Future Cosmic Microwave Background Surveys Research Articles

Improving constraints on inflation with CMB delensing

The delensing of cosmic microwave background (CMB) maps will be increasingly valuable for extracting as much information as possible from future CMB surveys. Delensing provides many general benefits, including sharpening of the acoustic peaks, more accurate recovery of the damping tail, and reduction of lensing-induced B-mode power. In this paper we present several applications of delensing focused on testing theories of early-universe inflation with observations of the CMB. We find that delensing the CMB results in improved parameter constraints for reconstructing the spectrum of primordial curvature fluctuations, probing oscillatory features in the primordial curvature spectrum, measuring the spatial curvature of the universe, and constraining several different models of isocurvature perturbations. In some cases we find that delensing can recover almost all of the constraining power contained in unlensed spectra, and it will be a particularly valuable analysis technique to achieve further improvements in constraints for model parameters whose measurements are not expected to improve significantly when utilizing only lensed CMB maps from next-generation CMB surveys. We also quantify the prospects of testing the single-field inflation tensor consistency condition using delensed CMB data; we find it to be out of reach of current and proposed experimental technology and advocate for alternative detection methods.

Cosmology from the kinetic polarized Sunyaev Zel'dovich effect

The cosmic microwave background (CMB) photons that scatter off free electrons in the large-scale structure induce a linear polarization pattern proportional to the remote CMB temperature quadrupole observed in the electrons' rest frame. The associated blackbody polarization anisotropies are known as the polarized Sunyaev Zel'dovich (pSZ) effect. Relativistic corrections to the remote quadrupole field give rise to a non-blackbody polarization anisotropy proportional to the square of the transverse peculiar velocity field; this is the kinetic polarized Sunyaev Zel'dovich (kpSZ) effect. In this paper, we forecast the ability of future CMB and galaxy surveys to detect the kpSZ effect, finding that a statistically significant detection is within the reach of planned experiments. We further introduce a quadratic estimator for the square of the peculiar velocity field based on a galaxy survey and CMB polarization. Finally, we outline how the kpSZ effect is a probe of cosmic birefringence and primordial non-Gaussianity, forecasting the reach of future experiments.

Cosmological bound on the QCD axion mass, redux

We revisit the joint constraints in the mixed hot dark matter scenario in which both thermally produced QCD axions and relic neutrinos are present. Upon recomputing the cosmological axion abundance via recent advances in the literature, we improve the state-of-the-art analyses and provide updated bounds on axion and neutrino masses. By avoiding approximate methods, such as the instantaneous decoupling approximation, and limitations due to the limited validity of the perturbative approach in QCD that forced to artificially divide the constraints from the axion-pion and the axion-gluon production channels, we find robust and self-consistent limits. We investigate the two most popular axion frameworks: KSVZ and DFSZ. From Big Bang Nucleosynthesis (BBN) light element abundances data we find for the KSVZ axion ΔN eff < 0.31 and an axion mass bound ma < 0.53 eV (i.e., a bound on the axion decay constant fa > 1.07 × 107 GeV) both at 95% CL. These BBN bounds are improved to Δ N eff < 0.14 and ma < 0.16 eV (fa > 3.56 × 107 GeV) if a prior on the baryon energy density from Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) data is assumed. When instead considering cosmological observations from the CMB temperature, polarization and lensing from the Planck satellite combined with large scale structure data we find Δ N eff < 0.23, ma < 0.28 eV (fa > 2.02 × 107 GeV) and ∑ mν < 0.16 eV at 95% CL. This corresponds approximately to a factor of 5 improvement in the axion mass bound with respect to the existing limits. Very similar results are obtained for the DFSZ axion. We also forecast upcoming observations from future CMB and galaxy surveys, showing that they could reach percent level errors for ma ∼ 1 eV.

