Water Vapor Flux Research Articles

Diversity of 10–20-day propagation of genesis potential index and its roles in tropical cyclogenesis over the South China Sea

The genesis potential index (GPI) is used to quantify the major large-scale environmental parameters associated with tropical cyclogenesis (TCG). It is demonstrated that the 10–20-day GPI dominates the intraseasonal variability of the GPI over the South China Sea (SCS) from June to September during 1979–2021. The spatiotemporal evolutions of the 10–20-day GPI in the TCG processes show distinct diverse characteristics. Through extended empirical orthogonal function (EEOF) analysis and spatial correlation coefficients, the 10–20-day GPI propagation characteristics of the TCG processes are mainly classified into 3 categories: WN-Pattern, N-Pattern, and W-Pattern. The WN-Pattern originates from the tropical western North Pacific (WNP), then gradually intensifies and propagates northwestward to the northern SCS. The N-Pattern moves northward from Indonesia to the central-northern SCS and distinctly strengthens from 2 days before the cyclogenesis. The W-Pattern features westward propagation from the subtropical WNP to the northern SCS. These three propagating patterns correspond to the respective locations of SCS TCG. In the GPI terms of these three patterns, the low-level absolute vorticity and mid-level relative humidity are considered as the dominant environmental factors. Furthermore, the significant cyclonic circulation anomalies and water vapor flux anomalies are well coordinated with the 10–20-day GPI in all the three patterns, constituting favorable dynamical and thermodynamic conditions for the SCS TCG. This study may be beneficial for deeper comprehension of the subseasonal large-scale environmental factors about SCS TCG.

A Novel Delayed Phase Inversion Strategy Enables Green PVDF Membranes for Membrane Distillation

Polyvinylidene fluoride (PVDF) membranes are extensively utilized in membrane distillation (MD) for water treatment. However, traditional methods easily form asymmetrical membranes with dense skin layers that are detrimental to membrane flux. Herein, an eco-friendly PVDF membrane was fabricated by utilizing a delayed phase separation process without using any pore-forming agents. In addition, methyl-5-(dimethylamino)-2-methyl-5-oxopentanoate (PolarClean) was used as a green solvent without posing risks to humans and the environment. It was demonstrated that the PVDF concentration is crucial in influencing the microstructures and performance of the resulting membranes. As the PVDF concentration increased, the morphology changed significantly, resulting in a reduction of pore size. When feeding the device with NaCl solution at a concentration of 35 g/L, the MD water vapor flux reached 18.49 kg·m⁻2·h⁻1, while maintaining a salt rejection of over 99.97% during the continuous operation for 24 h. This work presented a method for producing green PVDF membranes via delayed phase inversion with satisfactory water vapor flux and salt rejection, highlighting their prospect for effective applications in MD for water treatment.

Climate Conundrum: A Wet or Dry European and Northern African Climate During the Middle Miocene

AbstractEnd of 21st‐century hydroclimate projections suggest an expansion of subtropical dry zones, with Mediterranean and Sahel regions becoming much drier. However, paleobotanical assemblage evidence from the middle Miocene (17‐12 Ma), suggests both regions were instead humid environments. Here we show that by modifying regional sea surface temperatures (SST) in an Earth System Model (CESM1.2) simulation of the middle Miocene, the increased ocean evaporation and integrated water vapor flux overrides any drying effects associated with warming‐induced land‐surface evaporation driven by atmospheric CO2 concentrations. These modifications markedly reduce the bias in the model‐data comparison for this period. A vegetation model (BIOME4) forced with simulated climatologies predicts both regions were dominated by mixed forest, which is largely consistent with the paleobotanical record. This study unveils the potential for wetter subtropical Mediterranean climates associated with warming, presenting an alternative scenario from future drying projections with localized SST warming governing regional climate change.

How Severe Was the 2022 Flash Drought in the Yangtze River Basin?

