Identification Of Independent Risk Factors Research Articles

Clinical characteristics of hospitalized children with respiratory syncytial virus infection and risk prediction of severe illness during the post-COVID-19 era in Kunming

Objective: To compare the epidemiological and clinical characteristics of hospitalized children with respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection in Kunming among the pre-and post-COVID-19 era, and to establish a prediction model for severe RSV infection in children during the post-COVID-19 period. Methods: This was a retrospective study. Clinical and laboratory data were collected from 959 children hospitalized with RSV infection in the Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine at Kunming Children's Hospital during January to December 2019 and January to December 2023. Patients admitted in 2019 were defined as the pre-COVID-19 group, while those admitted in 2023 were classified as the post-COVID-19 group. Epidemiological and clinical characteristics were compared between the two groups. Subsequently, comparison of the clinical severity among the two groups was performed based on propensity score matching (PSM). Furthermore, the subjects in the post-COVID-19 group were divided into severe and non-severe groups based on clinical severity. Chi-square test and Mann-Whitney U test were used for pairwise comparison between groups, and multivariate Logistic regression was applied for the identification of independent risk factors and construction of the prediction model. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve were employed to evaluate the predictive performance of this model. Results: Among the 959 children hospitalized with RSV infection, there were 555 males and 404 females, with an onset age of 15.4 (7.3, 28.5) months. Of which, there were 331 cases in the pre-COVID-19 group and 628 cases in the post-COVID-19 group. The peak period of RSV hospitalization in the post-COVID-19 group were from May to October 2023, and the monthly number of inpatients for each of these months were as follows: 72 cases (11.5%), 98 cases (15.6%), 128 cases (20.4%), 101 cases (16.1%), 65 cases (10.4%), and 61 cases (9.7%), respectively. After PSM for general data, 267 cases were matched in each group. The proportion of wheezing in the post-COVID-19 group was lower than that in the pre-COVID-19 group (109 cases (40.8%) vs. 161 cases (60.3%), χ2=20.26, P<0.001), while the incidences of fever, tachypnea, seizures, severe case, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), C-reactive protein and interleukin-6 levels were all higher than those in the pre-COVID-19 group (146 cases (54.7%) vs. 119 cases (44.6%), 117 cases (43.8%) vs. 89 cases (33.3%), 37 cases (13.9%) vs. 14 cases (5.2%), 69 cases (25.8%) vs. 45 cases (16.9%), 3.6 (1.9, 6.4) vs. 2.3 (1.8, 4.6), 9.9 (7.1, 15.2) vs. 7.8 (4.5, 13.9) mg/L, 20.5 (15.7, 30.4) vs. 17.2 (11.0, 26.9) ng/L, χ2=5.46, 6.36, 11.47, 6.42, Z=4.13, 3.06, 2.96, all P<0.05). There were 252 cases and 107 cases with co-infection in the post-and pre-COVID-19 groups, respectively. The proportion of triple and quadruple infection in the post-COVID-19 group was higher than that in the pre-COVID-19 group (59 cases (23.4%) vs. 13 cases (12.1%), 30 cases (11.9%) vs. 5 cases (4.7%), χ2=5.94, 4.46, both P<0.05). Among the 252 cases with co-infection in post-COVID-19 group, the most prevalent pathogens involving in co-infections, in order, were Mycoplasma pneumoniae 56 cases (22.2%), Influenza A virus 53 cases (21.0%), Rhinovirus 48 cases (19.0%), Parainfluenza virus 35 cases (13.9%), and Adenovirus 28 cases (11.1%).The result of multivariate Logistic regression showed that age (OR=0.70, 95%CI 0.62-0.78, P<0.001), underlying diseases (OR=10.03, 95%CI 4.10-24.55, P<0.001), premature birth (OR=6.78, 95%CI 3.53-13.04, P<0.001), NLR (OR=1.85, 95%CI 1.09-3.15, P=0.023), and co-infection (OR=1.28, 95%CI 1.18-1.38, P<0.001) were independently associated with the development of severe RSV infection in the post-COVID-19 group. The ROC curve of the prediction model integrating the above five factors indicated an area under the curve of 0.85 (95%CI 0.80-0.89, P<0.001), with an optimal cutoff of 0.21, a sensitivity of 0.83 and a specificity of 0.80. The calibration curve showed that the predicted probability in this model did not differ significantly from the actual probability (P=0.319). Conclusions: In the post-COVID-19 era in Kunming, the peak in pediatric hospitalizations for RSV infection was from May to October, with declined incidence of wheezing and increased incidence of fever, tachypnea, seizures, severe cases, and rates of triple and quadruple co-infections. Age, underlying diseases, premature birth, NLR, and co-infection were identified as independent risk factors for severe RSV infection in the post-COVID-19 period. In this study, a risk prediction model for severe pediatric RSV infection was established, which had a good predictive performance.

Autoimmune Disorders Associated With Surgical Remission of Cushing's Disease : A Cohort Study.

