Factor In Economic Development Research Articles

Urban land use simulation and carbon-related driving factors analysis based on RF-CA in Shanghai, China

As global climate change intensifies, climate protection is important for the sustainable development of human society. In the process of urbanization and industrialization, carbon dioxide emissions are an important factor contributing to global warming. Therefore, modelling projections of future urban land use under low-carbon scenarios are essential for sustainability policy development. Few studies have focused on the impact of carbon emissions on urban land use change in Shanghai, as current research has primarily concentrated on developing methods for urban land use modelling. This paper utilizes a cellular automata (CA) simulation model based on the Random Forest (RF) algorithm to select various spatial variables of carbon emissions as the driving factors that affect urban land use changes. These variables include traffic location factors, economic development factors, electricity consumption, and population density. In this study, remote sensing imagery of urban nighttime lighting is also used to construct a simulation model of land use types in Shanghai. The model is then used to analyze the contribution of carbon emission constraints to urban land use changes. Actual historical land use data from 2013 and 2019 are used for validation, and the prediction model is used to predict land use outcomes under different low-carbon scenarios in 2025. The model is validated by simulating multiple intra-city land use maps for 2019 (kappa = 0.88, OA=92.71 %). The method of out-of-bag error from the random forest is used to evaluate the significance of carbon emission constraints. Using the validated model, the constraints in the CA model are changed to predict the land use simulation results of Shanghai in 2025 under different low-carbon scenarios. In terms of significance, factors such as distance to power plants, distance to major roads, real GDP, and population density can all have a significant impact on changes in urban land use. By selecting the low-carbon scenario with the most appropriate thresholds for each driver, it is possible to obtain the land use simulation results of Shanghai in 2025 under the optimal low-carbon scenario, while ensuring the high accuracy of the RF-CA model and simultaneously reducing the impact of factors on the city’s overall carbon emissions. This paper provides a scientific base for urban planners and scholars to thoughtfully design urban land use while cutting down on carbon emissions. Furthermore, it can aid government agencies in establishing associated planning approaches.

Productive Performance of Biomass Sorghum (Sorghum bicolor (L.) Moench) and Cowpea (Vigna unguiculata (L.) Walp) Cultivars in Different Cropping Systems and Planting Times

Global projections indicate that the demand for fresh water, energy, and food will increase significantly in the coming decades under the pressure of population growth, economic development, climate change, and other factors. Faced with this, technologies that promote sustainable development through the use of clean energy will be imperative. That way, this study aimed at evaluating the productive performance of biomass sorghum and cowpea cultivars in different cropping systems and planting seasons. The experiment was conducted at the Caatinga Experimental Field at Embrapa Semiarid, Petrolina—PE. Four cowpea (BRS Itaim, BRS Gurguéia, BRS Guariba, and BRS Carijó) and two biomass sorghum cultivars (BRS 716 and AGRI-002E) were used in intercropping and monoculture systems. The cultivars were sown during two different seasons: June (season 1—winter) and December (season 2—summer) of 2021. The biometric and productive parameters and land equivalent ratios (LERs) of sorghum and cowpea were evaluated. The data were subjected to multivariate analysis. The productive performance of biomass sorghum cultivars Agri-002E and BRS 716 was higher when planted in December, with an increase of 37% due to the planting season. Cowpea productivity was not influenced by sowing seasons or the cultivation system. Based on the calculation of efficient land use, the intercropping between biomass sorghum cultivar BRS 716 and cowpea cultivars BRS Gurguéia, BRS Guariba, and BRS Carijó was advantageous when compared to monocultures planted in the hottest season. This study showed the importance of cultivar selection, the planting time, and land use efficiency in intercropping systems.

