High Risk Of Distant Metastasis Research Articles

Lung adenocarcinoma size as a predictor of distant metastasis: A CT scan-based measurement.

Previous studies have associated tumor size with metastasis and prognosis in lung carcinoma; however, a precise cut-off for predicting distant metastasis in lung adenocarcinoma remains unclear. The aim of this study was to determine the cut-off point for predicting distant metastasis in lung adenocarcinoma. A cross-sectional study was conducted at Dr. Moewardi Hospital, Surakarta, Indonesia, from January 2022 to September 2023. Total sampling was employed, involving patients over 18 years old with a confirmed diagnosis of lung adenocarcinoma based on lung computed tomography (CT) scan findings, who had not yet received chemotherapy and had confirmed metastasis outside the lung. The study's dependent variable was the incidence of distant metastasis, while the independent variable was lung adenocarcinoma size. Two experienced thoracic radiologists measured lung adenocarcinoma size by assessing the longest axis using chest multi-slice computed tomography (MSCT) in the lung window setting. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis determined the optimal tumor size cut-off for predicting distant metastasis. Of 956 thoracic cancer patients, 108 were diagnosed with lung adenocarcinoma. After applying the inclusion and exclusion criteria, 89 patients were eligible. In the present study, tumor size predicted 68.1% of distant metastasis cases, with a cut-off point of 7.25 cm, yielding a sensitivity of 61.9% and a specificity of 61.5%. Tumors >7.25 cm had a 2.60-fold higher risk of distant metastasis compared to smaller tumors, with larger tumors more likely to spread to various sites. In conclusion, lung adenocarcinomas larger than 7.25 cm have a 2.60-fold increased risk of distant metastasis, making tumor size a crucial predictive factor. The study provides valuable insights for radiologists and can improve diagnosis accuracy and treatment planning by emphasizing tumor size as a key factor in managing lung adenocarcinoma.

Establishment of a nomogram model for predicting distant metastasis in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: a comparative analysis of different lymph node staging systems based on the SEER database

The purpose of this study was to compare the predictive value of different lymph node staging systems and to develop an optimal prognostic nomogram for predicting distant metastasis in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Our study involved 6364 patients selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and 126 patients from China. Independent risk factors for distant metastasis were screened by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, and a model-based comparison of different lymph node staging systems was conducted. Furthermore, we developed a nomogram for predicting distant metastasis using the optimal performance lymph node staging system. The lymph node ratio (LNR), log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS), age, primary site, grade, tumor size, American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 7th Edition T stage, and radiotherapy recipient status were significant predictors of distant metastasis in PDAC patients. The model with the LODDS was a better fit than the model with the LNR. We developed a nomogram model based on LODDS and six clinical parameters. The area under the curve (AUC) and concordance index (C-index) of 0.753 indicated that this model satisfied the discrimination criteria. Kaplan–Meier curves indicate a significant difference in OS among patients with different metastasis risks. LODDS seems to have a superior ability to predict distant metastasis in PDAC patients compared with the AJCC 8th Edition N stage, PLN and LNR staging systems. Moreover, we developed a nomogram model for predicting distant metastasis. Clinicians can use the model to detect patients at high risk of distant metastasis and to make further clinical decisions.

Chromothripsis is a novel biomarker for prognosis and differentiation diagnosis of pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms.

This study aimed to identify the role of chromothripsis as a novel biomarker in the prognosis and differentiation diagnosis of pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (pNENs). We conducted next-generation gene sequencing in a cohort of 30 patients with high-grade (G3) pNENs. As a reference, a similar analysis was also performed on 25 patients with low-grade (G1/G2) pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (pNETs). Chromothripsis and its relationship with clinicopathological features and prognosis were investigated. The results showed that DNA damage response and repair gene alteration and TP53 mutation were found in 29 and 11 patients, respectively. A total of 14 out of 55 patients had chromothripsis involving different chromosomes. Chromothripsis had a close relationship with TP53 alteration and higher grade. In the entire cohort, chromothripsis was associated with a higher risk of distant metastasis; both chromothripsis and metastasis (ENETS Stage IV) suggested a significantly shorter overall survival (OS). Importantly, in the high-grade pNENs group, chromothripsis was the only independent prognostic indicator significantly associated with a shorter OS, other than TP53 alteration or pathological pancreatic neuroendocrine carcinomas (pNECs) diagnosis. Chromothripsis can guide worse prognosis in pNENs, and help differentiate pNECs from high-grade (G3) pNETs.

Diagnostic Accuracy of Preoperative Radiologic Findings in Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma: Discrepancies with the Postoperative Pathologic Diagnosis and Implications for Clinical Outcomes.

