Feed-forward Neural Network Model Research Articles

Precision Regulation and Forecasting of Greenhouse Tomato Growth Conditions Using an Improved GA-BP Model

Tomatoes are annual herbaceous plants of the family Solanaceae. They have very stringent requirements for their growing environment and climate conditions. To precisely control the greenhouse environment for tomato growth, this project designed and implemented a monitoring system utilizing programmable logic controllers and a data acquisition system for monitoring. Sensors are installed at key locations in the greenhouse, such as near the ground, in the plant canopy, and under the roof, to monitor environmental parameters such as temperature, humidity, light intensity, and carbon dioxide concentration in real time. A three-layer feedforward GA-BP neural network model was established using soil temperature, soil humidity, air humidity, and illumination as predictive parameters. This technology predicts optimal environmental parameters and performs real-time monitoring and intelligent control, overcoming the traditional BP neural network’s drawbacks of slow convergence, susceptibility to disturbance, and poor generalization ability, with the current model’s average prediction error being less than 5%. It provides a theoretical basis and decision support for precision control and related environmental forecasting in agricultural projects. Based on the growth characteristics, physiological and morphological features of tomatoes, and the comprehensive impact of planting conditions, the technology enhances tomato yield and quality while reducing production costs and labor inputs. It mainly includes the establishment of tomato growth models, measurement and control of environmental parameters, and the design and optimization of intelligent decision control systems. Research outcomes in this field are significant for improving agricultural production efficiency, ensuring food security, and promoting sustainable agricultural development.

A comparative survey between cascade correlation neural network (CCNN) and feedforward neural network (FFNN) machine learning models for forecasting suspended sediment concentration

Suspended sediment concentration prediction is critical for the design of reservoirs, dams, rivers ecosystems, various operations of aquatic resource structure, environmental safety, and water management. In this study, two different machine models, namely the cascade correlation neural network (CCNN) and feedforward neural network (FFNN) were applied to predict daily-suspended sediment concentration (SSC) at Simga and Jondhara stations in Sheonath basin, India. Daily-suspended sediment concentration and discharge data from 2010 to 2015 were collected and used to develop the model to predict suspended sediment concentration. The developed models were evaluated using statistical indices like Nash and Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NES), root mean square error (RMSE), Willmott’s index of agreement (WI), and Legates–McCabe’s index (LM), supplemented by a scatter plot, density plots, histograms and Taylor diagram for graphical representation. The developed model was evaluated and compared with CCNN and FFNN. Nine input combinations were explored using different lag-times for discharge (Qt-n) and suspended sediment concentration (St-n) as input variables, with the current suspended sediment concentration as the desired output, to develop CCNN and FFNN models. The CCNN4 model with 4 lagged inputs (St-1, St-2, St-3, St-4) outperformed the other developed models with the lowest RMSE = 95.02 mg/l and the highest NES = 0.0.662, WI = 0.890 and LM = 0.668 for the Jondhara Station while the same CCNN4 model secure as the best with the lowest RMSE = 53.71 mg/l and the highest NES = 0.785, WI = 0.936 and LM = 0.788 for the Simga Station. The result shows the CCNN model was better than the FFNN model for predicting daily-suspended sediment at both stations in the Sheonath basin, India. Overall, CCNN showed better forecasting potential for suspended sediment concentration compared to FFNN at both stations, demonstrating their applicability for hydrological forecasting with complex relationships.

Thermo-magnetic radiative flow in porous enclosure with deep-learning parameter estimation

