Human Population Growth Research Articles

Climate change, global population and the capitalist axiomatic: making sense of Malthus

ABSTRACT This paper critiques the neo-Malthusian proposition that drastic global population reduction is essential to counteract the current climate emergency. It applies a new materialist, rhizomatic and more-than-human ontology of capitalism based Deleuze and Guattari’s analysis of the ‘capitalist axiomatic’: the free flows of commodities, capital and labour characteristic of capitalist production. Three sections address these rhizomatic flows, considering ‘extractive capitalism’, economic growth, and population growth through this DeleuzoGuattarian lens. The paper concludes, contra Malthus, that while growth in the global human population is placing strain on the environmental capacity to support it, it is the complex, rhizomatic interactions within the capitalist axiomatic that are producing anthropogenic climate change. Remedies short of a wholesale global shift from a capitalist economy are proposed to address this global crisis.

Value adding bioconversion of residues and byproducts—a logistics challenge

AbstractGlobal developments such as climate change, a growing world population and the depletion of fossil resources make the sustainable use of biogenic resources in chemical production inevitable. This would also provide a final product with a higher added value than just utilizing the raw materials for applications in energy generation. In recent years, many researchers have shown that e.g., grass clippings, carrots and potato peels can be biotechnologically converted into high-value chemicals thereby increasing resource efficiency. A particular challenge, however, is the decentralized production of such biogenic raw materials as well as degradation affecting the composition and quality within short periods of time. Therefore, appropriate logistics concepts must be developed and evaluated to economically valorize biogenic raw materials. Such concepts differ significantly in terms of material utilization for the production of chemicals, composting or energetic valorization. This overview presents relevant examples of the conversion of biogenic residues into chemicals investigating basic logistic concepts and highlighting major challenges along bio-based value chains.

An overview on the production, management and impact of microplastic contamination on marine species and marine environments: A review

The purpose of this paper is to review and evaluate published literature on the production, management and impact of microplastic contamination on marine species and marine environments. A systematic method was utilized to access research works of literature on “production, management and impact of microplastic contamination on marine species and marine environments”. A total of Sixty-two (62) research papers published between the years 1972 to 2022 was accumulated and used for this review. A subjective approach was used to select the topics: production, management and impact of microplastic contamination. In this paper, four (4) effects of microplastics on organisms and the environment was assessed. Additionally, the formation and classification of microplastics were evaluated. Subsequently, the paper delves into the production and the management of global plastic production as well as the sources of contamination. Further, this review assessed the quantity of microplastics in the gastrointestinal tract and edible muscles of various fish species. A mini checklist of sixty-one (61) fish species from thirty (30) families dwelling in nine (9) different marine habitats, all contaminated by microplastics was also presented in this review. Moreover, possible solutions to overcome the impact of microplastics on organisms and aquatic environments were also mentioned in this article. The published works of literature established that the global plastic production is constantly increasing with a growing world population thus leading to mismanagement of plastic resources and introducing them to the environment. Microplastics can cause serious complications in humans, marine organisms such as fishes, crustaceans, marine mammals and sea birds and even contribute to the degradation of mangrove forests and the coastal environment. This review highlights the fact that more extensive studies on the impact of microplastic contamination in organisms and the environment should be done in neotropical countries since there is a dearth and gaps of such information on research and published data in these biodiversity rich regions.

Adherence to a sustainable diet, measured via the EAT-Lancet Index, predicts incident short-term and long-term cardiovascular disease incidence: the ATTICA study (2002-2022)