Challenges and perspectives of universal circular green economy in Georgia

The green economy is a priority factor for the sustainable development of the country's economy, which we can confidently consider as one of the important factors of economic development, strategic protection of the environment and social security of the population, which is unthinkable without the introduction and further development of one of its distinct and inseparable effective components, the universal circular green economy, because through it is possible to achieve the three most remarkable effects for the planet and humanity. The process of transformation of the traditional economy into a green circular economy, despite being a vital and critical necessity, has been a significant problem in all periods and still faces great challenges today. According to the Global Green Economy Index (GGEI), Georgia currently holds a not too bad position in terms of the implementation and development of a universal circular green economy, which in turn is an effective way to economic development, both in the direction of the production of renewable and recyclable resources, as well as the introduction and use of a wide range of biotechnologies and By preserving biodiversity. But, like all important state reforms, the introduction of a universal green circular economy and its further development requires a lot of effort and financial resources, both from the state and from all actors and business sectors interested in this issue, which are not immune to various challenges in its development and regulation. in stages. The paper analyzes the stages and challenges of the introduction, development and regulation of universal circular green economy in Georgia.

FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATE PREDICTION OF INDONESIA'S LARGEST TRADING PARTNER BASED ON VECTOR ERROR CORRECTION MODEL

Foreign exchange rates from the currencies of trading partners are a critical element in the development of Indonesia's economic landscape. As an active country in international trade, Indonesia's economic health is highly dependent on trade partnerships, movements, and interactions of foreign exchange rates from Indonesia's main trading partners. To achieve economic stability, Bank Indonesia intervenes in the foreign exchange market to keep the Rupiah exchange rate within a reasonable range. Indonesia is committed to achieving several points in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), such as point 17, which emphasizes partnerships, and point 8, which underlines inclusive and sustainable economic growth. This commitment is an important factor in Indonesia's economic development. Therefore, it is necessary to predict the exchange rate value of Indonesia's largest trading partners considering these SDG aspects. In this study, the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) was used to predict the foreign exchange rate of Indonesia's largest trading partners. The data used in this study is secondary data obtained from the investing.com webpage, comprising weekly data from January 2021 to November 2023. The foreign exchange rates of Indonesia's largest trading partners have a cointegration relationship, indicating long-term relationships and similarities in movements. The best model identified is VECM (1), with a very accurate MAPE value of 3.29%. The Impulse Response Function (IRF) analysis shows that the Chinese Yuan responds variably to different currencies, stabilizing over time. Variance Decomposition reveals that short-term fluctuations in the Chinese Yuan are primarily influenced by itself (87.89%) and significantly by the Singapore Dollar, South Korean Won, and Taiwan Dollar. The Granger Causality Test indicates that the Philippine Peso influences 11 other exchange rates, refining the VECM model and improving prediction accuracy. Indonesia is expected to build economic collaborations that can help achieve economic stability.

EU Capacity to Bolster and Stimulate Research and Innovation: Who is the Leader in Development?

Abstract This study investigates the role of innovation in attaining economic growth and development in the 27 EU Member States (EU-27). Our analytical approach employs advanced panel data econometric methods, including an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model and data mapping analysis. Additionally, an interactive approach to regulatory quality was introduced to evaluate its influence on economic development. The results suggest that innovation significantly impacts economic development in both the long and short term. Empirical evidence indicates that the quality of regulatory frameworks is a main factor in shaping economic development in both the long and short terms. The main findings imply the need for countries to align their strategies with the effective integration of digital technologies and sustained innovation and further substantially invest resources in R&D capabilities to ensure robust economic progress. Among the countries examined, Sweden, the Netherlands, Finland, and Denmark exhibited the highest levels of innovation. Some nations, with significant economic potential, such as Romania and Bulgaria, tend to underinvest in R&D.

