Global Landslide Research Articles

Landslide susceptibility analysis and hazard zonation of Koh-e-Suleman range using weighted overlay technique

A healthy environment improves the quality of life on Earth, while natural disasters affect the quality of the environment. An area’s Landslide Hazard Zonation (LHZ) provides key information about the susceptibility to natural or manmade disasters. Using the Weighted Overlay Technique, this research aims to develop the landslide susceptibility and zonation mapping of Koh-e-Suleman Range (a hill station around the heritage site). Six causative factors are evaluated: geology, elevation, slope inclination, distance from streams, type of soil, and annual rainfall intensity, considering equal risk influence for all the factors. All causative factor maps were generated to yield equal classes and provide uniformity to the results except for soil types found in the study area. The findings indicate that the study area may comprise four landslide hazard zones with high, medium, low, and very low-intensity susceptibility of landslides. The accuracy of the final LHZ map is verified by comparing the hazard zonation area percentages with the global landslide inventory map from a macro-study of NASA. It was found that the study areas largely fall within low- and very low-hazard zones.

Landslide Assessment Classification Using Deep Neural Networks Based on Climate and Geospatial Data

This study presents a method for classifying landslide triggers and sizes using climate and geospatial data. The landslide data were sourced from the Global Landslide Catalog (GLC), which identifies rainfall-triggered landslide events globally, regardless of size, impact, or location. Compiled from 2007 to 2018 at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, the GLC includes various mass movements triggered by rainfall and other events. Climatic data for the 10 years preceding each landslide event, including variables such as rainfall amounts, humidity, pressure, and temperature, were integrated with the landslide data. This dataset was then used to classify landslide triggers and sizes using deep neural networks (DNNs) optimized through genetic algorithm (GA)-driven hyperparameter tuning. The optimized DNN models achieved accuracies of 0.67 and 0.82, respectively, in multiclass classification tasks. This research demonstrates the effectiveness of GA to enhance landslide disaster risk management.

Global Landslide Finder: Detecting the Time and Place of Landslides with Dense Earth Observation Time Series

This paper presents a remote sensing approach for rapidly and automatically generating maps of surface disturbances caused by landslides on the global scale. Our approach not only identifies the locations of these disturbances but also pinpoints the estimated time of their occurrence. Using the Continuous Change Detection and Classification (CCDC) algorithm within the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform, we analyzed two decades of Landsat 5, 7, and 8 surface reflectance data. We tested this approach in five landslide-prone regions: Iburi (Japan), Kashmir (Pakistan), Karnataka (India), Porgera (Papua New Guinea), and Pasang Lhamu (Nepal). The results were promising, with R2 values ranging up to 0.85, indicating a robust correlation between detected disturbances and actual landslide events compared to manually made inventories. The accuracy metrics further validated our method, with a producer’s accuracy of 75%, a user’s accuracy of 73%, and an F1 score of 75%. Furthermore, the method proved well transferable across different locations. These findings demonstrate the method’s potential as a valuable tool for near real-time and historical analysis of landslide activity, thereby contributing to global disaster management and mitigation efforts.

Research Trends and ‘Space-Sky-Ground-Underground’ Monitoring Technology Analysis of Landslide Hazard

Landslide is a typical geological disaster distributed in most countries worldwide. Due to long-term natural weathering and human engineering disturbances, the instability of landslides is prone to occur. Once monitoring and disposal methods are implemented inappropriately, they can lead to landslide hazards, seriously threatening the safety of people’s lives and property. For a long time, extensive research on landslide monitoring has been conducted from various countries, providing crucial technical support for reducing the incidence and severity of landslide hazards. However, considering the complex geological conditions of actual landslides and the direct impact of internal and external factors such as rainfall, storms, and earthquakes, the early warning accuracy of landslide hazards is still relatively low. Therefore, based on advanced research achievements, it is significant to carry out research on the current status and development trends of landslide monitoring technology. Based on the Web of Science core database, this study quantitatively analyzes the advanced research achievements in global landslide monitoring in the past decade using bibliometric analysis. A systematic analysis of landslide monitoring technology development is conducted according to each study’s publication time, keywords, and countries. On this basis, a multi-dimensional monitoring system for landslides was proposed, which utilizes the complementary advantages of multi-dimensional monitoring technology to achieve all-round, high-precision, and real-time monitoring of landslides. Finally, taking the Xinpu landslide in the Three Gorges Region of China as an example, a multi-source and multi-field-monitoring experiment was conducted. The application of landslide multi-field-monitoring technology provides an essential reference for monitoring, early warning, as well as the scientific prevention and control of landslide hazard.

