Gestation Delay Research Articles

Hopf bifurcation analysis of a two‐delayed diffusive predator–prey model with spatial memory of prey

In this paper, we consider a diffusive predator–prey model with spatial memory of prey and gestation delay of predator. For the system without delays, we study the stability of the positive equilibrium in the case of diffusion and no diffusion, respectively. For the delayed model without diffusions, the existence of Hopf bifurcation is discussed. Further, we investigate the stability switches of the model with delays and diffusions when two delays change simultaneously by calculating the stability switching curves and obtain the existence of Hopf bifurcation. We also calculate the normal form of Hopf bifurcation to determine the direction of Hopf bifurcation and the stability of bifurcation periodic solutions. Finally, numerical simulations verify the theoretical results.

Unraveling Chaos, Transition and Dynamical Complexities in a Generalized Predator–Prey Model with Cooperation-Induced Fear and Gestation Delay

This research investigates the interaction between a generalist predator and a prey, where the predator exhibits cooperative behavior during hunting, inducing fear into the prey population. Additionally, both the prey and predator populations are subject to harvesting. The study establishes the positivity and boundedness of the model’s solutions, ensuring the existence of the population. Analyzing the system, we explore its feasible steady states and their stability, along with various types of bifurcations, including Hopf with direction of stability, Saddle-node, Transcritical, Homoclinic, Bogdanov–Takens, and Cusp bifurcation. We also demonstrate the stability and bifurcation behavior of a delayed system. These findings are verified through one-parameter and two-parameter bifurcation structures, complemented by respective phase portraits. Notably, the system displays transition between different equilibria and bistability. Furthermore, numerical investigations reveal the impact of gestation delay, indicating chaotic behavior in the system due to this time delay.

Deciphering two delay dynamics of ecological system with generalist predator incorporating competitive interference

In this manuscript, an attempt has been made to understand the delay induced (gestation and carry-over effect delay) dynamics of an ecological system with generalist predator exerted fear and its carry-over effect with competitive interference. The designed model exhibits finite time blow up depending on large initial data. The stability of both the delayed and non-delayed systems have been analyzed along with Hopf-bifurcation analysis. It has been observed that carry-over and fear effects act in opposite way in context of stability control for non-delayed system. The two delay (carry-over effect and gestation delay) have significant impact on the dynamics. The former exhibits both stabilizing and destabilizing role while the latter has a destabilizing tendency on the system dynamics. The blow up phenomena for predator species have been shown numerically by verifying the analytical conditions. Our study incorporates a diverse array of figures and diagrams to illustrate and support our findings. Through the exploration of non-linear models, our research unveils several intriguing characteristics. These insights can prove invaluable for biologists seeking a more detailed and pragmatic understanding of generalist predator–prey systems. The visual representations provided in our study contribute to a comprehensive analysis, enhancing the accessibility and applicability of the findings for researchers and practitioners in the field.

Effect of multiple gestation delays in a prey–predator food chain system with infected class of prey

Effect of multiple gestation delays in a prey–predator food chain system with infected class of prey

DYNAMICS OF DELAYED AUTONOMOUS MODEL WITH CARRY-OVER EFFECTS, INCLUDING PREY HARVESTING

This paper proposes a two-dimensional modified Leslie–Gower predator–prey model with carry-over effects, fear, prey protection and additional food, including prey harvesting. For this, it assumes the carry-over effect with delay incorporated in the birth rate of the prey population and gestation delay in Leslie–Gower term of a predator, and supposes that the predator consumes the prey according to Holling type II functional response. This dynamical system is split into two groups, namely non-delayed and delayed systems, respectively. In the non-delayed system, first, we discuss positivity, boundedness solutions, and the existence of equilibria, especially finding the coexistence of interior equilibrium points under certain conditions. After that, local and global stabilities are systematically analyzed. In addition, we obtain the conditions of Hopf-bifurcation in terms of the growth rate of prey species, prey protection and preference rate of predator for the non-delayed system. Whereas in the delayed system, both the delays have an essential role in governing the dynamical system discussed in three cases, and each case found the Hopf-bifurcation parameters for which the system changes stability behavior into instability. At last, the numerical simulations have been carried out to verify the theoretical findings.