Multiplier and investment in modern Russia in the context of stimulating economic development in the context of sanctions

Aim. To analyze the degree of investment impact on economic growth in modern Russia.Objectives. To study the multiplier effect as a key tool for stimulating economic activity and creating new jobs, developing innovations and reducing social inequality; to identify its significance for the national economy in modern conditions of inherent uncertainty.Methods. The research is based on the empirical study of the multiplier effect and gas pedal effect on the materials of the modern Russian economy. The analysis is based on the use of dynamic time series, definition of dependent and independent variables in the context of identified correlations between them. The data of literary sources on the assessment of the impact of the investment multiplier effect on economic growth were also studied.Results. The multiplier effect can have a significant impact on the formation of the structure of the economy, contributing to an increase in production, reducing unemployment and improving the standard of living of the population. The study of this effect allows us to better understand the mechanisms of economic functioning and develop recommendations for optimizing investment policy to achieve sustainable economic growth, which is important for modern Russia developing under sanctions pressure. The study of paired regression revealed a mathematical relationship between the increase in investment in fixed capital and the growth of gross domestic product (GDP), as well as between GDP growth and the increase in investment in fixed capital. The high correlation coefficient (r = 0.945896) and coefficient of determination (R² = 89.47 %) confirm that there is a strong relationship between fixed capital investment and GDP. This indicates that most of the changes in output can be explained through changes in fixed capital investment.Conclusions. The results of the analysis confirm the importance of investment in fixed capital as a key factor of economic growth and development in modern Russia. Strengthening investment activity allows not only to increase the level of economic development as a whole, but also contributes to the creation of favorable conditions for sustainable growth of income of the population, innovation activity, etc. In this regard, investment stimulation should become one of the priorities in the current Russian economic policy.

Systematic review of the economic impacts of bioenergy on agricultural markets

This systematic review examines the economic impacts of bioenergy on agricultural markets, synthesising findings from existing literature across various regions and climatic conditions. Analysing effects on crop prices, land use decisions, and economic sustainability, the review highlights key insights. It identifies common trends, patterns, and divergences. Bioenergy production interacts with agricultural markets through multiple channels, influenced by policy interventions, technological innovation, and market dynamics. Implications for policy, practice, and future research are discussed, emphasising the importance of considering economic factors in bioenergy development and agricultural policy-making. The findings underscore the need for integrated modeling approaches, data improvements, and cross-sectoral collaboration to inform evidence-based decision-making and promote sustainable bioenergy development. Keywords: Bioenergy, Agricultural Markets, Economic Impacts, Crop Prices, Land Use Decisions, Sustainability.

Tracing residual patterns and microbial communities of pharmaceuticals and personal care products from 17 urban landfills leachate in China

Landfill leachate contributes significantly to the presence of pharmaceuticals and personal care products (PPCPs) in the environment, and is a crucial source of contamination. To examine the occurrence of PPCPs and microbial communities, this study comprehensively investigated the concentrations of PPCPs and the abundance of microorganisms in the leachate from 17 municipal landfills across China. Generally, Lidocaine, Linear alkylbenzene sulfonate-C11, and Triclocarban, which are closely associated with human activities, exhibited a detection frequency of 100 % in the leachate. Driven by consumer demand, analgesic and antipyretic drugs have emerged as the most prominent PPCPs in leachate (accounting for 39.9 %). Notably, the Ibuprofen peaked at 56.3 μg/L. Regarding spatial distribution, the contamination of PPCPs in leachates from the eastern regions of China was significantly higher than that in other regions, owing to the level of economic development and demographic factors. Furthermore, the 16S rRNA results revealed significant differences in microbial communities among the leachates from different areas. Although the impact of PPCPs on microbial communities may not be as significant as that of environmental factors, most positive correlations between PPCPs and microorganisms indicate their potential role in providing nutrients and creating favorable conditions for microbial growth. Overall, this research offers new perspectives on the residual features of PPCPs and the microbial community structure in leachates from various regions in China.