The diagnostic accuracy of preoperative radiologic findings in predicting the tumor characteristics and clinical outcomes of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) was evaluated across all risk groups. In total, 939 PTMC patients, comprising both low-risk and non-low-risk groups, who underwent surgery were enrolled. The preoperative tumor size and lymph node metastasis (LNM) were evaluated by ultrasonography within 6 months before surgery and compared with the postoperative pathologic findings. Discrepancies between the preoperative and postoperative tumor sizes were analyzed, and clinical outcomes were assessed. The agreement rate between radiological and pathological tumor size was approximately 60%. Significant discrepancies were noted, including an increase in tumor size in 24.3% of cases. Notably, in 10.8% of patients, the postoperative tumor size exceeded 1 cm, despite being initially classified as 0.5 to 1.0 cm based on preoperative imaging. A postoperative tumor size >1 cm was associated with aggressive pathologic factors such as multiplicity, microscopic extrathyroidal extension, and LNM, as well as a higher risk of distant metastasis. In 30.1% of patients, LNM was diagnosed after surgery despite not being suspected before the procedure. This group was characterized by smaller metastatic foci and lower risks of distant metastasis or recurrence than patients with LNM detected both before and after surgery. Among all risk groups of PTMCs, a subset showed an increase in tumor size, reaching 1 cm after surgery. These cases require special consideration due to their association with adverse clinical outcomes, including an elevated risk of distant metastasis.

Neoadjuvant docetaxel-cisplatin followed by concurrent chemoradiotherapy and adjuvant tislelizumab for locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A multicenter, single-arm, phase II trial.

e18047 Background: Patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC) have a high risk of distant metastasis or recurrence despite the current standard of neoadjuvant chemotherapy and concurrent chemoradiation (CCRT), indicating the need of more comprehensive treatment. Due to good compliance and convenient adverse event management, the TP (docetaxel and cisplatin) regimen is more widely accepted and commonly used as a neoadjuvant chemotherapy for LA-NPC in the real world. Immune checkpoint blockade therapy plus chemotherapy has been shown to improve the survival in recurrent or metastatic NPC. We investigated the efficacy and safety of tislelizumab, an anti-PD-1 monoclonal antibody, as adjuvant treatment in patients with LA-NPC that had the neoadjuvant TP chemotherapy and CCRT. Methods: This multicenter, open label, single arm, phase II clinical trial was done at four hospitals in China. Patients (aged 18-65 years) with histologically confirmed, LA-NPC (T4N1 and T1-4N2-3) were enrolled and treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy for 3 cycles (docetaxel 75 mg/m2 D1, cisplatin 75 mg/m2 D1) followed by concurrent cisplatin (100mg/m2, D1 and D22) during intensity-modulated radiation (IMRT). Four weeks post-RT, tislelizumab (200 mg) was given intravenously once every 3 weeks for up to 12 cycles. By Fleming one-stage design (type I error 0.05, power 0.80, 10% drop out), planned sample size is 100. Primary endpoint is 3-year (yr) progression free survival (PFS). Secondary endpoints include safety and tolerability. Results: From June 2021 to January 2024, a total of 100 patients (median age 53y, 73.0% male) were recruited at four study sites. This protocol specified analysis included 78 subjects with >12 months post-treatment follow up (median 26.2 months, 95% CI 21.3-30.1). Overall compliance rate: neoadjuvant cisplatin + docetaxel 97.5%, concurrent cisplatin 80.8%, adjuvant tislelizumab 78.2%, IMRT 99.7% (69.96 Gy). Treatment related adverse events (AEs, ≥grade 3, >10%): dysphagia (30.5%), mucositis (26.2%), neutropenia(26.7%), radiation dermatitis (23.7%), anemia (16.2%). No ≥grade 4 mucositis/dermatitis. In addition, the incidence of immune-related adverse events (irAEs) of grade 3 or 4 was 5.2%, and all were thyroid toxicity and skin rash. The 2-yr PFS and 2-yr overall survival were 89.6% (95% CI 53.8 - 88.5%) and 100%, respectively. 3-yr PFS and long-term efficacy are awaited. Conclusions: Tislelizumab adjuvant therapy after neoadjuvant docetaxel -cisplatin followed by CCRT is safe with promising results for LA-NPC. However, further follow-up is needed to confirm the long-term efficacy. Clinical trial information: NCT04870905 .

Cost consequence model of the MammaPrint (70-gene signature) and 21-gene signature in patients with primary HR+HER2-, N1 early-stage breast cancer in Germany.

