Grassland Aboveground Biomass Research Articles

Uncertainty assessment of grassland aboveground biomass using quantile regression forests

Uncertainty assessment of grassland aboveground biomass using quantile regression forests

Estimation, Spatiotemporal Dynamics, and Driving Factors of Grassland Biomass Carbon Storage Based on Machine Learning Methods: A Case Study of the Hulunbuir Grassland

Precisely estimating the grassland biomass carbon storage is vital for evaluating grassland carbon sequestration potential and the monitoring and management of grassland resources. With the increasing intensity of climate change (CC) and human activities (HA), it is necessary to explore spatiotemporal variations in biomass carbon storage and its response to CC and HA. In this study, we focused on the Hulunbuir Grassland, utilizing sample plots data, MODIS data, environmental factors (terrain, soil, and climate), location factor, and texture characteristics to assess the performance of four machine learning algorithms: random forest, support vector machine, gradient boosting decision tree, and extreme gradient boosting in estimating grassland aboveground biomass (AGB). Based on the optimal model combined with root-shoot ratio data, grassland distribution data, and carbon content coefficients, the spatiotemporal characteristics and driving factors of biomass carbon storage from 2001–2022 were analyzed. The results showed that (1) the random forest achieved the highest prediction accuracy for grassland AGB, making it appropriate for AGB estimation in the Hulunbuir Grassland. (2) The spectral indices were the key variables of the grassland AGB, especially the enhanced vegetation index and difference vegetation index. (3) The 22-year average total biomass (TB) of the study area was 1037.10 gC/m2, of which the 22-year average AGB was 48.73 gC/m2 and 22-year average belowground biomass was 988.37 gC/m2, showing a spatial distribution feature of gradual increase from west to east. (4) From 2001–2022, TB carbon storage showed an insignificant growth trend (p > 0.05). The 22-year average carbon storage of TB was 72.34 ± 18.07 gC. (5) Climate factors were the main driving factors for the spatial pattern of grassland TB carbon density, while the combined effects of CC and HA were the main contributors to the interannual increase in grassland TB carbon density.

Regional differences in the impact paths of climate on aboveground biomass in alpine grasslands across the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau

Alpine grasslands on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) play an essential role in water conservation, biodiversity protection and climate feedback, with aboveground biomass (AGB) serving as a crucial indicator of grassland health and functionality. While previous studies have independently explored the phenological differences, cumulative effects, and spatial variability of climatic impacts on biomass/productivity in alpine grasslands, the cascading effects regarding climate and phenology on AGB still present knowledge gaps. Here, using peak AGB measurements, remote sensing and gridded climate data in the QTP alpine grasslands during 2002–2018, we systematically analyzed the impact paths of climatic variables (i.e., cumulative precipitation, CP; growing degree-days, GDD) and phenology-mediated paths (start and peak date of the growing season, SOS and POS) on AGB and their regional differences. During the preseason (pre60) or the growing season (sos-pos), climate primarily directly impacted variations in AGB across different climatic regions, although a phenology-mediated path by which climate indirectly affected AGB existed (i.e., GDDsos-pos → POS → AGB). Three general patterns were revealed: In the plateau temperate arid regions, an increase in CPpre60 significantly promoted AGB (path coefficients w = 0.61–0.71), whereas an increase in GDDpre60 inhibited AGB (w = −0.42 ~ −0.49); In the plateau sub-cold regions, increases in both CPsos-pos and GDDsos-pos significantly promoted AGB, respectively (w = 0.46–0.81 and w = 0.37–0.70); Similarly, in the plateau temperate arid or semi-arid regions, increases in CPsos-pos also significantly promoted the AGB (w = 0.56–0.73). This study highlights that the water and heat accumulation mainly exert direct impacts on alpine grassland AGB across various climatic regions and phenological stages, providing insights into the mechanism driving AGB by climate and phenology during spring and summer.

