GPM IMERG Research Articles

Performance Evaluation of Satellite Precipitation Products During Extreme Events—The Case of the Medicane Daniel in Thessaly, Greece

Mediterranean tropical-like cyclones, or Medicanes, present unique challenges for precipitation estimations due to their rapid development and localized impacts. This study evaluates the performance of satellite precipitation products in capturing the precipitation associated with Medicane Daniel that struck Greece in early September 2023. Utilizing a combination of ground-based observations, reanalysis, and satellite-derived precipitation data, we assess the accuracy and spatial distribution of the satellite precipitation products GPM IMERG, GSMaP, and CMOPRH during the cyclone event, which formed in the Eastern Mediterranean from 4 to 7 September 2023, hitting with unprecedented, enormous amounts of rainfall, especially in the region of Thessaly in central Greece. The results indicate that, while satellite precipitation products demonstrate overall skill in capturing the broad-scale precipitation patterns associated with Medicane Daniel, discrepancies exist in estimating localized intense rainfall rates, particularly in convective cells within the cyclone’s core. Indeed, most of the satellite precipitation products studied in this work showed a misplacement of the highest amounts of associated rainfall, a significant underestimation of the event, and large unbiased root mean square error in the areas of heavy precipitation. The total precipitation field from IMERG Late Run and CMORPH showed the smallest bias (but significant) and good temporal correlation against rain gauges and ERA5-Land reanalysis data as a reference, while IMERG Final Run and GSMaP showed the largest underestimation and overestimation, respectively. Further investigation is needed to improve the representation of extreme precipitation events associated with tropical-like cyclones in satellite precipitation products.

Precipitation variations associated with tropical cyclone intensity and intensity change in the Northwest Pacific using 21-Yr GPM IMERG product

ABSTRACT Precipitation variations associated with tropical cyclone (TC) intensity and intensity changes in the Northwest Pacific are examined using the Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement product spanning from June 2000 to December 2020. The initial analysis focuses on the precipitation properties of TCs in a Neutral stage (TC-N). Results indicate a linear increase in both the precipitation area and the maximum rain rate with rising TC intensity, accompanied by a reduced radius of the maximum rain rate. Increased precipitation probability and intense rainfall occur in the down-shear quadrants relative to vertical wind shear. Compared to TC-N, TCs undergoing intensification display larger precipitation areas, a more symmetric spatial distribution, and an increased mean rain rate in the inner core area. The increase in precipitation area and the mean rain rate in the inner core area correlate with the intensification rate. TCs undergoing weakening exhibit a more asymmetric spatial distribution of precipitation. The increase in the asymmetry index is positively correlated with the weakening rate. Findings suggest that the precipitation area and the mean rain rate in the inner core area could serve as potential predictors for forecasting TC intensification rates. Additionally, an asymmetric spatial distribution of precipitation emerges as a preferred condition for predicting TC weakening.

Evaluation of GPM IMERG Early, Late, and Final Run in Representing Extreme Rainfall Indices in Southwestern Iran

The growing concerns about floods have highlighted the need for accurate and detailed precipitation data as extreme precipitation occurrences can lead to catastrophic floods, resulting in significant economic losses and casualties. Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM IMERG) is a commonly used high-resolution gridded precipitation dataset and is recognized as trustworthy alternative sources of precipitation data. The aim of this study is to comprehensively evaluate the performance of GPM IMERG Early (IMERG-E), Late (IMERG-L), and Final Run (IMERG-F) in precipitation estimation and their capability in detecting extreme rainfall indices over southwestern Iran during 2001–2020. The Asfezari gridded precipitation data, which are developed using a dense of ground-based observation, were utilized as the reference dataset. The findings indicate that IMERG-F performs reasonably well in capturing many extreme precipitation events (defined by various indices). All three products showed a better performance in capturing fixed and non-threshold precipitation indices across the study region. The findings also revealed that both IMERG-E and IMERG-L have problems in rainfall estimation over elevated areas showing values of overestimations. Examining the effect of land cover type on the accuracy of the precipitation products suggests that both IMERG-E and IMERG-L show large and highly unrealistic overestimations over inland water bodies and permanent wetlands. The results of the current study highlight the potential of IMERG-F as a valuable source of data for precipitation monitoring in the region.

