Fitting Ability Research Articles

Non-destructive measurement of the dispersion of High-density polyethylene/Polystyrene blends using near-infrared diffuse reflectance spectroscopy based on deep learning

The dispersion of polymer blends significantly influences their overall performance. However, current methods for characterizing dispersion are destructive and time-consuming. In this study, a near-infrared (NIR) regression model was first developed for the measurement of cumulative particle size distribution function (CDF) of dispersed particles in polymer blends, thus indirectly and quantitively characterizing dispersion. High-density Polyethylene/Polystyrene (HDPE/PS) with varying dispersed particle sizes were prepared by adjusting the content of PS, flow field intensity during processing, and viscosity ratio between HDPE and PS. Scanning electron microscopy (SEM) was used to provide reference particle size values for calibrating the NIR data. Deep-learning methods were used for the model building. Compared to traditional partial least-square regression, deep learning methods demonstrated superior fitting ability, The best-performing model, an MLP with three hidden layers, achieved an coefficient of determination (R2) of approximately 0.93 on the independent test set. The predicted CDFs closely matched the actual values, with no significant deviations observed. This study provides a non-destructive and time-saving new method for characterizing the dispersion of polymer blends.

High-resolution acoustic-impedance inversion based on a deep-learning-aided representation model of nonstationary seismic data

Building a high-resolution acoustic-impedance (AI) model based on nonstationary seismic data plays a key role in reservoir predictions. However, the common AI inversion methods are faced with two main shortcomings. First, because of the nonstationary feature of seismic data, a multiparameter inverse problem should be considered to not only estimate AI but also to estimate a time-varying wavelet or a quality factor ( Q) model, leading the problem to be more ill posed. Second, the resolution of the estimated AI is limited due to the band-limited nature of nonstationary seismic data. To address these issues, we develop a new nonstationary seismic AI inversion method. Notably, we develop a deep-learning-aided representation model to replace the nonstationary convolution model to solve the forward problem in inversion. Benefiting from multisource information (seismic data and well-log data) and the powerful nonlinear function fitting ability of deep learning, this model can map high-resolution AI to band-limited nonstationary seismic data without requiring a time-varying wavelet or a Q model. A new deep-learning architecture is developed for processing the spatio-temporal seismic data with better accuracy. In addition, total-variation regularization is adopted to enforce a physically reasonable AI model. The results of our 3D synthetic and field data experiments clearly demonstrate that our method has significant advantages over other common methods in building a high-resolution AI model.

A deep-learning-based approach for simulating pedestrian turning flow

The applications of artificial intelligence technology in pedestrian and evacuation dynamics research have achieved gratifying progress recent years. Benefiting from the non-linear fitting ability of deep learning algorithm, such learning-based method might have better performance in modeling the individual micro behaviors comparing to traditional pedestrian and evacuation dynamics models. Hence, this paper proposes a deep-learning-based pedestrian dynamics model which can simulate the pedestrian flow in right-angled corridors. The training process is conducted with a deep learning framework composed of two functional layers namely Scene Perception layer (SP layer) and Motion Dynamic layer (MD layer). The input features of the SP layer and MD layer are obtained from a defined ‘sense field’ which captures information about walking facility structures and neighbors. Dataset generated from twelve groups of pedestrian turning flow experiments is used for data training. The initial experiments are further adopted to evaluate the model at both qualitative and quantitative level from pedestrian motion data simulated by trained model. Qualitatively, the simulation results align with the corresponding experiments in terms of fundamental diagrams in different measurement areas and the headway distance-velocity relationship, demonstrating realistic motion characteristics, proper reactions to changeable walking facility structures and collision avoidance tendencies of agents driven by our model. For quantitative evaluation of the model precision, two indicators respectively calculate the duration and trajectory disparities are introduced and both of them yield relatively small values. Moreover, eight groups of external experiments completely independent from training data are introduced to validate the generalization ability of our model, the simulation results are found to match reality well without prior knowledge. The proposed framework presented is a success trial for simulating pedestrian turning flow and have the potential to be adapted to different scenarios. Outcomes presented will be of beneficial guidance for different engineering application such as performance-based fire design and crowd management.

