Fine Scale Research Articles

Regional variation in growth and survival responses to atmospheric nitrogen and sulfur deposition for 140 tree species across the United States

Atmospheric deposition of nitrogen (N) and sulfur (S) alter tree demographic processes via changes in nutrient pools, soil acidification, and biotic interactions. Previous work established tree growth and survival response to atmospheric N and S deposition in the conterminous United States (CONUS) data by species; however, it was not possible to evaluate regional variation in response using that approach. In this study, we develop species- and region-specific relationships for growth and survival responses to N and S deposition for roughly 140 species within spatially demarcated regions of the U.S. We calculated responses to N and S deposition separately for 11 United States Forest Service (USFS) Divisions resulting in a total of 241 and 268 species × Division combinations for growth and survival, respectively. We then assigned these relationships into broad categories of vulnerability and used ordinal logistic regressions to explore the covariates associated with vulnerability in growth and survival to N and S deposition. As with earlier studies, we found growth and survival responses to air pollution differed by species; but new to this study, we found 45%−70% of species responses also varied spatially across regions. The regional variation in species responses was not simply related to atmospheric N and S deposition, but was also associated with regional effects from precipitation, soil pH, mycorrhizal association, and deciduousness. A large amount of the variance remained unexplained (total variation explained ranged from 6.8%−13.8%), suggesting that these or additional factors may operate at finer spatial scales. Taken together, our results demonstrate that regional variation in tree species' response has significant implications for setting critical load targets, as critical loads can now be tailored for specific species at management-relevant scales.

AI-based Validation of Deforestation Using High-Resolution Satellite Imagery in the Brazilian Amazon

Abstract. Forests play an important role in the Earth systems for carbon sequestration and climate change mitigation, yet they have been increasingly disturbed by deforestation and forest degradation at an unprecedented pace. The Brazilian Amazon, for instance, experienced a 140% rise in deforestation from 2012 to 2020, with a record loss of 13,200 km2 between August 2020 and July 2021. Alarmingly, 87% of 2019 deforestation alerts occurred on private properties, with 61% in legally restricted areas. Existing deforestation monitoring systems, such as PRODES and the Global Forest Change dataset, use about 30m resolution satellite imagery, which is insufficient for operational validation at fine scales. The Deforestation Alert System by Imazon leverages high-resolution PlanetScope data (3-4m) but faces challenges due to fewer spectral bands and variations in reflectance values across different satellite sensors and dates. As a result, current validation is based mainly on manual inspection which is highly time-consuming. To address the challenges and automate the validation process, this work develops a system based on deep learning – known for its ability to capture complex texture patterns in high-resolution images – to inspect and confirm new deforestation sites. Specifically, the system takes inputs from potential deforestation sites suggested by coarse-resolution products and uses a pair of PlanetScope images before and after the change at each site to determine new deforestation (excluding existing deforestation). Our results demonstrate that the new system achieves robust and high-quality accuracy under various test conditions.

Temporal relationships between the red fox and the European badger in a Mediterranean protected area

AbstractNiche partitioning according to time, space, or resources is the key to interspecific coexistence. Interactions among carnivore species are complex: interference is common, although positive relationships may develop through trophic facilitation. In turn, different behavioral responses to coexistence may be reported, ranging from avoidance to attraction, the outcome of which is highly dependent on the local environmental context. Here, we evaluated the temporal partitioning by analyzing spatiotemporal relationships between the red fox Vulpes vulpes and the European badger Meles meles in a Mediterranean?protected area for three full years, using intensive camera trapping. The two species showed similar temporal activity patterns, with a nocturnal activity and peaks at dawn and dusk. We found a substantial temporal overlap between red fox and badger (Δ > 0.78, on a 0‐1 scale). However, we detected some differences in temporal activity patterns across these species and no evidence of interspecific spatiotemporal avoidance. Previous work provided no evidence supporting spatial avoidance among the study species. Our results suggest a role of temporal partitioning at a finer scale during the night to facilitate interspecific coexistence.