A comparative assessment of five precipitation products in the Saharan desert of Morocco: Sakia El Hamra basin case study.

This study evaluates the performance of five satellite precipitation products (GPM IMERG, TRMM 3B42, ERA5, PERSIANN, and CHIRPS) compared to monthly observations from two weather stations (Laayoune and Essmara) over 2001-2017 using statistical metrics including correlation coefficient (CC) and mean square error (MSE). The results reveal notable differences between products. On a monthly timescale, GPM IMERG shows the best overall accuracy with a MSE of 16.8mm/month. However, TRMM 3B42 exhibits higher temporal correlations with a CC around 0.83. The analysis provides insights into product capabilities and limitations for hydrological monitoring in data-sparse regions. Key findings include the superior performance of latest generation datasets like GPM alongside biases requiring localized calibration. The study delivers an assessment framework to guide integration of multiple satellite estimates for enhanced precipitation quantification and hydroclimatic modeling in water-stressed environments.

Evaluating Precipitation Events Using GPM IMERG 30-Minute Near-Real-Time Precipitation Estimates

Abstract Accurately detecting and estimating precipitation at near–real time (NRT) is of utmost importance for the early detection and monitoring of hydrometeorological hazards. The precipitation product, Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG), provides NRT 0.1° and 30-min precipitation estimates across the globe with only a 4-h latency. This study was an evaluation of the GPM IMERG version 6 level-3 early run 30-min precipitation product for precipitation events from 2014 through 2020. The purpose of this research was to identify when, where, and why GPM IMERG misidentified and failed to detect precipitation events in California, Nevada, Arizona, and Utah in the United States. Precipitation events were identified based on 15-min precipitation from gauges and 30-min precipitation from the IMERG multisatellite constellation. False-positive and false-negative precipitation events were identified and analyzed to determine their characteristics. Precipitation events identified by gauges had longer duration and had higher cumulative precipitation than those identified by GPM IMERG. GPM IMERG had many false event detections during the summer months, suggesting possible virga event detection, which is when precipitation falls from a cloud but evaporates before it reaches the ground. The frequency and timing of the merged passive microwave (PMW) product and forward propagation were responsible for IMERG overestimating cumulative precipitation during some precipitation events and underestimating others. This work can inform experts that are using the GPM IMERG NRT product to be mindful of situations where GPM IMERG–estimated precipitation events may not fully resolve the hydrometeorological conditions driving these hazards. Significance Statement Accurately estimating rainfall to detect and monitor a precipitation event at near–real time is of utmost importance for hydrometeorological hazards. We used a state-of-the-art rainfall estimation product called GPM IMERG that uses infrared and passive microwave measurements collected from a constellation of satellites to produce near-real-time rainfall estimates every 30 min worldwide. The purpose of our research was to identify when, where, and why GPM IMERG falsely detected and missed precipitation events. Our results suggest that the frequency and timing of passive microwave precipitation with forward propagation were responsible for IMERG missing events, overestimating total rainfall during some precipitation events, and underestimating total rainfall in other precipitation events. Our future work will further investigate precipitation events using the GPM IMERG version 7 near-real-time product.

