Implementing Risk Stratification Research Articles

Is elective neck dissection justified in cT2N0M0 oral cavity cancer defined according to the AJCC eighth edition staging system?

The current NCCN guidelines recommend considering elective neck dissection (END) for early-stage oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma (OCSCC) with a depth of invasion (DOI) exceeding 3 mm. However, this DOI threshold, determined by evaluating the occult lymph node metastatic rate, lacks robust supporting evidence regarding its impact on patient outcomes. In this nationwide study, we sought to explore the specific indications for END in patients diagnosed with OCSCC at stage cT2N0M0, as defined by the AJCC Eighth Edition staging criteria. We examined 4723 patients with cT2N0M0 OCSCC, of which 3744 underwent END and 979 were monitored through neck observation (NO). Patients who underwent END had better 5-year outcomes compared to those in the NO group. The END group had higher rates of neck control (95% vs. 84%, p < 0.0001), disease-specific survival (DSS; 87% vs. 84%, p = 0.0259), and overall survival (OS; 79% vs. 73%, p = 0.0002). Multivariable analysis identified NO, DOI ≥5.0 mm, and moderate-to-poor tumor differentiation as independent risk factors for 5-year neck control, DSS, and OS. Based on these prognostic variables, three distinct outcome subgroups were identified within the NO group. These included a low-risk subgroup (DOI <5 mm plus well-differentiated tumor), an intermediate-risk subgroup (DOI ≥5.0 mm or moderately differentiated tumor), and a high-risk subgroup (poorly differentiated tumor or DOI ≥5.0 mm plus moderately differentiated tumor). Notably, the 5-year survival outcomes (neck control/DSS/OS) for the low-risk subgroup within the NO group (97%/95%/85%, n = 251) were not inferior to those of the END group (95%/87%/79%). By implementing risk stratification within the NO group, we found that 26% (251/979) of low-risk patients achieved outcomes similar to those in the END group. Therefore, when making decisions regarding the implementation of END in patients with cT2N0M0 OCSCC, factors such as DOI and tumor differentiation should be taken into account.

Natural course and prognostic impact of lead-related tricuspid regurgitation

Abstract Aim Direct injury from Cardiac Implantable Electrical Device (CIED) leads is one of the most common causes of tricuspid regurgitation (TR), with a reported prevalence up to 40%. Little is known about the natural history of CIED-related TR and the prognostic impact of worsening TR detected at different time points after CIED implantation. Methods The CIED-IT registry retrospectively included patients who underwent CIED implantation in a tertiary referral center in Italy, as long as they had been performed repeated transthoracic echocardiograms (TTE) and at least one chest CT after the implantation. TR severity was graded using a pre-specified 4-class grading scheme: mild, moderate, severe and massive. The primary endpoint for outcome analysis was major adverse clinical events (MACE), defined as the composite of all-cause death or heart failure (HF) hospitalizations. Results 249 patients undergoing CIED implantation from January 2015 to December 2021 were included. Median time to last available TTE was 1593 days (IQR 857-2089). TR prevalence was 71.8% (178/248) at baseline and 88.7% (220/248, p&amp;lt;0.001) at last available TTE. Worsening TR was observed in 48.4% (120/248) of cases. Mean age was 74.5±10.1 years, 35% of patients were females, 45.6% had atrial fibrillation and 41.9% had a LVEF &amp;lt;40%. Baseline RV dysfunction was present in 23.8% of patients, while a worsening RV function was observed in 24.2% of patients with worsening TR and 10.1% of those without worsening TR (p=0.003). Median follow-up time was 4.2 years (IQR: 2.4-5.6). At Kaplan Maier analysis, the cumulative 5-year MACE incidence was 39.4% (95% CI: 30.4-50%) in patients with worsening TR and 18.9% (95% CI: 12.5-28.1%) in those with no worsening TR (Log-Rank p = 0.01). This difference was mainly driven by a higher rate of heart failure hospitalizations in the worsening TR group (36.5% vs, 10 at 5y, Log-Rank p&amp;lt;0.001), while the rate of all-cause death was comparable between the two groups (Log-Rank p=0.313). At multivariable stepwise Cox regression analysis, worsening TR was an independent predictor of both MACE (HR 1.89, 95% CI: 1.15-3.11, p=0.012) and HF hospitalizations (HR 2.77, 95% CI: 1.49-5.16, p=0.001). In a subgroup analysis including patients who also received a 1-year TTE (median time 182 days, IQR: 74-286), worsening TR at last available TTE was still an independent MACE predictor (HR 1.75, 95% CI: 1.0-3.1, p=0.05), while worsening TR at 1y was not (HR 1.66, 95% CI: 0.9-3.06). Conclusions CIED-related TR is a strong determinant of long-term adverse cardiovascular outcomes in patients undergoing CIED implantation. Lead-induced injury is sometimes not evident in the first months after the procedure and might require years to develop clinically significant TR. Serial echocardiographic assessments are therefore pivotal to implement risk stratification, while further knowledge of the pathophysiology of CIED-related TR is required to prevent its occurrence.Kaplan Maier Curves for MACEKaplan Maier curves for HHF