Estimation of grassland aboveground biomass in northern China based on topography-climate-remote sensing data

Accurately assessing grassland aboveground biomass (AGB) over large areas is essential for the conservation of grassland resource and the improvement of ecological environment. In this study, the models for estimating grassland AGB were structured using Google Earth Engine (GEE), based on the large-scale and long-term measurement data of grassland AGB in northern China, combined with remote sensing, topography and climate data. The distribution pattern of grassland AGB was produced, and the spatial–temporal evolution pattern and future change trend of grassland AGB were analyzed. The results show that: (1) the random forest (RF) model, incorporating topography, climate and remote sensing data, exhibited good simulation accuracy (training dataset: R2 = 0.73, RMSE = 44.85 g/m2, MAE = 30.92 g/m2; testing dataset: R2 = 0.64, RMSE = 57.54 g/m2, MAE = 44.74 g/m2). (2) the grassland AGB in northern China increased spatially from west to east, and the annual average was between 16.02–272.84 g/m2. The grassland AGB showed a fluctuating increasing trend at a rate of 0.59 g/m2/a from 2000 to 2020, and the coefficient of variation of the grassland AGB was small, ranging from 0.00 to 0.69, which was in a more stable state. (3) the grassland AGB in northern China generally exhibited an upward trend before 2020 (67.99 %). However, the upward trend may weaken after 2020 (38.95 %). The research results provide a quantitative perspective for studies on grassland livestock carrying capacity and climate change in northern China.

How do short-term and long-term factors impact the aboveground biomass of grassland in Northern China?

The aboveground biomass (AGB) of grassland, a crucial indicator of productivity, is anticipated to widespread changes in key ecosystem attributes, functions and dynamics. Variations in grassland AGB have been extensively documented across various spatial and temporal scales. However, a precise method to disentangle long-term effects from short-term effects on grassland AGB and assess the attribution of explanatory factors for AGB change remains elusive. This study aimed to quantify the impact of key climatic factors, soil properties, and grazing intensity on grassland AGB changes, utilizing data spanning the 1980s and the 2000s in Northern China. The Co-regression model was explored to separate the long-term effects and short-term effects of grassland AGB, while the Generalized Linear Model (GLM) was utilized to analyze the contributions of key variables to AGB. This approach effectively avoids issues related to regression to the mean and mathematical coupling. The results revealed that the influence of climatic variables, soil texture and grazing intensity on grassland AGB changes could be decomposed into long-term, short-term and random effects. Long-term effects explained 73.6% of AGB variation, whereas short-term effect only accounted for 5.9% of AGB change. Additionally, the short-term effect was divided into direct and indirect effects, with the direct effect explaining 1.3% of AGB variation, and the indirect effect explained 4.6% of AGB dynamics. The relative importance of key variables in grassland AGB was assessed, identifying soil parameters and precipitation as the main driving factors in the study area. This study introduces a robust methodology to enhance model performance in distinguishing long-term and short-term effects on grassland AGB, contributing to the sustainable development of grassland ecology in similar regions.

Combining CENTURY model and vulnerability assessment index to estimate aboveground biomass and ecological vulnerability of grassland: An analysis in Northwest Sichuan Plateau

Evaluating the impact of climate change on grassland productivity using grassland ecological models is of great significance for the sustainable use of grasslands. Based on meteorological, soil, and grassland data, this study employed the Grassland Ecosystem Model (CENTURY) to scrutinize the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of above-ground biomass (AGB) of grasslands in the northwest Sichuan Plateau (NWSP) and established a spatial distribution pattern of grassland vulnerability levels in the NWSP. Utilizing five on-site verification points, the CENTURY model worked well in simulating the AGB of grasslands in the NWSP and was suitable for investigating the impact of climate change on grassland productivity in the NWSP. Simulation outcomes revealed a zonal distribution pattern of the annual average AGB in grasslands across the NWSP, with the central region exhibiting higher levels surpassing 800 g m−². From 1961 to 2020, the AGB of grasslands showed a significant increase trend, with growth rates ranging from 14.2 to 25.9 g m−2·(10a)−1. Overall, the northern and central regions of the NWSP experienced substantial climate impacts, coinciding with a marked increase in biomass. From 1961 to 2020, the overall vulnerability of grasslands in the NWSP was relatively low, with areas exhibiting moderate or lower vulnerability levels accounting for 83.8 %. The overall spatial distribution pattern showed low vulnerability in the north and central regions, and high vulnerability in the eastern and southwestern edges.