Abstract Background/Introduction The World Heart Federation has estimated that air pollution was the second most fatal modifiable risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD), causing approximately 5 million CVD deaths in 2021. Diets and food systems can affect the environment; however, research scarcely focuses on the association between planet-healthy dietary habits and CVD risk. Purpose The purpose of this study was to evaluate the adherence to a sustainable diet and CVD incidence during 20 years of follow-up. Methods Participants initially free-of-CVD from the ATTICA study were used (n=1,958). CVD events were assessed at baseline and at all follow-ups (i.e., 2002, 2012, 2022) according to WHO-ICD-10. Adherence to a sustainable diet was assessed via the EAT-Lancet Index (EAT-LI) (Education and Agriculture Together-EAT) (range: 0-42) based on the published algorithm. Results CVD incidence was 16.2% (n=317 incident cases) at 10-years and 35.3% (n=691 incident cases) at 20-years. Mean EAT-LI was: 17.3 (6.7) for the total sample. EAT-LI was lower in those that had a CVD event during the follow-up, i.e., EAT-LI: 10.5 (6.3) vs 18.5 (5.9) at 10-years (p<0.001) and 10.9 (6.4) vs 20.8 (3.8) at 20-years (p<0.001), in participants with and without a CVD event, respectively. In multi-adjusted analyses, adjusted for age, sex, body mass index trajectories, lifestyle trajectories, and clinical factors (diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, hypertension), higher adherence to a sustainable diet was inversely associated with CVD risk at a short-term and a long-term period (i.e., at 10 and 20 years). Specifically, per 1/42 increase in the EAT-Lancet index, CVD risk was reduced by 11% [Hazard ratio-HR: 0.89, 95%Confidence Interval: 0.86-0.93] and by 16% [HR: 0.84, 95%CI: 0.80-0.89] at 10 and 20 years, respectively. Conclusion Future guidelines for CVD prevention should take into account the sustainable nature of dietary habits, to efficiently nourish the growing world population, and concomitantly protect heart and planet health.

Sustainability Assessment of Brown Trout Populations in Serbia (Central Balkans) Using the Modified ESHIPPO Model

In the inland waters of the Balkans, many brown trout populations have been severely depleted. Therefore, identifying potential threats to their continued survival and ranking populations based on their biological and evolutionary importance enables setting conservation priorities. To assess the sustainability of the brown trout populations in the territory of Serbia (central Balkans), a modification of the ESHIPPO model was performed. The main modification involves incorporating the investigated populations’ genetic structure into the model. Therefore, the new ESHIPPOsalmo model includes an analysis of biological parameters and the impact of multiple factors, including habitat alterations, invasive species, pollution, human population growth, and over-exploitation. In order to investigate individual levels of influence of the model’s analyzed parameters, a combination of supervised and unsupervised machine learning methods was used. The structure of the model is based on general and easily measurable indicators, which enables its application in any salmonid river in the world. By evaluating the parameters of the ESHIPPOsalmo model, we were able to establish that, of the analyzed populations from 46 localities, 37% have a moderate level of sustainability, 43% low, and 20% critically low.

Acceptance of insects as food in Germany: risk–benefit perceptions and the role of risk preferences

PurposeWith a growing world population and climate crises, edible insects are a promising alternative to conventional livestock. However, Western consumers are largely opposed to eating insects. The aim of this study is to investigate the acceptance of insects in a German sample with a specific focus on risk–benefit perceptions and risk preferences.Design/methodology/approachData were collected via an online survey (N = 569). Established scales for food neophobia (FN), risk perception, risk preference and acceptance were used. The statistical analyses included mean comparisons regarding acceptance and risk–benefit perceptions of unprocessed and processed insects. We further examined the role of perceived benefits and risks as well as risk preferences as determinants of acceptance via hierarchical multiple regressions.FindingsRespondents indicated lower perceived risks, and higher perceived benefits and thus higher acceptance for processed insect products as compared to whole insects. Risk perception was the strongest predictor of acceptance of unprocessed as well as processed insect food. Respondents who reported to have already eaten insects before exhibited higher risk preferences than those who had not.Originality/valueThis study specifically considered the role of risk preferences, which has been so far largely overlooked in consumer research on insect foods. The findings indicate that acceptance of insect food is mainly driven by risk perception rather than individual risk preferences. However, risk preferences should not be totally overlooked as they seem to play a role especially for unprocessed insects and the decision to try insects for the first time.