Exploring the Contribution Roles from Municipal Cities in the Rise in Household CO2 Emissions in China: From a Local Scale Analysis in the Global Context

A major source of carbon dioxide emissions (CO2) arises from the household sector. Recent studies have reported increasing household CO2 emissions (HCO2) in many countries. Cities represent a key administrative level in China and can be managed to mitigate HCO2 if spatial and temporal variations in HCO2 are understood at fine scales. Here, we applied panel data analysis to map HCO2 at a pixel scale of 1 km in China using remotely sensed time series nighttime light data, grid population density data, and provincial energy consumption statistics from 2000 to 2020. Spatial and temporal variations in HCO2 were observed with four growth modes, including high growth (HG), low growth (LG), negative growth (NG), and high negative growth (HNG), for different periods, i.e., 2000–2010, 2010–2020, and 2000–2020. We proposed a local scale analysis of HCO2 growth patterns within a global context to assess the contribution roles of 372 municipal cities to the changes in the national total HCO2 (T-HCO2). The results indicated that T-HCO2 has tripled in the last two decades, but the roles of the contribution to the increase varied among cities. The local scale analysis revealed that more cities contributed to the rise in T-HCO2 through HG and LG than those that suppressed it through NG and HNG. The majority of the cities displayed contributions to the rise in T-HCO2 through two or more of the growth modes, confirming a significant variation in HCO2 across locations, even within a city. This study provides a new approach to understanding the roles cities play in the long-term dynamics of T-HCO2. We recommend increased efforts to encourage HCO2 mitigation in cities that have contributed to the rise in T-HCO2 to help neutralize carbon emissions at the national level.

Population genomics informs the management of harvested snappers across north-western Australia

Failure to consider population structure when managing harvested fishes increases the risk of stock depletion, yet empirical estimates of population structure are often lacking for important fishery species. In this study, we characterise genetic variation in single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) to assess population structure for three harvested species of tropical snappers across the broad (up to 300 km wide) and extensive (~ 4000 km) continental shelf of north-western Australia. Comparisons across ~ 300 individuals per species, showed remarkably similar patterns of genetic structure among Lutjanus sebae (red emperor), L. malabaricus (saddletail snapper) and Pristipomoides multidens (goldband snapper) despite subtle differences in biological and ecological traits. Low levels of genetic subdivision were reflected in an isolation by distance relationship where genetic connectivity increased with geographic proximity. This indicates extensive but not unlimited dispersal across the north-western Australian shelf. Our findings provide evidence of connectivity between current management areas, violating the assumption of multiple independent stocks. Spatial stock assessment models may be more suitable for the management of these species however demographic connectivity rates cannot be accurately estimated from the conventional population genetic approaches applied in this study. We recommend that managers aim to maintain adequate spawning biomass across current management areas, and assess stocks at finer scales, where practical.

Microstructure and mechanical properties of aluminum alloy laser welded joint assisted by alternating magnetic field

Magnetic field-assisted laser welding is an effective method to improve the quality of laser-welded joints. In this study, laser welding was conducted on a 2 mm thick sheet of 6061-T6 aluminum alloy, with the assistance of an alternating magnetic field oriented perpendicular to the surface of the sheet. The effects of the alternating magnetic field on the macrostructure, molten pool flow, porosity, grain morphology, and microhardness of the weld seam were analyzed. The results indicate that applying the alternating magnetic field results in more uniform and finer fish scale patterns on the upper surface of the weld. The porosity of the weld is significantly reduced. The Lorentz force generated by the alternating magnetic field suppresses liquid metal flow from the center to the edges of the molten pool, thereby hindering the heat flow and transfer within the pool. This concentration of heat in the lower part of the molten pool increases the size of equiaxed grains at the weld center and promotes the formation of more branches in the columnar grains near the fusion line. Some columnar grains in the columnar grain zone transform into equiaxed grains. Moreover, the microhardness distribution of the weld becomes more uniform, and the hardness in the heat-affected zone increases. Tensile tests revealed that all samples fractured within the weld seam, with the tensile strength of the welded joints increasing by 12.7%. The fracture mode transitions from a mixed ductile-brittle fracture to a purely ductile fracture.

