Frailty In Community-dwelling Older Adults Research Articles

Disentangling the relationship between biological age and frailty in community-dwelling older Mexican adults.

Older adults have heterogeneous aging rates. Here, we explored the impact of biological age (BA) and accelerated aging on frailty in community-dwelling older adults. We assessed 735 community-dwelling older adults from the Coyocan Cohort. BA was measured using AnthropoAge, accelerated aging with AnthropoAgeAccel, and frailty using both Fried's phenotype and the frailty index. We explored the association of BA and accelerated aging (AnthropoAgeAccel ≥0) with frailty at baseline and characterized the impact of both on body composition and physical function. We also explored accelerated aging as a risk factor for frailty progression after 3-years of follow-up. Older adults with accelerated aging have higher frailty prevalence and indices, lower handgrip strength and gait speed. AnthropoAgeAccel was associated with higher frailty indices (β=0.0053, 95%CI 0.0027-0.0079), and increased odds of frailty at baseline (OR 1.16, 95%CI 1.09-1.25). We observed a sexual dimorphism in body composition and physical function linked to accelerated aging in non-frail participants; however, this dimorphism was absent in pre-frail/frail participants. Accelerated aging at baseline was associated with higher risk of frailty progression over time (OR 1.74, 95%CI 1.11-2.75). Despite being intertwined, biological accelerated aging is largely independent of frailty in community-dwelling older adults.

Trends in the Assessment of Social Frailty in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: A Scoping Review.

Assessment of social frailty is crucial; however, definitions and assessment methods lack standardization. This review examined social frailty in community-dwelling older adults, highlighted trends in the definitions and assessment items used to date, and identified issues in assessing social frailty. The PubMed and CINAHL databases were searched for articles related to social frailty published up to 2022, and 95 articles were included in this review. The Bunt classification was used to assess the trends in items considered indicative of social frailty. Existing rating scales for social frailty were used in 82% of studies, and cut-off values were defined in 62% of studies. Factors such as the level of education; social interaction (weekly outings); and feelings of abandonment, emptiness, and lack of social integration (absence of a partner and non-participation in social organizations or activities) were evaluated less frequently. This study revealed that subjective feelings, including the fulfillment of social needs and participation in social activities, are less commonly considered in the assessment of social frailty.

Development of a Screening Tool for Oral Frailty in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: A Cross-Sectional Study

ObjectivesTo develop a Screening for Oral Frailty Tool (SOFT) and evaluate its reliability and validity among Chinese community-dwelling older adults. DesignCross-sectional analysis. Setting and ParticipantsThe study was conducted as part of an ongoing community-based prospective study in Shanghai. A total of 307 older adults, aged between 60 and 96 years, participated in the study. MethodsThis study was conducted in 3 stages: item development, scale development, and scale evaluation. This study was based on a visual model depicting the deterioration of oral function, and a draft scale was generated based on a literature review, existing scales, expert consultations, and cognitive interviews. Between December 2023 and February 2024, the validity and reliability of the SOFT were evaluated using a questionnaire administered to 307 community-dwelling older adults. Data including demographics, frailty, and sarcopenia were collected. ResultsThe oral frailty scale comprises 6 items, including number of teeth, difficulty in swallowing, difficulty in chewing, difficulty in articulatory oral motor, dry mouth, and oral pain, and is assessed using a yes or no question. The correlations ranged from 0.40 to 0.66 when correlating each item with the total score of the scale. Using frailty and sarcopenia as criteria, the area under the curve for the SOFT was 0.71. The optimal cutoff for the SOFT was 2, using frailty as a criterion, with a higher Youden index and a high negative predictive value (94.9%), but a low positive predictive value (19.3%). The SOFT showed low internal consistency (Kuder-Richardson formula 20 coefficients 0.50) and good test-retest reliability (intraclass correlation coefficients 0.86). Conclusions and ImplicationsThe SOFT does not require specialized equipment and is not affected by cultural differences. It can be used for oral frailty screening in Chinese community-dwelling older adults and is simple and rapid.

The independent and combined effects of physical activity and depressive symptoms on frailty in community-dwelling older adults: A cross-sectional study.