This study numerically investigates convective heat transfer, fluid flow, and entropy generation within an inverted T-shaped porous enclosure filled with a hybrid nanofluid. The interplay between thermal radiation and a magnetic field is considered, as these factors significantly influence thermal acquisition processes in renewable and thermal engineering applications, particularly solar power collectors with the selected physical domain. By analyzing various combinations of flow parameters, this work aims to identify favourable conditions for maximizing heat transfer efficiency in such systems. A Darcy-Forchheimer-Brinkman-based mathematical model has been incorporated and numerically simulated using the penalty finite element method (FEM). Moreover, the variation of fluid flow, isotherms, and entropy generation is thoroughly analyzed for the variation of non-dimensional permeability parameter (Darcy number, Da), buoyancy force (Rayleigh number, Ra), magnetic field (Hartmann number, Ha), porosity value (ϵ), and thermal radiation parameter (Rd). The comprehensive result demonstrates that increasing values of Ra, Da, ϵ, and Rd intensify entropy generation, convective heat, and fluid flow phenomena, whereas the increasing value of Ha substantially weakens these phenomena. The thermal efficiency of the model attends at the lower buoyancy forces (Ra≤105) for each flow parameter (except for Ha). However, the increasing magnetic forces (Ha) substantially improve the thermal efficiency of the developed model. Additionally, this study employs a feed-forward neural network (FNN) based deep learning (DL) approach to predict the parametric influence on convective heat transport rate (Num), total entropy generation rate (Stot), and total Bejan number due to heat transport irreversibility (Beθ,tot) based on the minimally supplied experimental data for FNN training process. The trained FNN model predicts the results very quickly with 98.6% accuracy compared to FEM results, demonstrating its efficiency in approximating the parametric influence of complex mathematical model results. Moreover, this approach significantly reduces computational costs and efforts compared to traditional numerical methods, making it a valuable tool for forecasting the influence of an unknown set of flow parameters in complex mathematical models.

Designing an algorithm for predicting plane ticket prices using feedforward neural network modeling

PurposeThis research aims to determine the ideal fare for various aircraft itineraries by modeling prices using a neural network method. Dynamic pricing has been studied from the airline’s point of view, with a focus on demand forecasting and price differentiation. Early demand forecasting on a specific route can assist an airline in strategically planning flights and determining optimal pricing strategies.Design/methodology/approachA feedforward neural network was employed in the current study. Two hidden layers, consisting of 18 and 12 neurons, were incorporated to enhance the network’s capabilities. The activation function employed for these layers was tanh. Additionally, it was considered that the output layer’s functions were linear. The neural network inputs considered in this study were flight path, month of flight, flight date (week/day), flight time, aircraft type (Boeing, Airbus, other), and flight class (economy, business). The neural network output, on the other hand, was the ticket price. The dataset comprises 16,585 records, specifically flight data for Iranian airlines for 2022.FindingsThe findings indicate that the model achieved a high level of accuracy in approximating the actual data. Additionally, it demonstrated the ability to predict the optimal ticket price for various flight routes with minimal error.Practical implicationsBased on the significant alignment observed between the actual data and the tested data utilizing the algorithmic model, airlines can proactively anticipate ticket prices across all routes, optimizing the revenue generated by each flight. The neural network algorithm utilized in this study offers a valuable opportunity for companies to enhance their decision-making processes. By leveraging the algorithm’s features, companies can analyze past data effectively and predict future prices. This enables them to make informed and timely decisions based on reliable information.Originality/valueThe present study represents a pioneering research endeavor that investigates using a neural network algorithm to predict the most suitable pricing for various flight routes. This study aims to provide valuable insights into dynamic pricing for marketing researchers and practitioners.

Integrated analysis of wireline logs analysis, seismic interpretation, and machine learning for reservoir characterisation: Insights from the late Eocene McKee Formation, onshore Taranaki Basin, New Zealand

This study aims to integrate seismic and well data for re-assessment and delineating the geological and petrophysical characteristics of the Late Eocene McKee Formation. Despite the McKee Formation being a hydrocarbon-producing field, there have been no previous integrated studies conducted to characterize its deposits in the Taranaki Basin. To execute these tasks, the process involves the interpretation of seismic data, wireline analysis, and 3D porosity volume prediction using multi-layered feed-forward neural network models. The seismic data was interpreted and found to contain low displacement faults due to intricate geometric complexities, the contour map that was generated shows lateral extension and thickness variation, and the region of direct hydrocarbon indicators was detected using the root-mean-square. Additionally, the seismic inversion provides a comprehensive understanding of the acoustic impedance variations from low to high value, which signifies the presence of mudstone clasts content. Furthermore, in the wireline log analysis, the reservoir was found to be a Silici-clastic and carbonate field owing to the presence of dolomite, calcite, and quartz. After applying cutoffs, petrophysical parameters were evaluated. The estimated values for effective porosity, reservoir thickness, shale volume, and water and hydrocarbon saturation were 15.04 % to 17.29 %, 85.44 m to 122.41 m, 8.99 to 14.87 % and 12.97–27.10 %, and 72.9 % to 87.03 %, respectively. The outcome of this extensive research aids in accurately characterizing this region for the future prospectively of the field. This integrated study can be applied and adapted to other basins in New Zealand and the southwestern Pacific. The proposed workflow is also suitable for analogous scenarios in various basins worldwide.