A dataset of downscaled monthly precipitation at 1 km resolution in Guangxi, China and ASEAN regions from 2001 to 2020

Located in the southeastern Asia, Guangxi, China and the ASEAN regions have a subtropical monsoon climate with abundant rainfall and frequent floods, which has a great impact on social and economic activities. The precipitation data with high precision and high spatial and temporal resolution are of great significance for industrial and agricultural production, water conservancy development, drought and flood monitoring and prevention, and ecological environment protection. In this paper, we used the Global Precipitation Measurement Mission precipitation data (GPM IMERG) from 2001 to 2020 as the dependent variable in combination with the enhanced vegetation index (EVI), surface evapotranspiration (ET), land surface temperature (LST) from MODIS data and elevation (ELV) from ASTER data as explanatory variables. Then we introduced a geographically weighted regression (GWR) model to construct an annual scale model, depicting the spatial variation of 10-km satellite precipitation with the influence of geographical environmental conditions. Five types of kernel functions were adopted in our GWR model, including the gaussian, exponential, bisquare, tricube, and boxcar kernel function. The optimal kernel function was selected based on the correlation coefficient, the root means square error and bias. Thus, we established the dataset of downscaled monthly precipitation in Guangxi, China and ASEAN regions from 2001 to 2020 by extrapolating the GWR model with input variables at 1 km resolution. The dataset of 1-km monthly precipitation from 2001 to 2020 was also generated by the proportional coefficient method. Moreover, ground observation data from 2,679 stations during 2001–2020 were used for verification. The correlation coefficient, root mean square error and deviation were 0.792, 74.610mm and -0.122%, respectively. The results show that this dataset can reflect the precipitation spatial and temporal distribution and its variations at 1-km resolution in detail, and could be potentially promising for ecological environment, hydrological management, flood prediction and other relevant fields.

Flash Flood Risk Assessment in the Asir Region, Southwestern Saudi Arabia, Using a Physically-Based Distributed Hydrological Model and GPM IMERG Satellite Rainfall Data

Floods in southwestern Saudi Arabia, especially in the Asir region, are among the major natural disasters caused by natural and human factors. In this region, flash floods that occur in the Wadi Hail Basin greatly affect human life and activities, damaging property, the built environment, infrastructure, landscapes, and facilities. A previous study carried out for the same basin has effectively revealed zones of flood risk using such an approach. However, the utilization of the HEC–HMS (Hydrologic Engineering Center–Hydrologic Modeling System) model and IMERG data for delineating areas prone to flash floods remain unexplored. In response to this advantage, this work primarily focused on flood generation assessment in the Wadi Hail Basin, one of the major basins in the region that is frequently prone to severe flash flood damage, from a single extreme rainfall event. We employed a fully physical-based, distributed hydrological model run with HEC–HMS software version 4.11 and Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals of Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG V.06) data, as well as other geo-environmental variables, to simulate the water flow within the Wadi Basin, and predict flash flood hazard. Discharge from the wadi and its sub-basins was predicted using 1 mm rainfall over an 8-h occurrence time. Significant peak discharge (3.6 m3/s) was found in eastern and southern upstream sub-basins and crossing points, rather than those downstream, due to their high-density drainage network (0.12) and CNs (88.4). Generally, four flood hazard levels were identified in the study basin: ‘low risk’, ‘moderate risk’, ‘high risk’, and ‘very high risk’. It was found that 43.8% of the total area of the Wadi Hail Basin is highly prone to flooding. Furthermore, medium- and low-hazard areas make up 4.5–11.2% of the total area, respectively. We found that the peak discharge value of sub-basin 11 (1.8 m3/s) covers 13.2% of the total Wadi Hail area; so, it poses more flood risk than other Wadi Hail sub-basins. The obtained results demonstrated the usefulness of the methods used to develop useful hydrological information in a region lacking ungagged data. This study will play a useful role in identifying the impact of extreme rainfall events on locations that may be susceptible to flash flooding, which will help authorities to develop flood management strategies, particularly in response to extreme events. The study results have potential and valuable policy implications for planners and decision-makers regarding infrastructural development and ensuring environmental stability. The study recommends further research to understand how flash flood hazards correlate with changes at different land use/cover (LULC) classes. This could refine flash flood hazards results and maximize its effectiveness.