Investigating spatiotemporal patterns and determinants of land resource misallocation in prefecture‐level China

AbstractThe misallocation of land resources is an important factor restricting the high‐quality development of China's economy. Based on the perspective of supply and demand matching, this study proposed a measurement method for the spatial misallocation of land resources and constructed two models for the testing and decomposition of factors affecting land resource spatial misallocation. We used this measurement method and these two models to explore the spatiotemporal characteristics and determinants of the spatial misallocation of land resources in China from 2000 to 2018 with the aim of providing policy recommendations for the correction of land resource misallocation in China and other developing countries. The results showed that the spatial misallocation of land resources in China showed an upward trend with evident spatial differentiation and the proportion of cities with high and severe misallocation increased. Industrial isomorphism and market misallocation are the main driving factors of land misallocation. Government misallocation and factor market abnormal development aggravate land resource misallocation. Extensive economic development and excessive factor agglomeration have a small effect on land resource spatial misallocation. Therefore, strengthening the land supply‐side reform, and implementing differentiated land allocation policies are effective pathways to control land resource misallocation in China.

Риски в направлениях сетевого взаимодействия в области обеспечения региональной экономической безопасности

The article is a study of the issue of risks in the directions of network communication cross providing regional economic safety. A definition of risk and networking is presented. The connection between network communication and the cluster as a factor in sustainable and innovative economic development is shown. An overview of the definition of clusters is given. Regional management, as part of the public management, is aimed at overcoming crisis situations in various areas. The authors pay attention to the digital transformation of the economy and name individual risks that are conduits to the destabilization of regional economic security. The consolidated influence of the state and cluster process participants have a positive effect on the formation of conditions for economic safety. The article makes an attempt to identify the impulses of the impact of network communication for stable regional sustainability and economic safety.

Key Factors Affecting Sustainable Economic Growth in the New Normal Era: An Empirical Analysis of Country Data

Purpose - The global economy has entered a new normal era since the financial crisis of 2007 and 2008. In fact, advanced countries and those emerging have been faced with low growth, low interest rates, low prices, high unemployment, increased government debt, and stricter regulations. Nonetheless, some countries have achieved sustainable economic growth. We attempted to identify factors influencing sustainable economic growth in this era by empirically testing a model with data regarding economic indicators in 25 countries. Design/Methodology - For this empirical test, a panel model was set with nine economic variables for 14 advanced and 11 emerging countries. We conducted both a panel unit root test and a cointegration test in order to measure the stationarity of the data. The results of these tests presented that there have been long-term balanced relationships among the variables. We also conducted another empirical analysis through the fixed effects model and random effects model, and performed a Hausman test to confirm that the fixed effects model was more valid. Findings - Empirical evidence using the fixed effects model showed that the consumption level, capital formation, openness of international trade, urbanization, and innovation ability were significant in promoting the economic development of developed countries, whereas population has a negative impact on the economic development of these countries. In emerging economies, capital formation and education level had a positive effect on sustainable economic growth. Population, openness to international trade, urbanization, and industrial structure had negative impacts on sustainable economic growth. This research contained a certain level of originality in the sense that we analyzed the effects of critical economic indicators on the sustainable economic growth in representative countries that have developed economically in the new normal era. Originality/value - Few studies focus on the inf luencing factors of sustainable economic development in a specific country. We may provide important implications for economic policy makers that want to grow their economies sustainably. We also may enrich a theoretical and practical basis on economic development.

Предпринимательство как фактор стимулирования экономического развития в постиндустриальной экономике

The article examines the specific characteristics of post-industrial economy, including the increase in the share of services in the structure of GDP and employment, the increasing role of information and technology in the activities of organizations. The presented features of post-industrial economy lead to qualitative changes in the factors of economic development, including entrepreneurship. In this regard, it is necessary to analyze the role of entrepreneurship as a factor of stimulating economic development in the modern post-industrial economy. The research analyzes statistical data on the development of the service sector and service entrepreneurship in Russia and foreign countries. In the process of historical and economic analysis the distinctive characteristics of entrepreneurs of industrial and post-industrial period of economic development are compared. The conclusions about the role of entrepreneurship as a factor of stimulating economic development in modern conditions are obtained.