Delineating Non-Susceptible Landslide Areas in China Based on Topographic Index and Quantile Non-Linear Model

Efficient analysis of non-susceptibility to landslides targets regions with minimal or zero landslide probability, thereby obviating the need to estimate the likelihood for low-susceptibility zones. This study assesses the effectiveness of the quantile non-linear (QNL) model in delineating the non-susceptibility of landslides in China through a topographic index. The topographic index encompassed slope angle and topographic relief, which are calculated using a 3 × 3 and 15 × 15 square cell moving window, respectively. Additionally, a global landslide susceptibility model established using a comprehensive global landslide database and fuzzy algorithm was employed for comparative analysis, providing a holistic evaluation of the QNL model’s accuracy. The results show that while the overall distribution of the two QNL models for non-susceptible landslide areas was roughly consistent, notable discrepancies were observed in localized regions, especially in the Southwest and Qinghai-Tibet geological environment areas where landslides are prone to occur. The applicability of the QNL model is significantly limited in these areas. In addition, the predicted results of the QNL_CHN model are closer to those based on the global landslide susceptibility model of the fuzzy algorithm. This study provides valuable insights to enhance the QNL model’s applicability, thereby strengthening forest ecosystem management and mitigating ecological disaster risks.

The Yinshan Mountains Record over 10,000 Landslides

China boasts a vast expanse of mountainous terrain, characterized by intricate geological conditions and structural features, resulting in frequent geological disasters. Among these, landslides, as prototypical geological hazards, pose significant threats to both lives and property. Consequently, conducting a comprehensive landslide inventory in mountainous regions is imperative for current research. This study concentrates on the Yinshan Mountains, an ancient fault-block mountain range spanning east–west in the central Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, extending from Langshan Mountains in the west to Damaqun Mountains in the east, with the narrow sense Xiao–Yin Mountains District in between. Employing multi-temporal high-resolution remote sensing images from Google Earth, this study conducted visual interpretation, identifying 10,968 landslides in the Yinshan area, encompassing a total area of 308.94 km2. The largest landslide occupies 2.95 km2, while the smallest covers 84.47 m2. Specifically, the Langshan area comprises 331 landslides with a total area of 11.96 km2, the narrow sense Xiao–Yin Mountains include 3393 landslides covering 64.13 km2, and the Manhan Mountains, Damaqun Mountains, and adjacent areas account for 7244 landslides over a total area of 232.85 km2. This research not only contributes to global landslide cataloging initiatives but also serves as a robust foundation for future geohazard prevention and management efforts.

The use of global versus region-specific data for the prediction of co-seismic landslides

This study compares the impact of global and region-specific variables on the prediction of co-seismic landslides, investigating whether the incorporation of higher-resolution data into a global framework can improve the prediction outcome for regional landslide assessments. Based on a statistical landslide model, which was developed through logistic regression involving various global landslide inventories, the likelihood of a landslide occurring during an earthquake is estimated for a regional event. Using the recently updated landslide inventory of the 2016 MW7.8 Kaikōura earthquake (centroid of landslide source area), the prediction performance of the model is evaluated by individually replacing the global variables for slope, compound topographic index, lithology and land cover with New Zealand specific datasets that offer higher resolution and/or more accurate information. Statistical metrics are used to compare the changes in the prediction performance of each modification, while probability maps and binary prediction maps are evaluated to identify spatial differences. The results suggest that calculating the slope variable from a higher-resolution DEM (e.g., 25 m) improves the model's prediction performance without changing the model equation or replacing the other global variables. Other region-specific variables such as land cover show stronger correlation but require an adjustment of the model coefficients (e.g., regression analysis). As the region-specific datasets increase the landslide estimates, a sensible interpretation of the model results is important, including the identification of a probability threshold which allows for a binary prediction (landslide occurs versus landslide does not occur). Future research should investigate the role of global and region-specific datasets for other earthquake events and consider incorporating other variables (e.g., local slope relief). The findings demonstrate the limitations of global variables for regional landslide predictions and illustrate the impact as well as implications of region-specific datasets on the model outcome, providing a better understanding on how incorporating region-specific datasets into a global approach can improve the landslide prediction in areas where regional models are not available or where inventory data is not sufficient to develop a robust model.

