Exposure-response Relationship Research Articles

Population Pharmacokinetics and Exposure-Response Relationship of Zimberelimab in Chinese Patients with Advanced Tumors.

This study aimed to establish a population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) model using data from 2 clinical trials of zimberelimab, evaluate the pharmacokinetics (PKs) of zimberelimab, explore the feasibility of 360mg once every 3 weeks (Q3W) and 480mg once every 4 weeks (Q4W) as alternative dosage regimens, and analyze the exposure-response relationship of the efficacy and safety of zimberelimab for advanced tumors. The PKs of zimberelimab were described using the 2-compartment model with time-dependent nonlinear elimination. The prediction-corrected visual predictive check was used to evaluate the model's predictive value on blood drug concentrations. In total, 2165 PK observations from 321 participants were included. The PopPK model demonstrated a high level of concordance between the observed data and the predicted values, indicative of a robust fit to the PK data of zimberelimab. The PK variables were similar for the 240mg once every 2 weeks, 360mg Q3W, and 480mg Q4W regimens. No covariates significantly affecting the PK variables in the final model were found. The exposure variables of zimberelimab have no obvious correlations with efficacy and safety, and 360mg Q3W and 480mg Q4W are worthy of further study. This study establishes a PopPK model and analyzes the exposure-response relationship of zimberelimab, which helps to explore the potential for alternative dosing regimens and offers a foundation for optimizing therapeutic strategies for advanced cancer patients through simulation-based methods.

A joint model of longitudinal pharmacokinetic and time-to-event data to study exposure-response relationships: a proof-of-concept study with alectinib.

In exposure-response analyses of oral targeted anticancer agents, longitudinal plasma trough concentrations are often aggregated into a single value even though plasma trough concentrations can vary over time due to dose adaptations, for example. The aim of this study was to compare joint models to conventional exposure-response analyses methods with the application of alectinib as proof-of-concept. Joint models combine longitudinal pharmacokinetic data and progression-free survival data to infer the dependency and association between the two datatypes. The results from the best joint model and the standard and time-dependent cox proportional hazards models were compared. To normalize the data, alectinib trough concentrations were normalized using a sigmoidal transformation to transformed trough concentrations (TTC) before entering the models. No statistically significant exposure-response relationship was observed in the different Cox models. In contrast, the joint model with the current value of TTC in combination with the average TTC over time did show an exposure-response relationship for alectinib. A one unit increase in the average TTC corresponded to an 11% reduction in progression (HR, 0.891; 95% confidence interval, 0.805-0.988). Joint models are able to give insights in the association structure between plasma trough concentrations and survival outcomes that would otherwise not be possible using Cox models. Therefore, joint models should be used more often in exposure-response analyses of oral targeted anticancer agents.

Short-term ozone exposure and cancer mortality in Brazil: A nationwide case-crossover study.

Exposure to ambient ozone (O3) is linked to increased mortality risks from various diseases, but epidemiological investigations delving into its potential implications for cancer mortality are limited. We aimed to examine the association between short-term O3 exposure and site-specific cancer mortality and investigate vulnerable subgroups in Brazil. In total 3,459,826 cancer death records from 5570 Brazilian municipalities between 2000 and 2019, were included. Municipal average daily O3 concentration was calculated from a global estimation at 0.25°×0.25° spatial resolution. Thetime-stratified case-crossover design was applied to assess the O3-cancer mortality association. Subgroup analyses by age, sex, season, time-period, region, urban hierarchy, climate classification, quantiles of GDP per capita and illiteracy rates were performed. A linear and non-threshold exposure-response relationship was observed for short-term exposure to O3 with cancer mortality, with a 1.00% (95% CI: 0.79%-1.20%) increase in all-cancer mortality risks for each 10-μg/m3 increment of three-day average O3. Kidney cancer was most strongly with O3 exposure, followed by cancers of the prostate, stomach, breast, lymphoma, brain and lung. The associated cancer risks were relatively higher in the warm season and in southern Brazil, with a decreasing trend over time. When restricting O3 concentration to the national minimum value during 2000-2019, a total of 147,074 (116,690-177,451) cancer deaths could be avoided in Brazil, which included 17,836 (7014-28,653) lung cancer deaths. Notably, these associations persisted despite observed adaptation within the Brazilian population, highlighting the need for a focus on incorporating specific measures to mitigate O3 exposure into cancer care recommendations.