Spatial Distributions and Edge Relationships of Plant Communities in Coastal Barrens in Nova Scotia, Canada

Coastal barrens support varied vegetation that includes wetlands, dwarf shrublands, and small patches of forest. Forest expansion, sea-level rise and recreational trails affect plant communities but spatial vegetation patterns within barrens are unknown. Using high-resolution multispectral aerial imagery, we classified plant communities and other land cover types using 500m x 500m landcover maps at three coastal barrens sites on the Atlantic coast of Nova Scotia, Canada. Community patches were compared using size and shape metrics; shared edge length identified adjacent communities. Community distributions were modelled using environmental variables such as elevation and distance to coast. Forty distinct plant communities were detected, with shrublands (37.5% total area), dwarf shrublands (23.3%) and bog wetlands (13.9%) the most abundant. Average patch size was 9.2 m2; average patch density was 951 patches/ha, indicating fine scale community variability. Recreational vehicle trails occurred primarily in bog wetlands. Dwarf shrublands and some wetland types were closest to the coastline; taller shrublands and tree islands occurred further from the coast. Edge relationships revealed a vegetation height gradient across the forest-barren ecotone: tree islands were mostly adjacent to tall shrub communities, followed by progressively shorter vegetation. Topographic variability and distance to coast were important predictors of community distribution. Edge relationships among communities allowed identification of those most at risk from trail disturbance, forest expansion and coastal squeeze.

Enhancing hydrologic LiDAR digital elevation models: Bridging hydrographic gaps at fine scales

AbstractHigh‐resolution digital elevation models (HRDEMs), derived from LiDAR, are widely used for mapping hydrographic details in flat terrains. However, artificial flow barriers, particularly from roads, elevate terrain and prematurely end flowlines. Drainage barrier processing (DBP), such as HRDEM excavation, is employed to address this issue. However, there is a gap in quantitatively assessing the impact of DBP on HRDEM‐derived flowlines, especially at finer scales. This study fills that gap by quantitatively assessing how DBP improves flowline quality at finer scales. We evaluated HRDEM‐derived flowlines that were generated using different flow direction algorithms, developing a framework to measure the effects of flow barrier removal. The results show that the primary factor influencing flowline quality is the presence of flow accumulation artifacts. Quality issues also stem from differences between natural and artificial flow paths, unrealistic flowlines in flat areas, complex canal networks, and ephemeral drainage ways. Notably, the improvement achieved by DBP is demonstrated to be more than 6%, showcasing its efficacy in reducing the impact of flow barriers on hydrologic connectivity.

Fine-scale habitat selection in tree-dwelling spiders: an experimental approach.

Habitat selection by spiders is strongly influenced by biotic factors such as the availability and diversity of prey and abiotic factors such as temperature, humidity, and the structural complexity of the habitat. Structural complexity is an aspect that intensely affects species persistence, population stability, and the coexistence of interacting species. Trees comprise a complex set of microhabitats due to their large biomass and heterogeneity of the architectural components of their trunk surface and branches. Spider species that live on trunks have diversified physiological or morphological adaptations that confer advantages in this environment. In this study, we experimentally examined the habitat choice by the tree-dwelling spiders Selenops cocheleti (Selenopidae), Corinna rubripes (Corinnidae), and Loxosceles gaucho (Sicariidae). We found that microhabitat specialization was restricted to trunk architectural characteristics rather than plant taxonomy. Selenops cocheleti and C. rubripes significantly preferred loose barks and holes in the trunks, respectively, showing that both spider species can evaluate the physical structure of the microhabitat on a fine scale. On the other hand, L. gaucho selected crevices and holes near the base of the trunk without giving much importance to the physical characteristics of the microhabitat per se (e.g., depth, height, length). Our findings indicate that for generalist predators like spiders, coexistence relies heavily on spatial segregation driven by distinct habitat preferences, irrespective of their method for capturing prey.