Integrating Demographics and Imaging Features for Various Stages of Dementia Classification: Feed Forward Neural Network Multi-Class Approach.

MRI magnetization-prepared rapid acquisition (MPRAGE) is an easily available imaging modality for dementia diagnosis. Previous studies suggested that volumetric analysis plays a crucial role in various stages of dementia classification. In this study, volumetry, radiomics and demographics were integrated as inputs to develop an artificial intelligence model for various stages, including Alzheimer's disease (AD), mild cognitive decline (MCI) and cognitive normal (CN) dementia classifications. The Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) dataset was separated into training and testing groups, and the Open Access Series of Imaging Studies (OASIS) dataset was used as the second testing group. The MRI MPRAGE image was reoriented via statistical parametric mapping (SPM12). Freesurfer was employed for brain segmentation, and 45 regional brain volumes were retrieved. The 3D Slicer software was employed for 107 radiomics feature extractions from within the whole brain. Data on patient demographics were collected from the datasets. The feed-forward neural network (FFNN) and the other most common artificial intelligence algorithms, including support vector machine (SVM), ensemble classifier (EC) and decision tree (DT), were used to build the models using various features. The integration of brain regional volumes, radiomics and patient demographics attained the highest overall accuracy at 76.57% and 73.14% in ADNI and OASIS testing, respectively. The subclass accuracies in MCI, AD and CN were 78.29%, 89.71% and 85.14%, respectively, in ADNI testing, as well as 74.86%, 88% and 83.43% in OASIS testing. Balanced sensitivity and specificity were obtained for all subclass classifications in MCI, AD and CN. The FFNN yielded good overall accuracy for MCI, AD and CN categorization, with balanced subclass accuracy, sensitivity and specificity. The proposed FFNN model is simple, and it may support the triage of patients for further confirmation of the diagnosis.

Machine Learning Approach for the Investigation of Metal Ion Concentration on Distillate Marine Diesel Fuels through Feed Forward Neural Networks

In this work, a set of Feed Forward Neural Networks (FNN) for the estimation of the metal ion concentration of diesel fuels is presented. The dataset vector is obtained through in situ measurements from distillate marine diesel fuel storage tanks all over Greece, in order to reduce the selection bias. It has been demonstrated that the most correlated ions among them are Aluminum (Al), Barium (Ba) and Calcium (Ca). Moreover, the FNN models are the most reliable models to be used for the model construction under discussion. The initial L2 error is relatively small, in the vicinity of 0.3. However, after removing a small dataset that includes 1–2 data points significantly deviating from the model trend, the error is substantially reduced to 0.05, ensuring the reliability and accuracy of the model. If this dataset is cleared, the estimated error is substantially reduced to 0.05, enhancing the reliability and accuracy of the model. The correlation between the sum of the concentrations of the model in relation with the Density and Viscosity are, respectively, 0.15 and 0.29 which are characterized as weak.

Assessing inflation and greenhouse gas emissions interplay via neural network analysis: a comparative study of energy use in the USA, EU, and China

This study examines the relationship between inflation and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in three major economies: the United States of America (USA), the European Union (EU), and China. The analysis spans from 1960 to 2021 for the USA and EU, and from 1971 to 2021 for China. A feedforward neural network model, optimized using the Levenberg–Marquardt backpropagation algorithm, was employed to predict GHG emissions based on annual inflation rates and fossil fuel energy consumption. The study integrates historical data on inflation trends with GHG emissions, measured in CO2 equivalents, and fossil fuel energy consumption, expressed as a percentage of total energy use. This multidimensional approach allows for a nuanced understanding of the economic-environmental interplay in these regions. Key findings indicate a nonlinear response of GHG emissions to inflation rates. In the USA, GHG emissions begin to decrease when inflation rates exceed 4.7%. Similarly, in the EU, a steep reduction in emissions is observed beyond a 7.5% inflation rate. China presents a more complex pattern, with two critical inflection points: the first at a 4.5% inflation rate, where GHG emissions start to decline sharply, and the second at a 7% inflation rate, beyond which further increases in inflation do not significantly reduce emissions. A critical global insight is the identification of a uniform inflation rate, around 4.4%, across all regions, at which GHG emissions consistently increase by 1%, hinting at a shared global economic behavior impacting the environment. This discovery is vital for policymakers, emphasizing the need for tailored regional strategies that consider unique economic structures, energy policies, and environmental regulations, alongside a coordinated global approach.