Interannual precipitation variability dominates the growth of alpine grassland above-ground biomass at high elevations on the Tibetan Plateau

The impact of global climate change on mountainous regions with significant elevational gaps is complex and often unpredictable. In particular, alpine grassland ecosystems, are experiencing changes in their spatial patterns along elevational gradients, which increases their vulnerability to degradation. Therefore, a more detailed understanding of spatiotemporal changes in alpine grassland productivity along elevational gradients and an elevation-dependent characterization of the effects of climatic variables on grassland productivity dynamics are essential. Thus, we conducted a study in the Tibetan Plateau, where we collected 2251 above-ground biomass (AGB) observations collected from 1986 to 2020. Mean annual temperature (TMP), annual precipitation (PRE), interannual precipitation variability (CVP), and snowmelt (SNMM) were chosen as influential variables. Using the Random Forest algorithm, we generated an AGB raster dataset covering the period 1989–2020 based on earth observation data at 30 m resolution to examine the dynamics of alpine grasslands and their response to climate change with respect to elevation. The results showed that the AGB of alpine grassland on the Tibetan Plateau was 49.17 g/m2. We observed an increasing trend in grassland AGB at high elevations, with a growth rate of about 0.28 g/m2 per year within the interval of 3100–4800 m. However, above the elevation of approximately 4400–4600 m, we observed a decoupling trend between grassland AGB and TMP. Moreover, at most elevations, the proportion of maximum partial correlation coefficients for CVP, PRE, and SNMM surpassed that of TMP. We found the dominant role of precipitation variability on grassland AGB dynamics, with 22.80 % and 18.86 % for CVP+ and CVP-, respectively. The proportion of CVP+ did not vary much at different elevations, whereas the proportion of CVP- increased with elevation, varying between 12.85 and 30.25 %. In the future, precipitation on the Tibetan plateau is expected to increase, potentially reversing its original positive impact.

UAV and Satellite Synergies for Mapping Grassland Aboveground Biomass in Hulunbuir Meadow Steppe.

Aboveground biomass (AGB) is an important indicator of the grassland ecosystem. It can be used to evaluate the grassland productivity and carbon stock. Satellite remote sensing technology is useful for monitoring the dynamic changes in AGB across a wide range of grasslands. However, due to the scale mismatch between satellite observations and ground surveys, significant uncertainties and biases exist in mapping grassland AGB from satellite data. This is also a common problem in low- and medium-resolution satellite remote sensing modeling that has not been effectively solved. The rapid development of uncrewed aerial vehicle (UAV) technology offers a way to solve this problem. In this study, we developed a method with UAV and satellite synergies for estimating grassland AGB that filled the gap between satellite observation and ground surveys and successfully mapped the grassland AGB in the Hulunbuir meadow steppe in the northeast of Inner Mongolia, China. First, based on the UAV hyperspectral data and ground survey data, the UAV-based AGB was estimated using a combination of typical vegetation indices (VIs) and the leaf area index (LAI), a structural parameter. Then, the UAV-based AGB was aggregated as a satellite-scale sample set and used to model satellite-based AGB estimation. At the same time, spatial information was incorporated into the LAI inversion process to minimize the scale bias between UAV and satellite data. Finally, the grassland AGB of the entire experimental area was mapped and analyzed. The results show the following: (1) random forest (RF) had the best performance compared with simple regression (SR), partial least squares regression (PLSR) and back-propagation neural network (BPNN) for UAV-based AGB estimation, with an R2 of 0.80 and an RMSE of 76.03 g/m2. (2) Grassland AGB estimation through introducing LAI achieved higher accuracy. For UAV-based AGB estimation, the R2 was improved by an average of 10% and the RMSE was reduced by an average of 9%. For satellite-based AGB estimation, the R2 was increased from 0.70 to 0.75 and the RMSE was decreased from 78.24 g/m2 to 72.36 g/m2. (3) Based on sample aggregated UAV-based AGB and an LAI map, the accuracy of satellite-based AGB estimation was significantly improved. The R2 was increased from 0.57 to 0.75, and the RMSE was decreased from 99.38 g/m2 to 72.36 g/m2. This suggests that UAVs can bridge the gap between satellite observations and field measurements by providing a sufficient training dataset for model development and AGB estimation from satellite data.