A hybrid BiLSTM-CNN deep learning model for Chinese sentiment analysis of online car reviews

Although sentiment analysis with datasets in English has achieved significant progress, there are still relatively few studies on sentiment analysis in the area of Chinesecar review texts. In addition, the existing Chinese text sentiment analysis methods cannot simultaneously extract the contextual features and the local semantic information from the review texts. To address the above issues, a hybrid deep learning model namely BiLSTM-CNN was designed and validated with Chinese car review texts. We trained word vectors with the CBOW model by combining the Chinese Wikipedia corpus with other open-source car-related corpora. Such word vectors include car-specific vocabulary, which improves sentimental classification accuracy. Experimental results show that the performance indices of the deep learning models (CNN, LSTM, BiLSTM) are much better than the KNN, SVM, Naïve Bayes, and RF model, which is attributed to deep learning's powerful feature extraction ability and nonlinear fitting ability. Furthermore, when compared to deep learning models such as CNN, LSTM, BiLSTM, and LSTM-CNN, the suggested hybrid BiLSTM-CNN model outperformed the others. The results may provide references for consumers to buy a car and for car companies to optimize their products.

Distribution Characteristics of Trichiurus japonicus and Their Relationships with Environmental Factors in the East China Sea and South-Central Yellow Sea

The largehead hairtail (Trichiurus japonicus) is the most productive fish caught in China. In order to understand the seasonal distribution of T. japonicus in the East China Sea and the central and southern parts of the Yellow Sea, three species distribution models were used in this study, namely the random-forest model, K-nearest-neighbor algorithm, and gradient-ascending decision-tree model, based on the data of trawling surveys in the East China Sea and central and southern parts of the Yellow Sea from 2008 to 2009. Combined with a variance inflation factor and cross-check, a distribution model of T. japonicus was screened and constructed to analyze the influence of environmental factors on the distribution of T. japonicus in the East China Sea and central and southern parts of the Yellow Sea. The results showed that the random-forest model had the advantages of fitting effect and prediction ability among the three models. The analysis of this model showed that the water depth, bottom water temperature, and surface salinity had a great influence on the habitat distribution of T. japonicus. The relative resources of T. japonicus increased with the increase of bottom water temperature, reached the maximum at 23.8 °C, and first increased and then decreased with the increase of water depth and surface salinity, reaching the maximum when water depth is 72 m and surface salinity is 31.2%. This study also used the random-forest model to predict the spatial distribution of T. japonicus in the central and southern waters of the East China Sea and south-central Yellow Sea from 2008 to 2009, and the results showed that the predicted results were close to the actual situation. The research results can provide a reference for the exploitation and protection of T. japonicus resources in the East China Sea and the south-central Yellow Sea.

An Improved Neural Network Algorithm for Energy Consumption Forecasting

Accurate and efficient forecasting of energy consumption is a crucial prerequisite for effective energy planning and policymaking. The BP neural network has been widely used in forecasting, machine learning, and various other fields due to its nonlinear fitting ability. In order to improve the prediction accuracy of the BP neural network, this paper introduces the concept of forecast lead time and establishes a mathematical model accordingly. Prior to training the neural network, the input layer data are preprocessed based on the forecast lead time model. The training and forecasting results of the BP neural network when and when not considering forecast lead time are compared and verified. The findings demonstrate that the forecast lead time model can significantly improve the prediction speed and accuracy, proving to be highly applicable for short-term energy consumption forecasting.

Quantitative physics-physiology relationship modeling of human emotional response to Shu music.