Short-term ozone exposure and cancer mortality in Brazil: A nationwide case-crossover study.

Exposure to ambient ozone (O3) is linked to increased mortality risks from various diseases, but epidemiological investigations delving into its potential implications for cancer mortality are limited. We aimed to examine the association between short-term O3 exposure and site-specific cancer mortality and investigate vulnerable subgroups in Brazil. In total 3,459,826 cancer death records from 5570 Brazilian municipalities between 2000 and 2019, were included. Municipal average daily O3 concentration was calculated from a global estimation at 0.25°×0.25° spatial resolution. Thetime-stratified case-crossover design was applied to assess the O3-cancer mortality association. Subgroup analyses by age, sex, season, time-period, region, urban hierarchy, climate classification, quantiles of GDP per capita and illiteracy rates were performed. A linear and non-threshold exposure-response relationship was observed for short-term exposure to O3 with cancer mortality, with a 1.00% (95% CI: 0.79%-1.20%) increase in all-cancer mortality risks for each 10-μg/m3 increment of three-day average O3. Kidney cancer was most strongly with O3 exposure, followed by cancers of the prostate, stomach, breast, lymphoma, brain and lung. The associated cancer risks were relatively higher in the warm season and in southern Brazil, with a decreasing trend over time. When restricting O3 concentration to the national minimum value during 2000-2019, a total of 147,074 (116,690-177,451) cancer deaths could be avoided in Brazil, which included 17,836 (7014-28,653) lung cancer deaths. Notably, these associations persisted despite observed adaptation within the Brazilian population, highlighting the need for a focus on incorporating specific measures to mitigate O3 exposure into cancer care recommendations.

Model-informed drug development of envafolimab, a subcutaneously injectable PD-L1 antibody, in patients with advanced solid tumors.

Envafolimab is the first and only globally approved subcutaneously injectable PD-L1 antibody for the treatment of instability-high (MSI-H) or DNA mismatch repair deficient (dMMR) advanced solid tumors in adults, including those with advanced colorectal cancer that has progressed after treatment with a fluoropyrimidine, oxaliplatin, and irinotecan. The aim of this investigation was to examine the pharmacokinetic and exposure-response (E-R) profile of envafolimab in patients with solid tumors to support the approval of fixed and alternative dose regimens. In this study, a population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) modeling approach will be employed to quantitatively evaluate intrinsic and extrinsic covariates. Additionally, PopPK-estimated exposure parameters were used to evaluate E-R relationship for safety and efficacy to provide a theoretical basis for recommending optimal treatment regimens. Simulations were performed on the dosing regimens of body weight-based regimen of 2.50mg/kg QW, fixed dose 150mg QW, and 300mg Q2W for the selection of alternative dosing regimens. Data from 4 clinical studies (NCT02827968, NCT03101488, NCT03248843, and NCT03667170) were utilized. The PopPK dataset comprised 182 patients with 1810 evaluable envafolimab concentration records. Finally, a one-compartment model incorporating first-order absorption, first-order linear elimination, and time-dependent elimination according to an Emax function was found to accurately describe the concentration-time data of envafolimab in patients with advanced solid tumors. Creatinine clearance and country were identified as statistically significant factors affecting clearance, but had limited clinical significance. A relative flat exposure-response relationship was observed between early measures of safety and efficacy to verify that no dose adjustment is required. Simulation results indicated that 2.50mg/kg QW, 150mg QW, and 300mg Q2W regimen yield similar steady-state exposure. No statistically significant difference was observed between weight-based and fixed dose regimens. Model-based simulation supports the adoption of a 150mg weekly or 300mg biweekly dosing regimen of envafolimab in the solid tumor population, as these schedules effectively balance survival benefits and safety risks.

Model-informed drug development of envafolimab, a subcutaneously injectable PD-L1 antibody, in patients with advanced solid tumors.