Integrating the PROSAIL and SVR Models to Facilitate the Inversion of Grassland Aboveground Biomass: A Case Study of Zoigê Plateau, China

Grasslands play a vital role in the global ecosystem. Efficient and reproducible methods for estimating the grassland aboveground biomass (AGB) are crucial for understanding grassland growth, promoting sustainable development, and assessing the carbon cycle. Currently, the available methods are limited by their computational inefficiency, model transfer, and sampling scale. Therefore, in this study, the estimation of grassland AGB over a large area was achieved by coupling the PROSAIL model with the support vector machine regression (SVR) method. The ill-posed inverse problem of the PROSAIL model was mitigated through kernel-based regularization using the SVR model. The Zoigê Plateau was used as the case study area, and the results demonstrated that the estimated biomass accurately reproduced the reference AGB map generated by zooming in on on-site measurements (R2 = 0.64, RMSE = 43.52 g/m2, RRMSE = 15.13%). The estimated AGB map also maintained a high fitting accuracy with field sampling data (R2 = 0.69, RMSE = 44.07 g/m2, RRMSE = 14.21%). Further, the generated time-series profiles of grass AGB for 2022 were consistent with the trends in local grass growth dynamics. The proposed method combines the advantages of the PROSAIL model and the regression algorithm, reduces the dependence on field sampling data, improves the universality and repeatability of grassland AGB estimation, and provides an efficient approach for grassland ecosystem construction and planning.

Continuous monitoring of grassland AGB during the growing season through integrated remote sensing: a hybrid inversion framework

ABSTRACT Inverting grassland above-ground biomass (AGB) presents a significant challenge due to difficulties in characterizing leaf physiological states and obtaining accurate ground-truth data. This study introduces an innovative hybrid model for AGB inversion based on the AGB = leaf mass per area (LMA) * leaf area index (LAI) paradigmn in the Ewenki Banner region of Inner Mongolia. The model integrates the PROSAIL radiative transfer model, machine learning regression, LEnKF data assimilation theory, multisource remote sensing, and meteorological data, following a four-step approach. Firstly, we establish LAI and LMA inversion models by combining the PROSAIL model with machine learning techniques. Secondly, data assimilation fuses the PROSAIL-derived LAI with MODIS-LAI. In the third phase, a Random Forest predictive model is developed for LMA estimation. Lastly, the accuracy of the hybrid model is assessed using empirical data. Precision evaluation with ground-truth samples demonstrates that the assimilated LAI and RF-predicted LMA yield the lowest prediction error for grassland AGB (RMSE = 0.0033 g/cm2; MAE = 0.0028 g/cm2). This model framework addresses the challenge of limited prior knowledge in the PROSAIL-AGB prediction model, thereby enhancing the prediction accuracy while maintaining its key advantages: providing continuous observations at high spatiotemporal resolutions without relying on measured sample data.

Spatio‐Temporal Dynamics of Aboveground Biomass in China's Oasis Grasslands Between 1989 and 2021

AbstractGrassland provides multiple ecosystem services and plays a key role in preventing desert encroachment and maintaining oasis stability. In China, the area of cropland in oases has expanded significantly in recent decades, which results in a rapid increase in agricultural water demand and encroachment on grassland subsistence space. However, our knowledge about how the expansion of cropland affects oasis grasslands remains limited. We used machine learning, temporal segmentation of spectral trajectories, and maximum covariance analysis to generate an annual oasis grassland aboveground biomass (AGB) data set at 30‐m resolution from 1989 to 2021 based on multiple remotely sensed and ground observation data sets, and investigated the dynamics of grassland AGB under cropland expansion in oases. We found that overall oasis grassland AGB increased significantly (0.3 gm−2 yr−1, P < 0.01) during 1989–2021, but trends in AGB were not consistent across basins. In the Yellow River, Turpan Hami, Qaidam, and southern Altai Mountains River Basins, AGB was dominated by a significant increase. Conversely, in all basins in southern Xinjiang, AGB showed a decreasing trend due to the rapid cropland expansion. Spatially, cropland expansion and AGB dynamics were strongly coupled. In regions characterized by agricultural concentration, grassland AGB benefitted from resource spillover via edge effects. However, in downstream areas or those with a low proportion of cropland, where most grasslands are distributed, the relationship between the two shifted to a trade‐off. Our study provides a scientific basis for identifying priority areas for ecological restoration and for science‐based planning of the scale of cropland in oases.

Aboveground Biomass Mapping and Analysis of Spatial Drivers in the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau Permafrost Zone: A Case Study of the Beilu River Basin.