Constraining Cluster Virialization Mechanism and Cosmology Using Thermal-SZ-selected Clusters from Future CMB Surveys

Abstract We forecast the number of galaxy clusters that can be detected via the thermal Sunyaev–Zel’dovich (tSZ) signals by future cosmic microwave background (CMB) experiments, primarily the wide area survey of the CMB-S4 experiment but also CMB-S4's smaller de-lensing survey and the proposed CMB-HD experiment. We predict that CMB-S4 will detect 75,000 clusters with its wide survey of f sky = 50% and 14,000 clusters with its deep survey of f sky = 3%. Of these, approximately 1350 clusters will be at z ≥ 2, a regime that is difficult to probe by optical or X-ray surveys. We assume CMB-HD will survey the same sky as the S4-Wide, and find that CMB-HD will detect three times more overall and an order of magnitude more z ≥ 2 clusters than CMB-S4. These results include galactic and extragalactic foregrounds along with atmospheric and instrumental noise. Using CMB-cluster lensing to calibrate the cluster tSZ–mass scaling relation, we combine cluster counts with primary CMB to obtain cosmological constraints for a two-parameter extension of the standard model (ΛCDM + ∑m ν + w 0). In addition to constraining σ(w 0) to ≲1%, we find that both surveys can enable a ∼2.5–4.5σ detection of ∑m ν , substantially strengthening CMB-only constraints. We also study the evolution of the intracluster medium by modeling the cluster virialization v(z) and find tight constraints from CMB-S4, with further factors of three to four improvement for CMB-HD.

Dark sector to restore cosmological concordance

We develop a new phenomenological model that addresses current tensions between observations of the early and late Universe. Our scenario features: (i) a decaying dark energy fluid (DDE), which undergoes a transition at $z \sim 5,000$, to raise today's value of the Hubble parameter -- addressing the $H_0$ tension, and (ii) an ultra-light axion (ULA), which starts oscillating at $z\gtrsim 10^4$, to suppress the matter power spectrum -- addressing the $S_8$ tension. Our Markov Chain Monte Carlo analyses show that such a Dark Sector model fits a combination of Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB), Baryon Acoustic Oscillations, and Large Scale Structure (LSS) data slightly better than the $\Lambda$CDM model, while importantly reducing both the $H_0$ and $S_8$ tensions with late universe probes ($\lesssim 3\sigma$). Combined with measurements from cosmic shear surveys, we find that the discrepancy on $S_8$ is reduced to the $1.4\sigma$ level, and the value of $H_0$ is further raised. Adding local supernovae measurements, we find that the $H_0$ and $S_8$ tensions are reduced to the $1.4\sigma$ and $1.2\sigma$ level respectively, with a significant improvement $\Delta\chi^2\simeq -18$ compared to the $\Lambda$CDM model. With this complete dataset, the DDE and ULA are detected at $\simeq 4\sigma$ and $\simeq2\sigma$, respectively. We discuss a possible particle physics realization of this model, with a dark confining gauge sector and its associated axion, although embedding the full details within microphysics remains an urgent open question. Our scenario will be decisively probed with future CMB and LSS surveys.

Reconciling Hubble constant discrepancy from holographic dark energy

Holographic dark energy (HDE) describes the vacuum energy in a cosmic IR region whose total energy saturates the limit of avoiding the collapse into a black hole. HDE predicts that the dark energy equation of the state transiting from greater than the $-1$ regime to less than $-1$, accelerating the Universe slower at the early stage and faster at the late stage. We propose the HDE as a new {\it physical} resolution to the Hubble constant discrepancy between the cosmic microwave background (CMB) and local measurements. With Planck CMB and galaxy baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) data, we fit the HDE prediction of the Hubble constant as $H_0^{}\!=\, 71.54\pm1.78\,\mathrm{km\,s^{-1} Mpc^{-1}}$, consistent with local $H_0^{}$ measurements by LMC Cepheid Standards (R19) at $1.4\sigma$ level. Combining Planck+BAO+R19, we find the HDE parameter $c=0.51\pm0.02$ and $H_0^{}\! = 73.12\pm 1.14\,\mathrm{km \,s^{-1} Mpc^{-1}}$, which fits cosmological data at all redshifts. Future CMB and large-scale structure surveys will further test the holographic scenario.