534 Background: The MammaPrint 70-gene and Oncotype DX 21-gene signatures serve to stratify breast cancer tumors, distinguishing between those with low or high risk of distant metastasis. Patients with a low genomic risk tumor have the option to avoid overtreatment by omitting chemotherapy and minimize associated toxicities. This analysis evaluates the economic impact of implementing MammaPrint, Oncotype DX (ODx), or no gene signature testing for patients with HR+ HER2- early breast cancer with 1 to 3 positive lymph nodes (N1) in Germany. Methods: We constructed a cost-consequence model to assess the budget implications of MammaPrint, ODx, and not employing a gene signature, considering both the healthcare payers and societal perspective. The model focuses on patients with HR+/HER2-/N1 breast tumors who, in the absence of a gene expression analysis, would receive chemotherapy in 63% of cases according to the data of the certified breast cancers in Germany. Input data were sourced from MINDACT, RxPONDER, literature, the EBM, the DRG system. The healthcare payer perspective covers testing, direct/indirect costs of chemotherapy, and disease recurrence costs. The societal perspective adds transport costs and productivity losses to these. Results: A projected 9,207 HR+/HER2-/N1 breast cancer patients were candidates for genomic testing. In MINDACT, patients were classified as MammaPrint Low Risk in 73% of cases, and in RxPONDER 83% of patients were categorized as ODx Low Risk (RS 0-25). The model demonstrated per patient savings from a healthcare payer perspective of €3.766 for MammaPrint and €900 for ODx compared to not using any gene signature for N1 breast cancer patients in Germany. Importantly, the savings are even more substantial from a societal perspective, reaching €11.815 for MammaPrint and €11.243 for ODx. When limiting the population to women >50 years, similar results were observed with per patient savings from a payer perspective of €3.766 and €1.549, and from a societal perspective of €9.826 and €9.349, for MammaPrint and ODx, respectively. Conclusions: These data demonstrate that personalized treatment planning with genomic testing for breast cancer with HR+/HER2-/LN1 breast cancer, leads to a reduction in chemotherapy use and associated costs in Germany. Although MammaPrint designates a smaller proportion of genomically high risk patients compared to ODx, MammaPrint Low Risk patients without chemotherapy demonstrate higher survival outcomes. Consequently, any increased chemotherapy costs are offset by lower testing and distant recurrence expenses, making MammaPrint a cost-conscious option.

Abstract PO5-09-01: Relative low body mass index (BMI) and fat quantity predicts prognosis better than absolute BMI in hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer

Abstract Purpose: Most existing research about obesity and prognosis in breast cancer patients primarily compares obese and non-obese individuals according to standard body mass index (BMI) categories. With a notably high percentage of Asian patients presenting with young age onset and normal weight, the prevalence of overweight and obesity based on absolute BMI values is lower in Asia (according to WHO guideline, BMI under 18.5 means underweight, and BMI over 25 means overweight). Understanding the impact of relatively low and high weight on prognosis can provide more insightful data than assessments based on absolute BMI thresholds. This study aimed to investigate the impact of relative low/high BMI on the prognosis of breast cancer and to explore the influence of body fat quantity (FQ), which is closely related to BMI. Methods: The study population consisted of 3,663 patients who received surgery for primary breast cancer at Seoul National University Hospital from 2006 to 2015. Pre-treatment BMI was divided into quartiles, defining low-BMI (Q1) as ≤ 21.33, high-BMI (Q4) as > 25.53, and mid-BMI as values between the two. Fat quantity (FQ) was derived from chest CT using the deep learning-based FDA-approved DeepCatch software. It measures the fat volume at the L1 level then divides this value by the square of the patient's height. It was then also divided into quartiles, establishing the definitions of low-, mid-, and high-FQ. The associations of BMI and FQ with distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) and overall survival (OS) were examined. Results: The high-BMI group demonstrated older median age and higher T and N stages (p< 0.001). The high- and low-BMI groups also showed a higher prevalence of estrogen receptor positive cancer compared to the mid-BMI group. A strong correlation (Pearson correlation coefficient 0.83) was observed between BMI and FQ. In HR-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer, high-BMI patients had a 1.55 times higher risk of distant metastasis (95% CI: 1.15-2.11, p = 0.005), and a 1.78 times higher risk of mortality (95% CI: 1.22-2.58, p = 0.003) compared to mid-BMI patients, while low-BMI patients demonstrated better outcomes regarding DMFS (HR 0.67, p=0.035) and OS (HR 0.59, p=0.04). Comparison of FQ with prognosis revealed that the low-FQ patients exhibited better DMFS (HR 0.59, p=0.005) and OS (HR = 0.44, p=0.002) compared to mid-FQ patients in HR-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer. However, when adjusted for T and N stages, low-BMI patients in the HR-positive, HER2-negative group showed no difference in prognosis from mid-BMI patients but better prognosis compared to high-BMI patients. In contrast, when defined using absolute BMI, underweight patients did not show a difference in DMFS (HR 0.72 vs. normal BMI, p = 0.515) and OS (HR 0.91 vs. normal BMI, p = 0.87) compared to those with normal weight and overweight. The low-FQ group had the best prognosis regarding DMFS (HR 0.66 vs. mid-FQ, p=0.032) and OS (HR 0.50 vs. mid-FQ, p=0.008). Conclusions: Low-BMI is a favorable prognostic factor compared to high-BMI for DMFS and OS in HR-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer. The relative BMI defined according to BMI quartiles was a better prognostic factor than to absolute BMI standards. Investigations with FQ showed similar tendencies, suggesting that low BMI's favorable prognostic influence may be associated with fat. Future investigations should aim to validate these results and delve deeper into the underlying mechanisms. Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare the following financial interests/personal relationships which may be considered as potential competing interests: Soon Ho Yoon work as chief medical officer in MEDICALIP. This author did not involve data/statistical analysis. Other authors have no competing interest to declare. Citation Format: Eunhye Kang, Ji-Jung Jung, Ik Beom Shin, Hawjeong Lee, Jin Young Byeon, Changjin Lim, Hong-Kyu Kim, Hyeong-Gon Moon, Wonshik Han, Jong-Ho Cheun, Soon Ho Yoon, Han-Byoel Lee. Relative low body mass index (BMI) and fat quantity predicts prognosis better than absolute BMI in hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO5-09-01.