Music perception is one of the most complex human neurophysiological phenomena invoked by sensory stimuli, which infers an internal representation of the structured events present in a piece of music and then forms long-term echoic memory for the music. An intrinsic relationship between the basic acoustic property (physics) of music and human emotional response (physiology) to the music is suggested, which can be statistically modeled and explained by using a novel notion termed as quantitative physics-physiology relationship (QPPR). Here, we systematically analyzed the complex response profile of people to traditional/ancient music in the Shu area, a geographical concept located in the Southwest China and one of three major origins of the Chinese nation. Chill was utilized as an indicator to characterize the response strength of 18 subjects to an in-house compiled repertoire of 86 music samples, consequently creating a systematic subject-to-sample response (SSTSR) profile consisting of 1,548 (18 × 86) paired chill elements. The multivariate statistical correlation of measured chill values with acoustic features and personal attributes was modeled by using random forest (RF) regression in a supervised manner, which was compared with linear partial least square (PLS) and non-linear support vector machine (SVM). The RF model exhibits possessed strong fitting ability (r F 2 = 0.857), good generalization capability (r P 2 = 0.712), and out-of-bag (OOB) predictability (r O 2 = 0.731) as compared to SVM and, particularly, PLS, suggesting that the RF-based QPPR approach is able to explain and predict the emotional change upon musical arousal. It is imparted that there is an underlying relationship between the acoustic physical property of music and the physiological reaction of the audience listening to the music, in which the rhythm contributes significantly to emotional response relative to timbre and pitch. In addition, individual differences, characterized by personal attributes, is also responsible for the response, in which gender and age are most important.

Comparative Study of Water Quality Prediction Methods Based on Different Artificial Neural Network

The prediction of future data using existing data is an effective tool for regional planning and watershed management. The back propagation neural network （BPNN） and convolutional neural network （CNN） were used to construct a prediction model based on the water quality index of Hengyang in Xiangjiang River Basin from April to May 2022 and the results of permanganate index prediction by different models were compared. The prediction results displayed by BPNN could predict the water quality； however, overfitting occurred during the prediction. BPNN modified by particle swarm optimization （PSO） could avoid overfitting, which improved the parameter selection method of the BPNN mode. The CNN model had a better prediction effect, which had a more complex structure and a more scientific fitting method to avoid the model falling into the local extreme value during the fitting process and improve the accuracy of the model prediction results. The evaluation parameters including root-mean-square error （RMSE）, coefficient of determination （R2）, and mean absolute error （MAE） were used to predict the accuracy of the network. Compared with that of the traditional BPNN model, PSO-BPNN reduced the RESM of the test set from 0.278 2 mg·L-1 to 0.210 9 mg·L-1, reduced the MAE of the test set from 0.222 3 mg·L-1 to 0.153 7 mg·L-1 and increased the R2 of the test set from 0.864 0 to 0.921 8, which indicated that PSO-BPNN had more stable fitting ability. RMSE, MAE, and R2 of the test set in the CNN model were 0.122 0 mg·L-1, 0.092 7 mg·L-1, and 0.970 5, respectively, which showed that CNN had a better fitting and prediction effect than that of BPNN.

Exploration and Design of Carbon Dot-Based Long Afterglow Materials Using Active Machine Learning and Quantum Chemical Simulations.

Long afterglow materials based on carbon dots (CDs) have attracted extensive attention in the field of optics due to their low cost and nontoxic properties. However, the targeted synthesis of specific properties of complex and unknown structures such as CDs remains a daunting challenge. In this study, the powerful nonlinear fitting ability of machine learning was used to explore the afterglow properties of CDs. The XGBoost algorithm demonstrates high prediction accuracy in determining the optimal excitation wavelength, optimal emission wavelength, and afterglow lifetime. Using Bayesian optimization, we screened and synthesized the CDs-based long afterglow materials with the longest lifetime reported so far by a one-step microwave method. By combining quantum chemical calculations with experimental data, we revealed the structure-function relationship between CDs and their precursors through electron-hole analysis. These results show that machine learning can establish nonlinear correlations between precursors and materials with unknown structures, clarify their intrinsic relationships, simplify the material design process, and thus accelerate the development of advanced materials.

