Expected Energy Not Supplied Research Articles

Streamlining Smart Grids Reliability Assessment: An Innovative Mapping Approach

Assessing smart grid reliability, considering both cyber and physical components, typically involves a mapping step, escalating complexity and computational overhead. This paper presents a pioneering mapping approach that redefines the fundamental paradigm of smart grid reliability assessment. By leveraging a defined interconnection matrix, the method optimizes computational efficiency, curtailing the array of potential system states. Evaluation employing key performance metrics - Loss of Load Probability (LOLP) and Expected Energy Not Supplied (EENS) - quantitatively demonstrates the superiority of our approach. Also, we explore the ramifications of integrating a dynamic thermal rating (DTR) in the process of reliability assessment, augmenting component safety through permissible enhancements in their ratings. Results underscore a notable reduction in total system states, from 221 to 214 for the bus topology and from 222 to 216 for the ring topology. Moreover, the analysis reveal substantial enhancements (Up to 43.58% ) in reliability indices upon consideration of the DTR system.

Design and optimisation of hybrid solar PV energy system for rural areas in the Narmada Valley, India

This study aims to design and select an optimal hybrid photovoltaic (PV) energy system for rural areas in the Narmada Valley (21.68°N, 74.92°E), Madhya Pradesh (MP) state, India. Two case studies in Narmada Valley (farmhouse and healthcare) were analysed for technical, economic, environmental, and reliability parameters, using MATLAB/Simulink and HOMER Pro software. The result indicates that the PV/BB/DG farmhouse energy system has capital cost of ₹2643200 (CC), an operating cost (OC) of ₹955763, fuel cost (FC) of ₹7240725, net present cost (NPC) of ₹3496135, an annualized cost (AC) of ₹257246 and cost of energy (COE) of ₹12.05. The PV/BB/DG healthcare energy system is CC ₹528640, OC ₹221191, FC ₹1979132, NPC ₹802055, AC ₹53213 and COE ₹12.34. The failure rate, expected energy not supplied (EENS) and loss of load probability (LOLP) of the farmhouse hybrid PV/BB/DG system are 0.0501/yrs, 0.0927 hrs/yrs, 0.4356 kWh/hrs and 1.05822E-05, respectively. The healthcare hybrid PV/BB/DG system failure rate (0.0117199), interruption duration (0.09009), system unavailability (2.16 hours.), EENS (0.234234 kWh/yrs), and LOLP (1.02842E–05) are all much lower than those of other configurations. Hybrid solar PV/BB/DG energy systems provide reliable, cost-effective, reduced environmental impact, sustainability, and job creation in rural areas.

Efficient allocation of energy storage and renewable energy system for performance and reliability improvement of distribution system

This paper aims to investigate the impact of optimal planning of renewable energy systems and independent battery energy storage systems (BESS) on the performance and reliability of distribution systems (DS). A unique energy management scheme (EMS) controls the charging and discharging schedules of the BESS. The transit search optimization (TSO) algorithm determines the optimal allocation of wind turbine (WT) and solar photovoltaic (SPV) generator units, along with BESS units. The optimization focuses on improving the DS reliability in terms of energy supply, increasing the feeder security margin, and reducing apparent power loss. Multiple case studies are designed to study the efficacy of the problem outcomes and are validated using Bus 4 of the Roy Bollington Test System (RBTS). To obtain results that are close to actual operating conditions, the modelling process takes into account the time-varying load profile and the dynamic power outputs from the SPV and WT units. The findings show that the suggested method works well by enhancing the feeder security margin by a maximum of 11.25%, reducing expected energy not supplied (EENS) by 4.3%, and improving the power loss profile by 11.5%. In addition, the feeder upgrade deferral (FUD) years also show a maximum improvement of 20.8%.

