ABSTRACT The lives of millions of people, who fled from Ukraine after Russia's full-scale invasion in February 2022, were turned upside down from one day to the next. When faced with such an abrupt escape, what initial thoughts do refugees have about whether to remain in their new host country or to return when the war ends? In this study, we focus on refugees' initial return aspirations soon after their escape. We conduct an in-depth analysis of how individual background factors and circumstances affect refugees' aspirations to remain or return. Based on unique data collected during the months immediately following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, we use survey data on Ukrainian refugees in Norway to examine their return aspirations and what individual factors that affect these aspirations and qualitative interviews with Ukrainian refugees to explore the rationales for their initial aspirations. We find that only one-fourth plan to return to Ukraine as soon as the war ends. Our analysis of how individual factors affect initial return aspirations both support and contradict previous research. Thus, we discuss how our apparently contradictory findings provide theoretical nuances of how host country and refugee group characteristics interplay with individual predictors of initial return aspirations.