Using Commercial Satellite Imagery to Reconstruct 3 m and Daily Spring Snow Water Equivalent

AbstractSnow water equivalent (SWE) distribution at fine spatial scales (≤10 m) is difficult to estimate due to modeling and observational constraints. However, the distribution of SWE throughout the spring snowmelt season is often correlated to the timing of snow disappearance. Here, we show that snow cover maps generated from PlanetScope's constellation of Dove Satellites can resolve the 3 m date of snow disappearance across seven alpine domains in California and Colorado. Across a 5‐year period (2019–2023), the average uncertainty in the date of snow disappearance, or the period of time between the last date of observed snow cover and the first date of observed snow absence, was 3 days. Using a simple shortwave‐based snowmelt model calibrated at nearby snow pillows, the PlanetScope date of snow disappearance could be used to reconstruct spring SWE. Relative to lidar SWE estimates, the SWE reconstruction had a spatial coefficient of correlation of 0.75, and SWE spatial variability that was biased by 9%, on average. SWE reconstruction biases were then improved to within 0.04 m, on average, by calibrating snowmelt rates to track the spring temporal evolution of fractional snow cover observed by PlanetScope, including fractional snow cover over the full modeling domain, and across domain subsections where snowmelt rates may differ. This study demonstrates the utility of fine‐scale and high‐frequency optical observations of snow cover, and the simple and annually repeatable connections between snow cover and spring snow water resources in regions with seasonal snowpack.

Macro- and micro-geographic genetic variation in early fitness traits in populations of maritime pine (Pinus pinaster Ait.).

Assessing adaptive genetic variation and its spatial distribution is crucial to conserve forest genetic resources and manage species' adaptive potential. Macro-environmental gradients commonly exert divergent selective pressures that enhance adaptive genetic divergence among populations. Steep micro-environmental variation might also result in adaptive divergence at finer spatial scales, even under high gene flow, but it is unclear how often this is the case. Here, we assess genetic variation in early fitness traits among distant and nearby maritime pine (Pinus pinaster Ait.) populations, to investigate climatic factors associated with trait divergence, and to examine trait integration during seedling establishment. Open pollinated seeds were collected from seven population pairs across the European species distribution, with paired populations spatially close (between <1 km up to 21 km) but environmentally divergent. Seeds were sown in semi-natural conditions at three environmentally contrasting sites, where we monitored seedling emergence, growth and survival. At large spatial scales, we found significant genetic divergence among populations in all studied traits, with certain traits exhibiting association with temperature and precipitation gradients. Significant trait divergence was also detected between pairs of nearby populations. Besides, we found consistent trait correlations across experimental sites, notably heavier seeds and earlier seedling emergence were both associated with higher seedling survival and fitness over two years in all experimental conditions. We identified mean annual temperature and precipitation seasonality as potential drivers of P. pinaster population divergence in the studied early-life traits. Populations genetically diverge also at local spatial scales, potentially suggesting that divergent natural selection can override gene flow along local-scale ecological gradients. These results suggest the species exhibits substantial adaptive potential that has allowed it to survive and evolve under contrasting environmental conditions.

A New SDM-Based Approach for Assessing Climate Change Effects on Plant–Pollinator Networks

Current methods for studying the effects of climate change on plants and pollinators can be grouped into two main categories. The first category involves using species distribution models (SDMs) to generate habitat suitability maps, followed by applying climate change scenarios to predict the future distribution of plants and pollinators separately. The second category involves constructing interaction matrices between plants and pollinators and then either randomly removing species or selectively removing generalist or specialist species, as a way to estimate how climate change might affect the plant–pollinator network. The primary limitation of the first approach is that it examines plant and pollinator distributions separately, without considering their interactions within the context of a pollination network. The main weakness of the second approach is that it does not accurately predict climate change impacts, as it arbitrarily selects species to remove without knowing which species will truly shift, decline, or increase in distribution due to climate change. Therefore, a new approach is needed to bridge the gap between these two methods while avoiding their specific limitations. In this context, we introduced an innovative approach that first requires the creation of binary climate suitability maps for plants and pollinators, based on SDMs, for both the current and future periods. This step aligns with the first category of methods mentioned earlier. To assess the effects of climate change within a network framework, we consider species co-overlapping in a geographic matrix. For this purpose, we developed a Python program that overlays the binary distribution maps of plants and pollinators, generating interaction matrices. These matrices represent potential plant–pollinator interactions, with a ‘0’ indicating no overlap and a ‘1’ where both species coincide in the same cell. As a result, for each cell within the study area, we can construct interaction matrices for both the present and future periods. This means that for each cell, we can analyze at least two pollination networks based on species co-overlap. By comparing the topology of these matrices over time, we can infer how climate change might affect plant–pollinator interactions at a fine spatial scale. We applied our methodology to Chile as a case study, generating climate suitability maps for 187 plant species and 171 pollinator species, resulting in 2906 pollination networks. We then evaluated how climate change could affect the network topology across Chile on a cell-by-cell basis. Our findings indicated that the primary effect of climate change on pollination networks is likely to manifest more significantly through network extinctions, rather than major changes in network topology.