Flash droughts, characterized by their rapid onset and severe impacts, have critical implications for the ecological environment and water resource security. However, inconsistent definitions of flash droughts have hindered scientific assessments of drought severity, limiting efforts in disaster prevention and mitigation. In this study, we propose a new method for explicitly characterizing flash drought events, with particular emphasis on the process of soil moisture recovery. The temporal and spatial evolution of flash droughts over the Yangtze River Basin was analyzed, and the severity of the extreme flash drought in 2022 was assessed by comparing its characteristics and impacts with those of three typical dry years. Additionally, the driving factors of the 2022 flash drought were evaluated from multiple perspectives. Results indicate that the new identification method for flash droughts is reasonable and reliable. In recent years, the frequency and duration of flash droughts have significantly increased, with the Dongting Lake and Poyang Lake basins being particularly affected. Spring and summer were identified as peak seasons for flash droughts, with the middle reaches most affected in spring, while summer droughts tend to impact the entire basin. Compared to 2006, 2011, and 2013, the flash drought in 2022 affected the largest area, with the highest number of grids experiencing two flash drought events and a development rate exceeding 15%. Moreover, the summer heat in 2022 was more extreme than in the other three years, extending from spring to fall, especially during July–August. Its evolution was driven by the Western Pacific Subtropical High, which suppressed precipitation and elevated temperatures. The divergence of water vapor flux intensified water shortages, while anomalies in latent and sensible heat fluxes increased surface evaporation and heat transfer, further disturbing the regional water cycle. This study provides valuable insights for flash drought monitoring and early warning in the context of a changing climate.

Warming Asian Drylands Inducing the Delayed Retreat of East Asian Summer Monsoon and Intensifying Autumn Precipitation in Northern China

AbstractIn the early 21st century, there was an increase in precipitation during the retreat period of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM). This study aims to explore the precipitation changes and their possible causes in the context of climate change. The findings indicate that the increased precipitation primarily occurred in the Yellow—Huai River valley during the early autumn. This corresponds to a delayed retreat of the EASM with a northward shift of 0.9°N after 2002. Notably, this anomalous changes in the EASM are associated with the significant warming in two Asian dryland regions. The warming of the central Asian dryland strengthens the midlatitude high‐pressure belt and the anomaly anticyclone over northeast Asia, which restrains the development of wave troughs and westerly cold air activity. Similarly, the warming China‐Mongolia dryland enhances the anomaly anticyclone over northeast Asia through the dry soil moisture feedback and reduced latitudinal temperature gradient. These two Asian drylands thereby hold the northward shift of the westerly jet stream and the northwest extension of the Japan Sea high and the western Pacific subtropical high. These changes result in maintaining the northward EASM circulation and driving the northwest water vapor flux from the northwest Pacific, leading to moisture convergence in northern China. The China‐Mongolia dryland warming also increases the land‐sea thermal contrast, which induces a dipole pattern over East Asia and drives the northward water vapor flux from the South Sea. As a result, the rapidly warming drylands restrict westerly activity and EASM retreat, ultimately leading to increased precipitation.

Investigating the performance of direct contact membrane distillation for liquid desiccant regeneration and freshwater production: A CFD-based study

Liquid desiccant air conditioning (LDAC) systems offer a promising solution for enhancing indoor thermal comfort, air quality, humidity control, and energy efficiency. This study focuses on the critical aspect of regenerating liquid desiccants in LDAC systems, which has the potential to enhance system efficiency and performance significantly. Using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) to model direct contact membrane distillation (DCMD) for liquid desiccant regeneration and freshwater production, this research paves the way for improving the performance of LDAC systems. The DCMD process, which involves mass transfer across a membrane driven by a temperature gradient between the permeate and feed channels, is a key area of exploration in this study. The findings of this study have significant implications for the design and operation of LDAC systems. The impact of feed inlet velocity and temperature on vapor flux for liquid desiccant regeneration is substantial, with increasing the feed inlet temperature leading to a fourfold increase in water vapor flux. Similarly, increasing the feed inlet velocity boosts flux due to enhanced convective heat transfer. Membrane characteristics, such as porosity and thickness, are key determinants of system performance. These findings underscore the importance of optimizing these parameters for efficient liquid desiccant regeneration and freshwater production in LDAC systems, thereby enhancing their overall performance and energy efficiency. Finally, a mathematical model for water vapor flux was developed to investigate water vapor flux as a function of key factors such as inlet temperature, velocity, liquid desiccant concentration, and membrane characteristics.

