The evolution of surface conditions caused by urbanization has a great impact on urban flooding, whose increasing frequency of occurrence has severely affected urban safety. Most previous studies have focused on land use/cover change (LUCC) but haven’t specifically explored the effects of LUCC on the spatial distribution of flood points and the ponded depth. We combined the storm water management model (SWMM) with multi-year remote sensing data to simulate the flood points and ponded depth in different rainstorm types. Results showed that the ratios of flood points with ponded depths > 0.7 m increased from 2.58% to 17.12%, with the evolution of the urban surface conditions in 1988-2021. And the flood points with ponded depths > 0.7 m were mainly located in the southern and northwestern parts of Bantian Street. These results can provide better-informed decision making for storm water management and early warning of flooding disasters in Shenzhen.
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