Power system reliability assessment technique and modeling approach based on quantum computing theory

Aiming at the reliability assessment of power system, the state sampling process as a critical step requires to generate power system states one by one using classical computer. Due to the quantum superposition, all system states can be generated at once using the quantum computing and then assess the reliability, and thus it will improve the assessment efficiency. However, how to sample system states and assess reliability using the quantum computing theory will be very important. Therefore, this paper proposes a power system reliability assessment technique and its modeling approach based on the quantum computing theory. Firstly, this paper develops a quantum model of power system reliability (including reliability models of electrical device and system) and proposes a new system state sampling method based on the quantum computing theory, which samples all system states at once and improves the sampling efficiency. Secondly, this paper proposes a quantum computing theory based on reliability assessment technique and its modeling approach for the reliability indices: Loss of Load Probability (LOLP) and Expected Energy Not Supplied (EENS). Thirdly, this paper uses an iterative quantum amplitude estimation (IQAE) algorithm to measure the reliability indices for improving the measurement accuracy. Finally, this paper investigates both designed Case and RBTS, and results shows the correctness and effectiveness of reliability assessment of power system based on the quantum computing.

Sizing a Renewable-Based Microgrid to Supply an Electric Vehicle Charging Station: A Design and Modelling Approach

In this paper, an optimisation framework is presented for planning a stand-alone microgrid for supplying EV charging (EVC) stations as a design and modelling approach for the FEVER (future electric vehicle energy networks supporting renewables) project. The main problem of the microgrid capacity sizing is making a compromise between the planning cost and providing the EV charging load with a renewable generation-based system. Hence, obtaining the optimal capacity for the microgrid components in order to acquire the desired level of reliability at minimum cost can be challenging. The proposed planning scheme specifies the size of the renewable generation and battery energy storage systems not only to maintain the generation–load balance but also to minimise the capital cost (CAPEX) and operational expenditures (OPEX). To study the impact of renewable generation and EV charging uncertainties, the information gap decision theory (IGDT) is used to include risk-averse (RA) and opportunity-seeking (OS) strategies in the planning optimisation framework. The simulations indicate that the planning scheme can acquire the global optimal solution for the capacity of each element and for a certain level of reliability or obtain the global optimal level of reliability in addition to the capacities to maximise the net present value (NPV) of the system. The total planning cost changes in the range of GBP 79,773 to GBP 131,428 when the expected energy not supplied (EENS) changes in the interval of 10 to 1%. The optimiser plans PV generation systems in the interval of 50 to 63 kW and battery energy storage system in the interval of 130 to 280 kWh and with trivial capacities of wind turbine generation. The results also show that by increasing the total cost according to an uncertainty budget, the uncertainties caused by EV charging load and PV generation can be managed according to a robustness radius. Furthermore, by adopting an opportunity-seeking strategy, the total planning cost can be decreased proportional to the variations in these uncertain parameters within an opportuneness radius.

Multi-objective placement and sizing of energy hubs in energy networks considering generation and consumption uncertainties

This paper presents the placement and sizing of energy hubs (EHs) in electricity, gas, and heating networks. EH is a coordinator framework for various power sources, storage devices, and responsive loads. For simultaneous modeling of economic, operation, reliability, and flexibility indices, the proposed scheme is expressed as a three-objective optimization in the form of Pareto optimization based on the sum of weighted functions. The objective functions of this problem respectively minimize the planning cost of EHs (equal to the total cost of construction of hubs and their expected operating cost), the expected energy loss of the mentioned networks, and the expected energy not-supplied (EENS) of these networks in the case of an N − 1 event. The problem is constrained by power flow equations and operation and reliability constraints of these network together with the EH planning and operation model, and flexibility constraints of the EHs. Then, to achieve unique optimal solution in the shortest possible time, a linear approximation model is extracted for the proposed scheme. Moreover, scenario-based stochastic programming (SBSP) is employed to model uncertainties of load, energy cost, renewable power, and accessibility of the mentioned network equipment. Finally, the obtained numerical results indicate the capability of the proposed scheme in enhancing the economic and flexibility situation of EHs and improving the reliability and operation status of energy networks along with achieving optimal planning and operation for EHs.