To investigate the independent and combined effects of physical activity (PA) and depressive symptoms on the risk of frailty in community-dwelling older adults. Older adults face a high risk of frailty which is commonly used to predict adverse health outcomes in older patients. Engaging in PA and without depressive symptoms are crucial factors to prevent frailty. It is essential to investigate the independent and combined effects of these two variables on the risk of frailty. We included 3392 community-dwelling older adults. The FRAIL Scale was used to assess older adults' frail status (robust, prefrail and frail). Multiple logistic regression was utilized to examine the independent and combined effects of PA and depressive symptoms on the risk of prefrailty and frailty. The combined effects were visualized by marginal plots. The prevalence of prefrailty and frailty in older adults were 42.16% and 10.58%. Compared with the group of "Light physical activity and With depressive symptoms", "Vigorous physical activity and Without depressive symptoms" had the lowest risk of prefrailty and frailty. Older adults who do not engage in PA or have depressive symptoms increased the risk of frailty, but older adults with depressive symptoms could lower the risk of frailty through PA. It is effective to reduce the risk of frailty by directing older adults to do moderate physical activity, although they have depressive symptoms. The focus should also be on older adults with depressive symptoms, who have at least more than twice and fourfold risk of prefrailty and frailty compared to those without. This study offers insights for future interventions aimed at preventing frailty in older adults. This study adhered to the STROBE checklist. Older adults participated in this study and completed questionnaires.

Exploring the complex associations among risks of malnutrition, sarcopenia, and frailty in community-dwelling older adults

BackgroundMalnutrition, sarcopenia, and frailty are age-related conditions that are associated with multiple health-related negative outcomes. However, the complex associations between them remain to be elucidated. The aims of the study were to explore: (1) whether the risk of sarcopenia has a mediator effect on the association between risks of malnutrition and frailty; and (2) whether physical activity (PA) level modulates this mediator effect in community-dwelling older adults.MethodsThis cross-sectional study involved 593 older adults (62.73% female; mean age = 71.35 ± 5.86 years). The Mini Nutritional Assessment-Short Form (MNA-SF), the SARC-F Questionnaire, and the FRAIL Questionnaire were used to assess the risks of malnutrition, sarcopenia, and frailty, respectively. The International Physical Activity Questionnaire Short Form (IPAQ-SF) was employed to assess PA level. Using the Hayes PROCESS macro (Models 4 and 7), mediation and moderated mediation analyses were performed.ResultsThe mediation analysis demonstrated that the MNA-SF had a significant effect on the SARC-F (B=-0.325; p < 0.001) and the SARC-F, in turn, had a significant effect on the FRAIL (B = 0.341; p < 0.001). The total (B=-0.171; p < 0.001), direct (B=-0.061; p = 0.001), and indirect (B=-0.111; bootstrap CI did not include zero, which indicates a significant effect) effects of MNA-SF on FRAIL were significant, showing that 65% of the association between the MNA-SF and FRAIL was explained by the SARC-F acting as a mediator. The moderated mediation analysis demonstrated that the association between MNA and SARC-F was moderated by the PA level (B = 0.253; p = 0.016). The SARC-F mediated and relatively enhanced the association between MNA-SF and FRAIL only in older adults with a moderate PA level (B=-0.120; CI: -0.154 to -0.085).ConclusionsThe SARC-F partially mediates the association between the MNA-SF and the FRAIL, indicating that malnutrition affects frailty through an indirect path via sarcopenia. Furthermore, the PA level moderates this mediator effect, with sarcopenia serving as a mediator in older adults with moderate a PA level but not in those with a low PA level. These findings reveal that it may be beneficial to consider PA level in combination with malnutrition and sarcopenia in the management and prevention of frailty in community-dwelling older adults.

Intake of Fish Was Inversely Associated With Prevalence of Frailty in Community-Dwelling Older Adults After 4-Year Follow-Up: The Korean Frailty and Aging Cohort Study

Intake of Fish Was Inversely Associated With Prevalence of Frailty in Community-Dwelling Older Adults After 4-Year Follow-Up: The Korean Frailty and Aging Cohort Study

Short functional geriatric evaluation: Confirmatory factor analysis to assess the multidimensionality of frailty in community-dwelling older adults

This paper explores the ageing population in Italy, where older adults account for more than 14 million individuals (in January 2023) and constitute 24.1 % of the total population. Frailty, a condition encompassing biological, psychological, social, and economic challenges, is recognised as a significant public health issue. The study introduces the Short Functional Geriatric Evaluation (SFGE) as a large-scale screening tool for frailty in community-dwelling older individuals. A Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) was conducted on the SFGE. The CFA scrutinises the construct validity of SFGE using a sample population from the "Long Live the Elderly!" program in Italy. Initial results indicate an acceptable fit, prompting the incorporation of Modification Indices to enhance model performance. The refined CFA demonstrates that the SFGE model effectively captures the multidimensional nature of frailty. The text underscores the timeliness of identifying frailty, emphasising the need for simple, fast, and predictive tools to screen large populations efficiently.