Assessing Global Landslide Casualty Risk Under Moderate Climate Change Based on Multiple GCM Projections

Extreme precipitation-induced landslide events are projected to increase under climate change, which poses a serious threat to human lives and property. In this study, a global-scale landslide risk assessment model was established using global landslide data, by considering landslide hazard, exposure, and vulnerability. The global climate model data were then employed to drive the established global landslide risk model to explore the spatial and temporal variations in future landslide risk across the globe as a result of extreme precipitation changes. The results show that compared to the 30-year period from 1971 to 2000, the average annual frequency of landslides triggered by extreme precipitation is projected to increase by 7% and 10%, respectively, in the future 30-year periods of 2031–2060 and 2066–2095. The global average annual casualty risk of landslides is projected to increase from about 3240 to 7670 and 8380, respectively (with growth rates of 140% and 160%), during the 2031–2060 and 2066–2095 periods under the SSP2-4.5 scenario. The top 10 countries with the highest casualty risk of landslides are China, Afghanistan, India, the Philippines, Indonesia, Rwanda, Turkey, Nepal, Guatemala, and Brazil, 60% of which are located in Asia. The frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation will increase under climate change, which will lead to an increase in casualties from landslides in mountainous areas globally, and this risk should be taken seriously. The present study was an attempt to investigate and quantify the impact of global landslide casualty risk under climate change, which still has uncertainty in terms of outcomes, and there remains a need for further understanding in the future of the propagation of uncertainty between the factors that affect the risk.

Research on Performance Test of the Optic-Electric Sensors for Reservoir Landslide Temperature Field Monitoring

In recent years, with the superposition of extreme climate, earthquakes, engineering disturbance and other effects, global landslide disasters occur frequently. Due to reservoir landslides being mostly in a multi-field coupling environment, the temperature field will impact the deformation and seepage fields, thereby affecting the stability of the reservoir landslide. The variation in the landslide’s surface temperature also directly affects the stress and deformation of deep rock masses. If hidden dangers are not detected in time, and corresponding measures are implemented, it is easy to cause landslide instability. In order to clarify the temperature measurement performance of different optic-electric sensors and the application characteristics of layout techniques, laboratory calibration tests of temperature sensors under different adhesives and attachment materials are carried out in this paper. It was found that the test data of the iron bar had the best effect among the four attachment materials overall. Therefore, the bar with a high-stiffness material should be preferred when selecting a pipe fitting as the fiber Bragg grating (FBG) temperature attachment in the borehole. However, considering the high requirements for the durability of sensors and layout techniques in on-site monitoring, the long-term stability of the adhesives used in actual monitoring needs to be improved. At the same time, it was found that the platinum 100 (PT100) temperature sensor has relatively higher testing accuracy (A: 0.15 + 0.002 × |t|; B: 0.30 + 0.005 × |t|), a larger temperature measurement range (−200~+850 °C) and better temperature measurement stability when compared to conventional sensors. Moreover, its resistance value has a good linear relationship with temperature. Finally, the Xinpu landslide in the Three Gorges Reservoir area was selected as the research object for on-site monitoring. There was a high correlation between the on-site monitoring results with the laboratory calibration test results. Therefore, through the performance test of optic-electric sensors in reservoir landslide temperature fields, more accurate solutions can be provided for selecting sensors and designing layout techniques to monitor the underground temperature field of landslides under different geological conditions. Thereby, grasping the real-time state information of the reservoir landslide temperature field is achieved accurately, providing an important reference for early warning, prediction, prevention and the control of reservoir landslide disasters.

HR-GLDD: a globally distributed dataset using generalized deep learning (DL) for rapid landslide mapping on high-resolution (HR) satellite imagery