An Innovative Correction–Fusion Approach for Multi-Satellite Precipitation Products Conditioned by Gauge Background Fields over the Lancang River Basin

Satellite precipitation products can help improve precipitation estimates where ground-based observations are lacking; however, their relative accuracy and applicability in data-scarce areas remain unclear. Here, we evaluated the accuracy of different satellite precipitation datasets for the Lancang River Basin, Western China, including the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) 3B42RT, the Global Precipitation Measurement Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals (GPM IMERG), and Fengyun 2G (FY-2G) datasets. The results showed that GPM IMERG and FY-2G are superior to TRMM 3B42RT for meeting local research needs. A subsequent bias correction on these two datasets significantly increased the correlation coefficient and probability of detection of the products and reduced error indices such as the root mean square error and mean absolute error. To further improve data quality, we proposed a novel correction–fusion method based on window sliding data correction and Bayesian data fusion. Specifically, the corrected FY-2G dataset was merged with GPM IMERG Early, Late, and Final Runs. The resulting FY-Early, FY-Late, and FY-Final fusion datasets showed high correlation coefficients, strong detection performances, and few observation errors, thereby effectively extending local precipitation data sources. The results of this study provide a scientific basis for the rational use of satellite precipitation products in data-scarce areas, as well as reliable data support for precipitation forecasting and water resource management in the Lancang River Basin.

Evaluation of Daily and Hourly Performance of Multi-Source Satellite Precipitation Products in China’s Nine Water Resource Regions

Satellite precipitation products (SPPs) are of great significance for water resource management and utilization in China; however, they suffer from considerable uncertainty. While numerous researchers have evaluated the accuracy of various SPPs, further investigation is needed to assess their performance across China’s nine major water resource regions. This study used the latest precipitation dataset of the China Meteorological Administration’s Land Surface Data Assimilation System (CLDAS-V2.0) as the benchmark and evaluated the performance of six SPPs—GSMaP, PERSIANN, CMORPH, CHIRPS, GPM IMERG, and TRMM—using six indices: correlation coefficient (CC), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), probability of detection (POD), false alarm rate (FAR), and critical success index (CSI), at both daily and hourly scales across China’s nine water resource regions. The conclusions of this study are as follows: (1) The performance of the six SPPs was generally weaker in the west than in the east, with the Continental Basin (CB) exhibiting the poorest performance, followed by the Southwest Basin (SB). (2) At the hourly scale, the performance of the six SPPs was weaker compared to the daily scale, particularly in the high-altitude CB and the high-latitude Songhua and Liaohe River Basin (SLRB), where observing light precipitation and snowfall presents significant challenges. (3) GSMaP, CMORPH, and GPM IMERG demonstrated superior overall performance compared to CHIRPS, PERISANN, and TRMM. (4) CMORPH was found to be better suited for application in drought-prone areas, showcasing optimal performance in the CB and SB. GSMaP excelled in humid regions, displaying the best overall performance in the remaining seven basins. GPM IMERG serves as a complementary precipitation data source for the first two.

Spatial downscaling analysis of GPM IMERG precipitation dataset based on multiscale geographically weighted regression model: a case study of the Inner Mongolia Reach of the Yellow River basin

The Inner Mongolia Reach of the Yellow River Basin is characterized by a relative scarcity of meteorological stations. While satellite precipitation products can complement observations from meteorological stations, their limited spatial resolution restricts their efficacy in regional studies. This study utilizes the GPM IMERG precipitation dataset, considering various factors that influence the spatial distribution of precipitation, such as the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), elevation, slope, aspect, and topographical relief, to construct a multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) model. A spatial downscaling method for the GPM IMERG precipitation dataset is proposed, and its reliability is validated through an accuracy assessment. Moreover, the scale differences in the impact of different factors on the spatial pattern of precipitation in the Inner Mongolia Reach of the Yellow River Basin are scrutinized. The results indicate that: 1) The downscaled GPM IMERG precipitation data (1 km × 1 km) exhibit enhanced accuracy compared to the pre-downscaled data (approximately 11 km × 11 km). The correlation coefficient, Bias, and RMSE of the annual precipitation data after downscaling of GPM IMERG are 0.865, 6.05%, and 68.50 mm/year, respectively. For the monthly downscaled precipitation data, the correlation coefficient, Bias, and RMSE are 0.895, 6.09%, and 16.25 mm/month, respectively. The downscaled GPM IMERG precipitation dataset exhibit high accuracy on both annual and monthly temporal scales. 2) Different factors demonstrate localized effects on precipitation in both dry and wet years. Elevation is the dominant factor influencing the spatial heterogeneity of annual precipitation. The findings from this study can provide technical support for hydrological modeling, drought monitoring, and water resource management in data-scarce areas of the Inner Mongolia Reach of the Yellow River Basin.