Abstract PO5-01-14: Genomic risk analyses in patients with clinical low risk ER-positive HER2-negative early breast cancer developing an early metastatic event

Abstract Background: Over the past decade, there have been notable changes in the definition of risk estimation in patients with early-stage breast cancer (EBC). Specifically, within the timeframe of 2000 to 2017, following Estrogen Receptor (ER) positive and HER2-negative EBC cases were classified as low risk according to the University Hospitals of Leuven (UHL) criteria of that time: if ER H-score was >200: all patients with tumors N0 and Grade (G) 1, ≤pT2; or G2-3 pT1a-b; in patients ≥40 years with tumors N0 and G2 pT1c-2 or G3 pT1c; in patients ≥ 55 years with tumors N0 G3 pT2 or N1 any Grade, pT≤2. For lower H-scores, other criteria applied. However, despite undergoing endocrine therapy, a subset of these patients with clinically low-risk tumors unexpectedly experienced metastasis within five years of initial diagnosis. This unforeseen outcome may indicate potential undertreatment, as these patients did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy. We have conducted a case-cohort study of those patients with early relapse and performed the current clinical risk assessment methods and genomic risk analyses. Methods: In this study, we included patients with ER-pos, HER2-neg early-stage breast cancer diagnosed between 1-1-2000 and 31-12-2017, who were classified as low-risk tumors by UHL guidelines at that time, who were older than 35 but younger than 71 years, had an unilateral, unifocal breast tumor with tumor size up to 5 cm. These patients did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy. We selected the patients that experienced early distant recurrence, defined as distant recurrence (DR) within 5 years after the initial diagnosis. To ensure comparability for the analyses they were matched to controls for grade, menopausal status, tumor size, lymphovascular invasion, progesterone receptor status, and the year of diagnosis. For each patient, we have calculated the clinical risk score according to the criteria outlined by Mymammaprint.com, based on the modified Adjuvant Online tool used in the MINDACT trial. For the analysis, formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) breast tumor tissue samples were subjected to in-house validated targeted RNA-based Mammaprint(MP) analysis by NGS (MP Agendia). Results: Of the 3190 patients with EBC at UHL during the study period, 2476 patients were considered for this analysis and fitted the clinical low-risk criteria defined low-risk at UHL. Among those, only 42 or 1.7% of the eligible cohort had developed metastasis within 5 years. Tissue for MP analysis was available for 35 of these cases and for their matched control. Due to technical failure, the 1:1 matching was lost and MP results were known for 28 cases and 27 controls. The patient and tumor characteristics of both groups were comparable. In this UHL clinical low-risk group, 21/28 (75%) cases would be identified as clinical high-risk by MyMammaprint.com and 18/27 (67%) controls. We identified 13 patients (46.43%) with high genomic risk within the group with DR and 9 (33.33%) within the control group. There was no statistically significant difference (p=0.412) in the proportion of genomically high-risk patients within the group with DR compared to the control group. Conclusions: In a database of patients with EBC of whom 98% did not develop metastasis within 5 years, we observed in a small series of chemotherapy naïve patients with early DR and UHL-defined clinical low-risk tumors, that nearly half had a genomically high risk of distant metastasis. Albeit numerically higher than the matched-control group, this observation was not significant and would warrant a larger sample size and power to confirm these results. Table. Genomic versus Clinical Risk by MyMammaprint.com Citation Format: Josephine Van Cauwenberge, Hava Izci, Hans Wildiers, Sileny Han, Christine Desmedt, Giuseppe Floris, Sara Vander Borght, Ann Smeets, Ines Nevelsteen, Isabelle Vanden Bempt, Patrick Neven. Genomic risk analyses in patients with clinical low risk ER-positive HER2-negative early breast cancer developing an early metastatic event [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO5-01-14.