GRASSIUS 2.0: A gene regulatory information knowledgebase for maize and other grasses

Grass species, which include the major cereal crops maize, wheat, rice, and sugarcane, are an integral part of our global agriculture and source of food and energy for a growing world population. GRASSIUS was established as a knowledgebase for transcription factors (TFs) and coregulators (CoRegs) in maize and several other species in the grass family. TFs are a primary component of the gene regulatory networks (GRNs) and the underlying gene regulatory grids (GRGs) that govern all aspects of plant growth and metabolism. GRASSIUS is the source for all information pertaining to the maize TFome collection, which serves as a powerful resource for the discovery of GRNs in maize and other cereals [1,2]. Here we describe the release of the GRASSIUS 2.0 knowledgebase (www.grassius.org) with updated data, query, and tool features, as well as the ability to expand to accommodate future datasets. The membership and annotation of all TF and CoReg families has been updated and revised to include gene models from v3, v4, and v5, of the maize B73 genome and recent genome versions of rice, sorghum, Brachypodium, and sugarcane. A translation tool enables cross referencing of Gene IDs between versions of the maize genome. Protein-DNA interactions (PDIs) have been added incorporating results derived from various gene- and TF-centered PDI discovery tools and visualized through a new web-based interface. A filtering tools permits the selection and visualization of PDIs within a ± 2 kb distance from the transcriptional start site (TSS) of a gene of interest. A new BLAST (Basic Local Alignment Search Tool) tool facilitates searching of the maize TFome as well as v3, v4, and v5 TF gene model sets. Lastly, we describe the methodology used to implement GRASSIUS 2.0 which can guide others in developing and updating similar plant gene regulatory knowledgebases.

Optimization of Manure-Based Substrate Preparation to Reduce Nutrients Losses and Improve Quality for Growth of Agaricus bisporus

With the growing world population, food demand has also increased, resulting in increased agricultural waste and livestock manure production. Wheat straw and cow dung are rich nutrient sources and, if not utilized properly, may lead to environmental pollution. Keeping in view the cultivation of Agaricus bisporus on straw/manure-based substrate, the current study aimed to optimize the conventional manure preparation technique to reduce nutrient losses and keep the quality of manure at its best. The treatments were considered as traditional and optimized schemes for mushroom substrate preparation. The results achieved herein indicated that the nutrient losses were low in the optimum scheme. For carbon (C), the loss was 43.55% at the substrate stage in the traditional scheme and reduced to 37.75% in the optimum scheme. In the case of nitrogen (N), the loss was 22.01% in the traditional scheme and was lower (18.49%) in the optimum scheme. The nutrient concentration in Agaricus bisporus was higher with the optimum scheme compared with the traditional scheme. It was 1.74% for C, 7.17% for N, 3.58% for phosphorus (P), and 4.92% for potassium (K). The optimum scheme also improved the Agaricus bisporus yield per unit area (84.55%) and the total yield (28.92%). The net income of the optimum scheme was 102.95% higher compared to the traditional scheme. The economic analysis also revealed that the benefit–cost ratio of the optimum scheme was high (48.86%) compared with the traditional scheme. This study concludes that the use of the optimum scheme can better utilize the wheat straw and cow manure waste for substrate preparation and reducing nutrient losses. In addition, the final mushroom residue can also be used as a leftover substrate for further utilization.

New Active Ingredients for Sustainable Modern Chemical Crop Protection in Agriculture.