Analysis of Prey-Predator Scheme in Conjunction with Help and Gestation Delay

This paper presents a three-dimensional continuous time dynamical system of three species, two of which are competing preys and one is a predator. We also assume that during predation, the members of both teams of preys help each other and the rate of predation of both teams is different. The interaction between prey and predator is assumed to be governed by a Holling type II functional response and discrete type gestation delay of the predator for consumption of the prey. In this work, we establish the local asymptotic stability of various equilibrium points to understand the dynamics of the model system. Different conditions for the coexistence of equilibrium solutions are discussed. Persistence, permanence of the system, and global stability of the positive interior equilibrium solution are discussed by constructing suitable Lyapunov functions when the gestation delay is zero, and there is no periodic orbit within the interior of the first quadrant of state space around the interior equilibrium. As we introduced time delay due to the gestation of the predator, we also discuss the stability of the delayed model. It is observed that the existence of stability switching occurs around the interior equilibrium point as the gestation delay increases through a certain critical threshold. Here, a phenomenon of Hopf bifurcation occurs, and a stable limit cycle corresponding to the periodic solution of the system is also observed. This study reveals that the delay is taken as a bifurcation parameter and also plays a significant role for the stability of the proposed model. Computer simulations of numerical examples are given to explain our proposed model. We have also addressed critically the biological implications of our analytical findings with proper numerical examples.

Dynamical analysis of a spatial memory prey–predator system with gestation delay and strong Allee effect

Dynamical analysis of a spatial memory prey–predator system with gestation delay and strong Allee effect

Modeling the Effect of Interference and Gestation Delay in an Interacting Good Biomass and Bird Population: An Application to Wetland Ecosystem

Modeling the Effect of Interference and Gestation Delay in an Interacting Good Biomass and Bird Population: An Application to Wetland Ecosystem

Direction and stability of Hopf bifurcation in an eco-epidemic model with disease in prey and predator gestation delay using Crowley-Martin functional response

<p>In this work, we have studied an eco-epidemic model using the Crowley-Martin functional response that includes disease in prey and gestation delay in the predator population. The model possesses three equilibria, namely the disease-free, Predator-free, and the interior equilibrium point. In addition, we examined the stability of the equilibrium points varying the infection rate and time delay parameter. Detailed analysis of Hopf bifurcation of the interior equilibrium point contains two situations: with delay and without delay. Moreover, we have studied the direction of the Hopf bifurcation and the stability of periodic solutions utilizing normal form theory and the center manifold theorem. It is emphasized that Hopf bifurcation occurs when the time delay exceeds the critical value and that the critical value of the delay is strongly impacted by the infection rate in prey. A detailed numerical simulation is provided to verify the analytical results.</p>

Chaotic behavior and controlling chaos in a fast-slow plankton-fish model

<abstract><p>The interaction of different time scales in predator-prey models has become a common research topic. In the present article, we concentrated on the dynamics of interactions at two time scales in a plankton-fish system. To investigate the effects of the two time scales on plankton-fish dynamics, we constructed a new parameter with a corrected type that differs from the traditional slow parameter. In addition, zooplankton's refuge from the predator and phytoplankton mortality due to competition are incorporated into the model. Positivity and boundedness of solutions were proved. We then discussed feasibility and stability conditions of the equilibrium. We used a variety of means to support the existence of chaos in the system. Hopf bifurcation conditions were also obtained. Chaos control in the plankton-fish model is one of the main motivations for this study. In the slow-variable parameter case, we explored the control mechanism of gestation delay on chaotic systems, which are calmed by different periodic solutions. Moreover, under seasonal mechanisms, external driving forces can stabilize the system from chaos to periodic oscillations. Meanwhile, the sliding mode control (SMC) approach quickly calms chaotic oscillations and stabilizes it to an internal equilibrium state. The necessary numerical simulation experiments support the theoretical results.</p></abstract>