Whole-exome sequencing reveals an association of rs112065068 in TGOLN2 gene with distant metastasis of non-small cell lung cancer

Early prediction and prevention of recurring illness is critical for improving the survival rates of patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Previously, we demonstrated that the presence of premalignant epithelial changes in the small bronchi distant to the primary tumor is associated with NSCLC progression: isolated basal cell hyperplasia (iBCH) indicates a high risk of distant metastasis, BCH combined with squamous metaplasia (BCHSM) – a high risk of locoregional recurrence. Here, we aimed to identify germline single nucleotide variants (SNVs) and insertions and deletions (InDels) associated with distant metastasis and locoregional recurrence in cases with iBCH and BCHSM using whole-exome sequencing of 172 NSCLC patients. The rs112065068 of the TGOLN2 gene was identified only in iBCH patients and was associated with a high risk of distant metastasis (P < .001) and worse metastasis-free survival (HR = 4.19 (95 %CI 1.97–8.93); P < .001). This variant was validated in a group of 109 NSCLC patients using real-time PCR and Sanger sequencing analyses. To our knowledge, this study is the first to identify a germline variant associated with NSCLC distant metastasis.

YTHDC1-dependent m6A modification modulated FOXM1 promotes glycolysis and tumor progression through CENPA in triple-negative breast cancer.

Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) exhibits heightened aggressiveness compared with other breast cancer (BC) subtypes, with earlier relapse, a higher risk of distant metastasis, and a worse prognosis. Transcription factors play a pivotal role in various cancers. Here, we found that factor forkhead box M1 (FOXM1) expression was significantly higher in TNBC than in other BC subtypes and normal tissues. Combining the findings of Gene Ontology (GO) enrichment analysis and a series of experiments, we found that knockdown of the FOXM1 gene attenuated the ability of TNBC cells to proliferate and metastasize both invivo and invitro. In addition, Spearman's test showed that FOXM1 significantly correlated with glycolysis-related genes, especially centromere protein A (CENPA) in datasets (GSE76250, GSE76124, GSE206912, and GSE103091). The effect of silencing FOXM1 on the inhibition of CENPA expression, TNBC proliferation, migration, and glycolysis could be recovered by overexpression of CENPA. According to MeRIP, the level of m6A modification on FOMX1 decreased in cells treated with cycloleucine (a m6A inhibitor) compared with that in the control group. The increase in FOXM1 expression caused by YTHDC1 overexpression could be reversed by the m6A inhibitor, which indicated that YTHDC1 enhanced FOXM1 expression depending on m6A modification. Therefore, we concluded that the YTHDC1-m6A modification/FOXM1/CENPA axis plays an important role in TNBC progression and glycolysis.

Need for Staging Investigations in Newly Diagnosed Breast Cancer: Establishing Local Guidelines for Radiological Staging in Bahrain

Need for Staging Investigations in Newly Diagnosed Breast Cancer: Establishing Local Guidelines for Radiological Staging in Bahrain

Camrelizumab and apatinib plus induction chemotherapy and concurrent chemoradiotherapy in stage N3 nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a phase 2 clinical trial

The antiangiogenic agent apatinib has been shown to clinically improve responses to immune checkpoint inhibitors in several cancer types. Patients with N3 nasopharyngeal carcinoma have a high risk of distant metastasis, however, if the addition of immunotherapy to standard treatment could improve efficacy is unclear. In this phase II clinical trial (ChiCTR2000032317), 49 patients with stage TanyN3M0 nasopharyngeal carcinoma were enrolled and received the combination of three cycles of induction chemotherapy, camrelizumab and apatinib followed by chemoradiotherapy. Here we report on the primary outcome of distant metastasis-free survival and secondary end points of objective response rate, failure-free survival, locoregional recurrence-free survival, overall survival and toxicity profile. After induction therapy, all patients had objective response, including 13 patients (26.5%) with complete response. After a median follow-up of 28.7 months, the primary endpoint of 1-year distant metastasis-free survival was met for the cohort (1-year DMFS rate: 98%). Grade≥3 toxicity appeared in 32 (65.3%) patients, with the most common being mucositis (14[28.6%]) and nausea/vomiting (9[18.4%]). In this work, camrelizumab and apatinib in combination with induction chemotherapy show promising distant metastasis control with acceptable safety profile in patients with stage TanyN3M0 nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

An Immune Gene Expression Risk Score for Distant Metastases after Radiotherapy for Cervical Cancer.

