The predictors of clinical evolution after nonaffective first-episode psychosis (NAFEP) have yet to be fully elucidated. It is important to weigh the long-term benefits of maintained antipsychotic (AP) treatment against the risks of relapse upon discontinuation. Between January 2017 and December 2022, we recruited 211 NAFEP patients from the Programa de Primeros Episodios Psicóticos de Navarra (PEPsNa) who achieved clinical remission within two years and continued follow-up. Clinicians recommended discontinuation of antipsychotics for 47 participants, resulting in significantly fewer relapses (10.6%, p≤ 0.05) and a longer relapse-free survival time (95% confidence interval= 16.9 to 18.2 months). For every four individuals out of 72 who voluntarily discontinued APs (in contrast to those who were advised to discontinue APs), there was one more relapse (number needed to harm= 4; p≤ 0.01). Moreover, one additional relapse was prevented for every seven individuals who continued APs instead of voluntarily discontinuing APs (number needed to treat= 7; p≤ 0.05). Lower premorbid risk factors and better clinical profiles, such as shorter DUP, shorter time to remission, good real-world performance, better neurocognitive functioning, lack of a schizophrenia spectrum diagnosis, and a lower average dose of APs led clinicians to recommend AP discontinuation after achieving remission from NAFEP. This guided discontinuation of APs did not lead to a higher risk of relapse, but participants who voluntarily withdrew from treatment had a higher risk of relapse.
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