Important Predictors Of Variation Research Articles

Predicting fish species richness and abundance in the Lower Mekong Basin

Predictive models are widely used to investigate relationships between the distribution of fish diversity, abundance, and the environmental conditions in which they inhabit, and can guide management actions and conservation policies. Generally, the framework to model such relationships is established; however, which models perform best in predicting fish diversity and abundance remain unexplored in the Mekong River Basin. Here, we evaluated the performance of six single statistical models namely Generalized Linear Model, Classification and Regression Tree, Artificial Neural Network, k-Nearest Neighbor, Support Vector Machine and Random Forest in predicting fish species richness and abundance in the Lower Mekong Basin. We also identified key variables explaining variability and assessed the variable’s sensitivity in prediction of richness and abundance. Moreover, we explored the usefulness of an ensemble modeling approach and investigated if this approach improved model performance. Our results indicated that, overall, the six single statistical models successfully predicted the fish species richness and abundance using 14 geo-hydrological, physicochemical and climatic variables. The Random Forest model consistently out-performed all single statistical models for predicting richness (R2 = 0.85) and abundance (R2 = 0.77); whereas, Generalized Linear Model performed the worst of all models (R2 = 0.60 and 0.56 for richness and abundance). The most important predictors of variation in both richness and abundance included water level, distance from the sea and alkalinity. Additionally, dissolved oxygen, water temperature and total nitrate were important predictors of species richness, while conductivity was important for fish abundance. We found that species richness increased with increasing water level, dissolved oxygen and water temperature, but decreased with increasing distance from the sea, alkalinity and total nitrate. Fish abundance increased with conductivity, but decreased with increasing distance from the sea, water level and alkalinity. Finally, our results highlighted the usefulness of ensemble modeling (R2 = 0.90 and 0.85 for richness and abundance) for providing better predictive power than any of the six single statistical models. Our results can be used to support Mekong River management, particularly fisheries in the context of contemporary regional and global changes.

Soil fertility thresholds driven by sand content indicate drylands degradation phases on the Tibetan Plateau

AbstractUnderstanding the process of dryland degradation is crucial to combating desertification and maintaining land sustainability. To identify important indicators of dryland degradation, we conducted a field survey of 46 drylands spanning an aridity gradient across the Tibetan Plateau. Our random forest model suggested that soil sand content was the most important predictor of variation in soil fertility (carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus). Most soil fertility showed a nonlinear and abrupt decline with increasing soil sand content, and displayed three sequential thresholds. First, soil organic carbon sharply decreased beyond a soil sand content threshold of 47%. Second, exceeding a subsequent threshold of 70%, the total nitrogen and light fraction carbon declined dramatically with increasing soil sand content. Finally, soil heavy fraction carbon, inorganic carbon, and total carbon were drastically reduced when the soil sand content exceeded 80%. The three soil fertility thresholds along the gradient of the soil sand content indicated a sequence of dryland degradation phases. Our findings provide an approach for detecting the severity of dryland degradation and suggest vulnerable areas of degradation on the Tibetan Plateau.

A183 VARIATION IN HEALTH SERVICES UTILIZATION AND RISK OF SURGERY ACROSS CHILDREN WITH INFLAMMATORY BOWEL DISEASE: A MULTIPROVINCE COHORT STUDY