To develop an immune-based gene expression risk score to identify patients with cervical cancer at increased risk of distant metastases (DM). Tumor biopsies were obtained from 81 patients prior to chemoradiotherapy. Whole-transcriptome RNA sequencing was performed (Illumina NextSeq500). Beginning with 4,723 immune-related genes, a 55-gene risk score for DM was derived using Cox modeling and principal component analysis. It was validated in independent cohorts of 274 patients treated at the Norwegian Radium Hospital (NRH) and 206 patients from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). The risk score was predictive of DM (HR, 2.7; P < 0.0001) and lower cause-specific survival (CSS) by univariate analysis (HR, 2.0; P = 0.0003) and multivariate analysis adjusted for clinical factors (DM HR, 3.0; P < 0.0001; CSS HR, 2.2; P = 0.0004). The risk score predicted DM (HR, 1.4; P = 0.05) and CSS (HR, 1.48; P = 0.013) in the NRH cohort and CSS (HR, 1.4; P = 0.03) in TCGA cohort. Higher risk scores were associated with lower CIBERSORT estimates of tumor-infiltrating immune cells, including CD8 T cells and M1 and M2 macrophages (all P < 0.001). Higher risk scores were associated with lower expression (all P < 0.001) of important chemokines (CXCL12, CXCR4), IFN-regulated genes (IRF1, STAT1, IDO1), and immune checkpoint regulators (PD-1, PD-L1, CTLA-4). The immune metastatic risk score addresses important challenges in the treatment of cervical cancer-identifying patients at high risk of DM after radiotherapy. The findings of this study indicate that high tumor mutational burden and a "cold," immune-excluded tumor microenvironment influence distant metastatic recurrence. Further validation of the risk score is needed.

Development and validation of a predictive model for assessing the risk of follicular carcinoma in thyroid nodules identified as suspicious by intraoperative frozen section.

Follicular thyroid carcinoma (FTC) is the second most common thyroid malignancy and is characterized by a higher risk of distant metastasis compared to papillary thyroid cancer. Intraoperative frozen section (IOFS) diagnosis of FTC is challenging due to its limited sensitivity and accuracy, leading to uncertainty in intraoperative surgical decision-making. In response, we developed a predictive model to assess the risk of follicular carcinoma in thyroid nodules identified as suspicious for follicular neoplasm by IOFS. This model was derived from preoperative clinical and ultrasound data of 493 patients who underwent thyroid surgery at Ningbo Medical Center Lihuili Hospital. It identified five significant predictors of follicular carcinoma: nodule size, thyroglobulin (Tg) level, hypoechogenicity, lobulated or irregular margins, and thick halo. The model demonstrated robust discrimination and calibration, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.83 (95% CI: 0.77-0.90) in the training set and 0.78 (95% CI: 0.68-0.88) in the validation set. In addition, it achieved a sensitivity of 81.63% (95% CI: 69.39-91.84) and 68.00% (95% CI: 48.00--4.00), a specificity of 77.42% (95% CI: 72.18-82.66) and 72.51% (95% CI: 65.50-78.96), an accuracy of 78.1% (95% CI: 73.4-82.4) and 71.9% (95% CI: 65.3-78.6), a positive predictive value (PPV) of 41. 67% (95% CI: 35.65-48.84) and 26.79% (95% CI: 19.40-34.33), respectively, and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 95.61% (95% CI: 92.86-97.99) and 94.07% (95% CI: 90.44-97.08) in the training and validation sets, respectively. The model can accurately rule out FTC in low-risk nodules, thereby providing surgeons with a practical tool to determine the necessary extent of surgical intervention for nodules flagged as suspicious by IOFS.

Long-term assessment of clinical parameters and positron emission tomography parameters in predicting recurrence in uterine cervical cancer patients receiving definitive chemoradiotherapy.