ARIMA-BPNN based Stock Price Prediction Model Based on Fusion News Sentiment Analysis

In recent years, the prediction of stocks has mainly focused on improving and combining stock prediction algorithms, or analyzing news sentiment tendencies to simulate subjective investor consciousness. However, both methods have shortcomings in practicality and comprehensiveness. Therefore, based on the use of stock data, the sentiment propensity of vocabulary in the article was processed, and a new algorithm model was obtained by combining the differential integration moving average autoregressive model and backpropagation feedforward neural network model. Finally, sentiment propensity was integrated into the combination model to obtain an algorithm model that integrates sentiment analysis. After optimizing the sentiment vocabulary of news. The algorithm has improved its ability to recognize emotional tendency words, while traditional algorithms have been improved to improve the accuracy of stock prediction, further verifying the relationship curve between emotional tendency and stock prediction fluctuations. The experimental results show that the combined model of sentiment analysis is close to the true value in predicting stock results, with an error of less than 1.5%. The accuracy and stability of the model’s prediction results are significantly better than the uncombined model and traditional prediction models. The new combination model provides better judgment basis for investors through experimental prediction results, creating conditions for investors to avoid stock market risks and improve investment value.

A Hybrid Neural Network‐Based Improved PSO Algorithm for Gas Turbine Emissions Prediction

AbstractIn gas‐fired power plants, emissions may reduce turbine blade rotation, thus decreasing power output. This study proposes a hybrid model integrating the Feed forward Neural Network (FFNN) model and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm to predict gas emissions from natural gas power plants. The FFNN predicts gas turbine nitrogen oxides (NOx) and carbon monoxide (CO) emissions, while the PSO optimizes FFNN weights, improving prediction accuracy. The PSO adopts a unique random number selection strategy, incorporating the K‐Nearest Neighbor (KNN) algorithm to reduce prediction errors. Neighbor Component Analysis (NCA) selects parameters most correlated with CO and NOx emissions. The hybrid model is constructed, trained, and testedusing publicly available datasets, evaluating performance with statistical metrics like Mean Square Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). Results show significant improvement in FFNN training with the PSO algorithm, boosting CO and NOx prediction accuracy by 99.18% and 82.11%, respectively. The model achieves the lowest MSE, MAE, and RMSE values for CO and NOx emissions. Overall, the hybrid model achieves high prediction accuracy, particularly with optimized PSO parameter selection using seed random generators.

Developing statistical and machine learning models for predicting CO2 solubility in live crude oils

CO2 solubility in crude oil primarily affects the viscosity and swelling capacity of oil and determines the displacement efficiency of CO2 flooding during the enhanced oil recovery process. Dissolution of CO2 into crude oil also ensures safe and permanent storage of CO2 in depleted formations via solubility trapping. This study employed statistical and machine learning algorithms to develop precise and stable predictive models for estimating CO2 solubility in crude oils with dissolved gas. Recognizing the limitations of existing experimental data on CO2 solubility for live oils (crude oils with dissolved gas), we introduced a novel approach employing statistical and machine learning techniques for developing accurate and robust predictive models. Our methodology combined regularization, k-fold cross-validation, and statistical significance tests to ensure the robustness of the models, practices not considered in the previous studies. A linear regression model with L2 regularization is developed as the base model and compared with a 2nd order polynomial model and an ensemble feed-forward neural network (FNN) model integrated with gradient boosting (GB). The incorporation of GB into the neural network capitalizes on the additive sequence of FNN models, thereby enhancing the accuracy and reliability of predictions. Moreover, an improved user-accessible and easily implementable correlation is proposed to estimate CO2 solubility in live crude oils at diverse operating conditions as a function of reservoir temperature, saturation pressure, bubble-point pressure, oil molecular weight, and specific gravity. The performances of the developed model and the correlation are compared against the literature models and correlations. The FNN model with an overall R2 score of 0.9978, average absolute relative deviation (AARD) of 1.54 %, and root mean squared error (RMSE) of 0.0083 outperformed the previously published models and correlations. The new correlation, while being relatively simpler than previously published correlations, showed similar predictive performance with an overall R2 score of 0.9817, AARD of 4.98 %, and RMSE of 0.0225. The model and the correlation can be used to estimate CO2 solubility in live crude oils with 0.67 to 0.97 specific gravity for reservoir temperatures and pressures in the range of 28 to 124 °C and 3.23 to 32.76 MPa, respectively.

