episodes of dendriform lesions beginning at least 2 weeks after HZO in 2 academic practices. Epithelial lesions were evaluated for the presence of VZV DNA by a polymerase chain reaction assay. Demographic, medical, and ophthalmic data were collected for each episode. Responses to treatment with antiviral medications were evaluated. Cumulative risk of recurrence was determined using Kaplan-Meier analysis; potential risk factors for recurrence (age, systemic disease, lesion characteristics, corticosteroids) were evaluated using univariate Cox proportional hazard models. We identified 20 patients (14 women; median age, 65 years) who met inclusion criteria. Dendriform lesions were pleomorphic with thickened, opaque epithelium. Seven patients had systemic diseases characterized by altered immune function. VZV DNA was identified in 15 of 16 cases tested, and all lesions responded to antiviral therapy. The 1-year incidence of first recurrence was 95.8 lesions per 100 person-years of follow-up. Patients had multiple recurrences, but risk of recurrence appeared to decrease over time. No statistically significant risk factors for recurrence were identified. Late dendriform lesions associated with HZO are foci of productive VZV infection. Lesions can be treated effectively with topical or systemic antiviral agents. Patients can have multiple recurrences of dendriform lesions despite treatment.

Intravesical Instillation of Mitomycin-C in 242 Patients with Superficial Bladder Cancer at High Risk of Recurrence: Long-Term Results

Objective: The present study evaluated the long-term results of intravesical mitomycin C (MMC) instillation after transurethral resection (TUR) in 242 consecutive patients with superficial bladder cancer at high risk of recurrence (stage Ta, grade 1–3, or stage T1, grade 1 and 2, primary multiple or recurrent tumor). Materials and Methods: 242 patients were treated with weekly instillations of 40 mg MMC for 8 weeks after TUR. Tumor-free patients then followed a maintenance course with monthly instillations for 3 months. Results: Median follow-up of disease-free patients is 43.5 (range 23–112) months. The incidence of first recurrence is 59.5% (144/242 patients) with a median time to first recurrence of 29 months. 95 patients (39.3%) remained disease-free. Three had disease progression as the first event. The risk of recurrence was significantly higher for multifocal tumors (p = 0.0023, hazard ratio 1.79, 95% CI 1.23–2.59). Overall, patients have been followed for a median time of 57 (range 10–114) months. During this period the recurrence rate was 4.9. Eleven more patients had disease progression. The progression rate is 5.8% (14/242), with a mean time to progression of 34 months. At present 209 patients are alive, 6 have died of bladder cancer, 16 of causes unrelated to the disease and 11 (4.5%) have been lost to follow-up. Thus the crude survival rate is 86.4%, disease-specific mortality 2.5%, and non-disease-specific mortality 6.6%. Conclusions: Patients with multiple tumors seem to benefit the least from MMC instillation. Probably recurrent disease could be better prevented with intravesical bacillus Calmette-Guérin.