There is growing interest in multiple myeloma (MM) circulating tumor cells (CTCs), but their rareness in peripheral blood (PB) and inconsistency in cutoffs question their clinical utility. Herein, we applied next-generation flow cytometry in 550 bone marrow (BM) and matched PB samples to define an optimal CTC cutoff for both transplant-eligible and transplant-ineligible newly diagnosed MM (NDMM) patients. Deep phenotyping was performed to investigate unique microenvironmental features associated with CTC dissemination. CTCs were detected in 90% of patients (median 0.01%; range: 0.0002%-12.6%) and increased levels associated with adverse features. Correlations were observed between high CTC percentages and a diffused MRI pattern, a distinct BM composition characterized by altered B-cell differentiation together with an expansion of effector cells and tumor-associated macrophages, as well as a greater phenotypic dissimilarity between BM and PB clonal cells. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) gradually worsened with each logarithmic increment of CTCs. Conversely, NDMM patients without CTCs showed unprecedented outcomes, with 5-year PFS and OS rates of 83% and 97%, respectively. A cutoff of 0.02% CTCs was independent of the ISS, LDH, and cytogenetics in a multivariate analysis of risk factors for PFS. The 0.02% CTC cutoff synergized with the MGUS-like phenotype and the R-ISS for improving the risk stratification systems. MRD negativity was less frequent if CTCs were ≥0.02% at diagnosis, but whenever achieved, the poor prognosis of these patients was abrogated. This study shows the clinical utility of CTC assessment in MM and provides evidence toward a consensus cutoff for risk stratification.
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