Abstract Background Marked variation in access to care and health services utilization is a marker of variation in quality of care. With the rising incidence of pediatric inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), we must understand variation in access to and outcomes of care to improve quality. Purpose Describe variation in care for pediatric IBD treated in 4 Canadian provinces. Method Incident cases of IBD diagnosed in children <16y were identified from health administrative data in Alberta (AB), Manitoba, Nova Scotia, and Ontario (ON) using validated algorithms. Children were assigned to one of 8 centres of care using a hierarchical assessment of health services use within 6 months of diagnosis. Children treated by adult gastroenterologists or community-based pediatric gastroenterologists were excluded due to small sample size. Outcomes included IBD-related hospitalizations, emergency department (ED) visits (AB/ON only), and IBD-related abdominal surgery. Hospitalizations and ED visits were counted cumulatively from 6-60 months after diagnosis. The risk of first surgery was defined during the same 6-60 month period. Mixed-effects meta-analysis was used to pool results across centres. Heterogeneity among centres was quantified using I2 (variation in pooled event rates between centres) and τ (standard deviation of the true event rates). R2 quantified the residual heterogeneity in outcomes not attributable to among-province variation. Result(s) We identified 3777 incident cases of pediatric IBD, 2936 (78%) of which were treated at 8 pediatric centres. The number of hospitalizations was 0.67 (95% CI 0.56-0.79) per person with high between-centre heterogeneity (I2 84%, τ 0.1556). Provincial differences accounted for 93% of heterogeneity across centres (residual heterogeneity: I2 29%, τ 0.0412). Hospitalizations were less frequent in AB than other provinces (0.43 vs. 0.72-0.78). Children averaged 1.94 IBD-related ED visits, with significant heterogeneity (I2 99%, τ 1.33) with 99.7% of heterogeneity attributable to among-province differences (residual heterogeneity: I2 32%; τ 0.074). Mean ED visits were 1.1 visits in ON (I2 39%) and 3.7 in AB (I2 0%). Intestinal resection was required by 12% (95% CI 0.08-0.15) of Crohn’s patients with high among-centre heterogeneity (I2 81%, τ 0.042), and low (19%) heterogeneity due to provincial differences (residual heterogeneity: I2 76%; τ 0.039). Colectomy was required by 12% (95% CI 10-14) of children with ulcerative colitis (UC) with no between-centre heterogeneity (I2 0%, τ 0). Conclusion(s) There is a high degree of between-province (but not between-centre, within province) variability in health services utilization among children with IBD. There was significant between-centre variability in surgery rates for Crohn’s, but not colectomy for UC. Differences in patient characteristics or provincial health systems may be more important predictors of variation in care. Surgery for Crohn’s disease may be a target for inter-centre quality improvement efforts. Please acknowledge all funding agencies by checking the applicable boxes below CCC Disclosure of Interest None Declared

Seed dispersal by neotropical waterfowl depends on bird species and seasonality

AbstractWaterbird‐mediated endozoochory is an essential mechanism for the dispersal of sessile organisms in freshwater ecosystems. However, in the neotropics there are no previous studies of how different waterbird species vary in the dispersal functions they perform, and how seasonality influences endozoochory. In this study, we identified plant diaspores dispersed in faeces of five South American waterfowl (Brazilian tealAmazonetta brasiliensis, yellow‐billed tealAnas flavirostris,ringed tealCallonetta leucophrys, coscoroba swanCoscoroba coscoroba, and white‐faced whistling‐duckDendrocygna viduata).We collected 165 faecal samples from five wetlands in southern Brazil surrounded by pasture and rice fields, then separated and measured intact seeds and other diaspores. Using generalised linear models, we tested how diaspore abundance and taxonomic richness differed among bird species and between cold (April–September) and warm (October–March) periods. We also analysed bird‐specific and seasonal variations in diaspore composition through principal coordinates analysis and permutational multivariate analysis of variance. We used indicator species analysis to determine which diaspore species discriminated between bird species and seasons. Finally, we measured diaspore length in order to analyse differences among waterfowl species in the size of diaspores dispersed.We found 2,066 intact diaspores from 40 different plant taxa, including seeds of 37 angiosperms and diaspores of Lycophyta (Isoetescf. maxima), Pteridophyta (Azolla filiculoides), and Charophyceae. There was at least one diaspore in 65% of all faecal samples. Diaspores of native amphibious and emergent plants were dominant. We found 1,835 diaspores (from 33 taxa) in the cold period but only 231 (23 taxa) in the warm period. Seeds of the grassZizaniopsis bonariensisand of the sedgeRynchosporasp. were the most abundant taxa. A strong interaction between bird species and season was the most important predictor of variation in both taxonomic richness and abundance of diaspores. The taxonomic composition of diaspores differed among waterfowl species and season. Indicator species analysis identified 12 plant taxa associated with particular bird species and seasons. Coscoroba swan, the largest bodied species in our study dispersed a higher proportion (8.2%) of large (length >2 mm) seeds.Despite considerable overlap, there are important differences in the plants dispersed by each species, and the smallest (ringed teal) and largest (coscoroba swan) birds are particularly different. All five waterfowl species are distributed over wide areas of South America and here we demonstrated that they are likely to be important plant vectors connecting wetland species at different geographical scales. Many of these plants have previously been assumed to lack mechanisms for long‐distance dispersal.