Aboveground biomass (AGB) serves as a crucial measure of ecosystem productivity and carbon storage in alpine grasslands, playing a pivotal role in understanding the dynamics of the carbon cycle and the impacts of climate change on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau. This study utilized Google Earth Engine to amalgamate Landsat 8 and Sentinel-2 satellite imagery and applied the Random Forest algorithm to estimate the spatial distribution of AGB in the alpine grasslands of the Beiliu River Basin in the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau permafrost zone during the 2022 growing season. Additionally, the geodetector technique was employed to identify the primary drivers of AGB distribution. The results indicated that the random forest model, which incorporated the normalized vegetation index (NDVI), the enhanced vegetation index (EVI), the soil-adjusted vegetation index (SAVI), and the normalized burn ratio index (NBR2), demonstrated robust performance in regards to AGB estimation, achieving an average coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.76 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 70 g/m2. The average AGB for alpine meadows was determined to be 285 g/m2, while for alpine steppes, it was 204 g/m2, both surpassing the regional averages in the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau. The spatial pattern of AGB was primarily driven by grassland type and soil moisture, with q-values of 0.63 and 0.52, and the active layer thickness (ALT) also played a important role in AGB change, with a q-value of 0.38, demonstrating that the influences of ALT should not be neglected in regards to grassland change.

Dynamic monitoring of aboveground biomass in inner Mongolia grasslands over the past 23 Years using GEE and analysis of its driving forces

Aboveground biomass (AGB) in grasslands directly reflects the net primary productivity, making it a sensitive indicator of grassland resource quality and ecological degradation. Accurately estimating AGB over large regions to reveal long-term AGB evolution trends remains a formidable challenge. In this study, we divided Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region (IMAR) grasslands into three study regions based on their spatial distribution of grassland types. We combined remote sensing data with ground-based sample data collected over the past 19 years from 6114 field plots using the Google Earth Engine platform. We constructed random forest (RF) and traditional regression AGB inversion models for each region and selected the best-performing model through accuracy assessment to estimate IMAR grassland AGB for the period 2000–2022. We also examined the trends in AGB changes and identified the driving forces affecting IMAR grasslands through the application of Theil-Sen estimation, Mann-Kendall trend analysis, and the Geodetector model. The main findings are as follows: (1) Compared with the univariate parametric traditional regression model, the AGB monitoring accuracy of the multivariate non-parametric RF model in the three study regions increased by 5.94%, 5.08% and 19.14%, respectively. (2) The average AGB per unit area of IMAR grasslands from 2000 to 2022 was 731.41 kg/hm2, with alpine meadow having the highest average AGB (1271.70 kg/hm2) and temperate grassland desertification having the lowest (469.06 kg/hm2). IMAR grasslands exhibited an overall increasing trend in AGB over the past 23 years (6.01 kg/hm2•yr), with the increasing trend covering 83.52% of the grassland area and the decreasing trend covering 16.48%. (3) Spatially, IMAR grassland AGB showed a gradual decline from northeast to southwest and exhibited an increasing trend with increasing longitude (45.423 kg/hm2 per degree) and latitude (71.9 kg/hm2 per degree). (4) Meteorological factors were the most significant factors affecting IMAR grassland AGB, with precipitation (five-year average q value of 0.61) being the most prominent. In the western part of IMAR, where precipitation is consistently limited throughout the year, the primary drivers of influence were human activities, with particular emphasis on the number of livestock (with a five-year average q value of 0.44). It is evident that reducing human activity disturbance and pressure in fragile grassland areas or implementing near-natural restoration measures will be beneficial for the sustainable development of grassland ecosystems. The results of this research hold substantial reference importance for the protection and restoration of grasslands, the supervision and administration of grassland resources, as well as the development of policies related to grassland management.

The Estimation of Grassland Aboveground Biomass and Analysis of Its Response to Climatic Factors Using a Random Forest Algorithm in Xinjiang, China.

