Abstract The present study measured the growth traits of 98 open-pollinated half-sibling families from the second-generation clonal seed orchard of Chinese fir for 6 consecutive years from age 2 to 7, the change patterns of genetic variation in growth traits and genetic parameters were analyzed, and best linear unbiased prediction (BLUP) was used for early selection to determine the excellent families. The growth traits of Chinese fir revealed highly significant differences between families, indicating that there was significant genetic variation at the family level, which serves as the foundation for exceptional family selection. The heritabilities of family and individual for H (height) ranged from 0.61 to 0.65 and 0.41 to 0.46, respectively; for DGH (the diameter at ground height)/DBH (the diameter at breast height), they were 0.55 to 0.66 and 0.35 to 0.46, respectively; and for V (tree volume), they were 0.66 to 0.70 and 0.48 to 0.49, respectively. The growth traits of genetic control were at a greater level at age 5. The findings of the coefficient of variation analysis demonstrated that the phenotypic variation coefficient were larger than the genetic variation coefficient for three growth traits at various ages. The juvenile-mature genetic and phenotypic correlations revealed an increasing tendency with age, and mainly controlled by genetic factors. Compared to other age groups for growth traits, age 5 had greater phenotypic and genetic association coefficients, as well as greater efficiency of early selection. Based on the selection method of breeding value, nine families were selected with a 9.2 % selection rate.
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