Enhancing riverine load prediction of anthropogenic pollutants: Harnessing the potential of feed-forward backpropagation (FFBP) artificial neural network (ANN) models

Assessing riverine pollutant loads is a more realistic method for analysing point and non-point anthropogenic pollution sources throughout a watershed. This study compares numerous mathematical modelling strategies for estimating riverine loads based on the chosen water quality parameters: Biochemical Oxygen Demand (BOD), Chemical Oxygen Demand (COD), Suspended Solids (SS), and Ammoniacal Nitrogen (NH3–N). A riverine load model was developed by employing various input variables including river flow and pollutant concentration values collected at several monitoring sites. Among the mathematical modelling methods employed are artificial neural networks with feed-forward backpropagation algorithms and radial basis functions. The classical multiple linear regression (MLR) statistical model was used for the comparison. Four widely used statistical performance assessment metrics were adopted to evaluate the performance of the various developed models: the root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), mean relative error (MRE), and coefficient of determination (R2). The considerable number of errors (with RMSE, MAE, and MRE) discovered in estimating riverine loads using the multiple linear regression (MLR) statistical model can be attributed to the nonlinear relationship between the independent variables (Q and Cx) and dependent variables (W). The feed-forward neural network model with a backpropagation algorithm and Bayesian regularisation training algorithm outperformed the radial basis neural network. This finding implies that, in addition to suspended sediment loads, riverine loads may be predicted using an artificial neural network using pollutant concentration (Cx) and river discharge (Q) as input variables. Other geographical and temporal fluctuation characteristics that may impact river water quality, on the other hand, may be incorporated as input variables to enhance riverine load prediction. Finally, riverine load analyses were successfully conducted to reduce the riverine load.

Spatial Air Quality Assessment in Peninsular Malaysia: Insights from Environmetric Analyses and Artificial Neural Networks

The research investigated the spatial distribution of air quality in Peninsular Malaysia to offer crucial insights for mitigating air quality degradation. Utilizing historical data obtained from the Malaysian Department of Environment, eleven years' worth (2011-2021) of daily readings of PM10, O3 , SO2 , NO2 , and CO from thirty-four monitoring stations were subjected to environmetric techniques and Artificial Neural Network analysis. HACA successfully classified seven stations into the High Pollution Cluster (HPC), seven stations into the Moderate Pollution Cluster (MPC), and twenty stations into the Low Pollution Cluster (LPC). The discriminant analysis demonstrated a correct assignment rate of 91.87%, suggesting that all five parameters were able to discriminate with a significance level of p<0.0001. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) revealed two Variance Factors (VFs) across all clusters, with cumulative variances of 69.43% (HPC), 82.32% (MPC), and 62.16% (LPC) respectively. Furthermore, employing a Multi-Layer Perceptron Feed-Forward Artificial Neural Network (MLP-FF-ANN) model to predict API readings yielded a significant and strong correlation, as indicated by R2 =0.7774 and RMSE=9.9048. These findings hold significant potential in informing the adoption of effective preventative and management strategies.

Ensemble Machine Learning for Predicting 90-Day Outcomes and Analyzing Risk Factors in Acute Kidney Injury Requiring Dialysis.