Predicting fatigue life of multi-defect materials using the fracture mechanics-based physics-informed neural network framework

To address the limitations of traditional methods (such as the S-N curves and Paris’s law) in evaluating the fatigue life of multi-defect materials, this study developed a fracture mechanics-based physics-informed neural network (PINN) to predict the lifetime of multi-defect materials using cyclic loading (Δσ) and the equivalent damage area (AD). Influences of multiple defects were unified characterized through the equivalent damage area, which was calculated based on the M−integral fatigue model. This model reflects the energy evolution of multi-defect fatigue damage. By embedding the prior knowledge of fracture mechanics derived from the M−integral fatigue model into the loss function of PINN, crucial physical information was captured during the training progress, enhancing the interpretability of the neural network. By integrating the advantage of the M−integral fatigue model in characterizing the fatigue performance of multi-defect materials and the nonlinear fitting ability of neural networks, the proposed approach effectively improves the generalization ability and predictive accuracy of limited fatigue data. The presented PINN models accurately forecast the fatigue life of multi-defect materials, with a squared correlation coefficient (R2) exceeding 0.9. The presented methodological framework addresses the existing gap in methods for evaluating the fatigue performance of multi-defect materials and reliance on fatigue testing.

Construction and verification of pancreatic fistula risk prediction model after pancreaticoduodenectomy based on ensemble machine learning

Objective: To construct an ensemble machine learning model for predicting the occurrence of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) after pancreaticoduodenectomy and evaluate its application value. Methods: This is a research on predictive model. Clinical data of 421 patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy in the Department of Pancreatic Surgery,Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology from June 2020 to May 2023 were retrospectively collected. There were 241 males (57.2%) and 180 females (42.8%) with an age of (59.7±11.0)years (range: 12 to 85 years).The research objects were divided into training set (315 cases) and test set (106 cases) by stratified random sampling in the ratio of 3∶1. Recursive feature elimination is used to screen features,nine machine learning algorithms are used to model,three groups of models with better fitting ability are selected,and the ensemble model was constructed by Stacking algorithm for model fusion. The model performance was evaluated by various indexes,and the interpretability of the optimal model was analyzed by Shapley Additive Explanations(SHAP) method. The patients in the test set were divided into different risk groups according to the prediction probability (P) of the alternative pancreatic fistula risk score system (a-FRS). The a-FRS score was validated and the predictive efficacy of the model was compared. Results: Among 421 patients,CR-POPF occurred in 84 cases (20.0%). In the test set,the Stacking ensemble model performs best,with the area under the curve (AUC) of the subject's work characteristic curve being 0.823,the accuracy being 0.83,the F1 score being 0.63,and the Brier score being 0.097. SHAP summary map showed that the top 9 factors affecting CR-POPF after pancreaticoduodenectomy were pancreatic duct diameter,CT value ratio,postoperative serum amylase,IL-6,body mass index,operative time,albumin difference before and after surgery,procalcitonin and IL-10. The effects of each feature on the occurrence of CR-POPF after pancreaticoduodenectomy showed a complex nonlinear relationship. The risk of CR-POPF increased when pancreatic duct diameter<3.5 mm,CT value ratio<0.95,postoperative serum amylase concentration>150 U/L,IL-6 level>280 ng/L,operative time>350 minutes,and albumin decreased by more than 10 g/L. The AUC of a-FRS in the test set was 0.668,and the prediction performance of a-FRS was lower than that of the Stacking ensemble machine learning model. Conclusion: The ensemble machine learning model constructed in this study can predict the occurrence of CR-POPF after pancreaticoduodenectomy,and has the potential to be a tool for personalized diagnosis and treatment after pancreaticoduodenectomy.