Evolutionary diversity is associated with wood productivity in Amazonian forests.

Higher levels of taxonomic and evolutionary diversity are expected to maximize ecosystem function, yet their relative importance in driving variation in ecosystem function at large scales in diverse forests is unknown. Using 90 inventory plots across intact, lowland, terra firme, Amazonian forests and a new phylogeny including 526 angiosperm genera, we investigated the association between taxonomic and evolutionary metrics of diversity and two key measures of ecosystem function: aboveground wood productivity and biomass storage. While taxonomic and phylogenetic diversity were not important predictors of variation in biomass, both emerged as independent predictors of wood productivity. Amazon forests that contain greater evolutionary diversity and a higher proportion of rare species have higher productivity. While climatic and edaphic variables are together the strongest predictors of productivity, our results show that the evolutionary diversity of tree species in diverse forest stands also influences productivity. As our models accounted for wood density and tree size, they also suggest that additional, unstudied, evolutionarily correlated traits have significant effects on ecosystem function in tropical forests. Overall, our pan-Amazonian analysis shows that greater phylogenetic diversity translates into higher levels of ecosystem function: tropical forest communities with more distantly related taxa have greater wood productivity.

Archaeal communities in sponge, sediment and water from marine lakes and open water habitats

ABSTRACTMarine lakes are characterized by higher temperatures and lower pH and salinity values compared to open-water environments. Microbial communities in these habitats are, thus, subjected to distinct environmental conditions. Understanding how these conditions influence marine lake microbial composition and function can be illuminating since global phenomena such as ocean acidification are predicted to profoundly affect the marine environment. Here we investigated the archaeal community composition and putative function in three biotopes (water, sediment, the sponge Biemna fortis) in three distinct habitats (Kakaban and Haji Buang Lakes and the surrounding open-water habitat of Berau, Indonesia). Both biotope and habitat were shown to be important predictors of variation in archaeal composition and higher taxon abundance, but habitat only proved to be a significant factor for water and sediment. The compositional differences among habitats were mainly driven by differences in sediment archaea. These differences were not only prevalent at a higher taxonomic level, but also at the level of OTU identity, suggesting a degree of environmental specialization of distinct Cenarchaeum symbiosum phylotypes. There were also differences in the abundance of predicted relative gene counts among biotopes and habitats with functions that favour the adaptation to stressful environmental conditions enriched in samples from marine lakes.

Richness of plant communities plays a larger role than climate in determining responses of species richness to climate change

Abstract Experimental warming in situ suggests that warming could lead to a loss of biodiversity. However, species that remain in situ and experience climate change will interact with species tracking climate change, which could also affect patterns of biodiversity. The relative contribution of species gains and losses to net changes in species richness is still unclear. We use transplanted plant communities to test the hypothesis that both the change in climate and ecological communities tracking climate change will influence how species richness responds to climate change. Three intact alpine plant communities were reciprocally transplanted to create scenarios in which species experienced warmer and wetter conditions (transferred to lower elevations) and cooler and drier conditions (transferred to higher elevations) over 10 years on the Tibetan Plateau. Communities transplanted into the same elevation as controls represent species tracking climate change. Transferring to lower elevations generally caused a net increase in richness and a higher rate of gains relative to the control plots; the magnitude of this effect depended on the specific elevation. Transferring to higher elevations lead to either net increases or decreases in richness and gains, depending on elevation. Species gains predicted much more variation in changes in species richness (50%) than did species loss (9%). Species richness at the receptor site and the donor site were both important predictors of variation in species richness, and the abiotic environment did not explain additional variation. Changes in cover of dominant plant species in response to transfers did not predict changes in species richness, species gain or species loss. Our results suggest that species gains from species tracking climate change at the receptor sites, rather than species loss from the donor sites, predicted changes in species richness. Synthesis. Warming experiments with physical barriers to dispersal may overestimate the negative effect of warming on plant diversity by not accounting for species gains. Our study highlights the importance of biotic factors in addition to the abiotic environment, when considering how climate change will affect plant diversity.