Today, the agrochemical industry faces enormous challenges to ensure the sustainable supply of high-quality food, efficient water use, low environmental impact, and the growing world population. The shortage of agrochemicals due to consumer perception, changing needs of farmers and ever-changing regulatory requirements is higher than the number of active ingredients that are placed on the market. The introduction of halogen atoms into an active ingredient molecule offers the opportunity to optimize its physico-chemical properties such as molecular lipophilicity. As early as 2010, around four-fifths of modern agrochemicals on the market contained halogen atoms. In addition, it becomes clear that modern agrochemicals have increasingly complex molecular structures with one or more stereogenic centers in the molecule. Today, almost half of modern agrochemicals are chiral molecules (herbicides, insecticides/acaricides/nematicides ≪ fungicides) and most of them consist of mixtures such as racemic mixtures of enantiomers, followed by mixtures of diastereomers and mixtures of pure enantiomers. Therefore, it is important that halogen-containing substituents or stereogenic centers are considered in the structural optimization of the active ingredients to ultimately develop sustainable agrochemicals in terms of efficacy, ecotoxicology, ease of use and cost-effectiveness.

The Carbon Footprint of the Vascular Surgery Operating Room

ObjectiveClimate change is the single greatest threat to global human health, contributing to changes in disease patterns, water and food insecurity, vulnerability in shelter and human settlements, climatic volatility, and population growth and migration. Healthcare generates between 8 - 10% of all greenhouse gas emissions. Surgical care accounts for a significant proportion due to equipment and drug use, sterility requirements, and life support systems. There are currently minimal data describing this carbon consumption. The purpose of this study was to determine the carbon utilization of common vascular interventions and to identify variables associated with increased carbon utilization. MethodsWe conducted an observational study of all elective and urgent vascular surgery procedures performed at our institution in a two-month period in 2023. All waste generated was weighed and cataloged per hospital waste practices. Additional characteristics of the procedures were also collected. Carbon utilization was determined by applying DEFRA greenhouse gas life-cycle conversion factors to the mean waste produced. These factors take into account greenhouse gas emissions generated in the initial production and eventual disposal. Variables associated with increased carbon production were evaluated by linear regression models with log-transformed outcomes. Results59 procedures were included. Complex endovascular aortic procedures were the most carbon intensive (69.35kg CO2), equivalent to driving a medium-sized vehicle 369 kilometers. Dialysis access procedures (11.5kg CO2) and minor amputations (10.6kg CO2) were the least carbon intensive. Open surgical bypasses (28.4kg CO2) and cerebrovascular procedures (20.3kg CO2) produced a moderate amount of carbon. Endovascular interventions were 50% more carbon intensive than open interventions (95% CI: 28%, 77%; p <0.01). Aortic interventions were 63% more carbon intensive than non-aortic interventions (95% CI: 28%, 109%; p<0.01). In both models, there was nearly a half percent increase in carbon generated for each minute of additional operating time (p<0.01). Blood loss was not consistently associated with carbon utilization. ConclusionsClimate change is a major threat to human health. The environmental impact of day-to-day surgery is rarely considered but clearly significant. Larger procedures are associated with increased carbon utilization, particularly if they are endovascular or aortic. The duration of the case is also associated with increased utilization. Further work should be done to identify additional variables and opportunities for carbon reduction.

Integrating water quality model and aeration with IoT technology in water quality management: A conceptual framework

Eutrophication poses a significant threat to both human population growth and aquatic life. It gives rise to a range of issues, including algae blooms, loss of habitat, reduced self-purification capacity, and changes in the biodiversity system. In order to restore the ecosystem, it is imperative to implement water quality management measures to combat eutrophication. Common methods for mitigating eutrophication include the use of water quality models, aeration, and IoT technology. Water quality model simulations have been demonstrated to accurately predict future water quality. Aeration, on the other hand, increases oxygen concentration in water through dispersion. Furthermore, the utilization of IoT in water quality monitoring provides users with precise and real-time data. Despite research findings that suggest the effectiveness of water quality models, aeration, and IoT technologies in addressing eutrophication, their current integration is inadequate. Therefore, the aim of this paper is to develop a conceptual framework that incorporates water quality models, aeration, and IoT technology to regulate water quality, with a specific focus on preventing the eutrophication issue. The conceptual framework was created by studying existing research on frameworks for water treatment, water quality modelling, aerators, and IoT technologies. Several adjustments were made to tailor the general framework to the specific requirements of this study. The discussion emphasizes the advantages of conceptual framework development in managing water quality, which integrates water quality models, aerators, and IoT technologies. This framework is expected to serve as an effective tool for managing eutrophication in water, while also promoting sustainable measures to address water contamination.