BMI trajectories, associations with outcomes and predictors in elderly gastric cancer patients undergoing radical gastrectomy: a prospective longitudinal observation study.

Elderly gastric cancer patients undergoing radical gastrectomy are prone to experience unexpected weight loss. Preoperative weight risk prediction may be a promising way to prevent weight loss and improve prognosis. The objectives of this study were to explore the BMI trajectory of elderly gastric cancer patients one year after surgery, evaluate theirs the association with outcomes, and explore their related predictors, so as to provide evidence for weight management and prognosis improvement. 412 gastric cancer patients were included and recorded BMI at 6 time points. The trajectories of BMI were analyzed by growth mixture modeling, and the associations of BMI trajectories with outcomes as well as their predictors were investigated by regression models. We identified 3 classes of BMI trajectories: the "slow-decreasing BMI", "rapid-decreasing BMI" and "maintaining BMI". Compared with class1, patients in class 2 were more likely to have a higher frequency of readmission within 1-year(β = 0.59, 95%CI: 0.29, 0.89, P < 0.001) and a higher rate of mortality within 1-year(β = 24.74, 95%CI: 9.60, 63.74, P < 0.001) ; patients in class 3 were more likely to have a higher quality of life (β=-10.46, 95%CI: -17.70, -3.22, P = 0.005) and fewer readmission times within one year (β=-0.43, 95%CI: -0.77, -0.09, P = 0.015). Predictors of decreasing BMI trajectories were TNM stage, comorbidity, anxiety, family cohesion and social support(P < 0.05). Our findings can provide a basis for screening high-risk elderly gastric cancer patients with poor prognosis, implementing risk stratification, formulating accurate weight management programs and improving prognosis. The results of our study can provide gastric cancer survivors with preoperativerisk screening based on predictive factors so that nutritional support and weight management can be implementedin a timely manner to improve prognosis.

Implementation of risk stratification within bowel cancer screening: a community jury study exploring public acceptability and communication needs

BackgroundPopulation-based cancer screening programmes are shifting away from age and/or sex-based screening criteria towards a risk-stratified approach. Any such changes must be acceptable to the public and communicated effectively. We aimed to explore the social and ethical considerations of implementing risk stratification at three different stages of the bowel cancer screening programme and to understand public requirements for communication.MethodsWe conducted two pairs of community juries, addressing risk stratification for screening eligibility or thresholds for referral to colonoscopy and screening interval. Using screening test results (where applicable), and lifestyle and genetic risk scores were suggested as potential stratification strategies. After being informed about the topic through a series of presentations and discussions including screening principles, ethical considerations and how risk stratification could be incorporated, participants deliberated over the research questions. They then reported their final verdicts on the acceptability of risk-stratified screening and what information should be shared about their preferred screening strategy. Transcripts were analysed using codebook thematic analysis.ResultsRisk stratification of bowel cancer screening was acceptable to the informed public. Using data within the current system (age, sex and screening results) was considered an obvious next step and collecting additional data for lifestyle and/or genetic risk assessment was also preferable to age-based screening. Participants acknowledged benefits to individuals and health services, as well as articulating concerns for people with low cancer risk, potential public misconceptions and additional complexity for the system. The need for clear and effective communication about changes to the screening programme and individual risk feedback was highlighted, including making a distinction between information that should be shared with everyone by default and additional details that are available elsewhere.ConclusionsFrom the perspective of public acceptability, risk stratification using current data could be implemented immediately, ahead of more complex strategies. Collecting additional data for lifestyle and/or genetic risk assessment was also considered acceptable but the practicalities of collecting such data and how the programme would be communicated require careful consideration.