Envafolimab is the first and only globally approved subcutaneously injectable PD-L1 antibody for the treatment of instability-high (MSI-H) or DNA mismatch repair deficient (dMMR) advanced solid tumors in adults, including those with advanced colorectal cancer that has progressed after treatment with a fluoropyrimidine, oxaliplatin, and irinotecan. The aim of this investigation was to examine the pharmacokinetic and exposure-response (E-R) profile of envafolimab in patients with solid tumors to support the approval of fixed and alternative dose regimens. In this study, a population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) modeling approach will be employed to quantitatively evaluate intrinsic and extrinsic covariates. Additionally, PopPK-estimated exposure parameters were used to evaluate E-R relationship for safety and efficacy to provide a theoretical basis for recommending optimal treatment regimens. Simulations were performed on the dosing regimens of body weight-based regimen of 2.50mg/kg QW, fixed dose 150mg QW, and 300mg Q2W for the selection of alternative dosing regimens. Data from 4 clinical studies (NCT02827968, NCT03101488, NCT03248843, and NCT03667170) were utilized. The PopPK dataset comprised 182 patients with 1810 evaluable envafolimab concentration records. Finally, a one-compartment model incorporating first-order absorption, first-order linear elimination, and time-dependent elimination according to an Emax function was found to accurately describe the concentration-time data of envafolimab in patients with advanced solid tumors. Creatinine clearance and country were identified as statistically significant factors affecting clearance, but had limited clinical significance. A relative flat exposure-response relationship was observed between early measures of safety and efficacy to verify that no dose adjustment is required. Simulation results indicated that 2.50mg/kg QW, 150mg QW, and 300mg Q2W regimen yield similar steady-state exposure. No statistically significant difference was observed between weight-based and fixed dose regimens. Model-based simulation supports the adoption of a 150mg weekly or 300mg biweekly dosing regimen of envafolimab in the solid tumor population, as these schedules effectively balance survival benefits and safety risks.

Association between ambient temperature and cause-specific mortality: An individual-level case-crossover study in Suzhou, China

The changing climate poses a growing challenge to the population health. The objective of this study was to assess the association between ambient temperature and cause-specific mortality in Suzhou. Based on the non-accidental mortality data collected during 2008–2022 in Suzhou, China, this study utilized an individual-level case-crossover design to evaluate the associations of temperature with cause-specific mortality. We applied a distributed lag nonlinear model with a maximum lag of 14 days to account for lag effects. Mortality risk due to extreme cold (<2.5th percentile) and extreme heat (>97.5th percentile) was analyzed. A total of 634,530 non-accidental deaths were analyzed in this study. An inverse J-shaped exposure-response relationship was observed between ambient temperature and non-accidental mortality, with the minimum mortality temperature (MMT) at 29.1℃. The relative risk (RR) of mortality associated with extreme cold (2.5th percentile) was 1.37 [95 % confidence interval (CI): 1.30, 1.44], higher than estimate of 1.09 (95 %CI: 1.07, 1.11) for extreme heat (97.5th percentile) relative to the MMT. Heat effect lasted for 2–3 days, while cold effect could persist for almost 14 days. Higher mortality risk estimates were observed for cardiorespiratory deaths compared to total deaths, with statistically significant between-group differences. Consequently, this study provides first-hand evidence on the associations between ambient temperatures and mortality risks from various causes, which could help local government and policy-makers in designing targeted strategies and public health measures against the menace of climate change.

Exposure to source-specific air pollution in residential areas and its association with dementia incidence: a cohort study in Northern Sweden

The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between source-specific ambient particulate air pollution concentrations and the incidence of dementia. The study encompassed 70,057 participants from the Västerbotten intervention program cohort in Northern Sweden with a median age of 40 years at baseline. High-resolution dispersion models were employed to estimate source-specific particulate matter (PM) concentrations, such as PM10 and PM2.5 from traffic, exhaust, and biomass (mainly wood) burning, at the residential addresses of each participant. Cox regression models, adjusted for potential confounding factors, were used for the assessment. Over 884,847 person-years of follow-up, 409 incident dementia cases, identified through national registers, were observed. The study population’s average exposure to annual mean total PM10 and PM2.5 lag 1–5 years was 9.50 µg/m3 and 5.61 µg/m3, respectively. Increased risks were identified for PM10-Traffic (35% [95% CI 0–82%]) and PM2.5-Exhaust (33% [95% CI − 2 to 79%]) in the second exposure tertile for lag 1–5 years, although no such risks were observed in the third tertile. Interestingly, a negative association was observed between PM2.5-Wood burning and the risk of dementia. In summary, this register-based study did not conclusively establish a strong association between air pollution exposure and the incidence of dementia. While some evidence indicated elevated risks for PM10-Traffic and PM2.5-Exhaust, and conversely, a negative association for PM2.5-Wood burning, no clear exposure–response relationships were evident.