Study on the genesis and development trend of tropical depressions under different large-scale backgrounds

Based on self-organizing maps (SOM), large-scale backgrounds associated with tropical depression (TD) genesis over the western North Pacific (WNP) in 1949–2021 are classified into four circulation patterns, monsoon gyre (MG) pattern, monsoon confluence (MC) pattern, monsoon trough (MT) pattern and easterly wave (EW) pattern. TDs generated in the MC pattern has the southernmost average genesis location and the highest development probability, while TDs occurred in the EW pattern are averagely located northernmost and their probability of development is the lowest. TDs formed in the MG, MT and EW patterns are most active in August, whereas in the MC pattern, TD genesis number peaks in October. Advantageous conditions for TD genesis vary in different circulation patterns. The vigorous vorticity "embryo" provides stronger initial disturbances for MG pattern; The strong upper-level divergence and the weak deep-layer VWS provide sufficient dynamic conditions for the MC pattern; The MT pattern possess the highest SST, which supplies an ample supply of heat and moisture; The EW pattern has less beneficial conditions compared with other three patterns. The Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) method is applied to quantify the relative importance of individual factors to TD development trend. 500-hPa vorticity, 200-hPa divergence and SST are major dynamic and thermal affecting factors for TD development, the importance of which all ranked at top four in the four patterns; VWS plays an indispensable role in TD development for the MC and EW patterns; Comparely,850-hPa vorticity and vertically integrated water vapor flux are not as important as above environmental factors in deciding whether a TD develops.

Ground-Based MAX-DOAS Observations for Spatiotemporal Distribution and Transport of Atmospheric Water Vapor in Beijing

Understanding the spatiotemporal distribution and transport of atmospheric water vapor in urban areas is crucial for improving mesoscale models and weather and climate predictions. This study employs Multi-Axis Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy to monitor the dynamic distribution and transport flux of water vapor in Beijing within the tropospheric layer (0–4 km) from June 2021 to May 2022. The seasonal peaks in precipitable water occur in August, reaching 39.13 mm, with noticeable declines in winter. Water vapor was primarily distributed below 2.0 km and generally decreases with increasing altitude. The largest water vapor transport flux occurs in the southeast–northwest direction, whereas the smallest occurs in the southwest–northeast direction. The maximum flux, observed at about 1.2 km in the southeast–northwest direction during summer, reaches 31.77 g/m2/s (transported towards the southeast). Before continuous rainfall events, water vapor transport, originating primarily from the southeast, concentrates below 1 km. Backward trajectory analysis indicates that during the rainy months, there was a higher proportion of southeasterly winds, especially at lower altitudes, with air masses from the southeast at 500 m accounting for 69.11%. This study shows the capabilities of MAX-DOAS for remote sensing water vapor and offers data support for enhancing weather forecasting and understanding urban climatic dynamics.

A case study of the “21.7” Henan extremely rainfall event: From the perspective of water vapor monitored with GNSS tomography

Water vapor plays a vital role in the development of heavy rainfall system. The “21.7” Henan rainfall event, a record-breaking event, was investigated from the perspective of water vapor based on in-situ measurements, namely the 220 continuously operating GNSS ground stations in Henan Province, with GNSS tomography technique. Results showed that during and after the heavy rainfall, the error RMS of water vapor density from tomography was 21 % lower than that of GFS prediction data at the height of about 1450 m by comparing with radiosonde data. Taking ERA5 as the reference, the average relative error of tomographic water vapor density at the height below 4 km was within 10 % before and during the rainfall. The analyses of spatiotemporal variations of water vapor illustrated that tomographic products can, compared to ERA5 reanalysis data, more distinctly reflect the formation and convergence process of low-level water vapor bands before the occurrence of the extreme rainfall, as well as the fracture of the water vapor bands before the end of the rainfall. By combining the tomographic water vapor and GFS wind field data, the water vapor flux divergence can be calculated to further elucidate the movement of water vapor where significant variations of water vapor at the height of 10 to12 km (near the tropopause) and 1 to 4 km in both the vertical and horizontal directions were found before the extreme precipitation.