Glucocorticoids suppress inflammation. Autoimmune disease may occur after remission of Cushing's disease (CD). However, the development of autoimmune disease in this context is not well described. To determine 1) the incidence of autoimmune disease in patients with CD after surgical remission compared with patients with nonfunctioning pituitary adenomas (NFPAs) and 2) the clinical presentation of and risk factors for development of autoimmune disease in CD after remission. Retrospective matched cohort analysis. Academic medical center/pituitary center. Patients with CD with surgical remission and surgically treated NFPA. Cumulative incidence of new-onset autoimmune disease at 3 years after surgery. Assessment for hypercortisolemia included late-night salivary cortisol levels, 24-hour urine free cortisol (UFC) ratio (UFC value divided by the upper limit of the normal range for the assay), and dexamethasone suppression tests. Cumulative incidence of new-onset autoimmune disease at 3 years after surgery was higher in patients with CD (10.4% [95% CI, 5.7% to 15.1%]) than in those with NFPAs (1.6% [CI, 0% to 4.6%]) (hazard ratio, 7.80 [CI, 2.88 to 21.10]). Patients with CD showed higher prevalence of postoperative adrenal insufficiency (93.8% vs. 16.5%) and lower postoperative nadir serum cortisol levels (63.8 vs. 282.3 nmol/L) than patients with NFPAs. Compared with patients with CD without autoimmune disease, those who developed autoimmune disease had a lower preoperative 24-hour UFC ratio (2.7 vs. 6.3) and a higher prevalence of family history of autoimmune disease (41.2% vs. 20.9%). The small sample of patients with autoimmune disease limited identification of independent risk factors. Patients achieving surgical remission of CD have higher incidence of autoimmune disease than age- and sex-matched patients with NFPAs. Family history of autoimmune disease is a potential risk factor. Adrenal insufficiency may be a trigger. Recordati Rare Diseases Inc.

Prevalence of Malnutrition in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Comparative Study of GLIM Criteria, NRS2002, and PG-SGA, and Identification of Independent Risk Factors

Aim Malnutrition is prevalent in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients, linked to poor outcomes, necessitating early intervention. This study aimed to investigate malnutrition in HCC patients, assess Nutrition Risk Screening 2002 (NRS-2002) and Patient-Generated Subjective Global Assessment (PG-SGA) vs. Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition (GLIM) criteria, and identify independent risk factors. Method A cross-sectional retrospective study was conducted on 207 patients with HCC. Nutritional screening/assessment results and blood samples were collected within 72 h of admission. This study assessed the prevalence of malnutrition using the NRS-2002 and PG-SGA and retrospectively using the GLIM criteria. The performance of the screening tools was evaluated using kappa (K) values. Logistic regression analyses were performed to determine whether laboratory parameters were associated with malnutrition as identified by the GLIM criteria. Results Of the participants, 30.4% were at risk of malnutrition according to NRS-2002. The agreement between the NRS-2002 and GLIM criteria was substantial. The GLIM criteria and PG-SGA diagnosed malnutrition in 43 and 54.6% of the participants, respectively. Age, anemia, and ascites correlated with malnutrition in regression. Conclusion The GLIM criteria, along with NRS-2002 and PG-SGA, aid in diagnosing malnutrition in HCC patients. Recognizing risk factors improves accuracy, enabling timely interventions for better outcomes.

Predictive factors for cerebrocardiac syndrome in patients with severe traumatic brain injury: a retrospective cohort study.

Cerebrocardiac syndrome (CCS) is a severe complication of severe traumatic brain injury (sTBI) that carries high mortality and disability rates. Early identification of CCS poses a significant clinical challenge. The main objective of this study was to investigate potential risk factors associated with the development of secondary CCS in patients with sTBI. It was hypothesized that elevated right heart Tei index (TI), lower Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores, and elevated cardiac troponin-I (cTnI) levels would independently contribute to the occurrence of CCS in sTBI patients. A retrospective cohort study was conducted to identify risk factors for CCS secondary to sTBI. One hundred and fifty-five patients were enrolled with sTBI admitted to the hospital between January 2016 and December 2020 and divided them into a CCS group (n = 75) and a non-CCS group (n = 80) based on the presence of CCS. This study involved the analysis and comparison of clinical data from two patient groups, encompassing demographic characteristics, peripheral oxygen saturation (SPO2), neuron-specific enolase (NSE), cardiac troponin-I (cTnI), N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), optic nerve sheath diameter (ONSD), cardiac ultrasound, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE II) scores, and GCS scores and so on. Multivariate logistic regression was employed to identify independent risk factors for CCS, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to assess their predictive value for CCS secondary to sTBI. The study revealed that 48.4% of sTBI patients developed secondary CCS. In the multivariate analysis model 1 that does not include NT-proBNP and cTnI, ONSD (OR = 2.582, 95% CI: 1.054-6.327, P = 0.038), right heart Tei index (OR = 2.81, 95% CI: 1.288-6.129, P = 0.009), and GCS (OR = 0.212, 95% CI: 0.086-0.521, P = 0.001) were independent risk factors for secondary CCS in sTBI patients. In multivariate analysis model 2 that includes NT-proBNP and cTnI, cTnI (OR = 27.711, 95%CI: 3.086-248.795, P = 0.003), right heart Tei index (OR = 2.736, 95% CI: 1.056-7.091, P = 0.038), and GCS (OR = 0.147, 95% CI: 0.045-0.481, P = 0.002) were independent risk factors for secondary CCS in sTBI patients. The area under the ROC curve for ONSD, Tei index, GCS, and cTnI were 0.596, 0.613, 0.635, and 0.881, respectively. ONSD exhibited a positive predictive value (PPV) of 0.704 and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 0.634. The Tei index demonstrated a PPV of 0.624 and an NPV of 0.726, while GCS had a PPV of 0.644 and an NPV of 0.815. On the other hand, cTnI exhibited a significantly higher PPV of 0.936 and an NPV of 0.817. These findings indicate that the Tei index, GCS score, and cTnI possess certain predictive value for secondary CCS in patients with sTBI. The study provides valuable insights into the identification of independent risk factors for CCS secondary to sTBI. The findings highlight the significance of right heart Tei index, GCS score, and cTnI as potential predictive factors for CCS in sTBI patients. Further larger-scale studies are warranted to corroborate these findings and to provide robust evidence for the development of early intervention strategies aimed at reducing the incidence of CCS in this patient population.

