Higher Risk Of Worse Prognosis Research Articles

Prognostic Role of Basal Serum Alpha-Fetoprotein in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Suitable for Curative Treatment.

Background and Objectives: Serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is a recognized affordable oncological marker in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, AFP's prognostic role has been assessed mainly after specific treatments, and no unanimously recognized cut-offs have been identified. The aim of this study is to investigate the prognostic role of different basal AFP cut-offs on survival and HCC course. Materials and Methods: In this single-center, retrospective study, all patients newly diagnosed with HCC between January 2009 and December 2021 were prospectively enrolled. Only patients suitable for curative HCC treatments were included in the analyses. Patients were stratified according to AFP cut-offs of 20, 200, 400, and 1000 ng/mL, which were correlated with survival outcomes and clinical parameters. Results: A total of 266 patients were analyzed, with a median follow-up time of 41.5 months. Median overall survival (OS) of all cohort was 43 months. At the multivariate Cox-regression analysis, AFP value ≥ 1000 ng/mL correlated with impaired OS (1-year OS: 67% vs. 88%, 5-year OS: 1% vs. 43%; p = 0.005); other risk factors were tumor dimension ≥ 5 cm (HR 1.73; p = 0.002), Child-Pugh class B-C (HR 1.72; p = 0.002), BCLC stage A (vs. 0) (HR 2.4; p = 0.011), and malignant portal vein thrombosis (HR 2.57; p = 0.007). AFP ≥ 1000 ng/mL was also associated with a reduced recurrence-free survival (HR 2.0; p = 0.038), while starting from AFP ≥ 20 ng/mL, a correlation with development of HCC metastases over time (HR 3.5; p = 0.002) was seen. AFP values ≥ 20 ng/mL significantly correlated with tumor size and higher histological grading; starting from AFP values ≥ 400 ng/mL, a significant correlation with Child-Pugh class B-C and female gender was also observed. Conclusions: Basal AFP correlates with relevant outcomes in patients with HCC. It could help identify patients at a higher risk of worse prognosis who might benefit from personalized surveillance and treatment programs. Prospective studies are needed to confirm these results.

Covid-19 Pandemic and Metabolic Aging

In contrast to chronological aging, biological aging or metabolic aging is a relative age of cells and tissues and the damage they've accumulated over years. Comparison of one's basal metabolic rate (BMR) to the average BMR of one's chronological age group gives the Metabolic age. Higher metabolic age of younger population is a serious concern and a key factor that leads to metabolic disorders in all age groups. Slower metabolism is a symbol of older age. Higher metabolic age indicates poor metabolism and higher risk of getting diseases and health complications later in life. Therefore, aging faster metabolically can severely impact chronological age. People with obesity and diabetes suffered the most due to current ongoing Covid-19 pandemic. Data suggest that SARS-CoV-2 patients with concomitant metabolic diseases had higher risk of worse prognosis and mortality. Lowering metabolic age can thus reduce the risk of getting age related health conditions and mitigate morbidities caused by pandemic like Covid-19. Therefore, maintaining healthy metabolic age in all age groups is required in the current unprecedented times. The aim of the review is to raise the prime concerns and to improve the population health outcomes by reducing the metabolic age.

Left atrial pressure in patients with respiratory failure due to SARS-CoV-2 infection and supraventricular arrythmias.

Left atrial pressure in patients with respiratory failure due to SARS-CoV-2 infection and supraventricular arrythmias.