A three-stage reliability-centered framework for critical feeder identification, failure modes prioritization, and optimal maintenance strategy assignment in power distribution system

In this paper, a three-stage reliability-centered maintenance (RCM) framework for critical feeder identification, failure modes prioritization, and optimal maintenance strategy assignment is presented for the power distribution system. This three-stage methodology addresses a notable gap in the literature by incorporating these three stages together. The first stage ranks critical feeders using the BWM and TOPSIS methods. In the second stage, the failure modes are prioritized using feeder rank, severity, occurrence, and detection factors and are assigned a score representing their priority. Finally, in the third stage, a maintenance strategy assignment, formulated as a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) optimization problem is proposed. The optimization problem considers three strategies, cold-line, hot-line, and run-to-failure (RTF), assigned to each failure mode. Besides, the possibility of implementing cold-line repairs overlapping with the upstream grid's scheduled outages and the availability of several maintenance crews are taken into account. The objective function is to minimize the total maintenance costs, which include operation, equipment, energy not supplied (ENS), expected energy not supplied (EENS), and future corrective maintenance costs. The proposed approach is implemented on a real distribution system. The results indicate that the proposed RCM framework leads to a 26.32 % reduction in the EENS compared to selecting the RTF strategy for all components. Besides, the proposed optimization-based method leads to a 29 % lower objective function than the business-as-usual maintenance planning, and the proposed three-stage RCM framework outperforms a previously published state-of-the-art method by decreasing the objective function and the EENS.

Reliability based computational model for stochastic unit commitment of a bulk power system integrated with volatile wind power

Reliable and economic operation of transmission systems is one of the most onerous problems faced by the grid operators as a penetration rate of wind energy is on rise. It is a crucial carbon-free source and alleviates dependency upon the conventional resources, though its stochastic and unpredictable nature can cause the risk of random component failures. Therefore, reliability evaluation of the system under wind power is of paramount importance and is suggested as the proposed study. A Reliability based Stochastic Unit Commitment (RSUC) model is proposed for a bulk power system integrated with volatile wind power. It is formulated using Mixed Integer Linear problem considering networks and spinning reserve constraints. The volatility of wind speed is modeled by generating different scenarios using K-means clustering approach with computation of correlation among them using autocorrelation factor and their transition probabilities is proposed using Markov Chain (MC). Further, the system's reliability is evaluated using Loss of Load Probability (LOLP) and Expected Energy Not Supplied (EENS). The proposed approach is investigated on the IEEE 24 Reliability Test System (RTS) under the various overloading and random component outage conditions. Further, its results effectiveness is compared and validated with the other existing approaches.

Optimal selection and analysis of microgrid energy system using Markov process

This study investigated the reliability of a microgrid (MG) energy system using the Markov process reliability method. Twenty possible MG configurations based on photovoltaic (PV), wind turbine generator (WTG), biomass generator (BMG), battery bank (BB), diesel generator (DG) and an electric vehicle (EVs) have been considered. This study also selects an optimal configuration based on reliability indices (failure rate, repair time, unavailability, expected energy not supplied (EENS) and loss of load probability (LOLP)), annually load demand, availability of the system and its components. The results show that the hybrid PV/WTG/BMG/BB/EVs/DG microgrid system has the lowest system failure rate (0.01012 /year), repair time (1.1858 hrs), unavailability (0.0120 hrs/year), EENS (4.5 kWh/year) and LOLP (1.36986E-06 /year). This MG configuration has an availability of 99%. The PV array (97.55%) and the changeover switch (99.5%) are the parts of the MG system that are the most reliable. The least stable elements of an MG system are battery (63.64%), diesel generator (80%) and biomass generator (83.89%). PV (62%) and WTG (28% of total) are the main contributors to electricity generation, with the battery, electric vehicles, and diesel generator acting as backup sources. Under different weather and load conditions, the hybrid PV/WTG/BMG/EVs/BB/DG microgrid was found to be a reliable and efficient system for remote areas. This research carries a significant impact for policymakers, government, energy planners, and researchers working on stand-alone microgrid systems as it provides valuable insights into optimizing system configuration for reliability and efficiency.