The objective of this study was to assess the prognostic value of clinical factors and metabolic parameters measured using fluorodeoxyglucose PET (FDG-PET/CT) in predicting disease recurrence, as well as distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), local recurrence-free survival (LRFS), and overall survival (OS) in patients with uterine cervical cancer who received definitive chemoradiotherapy. The clinical data and FDG-PET parameters, including standardized uptake value (SUV), metabolic tumor volume (MTV), and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) of 194 patients with biopsy-confirmed squamous cell carcinoma of cervical cancer were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to ascertain prognostic factors associated with DMFS, LRFS, and OS. With a median follow-up of 12.5 years, 96 patients (49.5%) presented with disease recurrence, at a median of 9.9 months after chemoradiotherapy. Patients who experienced recurrence had significantly higher values for all FDG-PET parameters compared to patients who did not. In multivariate regression analysis, lymph node metastasis, MTV, and SUV mean were significantly correlated with distant metastasis, while local recurrence was only predicted by SUV max . Lymph node metastasis, high MTV, SUV mean , and TLG predicted shorter DMFS, while only the primary tumor SUV max predicted LRFS. Age, regional nodal metastasis, and higher MTV independently predicted shorter OS in multivariate analysis. We found that metabolic parameters derived from FDG-PET/CT could serve as surrogates for disease recurrence in patients with cervical cancer who were treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy. Patients at high risk of distant metastasis could be defined using SUV mean and MTV, and for local recurrence, by using SUV max .

Risk factor analysis of distant metastases in patients with primary medullary thyroid cancer: a population-based study.

Medullary thyroid carcinoma has a high rate of recurrence and distant metastasis. The aim of this study was to investigate the risk factors for distant metastasis in patients with primary medullary thyroid carcinoma. Patients diagnosed with primary medullary thyroid cancer between 2010 and 2015 were enrolled using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Patient demographics and tumor clinicopathological features were evaluated to identify potential risk factors for distant metastasis in patients with primary medullary thyroid cancer. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to determine independent risk factors for distant metastasis in patients with primary medullary thyroid carcinoma. All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS statistical software (version 27.0). A two-tailed P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. We collected 685 patients with primary medullary thyroid carcinoma, 40 of whom (5.84%) developed distant metastases. Univariate logistic regression analysis showed that except marital status, age, sex, race, pT stage, N stage, multifocal and capsular infiltration were significantly correlated with distant metastasis of medullary thyroid carcinoma. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that patients aged ≤ 18years or > 55years, Black race, higher pT stage and N stage were independent risk factors for distant metastasis of medullary thyroid carcinoma. This study found that ≤ 18years or > 55years, black race, higher pT stage and N stage were significantly associated with distant metastasis of medullary thyroid cancer. This is important for clinicians to identify patients at high risk of distant metastasis in a timely manner.

Prognostic value of hypoxia-responsive gene expression profile in patients diagnosed with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) is a disease associated with a severe mortality and high risk of distant metastasis and local recurrence. Currently, surgery and radiotherapy are the main treatment modes, however, therapeutic efficacy of radiotherapy is linked to tumor resistance. Hypoxia has been shown to affect outcome of radiotherapy in HNSCC patients. The aim of this study was to verify the expression of the previously identified hypoxia-responsive genes (CA9, CASP14, LOX, GLUT3, SERPINE1, AREG, EREG, CCNB1 and KIF14) in HNSCC patient material as well as assess their prognostic potential. Tumor biopsies obtained before start of radiotherapy from 32 HNSCC patients classified as responders or non-responders were investigated in this study. The mRNA expression was quantified using RT-qPCR. The mRNA expression of CA9, SERPINE1 and KIF14 was significantly higher in the analyzed patient material compared with the non-cancerous oral tissue. Moreover, the KIF14 mRNA expression was significantly higher in the responder group compared to non-responders. Further studies demonstrated that knockdown of KIF14 reverses its radiosensitizing capability. Additionally, low expression of KIF14 mRNA correlated with significantly shorter OS (overall survival). In conclusion, our results suggest that KIF14 might be a useful prognostic and predictive marker in HNSCC.

Treatment and outcomes in breast cancer patients: A cross section study from the EUSOMA breast centre network

IntroductionThe present study was designed to describe tumour features and treatments for patients with breast cancer. It also aimed at assessing the risk of distant metastases in relation to biological profiles, disease stages and treatment. MethodsData were analysed from 81,882 patients in the EUSOMA database (disease stages at diagnosis 0-IV; median age 61 years; range 20–100 years). All patients were treated between January 2016 and December 2021 in 53 Breast Centres within the EUSOMA certification process in 13 European countries. Cases were classified as HR+ /HER2-, HR+ /HER2 + , HR-/HER2 + or HR-/HER2- and data were analysed accordingly. ResultsUnivariable and multivariable analyses for distant metastases were conducted on a subset of 38,119 cases with information on whether or not they had developed them. Potential determinants included sub-group type, Ki67 value, disease stage, adjuvant systemic therapies and post-operative radiation therapy. In multivariable analysis, the HR-/HER2 + and HR-/HER2- sub-groups were associated with a higher risk of distant metastases than HR+ /HER2–. Ki67 > 20 % and advanced stage disease also carried a high risk. Radiation therapy emerged as a protective factor against distant metastases. ConclusionsPresent results show a large patient database offers an information stream that can be applied to reduce uncertainties in clinical practice. Database parameters need to be updated dynamically for outcome monitoring. Molecular prognostic factors, gene-expression signatures, tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes and circulating tumoral DNA should be added.

