BackgroundThe breakdown of the blood-brain barrier (BBB) is intricately linked to the onset and advancement of cognitive impairment and dementia. This investigation explores the correlation between blood-brain barrier permeability, assessed through the cerebrospinal fluid/serum albumin ratio (QAlb), in a clinical cohort and the evolution of cognitive decline. MethodsThis prospective observational cohort study included 295 participants. Cognitive decline progression was characterized by an escalation in the overall deterioration scale and/or clinical dementia rating scores. The investigation delves into the correlation between blood-brain barrier permeability and the advancement of cognitive impairment among patients. ResultsThe APOE 4 allele and diabetes mellitus among individuals exhibited increased BBB permeability (P < 0.05). Moreover, AD patients exhibited the highest QAlb levels, signifying elevated BBB permeability compared to individuals with MCI and SCD (P < 0.05). After mean 17 months following up, 117 patients (51.31 %) were identified as experiencing cognitive decline progression, and we found that only AD diagnosis, CDR, and QAlb (All P < 0.05) were significant predictors of cognitive decline progression. ConclusionOur study emphasizes the clinical relevance of QAlb in detecting individuals with an elevated risk of cognitive decline. It suggests that heightened BBB permeability could contribute to clinical deterioration and serves as a plausible therapeutic target.