Aboveground biomass (AGB) is a key indicator of the physiological status and productivity of grasslands, and its accurate estimation is essential for understanding regional carbon cycles. In this study, we developed a suitable AGB model for grasslands in Xinjiang based on the random forest algorithm, using AGB observation data, remote sensing vegetation indices, and meteorological data. We estimated the grassland AGB from 2000 to 2022, analyzed its spatiotemporal changes, and explored its response to climatic factors. The results showed that (1) the model was reliable (R2 = 0.55, RMSE = 64.33 g·m-2) and accurately estimated the AGB of grassland in Xinjiang; (2) the spatial distribution of grassland AGB in Xinjiang showed high levels in the northwest and low values in the southeast. AGB showed a growing trend in most areas, with a share of 61.19%. Among these areas, lowland meadows showed the fastest growth, with an average annual increment of 0.65 g·m-2·a-1; and (3) Xinjiang's climate exhibited characteristics of warm humidification, and grassland AGB showed a higher correlation with precipitation than temperature. Developing remote sensing models based on random forest algorithms proves an effective approach for estimating AGB, providing fundamental data for maintaining the balance between grass and livestock and for the sustainable use and conservation of grassland resources in Xinjiang, China.

Estimation of aboveground biomass of senescence grassland in China's arid region using multi-source data

Aboveground Biomass (AGB) in the grassland senescence period is a key indicator for assessing grassland fire risk and autumnal pasture carrying capacity. Despite the advancement of remote sensing in rapid monitoring of AGB on a regional scale, accurately monitoring AGB during the senescence period in vast arid areas remains a major challenge. Using remote sensing, environmental data, and 356 samples of grassland senescence period AGB data, this study utilizes the Gram-Schmidt Pan Sharpening (GS) method, multivariate selection methods, and machine learning algorithms (RF, SVM, and BP_ANN) to construct a model for AGB during senescence grassland, and applies the optimal model to analyze spatio-temporal pattern changes in AGB from 2000 to 2021 in arid regions. The results indicate that the GS method effectively enhances the correlation between measured AGB and vegetation indices, reducing model error to some extent; The accuracy of grassland AGB inversion models based on a single vegetation index is low (0.03 ≤ |R| ≤ 0.63), while the RF model constructed with multiple variables selected by the Boruta algorithm is the optimal model for estimating AGB in arid regions during the senescence period (R2 = 0.71, RMSE = 519.74 kg/ha); In the span of 22 years, the annual average AGB in the senescence period of arid regions was 1413.85 kg/ha, with regions of higher AGB primarily located in the northeast and southwest of the study area. The area experiencing an increase in AGB during the senescence period (79.97 %) was significantly larger than that with decreased AGB (20.03 %).

Grassland biomass spatiotemporal patterns and response to climate change in eastern Inner Mongolia based on XGBoost model estimates

Aboveground biomass (AGB) is a key index that reflects grassland health and is of great importance for grassland conservation and sustainable utilization. Many previous studies on grassland AGB were based on the analysis of the whole study period, can’t reflect the change of grassland in the short term, which was not conducive to the implementation and revision of policies. And it is still a challenge to accurately describe the response of grassland AGB to climate factors. In this study, we used four machine learning algorithms (kNN, k-nearest neighbor; RF, Random Forest; SVR, Support Vactor Regression; and XGBoost, eXtreme Gradient Boosting) to construct the estimation model of grassland AGB in eastern Inner Mongolia based on grassland AGB measurement data, MODIS(MOD13Q1) data and environmental data (climate and topography). The average distribution of grassland AGB from 2003 to 2021 was calculated based on the optimal grassland AGB estimation model. The changes of grassland AGB from 2003 to 2021 and in every five-year period during the study series were comprehensively analyzed by the Theil–Sen Median trend analysis and the Mann–Kendall test. The response of grassland AGB to climatic factors was investigated using sensitivity analysis. The results showed that (1) the XGBoost model constructed by NDVI, longitude, latitude, temperature, precipitation, elevation, slope, and aspect (NXYTPESA) is the optimal grassland AGB model (R2 = 0.87, RMSE = 14.27 g/m2). (2) The 20-year average grassland AGB in Eastern Inner Mongolia showed heterogeneous, with higher values in the northeast and lower values in the southwest. (3) The inter-annual variation fluctuated substantially, and the overall trend was increasing. Compared with other time periods, most grassland AGBs were in an increasing trend during 2008–2012 (79 %) and 2018–2021 (84 %). (4) The grassland AGB in the study area was regulated by temperature and precipitation, and the influence of precipitation was greater than that of temperature. This study provides a new method for estimating grassland AGB and its changes and a scientific basis for the sustainable development of grassland ecosystems in eastern Inner Mongolia.