Accelerating growth of human coastal populations at the global and continent levels: 2000–2018

Current human population growth along Earth’s coasts is on a collision path with anticipated consequences of increasing natural and anthropogenic induced coastal hazards. Using recently-available ambient, dasymetric data, we developed methods to estimate annual continental and global coastal populations from (2000–2018) measured horizontally from the shoreline inward. We found: (1) large concentrations of population in relatively small bands and regions along the coast (~ 2 billion within 50 km and ~ 1 billion within 10 km); (2) higher growth rates of coastal population than inland population (an addition of 463 million within 50 km and 233 million within 10 km); (3) strong influence of distance from the coast to predict population distribution; and (4) that macro population patterns and growth could be expressed and modeled as a power function at continental and global levels. Findings point to emerging macro population patterns along the coast as contributing to increasing anthropogenic effects on Earth systems and increasing human risks associated with sea-level rise, land subsidence, extreme weather, and public health. Reliable data tracking of the magnitude, spatial distribution and change of human populations in the coastal regions is essential for comprehensive coastal monitoring.

Retraction Note: Assessing the impact of human capital, renewable energy, population growth, economic growth, and climate change policies on achieving the sustainable development goals.

Retraction Note: Assessing the impact of human capital, renewable energy, population growth, economic growth, and climate change policies on achieving the sustainable development goals.

Examining Trends in the Food–Energy–Water Security Nexus and Its Relationships with Human Development, Population Growth, and Conflict

Abundant and accessible food, energy, and water are essential to the functioning of human societies and individual health and happiness. However, growing populations, intensifying climate change, and violent instability undermine resource security. We used data from the recently updated Pardee RAND Food–Energy–Water (FEW) Index and the INFORM risk model to assess global and regional trends in resource security and relationships with the Human Development Index (HDI), internal conflict risk, and population growth. Our analysis finds that resource security has modestly improved with an average global FEW Index improvement of 2.61%, but this figure masks significant regional disparities, with several countries in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia regressing in terms of food and water security. We observe continued high correlations between HDI and the FEW Index (0.8664) and also find the FEW Index to be highly correlated with national income per capita (0.6547). We also find that at a global level, there is a significant negative association between trends in the FEW Index and population growth (−0.4724) during the study period, suggesting that a growing proportion of the global population is experiencing resource insecurity. Finally, our analysis suggests that several resource-insecure countries are also conflict-prone and these nations tended to do worse over the study period than similarly resource-insecure states that were internally stable.

Identifying urban prone areas to flash floods: The case of Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Floods are the natural hazard that causes the largest annual losses in the world Urban expansion and population growth have made cities the most hazardous areas, mainly due to poor planning, occupation of the drainage network and soil sealing. Santa Cruz de Tenerife is one of the many cities worldwide threatened by this phenomenon. Its typically Mediterranean rainfall pattern, characterized by extreme precipitation events in short periods of time, together with its orography of steep ravines, short length and width, as well as its disorderly growth, make it a space prone to the occurrence of flash floods. In addition, the increase in torrential rainfall as a consequence of climate change and the tendency towards greater irregularity in precipitation is considerably intensifying the problem. This paper studies the characteristics of these episodes and the black spots inventoried in its General Management Plan (PGO for its initials in Spanish). On the other hand, flood modeling is carried out based on the rainfall characterization, whose maximum flows, in total, range between 500 and 1600 m3/s. Finally, a methodology that allows integrating both analyses to obtain a detailed hazard map is proposed as an alternative to the more traditional flood hazard analyses. A design storm of 288 mm is applied and the data is validated against the largest rainfall event on record, March 31, 2002. It has been shown that in an urban drainage network, the main watercourses and those that have disappeared due to urbanization represent areas susceptible to flooding and are the sectors that should be emphasized during the implementation of risk reduction measures. Finally, emphasis is placed on the need to integrate future climate projections of precipitation to better define the maximum flood flows.