Multidimensional associations of physical performance, balance, wellness and daily activities with frailty in older adults with coexisting frailty and diabetes.

The coexistence of frailty and type 2 diabetes mellitus in the older population heightens the risk of adverse events. However, research on functional and wellness factors associated with frailty in this population is limited. To investigate the associations of physical performance, functional dependency, physical activity, nutritional status, sleep, self-perceived health and depression with frailty in community-dwelling older adults with coexisting frailty and type 2 diabetes mellitus. Cross-sectional. The study included 123 community-dwelling older adults (73.7 ± 6.0 years) with pre-frailty/frailty and type 2 diabetes mellitus. Physical performance (Short Physical Performance Battery), functional dependency (Barthel Index and Lawton & Brody), physical activity and inactivity (GeneActiv wrist-worn accelerometer), malnutrition risk (Mini Nutritional Assessment), sleep (Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index), self-perceived health (EuroQoL 5-Dimension 3-Level) and depression (Yesavage 15-item-Geriatric-Depression-Scale) were evaluated through personal interviews. Principal component analysis (PCA) was performed to categorize the variables into components, and logistic regressions were used to propose the best-fitted model for each component. The PCA identified four components: (i) physical performance, with gait speed and leg mean velocity as the main variables associated with frailty; (ii) balance, showing significant associations with monopodal balance; (iii) daily activities, with moderate to vigorous physical activity and the Lawton and Brody score as the main variables associated with frailty within this component; and (iv) wellness factors, with nutritional status, self-perceived health and depression score as the primary variables associated with frailty. This research underscores the significance of physical function and daily activities as protective factors against frailty in community-dwelling older adults with coexisting frailty and type 2 diabetes mellitus. The health dimension contributes both protective and risk factors, emphasizing the need for comprehensive assessments in managing frailty in this population. The study adhered to the STROBE checklist. No patient or public contribution.

The Relationship Between Social Isolation and Cognitive Frailty Among Community-Dwelling Older Adults: The Mediating Role of Depressive Symptoms.

Social isolation and depression have an impact on cognitive frailty. However, the underlying mechanisms between these variables have not been well defined. This study aims to investigate the mediating role of depressive symptoms in the association between social isolation and cognitive frailty among older adults in China. From Mar 2023 to Aug 2023, a cross-sectional study was conducted with 496 community-dwelling older adults aged ≥60 years in Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China. Demographic information was collected using the General Information Questionnaire. The Lubben Social Network Scale-6 (LSNS-6), Geriatric Depression Scale 15-item (GDS-15), Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA), Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR), and FRAIL scale were used for the questionnaire survey. Multiple linear regression and binary logistic regression were utilized to explore the associations among social isolation, depressive symptoms, and cognitive frailty, and Bootstrap analysis was used to explore the mediating role of depressive symptoms in social isolation and cognitive frailty. Linear regression results revealed that social isolation was positively associated with depressive symptoms (β = 0.873, p < 0.001). Logistic regression analysis showed that social isolation (OR = 1.769, 95% CI = 1.018~3.075) and depressive symptoms (OR = 1.227, 95% CI = 1.108~1.357) were significantly associated with cognitive frailty. Mediation analysis demonstrated that depressive symptoms significantly mediated the relationship between social isolation and cognitive frailty, with an indirect effect of 0.027 (95% CI = 0.003~0.051), and the mediating effect accounted for 23.6% of the total effect. Social isolation is associated with cognitive frailty in community-dwelling older adults, and depressive symptoms partially mediate the effect between social isolation and cognitive frailty. Active promotion of social integration among older individuals is recommended to enhance their mental health, reduce the incidence of cognitive frailty, and foster active aging.

Association between Physical Function, Mental Function and Frailty in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: A Cross-Sectional Study.