Future temperature-related mortality in the UK under climate change scenarios: impact of population ageing and bias-corrected climate projections

BackgroundExposure to heat and cold poses a serious threat to human health. In the UK, hotter summers, milder winters and an ageing population will shift how populations experience temperature-related health burdens. Estimating future burdens can provide insights on the drivers of temperature-related health effects and removing biases in temperature projections is an essential step to generating these estimates, however, the impact of various methods of correction is not well examined. MethodsWe conducted a detailed health impact assessment by estimating mortality attributable to temperature at a baseline period (2007-2018) and in future decades (2030s, 2050s and 2070s). Epidemiological exposure-response relationships were derived for all England regions and UK countries, to quantify cold and heat risk, and temperature thresholds where mortality increases. UK climate projections 2018 (UKCP18)were bias-corrected using three techniques: correcting for mean bias (shift or SH), variability (bias-correction or BC) and extreme values (quantile mapping or QM). These were applied in the health impact assessment, alongside consideration of population ageing and growth to estimate future temperature-related mortality. FindingsIn the absence of adaptation and assuming a high-end emissions scenario (RCP8.5), annual UK temperature-related mortality is projected to increase, with substantial differences in raw vs. calibrated projections for heat-related mortality, but smaller differences for cold-related mortality. The BC approach gave an estimated 29 deaths per 100,000 in the 2070s, compared with 50 per 100,000 using uncorrected future temperatures. We also found population ageing may exert a bigger impact on future mortality totals than the impact from future increases in temperature alone. Estimating future health burdens associated with heat and cold is an important step towards equipping decision-makers to deliver suitable care to the changing population. Correcting inherent biases in temperature projections can improve the accuracy of projected health burdens to support health protection measures and long-term resilience planning.

Emergency room visits (ERVs) among occupational groups associated with ambient conditions in Taiwan.

This population-based study explored emergency room visits (ERVs) from all-causes, circulatory and respiratory diseases among different occupational groups in Taiwan associated with ambient average temperature. Daily area-age-sex specific ERVs records were obtained from the Taiwan's Ministry of Health and Welfare from 2009 to 2018. Distributed lag-nonlinear model (DLNM) was used to estimate the exposure-response relationships between daily average temperature and ERVs for all-causes, circulatory and respiratory diseases by occupational groups. Random-effects meta-analysis was used to pool the overall cumulative relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). The exposure-response curves showed ERVs of all-cause and respiratory diseases increased with rising temperature across all occupational groups. These effects were consistently stronger among younger (20-64 years old) and outdoor workers. In contrast, ERVs risk from circulatory diseases increased significantly during cold snaps, with a substantially higher risk for female workers. Interestingly, female workers, regardless of indoor or outdoor work, consistently showed a higher risk of respiratory ERVs during hot weather compared to males. Younger workers (20-64 years old) exhibited a higher risk of ERVs, likely due to job profiles with greater exposure to extreme temperatures. Notably, the highest risk of all-causes ERVs was observed in outdoor male laborers (union members), followed by farmers and private employees, with the lowest risk among indoor workers. Conversely, female indoor workers and female farmers faced the highest risk of respiratory ERVs. Again, female farmers with consistent outdoor exposure had the highest risk of circulatory ERVs during cold conditions. Our findings highlighted the complexity of temperature-related health risks associated with different occupational contexts. The population-level insights into vulnerable occupational groups could provide valuable comprehension for policymakers and healthcare practitioners.

SERENE ER Analysis Part 2 SERENE-UC: Exposure-response Analysis of Higher Versus Standard Adalimumab Dosing Regimens for Patients with Moderately to Severely Active Ulcerative Colitis.