447 Ex-food4feed: Keeping nutrients in the food chain - Sponsored by EAAP

Abstract The growing world population and rising income in developing countries create more demand for animal products. However, natural resources such as land, water, and nutrients are not boundless. As a consequence, competition of resources in food and feed production is an issue to be confronted with. One promising solution is relocating food losses into animal feeding, propelling the course of sustainability and circular economy in the livestock sector. Given this scenario, former food products (FFPs) represent great opportunities. Instead of ending up in landfill or compost, a better destination for FFPs is to be used as feedstuffs to replace traditional ingredients. FFPs are foodstuffs not accepted by the human market but have several advantages enabling them to enter swine feeding programs. FFPs are mainly composed of processed and ready-to-eat food products such as snacks and bakery goods. Thanks to industrial processing and their product type nature, FFPs are rich in easily digestible starch, simple sugars, fat, and energy contents comparable with cereal grains. Based on their nutritional features, these materials are extremely rich in carbohydrates, free sugars and, depending on their origin, also in fats. In addition, FFPs are often characterized by a high degree of processing including technological and heat treatments which can affect not only the availability of nutrients and the kinetics of digestion, but also gastro-intestinal health and animal response. On fresh matter basis, FFPs can substitute conventional feed ingredients up to 30 % in the diets of pigs. Starting from post-weaning piglets, FFP-based diet is able to maintain piglet growth without substantial effects on hindgut microbiota. In growing-finishing pigs, FFP-based diets at a 30 % inclusion level support growth performance of pigs without altering their nutrient and energy deposition efficiency, live body and carcass composition, and general meat quality traits. When considering liver proteome and plasma peptidome of pigs fed such diets, minor modulation occurs. To sum up, while maintaining the performance and wellbeing of pigs, the use of FFPs up to 30 % to replace classic feedstuffs represents a great potential in: i) mitigating food-feed competition, ii) re-distributing valuable food losses to livestock sector to produce animal protein, and iii) reducing environmental footprints resulting from animal production. All these aspects point out important concepts under the principles of circular economy and resilience enhancement in livestock farming, namely, making the most of resources to build a regenerative food system.

Land use to agriculture and planted forests strongly affect the genetic diversity of Baccharis crispa Spreng., a native herb of South America

Abstract Human population growth constantly requires an increase in the production of food and products from the timber industry. To meet this demand, agriculture and planted forests are advancing over natural areas. In view of this, it is necessary to know the effects of land use for different purposes (grain production, pastures, planted forests, fruit production, among other uses) on the genetic diversity of populations of native species. This knowledge can assist in land use planning as well as in the development of conservation strategies for native species. In this study, we evaluated the effect of land use for agriculture (mainly for cereal production) and planted forests on the genetic diversity of Baccharis crispa Spreng., a herb native to South America. To achieve our goals, we compared population genetic data obtained with three molecular markers (microsatellites, ISSR [inter-simple sequence repeat] and isoenzymes) with data on land use for agriculture and planted forests from 15 different locations. Our results showed that regardless of the molecular marker used, the greater the use of land for agriculture and planted forests, the lower was the genetic diversity of B. crispa populations. Baccharis crispa is a semi-perennial species that needs at least one year to reach its reproductive period, which is prevented in agricultural areas due to the land being turned over or dissected with herbicides every six months. In the studied regions, the planted forests are of eucalypt and/or pine, which besides being species with a high production of allelopathic substances, produce strong shading and B. crispa is a species that inhabits open grassland that needs high incidence of sunlight for development. The data obtained in our study can assist in the decision-making to use land in order to reconcile the production of supplies for humanity and for the conservation of nature.

