Impact Of Currency Devaluation Research Articles

The impact of currency devaluation on non-oil exports in Africa

Aim: This study assesses how devaluation in official exchange rate and change in relative prices influenced non-oil export in African countries for the period of 30 years (1991-2020) in 11 African countries (Nigeria, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Eswatini, Mauritius, Mozambique, Niger, Rwanda, Sierra Leone, Tanzania and Uganda).
 Design/Research methods: This study utilized different estimators namely Mean Group, Pooled Mean Group as well as dynamic panel GMM methods. The major advantage of the MG estimator is that it is reliably efficient even in presence of weak cross-sectional dependence of the errors by estimating separate regressions to calculate coefficient means. Moreover, it applicability knows no bounds even when estimator for each individual country is weakly cross correlated. With a PMG estimator, a large scale individual panel heterogeneity in short-run responses is accommodated given homogenous long-run relations across countries.
 Findings: The results of the panel co-integration suggest a long-run equilibrating relation amongst the variables in the study. This was validated on the basis of absolute t-value of 5.0781under the t-bound. Our results for both MG and PMG estimators show significant negative devaluation and relative prices effects on non-oil exports in 11 African countries. The dynamic panel GMM results are robust and in agreement with the estimates of MG and PMG. From the results of cross-sectional analysis by country, results for countries revealed exchange rate devaluation had negative and significant impact on non-oil exports. Consequently, depreciation of the exchange rate has a short-run adverse effect on non-oil export due to high inelastic import dependence. Similarly, with exemption of Rwanda, and South Africa, the relative price effect was negatively significant for every other country in the study.
 Originality: The originality is based on fact that the paper establishes both static and dynamic responses of non-oil export to devaluation in official exchange rate, relative prices, and foreign capital from trading partners in 11 African countries.
 Limitations: It would be desirable to study 30 countries in Africa. We could not proceed with all countries due to inaccessibility of relevant data. Hence, caution should be taken in generalizing our findings.
 Key word: exchange rate devaluation, relative prices, foreign capital, panel ARDL, African countries
 JEL: C33, F13, F21

The Impact of Currency Devaluation on The Banking Sector of Azerbaijan

This master thesis aims to examine an empirical investigation of the impact of Azerbaijan national currency devaluation on the banking sector of Azerbaijan. We will identify how currency devaluation affects the performance of the banks in Azerbaijan. In recent decades, several developing countries have confronted volatility in national currency requiring major reforms in the financial sector and economy. Devaluation is considered a tool of central banks to regulate the national currency. The monetary authorities apply for devaluation in terms of enhancing the trade balance of countries. Macroeconomic equilibrium, price stability, financial and banking stability, sustainable economic growth, or sustained economic growth reflect the uppermost targets of monetary policy. On the other hand, this study will determine the profitability of banks in Azerbaijan and analyze the devaluation impact for 2013-2018 years. However, the price shifts of oil-gas resources in 2014 sketched the financial institutions severely in Azerbaijan. In this thesis, the modification of the dependent and independent variables of the regression model will be tested by using the Panel Data Analysis Method. Moreover, I decided to research this topic for my thesis, as my further plans are to continue my PhD degree and improve my career in this area. In this thesis, I will introduce a brief overview of the banking sector in Azerbaijan, and the effects of two devaluations by the Central Bank of Azerbaijan Republic in 2015. This thesis will check the effects of exchange rate fluctuations in Azerbaijan banking sphere by running balanced panel data for the period 2013-2018 years. The empirical findings of this study suggest that the changes in a foreign exchange rate have a statistically significant and adverse impact on the profitability of Azerbaijan banks.

The J-Curve: Evidence from Industry-Level Data Between the U.S. and Indonesia

Empirical studies on the impact of currency devaluation or depreciation on the trade balance still continue to occupy the literature. These studies have evolved from using aggregate to disaggregated data. The findings, however, have been mixed. Previous research using aggregate trade flows of Indonesia with the rest of the world or bilateral data between Indonesia and the U.S. as one of its major trading partners found no significant relation between rupiah-dollar rate and Indonesia’s bilateral trade balances. In this article, we disaggregate the trade flows between Indonesia and the U.S. by commodity and show that the trade balances of at least nine out of 23 industries react to exchange rate changes favorably in the long run.

Impact of Currency devaluation on Pakistans Economy

This Paper investigates the impact of currency devaluation on Pakistans Economy. The Devaluation occurs in terms of all other currencies, but it is best illustrated in the case of only one other currency. Any rising of the prices of such inputs through devaluation, would raise industrial costs and reduce the intensity of capacity utilization.It examines that currency devaluation has positioned Pakistan lose heavily both as seller and as a buyer and has made no good substitute for remedial changes in economic policies and developmental planning.In Pakistan, industries are heavily dependent on imported raw materials for industrial goods and capital goods and components, and their access to advanced countries is blocked by quotas and tariffs. , any rising of the prices of such inputs through devaluation, would raise industrial costs and reduce the intensity of capacity utilization.So, by examining devaluation in Pakistan it is concluded that it has always led us to the cost push inflation and never ending cruel economic circle.There are so many solutions to resolve the currency devaluation as appreciate the currency through Foreign Direct Investment, increase the export of goods in this situation will lead to high cash inflows because there would be high demand push by the countries.

Exchange rate sensitivity of Singapore's inpayments and outpayments at bilateral level

Early studies on the impact of currency devaluation or depreciation on the trade balance focused on using aggregate trade data between one country and rest of the world and estimated the well-known Marshall-Lerner (ML) condition. Due to aggregation bias, a second set of studies have relied upon disaggregated trade data at bilateral level. However, due to lack of import and export price levels at bilateral level, these studies have directly linked nominal exports and imports to the exchange rate. In this paper, we expand the literature of the second group by examining the sensitivity of inpayments and outpayments of Singapore with each of her 13 largest trading partners. Evidence shows that real depreciation or devaluation of Singapore dollar has significant effect on her inpayments and outpayments in the short run. In the long run it increases Singapore’s export earnings from three of its partners and reduces her outpayments to only two countries.