A new approach for reliability assessment of the smart microgrids using k-shortest path algorithms

The reliability of cyber-physical microgrids (MGs) is crucial in the development of smart grids. The reliability of MGs can be affected by cyber network failures, which have a significant impact on the physical components. Since MGs have interdependent cyber and physical elements, a smart MG can be viewed as a system of n dependent two-mode components. This paper proposes an approach to finding the k most likely configurations of the system. The method involves three phases. Firstly, the multi-mode model is obtained for physical components, considering the operation and topology of the cyber network. Then, the problem is transformed to finding the k most likely state of a system consisting of n independent multi-mode components. In the second phase, a transformation using new transformed metrics is applied. This results in the problem being converted to finding the k shortest path, which can be solved using efficient algorithms. Finally, the states are evaluated using a DC load flow, and reliability indices such as loss of load probability (LOLP) and expected energy not supplied (EENS) are calculated. Moreover, we have incorporated the dynamic thermal rating (DTR) system into our proposed model, addressing the safe enhancement of system component ratings. The results indicate that the most probable states of the system are related to the failure of distribution generators. The most severe events occur due to failure in the cyber network, and cyber network malfunction has a higher effect on EENS compared to LOLP. Additionally, we observe a significant enhancement in reliability indices when considering the DTR system over the static thermal rating (STR) system. This approach is efficient in reliability calculation using fewer system states.

A machine learning-driven support vector regression model for enhanced generation system reliability prediction

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to achieve high accuracy in forecasting generation reliability by accurately evaluating the reliability of power systems. This study uses the RTS-79 reliability test system to measure the method’s effectiveness, using mean absolute percentage error as the performance metrics. Accurate reliability predictions can inform critical decisions related to system design, expansion and maintenance, making this study relevant to power system planning and management.Design/methodology/approachThis paper proposes a novel approach that uses a radial basis kernel function-based support vector regression method to accurately evaluate the reliability of power systems. The approach selects relevant system features and computes loss of load expectation (LOLE) and expected energy not supplied (EENS) using the analytical unit additional algorithm. The proposed method is evaluated under two scenarios, with changes applied to the load demand side or both the generation system and load profile.FindingsThe proposed method predicts LOLE and EENS with high accuracy, especially in the first scenario. The results demonstrate the method’s effectiveness in forecasting generation reliability. Accurate reliability predictions can inform critical decisions related to system design, expansion and maintenance. Therefore, the findings of this study have significant implications for power system planning and management.Originality/valueWhat sets this approach apart is the extraction of several features from both the generation and load sides of the power system, representing a unique contribution to the field.

Optimal sizing of battery energy storage systems and reliability analysis under diverse regulatory frameworks in microgrids

The integration of battery energy storage systems (BESS) with microgrids (MG) is crucial to improve the reliability and flexibility of renewable energy sources (RES) integration. However, the reliability and regulatory policies are critical factors that affect the optimal operation of MGs in the market. This study aims to enhance the reliability of MGs integrated with RES and BESS by evaluating their performance under different regulatory frameworks, namely feed-in tariff (FiT), net metering (NM), and energy storage incentive (ESI). Also, a dynamic FiT (D-FiT) framework is utilized to improve the reliability of the MG. An artificial bee colony optimization algorithm is utilized to optimize the size of BESS for each regulatory policy to minimize the total cost of the MG. Each policy is formulated based on its specific constraints in the problem. Subsequently, the reliability indices of Loss of Load Expectation (LOLE) and Expected Energy not Supplied (EENS) are calculated for each optimized solution. Moreover, we have integrated the dynamic thermal rating (DTR) system into our proposed model, focusing on the safe augmentation of system component ratings. The study finds that the D-FiT and standard FiT frameworks provide the best reliability level, whereas the reliability improvement under the ESI policy is not significant, as most of the MG's demand is supplied by the main grid. Furthermore, the study shows that the improvements in EENS are higher than LOLE, indicating that installing BESS reduces the loss of energy rather than the number of interruption hours. D-FiT framework has a significant positive impact on both reliability indices, unlike the other frameworks that have a greater effect on EENS. Furthermore, we have noticed a substantial improvement in reliability indices when the DTR system is taken into account, as compared to the static thermal rating (STR) system.