Factors of economic development in the periphery of the Isthmus of Tehuantepec Interoceanic Corridor

The endogenous, human, and social factors influencing the economic development of the municipalities of San Juan Cotzocón and San Pedro y San Pablo Ayutla in the Istmo de Tehuantepec region of the state of Oaxaca are analyzed. The hypothesis posits that the dimensions of endogenous development, social capital, and human capital directly impact the economic development of the respective municipalities. The study involved administering 262 questionnaires to the residents of these municipalities during the month of May 2023. The collected data were examined using exploratory factor analysis to determine the underlying structure and structural equation modeling to estimate the effects and relationships between variables. Results indicate that endogenous development, social capital, and human capital are factors in the economic development of the studied communities, with endogenous development being the most influential factor due to its statistical significance. Notably, the existence of tourist and cultural attractions in the municipalities emerges as a catalyst for local economic development in response to the establishment and operation of the Isthmus of Tehuantepec Interoceanic Corridor.

Digitalization of Education and Information Technologies as a Factor of Digital Economic Development

Digitalization of Education and Information Technologies as a Factor of Digital Economic Development

Research of Factors for Economic Development of the Far East and Arctic

The article contains a correlation analysis of development factors in the Far East and the Arctic for the period of 2013-2022. The results of the study have shown, that the development of the Far East has been dominated by economic and geographical factors related to the proximity of regional and world markets, as well as the level of the economically active population in them. Organizational and economic socio-economic factors (the volume of industrial production and the availability of qualified personnel) have also been the strong factors. The importance of import of machinery, equipment and vehicles, as well as institutional regimes of investment activity (territories for advanced development, the free port of Vladivostok and others) are noted. As for the Arctic, its economic development has been determined equally by natural-climatic, organizational-economic and socio-economic factors, which include mining, the volume of industrial production, as well as the growth of human capital and unemployment rate.

Economic Security in Sub-Saharan Africa: Possible Ways to Address New Challenges

The observed decline in the level of Sub-Saharan Africa’s (SSA) countries economic security is due to the increasing influence of both external factors (the rising volatility of global financial and commodity markets, changes in the policies of international economic organizations and a number of countries, etc.) and internal factors, largely related to their own socio-economic and, in some cases, political instability. This is manifested primarily in the insufficient food supply in the SSA countries as a consequence of the ongoing agricultural crisis. Possible ways to overcome this challenge are connected with the transformation of the agriculture sectors into productive, profitable, and reliable systems that will allow the SSA countries to reach and maintain food security. The agricultural policy aimed at this must take into account the specifics of the local crops and livestock production, the local climate, and the state of rural infrastructure, while making extensive use of new technologies and digital innovations. One of the most important factors for stable economic development is energy security in the context of the ongoing energy transition. The problematic state of energy supply in the SSA countries is manifested in the insufficient supply of electricity for both industrial sectors and the population, rolling blackouts, and rising tariffs. African countries see a solution to this challenge in implementing the strategy aimed at expanding national and regional networks based on the rational use of all available energy resources, creating off-grid systems and small-scale generation in remote areas using renewable energy sources, which will facilitate access to sustainable and technologically advanced energy. Further expansion of cooperation in almost all areas of the energy spectrum between African states and Russian public and private companies, as well as leading universities, will contribute to solving many problems of economic security in Sub-Saharan Africa.

РАЗВИТИЕ ПРЕДПРИНИМАТЕЛЬСКИХ НАВЫКОВ УЧАЩИХСЯ КАК ФАКТОР ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКОГО РАЗВИТИЯ: СТРАТЕГИИ И МЕТОДЫ ОБУЧЕНИЯ

In the modern world, the development of entrepreneurial skills among students is becoming an increasingly important factor for economic development. Entrepreneurship stimulates innovation, contributes to the creation of new jobs and increases the competitiveness of the market. This paper discusses learning strategies and methods aimed at developing students' entrepreneurial skills. Effective strategies include creating a stimulating educational environment where students can experiment, think creatively, and put their knowledge into practice. It is also important to introduce practical entrepreneurship courses that allow students to develop planning, resource management and risk-taking skills. Teaching methods should be interactive and adapted to the needs of students. This includes gaming technologies, case studies, mentoring, and project work. Such methods allow students not only to gain theoretical knowledge, but also to apply it in practice, developing their entrepreneurial abilities.

