Guiding enterprises towards green technology innovation (GTI) is a pivotal strategy for mitigating pollution and energy wastage, thereby facilitating the transition towards a green and low-carbon economy. In order to solve the single irrationality of the existing guidance policy and improve its implementation effect, parameters of environmental regulation and green credit policy are hereby introduced to construct a tripartite evolutionary game model of the government, financial institutions, and enterprises. The evolutionary stability of the government and financial institutions in guiding enterprises' GTI is analyzed. Simulation analysis method is used to visualize the evolution path of the game system under different policy options. The study results show that increasing interest rate subsidies can promote the financial institutions and the government to formulate GTI guidance policies. Besides, there is a significant synergistic effect between interest rate subsidies and green credits, which can efficiently foster GTI within enterprises and decrease their innovation costs. Building on this foundation, further increasing the carbon tax rate can lead to a reduction in government subsidy expenditures, improve the evolution rate of the ideal strategy, and expedite the realization of a green, low-carbon transformation.
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