Current Role of Intracoronary Imaging for Implementing Risk Stratification and Tailoring Culprit Lesion Treatment: A Narrative Review.

Our understanding of the pathophysiology of acute coronary syndrome and of the vascular biology of coronary atherosclerosis has made enormous progress with the implementation of intravascular imaging. Intravascular imaging contributes to overcoming the known limitations of coronary angiography and allows for the in vivo discrimination of plaque morphology giving insight into the underlying pathology of the disease process. The possibility of using intracoronary imaging to characterize lesion morphologies and correlate them with clinical presentations may influence the treatment of patients and improve risk stratification, offering the opportunity for tailored management. This review examines the current role of intravascular imaging and describes how intracoronary imaging represents a valuable tool for modern interventional cardiology in order to improve diagnostic accuracy and offer a tailored approach to the treatment of patients with coronary artery disease, especially in the acute setting.

Machine Learning-Based Phenomapping in Patients with Heart Failure and Secondary Prevention Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillator Implantation: A Proof-of-Concept Study.

Previous studies have failed to implement risk stratification in patients with heart failure (HF) who are eligible for secondary implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) implantation. We aimed to evaluate whether machine learning-based phenomapping using routinely available clinical data can identify subgroups that differ in characteristics and prognoses. A total of 389 patients with chronic HF implanted with an ICD were included, and forty-four baseline variables were collected. Phenomapping was performed using hierarchical k-means clustering based on factor analysis of mixed data (FAMD). The utility of phenomapping was validated by comparing the baseline features and outcomes of the first appropriate shock and all-cause death among the phenogroups. During a median follow-up of 2.7 years for device interrogation and 5.1 years for survival status, 142 (36.5%) first appropriate shocks and 113 (29.0%) all-cause deaths occurred. The first 12 principal components extracted using the FAMD, explaining 60.5% of the total variability, were left for phenomapping. Three mutually exclusive phenogroups were identified. Phenogroup 1 comprised the oldest patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy; had the highest proportion of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia; and had the most favorable cardiac structure and function among the phenogroups. Phenogroup 2 included the youngest patients, mostly those with non-ischemic cardiomyopathy, who had intermediate heart dimensions and function, and the fewest comorbidities. Phenogroup 3 had the worst HF progression. Kaplan-Meier curves revealed significant differences in the first appropriate shock (p = 0.002) and all-cause death (p 0.001) across the phenogroups. After adjusting for medications in Cox regression, phenogroups 2 and 3 displayed a graded increase in appropriate shock risk (hazard ratio [HR] 1.54, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03-2.28, p = 0.033; HR 2.21, 95% CI 1.42-3.43, p 0.001, respectively; p for trend 0.001) compared to phenogroup 1. Regarding mortality risk, phenogroup 3 was associated with an increased risk (HR 2.25, 95% CI 1.45-3.49, p 0.001). In contrast, phenogroup 2 had a risk (p = 0.124) comparable with phenogroup 1. Machine-learning-based phenomapping can identify distinct phenotype subgroups in patients with clinically heterogeneous HF with secondary prophylactic ICD therapy. This novel strategy may aid personalized medicine for these patients.