Abstract. Multiple landslide events occur often across the world which have the potential to cause significant harm to both human life and property. Although a substantial amount of research has been conducted to address mapping of landslides using Earth observation (EO) data, several gaps and uncertainties remain with developing models to be operational at the global scale. The lack of a high-resolution globally distributed and event-diverse dataset for landslide segmentation poses a challenge in developing machine learning models that can accurately and robustly detect landslides in various regions, as the limited representation of landslide and background classes can result in poor generalization performance of the models. To address this issue, we present the High-Resolution Global landslide Detector Database (HR-GLDD), a high-resolution (HR) satellite dataset (PlanetScope, 3 m pixel resolution) for landslide mapping composed of landslide instances from 10 different physiographical regions globally in South and South-East Asia, East Asia, South America, and Central America. The dataset contains five rainfall-triggered and five earthquake-triggered multiple landslide events that occurred in varying geomorphological and topographical regions in the form of standardized image patches containing four PlanetScope image bands (red, green, blue, and NIR) and a binary mask for landslide detection. The HR-GLDD can be accessed through this link: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7189381 (Meena et al., 2022a, c). HR-GLDD is one of the first datasets for landslide detection generated by high-resolution satellite imagery which can be useful for applications in artificial intelligence for landslide segmentation and detection studies. Five state-of-the-art deep learning models were used to test the transferability and robustness of the HR-GLDD. Moreover, three recent landslide events were used for testing the performance and usability of the dataset to comment on the detection of newly occurring significant landslide events. The deep learning models showed similar results when testing the HR-GLDD at individual test sites, thereby indicating the robustness of the dataset for such purposes. The HR-GLDD is open access and it has the potential to calibrate and develop models to produce reliable inventories using high-resolution satellite imagery after the occurrence of new significant landslide events. The HR-GLDD will be updated regularly by integrating data from new landslide events.

Global landslide susceptibility prediction based on the automated machine learning (AutoML) framework

Landslide susceptibility prediction (LSP) is an important step for landslide hazard and risk assessment. Automated machine learning (AutoML) has the advantages of automatically features, models, and parameters selection. In this study, we proposed an AutoML-based global LSP framework at two spatial resolutions of 90 m and 1000 m, and achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic above 0.96. The global prediction results were then validated using additional regional landslide inventories, including three countries, three provinces, and two prefecture-level datasets. Moreover, the global prediction results of 90 m are used to improve the performance of regional LSP. Specifically, the low-and very low-prone areas in the global prediction results were used as non-landslide samples for susceptibility modeling. Results demonstrated that the model achieved a better performance than original global prediction results. We believe that this study will be able to reliably promote the application of intelligent learning methods in global LSP.

Landslide detection in real-time social media image streams

Lack of global data inventories obstructs scientific modeling of and response to landslide hazards which are oftentimes deadly and costly. To remedy this limitation, new approaches suggest solutions based on citizen science that requires active participation. In contrast, as a non-traditional data source, social media has been increasingly used in many disaster response and management studies in recent years. Inspired by this trend, we propose to capitalize on social media data to mine landslide-related information automatically with the help of artificial intelligence techniques. Specifically, we develop a state-of-the-art computer vision model to detect landslides in social media image streams in real-time. To that end, we first create a large landslide image dataset labeled by experts with a data-centric perspective, and then, conduct extensive model training experiments. The experimental results indicate that the proposed model can be deployed in an online fashion to support global landslide susceptibility maps and emergency response.

A data-driven evaluation of post-fire landslide susceptibility

Abstract. Wildfires change the hydrologic and geomorphic response of watersheds, which has been associated with cascades of additional hazards and management challenges. Among these post-wildfire events are shallow landslides and debris flows. This study evaluates post-wildfire mass movement trigger characteristics by comparing the precipitation preceding events at both burned and unburned locations. Landslide events are selected from the NASA Global Landslide Catalog (GLC). Since this catalog contains events from multiple regions worldwide, it allows a greater degree of inter-region comparison than many more localized catalogs. Fire and precipitation histories for each site are established using Moderate Resolution Imagine Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Burned Area and Climate Hazards group InfraRed Precipitation with Station data (CHIRPS) precipitation data, respectively. Analysis of normalized 7 d accumulated precipitation for sites across all regions shows that, globally, mass movements at burned sites are preceded by less precipitation than mass movements without antecedent burn events. This supports the hypothesis that fire increases rainfall-driven mass movement hazards. An analysis of the seasonality of mass movements at burned and unburned locations shows that mass-movement-triggering storms in burned locations tend to exhibit different seasonality from rainfall-triggered mass movements in areas undisturbed by recent fire, with a variety of seasonal shifts ranging from approximately 6 months in the Pacific Northwest of North America to 1 week in the Himalayan region. Overall, this paper offers an exploration of regional differences in the characteristics of rainfall-triggered mass movements at burned and unburned sites over a broad spatial scale and encompassing a variety of climates and geographies.

