One goal of the Canadian Ocean Protection Plan (OPP) is to understand the potential effects of shipping noise on endangered whale species in order to mitigate them. Shipping noise environmental impact risk assessment requires the understanding of large scale, high-resolution time-space shipping noise distributions. The computation of such shipping noise probability density functions (pdf) requests considerable computing resources, especially when propagation occurs in complex and varying environments like shallow waters, canyons, or fjords. Besides, input parameters variability and uncertainties analyses require multiple hindcast, nowcast or forecast scenarios to be run when using a direct Monte-Carlo approach. In order to reduce the computation effort, sea-lane shipping traffic decomposition and probability theory are jointly used to derive shipping noise probability density functions with a logarithmic complexity algorithm, as opposed to the linear complexity of direct Monte-Carlo methods. First, a theoretical model is derived for straight shipping routes using simplified logarithmic propagation, validated with numerical examples, and used to perform a sensitivity analysis of shipping noise pdf to speed and route closest point of approach. The improvement in numerical efficiency is shown on a more realistic four sea-lane case scenario mimicking part of the summertime St. Lawrence estuary traffic. Eventually, in situ measurements will be available for comparison.