Determining the Hubble constant without the sound horizon scale: measurements from CMB lensing

ABSTRACT Measurements of the Hubble constant, H0, from the cosmic distance ladder are currently in tension with the value inferred from Planck observations of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) and other high-redshift data sets if a flat Λ cold dark matter (ΛCDM) cosmological model is assumed. One of the few promising theoretical resolutions of this tension is to invoke new physics that changes the sound horizon scale in the early Universe; this can bring CMB and baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO) constraints on H0 into better agreement with local measurements. In this paper, we discuss how a measurement of the Hubble constant can be made from the CMB without using information from the sound horizon scale, rs. In particular, we show how measurements of the CMB lensing power spectrum can place interesting constraints on H0 when combined with measurements of either supernovae or galaxy weak lensing, which constrain the matter density parameter. The constraints arise from the sensitivity of the CMB lensing power spectrum to the horizon scale at matter–radiation equality (in projection); this scale could have a different dependence on new physics than the sound horizon. From an analysis of current CMB lensing data from Planck and Pantheon supernovae with conservative external priors, we derive an rs-independent constraint of $H_0 = 73.5\pm 5.3\, {\rm km}\,{\rm s}^{-1}\,{\rm Mpc}^{-1}$. Forecasts for future CMB surveys indicate that improving constraints beyond an error of $\sigma (H_0) = 3\, {\rm km}\,{\rm s}^{-1}\,{\rm Mpc}^{-1}$ will be difficult with CMB lensing, although applying similar methods to the galaxy power spectrum may allow for further improvements.

Imprint of baryons and massive neutrinos on velocity statistics

We explored the impact of baryonic effects (namely stellar and active galactic nuclei feedback) on the moments of pairwise velocity using the Illustris-TNG, EAGLE, cosmo-OWLS, and BAHAMAS suites of cosmological hydrodynamical simulations. The assumption that the mean pairwise velocity of the gas component follows that of the dark matter is studied here at small separations, and we find that even at pair separations of 10–20h−1Mpc, there is a 4–5% velocity bias. At smaller separations, it gets larger with varying strength depending on the sub-grid prescription. By isolating different physical processes, our findings suggest that the large-scale velocity bias is mainly driven by stellar rather than active galactic nuclei feedback. If unaccounted for, this velocity offset could possibly bias cosmological constraints from the kinetic Sunyaev-Zel’dovich effect in future cosmic microwave background (CMB) surveys. Furthermore, we examined how the first and the second moment of the pairwise velocity are affected by both the baryonic and the neutrino free-streaming effects for both the matter and gas components. For both moments, we were able to disentangle the effects of baryonic processes from those of massive neutrinos; and for pair separations below 20h−1Mpc, we find that these moments of the pairwise velocity decrease with increasing neutrino mass. Our work thus sets out a way in which the pairwise velocity statistics can be utilised to constrain the summed mass of neutrinos from future CMB surveys and peculiar velocity surveys.

Baryonic effects on CMB lensing and neutrino mass constraints

Measurements of gravitational lensing of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) hold the promise of yielding unique insights into cosmology at high redshift. Uncertainties due to baryonic effects associated with galaxy formation and evolution, including gas cooling, star formation, and feedback from active galactic nuclei (AGN) and supernovae, have typically been neglected when forecasting the sensitivity of future CMB surveys. In this paper, we determine the impact of these effects using four suites of hydrodynamical simulations which incorporate various prescriptions for baryonic processes, namely OWLS, BAHAMAS, Horizon, and IllustrisTNG. Our analysis shows characteristic power suppressions of several percent in CMB lensing due to baryonic effects, compared to dark-matter only simulations, at experimentally observable angular scales. We investigate the associated bias in the inferred neutrino mass for experiments like the upcoming Simons Observatory and CMB-S4. Depending on the experimental precision and the strength of the baryonic feedback within the simulations, biases in the neutrino mass sum show significant dispersion, ranging from very small to an over-estimation by 1.1$\sigma$. We conclude that baryonic effects will likely be non-negligible for a detection of neutrino mass using CMB lensing.