Hydrologic and thermal conditions occupied by a species within a single watershed predict the geographic extent of occurrence of freshwater fishes

AbstractHydrologic regimes and water temperatures are primary predictors of freshwater species occurrence. Although these variables have been demonstrated to be important in regulating species diversity at particular locations, whether species occurrences across lotic habitats within a single, relatively small watershed can predict the full geographic extent of a species is unclear. We use river reach estimates of streamflow and water temperature derived from a watershed‐scale hydrologic model, coupled with body size measures, to investigate whether the type and variability of thermal and hydrologic habitat used by fish species within the Mobile River Basin (MRB) can predict the overall geographic extent of occurrence (GEO) for these taxa. Locality data for 108 species of fishes within MRB, one of the most ecologically diverse watersheds in the United States, were intersected with streamflow and water temperature estimates to characterize minimum and maximum streamflow and water temperature conditions and thermal breadth (range of thermal conditions) occupied by each species. Among all species, variation in GEO was associated with variation in thermal breadth and body size. Thermal variables were also important predictors of variation in GEO among Cyprinidae. Flow variables were important predictors of variation in GEO for Centrarchidae, Ictaluridae, and Percidae and within Etheostoma and Percina. Results generally indicate that species with large body size, relatively broad thermal tolerances, or preference for relatively high discharge environments tend to exhibit broader distributions across North America, yet these relationships vary among taxonomic groups.

Geographic variation in body size and its relationship with environmental gradients in the Oriental Garden Lizard, Calotes versicolor.

Patterns of geographic variation in body size are predicted to evolve as adaptations to local environmental gradients. However, many of these clinal patterns in body size, such as Bergmann's rule, are controversial and require further investigation into ectotherms such as reptiles on a regional scale. To examine the environmental variables (temperature, precipitation, topography and primary productivity) that shaped patterns of geographic variation in body size in the reptile Calotes versicolor, we sampled 180 adult specimens (91 males and 89 females) at 40 locations across the species range in China. The MANOVA results suggest significant sexual size dimorphism in C. versicolor (F 23,124 = 11.32, p < .001). Our results showed that C. versicolor failed to fit the Bergmann's rule. We found that the most important predictors of variation in body size of C. versicolor differed for males and females, but mechanisms related to heat balance and water availability hypotheses were involved in both sexes. Temperature seasonality, precipitation of the driest month, precipitation seasonality, and precipitation of the driest quarter were the most important predictors of variation in body size in males, whereas mean precipitation of the warmest quarter, mean temperature of the wettest quarter, precipitation seasonality, and precipitation of the wettest month were most important for body size variation in females. The discrepancy between patterns of association between the sexes suggested that different selection pressures may be acting in males and females.

Long-term study of reservoir cascade in south-eastern Brazil reveals spatio-temporal gradient in fish assemblages

In reservoir cascades, effects on fish assemblages are expected to strengthen over time and transfer from one reservoir to an adjacent one. To test this, fish-assemblage data from 23 years of monitoring in the Araguari reservoir cascade system, upper Paraná River basin, were analysed. The results showed a clear reduction in richness of native and migratory fish species and an increase of non-native species, following reservoir formation. Migratory species richness was higher in reservoirs that presented habitats similar to lotic stretches or tributaries upstream of the impounded area. There was a clear tendency for native species to decline and non-native fish species to increase, in a downstream direction. Fish assemblages became increasingly dissimilar as reservoirs became more distant from each other (longitudinal gradient) and were dominated by small and medium-sized species. Alongside longitudinal position, reservoir area, age and the presence of herbivorous non-native fish were found to be important predictors of variation in fish-assemblage structure. Results from the present study help clarify the potential accumulated impacts of reservoir cascades on fish diversity, which must be carefully considered in river-basin inventories for hydropower plants, and reinforce the importance of long-term monitoring, considering longitudinal and lateral dimensions of the basin.