The feasibility of implementing risk stratification into a national breast cancer screening programme: a focus group study investigating the perspectives of healthcare personnel responsible for delivery

BackgroundProviding women with personalized estimates of their risk of developing breast cancer, as part of routine breast cancer screening programmes, allows women at higher risk to be offered more frequent screening or drugs to reduce risk. For this to be feasible, the concept and practicalities have to be acceptable to the healthcare professionals who would put it in to practice. The present research investigated the acceptability to healthcare professionals who were responsible for the implementation of this new approach to screening in the ongoing BC-Predict study.MethodsFour focus groups were conducted with 29 healthcare professionals from a variety of professional backgrounds working within three breast screening services in north-west England. An inductive-manifest thematic analysis was conducted.ResultsOverall, healthcare professionals viewed the implementation of personalised breast cancer risk estimation as a positive step, but discussion focused on concerns. Three major themes are presented. (1) Service constraints highlights the limited capacity within current breast services and concerns about the impact of additional workload. (2) Risk communication concerns the optimal way to convey risk to women within resource constraints. (3) Accentuating inequity discusses how risk stratification could decrease screening uptake for underserved groups.ConclusionsStaff who implemented risk stratification considered it a positive addition to routine screening. They considered it essential to consider improving capacity and demands on healthcare professional time. They highlighted the need for skilled communication of risks and new pathways of care to ensure that stratification could be implemented in financially and time constrained settings without impacting negatively on women.

The Utility of Lower Extremity Screening Duplex for the Detection of Deep Vein Thrombosis in Trauma

Trauma patients are high-risk for venous thromboembolism (VTE). Lower extremity screening duplex ultrasonography (LESDUS) is controversial and not standardized for early VTE diagnosis. By implementing risk stratification and selective screening, we aim to optimize resource utilization. A retrospective review were conducted at a Level-1 Trauma Center, January 2015-October 2019. LESDUS was performed within 72-h of presentation, then weekly. Demographics, VTE data, and outcomes were collected from the trauma registry. Risk assessment profile (RAP) score was calculated based on collected data. Of 5,645 patients included, 2,813 (49.8%) were screened for lower extremity deep vein thrombosis (LEDVT). Of 187 patients with LEDVT, 154 were diagnosed on LESDUS, 18 after negative LESDUS, and 15 in unscreened patients. Patients with VTE were older (61y versus 55, P < 0.01), more often male (70.9% versus 29.1%, P=0.03), had higher ISS (16 versus 10, P < 0.01), longer hospital length of stay (LOS) (11.5 d versus 3, P < 0.01), longer ICU LOS (4.5 d versus 1, P < 0.01), and increased mortality (9.1% versus 4.3%, P=0.01). RAP was higher in VTE patients versus those without (nine versus three, P < 0.01). RAP ≥8 was 62.5% sensitive and 70.4% specific for VTE. Chemoprophylaxis delay also correlated with increased VTE (OR=1.48, 95% CI=1.03-2.12). VTE remains a significant complication in trauma patients. Despite a universal LESDUS protocol, only 50% of patients underwent screening and 20% of all LE DVTs were not identified on LESDUS. To optimize resource utilization and protocol adherence, LESDUS should only be performed if RAP ≥8 or if unable to administer timely chemoprophylaxis.

Dental caries management: A practical approach for your practice.

Chronic disease management models in primary care have demonstrated significant benefits to the patient experience and patient health outcomes. In trying to prepare for the future, with or without COVID-19 implications, dental providers and clinics are facing opportunities to add value, consider alternative payment models, and to incorporate risk stratification and population health management along with medical systems. However, as alternative payment models emerge in dentistry, stand-alone dental clinics may face unique challenges in trying to prepare for the future while still providing patient care in the fee for service environment. This article focuses on a 6-months pilot project of how implementing a comprehensive caries disease management care model, evaluating caries risk, and implementing risk stratification strategies can prepare dental offices for future payment models and inclusion in the greater health system. There are two overall goals for this pilot. First, applying a caries disease management protocol to every patient visit, regardless of reimbursement. Second, applying quality improvement (QI) principles to change how a dental office approaches care delivery. The Institute of Medicine defines quality in healthcare as a direct correlation between the level of improved health services and the desired health outcomes of individuals and populations.