High-Resolution Wind Speed Estimates for the Eastern Mediterranean Basin: A Statistical Comparison Against Coastal Meteorological Observations

Wind speed (and direction) estimated from numerical weather prediction (NWP) models is essential to wind energy applications, especially in the absence of reliable fine scale spatio-temporal wind information. This study evaluates four high-resolution wind speed numerical datasets (UERRA MESCAN-SURFEX, CERRA, COSMO-REA6, and NEWA) against in situ observations from coastal meteorological stations in the eastern Mediterranean basin. The evaluation is based on statistical comparisons of long-term wind speed data from 2009 to 2018 and involves an in-depth statistical comparison as well as a preliminary wind power density assessment at or near the meteorological station locations. The results show that while all datasets provide valuable insights into regional wind variability, there are notable differences in model performance. COSMO-REA6 and UERRA exhibit higher variability in wind speed but tend to underestimate extreme values, particularly in the southern coastal areas, whereas CERRA and NEWA provided closer fits to observed wind speeds, with CERRA showing the highest correlation at most stations. NEWA data, where available, overestimate average wind speeds but capture extreme values well. The comparison reveals that while all datasets provide valuable insights into the spatial and temporal variability of wind resources, their performance varies by location and season, emphasizing the need for the careful selection and potential calibration of these models for accurate wind energy assessments. The study provides essential groundwork for leveraging these datasets in planning and optimizing offshore wind energy projects, contributing to the region’s transition to renewable energy sources.

An individual‐based model trained on multiple data sources estimates population connectivity and facilitates aggregation of harvest management units

Abstract Management boundaries are often delimited by political and social factors, whereas animal movements are affected by ecological and geophysical constraints. Thus, understanding connectivity among distinct management units is of considerable importance, particularly for harvested species, where quotas set in ignorance of connectivity may fail to meet management goals. We constructed an individual‐based model (IBM) to better understand wild turkey movements at large scales, benefiting from multiple data sources that are often available for harvested species. We built an IBM from spring seasonal movements of wild turkey, using data from ringed, radio‐, and GPS‐marked turkeys captured in Maine, USA. Our IBM accommodated variation in individual turkey response to landscape connectivity metrics and identified emergent migratory connectivity dynamics among harvest management regions. We calculated a low degree of connectivity among wildlife management districts (WMD) which, in combination with the substantial number of boundary crossings observed, indicated a more diffuse distribution of turkeys among WMDs. Synthesis and applications: Estimates of turkeys moving between districts provided a clear delineation of where immigration was strongest, identifying which WMDs should be managed as singular population units. This approach has widespread utility for any species or system where harvest management decisions are made at finer spatial scales than the movement dynamics affecting population processes.

Hybrid Machine Learning Approach to Zero-Inflated Data Improves Accuracy of Dengue Prediction.