Background: This study examines the relationship between physical and mental function and frailty, independently and in conjunction with polypharmacy, among older adults. Methods: This cross-sectional study consisted of 368 participants aged ≥60 years. The participants were categorized into either robust or frail groups using Fried's frailty phenotype. Physical functions were assessed using grip strength, gait speed, Timed Up and Go (TUG), the Five Chair Sit to Stand Test (FCSST) and the Six-Minute Walk Test (SMWT). Mental functions were assessed using cognitive function and depression. Cognitive function was measured using Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE). Depression was assessed with the Korean version of the Short Geriatric Depression Scale (SGDS). Results: The mean age of study population was 75.4 years. In this population, we identified 78.8% (n = 290) robust participants and 21.2% (n = 78) frail participants. The study examined frailty status (frail vs. non-frail) and frailty with and without polypharmacy using multivariate logistic regressions, adjusting for age and sex. In the logistic regression model estimating the risk of frailty, after adjustments for age, sex, BMI, and number of medications, individuals with low SMWT showed a significantly increased risk of frailty, with an odds ratio (OR) of 8.66 and a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 4.55-16.48. Additionally, global cognitive function was associated with a 1.97-fold increase in frailty risk (95% CI: 1.02-3.67). Moreover, in models adjusted for age, sex, and BMI to assess frailty risk linked to polypharmacy, the TUG, SMWT, and SGDS all showed increased risks, with ORs of 3.65 (95% CI: 1.07-12.47), 5.06 (95% CI: 1.40-18.32), and 5.71 (95% CI: 1.79-18.18), respectively. Conclusions: Physical function (SMWT, FCSST, TUG) and mental function (depression, cognition) were associated with frailty. By comprehensively examining these factors, we will gain valuable insights into frailty and enable more precise strategies for intervention and prevention.

Decreased mitochondrial respiration associates with frailty in community-dwelling older adults.

Aging population has led to an increased prevalence of chronic and degenerative pathologies. A manifestation of unhealthy aging is frailty, a geriatric syndrome that implies a non-specific state of greater vulnerability. Currently, methods for frailty diagnosis are based exclusively on clinical observation. The aim of this study is to determine whether the bioenergetic capacity defined as mitochondrial oxygen consumption rate (OCR) of peripheral circulation mononuclear cells (PBMC) associates with the frailty phenotype in older adults and with their nutritional status. This is a cross-sectional analytic study of 58 participants 70years and older, 18 frail and 40 non-frail adults, from the ALEXANDROS cohort study, previously described. Participants were characterized through sociodemographic and anthropometric assessments. Frail individuals displayed a higher frequency of osteoporosis and depression. The mean age of the participants was 80.2 ± 5.2years, similar in both groups of men and women. Regarding the nutritional status defined as the body mass index, most non-frail individuals were normal or overweight, while frail participants were mostly overweight or obese. We observed that OCR was significantly decreased in frail men (p < 0.01). Age was also associated with significant differences in oxygen consumption in frail patients, with lower oxygen consumption being observed in those over 80years of age. Therefore, the use of PBMC can result in an accessible fingerprint that may identify initial stages of frailty in a minimally invasive way.

The roles of health literacy and social support in the association between smartphone ownership and frailty in older adults: a moderated mediation model

BackgroundUnderstanding the role of smartphones to promote the health status of older adults is important in the digital society. Little is known about the effects of having smartphones on physical frailty despite its positive effect on the well-being of older adults. This study aimed to explore the association between smartphone ownership and frailty in community-dwelling older adults and its underlying mechanism.MethodsWe used data from the Korean Frailty and Aging Cohort Study and analyzed 2,469 older adults aged 72–86 years. Frailty, health literacy, and social support were assessed by Fried’s frailty phenotype, the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System health literacy module, and the Enhancing Recovery in Coronary Heart Disease (ENRICHD) Social Support Instrument, respectively. The mediation model and moderated mediation model were estimated, where the mediator was health literacy and the moderator was social support, to explore the relationship between smartphone ownership and frailty.ResultsOf our study participants, 58.9% owned smartphones, and 10.9% were classified as frail. Smartphone ownership was negatively associated with frailty (β = −0.623, p < 0.001). Health literacy mediated the relationship between smartphone ownership and frailty (β = −0.154, boot confidence interval [CI] = − 0.222, − 0.096), and social support moderated the mediation effect (β = −0.010, Boot CI = − 0.016, − 0.004).ConclusionsOwning smartphones among older adults could reduce the risk of frailty. Promoting health literacy and social support among older adults with smartphones would be effective to prevent frailty.

Intrinsic capacity assessment using World Health Organization Integrated Care for Older People Step 1, and the association with frailty in community dwelling older adults.