POSB396 Identification of Risk Factors Associated with ICU Admission in COVID-19 Patients

The study gauged about the people who seemed to be at higher risk of worse prognosis and required intensive care unit after COVID-19 infection. This retrospective observational study included patients diagnosed with COVID-19 infection between 1st April to 30th September 2020 with ICD-10 CM diagnosis recorded in a large deidentified database of US health insurance claims. Only the patients having continuous enrollment between 1 year before (baseline period) to 3 months post (follow-up period) first diagnosis of COVID-19 (index date) were included in study. Comorbid conditions were identified using ICD-10 CM codes during the 1-year baseline period. The primary outcome variable was the advanced medical care admission due to COVID-19. Multivariate regression model was used to assess the association between sociodemographic characteristics, baseline comorbid conditions and advanced medical care admission related to COVID-19. The study included 176,284 patients with diverse race/ethnicity (83,863 [47.6%] White, 18,708 [10.6%] African-American, and 27,211 [15.4%] Hispanic), a mean (SD) age of 55.5 (21.9) years and 44% males. Regression adjusted clinical predictors for ICU admission included asthma (OR: 1.32 CI: 1.16-1.50), chronic kidney disease (OR: 1.36 CI: 1.23-1.51), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR: 1.35 CI: 1.20-1.52), diabetes (OR: 1.55 CI: 1.41-1.72), heart failure (OR: 1.15 CI: 1.01-1.31), hyperlipidemia (OR: 1.18 CI: 1.07-1.31), hypertension (OR: 1.81 CI: 1.61-2.01), rheumatoid arthritis / osteo arthritis (OR: 1.14 CI: 1.04-1.25). Demographics related risk factors included male sex (OR: 1.52 CI: 1.40-1.66) older age->=55 years (OR: 2.11 CI: 1.90-2.36) and African-American race (OR: 1.19 CI: 1.05-1.36) and Hispanic race (OR: 1.37 CI: 1.29-1.54). Identification of patients at higher risk for complication was critical during COVID-19 pandemic. Mostly, elderly male population having high comorbidity burden required advanced care unit. These results call for further investigation of risk factors, additional studies should be performed on large potential cohorts to increase their validity.

The Prognostic Significance of Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR), Monocyte to Lymphocyte Ratio (MLR) and Platelet to Lymphocyte Ratio (PLR) on Long-Term Survival in Off-Pump Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting (OPCAB) Procedures.

Simple SummaryInflammatory processes are involved in the development and progression of coronary artery disease. Environmental factors, including hyperglycaemia, hyperlipidaemia, or smoking, promote endothelial disfunction. This process generates inflammation, which further exaggerates vascular wall injury. Immune cells migrate to the endothelium after its damage and promote platelets activation. Cardiac surgery activates inflammatory response. The knowledge on the intensity of immune cells activation may enable assessment of long-term consequences, including increased morbidity and mortality. The off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting technique allows to minimize systemic inflammatory reaction; however, some extent of the response still exists and may influence surgical results. The assessment of inflammatory response has undeniable value in coronary artery disease management. Several markers have been proposed; however, indices widely available from whole blood count are most valuable in daily practice. We evaluated and proposed the use of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), monocyte to lymphocyte ratio (MLR), and platelets to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in the prognosis of the long-term outcomes after off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting. Patients who present with abnormally increased values of pre-operative and post-operative NLR, MLR, and PLR should undergo meticulous follow-up controls, as they are burdened with a higher risk of death.Background: Cardiovascular diseases, apart from commonly known risk factors, are related to inflammation. There are several simple novel markers proposed to present the relation between inflammatory reactions activation and atherosclerotic changes. They are easily available from whole blood count and include neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), monocyte to lymphocyte ratio (MLR), and platelets to lymphocyte ratio (PLR). The RDW results were excluded from the analysis. Method and results: The study based on retrospective single-centre analysis of 682 consecutive patients (131 (19%) females and 551 (81%) males) with median age of 66 years (60–71) who underwent off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (OPCAB) procedure. During the median 5.3 +/− 1.9 years follow-up, there was a 87% cumulative survival rate. The laboratory parameters including preoperative MLR > 0.2 (HR 2.46, 95% CI 1.33–4.55, p = 0.004) and postoperative NLR > 3.5 (HR 1.75, 95% CI 1.09–2.79, p = 0.019) were found significant for long-term mortality prediction in multivariable analysis. Conclusion: Hematological indices NLR and MLR can be regarded as significant predictors of all-cause long-term mortality after OPCAB revascularization. Multivariable analysis revealed preoperative values of MLR > 0.2 and postoperative values of NLR > 3.5 as simple, reliable factors which may be applied into clinical practice for meticulous postoperative monitoring of patients in higher risk of worse prognosis.