An assessment of seasonal bait uptake by individual grey squirrels to develop a delivery system for oral contraceptives.

Globally, human-wildlife conflicts continue to increase, owing to human population growth and expansion. Many of these conflicts concern the impacts of invasive non-native species. In the UK, the invasive, non-native grey squirrel Sciurus carolinensis negatively affects tree health and has caused the decline of the native red squirrel Sciurus vulgaris. Oral contraceptives are being developed to manage the impacts of the grey squirrel. To be effective, contraceptives will need to be deployed at a landscape scale, and will require a delivery system that is practical and economically viable. Understanding grey squirrel feeding behaviour is important so that delivery methods can be designed so that a sufficient number oftarget individuals receive an effective contraceptive dose at a time of year that will ensure their infertility throughout peak times of breeding. The main aims of this study were to assess how sex, season, squirrel density and bait point density influenced; (1) the probability of a squirrel visiting a feeder and (2) the amount of bait consumed from feeders. Field trials were conducted on six woodland populations of squirrels in three seasons, with four days of bait deployment via purpose-designed squirrel-specific bait hoppers with integrated PIT-tag readers. It was possible to deliver multiple doses on most days to most male and female grey squirrels, with bait deployment more likely to be effective in spring, immediately before the second annual peak in squirrel breeding, followed by winter, immediately before the first peak in breeding. The results from this study could be used to design methods for delivering oral contraceptive baits to grey squirrels in the future and the methods used could be applied to other small mammal species and other bait delivery systems. © 2024 Crown copyright and The Author(s). Pest Management Science published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Society of Chemical Industry. This article is published with the permission of the Controller of HMSO and the King's Printer for Scotland.

Socio-demographic factors influencing locals’ responses to human-wildlife conflicts in societies living adjacent to Swagaswaga Game Reserve, Tanzania

Understanding the factors that shape local people responses is essential for developing effective strategies to mitigate and manage conflicts between humans and wildlife while safeguarding the well-being of both. This study assessed the factors that influence the locals’ responses regarding human wildlife conflicts (HWCs) in villages surrounding Swagaswaga Game Reserve in Tanzania, where human population growth has led to increased competition for natural resources between humans and wildlife. We found a substantial majority (71%) of respondents having experienced HWCs, while others (29%) have not encountered such conflicts. A logistic regression analysis tested various independent variables to determine their significance in predicting locals’ responses to HWCs. Our results indicated that the district of residence and the age category of respondents significantly influenced their reactions to HWCs, with district identity being the most significant predictor of these responses. Additionally, the study presents pairwise comparisons of measures taken by local people to mitigate HWCs, showing preferences for non-lethal strategies such as guiding (patrol) and growing alternative crops over lethal control. Moreover, the construction of physical barriers, such as fences and steel bars, was favored over lethal control methods. Unlike previous studies, this research provides targeted guidance for conservation and management strategies that are tailored to the unique needs and preferences of the local communities surrounding Swagaswaga Game Reserve and other areas globally with similar contexts. Therefore, this study extends our understanding of HWC in Tanzania by offering detailed insights into the specific factors that shape local responses and their preferences for mitigation measures.

Population at risk of dengue virus transmission has increased due to coupled climate factors and population growth

Dengue virus transmission has increased over the last four decades seemingly due to changes in climate, urbanization and population growth. Using estimates of dengue transmission suitability based on historical temperature and humidity data, we examined how shifts in these climatic variables and human population growth have contributed to the change in the geographical distribution and size of the global population living in areas with high climate suitability from 1979 to 2022. We found an expansion in climate suitability in North America, East Asia and the Mediterranean basin, where with few exceptions, endemicity is not yet established. Globally, we estimated that the population in areas with high climate suitability has grown by approximately 2.5 billion. In the Global South, this increase was largely driven by population growth in areas with historically favorable climate suitability, while in the Global North this increase predominantly occurred in previously unfavorable areas with limited population growth.