Process-Oriented Compound Long-Duration Dry and Hot Events in China: Atmospheric Conditions, Moisture, and Heat Budget Analyses

Abstract Summertime compound dry and hot events pose severe threats to agricultural production and human health, especially those with a long duration. Considering the joint evolution of such hazards in space and time, spatiotemporal compound long-duration dry and hot (SLDDH) events in China during 1961–2022 are identified with a process-oriented method. Here, we investigate the associated large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns and the physical processes causing their precipitation and temperature anomalies. In all regions of China, this persistent dry–hot compound extreme is accompanied by anomalous high pressure systems along with enhanced descending motion, increased net surface solar radiation, and decreased water vapor flux convergence. Moisture budget diagnosis shows that precipitation deficits during the SLDDH events are produced primarily by the suppressed vertical moisture advection associated with the dynamical contribution of anomalous subsidence, while the thermodynamic process due to the anomaly in atmospheric moisture content makes a small contribution. Horizontal temperature advection generally plays a negative role in sustaining SLDDH events, while it helps trigger the events in North China. In most regions, adiabatic warming due to abnormal subsidence plays a dominant role in determining the near-surface high temperatures during the long-lasting warm and dry periods, whereas diabatic heating has a cooling or small effect therein. However, in some northern areas such as North China and northern Xinjiang, hot extremes during SLDDH events arise from a combination of diabatic heating and adiabatic warming. This study thus quantifies and reveals the crucial factors leading to the severity of compound dry and hot events.

Intercomparison of fast airborne ozone instruments to measure eddy covariance fluxes: spatial variability in deposition at the ocean surface and evidence for cloud processing

Abstract. The air–sea exchange of ozone (O3) is controlled by chemistry involving halogens, dissolved organic carbon, and sulfur in the sea surface microlayer. Calculations also indicate faster ozone photolysis at aqueous surfaces, but the role of clouds as an ozone sink is currently not well established. Fast-response ozone sensors offer opportunities to measure eddy covariance (EC) ozone fluxes in the marine boundary layer. However, intercomparisons of fast airborne O3 sensors and EC O3 fluxes measured on aircraft have not been conducted before. In April 2022, the Technological Innovation Into Iodine and GV Environmental Research (TI3GER) field campaign deployed three fast ozone sensors (gas chemiluminescence and a combination of UV absorption with coumarin chemiluminescence detection, CID) together with a fast water vapor sensor and anemometer to study iodine chemistry in the troposphere and stratosphere over Colorado and over the Pacific Ocean near Hawaii and Alaska. Here, we present an instrument comparison between the NCAR Fast O3 instrument (FO3, gas-phase CID) and two KIT Fast AIRborne Ozone instruments (FAIRO, UV absorption and coumarin CID). The sensors have comparable precision < 0.4 % Hz−0.5 (0.15 ppbv Hz−0.5), and ozone volume mixing ratios (VMRs) generally agreed within 2 % over a wide range of environmental conditions: 10 < O3 < 1000 ppbv, below detection < NOx < 7 ppbv, and 2 ppmv < H2O < 4 % VMR. Both instrument designs are demonstrated to be suitable for EC flux measurements and were able to detect O3 fluxes with exchange velocities (defined as positive for upward) as slow as −0.010 ± 0.004 cm s−1, which is in the lower range of previously reported measurements. Additionally, we present two case studies. In one, the direction of ozone and water vapor fluxes was reversed (vO3 = +0.134 ± 0.005 cm s−1), suggesting that overhead evaporating clouds could be a strong ozone sink. Further work is needed to better understand the role of clouds as a possibly widespread sink of ozone in the remote marine boundary layer. In the second case study, vO3 values are negative (varying by a factor of 6–10 from −0.036 ± 0.006 to −0.003 ± 0.004 cm s−1), while the water vapor fluxes are consistently positive due to evaporation from the ocean surface and spatially homogeneous. This case study demonstrates that the processes governing ozone and water vapor fluxes can become decoupled and illustrates the need to elucidate possible drivers (physical, chemical, or biological) of the variability in ozone exchange velocities on fine spatial scales (∼ 20 km) over remote oceans.

Comparative analysis of FAO dual Kc, Priestley‐Taylor and flux variance similarity methods in partitioning evapotranspiration from flood‐irrigated rice fields