Population biology of the sea star Anasterias minuta (Forcipulatida: Asteriidae) threatened by anthropogenic activities in rocky intertidal shores of San Matías Gulf, Patagonia, Argentina

In Patagonian coastal areas, intertidal benthic communities are exposed to extreme physical conditions. The interaction between harsh environment and anthropogenic pressure can generate changes in population biology of marine invertebrates, like density and reproduction. The oral brooding sea star Anasterias minuta is a key organism in food chains of Atlantic Patagonian rocky intertidals, hence changes on its population structure can negatively affect shore communities. We studied the population biology of A. minuta and assess the effect of environmental parameters and anthropogenic activities on its population on rocky intertidal shores of San Matías Gulf, Patagonia, Argentina. Seasonal sea surface temperature, pH, salinity, water velocity, desiccation rate, boulders density, and anthropogenic influence (tourists and octopus fishermen) were recorded. In sites with less tourist influence and high refuge, an increase in density was recorded, especially during the summer. Brooding individuals were found in fall and winter, while feeding individuals were observed in all seasons (12 different prey, mainly the molluscs Tegula patagonica and Perumytilus purpuratus). Environmental variables such as boulders density and water velocity were the most important predictor of variation in population structure. Tourism and pH were the most important variables negatively correlated with density. Rev. Biol. Trop. 65(Suppl. 1): S73-S84. Epub 2017 November 01.

Environment and dispersal influence changes in species composition at different scales in woody plants of the Western Ghats, India

AbstractQuestionWhat are the relative roles of environmental and spatial factors in influencing variation in species composition of tropical woody plants at different spatial scales?LocationTropical evergreen forests, Western Ghats, South India.MethodsUsing a plot‐based species inventory spanning the entire latitudinal extent (1,200 km) of the Western Ghats’ wet evergreen forests, we collected primary data on spatial variation in species composition of woody plants. Each plot was characterized by a set of environmental descriptors consisting of topographic, edaphic and climatic variables, while eigenvector‐based spatial variables and plot coordinates were used as spatial descriptors. We used ordination‐based as well as distance‐based variation partitioning techniques to partition the variation in species composition into components uniquely and jointly explained by environmental and spatial factors.ResultsThe compositional similarity of woody plants largely showed a linear decline with log‐geographic distance. However, this relationship was spatially structured. After controlling for the differences in environment, compositional similarity was found to be strongly associated with geographic distance only at the smallest spatial scale. Variation partitioning analysis revealed that environmental variables explained a much larger proportion of variation in species composition overall compared to spatial variables. Among environmental variables, climatic variables emerged as the most important predictors of variation in species composition at regional and landscape scales.ConclusionsStrong association between compositional similarity and geographic distance at local scales indicates the influence of dispersal limitation, while niche differentiation seems to be a more important driver of variation in species composition at larger spatial scales. Overall, our results provide evidence for scale‐dependent shifts in the relative importance of factors that are responsible for variation in species composition.

DNA methylation and gene expression in Mimulus guttatus.

BackgroundThe presence of methyl groups on cytosine nucleotides across an organism’s genome (methylation) is a major regulator of genome stability, crossing over, and gene regulation. The capacity for DNA methylation to be altered by environmental conditions, and potentially passed between generations, makes it a prime candidate for transgenerational epigenetic inheritance. Here we conduct the first analysis of the Mimulus guttatus methylome, with a focus on the relationship between DNA methylation and gene expression.ResultsWe present a whole genome methylome for the inbred line Iron Mountain 62 (IM62). DNA methylation varies across chromosomes, genomic regions, and genes. We develop a model that predicts gene expression based on DNA methylation (R2 = 0.2). Post hoc analysis of this model confirms prior relationships, and identifies novel relationships between methylation and gene expression. Additionally, we find that DNA methylation is significantly depleted near gene transcriptional start sites, which may explain the recently discovered elevated rate of recombination in these same regions.ConclusionsThe establishment here of a reference methylome will be a useful resource for the continued advancement of M. guttatus as a model system. Using a model-based approach, we demonstrate that methylation patterns are an important predictor of variation in gene expression. This model provides a novel approach for differential methylation analysis that generates distinct and testable hypotheses regarding gene expression.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12864-015-1668-0) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Using watershed‐scale hydrological models to predict the impacts of increasing urbanization on freshwater fish assemblages