Preoperative hemoglobin levels, extended resections and the body mass index influence survival after pancreaticoduodenectomy

The negative influence of perioperative transfusion of packed red blood cells on the prognosis of various malignancies is the focus of recent research interest. The development of a propensity score for the prediction of perioperative transfusion of packed red blood cells (pRBCs) and the identification of independent risk factors for survival, that can either be known prior to or during surgery in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy for pancreatic head cancer are the two objectives of this study. Logistic regression analyses and Cox regression modeling were used to identify independent risk factors for perioperative transfusion of pRBCs and to determine individual risk factors for patient survival. A total of 101 adult patients who underwent surgery between 01/01/2016 and 12/31/2020 were investigated in a single-center retrospective analysis. Preoperative hemoglobin levels (OR: 0.472, 95%-CI: 0.312-0.663, p < 0.001) and extended resections (OR: 4.720, 95%-CI: 1.819-13.296, p = 0.001) were identified as independent risk factors for perioperative transfusion of pRBCs, enabling the prediction of pRBC transfusion with high sensitivity and specificity (AUROC: 0.790). The logit of the derived propensity model for the transfusion of pRBCs (HR: 9.231, 95%CI: 3.083-28.118, p < 0.001) and preoperative Body Mass Index (BMI) (HR, 0.925; 95%-CI: 0.870-0.981, p = 0.008) were independent risk factors for survival. Low preoperative hemoglobin levels, low BMI values, and extended resections are significant risk factors for survival that can be known and thus potentially be influenced prior to or during surgery. Patient blood management programs and prehabilitation programs should strive to increase preoperative hemoglobin levels and improve preoperative malnutrition.

European Association of Urology biochemical recurrence risk groups after radical prostatectomy: External validation and identification of independent risk factors for progression and death

BackgroundThe EAU proposed a progression and death risk classification in patients with biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy (PR). ObjectiveTo validate the EAU BCR-risk classification in our setting and to find factors related to progression and death. Material and methodsMulticenter, retrospective, observational study including 2140 patients underwent RP between 2011 and 2015. Patients with BCR were identified and stratified in low risk (PSA-DT >1yr and pGS <8) or high-risk (PSA-DT ≤1yr or pGS ≥8) grouping. PSA and metastatic free survival (PSA-PFS, MFS), cancer specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) were calculated (Kaplan Meier curves and log-rank test). Independent risk factors were identified (Cox regression). Results427 patients experienced BCR (32.3% low-risk and 67.7% high-risk). Median PSA-PFS was 135,0 mo (95% CI 129,63-140,94) and 115,0 mo (95% CI 104,02-125,98) (p<0,001), for low and high-risk groups, respectively. There were also significant differences in MFS and OS. The EAU BCR risk grouping was independent factor for PSA-progression (HR 2.55, p 0.009). Time from PR to BCR, was an independent factor for metastasis onset (HR 0.43, 95% CI 0.18−0.99; p 0.044) and death (HR 0.17, 95% CI 0.26.0.96; 23 p 0.048). Differences in MFS (p 0.001) and CSS (p 0.004) were found for <12, ≥12–<36 and ≥36 months from PR to BCR. Others independent factors were early salvage radiotherapy and PSA at BCR. ConclusionsHigh-risk group is a prognostic factor for biochemical progression, but it has a limited accuracy on MP and death in our setting. The inclusion of other factors could increase its predictive power.