AbstractAccurate quantification of evapotranspiration (ET) and its bifurcation into productive transpiration (T) and unproductive evaporation (E) are essential for the successful implementation of sustainable irrigation practices. This study compares the performances of three distinct methods for partitioning ET into E and T fluxes from flood‐irrigated rice fields. These methods include: i) the FAO dual Kc‐ETo model, which utilizes Penman–Monteith (PM) estimates of reference ET and crop‐specific scaling factors; ii) the Priestley‐Taylor (PT) method, which relies on radiation‐driven energy balance at the canopy surface; and iii) the flux variance similarity (FVS) method, which utilizes high‐frequency eddy covariance (EC) measurements of carbon and water vapour fluxes. Meteorological, phenological and hydrological parameters were monitored over two winter seasons in a paddy field, replicating site‐specific management strategies. The cumulative ETs obtained from the PM, PT and FVS methods were 445 mm, 300 mm and 356 mm, respectively, for season 1 and 428 mm, 321 mm and 375 mm, respectively, for season 2. The accuracy of the ET estimation and partition methods was assessed against independent measurements of ET and E using a lysimeter and a microlysimeter. The results demonstrated that the EC‐based FVS method offers superior accuracy in both quantifying (R2 = 0.67, RMSE = 0.70 mm) and partitioning (R2 = 0.51, RMSE = 0.76 mm) ET fluxes, followed by the PM‐based FAO dual Kc‐ETo and PT methods. Evaporation accounted for 29 ± 5% of consumptive water use, highlighting an opportunity for the implementation of water‐saving strategies, particularly during vegetative and transplantation stages. The findings of the path analysis indicate that vegetative and radiation factors influence ET variation, while meteorological and soil factors significantly impact T variation.

Drying model and drying characteristic analysis of multiphase porous medium for flake materials

The main purpose of this paper is to optimize the drying process and gain a fundamental understanding of the movement of different phases during the drying process of cigarette flakes. Therefore, the drying model of a multiphase porous medium for cigarette flakes has been established in this paper. Binary diffusion of water vapor and gas pressure transport, as well as capillary diffusion of liquid water and gas pressure transport, are considered in this model. The non-equilibrium equations are used to calculate the evaporation rate, and the fluxes of water vapor and liquid water are also obtained. The results indicated that the stochastic stacking model is suitable for studying cigarette flake drying. Because water evaporation absorbs more heat than hot air, the temperature of the cigarette flakes decreases during the drying process. The water activity, vapor density, and vapor mole fraction of the medium layer of cigarette flakes were significantly higher than those of the upper and lower layers. The highest water vapor and liquid water fluxes occur in the medium of the drying process. Additionally, it was observed that the saturated vapor pressure was higher than the equilibrium vapor pressure and steam pressure, non-equilibrium evaporation occurs in the medium of drying. The correlation between the evaporation rate and the drying temperature and humidity of the cigarette flakes was found to be positive.

Modeling Across Scales of Heavy Precipitation With a Global Variable‐Resolution Model: A Case Study of a Catastrophic Event in China

AbstractAn unprecedented heavy rainfall event in China (“21.7” extreme rainfall event) was simulated using the global variable‐resolution model (MPAS‐Atmosphere) across the scales (4, 8, 16 and 50 km). Although almost all experiments at different resolutions reproduce the spatiotemporal characteristics of precipitation, the simulated precipitation intensity from high to low is 16, 8, 50, and 4 km, with the 16 km simulation being closest to the observations. Precipitation magnitude is prominently influenced by the difference in simulated large‐scale circulation across a range of grid spacings. Further analysis revealed that the differences in latent heating across scales affect the geopotential height and wind field by altering temperature. The latent heating in 4 km simulation is the minimum while the 16 km simulation is maximum. More latent heating release leads to the low‐level pressure depression, amplifies the water vapor flux convergence, produces stronger upward motion and more clouds, and ultimately results in stronger precipitation. The sensitivity experiments for turning off latent heating tendencies during the event showed that the latent heat release has positive feedback on the “21.7” heavy rainfall event. This study highlights the importance of scale‐awareness of latent heat at different resolutions and suggests that the difference in simulated latent heat release during the event is the main reason for simulated different atmospheric circulation and precipitation across scales.

Relationships between Precipitation and Elevation in the Southeastern Tibetan Plateau during the Active Phase of the Indian Monsoon