The HPV and p63 Status in Penile Cancer Are Linked with the Infiltration and Therapeutic Availability of Neutrophils.

Squamous penile cancer displays a rare human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated tumor entity. Investigations on the molecular pathogenesis of HPV-driven penile cancer are impaired by the rareness of clinical specimens and, in particular, are missing relevant cell culture models. Here, we identified in HPV-positive penile cancer cell lines that HPV16 oncoproteins control TP63 expression by modulating critical regulators, while integration into the TP63 open reading frame facilitates oncogene expression. The resulting feed-forward loop leads to elevated p63 levels that in turn enhance the release of the neutrophil-recruiting chemokine CXCL8. Remarkably, elevated CXCL8 amounts lead to the increased surface exposition of the Fc receptor of human IgA antibodies, FcαRI, on neutrophils and correlated with a higher susceptibility to antibody-dependent neutrophil-mediated cytotoxicity (ADCC) using an EGFR-specific IgA2 antibody. IHC staining of tissue microarrays proved that elevated expression of p63 together with neutrophil infiltration were significantly more frequent in HPV-positive penile cancer displaying a higher tumor grade. In summary, we identified a promising marker profile of patients with penile cancer at higher risk for worse prognosis. However, these patients may benefit from immunotherapeutic approaches efficiently engaging neutrophils for tumor cell killing.

ICU admission of COVID-19 patients: Identification of risk factors

ABSTRACT Background The WHO has declared COVID-19 as a global pandemic with a rapidly increasing number of patients at a rate exceeding the limits of health-care resources. Some people seem to be at higher risk of worse prognosis and increased mortality. Identifying these vulnerable groups is a necessity. Aim of study To identify the risk factors associated with ICU admission in COVID-19 patients. Methodology We present a retrospective study where the clinical data of patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 infection were collected from Ain-Shams University Isolation-Hospital records on admission from 10 April 2020 to 30 July 2020 to identify risk factors in patients requiring ICU admission during hospital stay. Results Of 323 subjects diagnosed by the RT-PCR as positive COVID-19, 62 (19.2%) of which were admitted at the ICU. The mean age of the subjects was 46.6 ± 16 years. Significant morbidities were associated with higher age groups (p value 0.000), smokers (p value 0.004), Cairo-residents (p value 0.009), being a health-care provider (p value 0.001) and hypertensive patients (p value 0.000). Conclusions Elderly, smokers, diabetic and hypertensive need further attention during disease course. Our results call for further investigations of risk factors for COVID-19 severity; preferably on large prospective cohorts, to increase their validity.

High CA19-9 level in resectable pancreatic cancer is a potential indication of neoadjuvant treatment

BackgroundPrevious studies on borderline resectable (BR) pancreatic cancer (PC) included patients with heterogenous preoperative states; however, the definition of resectability for PC has evolved. We aimed to investigate the prognostic factors for PC other than anatomical resectability in those who underwent upfront resection and discuss the optimal treatment strategy for PC. MethodsWe retrospectively examined 431 patients who underwent upfront surgery with curative intent between 2007 and 2014. The association between clinical characteristics and survival outcomes was assessed by stratifying patients according to risk factors. The patients were categorized into four groups based on anatomical (resectable [R]/BR) and biological features (CA19-9 ≤500/>500 U/mL): anatomical R with CA19-9 ≤500 U/mL (favorable-R); anatomical BR with CA19-9 ≤500 U/mL (favorable-BR); anatomical R with CA19-9 >500 U/mL (risky-R); and anatomical BR with CA19-9 >500 U/mL (risky-BR). ResultsOverall, 320 and 111 patients had anatomical R- and BR-PC, respectively. A modified Glasgow prognostic score = 2 (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.73), NLR>5 (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.54), CA19-9 >500 U/mL (HR: 1.86), and anatomical BR (HR: 1.38) were independent prognostic factors for overall survival. The risky-R group had likely worse prognosis (16 months vs. 19 months, P = 0.0605) and a significantly higher early recurrence rate (36% vs 18%, P = 0.0231) than the favorable-BR group. ConclusionsIt is essential to stratify and distinguish PC patients at a high risk of worse prognosis. Risky-R was an unfavorable prognostic factor and should thus be considered in the decision-making for treatment with neoadjuvant chemotherapy, in addition to anatomical BR-PC.