A new method to improve precipitation estimates by blending multiple satellite/reanalysis-based precipitation products and considering observations and terrestrial water budget balance

Merging multiple satellite/reanalysis-based precipitation products (SPPs) is a critical way to improve the accuracy of spatial precipitation (P) estimation. In this paper, a new method was proposed to merge multiple SPPs by considering rain gauge-based observations and water budget closure. Based on the errors of SPPs at gauged regions, the proposed method first estimates the mesh-based errors of SPPs as the intermediate variable using the error in water budget closure and then calculates the respective merging weights of SPPs in data merging. The performance of this proposed method was verified by comparing its results with the input of original SPPs and the data merged by five existing merging methods in mainland China at mesh scale and in nine major basins. Two scenarios were designed for the period from 2003.02 to 2016.12 at a monthly temporal resolution − with and without water budget closure constraints. Seven popular SPPs were considered, including GPM IMERG, PERSIANN, GSMaP, CHIRPS, ERA5, CFSV2, and TerraClimate. The results showed that the proposed method improved the P estimates in terms of CC, RMSE, MAE, PBIAS and KGE in both scenarios, and that closing the terrestrial water budget would slightly reduce the accuracy of SPPs against observations. The reduction percentage is about 5% in term of CC and KGE, and 12% in term of RMSE. This study is the first attempt to merge SPPs and gauge-based rain observation with consideration of water budget closure. It provides not only an effective and robust tool for the merging of multiple SPPs, but also important insights into the further development of SPP merging methods by considering water budget closure.

Precipitation Estimation Using FY-4B/AGRI Satellite Data Based on Random Forest

Precipitation is the basic component of the Earth’s water cycle. Obtaining high-resolution and high-precision precipitation data is of great significance. This paper establishes a precipitation retrieval model based on a random forest classification and regression model during the day and at night with FY-4B/AGRI Level1 data on China from July to August 2022. To evaluate the retrieval effect of the model, the GPM IMERG product is used as a reference, and the retrieval results are compared against those of the FY-4B/AGRI operational precipitation product. In addition, the retrieval results are analyzed according to different underlying surfaces. The results showed that compared with the FY-4B/AGRI operational precipitation product, the retrieval model can better identify precipitation and capture precipitation areas of light rain, moderate rain, heavy rain and torrential rain. Among them, the probability of detection (POD) of the day model increased from 0.328 to 0.680, and the equitable threat score (ETS) increased from 0.252 to 0.432. The POD of the night model increased from 0.337 to 0.639, and the ETS score increased from 0.239 to 0.369. Meanwhile, the precipitation estimation accuracy of the day model increased by 38.98% and that of the night model increased by 40.85%. Our results also showed that due to the surface uniformity of the ocean, the model can identify precipitation better on the ocean than on the land. Our findings also indicated that for the different underlying surfaces of the land, there is no significant difference in each evaluation index of the model. This is a strong argument for the universal applicability of the model. Notably, the results showed that, especially for more vegetated areas and areas covered by water, the model is capable of estimating precipitation. In conclusion, the precipitation retrieval model that is proposed herein can better determine precipitation regions and estimate precipitation intensities compared with the FY-4B/AGRI operational precipitation product. It can provide some reference value for future precipitation retrieval research on FY-4B/AGRI.

