Abstract Background In order to implement targeted type 2 diabetes (T2D) prevention measures for the workplace, it is important to identify high-risk occupations. Most previous studies examine the association between T2D and occupation cross-sectionally, but longitudinal studies are missing. This study aims to investigate the 10-year incidence of T2D in the working population of a German cohort and identify occupations with an increased risk. Methods Data from the population-based Gutenberg Health Study (GHS) were used to examine occupation at baseline (2007-2012) and T2D incidence at the 10-year follow-up. Occupational phases were coded into categories according to the KldB 2010. T2D was defined as either a physician-diagnosed T2D, HbA1c-level ≥6.5% or use of antidiabetic drugs. Age- and sex-standardised incidence and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated for occupational groups based on the age- and sex-distribution of the German population. Standardised incidence ratios (SIR) and 95% CI were calculated using the incidence in the total GHS working population as the reference. Results Of 8130 workers at baseline, 45.2% were female, the mean age was 48.4 years and 4.5% had prevalent T2D. 388 cases occurred between baseline and the 10-year follow-up within the subgroup of persons without prevalent T2D at baseline and with follow-up data (n = 5954). The standardised incidence was 6.9%. “Food production and processing” (20.7%), “cleaners” (16.5%) and “drivers and mobile plant operators” (14.8%) had the highest standardised incidences. Compared to the total working population, we observed a threefold increased SIR for employees in “food production and processing” (3.0, 95% CI 1.8-4.7) and a two times higher SIR for “cleaners” (2.2, 95% CI 1.0-4.7) and “drivers and mobile plant operators” (2.2, 95% CI 1.3-3.3). Conclusions We identified occupations with an increased risk of T2D. Preventive measures and etiological research on work-related risks should focus on these occupations. Key messages • The highest standardised incidence was observed in the occupational groups “food production and processing”, “cleaners” and “drivers and mobile plant operators”. • Targeted prevention measures for type 2 diabetes in the workplace should focus on these occupational groups with increased incidence.
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