Abstract In this study, we explored the phylogeographical history of the mountain-dwelling freshwater crab Potamonautes mariepskoppie to understand evolutionary processes and identify possible hidden lineages. DNA sequence data from mitochondrial loci (COI, 12S rRNA, and 16S rRNA) and a nuclear locus (histone 3) were analysed using both maximum likelihood and Bayesian inference. Species delimitation was tested with four methods: ASAP, bPTP, bGMYC, and STACEY. Divergence time estimation and ecological niche modelling with ENMEval and Maxent were used to study species distribution and elucidate abiotic factors affecting evolution. Phylogenetic analyses showed three distinct clades, corresponding to geographical regions: Limpopo, Mpumalanga, and Mount Sheba. These clades had no shared haplotypes and exhibited moderate genetic differentiation. Divergence time estimates indicated that these clades diverged during the Plio/Pleistocene, a period of significant climatic shifts in southern Africa. All four species delimitation methods consistently supported the recognition of these clades as distinct species; however, discriminant function analyses of carapace characteristics showed significant overlap between the three clades. Ecological niche modelling indicated that rainfall is a key factor in the species distribution. The present study highlights the need for further investigation of the high-elevation plateaus throughout Limpopo and Mpumalanga, because fine-scale sampling might unmask considerable hitherto-undocumented biodiversity.
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