This study aimed to investigate the association between intrinsic capacity (IC) and frailty in community-dwelling older adults. Specifically, we examined the utility of the World Health Organization's Integrated Care for Older People Step 1 screen for identifying frail older persons in the community. This is a cross-sectional analysis of a community frailty screening initiative. IC loss was ascertained using the World Health Organization's Integrated Care for Older People Step 1 questions. The Clinical Frailty Scale was used to categorize participants as robust (Clinical Frailty Scale S1-3) or frail (Clinical Frailty Scale ≥4). Logistic regression was used to analyze the association of individual and cumulative IC losses with frailty, adjusting for confounders. Additionally, the diagnostic performance of using cumulative IC losses to identify frailty was assessed. This study included 1164 participants (28.2% frail). Loss in locomotion (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 1.47, 95% CI 1.07-2.02), vitality (AOR 1.58, 95% CI 1.04-2.39), sensory (AOR 1.99, 95% CI 1.51-2.64) and psychological capacities (AOR 1.92, 95% CI 1.45-2.56) were significantly associated with frailty. Loss in more than three IC domains was associated with frailty. Using loss in at least three ICs identifies frailty, with sensitivity of 38.6%, specificity of 83.5% and positive predictive value of 47.4%. Using loss in at least four ICs improved specificity to 96.9%, and is associated with the highest positive predictive value of 57.6% and highest positive likelihood ratio of 3.55 for frailty among all cut-off values. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.64 (95% CI 0.61-0.68). IC loss as identified through World Health Organization's Integrated Care for Older People Step 1 is associated with frailty community-dwelling older adults. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2024; 24: 457-463.

Preventive Home Visits Among Frail Community-Dwelling Older Adults. The Added Value of Follow-Up Telephone Calls

ABSTRACT People in need of care and support do not always find appropriate services. This paper aims to explore the content and added value of monthly follow-up telephone calls after preventive home visits. We used both monitoring data and qualitative semi-structured interviews (with older adults, formal and informal caregivers). Results indicate that a majority of older adults (N = 95) received a regular follow-up of four telephone calls. Social connection and involvement were mentioned by all three groups as positive aspects of the program. Although time-consuming, this paper draws attention to the added value of follow-up telephone calls after preventive home visits.

Association of the Combination of Moderate-to-Vigorous Physical Activity and Sleep Quality with Physical Frailty.

The association of the individual and combined effects of moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA) and sleep quality with physical frailty in community-dwelling older adults is still unknown. A cross-sectional study was conducted with a sample of older adults who had not required nursing care or support services. Physical frailty was assessed using Liu's definition based on Fried's concept. MVPA was measured by a triaxial accelerometer, and individuals who met either moderate physical activity (MPA) for ≥300 min/week, vigorous physical activity (VPA) for ≥150 min/week, or both were defined as "MVA+". "SLP+" was defined as a Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index score of <5.5 points. A total of 811 participants were included in the final analysis. After adjusting for the multivariable confounding factors, the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for physical pre-frailty and frailty in the MVA-SLP+ (OR, 2.56; 95%CI, 1.80-3.62) and the MVA-SLP- group (OR, 3.97; 95%CI, 2.33-6.74) were significantly higher compared with the MVA+SLP+ group. Community-dwelling older adults who did not meet the MVPA criteria, regardless of sleep quality, had a higher prevalence of physical frailty.

Prevalence and population characteristics associated with frailty in a rural low socioeconomic area in Denmark: the Lolland-Falster Health Study

BackgroundFrailty is a major geriatric syndrome that predicts increased vulnerability to minor stressor events and adverse outcomes such as falls, fractures, disability and death. The prevalence of frailty among individuals...

Psychosocial stressors associated with frailty in community-dwelling older adults in the United States.

Frailty is multifactorial; however, psychosocial stressors contributing to frailty are poorly understood. This study aimed to examine whether gender, race/ ethnicity, and education are associated with differential exposure to psychosocial stressors, determine psychosocial stressors contributing to frailty, and explore the mediating psychosocial stressors pathway. This cross-sectional study involved 7679 community-dwelling older adults (≥65) from the Health and Retirement Study (2006 and 2008 waves). Psychosocial stressors such as loneliness, low subjective social status, financial strain, poor neighborhood cohesion, everyday discrimination, and traumatic life events were measured. Frailty was defined by the Fried phenotype measure. Multivariable logistic regressions were used to examine the association of gender, race/ethnicity, and education with psychosocial stressors, psychosocial stressors associated with frailty, and the mediating psychosocial stressors pathway. Females experienced greater financial strain but lower discrimination (both p < 0.05). Older adults who identified as Hispanic, Black, and racially or ethnically minoritized experienced low subjective social status, high financial strain, low neighborhood cohesion, and high discrimination than their White counterparts (all p < 0.05). Those with lower education experienced high loneliness, low subjective social status, high financial strain, low neighborhood cohesion but lower traumatic life events (all p < 0.05). Psychosocial stressors: High loneliness, low subjective social status, high financial strain, and low neighborhood cohesion (all p < 0.05) independently increased the odds of frailty. The mediating pathway of psychosocial stressors was not significant. CONCLUSION: Disparities exist in exposure to psychosocial stressors associated with frailty. Multilevel interventions are needed to reduce the influence of psychosocial stressors on frailty.