Comparing Remote Sensing and Geostatistical Techniques in Filling Gaps in Rain Gauge Records and Generating Multi-Return Period Isohyetal Maps in Arid Regions—Case Study: Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

Arid regions are susceptible to flash floods and severe drought periods, therefore there is a need for accurate and gap-free rainfall data for the design of flood mitigation measures and water resource management. Nevertheless, arid regions may suffer from a shortage of precipitation gauge data, whether due to improper gauge coverage or gaps in the recorded data. Several alternatives are available to compensate for deficiencies in terrestrial rain gauge records, such as satellite data or utilizing geostatistical interpolation. However, adequate assessment of these alternatives is mandatory to avoid the dramatic effect of using improper data in the design of flood protection works and water resource management. The current study covers 75% of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia’s area and spans the period from 1967 to 2014. Seven satellite precipitation datasets with daily, 3-h, and 30-min temporal resolutions, along with 43 geostatistical interpolation techniques, are evaluated as supplementary data to address the gaps in terrestrial gauge records. The Normalized Root Mean Square Error by the mean value of observation (NRMSE) is selected as a ranking criterion for the evaluated datasets. The geostatistical techniques outperformed the satellite datasets with 0.69 and 0.8 NRMSE for the maximum and total annual records, respectively. The best performance was found in the areas with the highest gauge density. PERSIANN-CDR and GPM IMERG V7 satellite datasets performed better than other satellite datasets, with 0.8 and 0.82 NRMSE for the maximum and total annual records, respectively. The spatial distributions of maximum and total annual precipitation for every year from 1967 to 2014 are generated using geostatistical techniques. Eight Probability Density Functions (PDFs) belonging to the Gamma, Normal, and Extreme Value families are assessed to fit the gap-filled datasets. The PDFs are ranked according to the Chi-square test results and Akaike information criterion (AIC). The Gamma, Extreme Value, and Normal distribution families had the best fitting over 56%, 34%, and 10% of the study area gridded data, respectively. Finally, the selected PDF at each grid point is utilized to generate the maximum annual precipitation for 2, 5, 10, 25, 50, and 100-year rasters that can be used directly as a gridded precipitation input for hydrological studies.

Evaluation of Multi-Source Precipitation Products in the Hinterland of the Tibetan Plateau

High-resolution precipitation products have been crucial for hydrology, meteorology, and environmental ecosystems over the Tibetan Plateau (TP). However, these products are usually subject to systematic errors, which may vary with time and topographic conditions. The study evaluated the suitability of four satellite-derived products (GPM IMERG, GSMaP, CMORPH, and PERSIANN-CDR) and four fusion precipitation products (ERA5-Land, CHIRPS, CMFD, and TPHiPr) by comparing with 22 rain gauges at a daily scale from 1 January 2014 to 31 December 2018 over the hinterland of the TP. The main findings are as follows: (1) TPHiPr and CMFD are better than the satellite-derived products, while the performance of CHIRPS is worse; (2) among the satellite-derived products, the quality of GPM IMERG is the highest on different time scales, and PERSIANN-CDR is better in the months of June to October, while GSMaP and CMORPH have poor performance; (3) the eight precipitation products have weaker detection capability for heavy precipitation events, and the quality of each product decreases with the increase in the precipitation threshold, while the rate of descent of fusion precipitation products is slower than that of satellite-derived products. This study demonstrates the performance of eight precipitation products over the hinterland of the TP, which is expected to provide valuable information for hydrometeorology applications.