Spatiotemporal evolution and driving forces of long-term aboveground biomass in grasslands of Xinjiang

Spatiotemporal evolution and driving forces of long-term aboveground biomass in grasslands of Xinjiang

Inversion study of the meadow steppe above-ground biomass based on ground and airborne hyperspectral data

Above-ground biomass (AGB) is a critical criterion for assessing the ecological value and productivity of grasslands. Quickly and accurately estimating the AGB of grasslands has become a matter of great concern in grassland ecosystem research. By combining ground ASD hyperspectral data and airborne hyperspectral data, this study successfully extracted the sensitive bands of canopy reflectance and calculated the various vegetation indexes, thus providing information of more dimensions for above-ground biomass estimation. Biomass inversion-based yield modeling results reveal that the 377 nm raw band reflectance of the ASD data and the narrow-band vegetation index of the Resonon data exhibit outstanding performance in yield modeling. Comparative analysis indicates that the Resonon hyperspectral data demonstrate a distinct advantage in assessing meadow steppe yield, and the quadratic polynomial model based on its narrow-band SAVI achieves an R2 of 0.553 and an RMSE of 37.53.

Land use intensity controls the diversity-productivity relationship in northern temperate grasslands of China.

The diversity-productivity relationship is a central issue in maintaining the grassland ecosystem's multifunctionality and supporting its sustainable management. Currently, the mainstream opinion on the diversity-productivity relationship recognizes that increases in species diversity promote ecosystem productivity. Here, we challenge this opinion by developing a generalized additive model-based framework to quantify the response rate of grassland productivity to plant species diversity using vegetation survey data we collected along a land-use intensity gradient in northern China. Our results show that the grassland aboveground biomass responds significantly positively to the Shannon-Wiener diversity index at a rate of 46.8 g m-2 per unit increase of the Shannon-Wiener index in enclosure-managed grasslands, under the co-influence of climate and landscape factors. The aboveground biomass response rate stays positive at a magnitude of 47.1 g m-2 in forest understory grassland and 39.7 g m-2 in wetland grassland. Conversely, the response rate turns negative in heavily grazed grasslands at -55.8 g m-2, transiting via near-neutral rates of -7.0 and -7.3 g m-2 in mowing grassland and moderately grazed grassland, respectively. These results suggest that the diversity-productivity relationship in temperate grasslands not only varies by magnitude but also switches directions under varying levels of land use intensity. This highlights the need to consider land use intensity as a more important ecological integrity indicator for future ecological conservation programs in temperate grasslands.

Estimation of grassland aboveground biomass and its response to climate changes based on remote sensing inversion in Three-River-Source National Park, Tibet Plateau, China

Three-River-Source (TRS) National Park stands as one of China’s earliest established national parks, dedicated to significant ecological responsibilities that include conserving soil and water resources in the Tibetan Plateau region. Research on climate change’s influence on the TRS region’s grasslands is of great significance in our efforts to comprehend and conserve the grassland ecosystem. The most effective random forest (RF) model was chosen to invert the aboveground biomass (AGB) of grassland in the previous 6 years (2015−2020) and predict the grassland AGB in the following 20 years (2021−2040) by comparing linear regression and multivariate nonlinear regression models such as RF, support vector machine, decision tree, and artificial neural network. A Theil–Sen median trend analysis and a Mann–Kendal test were then used to examine the trends of grassland AGB. The results showed that (1) RF outperformed other models in estimating grassland AGB, with a test set decision coefficient of multiple determination (R2) of 0.722, a root mean square error of 42.596 g/m2, and a mean absolute error of 35.619 g/m2; (2) over 6 years, the grassland AGB in TRS National Park had a spatial trend of a steady rise from the northwest to the southeast. The average annual grassland AGB was 247.333 g/m2, with averages of 44.836 g/m2, 92.601 g/m2, and 120.217 g/m2 in the Yangtze River, Yellow River, and Lancang River source parks respectively. The trend of the grassland AGB was primarily stabilized and slightly recovered, with a small portion of the slightly deteriorated areas; (3) climate change significantly affected grassland AGB, and when temperature and precipitation conditions were adequate, grassland AGB values increased with temperature and precipitation. In the scenarios of ssp119, ssp245, and ssp585, grassland AGB is projected to exhibit a dynamic upward trend over the next 20 years. Global warming is expected to boost grassland AGB. Comprehensive measures are essential to maintain grassland health and ensure a positive impact on global carbon and ecological balance. The study’s findings hold great importance for the ecological security of the TRS region and contribute to our global understanding of sustainable grassland development.