Chronological simulation and Quantitative Evaluation of System Reliability in a Complex Restructured Power System

Ensuring the provision of high-quality and dependable power supply to customers stands as a paramount responsibility within the realm of power systems. The concept of restructuring the power system emerges as an efficient approach to deliver economically viable and uninterrupted power supply. The assessment of power system reliability hinges on various factors, with the reliability index serving as a pivotal metric, dependent on both system security and adequacy. To enhance the reliability index, strategically locating FACTS devices becomes essential, a task facilitated through power flow analysis with specified constraints, pinpointing the weakest points through Genetic Algorithm-driven fast-acting device placement. The correlation between DG establishment and the reliability index was meticulously calculated, further bolstered by the introduction of a Derated Forced Outage Rate for enhanced performance assessment. In the pursuit of heightened power system reliability, sequential simulations prove invaluable, particularly in minimizing Expected Energy Not Supplied (EENS) and improving overall system reliability. The results obtained through sequential simulations underscore the effectiveness of this approach within bulk electrical systems. The installation of multiple FACTS devices in the system's weakest areas facilitated EENS computation, coupled with the assessment of related reliability indices such as system frequency and system duration. This approach not only enhances system reliability but also promotes the economic operation of both transmission and distribution.The simulation results substantiate the alignment of power system reliability objectives in deregulated power systems with the required standards, advocating for the restructuring of power networks. The reliability assessments, driven by the optimal placement of DGs and FACTS devices, reveal substantial improvements in system reliability, underscoring the pivotal role of these technologies in enhancing overall power system dependability.

Stochastic multi-benefit planning of mobile energy storage in reconfigurable active distribution systems

This paper proposes a multi-benefit planning framework for mobile energy storage systems (MESSs) in reconfigurable active distribution systems (DSs). The goal of this framework is to improve the DS operation and reliability through achieving four objectives: (1) minimizing the DS costs, (2) minimizing the DS energy losses, (3) improving the DS voltage profiles, and (4) minimizing the expected energy not supplied (EENS) in the system. The developed framework determines optimal decisions associated with the network reconfiguration as well as the MESS sizes and locations, taking into account the variations in DS loads, energy prices, and renewable energy sources. The planning problem in this study is formulated as a stochastic multi-objective mixed-integer nonlinear programming problem, which is solved using a genetic algorithm (GA)-based hybrid optimization method. The proposed framework is tested using a case study of an active DS that includes various types of energy sources and load demands. Comparing the results of the developed planning framework with the base-case system demonstrates the efficacy of the planning framework and the techno-economic benefits of MESSs, where the proposed framework with MESSs successfully achieved significant improvements in the DS operating cost, energy losses, voltage profiles, and EENS. The advantages of MESSs are also verified through a comparison with stationary energy storage systems.