Our objectives were to (1) employ ensemble machine learning algorithms utilizing real-world clinical data to predict 90-day prognosis, including dialysis dependence and mortality, following the first hospitalized dialysis and (2) identify the significant factors associated with overall outcomes. We identified hospitalized patients with Acute kidney injury requiring dialysis (AKI-D) from a dataset of the Taipei Medical University Clinical Research Database (TMUCRD) from January 2008 to December 2020. The extracted data comprise demographics, comorbidities, medications, and laboratory parameters. Ensemble machine learning models were developed utilizing real-world clinical data through the Google Cloud Platform. The Study Analyzed 1080 Patients in the Dialysis-Dependent Module, Out of Which 616 Received Regular Dialysis After 90 Days. Our Ensemble Model, Consisting of 25 Feedforward Neural Network Models, Demonstrated the Best Performance with an Auroc of 0.846. We Identified the Baseline Creatinine Value, Assessed at Least 90 Days Before the Initial Dialysis, as the Most Crucial Factor. We selected 2358 patients, 984 of whom were deceased after 90 days, for the survival module. The ensemble model, comprising 15 feedforward neural network models and 10 gradient-boosted decision tree models, achieved superior performance with an AUROC of 0.865. The pre-dialysis creatinine value, tested within 90 days prior to the initial dialysis, was identified as the most significant factor. Ensemble machine learning models outperform logistic regression models in predicting outcomes of AKI-D, compared to existing literature. Our study, which includes a large sample size from three different hospitals, supports the significance of the creatinine value tested before the first hospitalized dialysis in determining overall prognosis. Healthcare providers could benefit from utilizing our validated prediction model to improve clinical decision-making and enhance patient care for the high-risk population.

Prediction surface roughness of 3D printed parts using genetic algorithm optimized hybrid learning model

The final product of additive manufacturing (AM) or 3D printing critically depends on the surface quality. An experimental study on the 3D printed intake manifold flange using acrylonitrile butadiene styrene (ABS) material was executed by varying the four process parameters. A fused deposition modeling (FDM) based 3D printer was used to fabricate the flanges. The association between the parameters and the surface roughness of printed ABS flanges was investigated. A feed forward neural network (FFNN) model trained on particle swarm optimization (PSO) optimized with a genetic algorithm (GA) was used to estimate the surface roughness. A Box-Behnken design (BBD) with printing parameters at three levels was used, and 25 parts were fabricated. The suggested model demonstrated a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.9865 on test values, mean of root-mean-square-error (RMSE) of 0.1231 after 500 times training for generalization. And also mean of overfitting factor is 0.7110. This means that the suggested system could generalize. Comparing the results from the suggested model and ANN, the suggested hybrid model outperformed ANN in predicting the surface roughness values with no overfitting. This suggests that GA optimized PSO based FFNN may be a more suitable method for estimating product quality in terms of surface roughness.

An Approach to Android Ransomware Detection Using Deep Learning

As mobile devices continue to grow in popularity, the threat of ransomware attacks on Android devices has escalated, leading to serious privacy and financial risks for users. Traditional methods of ransomware detection have become less effective due to the evolving nature of these attacks. Consequently, the application of deep learning techniques offers promising potential for the detection and prevention of Android ransomware. This paper proposes an approach that utilizes deep learning algorithms to analyze and identify ransomware behavior on Android devices, aiming to enhance the security measures against these malicious threats. The model we used is a feedforward neural network model using the Keras Sequential. The model consists of three layers of densely connected neurons. The first layer has 64 units, the second layer also has 64 units, and the third and final layer has 2 units. The proposed model gave accuracy 98.9%.

Security Risk Analysis and Price Predictions with Machine and Deep Learning Models (LSTM)

Risk analysis and price predictions of securities, shares and stocks, have been a challenging problem for investors. Many factors, Economic, Political etc., can disturb stock returns and their prices. However, with the advent of Artificial Intelligence and Machine/Deep Learnings techniques, predictions of returns and prices have become very easy with accuracy and precision. In this research paper focus is given to Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model, closing prices of Tech stocks/shares of companies in technology industry are predicted, RMSE and accuracy (MAPE) is calculated and then compared these values with the predicted and calculated values of Feedforward Neural Network (FNN) model and Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) model. After using weighted average method, LSTM is proven to be one of the best models to predict securities prices and returns.

Predictive Neural Network Modeling for Almond Harvest Dust Control.