Constraining the properties of gaseous halos via cross-correlations of upcoming galaxy surveys and thermal Sunyaev-Zel’dovich maps

The thermal Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (tSZ) effect induces a Compton-$y$ distortion in cosmic microwave background (CMB) temperature maps that is sensitive to a line of sight integral of the ionized gas pressure. By correlating the positions of galaxies with maps of the Compton-$y$ distortion, one can probe baryonic feedback processes and study the thermodynamic properties of a significant fraction of the gas in the Universe. Using a model fitting approach, we forecast how well future galaxy and CMB surveys will be able to measure these correlations, and show that powerful constraints on halo pressure profiles can be obtained. Our forecasts are focused on correlations between galaxies and halos identified by the upcoming Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument survey and tSZ maps from the Simons Observatory and CMB-S4 experiments, but have general applicability to other surveys, such as the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope. We include prescriptions for observational systematics, such as halo miscentering and halo mass bias, demonstrating several important degeneracies with pressure profile parameters. Assuming modest priors on these systematics, we find that measurements of halo-$y$ and galaxy-$y$ correlations with future surveys will yield tight constraints on the pressure profiles of group-scale dark matter halos, and enable current feedback models to either be confirmed or ruled out.

Probing correlated compensated isocurvature perturbations using scale-dependent galaxy bias

Compensated isocurvature perturbations (CIPs) are modulations of the relative baryon and dark matter density that leave the total matter density constant. The best current constraints from the primary cosmic microwave background (CMB) are consistent with CIPs some two orders of magnitude larger in amplitude than adiabatic perturbations, suggesting that there may be a huge gap in our knowledge of the early Universe. However, it was recently suggested by Barreira~et.~al. that CIPs which are correlated with the primordial curvature perturbation, as arises in some versions of the curvaton model, lead to a new observable: scale dependent galaxy bias. Combining a galaxy survey with an unbiased tracer of the density field facilitates a measurement of the amplitude of correlated CIPs that is free from cosmic variance, the main limitation on constraints from the primary CMB. Among the most promising tracers to use for this purpose is the remote dipole field, reconstructed using the technique of kinetic Sunyaev Zel'dovich (kSZ) tomography. In this paper, we evaluate the detection significance on the amplitude of correlated CIPs possible with next-generation CMB and galaxy surveys using kSZ tomography. Our analysis includes all relativistic contributions to the observed galaxy number counts and allows for both CIPs and primordial non-Gaussianity, which also gives rise to a scale dependent galaxy bias. We find that kSZ tomography can probe CIPs of comparable amplitude to the adiabatic fluctuations, representing an improvement of over two orders of magnitude upon current constraints, and an order of magnitude over what will be possible using future CMB or galaxy surveys alone.

Exact joint likelihood of pseudo-Cℓ estimates from correlated Gaussian cosmological fields

