Abstract Background: Molecular residual disease (MRD) describes detectable circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) after definitive surgery and is an expanding field in breast oncology. Multiple studies have demonstrated detectable MRD to be poorly prognostic, and clinical trials are now underway assessing the efficacy of therapeutic interception. However, most retrospective studies did not obtain baseline imaging at the time of MRD detection, such that the proportion of patients with detectable ctDNA and concurrent radiographically evident recurrent disease is not known. Furthermore, the role of serial ctDNA testing in the adjuvant setting remains unclear. Meanwhile, tumor-informed assays such as the SignateraTM platform are now covered by Medicare. To address these outstanding clinical questions, we aimed to determine the temporal dynamics of MRD detection in HR+/HER2- breast cancer, association with radiographic recurrence, and impact on clinical outcomes. Methods: Patients with HR+/HER2- breast cancer who underwent MRD testing either as part of a clinical trial or via an expanded access program were reviewed for MRD positivity and assessed alongside clinically annotated data. All patients completed surgical resection prior to MRD testing. Whole exome sequencing of primary tumor tissue and personalized ctDNA primers were designed for multiplex PCR targeting up to 16 single nucleotide variants for MRD testing via the SignateraTM platform. Clinical data was determined through focused chart review. Results: Among 185 patients with HR+/HER2- breast cancer who underwent MRD testing, 37 patients (20%) did not complete testing due to factors including tumor tissue not meeting pathology parameters, insufficient quantity of primary tissue, or tumor/normal discordance. 14 patients (8%) had detectable ctDNA (1, 5, and 8 patients had stage I, II, and III breast cancer, respectively). Among the 6 patients who did not have stage III disease, 3 had other high-risk features (Oncotype 40; grade 3 disease x2). Overall, 71% (n=10) of the +MRD population tested positive at the first test, while 29% (n=4) tested positive only on serial sampling. Median time from surgery to positive test was 3.5 years (range: 1 month – 10.2 years). Twelve patients (86%) were on adjuvant endocrine therapy at the time of detectable MRD. Among the 14 +MRD patients, 9 underwent staging scans shortly after positive MRD testing, and among these patients, 3 (33%) had radiographic evidence of asymptomatic metastatic recurrence (2 bone-only; 1 visceral); two of these pts had 1 MRD test, while the other had a negative test followed by a positive test 11 months later. The other 3 patients with radiographic recurrences had scans prompted only by clinical symptoms >6 months after +MRD. Among the 4 patients with serial data after first +MRD testing, none experienced subsequent ctDNA clearance. Serial testing occurred over a median of 11.5 months (range 1.1-21.7 months). With median follow up of 8.6 months, 43% (n=6) of patients with +MRD had distant disease recurrence. Conclusions: Personalized tumor-informed ctDNA testing identified patients with high risk of recurrence, including patients without classic high-risk clinical, pathologic, or genomic features, suggesting a complementary role of MRD testing for risk assessment. Serial monitoring was necessary to identify MRD in more than a quarter of patients. Furthermore, one-third of patients with +MRD disease had asymptomatic metastatic recurrence, highlighting the importance of staging scans in studies and clinical trials assessing therapeutic interception in the adjuvant setting. Citation Format: Arielle Medford, Elyssa Denault, Zanta Ephrem, Douglas Micalizzi, Yael Bar, Rachel Abelman, Amy Comander, Justine Knape, Minetta Liu, Angel Rodriguez, Steven Isakoff, Beverly Moy, Laura Spring, Aditya Bardia. Personalized ctDNA testing for detection of molecular residual disease in patients with localized HR+ breast cancer: temporal dynamics and impact on clinical outcomes [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO3-13-09.
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