SERENE UC (NCT02065622) evaluated whether a higher adalimumab induction regimen improved patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) response, but a flat dose-response relationship was found in the induction study. We investigated exposure-response (ER) relationships in induction and maintenance studies considering patients' baseline characteristics. Adalimumab exposures were simulated using the established population pharmacokinetic model. Multivariable logistic regressions were used to assess the efficacy endpoints (clinical remission, endoscopic remission, endoscopic improvement) at weeks 8 and 52. In the induction study, an increasing ER trend with heterogeneity between induction regimens was shown, suggesting average concentration (Cavg) had a significant impact on primary efficacy endpoints within each group. However, data were not described by a single ER curve. Using inverse effective clearance as the exposure metric described trends across induction regimens with a single curve. Patients with inherently lower effective adalimumab clearance responded better. The patient response rates at week 52 showed no heterogeneity. A short-term increase in adalimumab dose did not drive better responses for induction, and apparent ER relationships were better explained by patient-inherent lower clearance. Conversely, during maintenance up to week 52, increasing the concentration via dose translated to better responses more robustly. The ER findings for SERENE UC were consistent with SERENE CD.

Enhancing the health benefits of air quality improvement: a comparative study across diverse scenarios.

In many studies, linear methods were used to calculate health benefits of air quality improvement, but the relationship between air pollutants and diseases may be complex and nonlinear. In addition, previous studies using reference number as average number of diseases may overestimate the health benefits. Therefore, the nonlinear model estimation and resetting of the reference number were very important. Hospital admission data for coronary heart disease (CHD), meteorological data, and air pollutant data of Zibo City from 2015 to 2019 were collected. The generalized additive model (GAM) was used to explore the association between air pollutants and hospital admission for CHD, and to evaluate the effects on health benefits under different reference number settings. A total of 21,105 hospitalized cases for CHD were reported in Zibo during the study period. The results of the GAM showed there was a log-linear exposure-response relationship between O3 and hospital admissions for CHD, with RR (relative risk) of 1.0143 (95% CI: 1.0047 ~ 1.0239). There were log-nonlinear exposure-response relationships between PM10, PM2.5, SO2, and hospital admissions for CHD. With the increase of pollutants concentrations, the risk for hospital admission showed a trend of increasing first and then decreasing. Compared with the average hospital admissions as the reference number, health benefits calculated by hospital admissions predicted by the GAM model yielded lower. Using the World Health Organization air quality guidelines as reference, attributable fractions of O3, PM10, and PM2.5 were 1.97% (95% CI: 0.63 ~ 3.40%), 11.82% (95% CI: 8.60 ~ 15.24%), and 11.82% (95% CI: 8.79 ~ 15.04%), respectively. When quantifying health benefits brought by improving air quality, corresponding calculation methods should first be determined according to the exposure-response relationships between air pollutants and outcomes. Then, applying the average hospital admissions as reference number may overestimate health benefits resulting from improved air quality.

Population pharmacokinetics of Ainuovirine and exposure-response analysis in human immunodeficiency virus-infected individuals.

Ainuovirine (ANV) is a new generation of non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor for the treatment of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) type 1 infection. This study aimed to evaluate the population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) profile and exposure-response relationship of ANV among people living with HIV. Plasma concentration-time data from phase 1 and phase 3 clinical trials of ANV were pooled for developing the PopPK model. Exposure estimates obtained from the final model were used in exposure-response analysis for virologic responses and safety responses. ANV exhibited a nonlinear pharmacokinetic profile, which was best described by a two-compartment model with first-order elimination. There were no significant covariates correlated to the pharmacokinetic parameters of ANV. The PopPK parameter estimate (relative standard error [%]) for CL/F was 6.46 (15.00) L/h, and the clearance of ANV increased after multiple doses. The exposure-response model revealed no significant correlation between the virologic response (HIV-RNA <50 copies/mL) at 48 weeks and the exposure, but the incidence of adverse events increased with the increasing exposure( P value of steady-state trough concentration and area under the steady-state curve were 0.0177 and 0.0141, respectively). Our PopPK model supported ANV 150mg once daily as the recommended dose for people living with HIV, requiring no dose adjustment for the studied factors. Optimization of ANV dose may be warranted in clinical practice due to an increasing trend in adverse reactions with increasing exposure. Chinese Clinical Trial Registry https://www.chictr.org.cn (Nos. ChiCTR1800018022 and ChiCTR1800019041).