Meniscal Bone Angle Is a Strong Predictor of Anterior Cruciate Ligament Injury

To evaluate the influence of lateral posterior tibial slope (LPTS) and meniscal bone angle (MBA) on primary anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) tear risk in an adult population through the LPTS-MBA ratio. A retrospective case-control study was performed with patients from a tertiary hospital who underwent primary ACL surgery and had preoperative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). These subjects were matched by age and sex in a 1:1 ratio to patients who had an MRI without ACL tear. LPTS and MBA were measured on MRI scan. Quantitative data are presented in the median ± interquartile range (IQR). Identification of independent risk factors for primary ACL tear was performed using multivariable logistic regression. Receiver operating characteristics curves detected any variable with strong discriminative capacity. In total, 95 patients with primary ACL tear confirmed on MRI were matched with 95 controls (N= 190). Nearly 80% were male subjects, with a median age of 26 years. In the ACL tear group, the median value of LPTS-MBA ratio was 0.20 (IQR 0.11-0.37) versus 0.12 (IQR 0.08-0.19) in the control group (P= .001). LPTS had a median value of 4.20° in the ACL tear group (IQR 2.05-7.35°) and 2.90° in the control group (IQR, 2.05-5.00°) (P= .026), whereas MBA was 19° (IQR, 16-24°) versus 26° (IQR, 24-30°) (P= .001), respectively. Logistic regression showed that LPTS (odds ratio 1.20, 95% confidence interval 1.03-1.42, P= .021) and MBA (odds ratio 0.78, 95% confidence interval 0.71-0.85, P= .001) were independent predictors. The area under the curve (AUC) of LPTS-MBA ratio was 0.69, greater than that of LPTS alone (AUC= 0.61) but lower than that for MBA (AUC= 0.82). In this study, a reduced MBA was the strongest predictive variable associated with a primary ACL tear. A threshold of 22.35° of MBA was associated with an increased risk of ACL tear, with a sensitivity of 70% and specificity of 84%. A cut-off of 0.22 of LPTS-MBA was associated with an increased risk of ACL tear, with a sensitivity of 55% and specificity of 87%. Level III, case-control study.

P11.04.A Observational, prospective multicenter study on the role of body mass index (BMI) in the development of thrombotic complications in cancer patients with PICC: preliminary results

Abstract Background Peripherally inserted central catheters (PICC) became widespread and changed substantially the approach to the patients venous system. They guarantee, both in hospital and at home, a stable and safe vascular access to administer irritants or vesicants therapies. However, the benefit provided may occasionally be affected by relevant thrombotic complications especially in patients with hypercoagulability such as oncological patients. Among the identification of independent risk factors, the role of a BMI&amp;gt;25 kg/m2 is now emerging in literature with conflicting results. Material and Methods Oncological patients with PICC were included in this multicenter prospective study. We evaluated clinical data, BMI, KPS, steroid therapies and anticoagulants at the time of PICC positioning and at regular intervals. Results A total of 51 patients were analyzed. The median KPS was 90 (range 80-100), and the median ECOG was 1 (range 0-3). The most common tumors were represented by: lymphomas both Hodgkin and non-Hodgkin (38%), lymphatic and myeloid leukemia (35%), neurooncological tumors including glioblastoma, primary central nervous system lymphoma, anaplastic astrocytoma and meningioma (15%), other solid cancer (breast, gastroesophageal, rectal cancer) (12%).55% patients were at first diagnoses, 12% were at the first recurrence, and the remaining were at the second or third recurrence. No malpositioning were registered. 18% of patients were on anticoagulant/antiplatelet therapy, 67% were treated with steroids. Concerning BMI, 39% was normal weight, 43% overweight and 10% obese, only 2% was considered underweight. Overall, 8% of patients developed PICC related thrombosis within a median time of 68 days (49-87) after PICC implantation mainly occurred in upper right extremity insertion sites. We therefore assessed the incidence of PICC related thromboembolic events in the groups, with 4% of event registered in the cohort of patients overweight/obese, and 14% of events in the cohort of patients with normal weight/underweight. Conclusion Preliminary analysis does not allow to draw firm conclusions. It will therefore be necessary to reach the sample size for achieve generalizable results and confirm the risk of developing thromboembolic events in overweight/obese patients. Meanwhile, an accurate anamnesis and a physical evaluation with particular attention to the presence of malnutrition, both over nutrition and undernutrition, could help to identify potential oncological patients at risk of developing PICC related thrombosis.

Neonatal congenital heart surgery: contemporary outcomes and risk profile

ObjectiveMany studies still dispute the identification of independent risk factors that influence outcome after neonatal cardiac surgery. We present our study to announce the contemporary outcomes and risk profile of neonatal cardiac surgery at our institute.MethodsWe designed a retrospective study of neonatal patients who underwent surgery for congenital heart diseases between June 2011 and April 2020. Demographic, operative, and postoperative data were collected from medical records and surgical databases. The primary outcome was the operative mortality (in-hospital death) and secondary outcomes included hospital length of stay, intensive care unit stay, duration of mechanical ventilation.ResultsIn total, 1155 cardiac surgeries in children were identified; of these, 136 (11.8%) were performed in neonates. Arterial switch operations (48 cases) were the most frequent procedures. Postoperatively, 11 (8.1%) patients required extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, and 4 (2.9%) patients had complete heart block. Postoperative in-hospital mortality was 11%. The median postoperative duration of mechanical ventilation, intensive care unit stay, and hospital length of stay were 6, 18, and 24 days, respectively.ConclusionThe early outcomes of neonatal cardiac surgery are encouraging. The requirement of postoperative extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support, postoperative intracranial hemorrhage, and acute kidney were identified as independent risk factors of mortality following surgery for congenital heart defects in neonates.