ABSTRACT We present the exact joint likelihood of pseudo-Cℓ power spectrum estimates measured from an arbitrary number of Gaussian cosmological fields. Our method is applicable to both spin-0 fields and spin-2 fields, including a mixture of the two, and is relevant to cosmic microwave background (CMB), weak lensing, and galaxy clustering analyses. We show that Gaussian cosmological fields are mixed by a mask in such a way that retains their Gaussianity and derive exact expressions for the covariance of the cut-sky spherical harmonic coefficients, the pseudo-aℓms, without making any assumptions about the mask geometry. We then show that each auto or cross-pseudo-Cℓ estimator can be written as a quadratic form, and apply the known joint distribution of quadratic forms to obtain the exact joint likelihood of a set of pseudo-Cℓ estimates in the presence of an arbitrary mask. We show that the same formalism can be applied to obtain the exact joint likelihood of quadratic maximum likelihood power spectrum estimates. Considering the polarization of the CMB as an example, we show using simulations that our likelihood recovers the full, exact multivariate distribution of EE, BB, and EB pseudo-Cℓ power spectra. Our method provides a route to robust cosmological constraints from future CMB and large-scale structure surveys in an era of ever-increasing statistical precision.

Detection of CMB-Cluster Lensing using Polarization Data from SPTpol.

We report the first detection of gravitational lensing due to galaxy clusters using only the polarization of the cosmic microwave background (CMB). The lensing signal is obtained using a new estimator that extracts the lensing dipole signature from stacked images formed by rotating the cluster-centered Stokes QU map cutouts along the direction of the locally measured background CMB polarization gradient. Using data from the SPTpol 500 deg^{2} survey at the locations of roughly 18 000 clusters with richness λ≥10 from the Dark Energy Survey (DES) Year-3 full galaxy cluster catalog, we detect lensing at 4.8σ. The mean stacked mass of the selected sample is found to be (1.43±0.40)×10^{14}M_{⊙} which is in good agreement with optical weak lensing based estimates using DES data and CMB-lensing based estimates using SPTpol temperature data. This measurement is a key first step for cluster cosmology with future low-noise CMB surveys, like CMB-S4, for which CMB polarization will be the primary channel for cluster lensing measurements.

Understanding the neutrino mass constraints achievable by combining CMB lensing and spectroscopic galaxy surveys

We perform a thorough examination of the neutrino mass (Mν) constraints achievable by combining future spectroscopic galaxy surveys with cosmic microwave background (CMB) experiments, focusing on the contribution of CMB lensing. CMB lensing can help by breaking the Mν-curvature degeneracy when combined with baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO)-only measurements, but we demonstrate this combination wastes a great deal of constraining power, as the broadband shape of the power spectrum contributes significantly to constraints. We also expand on previous work to demonstrate how cosmology-independent constraints on Mν can be extracted by combining measurements of the scale-dependence in the power spectrum caused by neutrino free-streaming with the full power of future CMB surveys. These free-streaming constraints are independent of the optical depth to the CMB (τ) and generally give stronger constraints alone on Mν than are given by the combination of BAOs and CMB lensing. Finally, we demonstrate that the effect of including the galaxy-CMB lensing cross power spectrum is negligible.

Probing features in the primordial perturbation spectrum with large-scale structure data

The form of the primordial power spectrum (PPS) of cosmological scalar (matter density) perturbations is not yet constrained satisfactorily in spite of the tremendous amount of information from the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) data. While a smooth power-law-like form of the PPS is consistent with the CMB data, some PPS with small non-smooth features at large scales can also fit the CMB temperature and polarization data with similar statistical evidence. Future CMB surveys cannot help distinguish all such models due to the cosmic variance at large angular scales. In this paper, we study how well we can differentiate be- tween such featured forms of the PPS not otherwise distinguishable using CMB data. We ran 15 N-body DESI-like simulations of these models to explore this approach. Showing that statistics such as the halo mass function and the two-point correlation function are not able to distinguish these models in a DESI-like survey, we advocate to avoid reducing the dimensionality of the problem by demonstrating that the use of a simple three-dimensional count-in-cell density field can be much more effective for the purpose of model distinction.