Association between exposure to organophosphorus pesticide and suicidal ideation among U.S. adults: A population-based study

ObjectiveThis study aims to investigate the potential link between exposure to organophosphorus pesticides (OPPs) and suicidal ideation (SI) among adults. MethodsThis study encompassed four cycles of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), involving 5244 participants aged 20 and above. SI was assessed using the Patient Health Questionnaire-9. The levels of exposure to OPPs were estimated by analyzing concentrations of OPP metabolites in urine samples. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to explore the association between exposure to each OPP and SI. Stratified analyses and interaction tests were conducted across various groups, including pairwise combinations of gender and age, as well as body mass index, smoking status, hypertension, and diabetes. Weighted Quantile Sum (WQS) regression and Bayesian Kernel Machine Regression (BKMR) models were applied to assess the cumulative impact of exposure to the four OPPs on SI, along with their respective contributions. Additionally, the potential interactions among these four OPPs were evaluated. ResultsMultivariate logistic regression revealed that only dimethylthiophosphate (DMTP) among OPPs demonstrated a statistically significant positive association with SI [OR: 1.18; 95 % CI: 1.02–1.37]. Stratified analyses indicated that the influence of OPPs on SI was particularly pronounced in young and older men. The WQS regression analysis revealed a statistically significant association between the mixed metabolites of OPPs and SI [OR = 1.10, 95 % CI: 1.04–1.16], with DMTP (weighted 0.63) contributing the most. Furthermore, the BKMR model supported a positive trend in the overall impact of these OPP metabolites on SI, displaying notable individual exposure-response relationships for DMTP (PIP: 0.77). ConclusionsOur study suggests an association between exposure to DMTP and an increased risk of SI. Specifically, young adult males and older males appear particularly susceptible to the effects of OPP exposure.

Scaling features in high-concentrations PM2.5 evolution: the Ignored factor affecting scarlet fever incidence.

As an acute respiratory disease, scarlet fever has great harm to public health. Some evidence indicates that the time distribution pattern of heavy PM2.5 pollution occurrence may have an impact on health risks. This study aims to reveal the relation between scaling features in high-concentrations PM2.5 (HC-PM2.5) evolution and scarlet fever incidence (SFI). Based on the data of Hong Kong from 2012 to 2019, fractal box-counting dimension (D) is introduced to capture the scaling features of HC-PM2.5. It has been found that index D can quantify the time distribution of HC-PM2.5, and lower D values indicate more cluster distribution of HC-PM2.5. Moreover, scale-invariance in HC-PM2.5 at different time scales has been discovered, which indicates that HC-PM2.5 occurrence is not random but follows a typical power-law distribution. Next, the exposure-response relationship between SFI and scale-invariance in HC-PM2.5 is explored by Distributed lag non-linear model, in conjunction with meteorological factors. It has been discovered that scale-invariance in HC-PM2.5 has a nonlinear effect on SFI. Low and moderate D values of HC-PM2.5 are identified as risk factors for SFI at small time-scale. Moreover, relative risk shows a decreasing trend with the increase of exposure time. These results suggest that exposure to short-term clustered HC-PM2.5 makes individual more prone to SFI than exposure to long-term uniform HC-PM2.5. This means that individuals in slightly-polluted regions may face a greater risk of SFI, once the PM2.5 concentration keeps rising. In the future, it is expected that the relative risk of scarlet fever for a specific region can be estimated based on the quantitative analysis of scaling features in high-concentrations PM2.5 evolution.

Association of residential greenness with incident pneumonia: A prospective cohort study

Residential greenness is considered beneficial to human health, and its association with respiratory function has been found in previous studies. However, its link with pneumonia remains unclear. To explore the association of residential greenness with incident pneumonia, we conducted a prospective cohort study based on participants of the UK Biobank, followed from 2006 to 2010 to the end of 2019. Residential greenness was measured by Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) within 500 m and 1000 m buffer. Cox proportional hazard models were conducted to assess the association, and restricted cubic spline models were also constructed to estimate their exposure-response relationship. Results demonstrate that residential greenness was negatively related to the risk of incident pneumonia. An interquartile (IQR) increase in NDVI 500-m buffer was associated with 4 % [HR (95 % CI) =0.96 (0.94, 0.97), P < 0.001] lower risk of incident pneumonia. Compared to the lowest greenness quartile (Q1), the highest quartile (Q4) had a lower risk of incident pneumonia, with the HR (95 % CI) estimated to be 0.91 (0.87, 0.95) (P values <0.001). Analyses based on NDVI 1000-m buffer obtained similar results. Furthermore, a significant effect of modifications by age and income on the linkage between residential greenness and incident pneumonia was found. These findings propose a potential effective prevention of incident pneumonia and provide the scientific basis for promoting the construction of residential greenness.