The precipitation gradient (PG) is a crucial parameter for watershed hydrological models. Analysis of daily precipitation and elevation data from 30 stations in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau (SETP) during the active phase of the Indian monsoon reveals distinct patterns. Below 3000 m, precipitation generally decreases with increasing altitude. Between 3000 and 4000 m, precipitation patterns are more complex; in western regions, precipitation increases with elevation, whereas in eastern regions, it decreases. Above 4000 m, up to the highest observation point of 4841 m, precipitation continues to decrease with elevation, with a more pronounced decline beyond a critical height. In the SETP, PGs for LYR and NYR are positive, at 11.3 ± 2.7 mm/100 m and 17.3 ± 3.8 mm/100 m, respectively. Conversely, PLZB exhibits a negative PG of −22.3 ± 4.2 mm/100 m. The Yarlung Zangbo River (YLZBR) water vapor channel plays a significant role in these PGs, with the direction and flux of water vapor potentially influencing both the direction and magnitude of the PG. Additional factors such as precipitation intensity, the number of precipitation days, precipitation frequency, and station selection also significantly impact the PG. Notable correlations between elevation and variables such as the number of precipitation days, non-precipitation days, and precipitation intensity. The precipitation intensity gradients (PIGs) are 0.06 ± 0.02 mm/d/100 m, 0.11 ± 0.04 mm/d/100 m, and −0.18 ± 0.04 mm/d/100 m for the three catchments, respectively. Future research should incorporate remote sensing data and expand site networks, particularly in regions above 5000 m, to enhance the accuracy of precipitation–elevation relationship assessments, providing more reliable data for water resource simulation and disaster warning.

Fabrication of cellulose nanocrystals-incorporated dense Janus membranes for enhanced desalination and oily saline wastewater treatment via membrane distillation

Conventional hydrophobic membranes used in membrane distillation (MD) face significant challenges, such as severe membrane fouling and wetting, when treating surfactant-containing oily wastewater. Current strategies to modify surfaces for anti-fouling and anti-wetting purposes are often complex and time consuming, potentially compromising the flux in MD. This study investigates the characteristics and performance of novel fabricated Janus membranes for the treatment of oily hypersaline wastewater in membrane distillation applications. Janus membranes, which have a dense polyamide layer containing cellulose nanocrystal nanoparticles, were synthesized using the reverse interfacial polymerization (R–IP) method on a polyvinylidene fluoride (PVDF) substrate. Characterization using scanning electron microscopy (SEM), atomic force microscopy (AFM), Fourier transform infrared spectrometry (FTIR), X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS), water contact angle (WCA) revealed that the modified Janus membranes exhibited an enhanced hydrophilicity and structural integrity due to the incorporation of cellulose nanocrystal nanoparticles. The fabricated membranes showed a dense surface layer without visible pores or cracks, with micron-scale patterned structures and widely distributed wrinkles, particularly at higher concentrations of cellulose nanocrystal nanoparticles. The desalination performance was evaluated in an air gap membrane distillation setup, where the modified Janus membranes demonstrated higher water vapor fluxes and stable salt rejection, even in the presence of surfactants. The wettability and fouling resistance of the Janus membranes were evaluated, with the PVDF-RIP0.5C membrane showing the highest hydrophilicity and underwater oleophobicity, thereby preventing oil adhesion and membrane fouling. These results underline the potential of Janus membranes with incorporated cellulose nanocrystal nanoparticles for efficient desalination and treatment of oily saline wastewater in the MD process.

Influence of autumn soil moisture over Kalimantan Island on following winter precipitation over southern China

AbstractThe atmospheric activity on Kalimantan Island (KI) is important for regulating regional weather and climate. This study investigates the effect of autumn soil moisture over KI on following winter precipitation over southern China (SC) during 1968–2014. The results show that the autumn soil moisture over the KI has a significant negative correlation with subsequent winter precipitation over SC. The correlation remains statistically significant when using partial correlation to filter out the concurrent influences of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) signals. The soil moisture anomalies over KI, which initiate in the autumn and persist into the winter, lead to changes in local thermal conditions and atmospheric temperature. Negative soil moisture anomalies over KI will result in positive heating anomalies of the atmosphere above the land surface. This atmospheric heating causes ascending motion, which creates a semi‐closed vertical circulation from KI to the tropical northwest Pacific. This vertical circulation would strengthen the northwest Pacific anticyclone and weaken the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM). Consequently, southwesterly water vapour flux prevails in the SC as well as the South China Sea (SCS), facilitating the transportation of more water vapour into the SC. Simultaneously, water vapour convergence in the SC. Collectively, these contribute to an addition of precipitation over SC.