Identification of Independent Risk Factors for Skin Complications in a Multifactorial Logistic Regression Analysis of Simultaneous Immediate Autologous Breast Reconstruction and Skin Reduction Mastectomy in Large and Ptotic Breasts Using an Inferiorly Based Deepithelialized Dermal Breast Flap.

Autologous immediate breast reconstruction in large and ptotic breasts remains challenging. We aimed to identify independent risk factors for impaired wound healing and nipple necrosis after skin reducing wise pattern mastectomy in autologous reconstruction with an auxiliary deepithelialized inferiorly based dermal flap (IBDF). Methods. This retrospective study examined patients with wise pattern mastectomy with autologous immediate breast reconstruction (IBR) between 2017 and 2019. All cases of large and ptotic breasts were included. Demographic, oncologic, reconstructive, and surgical data were compiled, and multifactorial binary logistic regression models identified independent predictors for skin complications and nipple areolar complex (NAC) necrosis. Results. Of 591 autologous breast reconstructions, 62 (11%) met the inclusion criteria. Overall wound complication rate was 32% (n = 20, DIEP 11, thigh 9, p = 0.99), including 26% minor (n = 16, non-surgically treated) and 7% major complications (n = 4, surgically treated). Complete NAC necrosis occurred in one case. Nipple sparing mastectomy (NSM) (p = 0.003), high BMI (p = 0.019), longer operation time (p = 0.044) and higher patient age (p = 0.045) were independent risk factors for skin complications. Using internal mammary artery perforators (IMAP) as recipient vessels did not result in increased complication rates (p = 0.59). Conclusion. Higher patient age, BMI, and operation time (OT) significantly increase the risk for skin complications in combined reduction wise pattern mastectomies with autologous IBR. In this context, IBDFs help preserve the inframammary fold, providing vasculature to the T-junction and the mastectomy skin flaps. Acceptable complication rates can be achieved in large and ptotic breasts, regardless of preoperative chemotherapy or radiation. Gentle tissue handling with minimal thermal trauma preserves internal mammary artery perforators (IMAPs) as recipient vessels. In cases of flap failure and alloplastic conversion, the IBDF can serve as an autoderm, protecting the implant from exposure

Clinico-Biochemical Profile and Identification of Independent Risk Factors of Frequent Relapse in Childhood-Onset Steroid-Sensitive Nephrotic Syndrome.

Background and aimNephrotic syndrome is one of the commonest glomerular diseases in children, and the majority of them have minimal change lesions in histology with a favorable outcome. Most children with minimal change disease (MCD) are steroid-sensitive, but half of them have a frequent relapse and a prolonged course. This study was conducted to evaluate the clinical manifestations and biochemical profile and to determine independent risk factors of frequent relapse in children with steroid-sensitive nephrotic syndrome (SSNS).MethodsThis was a tertiary care hospital-based observational study conducted at the pediatric department of Kalinga Institute of Medical Sciences (KIMS), Bhubaneswar, India, from October 2017 to September 2019. Fifty-three children from age one to 15 years admitted with steroid-sensitive nephrotic syndrome diagnosed as per the International Study of Kidney Disease in Children (ISKDC) criteria were enrolled in the study. On admission, history-taking, physical examination, and routine hematological and biochemical tests were carried out. Children who had no infection were started oral prednisolone at the dose of 2 mg/kg/day for six weeks, followed by 1.5 mg/kg/day on alternate days for six weeks with daily follow-up for evidence of proteinuria till remission. The parameters evaluated were age at presentation, sex, type of presentation, precipitating factors, laboratory findings, and rapidity of steroid response. All children were followed up for one year, and those with no relapse over a period of one year after remission served as the control group to determine the risk factors for relapse. Data were analyzed using standard statistical software (Stata version 13.1, StataCorp LLC, College Station, Texas, USA).ResultsOf the 53 cases, 47% of the children had a relapse. In the relapse category, 88% were male, and 67% were between one and 5.5 years. The clinical manifestations during the first episode in the relapse group were similar to the no relapse group. Investigations revealed that 64% of the children with relapse had serum total protein ≤ 4.2 g/dL (p = 0) and that 59% had serum albumin ≤ 1.8 g/dL (p = 0.004). In the relapse group, 41% of the children went into remission within two weeks of initiation of therapy as compared with 80% in the no relapse group.ConclusionThe risk factors determined for relapse in SSNS are male sex, younger age, low serum albumin, low serum total protein, and delayed response to steroid therapy.