Standard atezolizumab leads to severe overexposure in real-world patients with lung cancer: How far could we go in extending dosing intervals and saving money?

3085 Background: Immune checkpoint inhibitors are given as fixed doses, which may lead to drug exposure exceeding the plasma concentrations required for target engagement. If confirmed, this could pave the way for de-escalating treatments without compromising efficacy while reducing drug-costs. Methods: We monitored plasma concentrations of Atezolizumab in 40 real-world patients. A final set of 33 patients with SCLC or NSCLC were available for full PK/PD analysis. Individual PK parameters were derived using a population pharmacokinetics approach. Individual PK parameters allowed to simulate the full concentration-time profiles and to further simulate for each patient the time to reach the target threshold after the first dose of Atezolizumab. In addition, efficacy (RECIST criteria) and immune-related adverse events, (IRAEs, CTCAE grading) were monitored and statistical analysis was performed to search for possible exposure-response relationships. Results: Overall Response Rate was 55% and no severe IRAEs were observed. All patients had Cmin levels significantly above the target threshold on the first cycle of Atezolizumab. The mean Cmax after the first dose on cycle 1 was 426.1 µg/ml and the mean Cmin was 68.5 µg/ml, i.e. 11-time higher than the target threshold associated with target engagement (i.e., 6 µg/ml). The mean AUC at the first cycle was 4763 µg.d/ml. Exposure metrics and PK parameters at baseline and simulated prior RECIST evaluation were tested together with other covariates (i.e. age, sex, smoking, NLR, number of metastatic sites, line of treatment) as possible predictive markers of response or toxicity. None of the parameters related to Atezolizumab pharmacokinetics or exposure levels were associated with efficacy or toxicity, most likely because all patients had plasma levels well above pharmacologically active concentrations. First-line therapy was associated with better response on univariate analysis, but this effect was lost on multivariate analysis. Further simulations based on time required to fall below the efficacy threshold suggest that dosing intervals could be extended from Q7W to Q19W (mean: Q12W). Considering the annual budget for Atezolizumab at our institution, further simulations showed that the annual drug cost could thus be reduced from 2.5 M€ to 0.6 M€ while ensuring that all patients remain above active concentrations. Conclusions: Our study demonstrates in a real-world setting that standard Atezolizumab given as 1200 mg Q3W infusion leads to severe overexposure of the drug. This strong overexposure was not associated with more severe treatment-related toxicities. Finally, our study suggests that PK-guided dosing with Atezolizumab could help customizing the dosing interval while maintaining efficacious trough levels and that Q12W could be an alternate scheduling leading to significant cut in drug costs.

Narrative review of occupational exposures and noncommunicable diseases.

Within the scope of the Exposome Project for Health and Occupational Research on applying the exposome concept to working life health, we aimed to provide a broad overview of the status of knowledge on occupational exposures and associated health effects across multiple noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) to help inform research priorities. We conducted a narrative review of occupational risk factors that can be considered to have "consistent evidence for an association," or where there is "limited/inadequate evidence for an association" for 6 NCD groups: nonmalignant respiratory diseases; neurodegenerative diseases; cardiovascular/metabolic diseases; mental disorders; musculoskeletal diseases; and cancer. The assessment was done in expert sessions, primarily based on systematic reviews, supplemented with narrative reviews, reports, and original studies. Subsequently, knowledge gaps were identified, e.g. based on missing information on exposure-response relationships, gender differences, critical time-windows, interactions, and inadequate study quality. We identified over 200 occupational exposures with consistent or limited/inadequate evidence for associations with one or more of 60+ NCDs. Various exposures were identified as possible risk factors for multiple outcomes. Examples are diesel engine exhaust and cadmium, with consistent evidence for lung cancer, but limited/inadequate evidence for other cancer sites, respiratory, neurodegenerative, and cardiovascular diseases. Other examples are physically heavy work, shift work, and decision latitude/job control. For associations with limited/inadequate evidence, new studies are needed to confirm the association. For risk factors with consistent evidence, improvements in study design, exposure assessment, and case definition could lead to a better understanding of the association and help inform health-based threshold levels. By providing an overview of knowledge gaps in the associations between occupational exposures and their health effects, our narrative review will help setting priorities in occupational health research. Future epidemiological studies should prioritize to include large sample sizes, assess exposures prior to disease onset, and quantify exposures. Potential sources of biases and confounding need to be identified and accounted for in both original studies and systematic reviews.

