The risk of liver fibrosis in HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with indeterminate phase is not well characterized. We aimed to compare the presence of liver fibrosis in HBeAg-positive CHB patients between indeterminate phase and immune-tolerant phase. This multi-center, retrospective cohort study included 719 treatment-naïve HBeAg-positive CHB patients with normal alanine aminotransferase (ALT). Patients with HBV DNA > 106 IU/mL were categorized into immune-tolerant phase, whereas those with HBV DNA ≤ 106 IU/mL were classified into indeterminate phase. Significant liver fibrosis and cirrhosis were determined by APRI, FIB-4, transient elastography, or liver biopsy. The median age of patients was 33.0 years and 59.8% of patients were male. 81.5% and 18.5% of patients were in the immune-tolerant phase and indeterminate phase, respectively. The APRI (0.33 vs. 0.27, P < 0.001), FIB-4 (1.07 vs. 0.72, P < 0.001), and liver stiffness values (7.80kPa vs. 5.65kPa, P = 0.011) were higher in patients with indeterminate phase than those with immune-tolerant phase. Patients in the indeterminate phase had significantly higher proportions of significant fibrosis (27.1% vs. 11.3%, P < 0.001) and cirrhosis (14.3% vs. 3.2%, P < 0.001) compared to those in the immune-tolerant phase. In the multivariate analysis, indeterminate phase (OR 2.138, 95% CI 1.253, 3.649, P = 0.005) was associated with a higher risk of significant fibrosis, especially for patients aged ≥ 30 years. HBeAg-positive CHB patients in the indeterminate phase had more severe liver fibrosis compared to those in the immune-tolerant phase.
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