Stability and bifurcation control of a delayed fractional eco-epidemiological system with saturated incidence

This paper proposes a delayed feedback control strategy for a fractional ecological infectious disease system with infected predators. Firstly, for the uncontrolled system, the stability of each equilibrium is discussed. Choosing the gestational delay as the branching parameter, the conditions of Hopf bifurcation are given at the positive equilibrium. The results show that the stable domain for the fractional system is larger than that for the integer-order system. Secondly, for the controlled system, the effects of gestational delay and feedback delay on the induction of the Hopf bifurcation are investigated, respectively. In addition, we find that the feedback gain coefficient also changes the critical value at which Hopf bifurcation occurs. Selecting a suitable feedback controller can effectively extend the stable domain of the system compared to the control-free system. Finally, the accuracy and effectiveness of the delay feedback controller in controlling the bifurcation are verified through numerical simulations.

Rich dynamics of a delay-induced stage-structure prey–predator model with cooperative behaviour in both species and the impact of prey refuge

The prey–predator interaction between organisms living in an ecosystem is greatly affected by the cooperation among the species as well as immature prey refuge in presence of time delay. This study has developed and analysed a stage-structured prey–predator model that includes refuge behaviour for prey and two types of cooperative behaviours, namely cooperative behaviour among prey as well as cooperative behaviour among predators, in addition to gestational delay. The presence of Saddle–node, Transcritical, and Hopf-bifurcations is explained by analytically and numerically. We examine the model parameter’s sensitivity to determine the species’ favourable and unfavourable impacts and to identify the most significant parameters. The dynamics of delay and non-delay systems are compared, and we recognise that a consistent increase in time delay causes chaotic oscillations with period-doubling fluctuations which can be regulated by the refuge for immature prey. However, we demonstrate that the immature prey refuge destabilises the system in absence of time delay while it acts as a control parameter in presence of delay. Finally, we wrap up the paper by highlighting the key biological implications of the numerical and analytical findings.

Delay Solow Model with a Normalized CES Production Function

This study analyzes the relationship between the elasticity of substitution and the economic stability/instability. To this end, we adopt a CES production function that consistently involves all its variants and introduce two delays, called a gestation delay and a depreciation delay, into the Solow model. In the case of one delay, we find that the gestation delay is harmless, the depreciation delay has a destabilizing effect, and the two delays having the equal length possesses a stronger stabilizing effect than the destabilizing effect of the depreciation delay. In the case of two different delays, we analytically construct the stability switching curve that divides the parametric region into the stability and instability regions. We also demonstrate that the location of the stability switching curve depends not only on the elasticity of substitution but the baseline values of the CES function and the parametric values of the dynamic equation.

Complex dynamics induced by multiple gestation delays in a Leslie–Gower‐type system with competitive interference

The dynamics of food consumption by higher trophic level is complicated as its availability, choice, and consequently their development. The top predator interference has a strong influence on the dynamic structure of the tritrophic food chain system. The proposed article deals with the characteristic features of a three‐tire modified Leslie–Gower model with a one‐prey two‐predator system with the assumption of multiple gestation delays. The intermediate predator of the food chain is taken as a specialist type, whereas the growth of top predator is assumed by sexual reproduction. Two different response functions named Monod–Haldane (M‐H) and Beddington–DeAngelis (B‐D) are considered for the modeling of system dynamics. The population densities of intermediate and top predators are assumed to be affected by two different gestation delays. The boundedness and positive equilibria and their stability conditions are examined theoretically for the delay‐free system. The local and global stability conditions of the delayed system are also determined. With the help of normal form theory and central manifold arguments, the properties of bifurcating periodic solutions are carried out. The numerical computation is performed to validate our analytical findings that show the different dynamical outcomes such as periodic and chaotic dynamics. The Hopf‐bifurcation scenario for different parameters of the model system is well studied. Further, the stability behavior of multiple delays for the different cases is investigated. The system shows chaotic behavior when the gestation delay of intermediate predators is large enough. It is also observed that the top predator density is highly fluctuating through the creation of chaos by the inclusion of time delay. Finally, the time delay destabilizing effect is noticed for three‐way interactions among prey, intermediate predator, and top predator, highlighting its significance in chaotic dynamics.