Implementing risk stratification to the treatment of adolescent substance use among youth involved in the juvenile justice system: protocol of a hybrid type I trial

BackgroundYouth involved in the juvenile justice system (YIJJ) have high rates of substance use problems; however, rates of YIJJ engagement in substance use services is low. Barriers to service engagement include lack of appropriate screening and connection to services by the juvenile justice system, as well as lack of resources for delivering evidence-based treatment in community-based settings. To address these barriers, this paper describes a protocol for a type 1 hybrid design to (1) implement universal substance use screening for YIJJ; (2) implement and evaluate the feasibility and effectiveness of a brief, three-session substance use interventions based in motivational interviewing for youth with mild/moderate substance use: Teen Intervene (an individual-based intervention); (3) implement ENCOMPASS, an evidence-based substance use intervention based in motivational enhancement and cognitive behavioral therapy for youth with severe substance use; and (4) evaluate facilitators and barriers to implementing these interventions for mild to severe substance use among YIJJ in community mental health centers (CMHC).Methods/designUsing a hybrid type 1 clinical effectiveness-implementation design, we will collaborate with CMHCs and juvenile justice in two rural Indiana counties. Guided by the EPIS (exploration, preparation, implementation, sustainability) framework, we will measure factors that affect implementation of substance use screening in juvenile justice and implementation of substance use interventions in CMHCs utilizing self-reports and qualitative interviews with juvenile justice and CMHC staff pre- and post-implementation. YIJJ with mild/moderate substance use will receive a brief interventions and YIJJ with severe substance use will receive ENCOMPASS. We will measure the effectiveness of a brief and comprehensive intervention by assessing changes in substance use across treatment. We anticipate recruiting 160 YIJJ and their caregivers into the study. We will assess intervention outcomes utilizing baseline, 3-, and 6-month assessments.DiscussionFindings have the potential to improve screening and intervention services for YIJJ.

Implementing Risk Stratification in Primary Care: Challenges and Strategies.

Primary care risk stratification (RS) has been shown to help practices better understand their patient populations' needs and may improve health outcomes and reduce expenditures by targeting and tailoring care to high-need patients. This study aims to understand key considerations practices faced and practice experiences as they began to implement RS models. We conducted semistructured interviews about experiences in RS with 34 stakeholders from 15 primary care practices in Oregon and Colorado and qualitatively analyzed the data. Three decisions were important in shaping practices' experiences with RS: choosing established versus self-created algorithms or heuristics, clinical intuition, or a combination; selecting mechanisms for assigning risk scores; determining how to integrate RS approaches into care delivery. Practices using clinical intuition found stratification time-consuming and difficult to incorporate into existing workflows, but trusted risk scores more than those using algorithms. Trust in risk scores was influenced by data extraction capabilities; practices often lacked sufficient data to calculate their perceived optimal risk score. Displaying the scores to the care team was a major issue. Finally, obtaining buy-in from care team members was challenging, requiring repeated cycles of improvement and workflow integration. Practices used iterative approaches to RS implementation. As a result, procedural and algorithmic changes were introduced and were influenced by practices' health IT, staffing, and resource capacities. Practices were most successful when able to make iterative changes to their approaches, incorporated both automation and human process in RS, educated staff on the importance of RS, and had readily accessible risk scores.

Usefulness of white blood cell count to mean platelet volume ratio in the prediction of SYNTAX score in patients with non-ST elevation myocardial infarction.

Objective:White blood cell (WBC) count to mean platelet volume (MPV) ratio (WMR) is associated with major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTEMI). We aimed to compare WMR between NSTEMI patients and matched-controls and to evaluate its predictive value on SYNTAX score.Methods:Total 175 patients with NSTEMI and 160 age and co-morbidity matched subjects were recruited in our study. WMR was compared between the patient and control groups. The patient group was further subdivided into 3 tertiles according to SYNTAX scores as follows: low SYNTAX score tertile (score ≤22, 141 patients); intermediate SYNTAX score tertile (score between 23 and 32, 20 patients); and, high SYNTAX score tertile (score ≥33, 14 patients). WMR was further assessed among the tertiles.Results:WMR was significantly greater in the patient group compared to the control group (p<0,001). WMR among low, intermediate and high score tertiles were calculated to be 890±26, 1090±042 and 1500±65, respectively (p <0,001). In receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis, WMR >960 predicted a SYNTAX score ≥23 with 80.6% sensitivity and 67.6% specificity (AUC: 0.756; 95% CI: 0.685 - 0.818; p <0.0001) and a WMR >1360 predicted a SYNTAX score ≥33 with 71.4% sensitivity and 93% specificity (AUC: 0.840; 95%CI: 0.777 - 0.892; p <0.0001).Conclusions:WMR value was significantly elevated in NSTEMI patients, compared to controls. Higher WMR was associated with greater SYNTAX score in patients with NSTEMI. WMR may be used to predict severity of the CAD and to implement risk stratification in patients with NSTEMI.