Interannual variation of summer southwest monsoon rainfall over the monsoon core regions of the eastern Bay of Bengal and its relationship with oceans

The study looked at how summer monsoon rainfall in the eastern Bay of Bengal area changes from year to year due to Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) and El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Study used rainfall data and sea surface temperature data to see these variations. It's found that during ENSO positive phase, rainfall decreased in the eastern coastal region of the Bay of Bengal but increased in the northern Indo-Myanmar region. The opposite happened during ENSO negative phase. The study used a special analysis method called EOF and Morlet wavelet power-spectrum analysis to look for important patterns in the rainfall data and did correlation analysis to understand what causes abnormal rainfall in these regions. The study also found that the local convection and water vapor flux during ENSO positive phase are related to the anomalous rainfall in the Monsoon Core region. Rainfall is made stronger by the unusual anticyclone circulation in the upper troposphere. A strong/weak Mainland Indochina southwest monsoon (MSwM) in the positive or negative phase of ENSO can bring excess/less moisture to wet/dry the local southwest summer rainfall. In northern Indo-Myanmar, the anomalous rainfall is not only relied on the intensity of the MSwM but also the frequency of western disturbances also influences the regional rainfall, and further study need to develop.

The Wave-Coherent Stress and Turbulent Structure over Swell Waves

Abstract The generation of ocean surface waves by wind has been studied for a century, giving rise to wave forecasting and other crucial applications. However, the reacting force of swell waves on the turbulence in the marine atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) remains unknown partly due to the unclear magnitude and profile of wave-coherent (WC) stress. In this study, the intersection frequency between the energy-containing range and inertial subrange range in the turbulent spectra is identified based on the attached eddy model (AEM), as the intersection modulated by swell wave could help to comprehend the physical process between the ocean surface wave and the marine ABL. Using observations from a fixed platform located in the South China Sea, this study shows that the intersection when the WC stress accounts for a lower proportion of the total wind stress (<10%) follows U/(2πz) given by AEM, where U is the wind speed and z is the height. While the intersection depends on the drag coefficient of WC stress for the case, WC stress accounts for a large part of the total wind stress (>10%). Considering the unclear magnitude and profile of WC stress, this study derives a new function to depict the WC stress. Significance Statement Turbulence located in the energy-containing range of the spectra is the primary source of momentum, heat, and water vapor fluxes between the ocean and marine atmospheric boundary layer (ABL). Thus, a better understanding of the turbulent structure within the wave boundary layer can help us accurately parameterize those fluxes. In addition to absorbing energy from the marine ABL, waves, especially swell waves, influence the turbulent structure. However, until now, the turbulent structure is unclear due to the unclear wave-coherent stress size and profile. In this study, a function that can depict the wave-coherent stress is proposed. We found that the wave-coherent stress can modulate the intersection between the energy-containing range and the inertial subrange range in the turbulent spectra.

Drying and wetting trend in Xinjiang and related circulations background over the past 60 years

The study of climate variability and trend provides important evidence for water resource management strategies in Xinjiang. The scientific community has systematically studied the ‘warming and wetting’ process in the Xinjiang region. However, significant controversy persists regarding whether this trend has stagnated, and there remains a gap in understanding the decadal climate variability across different seasons within the subregions of Xinjiang. Here, we analyzed the spatiotemporal characteristics of seasonal-to-annual climate variations in Southern and Northern Xinjiang over the past 60 years by the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI-3) and identified the change points of mean and trend changes in the SPEI series and further explored the atmospheric circulation patterns before and after the transition from dry/wet conditions. Specifically, although the mean change point test indicated a wetter climate after 1986 at both the annual and seasonal scales, the trend analysis showed a shift from wet to dry from 1996, which has persisted until the present. There were significant interdecadal features in the spatial distribution of SPEI. Xinjiang exhibited a predominantly dry pattern from 1961 to 1980, which changed to a wetter pattern from 1981 to 2000, Xinjiang experienced its wettest decade from 1991 to 2000, and the whole region returned to a drier pattern from 2001 to 2020. From the annual and seasonal variation, the rate of change is greater in the south, with stronger change amplitude in summer and autumn and a higher frequency of anomalous SPEI. The results of the atmospheric circulation analysis demonstrated that the net water vapor flux in the Xinjiang region increased by about 8.30 g·kg−1·m·s−1 in the period 1987–2020 compared to 1961–1986 due to the combined interaction of high-, mid-, and low-latitude systems with the Central Asian low-pressure system. The results indicated a sharp increase in aridification in Xinjiang, providing valuable insights for disaster prevention, mitigation, and risk management related to regional drought hazards.