Effects of harvesting and planktivorous fish on bioeconomic phytoplankton-zooplankton models with ratio-dependent response functions and time delays

This work presents a prey-predator model for plankton interactions in aquatic environments and the influence of planktivorous fish predation. Considering that some phytoplankton and zooplankton can be harvested due to their economic value, the time lag required for zooplankton gestation (representing the time delay) is included. The current study's main objective is to analyze planktivorous fish's influence on harvesting activity in both populations and the corresponding discrete delay (delay in zooplankton gestation) in the model. The stability characteristics of models with and without gestation delay are investigated, and the gestation delays threshold value is determined. The periodic solution's stability and the Hopf bifurcations' direction are determined by employing the center manifold theory. We use Lyapunov's method to investigate the global stability of the model without time delay. Bioeconomic equilibrium is obtained in three cases, each with certain conditions. In addition, the optimal harvesting strategy from the model is obtained by using the Pontryagin Maximum Principle and considering harvesting effort as a control variable. Finally, numerical simulations are performed to illustrate our analytical findings, and the ecological implications of our analytical findings are also discussed.

Stability and bifurcation analysis of delayed tri‐trophic food chain model in poisoned environment with fear effect and additional food

One of the most important goals of theoretical ecologists is to find a strategy for controlling the chaos in ecological models to maintain healthy ecosystems. We investigate the influence of fear and the supply of additional food to predators in a delayed tri‐trophic food chain model, where interference among the species is determined by Holling type‐II functional response. The proposed model incorporates the fact that the growth rates of prey and middle predators are decreased due to the fear of middle and special predators, respectively. The additional food is supplied to both predators by either nature or external agencies. Furthermore, the poisoned prey in the predator's environment is taken into account. In the proposed model, we use two time delays: one for the growth term of the middle predator and another for the gestation delay of the special predator. We determine the conditions for the existence of ecologically feasible equilibrium points and their local and global stability. In addition, we establish the conditions for the existence of Hopf bifurcation around interior equilibrium to seek periodic behavior in nondelayed and delayed models. Numerical investigations are performed to justify the proposed theoretical findings through phase portraits, time series of solutions, and bifurcation diagrams. We observe that the chaotic dynamics of a tri‐trophic food chain model can be controlled by the proper choice of the fear effect and by supplying additional food parameters. As a result, our findings provide more ecological insights into the dynamics of the delayed tri‐trophic food chain model with the fear effect and additional food supply.

Trade-off and chaotic dynamics of prey–predator system with two discrete delays

In our ecological system, prey species can defend themselves by casting strong and effective defenses against predators, which can slow down the growth rate of prey. Predator has more at stake when pursuing a deadly prey than just the chance of missing the meal. Prey have to "trade off" between reproduction rate and safety and whereas, predator have to "trade off" between food and safety. In this article, we investigate the trade-off dynamics of both predator and prey when the predator attacks a dangerous prey. We propose a two-dimensional prey and predator model considering the logistic growth rate of prey and Holling type-2 functional response to reflect predator's successful attacks. We examine the cost of fear to reflect the trade-off dynamics of prey, and we modify the predator's mortality rate by introducing a new function that reflects the potential loss of predator as a result of an encounter with dangerous prey. We demonstrated that our model displays bi-stability and undergoes transcritical bifurcation, saddle node bifurcation, Hopf bifurcation, and Bogdanov-Taken bifurcations. To explore the intriguing trade-off dynamics of both prey and predator population, we investigate the effects of our critical parameters on both population and observed that either each population vanishes simultaneously or the predator vanishes depending on the value of the handling time of the predator. We determined the handling time threshold upon which dynamics shift, demonstrating the illustration of how predators risk their own health from hazardous prey for food. We have conducted a sensitivity analysis with regard to each parameter. We further enhanced our model by including fear response delay and gestation delay. Our delay differential equation system is chaotic in terms of fear response delay, which is evidenced by the positivity of maximum Lyapunov exponent. We have used numerical analysis to verify our theoretical conclusions, which include the influence of vital parameters on our model through bifurcation analysis. In addition, we used numerical simulations to showcase the bistability between co-existence equilibrium and prey only equilibrium with their basins of attraction. The results that are reported in this article might be useful in interpreting the biological insights gained from studying the interactions between prey and predator.