A physics-constrained neural network for predicting excavation-induced ground surface settlement in clay

Accurate prediction of ground surface settlement (GSS) adjacent to an excavation is important to prevent potential damage to the surrounding environment. Previous studies have extensively delved into this topic but all under the limitations of either imprecise theories or insufficient data. In the present study, we proposed a physics-constrained neural network (PhyNN) for predicting excavation-induced GSS to fully integrate the theory of elasticity with observations and make full use of the strong fitting ability of neural networks (NNs). This model incorporates an analytical solution as an additional regularization term in the loss function to guide the training of NN. Moreover, we introduced three trainable parameters into the analytical solution so that it can be adaptively modified during the training process. The performance of the proposed PhyNN model is verified using data from a case study project. Results show that our PhyNN model achieves higher prediction accuracy, better generalization ability, and robustness than the purely data-driven NN model when confronted with data containing noise and outliers. Remarkably, by incorporating physical constraints, the admissible solution space of PhyNN is significantly narrowed, leading to a substantial reduction in the need for the amount of training data. The proposed PhyNN can be utilized as a general framework for integrating physical constraints into data-driven machine-learning models.

A deep spatiotemporal interaction network for multimodal sentimental analysis and emotion recognition

One of the challenges of sentiment analysis and emotion recognition is how to effectively fuse the multimodal inputs. The transformer-based models have achieved great success in applications of multimodal sentiment analysis and emotion recognition recently. However, the transformer-based model often neglects the coherence of human emotion due to its parallel structure. Additionally, a low-rank bottleneck created by multi- attention-head causes an inadequate fitting ability of models. To tackle these issues, a Deep Spatiotemporal Interaction Network (DSIN) is proposed in this study. It consists of two main components, i.e., a cross-modal transformer with a cross-talking attention module and a hierarchically temporal fusion module, where the cross-modal transformer is used to model the spatial interactions between different modalities and the hierarchically temporal fusion network is utilized to model the temporal coherence of emotion. Therefore, the DSIN can model the spatiotemporal interactions of multimodal inputs by incorporating the time-dependency into the parallel structure of transformer and decrease the redundancy of embedded features by implanting their spatiotemporal interactions into a hybrid memory network in a hierarchical manner. The experimental results on two benchmark datasets indicate that DSIN achieves superior performance compared with the state-of-the-art models, and some useful insights are derived from the results.

Classification Model of Grassland Desertification Based on Deep Learning

Grasslands are one of the most important ecosystems on earth, and the impact of grassland desertification on the earth’s environment and ecosystem cannot be ignored. Accurately distinguishing grassland desertification types has important application value. The appropriate grazing strategies can be implemented based on these distinctions. Grassland conservation measures can be tailored accordingly. This contributes to further protecting and restoring grassland vegetation. This project takes color images labeled with the desertification types of grasslands as the research object, uses the currently popular deep learning model as the classification tool, and then establishes a color image-based grassland desertification classification model based on the feature extraction network, based on the Vision Transformer model, by comparing the various deep learning image classification models. The experimental results show that, despite the complex structure and large number of parameters of the grassland desertification classification model obtained in this project, the test accuracy rate reaches 88.72% and the training loss is only 0.0319. Compared with the popular classification models such as VGG16, ResNet50, ResNet101, DenseNet101, DenseNet169, and DenseNet201, and so on, the Vision Transformer demonstrates clear advantages in classification accuracy, fitting ability, and generalization capacity. By integrating with deep learning technology, the model can be applied to grassland management and ecological restoration. Mobile devices can be used to conveniently capture image data, and information can be processed quickly. This provides efficient tools for grazing managers, environmental scientists, and conservation organizations. These tools assist in quickly assessing the extent of grassland desertification, optimizing grassland management and conservation decisions. Furthermore, strong technical support is offered for the ecological restoration and sustainable management of desertification grasslands.