Development of new reliability metrics for microgrids: Integrating renewable energy sources and battery energy storage system

Microgrids (MGs) are gaining popularity due to their ability to provide reliable and resilient power supply, especially when integrated with renewable energy sources (RESs) and battery energy storage systems (BESS). Reliability is a critical factor for MG owners and policy makers. However, existing reliability indices such as loss of load expectation (LOLE) and expected energy not supplied (EENS) may not offer a comprehensive understanding of MG reliability and resiliency. To address this gap, this paper proposes three new indices for MGs to provide supplementary information on the performance of RESs: the Microgrid Resiliency Index (MRI), the Microgrid Renewable Energy Availability Index (MREAI), and the Microgrid Renewable Energy Energy Index (MREEI). The MRI assesses the MG’s ability to recover from interruptions, providing insights into its resiliency. The MREAI and MREEI offer additional information beyond LOLE and EENS, specifically highlighting the contribution of RESs to the availability and energy losses in the MG. These indices enable a more comprehensive assessment of MG reliability. The formulation for calculation of the indices are provided and applied to a MG with integrated solar photovoltaic (PV), wind turbine (WT), and BESS components. To evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed indices in providing supplementary information on resiliency and the contribution of RESs, various scenarios are examined. These scenarios include the impact of using BESS, changes in RES availability, and variations in RES output. The results demonstrate that the proposed indices effectively capture the contribution of RES to MG reliability and offer valuable insights for decision-making related to RES installation. Also, by integrating BESS, the contribution of RESs to outage hours and lost energy is effectively decreased from 89.41% and 87.41% to 32.69% and 28.94% respectively. Additionally, results highlight the substantial enhancement in the resiliency of the MG, which witnessed an impressive 68.43% improvement.

Techno-Economic Analysis and Optimization of Hybrid Renewable Energy System with Energy Storage under Two Operational Modes

Access to cheap, clean energy has a significant impact on a country’s ability to develop sustainably. Fossil fuels have a major impact on global warming and are currently becoming less and less profitable when used to generate power. In order to replace the diesel generators that are connected to the university of Debre Markos’ electrical distribution network with hybrid renewable energy sources, this study presents optimization and techno-economic feasibility analyses of proposed hybrid renewable systems and their overall cost impact in stand-alone and grid-connected modes of operation. Metaheuristic optimization techniques such as enhanced whale optimization algorithm (EWOA), whale optimization algorithm (WOA), and African vultures’ optimization algorithm (AVOA) are used for the optimal sizing of the hybrid renewable energy sources according to financial and reliability evaluation parameters. After developing a MATLAB program to size hybrid systems, the total current cost (TCC) was calculated using the aforementioned metaheuristic optimization techniques (i.e., EWOA, WOA, and AVOA). In the grid-connected mode of operation, the TCC was 4.507 × 106 EUR, 4.515 × 106 EUR, and 4.538 × 106 EUR, respectively, whereas in stand-alone mode, the TCC was 4.817 × 106 EUR, 4.868 × 106 EUR, and 4.885 × 106 EUR, respectively. In the grid-connected mode of operation, EWOA outcomes lowered the TCC by 0.18% using WOA and 0.69% using AVOA, and by 1.05% using WOA and 1.39% using AVOA in stand-alone operational mode. In addition, when compared with different financial evaluation parameters such as net present cost (NPC) (EUR), cost of energy (COE) (EUR/kWh), and levelized cost of energy (LCOE) (EUR/kWh), and reliability parameters such as expected energy not supplied (EENS), loss of power supply probability (LPSP), reliability index (IR), loss of load probability (LOLP), and loss of load expectation (LOLE), EWOA efficiently reduced the overall current cost while fulfilling the constraints imposed by the objective function. According to the result comparison, EWOA outperformed the competition in terms of total current costs with reliability improvements.