Estimating Risk of Cardiovascular Disease Among Long-Term Colorectal Cancer Survivors: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

BackgroundConcerns about a growing number of colorectal cancer survivors have emerged regarding cardiovascular disease (CVD) risks. However, there is not yet a predictive tool that can estimate CVD risk and support the management of healthcare as well as disease prevention in terms of CVD risk among long-term colorectal cancer survivors.AimTo develop predictive tools to estimate individualized overall and each subtype of CVD risk using a nationwide cohort in South Korea.Methods and ResultsA total of 4,709 newly diagnosed patients with colorectal cancer who survived at least 5 years in the National Health Insurance System were analyzed. Cox proportional hazard regression was used for the identification of independent risk factors for the derivation of predictive nomograms, which were validated in an independent cohort (n = 3,957). Age, fasting serum glucose, γ-glutamyl transpeptidase, Charlson comorbidity index, household income, body mass index, history of chemotherapy, cigarette smoking, and alcohol consumption were identified as independent risk factors for either overall CVD or each subtype of CVD subtype. Based on the identified independent risk factors, six independent nomograms for each CVD category were developed. Validation by an independent cohort demonstrated a good calibration with a median C-index of 0.687. According to the nomogram-derived median score, relative risks of 2.643, 1.821, 4.656, 2.629, 4.248, and 5.994 were found for overall CVD, ischemic heart disease, myocardial infarction, total stroke, ischemic stroke, and hemorrhage stroke in the validation cohort.ConclusionsThe predictive tools were developed with satisfactory accuracy. The derived nomograms may support the estimation of overall and individual CVD risk for long-term colorectal cancer survivors.

Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio Is Associated With Occurrence of Febrile Neutropenia in Patients Treated With 5-Fluorouracil and Cisplatin.

This study aimed to determine whether a high neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was associated with the occurrence of febrile neutropenia (FN). Japanese patients with esophageal cancer who had been treated with first-line 5-fluorouracil and cisplatin therapy at Fujita Health University from April 2016 to March 2021 were enrolled in this retrospective cohort study. The primary outcome was the identification of independent risk factors for FN. One hundred and fourteen patients were enrolled. Advanced cancer (hazard ratios (HR)=6.731) and an NLR ≥3 (HR=4.849) were identified as risk factors for FN. Furthermore, FN occurred earlier in patients with high NLR than in patients with low NLR. Advanced cancer and a high NLR might be predictors of the occurrence of severe neutropenia and FN in patients treated with 5-fluorouracil and cisplatin therapy.

Identification of independent risk factors for intraoperative gastroesophageal reflux in adult patients undergoing general anesthesia.

BACKGROUNDGastroesophageal reflux (GER) affects up to 20% of the adult population and is defined as troublesome and frequent symptoms of heartburn or regurgitation. GER produces significantly harmful impacts on quality of life and precipitates poor mental well-being. However, the potential risk factors for the incidence and extent of GER in adults undergoing general anesthesia remain unclear.AIMTo explore independent risk factors for the incidence and extent of GER during general anesthesia induction. METHODSA retrospective study was conducted, and 601 adult patients received general anesthesia intubation or laryngeal mask surgery between July 2016 and January 2019 in Shanghai General Hospital of Nanjing Medical University. This study recruited a total of 601 adult patients undergoing general anesthesia, and the characteristics of patients and the incidence or extent of GER were recorded. The potential risk factors for the incidence of GER were explored using multivariate logistic regression, and the risk factors for the extent of GER were evaluated using multivariate linear regression.RESULTSThe current study included 601 adult patients, 82 patients with GER and 519 patients without GER. Overall, we noted significant differences between GER and non-GER for pharyngitis, history of GER, other digestive tract diseases, history of asthma, and the use of sufentanil (P < 0.05), while no significant differences between groups were observed for sex, age, type of surgery, operative time, body mass index, intraoperative blood loss, smoking status, alcohol intake, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, psychiatric history, history of respiratory infection, history of surgery, the use of lidocaine, palliative strategies, propofol, or rocuronium bromide, state anxiety inventory, trait anxiety inventory, and self-rating depression scale (P > 0.05). The results of multivariate logistic regression indicated that female sex [odds ratio (OR): 2.702; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.144-6.378; P = 0.023], increased age (OR: 1.031; 95%CI: 1.008-1.056; P = 0.009), pharyngitis (OR: 31.388; 95%CI: 15.709-62.715; P < 0.001), and history of GER (OR: 11.925; 95%CI: 4.184-33.989; P < 0.001) were associated with an increased risk of GER, whereas the use of propofol could protect against the risk of GER (OR: 0.942; 95%CI: 0.892-0.994; P = 0.031). Finally, age (P = 0.004), operative time (P < 0.001), pharyngitis (P < 0.001), history of GER (P = 0.024), and hypertension (P = 0.017) were significantly associated with GER time.CONCLUSIONThis study identified the risk factors for GER in patients undergoing general anesthesia including female sex, increased age, pharyngitis, and history of GER.