Evaluation of Sex and Age Factors Contributing to the Diagnosis of Oral Frailty in Community-Dwelling Older Adults

Evaluation of Sex and Age Factors Contributing to the Diagnosis of Oral Frailty in Community-Dwelling Older Adults

Impact of the anti-inflammatory diet on serum high-sensitivity C-Reactive protein and new-onset frailty in community-dwelling older adults: A 7-year follow-up of the Kashiwa cohort study.

Chronic inflammation is a pathophysiological cause of age-related diseases, including frailty. Although diet is a determinant of inflammation, few prospective studies have investigated its role in frailty onset. This study used the dietary inflammatory index to investigate whether a proinflammatory diet affects the incidence of frailty in a 7-year follow-up of older Japanese adults. We enrolled community-dwelling older adults without frailty from the 2014 Kashiwa cohort study. Energy-adjusted dietary inflammatory index (E-DII) scores were calculated using a brief self-administered diet history questionnaire. Serum high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) levels were measured by immunoassays. Frailty was defined as meeting three of Fried's five phenotypic criteria. Cox regression was used to analyze associations between E-DII scores and new-onset frailty after adjusting for relevant confounders. Overall, 95 (11.7%) of 811 participants (73.7 ± 4.8 years, women 47.3%) developed new-onset frailty during the 7-year follow-up. The baseline E-DII scores significantly correlated with log-hsCRP levels, even after adjustment (β = 0.075, P = 0.035). The highest tertile of E-DII scores (proinflammatory diet) showed a 2.03 times (95% confidence interval, 1.22-3.36) higher risk of new-onset frailty than that associated with the lowest tertile (P = 0.006). When E-DII was calculated on the basis of anti-inflammatory food parameters only, the highest tertile showed a 2.32 times (95% confidence interval, 1.36-3.95) higher risk than that associated with the lowest tertile (P = 0.002). E-DII scores significantly correlated with serum hsCRP levels. High E-DII scores caused by low intake of anti-inflammatory foods are associated with frailty incidence. For community-dwelling older adults, dietary interventions that lower E-DII scores (e.g., encouraging dietary fiber intake) may help prevent frailty. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2024; 24: 189-195.

DEVELOP AND EXTERNALLY VALIDATE A RISK PREDICTION MODEL FOR SCREENING COGNITIVE FRAILTY IN OLDER ADULTS

Abstract Cognitive frailty, the combination of physical frailty and mild cognitive impairment, is a growing public health concern in aging populations. We aimed to develop and validate a risk prediction model for screening cognitive frailty in community-dwelling older adults without probable dementia (aged ≥ 65 years). We used Year 2011 data from National Health and Aging Trends Study (NHATS), with participants randomly divided into the training set (N=4,222) and internal validation set (N=2,111). We used Year 2015 data of NHATS as the external validation set (N=3,380). Cognitive frailty was assessed with the Fried phenotypic criteria and cognitive performance in three domains (memory, orientation and executive function). Independent risk factors were screened by multivariate logistic regression analysis. Model performance was assessed by discrimination (area under the curve [AUC]) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow test). The final model included 13 key predictors (age, gender, education, smoke, walking for exercise, vigorous activity, self-rated health, depressive symptoms, balance impairments, arthritis, hospitalization, activities of daily living, and instrumental activities of daily living score). The model showed good discrimination with an AUC of 0.92 (95% CI: 0.90-0.93) for the training set, 0.92 (95% CI: 0.89-0.95) for the internal validation set, and 0.88 (95% CI: 0.85-0.91) for the external validation set. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test yielded P values of 0.10, 0.92, and 0.85 for the three sets, respectively, suggesting good calibration. Our risk prediction model has the potential to screen older adults at risk for cognitive frailty, enabling early interventions to prevent or delay cognitive decline and physical disability.