Abstract Overall and abdominal obesity, often defined as having high body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC), are associated with an increased risk of chronic disease. A comprehensive understanding of trends and contributing factors is necessary to reduce the disease burdens. This study investigated the nationwide trends and independent effects of age, period, and birth cohort on BMI and WC in Korean adults. We conducted hierarchical age-period-cohort (cross-classified random-effects models) analyses using measured BMI and WC data from 85,292 Korean adults (aged ≥19) in the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2007-2022. We also examined whether the age, period, and cohort effects varied by socioeconomic subgroups. In 2007-2022, the age-standardized mean BMI (23.6 to 24.2 kg/m2) and WC (81.7 to 83.5 cm) increased in the overall population. An upward trend was evident among men, while only a slight change was observed in women. The mean BMI was highest at age 47 (25.1 kg/m2) in men and age 60 (24.2 kg/m2) in women and it decreased at older ages. Controlling for age and period effects, mean BMI was lowest among the birth cohorts of 1960-1964 (24.15 kg/m2), with the highest mean BMI observed among the birth cohorts of 1919-1939 (24.97 kg/m2) and 1990-2003 (24.99 kg/m2). The mean WC was highest at age 55 (88.0 cm) in men and age 79 (83.4 cm) in women. Similar U-shaped birth cohort effect was observed with WC, with the lowest mean observed among the birth cohorts of 1960-1964 [82.92 (0.30)]. At most age, period, and birth cohorts, mean BMI and WC were consistently higher among adults at lower income and education. The overall period effect was consistently found in all socioeconomic subgroups, but the gap in BMI between income and education subgroups widened over time. Our findings suggest that BMI and WC slightly increased in overall Korean adults in 2007-2022, with some inequalities among age, sex, birth cohort, and socioeconomic subgroups. Key messages • The obesity indices increased from 2007 to 2022, but the cohort effect on BMI and WC showed a U-shaped pattern with the lowest mean among birth cohorts of 1960-1964. • The obesity prevalence is varied by socioeconomic status, suggesting that more intense interventions may be needed to target the susceptible groups.
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