Evaluation of GPM IMERG Product Over the Yellow River Basin Using an Improved Error-Component Procedure

Evaluation of GPM IMERG Product Over the Yellow River Basin Using an Improved Error-Component Procedure

Hydrological assessment of different satellite precipitation products in semi-arid basins in Morocco

In data-sparse regions and in developing countries such as Morocco, where flooding has serious socio-economic impacts, satellite-based precipitation products open new possibilities for monitoring and modelling water resources and floods. The objective of the study is to explore the possibility of using satellite precipitation products (SPPs) with hydrological models (CREST and MISDc) over 9 basins in Morocco. This work provides a hydrological assessment of three SPPs that have demonstrated good capabilities in reproducing precipitation over different basins in Morocco (GPM IMERG – PERSIANN CDR (PERCDR) and CHIRPS). The two hydrological models are coupled with a stochastic calibration method to provide the different ranges of uncertainties. In addition, we investigate the ability of SPPs on reproducing the November 2014 flood event that affected a large part of Morocco. The results indicated that, in calibration, both hydrological models provided similar performance to reproduce river discharge with observed precipitation or PERSIANN CDR. In validation, the combination of the MISDc model with PERSIANN CDR performed the best, notably allowing a good simulation of the flood hydrographs during the November 2014 event. Future analysis of relationships between SPPs, basin properties, and hydrological modelling technique will allow to find the appropriate combination for different application purposes.

The impact of Indian radar and lightning data assimilation on the short‐range forecasts of heavy rainfall events

AbstractThe accurate prediction of high‐impact weather systems using cloud‐resolving models is still a challenge among researchers. This study evaluates the consistency of the combination of the three‐dimensional variational technique within the Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation assimilation system (GSI‐3DVAR) and nudging in the same modelling system on short‐range forecasts of three heavy rainfall events from the southwest monsoon season of 2021 over the Indian subcontinent. Three experiments have been conducted (i) control (CNTL): assimilated conventional and satellite observations; (ii) radar and lightning data assimilation (RLDA): assimilated radar reflectivity and lightning proxy reflectivity data along with all observations used in CNTL; and (iii) lightning data assimilation (LDA): same as RLDA but without the assimilation of radar data; particularly done to test the impact of assimilation of only lightning data. The model‐simulated rainfall is evaluated by using the Integrated Multi‐Satellite Retrievals (IMERG) for Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM IMERG) rainfall data. The intercomparison of LDA and RLDA for event 1 highlighted that both represent the convective regions reasonably better than CNTL, but RLDA outperforms LDA and thus further assimilation experiments are done with RLDA. RLDA provided reasonably accurate forecasts compared to CNTL, which is evident in the spatial distribution of rainfall and area‐averaged three‐hourly accumulated rainfall. Verification metrics for the three selected heavy rainfall events reveal that an optimal forecast performance (especially in the first six hours of free forecast) is obtained by the simulation with assimilation of radar and lightning data during the pre‐forecast period, through correcting the position and timing of convective centres. The probability of detection (POD) values are higher for light rainfall categories than for the heavy rain categories. POD values were higher in RLDA than CNTL throughout simulation for all three events. For all these three selected events, fractions skill scores (FSS) of RLDA are always better than CNTL with different neighbourhood sizes for different threshold values throughout the forecast period.

Evaluation of multiple surface-, satellite-, reanalysis-, and WRF model-based gridded precipitation datasets over south-east Central Europe