Stability Analysis and Hopf Bifurcation of a Delayed Diffusive Predator–Prey Model with a Strong Allee Effect on the Prey and the Effect of Fear on the Predator

In this paper, we propose a diffusive predator–prey model with a strong Allee effect and nonlocal competition in the prey and a fear effect and gestation delay in the predator. We mainly study the local stability of the coexisting equilibrium and the existence and properties of Hopf bifurcation. We provide bifurcation diagrams with the fear effect parameter (s) and the Allee effect parameter (a), showing that the stable region of the coexisting equilibrium increases (or decreases) with an increase in the fear effect parameter (s) (or the Allee effect parameter (a)). We also show that gestation delay (τ) can affect the local stability of the coexisting equilibrium. When the delay (τ) is greater than the critical value, the coexistence equilibrium loses its stability, and bifurcating periodic solutions appear. Whether the bifurcated periodic solution is spatially homogeneous or inhomogeneous depends on the fear effect parameter (s) and the Allee effect parameter (a). These results show that the fear effect parameter (s), the Allee effect parameter (a), and gestation delay (τ) can be used to control the growth of prey and predator populations.

Dynamics of a delay-induced prey–predator system with interaction between immature prey and predators

In biological pest control systems, several pests (including insects, mites, weeds, etc.) are controlled by biocontrol agents that rely primarily on predation. Following this biocontrol management ecology, we have created a three-tier prey–predator model with prey phase structure and predator gestation delay. Several studies have demonstrated that predators with Holling type-II functional responses sometimes consume immature prey. A study of the well-posedness and local bifurcation (such as saddle-node and transcritical) near the trivial and planer equilibrium points is carried out. Without any time lag, the prey development coefficient has a stabilizing impact, while increasing attack rate accelerates instability. Energy transformation rate and handling time are shown to cause multiple stability switches in the system. Numerical results demonstrate time delay is the key destabilizer that destroys stability. Our model can replicate more realistic events by including time-dependent factors and exploring the dynamic behavior of nonautonomous systems. In the presence of time delay, sufficient conditions of permanence and global attractivity of the nonautonomous system are derived. Finally, MATLAB simulations are performed to validate the analytical findings.

Dynamics of a Coccinellids-Aphids Model with Stage Structure in Predator Including Maturation and Gestation Delays

This work studies a three-dimensional predator–prey model with gestation delay and stage structure between aphidophagous coccinellids and aphid pests, where the interaction between mature coccinellids and aphids is inscribed by Crowley–Martin functional response function, and immature coccinellids and aphids act in the form of Holling-I type. We prove the positivity and boundedness of the solution of the nondelayed system and analyze its equilibrium point, local asymptotic stability, and global stability. In addition to the delays, the critical values of Hopf bifurcation occurring for different parameters are also found from the numerical simulation. The stability of the delayed system and Hopf bifurcation with different delays as parameters are also discussed. Our model analysis shows that the time delay essentially governs the system’s dynamics, and the stability of the system switches as delays increase. We also investigate the direction and stability of the Hopf bifurcation using the normal form theory and center manifold theorem. Finally, we perform computer simulations and depict diagrams to support our theoretical results.