The role of body mass index in the development of thromboembolic events among cancer patients with PICCs: a systematic review

ObjectivePeripherally inserted central catheters (PICC) guarantee a stable and safe vascular access to administer irritants or vesicants therapies. However, they may occasionally be affected by relevant thrombotic complications especially in patients with hypercoagulability such as oncological patients. Among the identification of independent risk factors, the role of body mass index (BMI) ≥25 kg/m2 is now emerging in literature with conflicting results. The aim of this systematic review is to analyze the available scientific literature in order to determine whether BMI could represent a risk factor in the development of thromboembolic event among cancer patients with PICCs. Data sources and review methodsA scientific literature review was performed in Pubmed, Embase and Cinahl from Jan 1, 2010 to September 10, 2020 in which we identified 100 records. Of these, 88 were excluded and 14 were reviewed in full text. Among the reviewed records, 6 articles satisfied the inclusion criteria for analysis. These criteria included the English language, oncological patients with PICCs, the evaluation of catheter-related thrombosis as well as the stratification of patients according to BMI. Studies off topic and lacking data on PICC related complications among overweight and underweight patients were excluded. The includedstudies, judged with Newcastle-Ottawa Scale, was fair-lower quality. The primary endpoint was the relative risk (RR) of PICC-related thrombosis of overweight/obese vs normal weight/underweight (i.e., BMI ≥25 vs <25 kg/m2) in cancer patients. ResultsA total of 2431 patients were included in the analysis. Overall, 15.1% of patients developed PICC-related thrombosis within a median time of 23.2 days (range 11.0-42.5) after PICC implantation. Concerning BMI, 52.6% of the entire population was overweight/obese. We assessed the proportion of patients with PICC-related thrombotic events in the two groups, with 28% (95% CI, 12%-45%) of events registered in the overweight/obese patients cohort, and 13% (95% CI, 6%-19%) in the normal weight/underweight cohort. The pooled relative risk (RR) was 2.06 (95% CI, 1.21-3.49, p<0.001) in overweight/obese vs normal weight/underweight patients. ConclusionThis review showed a two-fold risk of thrombosis in overweight/obese compared to normal weight/underweight oncological patients with PICCs. Underweight condition could also play a role in thrombosis development, especially in nasopharyngeal and digestive system cancer. Future prospective studies are needed to achieve reliable results and produce useful conclusion.

Risk factors of sudden cardiac death in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.

Purpose of reviewHypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is one of the leading causes of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in younger people and athletes. It is crucial to identify the risk factors for SCD in individuals with HCM. This review, based on recent systematic literature studies, will focus on the risk factors for SCD in patients with HCM.Recent findingsAn increasing number of studies have further explored the risk factors for SCD in patients with HCM, and new risk markers have emerged accordingly. In addition, more accurate SCD risk estimation and stratification methods have been proposed and continuously improved.SummaryThe identification of independent risk factors for HCM-related SCD would likely contribute to risk stratification. However, it is difficult to predict SCD with absolute certainty, as the annual incidence of SCD in adult patients with HCM is approximately 1%. The review discusses the established risk factors, such as a family history of SCD, unexplained syncope and some new risk factors. Taken together, the findings of this review demonstrate that there is a need for further research on individual risk factors and that SCD risk stratification in HCM patients remains a clinical challenge.

P12.04 Body Mass Index: a possible PICC-related complications risk factor in neuro oncological patients

Abstract BACKGROUND The use of central venous catheter with peripheral insertion (PICC) has increased rapidly in recent years particularly in cancer patients because they represent a stable and safe vascular access to administer irritants or vesicants therapies. However, the benefit provided may occasionally be affected by severe complications. An observational study conducted at our Institute, showed a significant increase of thromboembolic risk in neuro-oncological patients compared to general cancer population (16.3% vs 6.7% respectively). For this reason, it is essential to identify independent risk factors in order to avoid preventable harm. MATERIAL AND METHODS Neuro-oncological patients with PICC that developed a thromboembolic event were retrospectively analyzed. We evaluated clinical data, BMI, KPS, steroid therapies and anticoagulants at the time of positioning of the PICC and at the onset of the thrombotic event. RESULTS A total of 90 neuro-oncological patients have been analyzed. The most common histology was represented by glioblastoma, followed by anaplastic astrocytoma, primary central nervous system lymphoma, grade II glioma. 17.6% of patients were at first diagnoses, 41.6% were at the first recurrence, and the remaining patients were at the second or third recurrence. The median KPS was 90 (range 80–100), and the median ECOG was 0 (range 0–2). Overall, 14% patients developed thromboembolic events within a median time of 34.5 days (range 5–146) after PICC implantation. Among these, 64% of patients was considered overweight. No patients were on anticoagulant therapy but all were treated with a median dose of 5.5 mg of steroids (range 3,5-12), stable between PICC insertion and onset of adverse event. CONCLUSION 64% of patients who developed a thromboembolic event had BMI &amp;gt;28 at the time of PICC insertion, suggesting a possible trend towards a risk of developing PICC related thrombosis in overweight/obese patients. Other independent risk factors for PICC associated complications seems to be amount of previous chemotherapies administered: 82% of patients who developed thrombotic complications had already undergone at least one line of chemotherapy before PICC placement, suggesting this condition as a possible risk factor for the onset of the event. Also failed positioning attempts could damage vascular endothelium, contributing to the onset of thrombotic complications. An accurate anamnesis and a physical evaluation with particular attention to the presence of malnutrition could help in the in the early identification of independent risk factors that could farther negatively influence the outcome of neuro-oncological patients.