The StarT back screening tool and a pain mannequin improve triage in individuals with low back pain at risk of a worse prognosis \u2013 a population based cohort study

BackgroundThe STarT Back Screening Tool (SBT) identifies patients with low back pain (LBP) at risk of a worse prognosis of persistent disabling back pain, and thereby facilitates triage to appropriate treatment level. However, the SBT does not consider the pain distribution, which is a known predictor of chronic widespread pain (CWP). The aim of this study was to determine if screening by the SBT and screening of multisite chronic widespread pain (MS-CWP) could identity individuals with a worse prognosis. A secondary aim was to analyze self-reported health in individuals with and without LBP, in relation to the combination of these two screening tools.MethodsOne hundred and nineteen individuals (aged 40–71 years, mean (SD) 59 (8) years), 52 with LBP and 67 references, answered two screening tools; the SBT and a pain mannequin – as well as a questionnaire addressing self-reported health. The SBT stratifies into low, medium or high risk of a worse prognosis. The pain mannequin stratifies into either presence or absence of CWP in combination with ≥7 painful areas of pain (0–18), here defined as MS-CWP (high risk of worse prognosis). The two screening tools were studied one-by-one, and as a combined screening. For statistical analyses, independent t-tests and Chi-square tests were used.ResultsBoth the SBT and the pain mannequin identified risk of a worse prognosis in individuals with (p = 0.007) or without (p = 0.001) LBP. We found that the screening tools identified partly different individuals at risk. The SBT identified one individual, while the pain mannequin identified 21 (19%). When combining the two screening methods, 21 individuals (17%) were at high risk of a worse prognosis. When analyzing differences between individuals at high risk (combined SBT and MS-CWP) with those at low risk, individuals at high risk reported worse health (p = 0.013 - < 0.001).ConclusionsBoth screening tools identified individuals at risk, but they captured different aspects, and also different number of individuals at high risk of a worse prognosis. Thus, using a combination may improve early detection and facilitate triage to appropriate treatment level with multimodal approach also in those otherwise missed by the SBT.

Excision repair cross-complementation group 1 protein expression predicts survival in patients with high-grade, non-metastatic osteosarcoma treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

To evaluate the clinical impact of excision repair cross-complementation group 1 (ERCC1) expression in high-grade osteosarcoma (OS). Immunohistochemistry was performed on biopsies from 99 OS patients enrolled in the ISG/OS-Oss training set or ISG/SSG1 validation set neoadjuvant chemotherapy protocols, based on the use of cisplatin, adriamycin, methotrexate, and ifosfamide. In the training set, ERCC1 positivity was found in eight of 31 (26%) patients, and was significantly associated with worse event-free survival (EFS) (P=0.042) and overall survival (OVS) (P=0.001). In the validation set, ERCC1 positivity was found in 22 of 68 (32%) patients, and its significant associations with poorer EFS (P=0.028) and OVS (P=0.022) were confirmed. Multivariate analyses performed on the whole patient series indicated that ERCC1 positivity was the only marker that was significantly associated with a higher risk of worse prognosis, in terms of both EFS and OVS (P=0.013). Co-evaluation of ERCC1 and ABCB1 expression showed that patients who were positive for both markers had a significantly worse prognosis. The ERCC1 level at diagnosis is predictive for the outcome of patients with non-metastatic, high-grade OS treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and co-evaluation with ABCB1 can identify high-risk groups of OS patients who are refractory to standard regimens.