Spatiotemporal dengue forecasting using machine learning (ML) can contribute to the development of prevention and control strategies for impending dengue outbreaks. However, training data for dengue incidence may be inflated with frequent zero values because of the rarity of cases, which lowers the prediction accuracy. This study aimed to understand the influence of spatiotemporal resolutions of data on the accuracy of dengue incidence prediction using ML models, to understand how the influence of spatiotemporal resolution differs between quantitative and qualitative predictions of dengue incidence, and to improve the accuracy of dengue incidence prediction with zero-inflated data. We predicted dengue incidence at six spatiotemporal resolutions and compared their prediction accuracy. Six ML algorithms were compared: generalized additive models, random forests, conditional inference forest, artificial neural networks, support vector machines and regression, and extreme gradient boosting. Data from 2009 to 2012 were used for training, and data from 2013 were used for model validation with quantitative and qualitative dengue variables. To address the inaccuracy in the quantitative prediction of dengue incidence due to zero-inflated data at fine spatiotemporal scales, we developed a hybrid approach in which the second-stage quantitative prediction is performed only when/where the first-stage qualitative model predicts the occurrence of dengue cases. At higher resolutions, the dengue incidence data were zero-inflated, which was insufficient for quantitative pattern extraction of relationships between dengue incidence and environmental variables by ML. Qualitative models, used as binary variables, eased the effect of data distribution. Our novel hybrid approach of combining qualitative and quantitative predictions demonstrated high potential for predicting zero-inflated or rare phenomena, such as dengue. Our research contributes valuable insights to the field of spatiotemporal dengue prediction and provides an alternative solution to enhance prediction accuracy in zero-inflated data where hurdle or zero-inflated models cannot be applied.

Near-surface particulate backscattering observations with bio-optical Lagrangian drifters

Abstract Particulate matter concentration is an essential ocean variable (EOV) useful for understanding biogeochemical processes, improving ocean productivity estimates, and constraining coupled physical and biogeochemical numerical models. While direct observations of this parameter are difficult to obtain, the optical backscattering coefficient of marine particles (bbp) can be used as a reliable proxy. However, most in-situ multi-spectral bbp measurements are ship-borne or obtained from moored systems, thus with a limited spatial and temporal coverage. Utilizing Surface Velocity Programme (SVP) drifting buoys with self-contained backscatter sensors designed for extended deployment periods offers a promising solution for collecting data in challenging marine environments. In this study, we presented for the first time the integration of a commercially available, high-frequency and multispectral optical backscatter sensor into an SVP drifter, the so-called BO-SVP drifter designed to collect bbp measurements near the ocean surface. bbp measurements obtained by the BO-SVP drifter were reliable over a wide range of environmental conditions, showing a good agreement with independent datasets (relative bias &lt; 10%; relative standard deviation &lt; 36%). The BO-SVP drifter captures the satellite sub- and pixel scale variability by combining the Lagrangian approach and a high frequency sampling. This configuration enables the acquisition of measurements across numerous pixels in a single day, enhancing validation activities for ongoing and future satellite products and the quantification of associated uncertainties. The measurements acquired by these platforms can offer valuable insights into particle distribution at fine spatial scales, daily variability, and its relationship with water masses type and ocean dynamics.

Assessment of Fine-Scale Urban Heat Health Risk and Its Potential Driving Factors Based on Local Climate Zones in Shenzhen, China

Cities are facing increased heat-related health risks (HHRs) due to the combined effects of global warming and rapid urbanization. However, few studies have focused on HHR assessment based on fine-scale information. Moreover, most studies only analyze spatial HHR patterns and do not explore the potential driving factors. In this study, we estimated the potential HHRs based on the “hazard–exposure–vulnerability” framework by using multisource data, including the modified thermal–humidity index (MTHI), population density, and land cover. Then, the variations in the HHRs among different local climate zones (LCZs) at the fine spatial scale were analyzed in detail. Finally, we compared the different contributions of the LCZs and types of land cover to the HHRs and their three components by using multiple linear regression models. The results indicate that the spatial pattern of the HHRs was different from those of the individual components, and high-hazard regions do not mean high HHRs. There were huge variations in the HHRs among the different LCZs. The built-up LCZs typically had much higher HHRs than the natural ones, with compact LCZs facing the most severe risk. LCZ 6 (open low-rise buildings) had a relatively low HHR and should be paid more attention in future urban planning. Compared to the LCZs, the land covers better explained the variations in the HHR. In contrast, the LCZs better predicted the land surface temperatures. However, both the LCZs and land covers made only slight contributions to the heat exposure and vulnerability. Furthermore, the manmade buildings and impervious surface areas contributed much more to the HHR than the natural land covers. Therefore, the arrangement of the warming LCZs and land cover types is worthy of further investigation from the perspective of HHR mitigation.

Monitoring weekly δ 13С variations along the cambium-xylem continuum in the Canadian eastern boreal forest.