Refrigerant charge estimation method based on data-physic hybrid-driven model for the fault diagnosis of transcritical CO2 heat pump system

The transcritical CO2 heat pump system is a promising and excellent heating scheme. However, the operating pressure of the transcritical CO2 heat pump system is high, and refrigerant leakage is a frequent problem. It is worth noting that the operating principle of CO2 heat pump systems is unique. Thus, conventional refrigerant charge estimation methods for subcritical systems cannot be directly applied to transcritical systems. In this study, a novel refrigerant charge estimation method for the transcritical CO2 heat pump system is proposed. Based on the heat and mass transfer characteristics of the transcritical system, the grey box model constrained by physical laws is constructed. Based on the machine learning algorithm, the correction model of the grey box model is built. The hybrid model combines the advantages of the high generalization ability of the physic-driven model and the nonlinear fitting ability of the data-driven model. The results show that the novel estimation method can accurately predict the refrigerant charge, enabling fault diagnosis of refrigerant leakage. The data-driven correction model can improve the prediction accuracy of the grey box model. The Mean Relative Error of the hybrid-driven model can be controlled within 5 %.

Stacking integrated learning-based inverse design of four-nanopore high-Q all-dielectric metasurface

In this paper, we establish a four-nanophole hollowed out all-dielectric metasurface structure as the object of reverse design, which can realize many types of high Q-value Fano resonance effects through dynamic tuning of a single structure, with Q value up to 4401. We used the time domain finite difference method for data collection, and then select appropriate models according to the characteristics of the data from the perspective of the data itself. We select in small sample prediction excellent support vector regression (SVR), gradient promotion decision tree (GBDT), prediction generalization performance and stability of high random forest (RF) as a base learners, with good nonlinear fitting ability BP neural network (BPNN) yuan learners, establish a fusion model based on Stacking integrated learning strategy. Based on this fusion model, the multi-parameter all-dielectric metasurface structure is reverse designed instead. The results show that the proposed method has high prediction accuracy with an absolute average error of only 0.0043, and excellent average accuracy of 82.5%, 77.9% and 14% compared with the combined model GBDT-SVM-BP, GBDT-RF-BP, and RF-SVM-BP. This study provides a new perspective on the reverse design of all-dielectric metasurface structures.

Three-dimensional grid-free sound source localization method based on deep learning

Sound source localization (SSL) technology is a popular method for identifying the locations of noise sources, which serves as a prerequisite for noise control. Deep learning, as a data-driven tool, shows broad perspectives in the field of SSL with its powerful nonlinear fitting ability. The existing deep learning-based SSL methods only provide a two-dimensional (2D) representation of the sound source location and cannot obtain the specific coordinates of the sound source in three-dimensional (3D) space. Although traditional beamforming methods can be directly generalized to 3D scenes in principle, they suffer from the limitations of insufficient vertical resolution and high computational cost. Therefore, a 3D grid-free SSL method (3DGF) informed by deep learning is suggested in this study to enhance the accuracy and computational efficiency of 3D localization. First, the number of data channels is compressed to respect limited memory resources during the training process. Subsequently, a dense convolutional neural network (DenseNet) model is utilized to obtain the 3D spatial coordinates of the sound source using the processed 3D beamforming map as input. Since the coordinates are continuous and are not constrained by the grid of the beamforming map, the grid-free strategy presents more accurate localization results. Then, the effects of the volume of training data and the compression ratio are analyzed, respectively, in simulation, and the localization performance with different signal-to-noise ratios (SNRs) is also tested. Finally, by comparing 3DGF with DAMAS, both simulation and experimental results demonstrate that 3DGF improves the accuracy and efficacy of 3D localization. Meanwhile, its satisfactory generalization ability and robustness against noise highlight its potential for practical applications.