The effects of radiofrequency exposure on cognition: A systematic review and meta-analysis of human observational studies

BackgroundWe aimed to assess evidence of long-term effects of exposure to radiofrequency (RF) electromagnetic fields (EMF) on indicators of cognition, including domains of learning and memory, executive function, complex attention, language, perceptual motor ability and social cognition, and of an exposure–response relationship between RF-EMF and cognition. MethodsWe searched PubMed, Embase, PsycInfo and the EMF-Portal on September 30, 2022 without limiting by date or language of publication. We included cohort or case-control studies that evaluated the effects of RF exposure on cognitive function in one or more of the cognitive domains. Studies were rated for risk of bias using the OHAT tool and synthesised using fixed effects meta-analysis. We assessed the certainty of the evidence using the GRADE approach and considered modification by OHAT for assessing evidence of exposures. ResultsWe included 5 studies that reported analyses of data from 4 cohorts with 4639 participants consisting of 2808 adults and 1831 children across three countries (Australia, Singapore and Switzerland) conducted between 2006 and 2017. The main source of RF-EMF exposure was mobile (cell) phone use measured as calls per week or minutes per day.For mobile phone use in children, two studies (615 participants) that compared an increase in mobile phone use to a decrease or no change were included in meta-analyses. Learning and memory. There was little effect on accuracy (mean difference, MD −0.03; 95% CI −0.07 to 0.02) or response time (MD −0.01; 95% CI −0.04 to 0.02) on the one-back memory task; and accuracy (MD −0.02; 95%CI −0.04 to 0.00) or response time (MD −0.01; 95%CI −0.04 to 0.03) on the one card learning task (low certainty evidence for all outcomes). Executive function. There was little to no effect on the Stroop test for the time ratio ((B-A)/A) response (MD 0.02; 95% CI −0.01 to 0.04, very low certainty) or the time ratio ((D-C)/C) response (MD 0.00; 95% CI −0.06 to 0.05, very low certainty), with both tests measuring susceptibility to interference effects. Complex attention. There was little to no effect on detection task accuracy (MD 0.02; 95% CI −0.04 to 0.08), or response time (MD 0.02;95% CI 0.01 to 0.03), and little to no effect on identification task accuracy (MD 0.00; 95% CI −0.04 to 0.05) or response time (MD 0.00;95% CI −0.01 to 0.02) (low certainty evidence for all outcomes). No other cognitive domains were investigated in children.A single study among elderly people provided very low certainty evidence that more frequent mobile phone use may have little to no effect on the odds of a decline in global cognitive function (odds ratio, OR 0.81; 95% CI 0.42 to 1.58, 649 participants) or a decline in executive function (OR 1.07; 95% CI 0.37 to 3.05, 146 participants), and may lead to a small, probably unimportant, reduction in the odds of a decline in complex attention (OR 0.67;95%CI 0.27 to 1.68, 159 participants) and a decline in learning and memory (OR 0.75; 95% CI 0.29 to 1.99, 159 participants). An exposure–response relationship was not identified for any of the cognitive outcomes. DiscussionThis systematic review and meta-analysis found only a few studies that provided very low to low certainty evidence of little to no association between RF-EMF exposure and learning and memory, executive function and complex attention. None of the studies among children reported on global cognitive function or other domains of cognition. Only one study reported a lack of an effect for all domains in elderly persons but this was of very low certainty evidence. Further studies are needed to address all types of populations, exposures and cognitive outcomes, particularly studies investigating environmental and occupational exposure in adults. Future studies also need to address uncertainties in the assessment of exposure and standardise testing of specific domains of cognitive function to enable synthesis across studies and increase the certainty of the evidence. OtherThis review was partially funded by the WHO radioprotection programme and prospectively registered on PROSPERO CRD42021257548.

Exploring the Effects of Elevated Ozone Concentration on Physiological Processes in Summer Maize in North China Based on Exposure–Response Relationships

Exploring the Effects of Elevated Ozone Concentration on Physiological Processes in Summer Maize in North China Based on Exposure–Response Relationships