Reliability Improvement of Composite Power System using UPFC

Together with quality power supply criteria, Composite Power System (CPS) reliability is also one of the important aspects of deciding the security of the CPS for a given load demand. In the current paper, the reliability of CPS is evaluated. The Newton Raphson (NR) approach is implemented in Power System Simulation for Engineering (PSSE) software to take into account, the load flows, then the power available to the load points, to evaluate the reliability of CPS. Newton Raphson NR Method was implemented by considering different contingencies of the CPS. Power available to the load points obtained by the NR method is critical in identifying the successful operating state of the CPS. Expected Load Curtailment (ELC), Number of Load Curtailment (NLC), Expected Energy Not Supplied (EENS), and Severity Index (SI) are the crucial dependability indices that are assessed. The main objective of the Reliability evaluation of the CPS is to investigate the scope for the improvement of reliability and explore the possible schemes to improve CPS reliability. The Unified Power Flow Controller (UPFC) one of the Flexible AC Transmission Systems is incorporated into the CPS to analyze the improvement in the reliability of the system. Further, the effect of UPFC on the power-carrying capacity of the lines under contingency conditions, resulting in the failure mode of CPS operation is examined. Improvement in the reliability indices of the system is observed due to UPFC incorporation.

A Novel Renewable Smart Grid Model to Sustain Solar Power Generation

The stability performance of smart grid power systems is critical and requires special attention. Additionally, the combination of Battery Energy Storage (BES) systems, Solar Photovoltaic (SPV), and wind systems in the intelligent grid model provides utilities with excellent efficiency and dependability. However, a coordination grid with PV and other resources frequently results in severe issues, such as outages or power disruptions. A power outage in the grid might result in a power loss in the delivery system. As a result, the distributed grid model’s dependable performance is intended for integrated wind energy, SPV arrays, and BE systems. This paper proposes a renewable intelligent grid model to sustain solar power generation. The model incorporates a boost converter to optimize the performance of solar panels by converting the DC power generated by the panels into AC power for use in the grid. The boost converter is optimized using a novel Horse Herd Optimization Algorithm (HOA) method. In this case, the HOA method is used to optimize the control parameters of the boost converter, such as the duty cycle and the inductor and capacitor values. According to the final results, the proposed method has reduced the Total Harmonic Deformation (THD) and power loss. Additionally, the proposed method outperformed existing strategies related to the Expected Energy Not Supplied (EENS), Loss of Load Probability (LOLP), and Loss of Load Expected (LOLE), indicating the sustainability of power generation.

EVs’ Integration Impact on the Reliability of Saudi Arabia’s Power System

This paper investigates the effect of involving electric vehicles (EVs) in the load profile on the generation system. The impact was studied from a reliability perspective on Saudi Arabia’s total generation system capacity as one source supplying the expected load for the year 2030. The EV load profile was then added. The outcomes were examined considering the gradual penetration percentage to the total load. The reliability indices measured are the loss of load probability (LOLP) and the expected energy not supplied (EENS). The results show that the estimated generation system of Saudi Vision 2030 will not withstand the estimated number of EVs without negatively impacting reliability. Similarly, the reliability assessment was conducted for the central region considering EVs in Riyadh City to verify Saudi Vision 2030. The results show that EV integration will greatly affect the electrical network’s reliability. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis was conducted for Saudi Arabia and the central region to assess the generation system better. The study shows that investing in the generation infrastructure is essential to handle EV growth for the upcoming years. The work introduced in this paper will also help decision-makers make appropriate planning decisions in the future.

Reliability-Constrained Optimal Scheduling of Interconnected Microgrids

This paper proposes a Mixed-Integer Linear Programming (MILP) optimization model for the scheduling problem of the interconnected microgrid system. The proposed model is capable of efficiently minimizing the microgrids' total operating costs and improving the entire system's reliability, as it is constrained based on enhancing the interconnected microgrids' reliability. The Expected Energy Not Supplied (EENS) is considered in order to ensure minimizing the interconnected microgrids' power deficiency. Furthermore, the proposed model has the capability to solve the optimization problem considering the islanded operation of the interconnected microgrids, i.e. when disturbances occur on the upstream grid. Numerical simulations on a test system containing three interconnected microgrids are performed to evaluate the effectiveness of the model and the results demonstrate the merits and features of the reliability-constrained optimal scheduling model in minimizing the interconnected microgrids' total operating costs and enhancing the interconnected system reliability.