Fund's Income Position Research Articles

Review of The Fund's Income Position for FY 2022 and FY 2023–2024

Review of The Fund's Income Position for FY 2022 and FY 2023–2024

The Fund's Income Position for FY 2021 - Actual Outcome

The Fund's Income Position for FY 2021 - Actual Outcome

Review of the Fund's Income Position for FY 2018 and FY 2019-20

Review of the Fund's Income Position for FY 2018 and FY 2019-20

Fund's Income Position for FY 2018 Actual Outcome

Fund's Income Position for FY 2018 Actual Outcome

The Fund's Income Position for FY 2017 - Actual Outcome

The Fund's Income Position for FY 2017 - Actual Outcome

Review of the Fund's Income Position for FY 2017 and FY 2018

The Fund’s total net income for FY 2017, including surcharges, is projected at about SDR 1.7 billion or some SDR 0.7 billion higher than expected in April 2016. This mainly reflects the IAS 19 adjustment (relating to reporting of employee benefits), which is expected to contribute about SDR 0.4 billion to net income, and higher investment income. Lending income is expected to be modestly lower than the April 2016 estimates. The paper recommends that GRA net income of SDR 1.2 billion for FY 2017 (which excludes projected income of the gold endowment), be placed equally to the special and general reserve. After the placement of GRA FY 2017 net income to reserves, precautionary balances are projected to reach SDR 16.4 billion at the end of FY 2017. The paper further proposes to transfer currencies equivalent to the increase in the Fund’s reserves from the GRA to the Investment Account. In April 2016, the margin for the rate of charge was set at 100 basis points for the two years FY 2017 and FY 2018. The margin may be adjusted before the end of the first year of this two-year period (i.e., FY 2017) but only if warranted by fundamental changes in the underlying factors relevant for the establishment of the margin at the start of the two-year period. Staff does not propose a change in the margin. The projections for FY 2018 point to a net income position of SDR 0.7 billion. These projections are subject to considerable uncertainty and are sensitive to a number of assumptions.

The Fund's Income Position For FY 2016

This paper reports the Fund’s income position for FY 2016 following the closing of the Fund’s accounts for the financial year and completion of the external audit. FY 2016 net income, including income from surcharges, was unchanged from the amount of SDR 998 million projected in April. GRA net income for FY 2016 of about SDR 1 billion has been placed to the Fund’s reserves, further strengthening the Fund’s precautionary balances, which reached SDR 15.2 billion at the end of FY 2016. Following the completion of the Executive Board’s review of the investment strategy for the Fixed-Income Subaccount and consistent with the discussions in April, currencies totaling about SDR 3.7 billion will be transferred to the Investment Account during September and October 2016. This comprises currencies equivalent to the net income retained in the GRA in FY 2014 (SDR 1.2 billion) and FY 2015 (SDR 1.5 billion), together with the currencies equivalent to the FY 2016 GRA net income of about SDR 1 billion.

Review of the Fund's Income Position for FY 2016 and FY 2017-2018

The Fund’s total net income for FY 2016 including surcharges is projected at about SDR 1.0 billion or some SDR 0.15 billion higher than expected in April 2015. Lending income continues to be the main source of income and is in line with April 2015 estimates. Investment income has fallen reflecting the decline in equity markets that exceeded the modest returns on fixed income securities. As a result of the 5-yearly review of key actuarial assumptions, the IAS 19 adjustment (relating to reporting of employee benefits) is expected to contribute about SDR 0.3 billion to net income in FY 2016. The paper recommends that GRA net income of SDR 1.1 billion for FY 2016 (which excludes projected losses of the gold endowment), be placed equally to the special and general reserve. After the placement to reserves, precautionary balances are projected to reach SDR 15.2 billion at the end of FY 2016. Following the completion of the Board’s review of the investment strategy for the Fixed-Income Subaccount, the paper further proposes to transfer currencies equivalent to the increase of the Fund’s reserves for FY 2014 and FY 2015 (totaling SDR 2.6 billion) and FY 2016 (estimated at SDR 1.1 billion), from the GRA to the Investment Account. The paper proposes that the margin for the rate of charge be set at 100 basis points for the two years FY 2017 and FY 2018. This follows a comprehensive review of the underlying factors relevant for the establishment of the margin this year and also takes into account the impact of the inclusion of the renminbi in the SDR basket on Fund income and borrowing costs. The projections for FY 2017 and FY 2018 point to a net income position of SDR 1 billion and SDR 0.7 billion, respectively. These projections are subject to considerable uncertainty and are sensitive to a number of assumptions.

The Fund's Income Position for FY 2015 - Actual Outcome

This paper reports the Fund’s income position for FY 2015 following the closing of the Fund’s accounts for the financial year and completion of the external audit. FY 2015 net income, including income from surcharges, amounted to SDR 1.6 billion or about SDR 133 million more than estimated in April. The bulk of this difference reflects a smaller net loss in the valuation reported under the revised accounting standard for employee benefits (IAS 19). In accordance with decisions taken in April 2015, investment income from the Fixed-Income Subaccount of SDR 84 million has been transferred from the Investment Account to the GRA. GRA net income for FY 2015 of SDR 1.5 billion has been placed to the Fund’s reserves, further strengthening the Fund’s precautionary balances, which reached SDR 14.2 billion at the end FY 2015.