Dysfunctional TLR1 reduces the therapeutic efficacy of chemotherapy by attenuating HMGB1-mediated antitumor immunity in locally advanced colorectal cancer

Regional lymph node metastasis is an important predictor for survival outcome and an indicator for postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with colorectal cancer. Even with advances in adjuvant chemotherapeutic regimens, 5-year distant metastasis and survival rates are still unsatisfactory. Here, we evaluate the clinical significance of polymorphisms in receptors for HMGB1, which is the hallmark of chemotherapy-induced immunogenic cell death, in patients with stage II–III colon carcinoma (COAD). We found that high cytosolic HMGB1 is elicited in stage III COAD patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy. Patients with the TLR1-N248S polymorphism (rs4833095), which causes loss-of-function in HMGB1-mediated TLR1–TLR2 signaling, may influence the therapeutic efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy, leading to a high risk of distant metastasis within 5 years [HR = 1.694, 95% CI = 1.063–2.698, p = 0.027], suggesting that TLR1-N248S is an independent prognostic factor for locally advanced colon carcinoma patients. We found that defective TLR1 impaired TLR1/2 signaling during dendritic cell (DC) maturation for the antitumor immune response under immunogenic chemotherapy oxaliplatin (OXP) treatment. Defective TLR1 on DCs impaired their maturation ability by HMGB1 and reduced the secretion of IFNγ from T cells to eradicate tumor cells in vitro. Moreover, systemic inhibition of TLR1/2 dramatically reduced the tumor-infiltrating immune cells by OXP treatment, leading to poor therapeutic response to OXP. In contrast, administration of a TLR1/2 agonist synergistically increased the benefit of OXP treatment and triggered a high density of tumor-infiltrating immune cells. We also observed that fewer tumor-infiltrating cytotoxic T lymphocytes were located within the tumor microenvironment in patients bearing the TLR1-N248S polymorphism. Overall, our results suggest that dysfunctional TLR1 may reduce the therapeutic response to adjuvant chemotherapy by impairing HMGB1-mediated DC maturation and attenuating the antitumor immune response in locally advanced colon carcinoma patients.

Vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) -A, -C and VE-cadherin as potential biomarkers in early breast cancer patients

BackgroundVascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) -A and -C act as multifunctional molecules and growth factors, while VE-cadherin (cadherin 5, CDH5) is the endothelial junction protein. AimTo assess the relationship between intratumoral VEGF -A, -C and CDH5 levels and clinical outcome, in primary, early-stage, breast cancer patients. Patients and methodsThe study included 69 node-negative (N0) breast cancer patients, all of whom had not received any prior hormonal or chemotherapeutic systemic therapy that would affect the course of disease. The median follow-up period was 144 months. Intratumoral mRNA levels of VEGF -A, -C and CDH5 were determined by RT-qPCR. Prognostic performance was evaluated by Cox proportional hazards regression, Kaplan-Meier analysis, as well as by the multivariable approach based on the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logit regression. Classification of patients into the low and high subgroups was performed using the outcome-oriented cut-off point categorization approach. ResultsOf the measured mRNAs, only CDH5 mRNA (t = −2.17; p = 0.04) and VEGF-C mRNA (t = −2.41; p = 0.03) showed significant differences between values in patient subgroups with distant metastasis and those without recurrences, respectively. These t-test results were in agreement with the Cox regression by which CDH5 mRNA reached the most pronounced hazard ratio (HR=2.07; p = 0.05), followed by VEGF-C mRNA (HR=1.59; p = 0.005). HR values above 1.0 indicate that high levels of either CDH5 or VEGF-C mRNAs associated with a higher risk of poor clinical outcome. Distant recurrence incidence was 26% for the CDH5high and 3% for the CDH5low subgroup (Kaplan–Meier analysis). Distant recurrence incidence was 23% for the VEGF-Chigh and 0% for VEGF-Clow subgroup. The independent prognostic value of VEGF-C mRNA was confirmed by LASSO regression. ConclusionIntratumoral VEGF-A levels did not associate with disease outcome in primary, early-stage, breast cancer patients, whilst raised levels of either CDH5 or VEGF-C prognosticated a high risk of distant metastasis.