Calls for Help: Using Ambulance Calls as an Indicator of Heat Wave OutcomesAbstract Number:1613 Gulrez Shah Azhar*, Ajit Rajiva, Priya Dutta, Abhiyant Tiwari, and Dileep Mavalankar Gulrez Shah Azhar* Public Health Foundation of India, India, E-mail Address: [email protected] Search for more papers by this author , Ajit Rajiva Public Health Foundation of India, India, E-mail Address: [email protected] Search for more papers by this author , Priya Dutta Public Health Foundation of India, India, E-mail Address: [email protected] Search for more papers by this author , Abhiyant Tiwari Public Health Foundation of India, India, E-mail Address: [email protected] Search for more papers by this author , and Dileep Mavalankar Public Health Foundation of India, India, E-mail Address: [email protected] Search for more papers by this author AbstractIntroduction: Heat, a major cause of weather related mortality in the world, causes morbidity and mortality by either direct or indirect effects of thermal stress on the body. Direct effects include a spectrum of heat illness ranging from heat exhaustion to heat stroke, while indirectly the underlying strain on physiological systems can result in other manifestations such as renal insufficiency, acute cerebrovascular disease, and exacerbations of co-morbid conditions. We did a risk-assessment to characterizes heat wave’s impacts on mortality and morbidity and assess potential population health risks associated with extreme heat exposure.Methods: Using temperature data obtained from the National Climatic Data Centre, ambulance call data obtained from GVK-EMRI and mortality data obtained from the registrar of births and deaths. Comparisons across time and against each other were made to ascertain the relationships between the variables and the May 2010 heat wave in Ahmedabad. Time periods of interest included the heat wave days of 19th to 25th May 2010, the daily reports for the summer months of March, April and May and annual figures of the years 2009, 2010 and 2011.Results: A time-series shows a visual correlation between mortality, morbidity and temperature. For temperatures equal to or above 42°C, a linear correlation between ambulance calls and mortality is seen (R2 =0.834). There is a significant increase in the number of ambulance calls related to unconsciousness, respiratory complaints and fevers (P<0.001) during the heat wave period from 19 to 25 May, 2010. The respiratory complaints increased to 4.62 times the normal.Conclusion: Ambulance call complaints are an important indicator of heat related health outcomes given that they can be analysed quicker and closer to the point of origin than mortality data. For temperatures above 42°C, the relationships between all 3 variables studied show that heat is a key factor in influencing morbidity and mortality.
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