Spatial and temporal landslide distributions using global and open landslide databases

Landslide databases are a potential tool for the analysis of landslide susceptibility, hazard, and risk. Additionally, the spatio-temporal distribution of landslides and their correlation with their triggering factors are inputs that facilitate the evaluation of landslide prediction models and the determination of thresholds necessary for early warning systems (EWS). This study presents an analysis of four widely known global databases—the International Disaster database (EM-DAT), the Disaster Inventory System (DesInventar), the Global Landslide Catalog (GLC), and the Global Fatal Landslide database (GFLD)—which contain relevant landslide information for different regions of the world. These databases were analysed and compared by means of the spatio-temporal distributions of their records. Subsequently, these databases were merged and depurated to obtain a more robust database, namely the Unified Global Landslide Database (UGLD), with 161 countries, 37,946 landslides, and 185,753 fatalities registered between 1903 and 2020. The merging process among the databases resulted in a small number of repeated landslides, indicating that the databases collect very different landslide information and complement each other. Finally, an update of the spatial and temporal analysis of landslides in the world was performed with the new database, in which patterns, trends, and the main triggers were presented and analysed. The results obtained from the analysis of the UGLD database show the American and Asian continents as the continents with the highest number of landslides and associated fatalities, showing a bimodal and unimodal annual temporal pattern, respectively. Regarding the most frequent triggers of landslides, rainfall, anthropogenic intervention, and earthquakes stand out.

Spatial and Temporal Analysis of Global Landslide Reporting Using a Decade of the Global Landslide Catalog

Rainfall-triggered landslides can result in devastating loss of life and property damage and are a growing concern from a local to global scale. NASA’s global landslide catalog (GLC) compiles a record of rainfall-triggered landslide events from media reports, academic articles, and existing databases at global scale. The database consists of all types of mass movement events that are triggered by rainfall and represents a minimum number of events occurring between 2007 and 2018. The GLC collection is no longer being compiled, and the dataset will not be updated past 2018. The research presented here evaluates global patterns in landslide reporting from events in the GLC. The evaluation includes an analysis of the spatial and temporal distribution of global landslide events and associated casualties and comparisons with other landslide inventories. This database has been used to estimate landslide hotspots, evaluate geographic patterns in landslides, and train and validate landslide models from local to global scales. The most notable landslide hotspots are in the Pacific Northwest of North America, High Mountain Asia, and the Philippines. Additionally, the relationship between country GDP and income status with landslide occurrence was determined to have a positive correlation between economic status and landslide reporting. The GLC also indicates a reporting bias towards English-speaking countries. The general goal of this research is to assess the decade of global landslide reports from the GLC and show how this database can be used for rainfall-triggered landslide research.

A Review of Spatial Variations of Multiple Natural Hazards and Risk Management Strategies in Pakistan

Natural hazards are dynamic and unpredictable events that are a continuous threat to global socio-economic development. Humans’ reactions to these catastrophes are influenced by their proximity to the hazards and their ability to anticipate, resist, cope with, and recover from their consequences. Due to climatic changes, the risk of multiple natural hazards is expected to increase in several regions of Pakistan. There is a pressing need to understand the spatial discrepancies of natural hazards due to climate change and identifying the regions that require special measures to increase resilience, achieve adaptation, and sustainable development goals. This paper synthesizes the related literature to understand spatial variations of natural hazards due to climate changes across Pakistan. The Emergency Events Database (EM-DAT), National Aeronautics and Space Administration Global Landslide Catalog (NASA-GLC), National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA), and Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) are utilized to analyze spatial discrepancies and vulnerabilities to natural hazards. This study unveils that Pakistan’s current risk analysis and management strategies seem to be obsolete compared to global trends. Because of spatial variations of hazards, most research work on hazard risk assessments and risk management focuses on a single hazard, neglecting the co-occurrence impact of different natural hazards. Very limited studies are included in comprehensive multi-hazard risk strategies. Therefore, in Pakistan, risk management would require integrated multi-hazard risk assessment approaches to detect, analyze, measure, and evaluate various natural hazards, their effects, and interconnections. Moreover, the Pakistan governmental institutes dealing with natural hazards should focus on pre-disaster mitigation and resilience techniques instead of investing only in post-disaster relief activities.