This study intercompares precipitation from gridded surface- (E-OBS, CARPATCLIM) and satellite-based (CMORPH, GPM IMERG, TRMM TMPA, PERSIANN-CDR, CHIRPS) observational datasets, the ERA5 reanalysis, and WRF regional climate simulations with grid spacings of 50 km and 10 km. The evaluation is carried out for the Carpathian region (south-east Central Europe), covering the 2001–2010 and 1985–2010 periods. Area-averaged mean precipitation is compared on the annual, monthly, daily, and hourly scales over a low-altitude, flat subregion within the Carpathian Basin. On the daily scale, ERA5 agrees the most with the ground-based datasets (E-OBS and CARPATCLIM), followed by the satellite-based products (in order: GPM IMERG, TRMM, CMORPH, CHIRPS, and PERSIANN-CDR), and the WRF simulations. E-OBS displays consistently lower precipitation than the reference CARPATCLIM and most other datasets. Precipitation is considerably underestimated by CMORPH in winter and overestimated by PERISANN-CDR throughout the year, questioning their direct applicability in the study region. Conversely, TRMM and CHIRPS are reasonable complements to the ground-based CARPATCLIM in climate monitoring and model verification over the target area. However, the performance of the different observation-based data products is heavily region-dependent. WRF over- and underestimates spring and summer precipitation, respectively, compared to all observation-based datasets. The grid spacing reduction from 50 km to 10 km improves simulated monthly mean precipitation during the period dominated by large-scale weather processes (October to April) and the course of the diurnal precipitation cycle over the Pannonian Plain. Relying on individual observational products in model verification can potentially lead to false bias characterization. The diurnal precipitation maximum occurs 2 and 4–5 h earlier in ERA5 and WRF, respectively, compared to GPM IMERG. However, discrepancies between the CMORPH and GPM IMERG diurnal cycles prevent a rigorous evaluation of sub-daily precipitation from the model-based datasets.

Evaluation of Precipitation Frequency and Intensity as Estimated by the GPM IMERG Precipitation Product at Daily and Hourly Scales over the Tibetan Plateau

The IMERG V06 hourly rainfall product at daily and hourly scales was evaluated during the warm season (May to September) from 2015 to 2020 using 651 high-quality rain-gauge stations over the Tibetan Plateau (TP). Based on hourly observed rain-gauge precipitation, four categories were classified: light rainfall (0–12 mm·d−1), moderate rainfall (12–20.1 mm·d−1), torrential rainfall (20.1–32.2 mm·d−1), and extreme torrential rainfall (>32.2 mm·d−1). Precipitation frequency and intensity were calculated to further validate the accuracy and suitability of the IMERG estimated-precipitation product. At the daily scale, IMERG underestimated the number of days with less than moderate rainfall, but overestimated the frequency of torrential and extreme torrential rainfall. IMERG estimated the main characteristics of precipitation frequency at different daily precipitation amount levels better than the precipitation intensity, but its best estimate was at the moderate rainfall level, with the highest correlation coefficient (0.69) and the lowest root mean square error (0.17). At the hourly scale, IMERG underestimated the hourly precipitation amount mainly between the early morning and midday (the average deviation was 0.019 mm·h−1) and overestimated it between the afternoon and late night (the average deviation was 0.047 mm·h−1). IMERG overestimated precipitation frequency and underestimated precipitation intensity between the afternoon and the evening, which means that this analysis shows that IMERG estimated more precipitation hours than the observation and underestimated precipitation intensity. These results further our understanding of the suitability of the IMERG precipitation products over the TP and further improve the IMERG retrieval algorithm to better apply the corresponding precipitation product to light and extreme rainfall over regions with complicated topography.

Assessing the Water Budget Closure Accuracy of Satellite/Reanalysis-Based Hydrological Data Products over Mainland China

A good water budget involving four variables, including precipitation (P), evapotranspiration (ET), streamflow (R), and terrestrial water storage change (TWSC), is reflected in two aspects: a high accuracy against observations for each budget component and the low water budget closure residual error (ΔRes). Due to the lack of consideration of observations of budget components in existing water budget closure assessment methods (BCMs), when the ΔRes of budget components is low, their error against respective observations may still be high. In this study, we assess the water budget closure accuracy of satellite/reanalysis-based hydrological data products over mainland China based on six popular P products and multiple datasets of additional budget components (ET, R, and TWSC). The results indicated that the ΔRes changes between ±15 mm over mainland China. Satellite P products such as GPM IMERG showed better performance by comparing them with rain gauge-based observations. However, reanalysis P products such as GLDAS and FLDAS showed a better water budget closure since the selected datasets of additional budget components (ET and R) are also derived from reanalysis datasets. This indicates that these same data sources for budget components make it easier to close the water budget. The further development of satellite P products should consider the closure of the water budget with other water cycle variables.