This study introduces a neural network-based approach to predict dust emissions, specifically PM2.5 particles, during almond harvesting in California. Using a feedforward neural network (FNN), this research predicted PM2.5 emissions by analyzing key operational parameters of an advanced almond harvester. Preprocessing steps like outlier removal and normalization were employed to refine the dataset for training. The network's architecture was designed with two hidden layers and optimized using tanh activation and MSE loss functions through the Adam algorithm, striking a balance between model complexity and predictive accuracy. The model was trained on extensive field data from an almond pickup system, including variables like brush speed, angular velocity, and harvester forward speed. The results demonstrate a notable predictive accuracy of the FNN model, with a mean squared error (MSE) of 0.02 and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.01, indicating high precision in forecasting PM2.5 levels. By integrating machine learning with agricultural practices, this research provides a significant tool for environmental management in almond production, offering a method to reduce harmful emissions while maintaining operational efficiency. This model presents a solution for the almond industry and sets a precedent for applying predictive analytics in sustainable agriculture.

Determining the minimum data size for the development of artificial neural network-based prediction models for rice pests in Korea

Sudden outbreaks of crop pests (insect pests and diseases) are increasing in Korea due to climate change and globalization. To prevent such outbreaks, it is necessary to predict and control pest occurrences in advance. Crop pests have been predicted through process-based or statistical modeling; however, the limitations of these models, which rely solely on historically acquired domain knowledge and data, have become increasingly prominent owing to climate change and rapidly changing agricultural ecosystems. To overcome these limitations, artificial neural network (ANN)-based models that use continuous pest survey data in the field have been investigated over the last decade. However, because pest survey data are collected by humans through process-mediated methods, fundamental problems exist in terms of data quality and size that may hinder the performance of the resulting ANN-based models. In this study, to determine the minimum pest data size required to ensure the optimal performance of ANN-based models, we developed feed-forward neural network models for 19 rice pests using 23 pest datasets collected from 149 districts by the Rural Development Administration of Korea over 19 years (2002–2020). Using each ANN-based model, the minimum data size required for the highest model performance achieved in this study was determined for all 19 rice pests. Furthermore, we developed a decision-tree rule to estimate the minimum data size based on the selected characteristics of each pest. The final Decision tree rule, based on the distinction between diseases and insect pests and the balance of pest data (the relative ratio of pest occurrence data to non-occurrence data), showed a relatively good performance (70.24 %) in the 3-fold cross-validation test. Overall, these results indicate that the minimum data sizes required for ANN modeling vary among rice pests, depending on the pest data characteristics, as indicated by the Decision tree rule developed in this study.

Energy and economic analysis of building integrated photovoltaic thermal system: Seasonal dynamic modeling assisted with machine learning-aided method and multi-objective genetic optimization

Building integrated photovoltaic thermal (BIPV/T) systems offer a highly effective means of generating clean energy for both electricity and heating purposes in residential buildings. Hence, this article introduces a new BIPV/T system to optimally minimize the energy consumption of a household residential building. The meticulous design of the proposed BIPV/T system is accomplished through MATLAB/Simulink® dynamic modeling. Performance analysis for the BIPV/T system is performed under different seasonal conditions with in-depth techno-economic analyses to estimate the expected enhancement in the thermal, electrical, and economic performance of the system. Moreover, a sensitivity analysis is conducted to explore the impact of various factors on the energetic and economic performances of the proposed BIPV/T system. More so, the two-layer feed-forward back-propagation artificial neural network modeling is developed to accurately predict the hourly solar radiation and ambient temperature for the BIPV/T. Additionally, a multi-objective optimization using the NSGA-II method is also conducted for the minimization of the total BIPV/T plant area and maximization of the total efficiency and net thermal power of the system as well as to estimate the optimized operating conditions for input variables across different seasons within the provided ranges. The sensitivity analysis revealed that higher solar flux levels lead to increased electric output power of the BIPV/T plant, but total efficiency decreases due to higher thermal losses. Moreover, the proposed NSGA-II shows a feasible method to attain a maximum net thermal power and optimal total efficiency of 5320 W and 63% with a minimal total plant area of 32.89 m2 that attained a very low deviation index from the ideal solution. The levelised cost of electricity is obtained as 0.10 $/kWh under the optimal conditions. Thus, these findings offer valuable insights into the potential of BIPV/T systems as a sustainable and efficient energy solution for residential applications.