Automating Global Landslide Detection With Heterogeneous Ensemble Deep-learning Classification

Automating Global Landslide Detection With Heterogeneous Ensemble Deep-learning Classification

A dynamic landslide hazard monitoring framework for the Lower Mekong Region

The Lower Mekong region is one of the most landslide-prone areas of the world. Despite the need for dynamic characterization of landslide hazard zones within the region, it is largely understudied for several reasons. Dynamic and integrated understanding of landslide processes requires landslide inventories across the region, which have not been available previously. Computational limitations also hamper regional landslide hazard assessment, including accessing and processing remotely sensed information. Finally, open-source software and modelling packages are required to address regional landslide hazard analysis. Leveraging an open-source data-driven global Landslide Hazard Assessment for Situational Awareness model framework, this study develops a region-specific dynamic landslide hazard system leveraging satellite-based Earth observation data to assess landslide hazards across the lower Mekong region. A set of landslide inventories were prepared from high-resolution optical imagery using advanced image-processing techniques. Several static and dynamic explanatory variables (i.e., rainfall, soil moisture, slope, relief, distance to roads, distance to faults, distance to rivers) were considered during the model development phase. An extreme gradient boosting decision tree model was trained for the monsoon period of 2015–2019 and the model was evaluated with independent inventory information for the 2020 monsoon period. The model performance demonstrated considerable skill using receiver operating characteristic curve statistics, with Area Under the Curve values exceeding 0.95. The model architecture was designed to use near-real-time data, and it can be implemented in a cloud computing environment (i.e., Google Cloud Platform) for the routine assessment of landslide hazards in the Lower Mekong region. This work was developed in collaboration with scientists at the Asian Disaster Preparedness Center as part of the NASA SERVIR Program’s Mekong hub. The goal of this work is to develop a suite of tools and services on accessible open-source platforms that support and enable stakeholder communities to better assess landslide hazard and exposure at local to regional scales for decision making and planning.

Estimating global landslide susceptibility and its uncertainty through ensemble modeling

Abstract. This study assesses global landslide susceptibility (LSS) at the coarse 36 km spatial resolution of global satellite soil moisture observations to prepare for a subsequent combination of a global LSS map with dynamic satellite-based soil moisture estimates for landslide modeling. Global LSS estimation contains uncertainty, arising from errors in the underlying data, the spatial mismatch between landslide events and predictor information, and large-scale LSS model generalizations. For a reliable uncertainty assessment, this study combines methods from the landslide community with common practices in meteorological modeling to create an ensemble of global LSS maps. The predictive LSS models are obtained from a mixed effects logistic regression, associating hydrologically triggered landslide data from the Global Landslide Catalog (GLC) with predictor variables describing the landscape. The latter are taken from the Catchment land surface modeling system (including input parameters of soil (hydrological) properties and resulting climatological statistics of water budget estimates), as well as geomorphological and lithological data. Road network density is introduced as a random effect to mitigate potential landslide inventory bias. We use a blocked random cross validation to assess the model uncertainty that propagates into the LSS maps. To account for other uncertainty sources, such as input uncertainty, we also perturb the predictor variables and obtain an ensemble of LSS maps. The perturbations are optimized so that the total predicted uncertainty fits the observed discrepancy between the ensemble average LSS and the landslide presence or absence from the GLC. We find that the most reliable total uncertainty estimates are obtained through the inclusion of a topography-dependent perturbation between 15 % and 20 % to the predictor variables. The areas with the largest LSS uncertainty coincide with moderate ensemble average LSS, because of the asymptotic nature of the LSS model. The spatial patterns of the average LSS agree well with previous global studies and yield areas under the receiver operating characteristic between 0.84 and 0.92 for independent regional to continental landslide inventories.

The influence of land use and land cover change on landslide susceptibility in the Lower Mekong River Basin

The Lower Mekong River Basin in Southeast Asia experiences frequent rainfall-triggered landslides especially during the monsoon season. In this study, the influence of land use and land cover change and other causative factors on landslide susceptibility is evaluated in the Lower Mekong Basin. Frequency ratio analysis is performed to quantify the relationship between LULC change and susceptibility. Detailed landslide inventory maps are used for analysis with yearly LULC maps. The LULC change is used as a contributing variable in a logistic regression-based susceptibility model with other variables including distance to roads, slope, aspect, forest loss, and soil properties. The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and Area Under the Curve are estimated for the model trained by each landslide inventory. The models show good performance, with AUC values ranging from 0.697 to 0.958 and an average AUC equal to 0.820. Both the Frequency Ratio analysis and the Logistic Regression models indicate LULC change from agricultural land to forest has a positive correlation with landslide occurrence. The most significant factors in the models are found to be distance to roads, slope, and aspect. A better understanding of the effects of LULC on landslide susceptibility can be useful for local land and disaster management and for the implementation of LULC as a factor in future susceptibility models. Using datasets that are unique to the Lower Mekong region, this study provides additional insights into the relationship between causative factors and landslide activity to better inform regional and global landslide susceptibility modeling.