A spirited debate occurred amongst the founders of geology over the geologic history of diversity (44, 104). Lyell (79) and Agassiz (1), among other adherents to strict uniformitarianism, maintained that the Earth's biota had been at a steady state for uncounted millennia. Against this view were the progressionists, who found evidence for directional change in the fossil record (e.g. 93). The debate has persisted, with occasional lulls, to the present. As recently as a decade ago, several eminent paleobiologists argued pursuasively that the taxonomic richness of marine Metazoa has been at equilibrium for much of the past 600 million years (46, 94, 96, 112). Strong arguments in support of a global increase in diversity were raised in response (139, 142). This dichotomy, equilibrium versus directional change through time, is a central theme in evolutionary paleontology (44). The precise pattern of taxonomic richness in geologic time remains the subject of considerable debate, but the broad outline of that history is now generally accepted (14, 15, 72, 73, 85-88, 91, 118, 122, 123). There were relatively few species during the Paleozoic and early Mesozoic, and diversity increased substantially in the past hundred million years. The biosphere reached the zenith of the longest sustained period of taxonomic diversification in the Earth's history in the Pliocene and Pleistocene, when climatic change and the advent of organized human activity then checked that diversification. Continuing unabated for nearly one hundred million years, this diversification
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