Intra-annual variations of carbon stable isotope ratios (δ13C) in different tree compartments could represent valuable indicators of plant carbon source-sink dynamics, at weekly time scale. Despite this significance, the absence of a methodological framework for tracking δ13C values in tree rings persists due to the complexity of tree ring development. To fulfill this knowledge gap, we developed a method to monitor weekly variability of δ13C in the cambium-xylem continuum of black spruce species [Picea mariana (Mill.) BSP.] during the growing season. We collected and isolated the weekly incremental growth of the cambial region and the developing tree ring from five mature spruce trees over three consecutive growing seasons (2019-2021) in Simoncouche and two growing seasons (2020-2021) in Bernatchez, both located in the boreal forest of Quebec, Canada. Our method allowed for the creation of intra-annual δ13C series for both the growing cambium (δ13Ccam) and developing xylem cellulose (δ13Cxc) in these two sites. Strong positive correlations were observed between δ13Ccam and δ13Cxc series in almost all study years. These findings suggest that a constant supply of fresh assimilates to the cambium-xylem continuum may be the dominant process feeding secondary growth in the two study sites. On the other hand, rates of carbon isotopic fractionation appeared to be poorly affected by climate variability, at an inter- weekly time scale. Hence, increasing δ13Ccam and δ13Cxc trends highlighted here possibly indicate shifts in carbon allocation strategies, likely fostering frost resistance and reducing water uptake in the late growth season. Additionally, these trends may be related to the black spruce trees' responses to the seasonal decrease in photosynthetically active radiation. Our findings provide new insights into the seasonal carbon dynamics and growth constraints of black spruce in boreal forest ecosystems, offering a novel methodological approach for studying carbon allocation at fine temporal scales.

HyG: A hydraulic geometry dataset derived from historical stream gage measurements across the conterminous US

Regional- and continental-scale hydrologic models are increasingly important forecasting tools, yet they rely on highly variable channel parameters (e.g. width, depth, hydraulic resistance) that remain unquantified for millions of stream reaches across the country. Existing hydrologic models utilize over-simplified channel geometries that directly impact the accuracy of streamflow estimates, with cascading effects for water resource and hazard prediction. Here, we present a hydraulic geometry dataset, termed ‘HyG’, derived from discharge field measurements at U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) stream gages across the conterminous United States (CONUS). The HyG dataset includes (1) at-a-station hydraulic geometry parameters, (2) at-a-station hydraulic resistance (Manning’s n) calculated from the Manning equation, (3) daily discharge percentiles, and (4) regionalized downstream hydraulic geometry parameters based on HUC4 (Hydrologic Unit Code 4), derived from a total of 4,051,682 individual measurements from 66,841 total gages. The regionalized HyG dataset can be used directly to improve channel representations in models over CONUS. The original HyG relationships can also be regionalized for finer scales if required.

Modelling the spatial variability and uncertainty for under-vaccination and zero-dose children in fragile settings

Universal access to childhood vaccination is important to child health and sustainable development. Here we identify, at a fine spatial scale, under-immunized children and zero-dose children. Using Chad, as an example, the most recent nationally representative household survey that included recommended vaccine antigens was assembled. Age-disaggregated population (12–23 months) and vaccination coverage were modelled at a fine spatial resolution scale (1km × 1 km) using a Bayesian geostatistical framework adjusting for a set of parsimonious covariates. There was a variation at fine spatial scale in the population 12–23 months a national mean of 18.6% (CrI 15.8%–22.6%) with the highest proportion in the South-East district of Laremanaye 20.0% (14.8–25.0). Modelled coverage at birth was 49.0% (31.2%–75.3%) for BCG, 44.8% (27.1–74.3) for DTP1, 24.7% (12.5–46.3) for DTP3 and 47.0% (30.6–71.0) for measles (MCV1). Combining coverage estimates with the modelled population at a fine spatial scale yielded 312,723 (Lower estimate 156055–409266) zero-dose children based on DTP1. Improving routine immunization will require investment in the health system as part of enhancing primary health care. The uncertainties in our estimates highlight areas that require further investigation and higher quality data to gain a better understanding of vaccination coverage.