Temporal-spatial change of China's coastal ecosystem resilience and driving factors analysis

Coastal regions, with both marine and terrestrial characteristics, play an important role in the global ecosystem and their ecological and environmental conditions are of global concern. A better understanding of regional differences in coastal resilience and its drivers facilitates ecosystem management and restoration. In this study, the level of ecological resilience of China's coastal regions from 2000 to 2020 was assessed using a three-pronged resilience assessment framework of resistance, adaptability and resilience, and the key drivers of ecological resilience were identified using geographic probes and geographically weighted regression analyses. The results of the study indicate that: (1) the ecological resilience of China's coastal region is spatially distributed as high resilience in the southern part of the study area and low resilience in the northern part of the study area; (2) the areas with higher rates of change are distributed in the Bohai Bay, Yangtze River estuary and Pearl River estuary; (3) in terms of drivers, economic development factors and environmental protection measures have a relatively large impact on changes in resilience and vary from region to region. The case study provides a systematic and quantitative framework for assessing the resilience of integrated coastal management and sustainable development.

Specific features of forming the socio-economic development strategy of a modern enterprise

Methods. During the research, the following methods of scientific research were used: abstraction – when determining the essence of the socio-economic development of an enterprise; comparison – when comparing the factors of economic and social development of an enterprise; systems approach – when forming the principles of the socio-economic business development model; logic – when developing an algorithm for implementing the main elements of the model into the strategy of socio-economic development of modern enterprises. Results. The essence of the socio-economic development of an enterprise is characterized. It has been demonstrated that in order to ensure the effective operation of any enterprise, the process of developing a strategy for its socio-economic development, which combines economic and social components, is important. Such a combination allows the enterprise to achieve higher competitiveness, which is formed due to both material factors (cost reduction, profit maximization) and the influence of intangible components - reputation, customer loyalty, trust. The desire of the management of a vast majority of Ukrainian enterprises to plan their activities in order to avoid risks and threats from the external environment, as well as the formation of adaptive business stability, has been revealed. The work shows the limitations of such an approach and actualizes attention to the importance of improving the level of qualification (special knowledge, skills and abilities) of the management personnel of an organization, directly responsible for the strategic direction of its functioning and development. Novelty. The principles of building a model of socio-economic development of business are singled out and an algorithm for implementing its main elements into the strategy of socioeconomic development of modern enterprises is proposed. Practical value. The principles of building a model of socio-economic development of business are pointed out: the economic situation of an enterprise, the level of its social development, innovativeness; the number of employees who have undergone advanced training; the rate of growth (or decrease) in the volume of product sales; profitability (loss) dynamics; implementation of the principles of corporate social responsibility; a set of alternatives for the parallel implementation of strategies for economic and social development of the enterprise; the goals for improving the socio-economic development of the enterprise are defined; criteria for choosing the best solution are established; the usefulness (efficiency) of the implementation of possible alternatives will allow enterprises to have reliable guidelines in their activities and to develop effective strategies for the future.

Analysis of Influencing Factors of Economic Development and Growth

This article is based on the background of economic development and economic development is an important factor for a country or region to achieve prosperity and sustained growth. With the advancement of globalization and the rapid development of science and technology, economic development has become one of the top priorities for many countries. and reviews 12 literature on the economic development of China and other countries. It provides detailed reviews and suggestions on the ARDL model, multiple linear review model, spatial analysis method, and DSDM model to analyze economic growth factors, economic growth factors in some regions of China and Europe, and economic growth factors in fisheries, coal industry, tertiary industry, and tourism, The conclusion was drawn that Chinas overall economic development prospects are good and there are great opportunities, and the economic specialization of the European Union cannot ensure economic growth. Suggestions were given for the economic development of some industries, environmental economy, and green economy in China.