AbstractNatural flow regimes are important predictors of variation in freshwater biodiversity, yet urbanization can significantly impact the volume and variability of water moving through a watershed. Moreover, there is limited quantitative understanding of spatial variation in the effects of urbanization on watershed hydrology and the impacts of this variation on aquatic species distributions and assemblage composition. We used a physically based watershed model (MIKE‐SHE), a hydrodynamic river model (MIKE‐11), and current landcover classifications to characterize flows at sites across the Big River watershed in eastern Missouri. Estimates of streamflow from the MIKE‐SHE model based on current landcover classifications were then used to predict variation in fish species richness at 44 sites across the watershed. We also quantified the potential effects of five urbanization scenarios on streamflows throughout the watershed and used flow estimates from the urbanization hydrological models to predict changes in fish species richness as urban areas increase. Responses varied among sites, with some sites predicted to increase in species richness whereas others are predicted to decrease in species richness. This mosaic of responses is likely due to the inconsistent impact of urbanization on streamflows throughout the watershed. Results also differed among taxonomic groups. The number of species of Cyprinidae (minnows) is generally expected to increase within sites across the watershed, whereas the number of species of Centrachidae (bass and sunfish) is expected to decrease. This differential shift in cyprinid and centrarchid richness is predicted to have a compensatory effect, with overall richness remaining, on average, relatively constant among sites. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley &amp; Sons, Ltd.

Vitamin D supplementation, body weight and human serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D response: a systematic review

There is considerable variation in incremental circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OHD) levels on vitamin D supplements, even when similar age groups and identical vitamin D doses are compared. We therefore aimed to investigate the importance of body weight for the dose-response relation in circulating 25OHD. We performed a systematic review of randomized placebo-controlled vitamin D supplementation trials in all age groups ≥10 years to clarify the influence of body weight and other parameters on incremental circulating 25OHD levels (difference between baseline and in-study values) in vitamin D-deficient and non-deficient individuals. We included 144 cohorts from 94 independent studies, published from 1990 to November 2012, in our systematic review. There was a logarithmic association between vitamin D dose per kg body weight per day and increment in circulating 25OHD. In multivariable regression analysis, vitamin D dose per kg body weight per day could explain 34.5% of variation in circulating 25OHD. Additional significant predictors were type of supplement (vitamin D2 or vitamin D3), age, concomitant intake of calcium supplements and baseline 25OHD, explaining 9.8, 3.7, 2.4 and 1.9%, respectively, of the variation in circulating 25OHD. This systematic review demonstrates that body weight is an important predictor of variation in circulating 25OHD in cohorts on vitamin D supplements. Our model provides an estimate of the daily vitamin D dose that is necessary for achieving adequate circulating 25OHD levels in vitamin D-insufficient or vitamin D-deficient individuals/cohorts with different body weights and ages.