Resective temporal lobe surgery in refractory temporal lobe epilepsy: prognostic factors of postoperative seizure outcome

OBJECTIVE Temporal lobe epilepsy (TLE) is one of the most common forms of epilepsy. In approximately 30% of patients, seizures are refractory to drug treatment. Despite the achievements of modern presurgical evaluation in recent years, the presurgical prediction of seizure outcome remains difficult. The aim of this study was to evaluate the seizure outcome in patients with drug-refractory TLE who underwent resective temporal lobe surgery (rTLS) and to determine features associated with unfavorable postsurgical seizure outcome. METHODS Patients with medically refractory TLE who underwent rTLS between 2012 and 2017 were reviewed from the prospectively collected epilepsy surgery database. A retrospective analysis of clinical, radiological, neuropsychological, histopathological, and perioperative findings of 161 patients was performed. The patients were divided into two groups according to seizure outcome (group I, International League Against Epilepsy [ILAE] class 1; group II, ILAE class ≥ 2). For identification of independent risk factors for unfavorable postoperative seizure outcome (ILAE class ≥ 2), a multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed. RESULTS Seizure freedom (ILAE class 1) was achieved in 121 patients (75.2%). The neuropsychological evaluation demonstrated that losses in cognitive performance were more pronounced in verbal memory after resections in the left temporal lobe and in nonverbal memory after right-sided resections, whereas attention improved after surgery. Overall, postoperative visual field deficits (VFDs) were common and occurred in 51% of patients. There was no statistically significant difference in the incidence of VFD in patients with selective surgical procedures compared to the patients with nonselective procedures. The lack of MRI lesions and placement of depth electrodes were preoperatively identified as predictors for unfavorable seizure outcome. CONCLUSIONS rTLS is an effective treatment method in patients with refractory TLE. However, patients with a lack of MRI lesions and placement of depth electrodes prior to rTLS are at higher risk for an unfavorable postsurgical seizure outcome.

Identification of independent risk factors for diabetic neuropathy progression in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

ObjectiveTo identify independent risk factors for diabetic neuropathy (DN) in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed 376 patients with T2DM at the First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, China between January 2013 and October 2016. Multivariate logistic regression was used to explore potential risk factors for progression of DN in patients with T2DM. Effect sizes were estimated using odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).ResultsThe prevalence of DN in patients with T2DM was 43.1%. Multivariate logistic regression indicated that retinopathy (OR: 2.755, 95% CI: 1.599–4.746); diabetic nephropathy (OR: 2.196, 95% CI: 1.279–3.772); longer duration of T2DM (OR: 1.081, 95% CI: 1.045–1.120); use of insulin (OR: 1.091, 95% CI: 1.018–1.170); longer history of alcohol consumption (OR: 1.034, 95% CI: 1.010–1.059); and higher blood urea nitrogen (OR: 1.081, 95% CI: 1.009–1.159) were associated with increased risk of DN in patients with T2DM.ConclusionsRetinopathy, diabetic nephropathy, longer duration of T2DM, use of insulin, longer history of alcohol consumption, and higher blood urea nitrogen were independent risk factors for DN. These findings should be verified in large-scale prospective studies.

A Novel Risk Stratification System for Ischemic Stroke in Japanese Patients With Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation.

Recently, identification of independent risk factors for ischemic stroke in Japanese non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients was made by analyzing the 5 major Japanese registries: J-RHYTHM Registry, Fushimi AF Registry, Shinken Database, Keio interhospital Cardiovascular Studies, and the Hokuriku-Plus AF Registry.Methods and Results:The predictive value of the risk scheme in Japanese NVAF patients was assessed. Of 16,918 patients, 12,289 NVAF patients were analyzed (mean follow up, 649±181 days). Hazard ratios (HRs) of each significant, independent risk factor were determined by using adjusted Cox-hazard proportional analysis. Scoring system for ischemic stroke was created by transforming HR logarithmically and was estimated by c-statistic. During the 21,820 person-years follow up, 241 ischemic stroke events occurred. Significant risk factors were: being elderly (aged 75-84 years [E], HR=1.74), extreme elderly (≥85 years [EE], HR=2.41), having hypertension (H, HR=1.60), previous stroke (S, HR=2.75), type of AF (persistent/permanent) (T, HR=1.59), and low body mass index <18.5 kg/m2(L, HR=1.55) after adjusting for oral anticoagulant treatment. The score was assigned as follows: 1 point to H, E, L, and T, and 2 points to EE and S (HELT-E2S2score). The C-statistic, using this score, was 0.681 (95% confidence interval [CI]=0.647-0.714), which was significantly higher than those using CHADS2(0.647; 95% CI=0.614-0.681, P=0.027 for comparison) and CHA2DS2-VASc scores (0.641; 95% CI=0.608-0.673, P=0.008). The HELT-E2S2score may be useful for identifying Japanese NVAF patients at risk of ischemic stroke.