Spatial Mapping of Soil CO2 Flux in the Yellow River Delta Farmland of China Using Multi-Source OpticalRemote Sensing Data

The spatial prediction of soil CO2 flux is of great significance for assessing regional climate change and high-quality agricultural development. Using a single satellite to predict soil CO2 flux is limited by climatic conditions and land cover, resulting in low prediction accuracy. To this end, this study proposed a strategy of multi-source spectral satellite coordination and selected seven optical satellite remote sensing data sources (i.e., GF1-WFV, GF6-WFV, GF4-PMI, CB04-MUX, HJ2A-CCD, Sentinel 2-L2A, and Landsat 8-OLI) to extract auxiliary variables (i.e., vegetation indices and soil texture features). We developed a tree-structured Parzen estimator (TPE)-optimized extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model for the prediction and spatial mapping of soil CO2 flux. SHapley additive explanation (SHAP) was used to analyze the driving effects of auxiliary variables on soil CO2 flux. A scatter matrix correlation analysis showed that the distributions of auxiliary variables and soil CO2 flux were skewed, and the linear correlations between them (r &lt; 0.2) were generally weak. Compared with single-satellite variables, the TPE-XGBoost model based on multiple-satellite variables significantly improved the prediction accuracy (RMSE = 3.23 kg C ha−1 d−1, R2 = 0.73), showing a stronger fitting ability for the spatial variability of soil CO2 flux. The spatial mapping results of soil CO2 flux based on the TPE-XGBoost model revealed that the high-flux areas were mainly concentrated in eastern and northern farmlands. The SHAP analysis revealed that PC2 and the TCARI of Sentinel 2-L2A and the TVI of HJ2A-CCD had significant positive driving effects on the prediction accuracy of soil CO2 flux. The above results indicate that the integration of multiple-satellite data can enhance the reliability and accuracy of spatial predictions of soil CO2 flux, thereby supporting regional agricultural sustainable development and climate change response strategies.

Urban pluvial flood susceptibility mapping based on a novel explainable machine learning model with synchronous enhancement of fitting capability and explainability

Urban pluvial flood susceptibility mapping aims to identify flood-prone areas in cities. Machine learning methods are increasingly used, but typically face a trade-off between accurate identification of flood-susceptible areas and development of effective local mitigation strategies. To synchronously enhance fitting capability and explainability, this study introduced a novel machine learning model, Residual-Logistic Regression (RES-LR). RES-LR is developed by integrating Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Logistic Regression (LR). The model adopts ANN to form its explainability module, which increases model complexity to ensuring the model’s fitting ability. Meanwhile, the explainability module was incorporated into the LR structure through residual connections to provide parametric expressions for local feature contributions, enabling the identification of key flood conditioning factor by site. The model was applied to the Beijing Metropolitan Area, achieving an accuracy rate exceeding 80% in identifying flooded sites. Based on its local explainability, the model unveiled the diverse flood formation mechanism in the study area and the complex impact of drainage-related factors. These results were informative for formulating site-specific flood mitigation measure. This study represents a significant advancement in the application of explainable machine learning for systematic flood management.

The enhanced fitting ability of a new tangent-apt probabilistic model: Its implementations to the music engineering and reliability phenomena

It is an established and already accomplished fact that probability-based methodologies (or probability/statistical distributions) play the roles of imperative tools in illustrating and describing applied phenomena. Paying attention to these previous facts, this paper considers the evolution of a new probability distribution. Thus, the main achievement of this paper leads to a new probability distribution as a result of combining the exponentiated exponential model with a tangent-based stratagem. The new model is called the tangent exponentiated exponential (TEE) distribution. For the TEE distribution, certain distributional properties and estimators of the model parameters are derived mathematically. The appraisal of the estimators of the TEE distribution is accomplished through a simulation study. Moreover, the applicability and virtuoso of the TEE distribution are exemplified via two data sets, which are taken from the music engineering (named Data 1) and reliability sector (named Data 2). By considering the p-value and three other important statistical tests/methods as diagnostic tools, we find that the TEE distribution is the most useful and optimal model for Data 1 and Data 2 compared to certain candidate probability distributions.