Review of the Fund's Income Position for FY 2015 and FY 2016

FY 2015 net income is now projected at SDR 1.5 billion. Lending continues to be the main source of income, although advance repurchases have lowered projected lending income in FY 2015 by SDR 0.3 billion. Investment income remains constrained in the low interest environment but the returns were somewhat stronger than projected. A revaluation of pension obligations, required under accounting standard IAS 19 and stemming from a further fall in the discount rate, is projected to entail an adjustment to FY 2015 net income of about SDR 0.8 billion. The paper proposes that GRA net income of SDR 1.3 billion, which excludes the retained earnings of the gold endowment, be placed to the special reserve.* After the placement to reserves, precautionary balances are projected at SDR 14.0 billion at the end of FY 2015. The paper further proposes to retain currencies available for transfer to the Investment Account in the GRA, pending completion later this year of the Board’s review of the mandate for the Fixed-Income Subaccount.

Review of the Fund's Income Position for FY 2014 and FY 2015-2016

FY 2014 net income, including surcharges, is projected at SDR 2.7 billion. Lending income remains high, while investment income continues to be constrained by the historically low global interest rates.

The Fund's Income Position for FY 2013 - Midyear Update

This paper presents updated projections on the Fund’s FY 2013 income position. The projected net income is now SDR 2.1 billion, slightly lower than the earlier projection of SDR 2.3 billion at the beginning of the year. The changes reflect lower projected disbursements under approved arrangements owing to delays in scheduled drawings and arrangements expected to expire with substantial undrawn balances, the expectation that funding of the gold endowment will not begin until FY 2014, and lower implicit returns on the Fund’s interest-free resources due to the prevailing interest rate environment.

Review of the Fund's Income Position for FY 2012 and FY 2013-14

This paper reviews the Fund’s income position for FY 2012 and FY 2013?14.1 The paper updates projections provided at the FY 2012 midyear review and proposes decisions for the current and next two financial years. These decisions include setting the margin for the rate of charge under the new Rule I-6(4) that the Executive Board adopted in December 2011.2 The new rule is based on principles endorsed by the Executive Board in April 2008 and that have guided decisions on setting the margin since FY 2009. Section II reviews the FY 2012 income position and main changes from the midyear projections; Section III makes proposals on the disposition of net income, and placement to reserves; Section IV discusses the margin on the rate of charge for FY 2013?14, the income outlook for that period, and projected burden sharing adjustments; and Section V reviews special charges.

The Fund's Income Position for FY 2012 - Actual Outcome

This paper presents the Fund’s net income for FY 2012. The actual outcome reported in this paper follows the closing of the Fund’s accounts for the financial year and completion of the FY 2012 external audit conducted by Deloitte & Touche, the Fund’s external auditor.

Review of the Fund's Income Position for FY 2011 and FY 2012

This paper reviews the Fund’s income position for FY 2011 and FY 2012. The paper updates projections provided at the FY 2011 midyear review and sets out related proposed decisions for the current and next financial years. A companion paper provides an update on the consolidated medium-term income and expenditure framework.

The Fund's Income Position for FY 2012--Midyear Review

This paper updates the outlook for the Fund’s income position for FY 2012. The overall outlook is broadly unchanged, with the FY 2012 net operational income now projected at SDR 500 million compared with the projection of SDR 482 million in April 2011. This primarily reflects additional lending activity, which is partially offset by lower implicit returns on the Fund’s interest-free resources owing to the prevailing interest rate environment.1 The actual outcome is subject to considerable uncertainty in light of conditions in the global economy, which could affect the timing and amounts of disbursements under current and potential new arrangements and the performance of the Investment Account (IA).

The Fund's Income Position for FY 2010 - Actual Outcome

This paper presents the Fund’s net income outcome for FY 2010. The actual outcomes in this paper follow the closing of the Fund’s accounts for the financial year and completion of the FY 2010 external audit conducted by Deloitte & Touche, the Fund’s external auditor. The paper also provides an update on the restructuring costs incurred during FY 2010.

The Fund's Income Position for FY 2011 - Midyear Review

This paper updates the outlook for the IMF’s income position for the financial year 2011 taking into account developments in the first half of the year. The outlook has improved primarily reflecting additional lending activity, which raised the projected average credit outstanding in FY 2011 by about SDR 3 billion to SDR 54 billion. Net operational income for FY 2011 is projected at SDR 328 million, some SDR 126 million higher than the projection in April 2010.1 The actual outcome is subject to considerable uncertainty related to the timing and amounts of disbursements under current and potential new arrangements and the performance of the Investment Account (IA).

The Fund's Income Position for FY 2010—Midyear Review

This paper updates the outlook for the Fund's income position for FY 2010, taking into account developments in the first half of the financial year. The FY 2010 income outlook has improved relative to the baseline projections at the beginning of the year,1 mainly as a result of the combination of higher projected lending income, and lower expenditures, in SDR terms, reflecting the depreciation of the U.S. dollar and a projected underrun in the budget. Net operational income for FY 2010 is projected at about SDR 440 million compared with the previous baseline projection of SDR 290 million in April 2009. However, the actual outcome is subject to considerable uncertainty related to the timing and amounts of disbursements under current and potential new arrangements and the performance of the Investment Account.

Review of the Fund's Income Position for FY 2009 and FY 2010

This paper reviews the Fund’s income position for FY 2009 and FY 2010. The proposals build on previous discussions relating to implementation of the new income model, the framework for accumulating precautionary balances, and the recent reform of the Fund’s lending toolkit. The paper is structured as follows: Section II reviews the income position for FY 2009 and explains the main changes from the projections at the midyear review; Section III makes proposals that pertain to the FY 2009 income position, including the disposition of investment income, the overall income position of the General Resources Account (GRA), and the annual reimbursement of the GRA for the expenses of conducting the business of the SDR Department and the MDRI-I Trust; Section IV reviews the FY 2010 income outlook, including the margin for the rate of charge; Section V reviews the burden sharing mechanism; and Section VI reviews special charges.