Comparative performance of generalized additive models and boosted regression trees for statistical modeling of incidental catch of wahoo (Acanthocybium solandri) in the Mexican tuna purse-seine fishery

Wahoo (Acanthocybium solandri) is distributed in all tropical and subtropical oceans and caught incidentally by the tuna purse-seine fishery in the Eastern Pacific Ocean (EPO). Generalized additive models (GAM) and boosted regression trees (BRT) were used to analyze relationships between presence of wahoo in logbook data from the Mexican tuna purse-seine fishery with environment, geographic area and set type (unassociated, associated with dolphins or floating objects set). Model performance was evaluated using changes in deviance in the fitted models and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC). Results indicate little difference between the performance of GAM and BRT models. Both methods were consistent with predictions of presence of wahoo with respect to the variables used. Set type was the single most important predictor of variation in presence of wahoo, with highest probability of incidental catch in sets made on floating objects. With respect to environmental factors, sea surface temperature (20–25°C) and chlorophyll-a concentration (<2mgm−3) determined the highest probability of incidental catch of wahoo. The coast of Baja California Sur, Mexico and south of the equator were predicted to have a high probability of incidental catch of wahoo.

Assistance and Accountability in Externally Managed Schools: The Case of Edison Schools, Inc.

Edison Schools, Inc., is the largest and most visible among a growing number of Education Management Organizations that have entered into contracts to manage public schools, including both conventional and charter schools. Edison's approach to managing schools is comprehensive, and it distinguishes itself from most other school improvement strategies by simultaneously addressing both the resources and assistance provided to schools and the accountability systems under which school staff operate. In this article we explore the ways in which the assistance and resources provided by Edison (including diverse professional development opportunities, materials, technology, and other tools), as well as accountability mechanisms (such as monitoring and rewards), have translated into principal and teacher actions, and the factors that facilitated or constrained educators' efforts to implement the Edison design and improve teaching and learning. Drawing on data gathered from extensive interviews, observations, and document reviews collected during a four-year comprehensive study of Edison schools, we demonstrate how Edison intends to promote not only educators' capacity but also their motivation and opportunity to deliver high-quality instruction. We examine variation that occurs across schools as teachers and principals respond to these system-level efforts. In addition, we identify several important predictors of variation in implementation, including the strength of instructional leadership provided by the principal and the presence or absence of district-imposed constraints such as union contract rules.

The role of attitudinal, institutional and environmental factors in explaining variations in the dissent rate on the High Court of Australia

This paper examines the role of attitudinal, institutional and environmental factors in explaining the dissent rate on the High Court of Australia (hereafter High Court) using data for the period 1904–2001. The paper's main conclusion is that the majority of attitudinal and institutional factors tested are important predictors of variation in the dissent rate while the urbanisation rate, which is used to measure socio-political complexity, has no statistically significant effect on the High Court's dissent rate.

Effects of body size and home range on access to mates and paternity in male bridled nailtail wallabies

The bridled nailtail wallaby, Onychogalea fraenata , is a relatively small, solitary and sexually size dimorphic macropod. We studied the mating system of free-ranging wallabies over 3 years, using microsatellite analysis of paternity, radiotelemetry and behavioural observations. Both sexes were promiscuous, and general reproductive behaviour was similar to that of larger, better-known macropods. Home range size influenced the number of associations with oestrous females, and was a significant component of male reproductive success. Female population density varied within the site, but males with home ranges that overlapped more females did not sire more offspring. Aggression between males occurred only around oestrous females and males did not establish a predetermined dominance hierarchy. Male body weight strongly influenced priority of access to oestrous females, and was related to age. The number of times that males were seen closest to an oestrous female when other males were present (priority of access) was the most important predictor of variation in the number of offspring sired. Females mated with several males within and between oestrous cycles, and may have influenced male–male competition by prolonging advertisement of approaching oestrus, expanding their home ranges at oestrus and engaging in mate chases that attracted groups of up to six males. Despite overall similarities in the mating system of this species and that of other macropods, male mating success may be less skewed in bridled nailtail wallabies than in other species, although paternity analysis of free-ranging populations of other species is required to confirm this conclusion.

Mother-infant relationships in bonnet macaques: Sources of variation in proximity

Family composition is an important predictor of variation in proximity among captive bonnet macaque (Macaca radiata) mothers and their infants. Infants that have several immature sisters in the group are initially more independent that infants with fewer sisters, but as they reach 6 months of age infants with several sisters become less independent than their peers. The effects of the presence of juvenile females on the relative independence of their infant siblings seem to be related to the fact that the members of families with several immature females are the targets of more aggression than are the members of other families.