Radiotherapy (RT) for advanced oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) is effective, especially when combined with chemotherapy (CRT). However, its success can vary depending on factors, such as tumor stage, HPV infection (p16 status), and the patient's nutritional and immune status. This study examined the controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score and tumor immunity as predictive factors for treatment outcomes in OPC, aiming to develop a personalized risk score. A retrospective analysis was conducted on 84 patients with OPC treated with definitive RT or CRT, and survival outcomes were compared based on various factors, including BMI, CONUT score, CD8 expression, and HLA class II expression. We observed better overall survival (OS) rates in CD8-positive patients and those with higher HLA class II expression. The univariate analysis identified stage, p16 status, BMI, CONUT score, and CD8 expression as significantly associated with OS. In multivariate analysis, stage, BMI, and CONUT score remained significant predictors of OS. A risk scoring system was developed based on stage, p16 status, BMI, CONUT score, and CD8 expression. Patients were categorized into low-risk and high-risk groups, with significantly better survival in the low-risk group. A combined risk score incorporating clinical, nutritional, and immune factors can improve the prediction of treatment outcomes for OPC patients. This risk stratification may enable personalized treatment plans and improve ΟS rates.