Shapes and features of the primordial bispectrum

If time-dependent disruptions from slow-roll occur during inflation, the correlation functions of the primordial curvature perturbation should have scale-dependent features, a case which is marginally supported from the cosmic microwave background (CMB) data. We offer a new approach to analyze the appearance of such features in the primordial bispectrum that yields new consistency relations and justifies the search of oscillating patterns modulated by orthogonal and local templates. Under the assumption of sharp features, we find that the cubic couplings of the curvature perturbation can be expressed in terms of the bispectrum in two specific momentum configurations, for example local and equilateral. This allows us to derive consistency relations among different bispectrum shapes, which in principle could be tested in future CMB surveys. Furthermore, based on the form of the consistency relations, we construct new two-parameter templates for features that include all the known shapes.

Precision epoch of reionization studies with next-generation CMB experiments

Future arcminute resolution polarization data from ground-based Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) observations can be used to estimate the contribution to the temperature power spectrum from the primary anisotropies and to uncover the signature of reionization near ℓ=1500 in the small angular-scale temperature measurements. Our projections are based on combining expected small-scale E-mode polarization measurements from Advanced ACTPol in the range 300<ℓ<3000 with simulated temperature data from the full Planck mission in the low and intermediate ℓ region, 2<ℓ<2000. We show that the six basic cosmological parameters determined from this combination of data will predict the underlying primordial temperature spectrum at high multipoles to better than 1% accuracy. Assuming an efficient cleaning from multi-frequency channels of most foregrounds in the temperature data, we investigate the sensitivity to the only residual secondary component, the kinematic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (kSZ) term. The CMB polarization is used to break degeneracies between primordial and secondary terms present in temperature and, in effect, to remove from the temperature data all but the residual kSZ term. We estimate a 15σ detection of the diffuse homogeneous kSZ signal from expected AdvACT temperature data at ℓ>1500, leading to a measurement of the amplitude of matter density fluctuations, σ8, at 1% precision. Alternatively, by exploring the reionization signal encoded in the patchy kSZ measurements, we bound the time and duration of the reionization with σ(zre)=1.1 and σ(Δzre)=0.2. We find that these constraints degrade rapidly with large beam sizes, which highlights the importance of arcminute-scale resolution for future CMB surveys.

Constraining light gravitino mass from cosmic microwave background

We investigate the possibilities of constraining the light gravitino mass m3/2 from future cosmic microwave background (CMB) surveys. A model with light gravitino with the mass m3/2 < \U0001d4aa(10) eV is of great interest since it is free from the cosmological gravitino problem and, in addition, can be compatible with many baryogenesis/leptogenesis scenarios such as the thermal leptogenesis. We show that the lensing of CMB anisotropies can be a good probe for m3/2 and obtain an expected constraint on m3/2 from precise measurements of lensing potential in the future CMB surveys, such as the PolarBeaR and CMBpol experiments. If the gravitino mass is m3/2 = 1 eV, we will obtain the constraint for the gravitino mass as m3/2 ⩽ 3.2 eV (95%C.L.) for the case with Planck+PolarBeaR combined andm3/2 = 1.04+0.22−0.26 eV (68%C.L.) forCMBpol. The issue of Bayesian model selection is also discussed.

The effects of cosmic microwave background (CMB) temperature uncertainties oncosmological parameter estimation

We estimate the effect of the experimental uncertainty in the measurement of thetemperature of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) on the extraction of cosmologicalparameters from future CMB surveys. We find that even for an ideal experiment limitedonly by cosmic variance up to for both the temperature and polarization measurements, the projected cosmologicalparameter errors are remarkably robust against the uncertainty of 1 mK in the firas CMBtemperature monopole measurement. The maximum degradation in sensitivity is20%, for the baryon density estimate, relative to the case in which the monopole is knowninfinitely well. While this degradation is acceptable, we note that reducing the uncertaintyin the current temperature measurement by a factor of five will bring it down to∼1%. We also estimate the effect of the uncertainty in the dipole temperature measurement.Assuming the overall calibration of the data to be dominated by the dipole error of0.2% from firas, the sensitivity degradation is insignificant and does not exceed 10% in anyparameter direction.