OP75 Implementing Risk Stratification In Primary Care: A Qualitative Study

INTRODUCTION:A predictive risk stratification tool (PRISM) to estimate a patient's risk of an emergency hospital admission in the following year was trialled in general practice in an area of the United Kingdom. PRISM's introduction coincided with a new incentive payment (‘QOF’) in the regional contract for family doctors to identify and manage the care of people at high risk of emergency hospital admission.METHODS:Alongside the trial, we carried out a complementary qualitative study of processes of change associated with PRISM's implementation. We aimed to describe how PRISM was understood, communicated, adopted, and used by practitioners, managers, local commissioners and policy makers. We gathered data through focus groups, interviews and questionnaires at three time points (baseline, mid-trial and end-trial). We analyzed data thematically, informed by Normalisation Process Theory (1).RESULTS:All groups showed high awareness of PRISM, but raised concerns about whether it could identify patients not yet known, and about whether there were sufficient community-based services to respond to care needs identified. All practices reported using PRISM to fulfil their QOF targets, but after the QOF reporting period ended, only two practices continued to use it. Family doctors said PRISM changed their awareness of patients and focused them on targeting the highest-risk patients, though they were uncertain about the potential for positive impact on this group.CONCLUSIONS:Though external factors supported its uptake in the short term, with a focus on the highest risk patients, PRISM did not become a sustained part of normal practice for primary care practitioners.

Recommendations on breast cancer screening and prevention in the context of implementing risk stratification: impending changes to current policies.

In recent years, risk stratification has sparked interest as an innovative approach to disease screening and prevention. The approach effectively personalizes individual risk, opening the way to screening and prevention interventions that are adapted to subpopulations. The international perspective project, which is developing risk stratification for breast cancer, aims to support the integration of its screening approach into clinical practice through comprehensive tool-building. Policies and guidelines for risk stratification-unlike those for population screening programs, which are currently well regulated-are still under development. Indeed, the development of guidelines for risk stratification reflects the translational aspects of perspective. Here, we describe the risk stratification process that was devised in the context of perspective, and we then explain the consensus-based method used to develop recommendations for breast cancer screening and prevention in a risk-stratification approach. Lastly, we discuss how the recommendations might affect current screening policies.

Ventricular repolarization measures for arrhythmic risk stratification.

Ventricular repolarization is a complex electrical phenomenon which represents a crucial stage in electrical cardiac activity. It is expressed on the surface electrocardiogram by the interval between the start of the QRS complex and the end of the T wave or U wave (QT). Several physiological, pathological and iatrogenic factors can influence ventricular repolarization. It has been demonstrated that small perturbations in this process can be a potential trigger of malignant arrhythmias, therefore the analysis of ventricular repolarization represents an interesting tool to implement risk stratification of arrhythmic events in different clinical settings. The aim of this review is to critically revise the traditional methods of static analysis of ventricular repolarization as well as those for dynamic evaluation, their prognostic significance and the possible application in daily clinical practice.

Development of a mobile pulse waveform analyzer for cardiovascular health monitoring

Noninvasive pulse waveforms contain rich pathophysiological information of cardiovascular system. It is hereby a tradition of interest to implement risk stratification by pulse waveform monitoring and analysis. In contrast to conventional computer- or network-based solutions, we attempt to accomplish pulse waveform monitoring and analysis within a self-contained mobile platform. It adopts a compact biosensor for pulse waveform acquisition. The collected signals are then submitted to a core board for pulse waveform processing and analysis. In addition, the core board coordinates user interaction and network communication too. Such compact pulse waveform analyzer is of great help for cardiovascular health monitoring at home. A carefully designed evaluation has been undertaken within our research group. The results confirmed its prospect in home healthcare.