European Age-standardised Incidence Rates Research Articles

National epidemiology of digital papillary adenocarcinoma in England 2013-2020: a population-based registry study.

Digital papillary adenocarcinoma (DPA), formerly known as aggressive DPA, is a rare adnexal cancer of sweat gland differentiation with metastatic potential. DPA epidemiology and patient outcome data are a prerequisite to develop diagnostic and therapeutic guidance, which is lacking for this rare cancer. To report the incidence, patient demographics and treatment of patients with DPA in England from 1 January 2013 to 31 December 2020 using national cancer registry data. DPA diagnoses in England during 2013-2020 were identified from the National Cancer Registration Dataset using morphology and behaviour codes. These were registered from routinely collected pathology reports and cancer outcomes and services datasets. The 2013 European age-standardised incidence rates (EASRs) were calculated. In total, 36 DPA (7 in females and 29 in males) were diagnosed. The median age at diagnosis for the cohort was 54 years (interquartile range 46-64). The most frequently affected sites were upper limbs (81%). All patients in the cohort received surgical excisions. The European age-standardised incidence rate (EASRs) was 0.10 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.07-0.14] per 1,000,000 person-years (PY)]. This study reports the incidence and variation of DPA in England between 2013 and 2020. DPA was more common in older men and predominantly affected the upper limbs. This supports the need to develop a national policy for the reporting and management of DPA as well as clinical guideline development.

Incidence and trends of first basal cell carcinomas in France between 1980 and 2019: a regional population-based registry study.

Basal cell carcinoma (BCC) is the most frequent malignancy reported in populations with fair skin. In most countries, BCCs are only partially or not at all recorded, and incidence data are lacking. This study assessed the current incidence rates and trends in the only two French départements where BCCs have been recorded for several decades. This regional population-based study thus used data from two French cancer registries (Doubs and Haut-Rhin) where first-time BCC diagnoses were recorded. The European age-standardised incidence rates (EASR) were calculated per 100 000 person-years (p-y). The trends and the annual percentages of change were assessed using join-point analysis. In all, 48 989 patients were diagnosed with a first BCC in the study period. The median age at diagnosis was 69 years and the BCCs were mainly located on the head and neck (68.8%). In the Doubs area between 1980 and 2016, the EASR of BCC increased from 59.9 to 183.1 per 100 000 p-y. The annual increase for men was 5.73% before 1999 and 1.49% thereafter, and among women 4.56% before 2001 and 1.31% thereafter. In the Haut-Rhin area, the EASR increased from 139.2 in 1991 to 182.8 per 100 000 p-y in 2019. Among men, the EASR increased annually by 2.31% before 2000, and by 0.29% after 2000; among women, it increased by 0.95% over the entire period (1991-2019). In the most recent period and for these two départements, the age-specific incidence rates of BCC for men and women were close before the age of 60, except for the 40-49 age group, where the rates were significantly higher among women. For patients aged 60 years and over, men had much higher rates of BCC. BCC incidence has increased since 1980 and is still rising, particularly among men and the elderly. A slowing was observed since 2000, which could be explained by a shift in the management of BCCs and by the possible efficacy of prevention actions. This study provides insight into the BCC burden in France and highlights the need to maintain effective prevention strategies, since incidence is still increasing.

Incidence and Risk Factors for Recurrence and Progression of HPV-Independent Vulvar Intraepithelial Neoplasia.

Human papillomavirus (HPV)-independent vulvar intraepithelial neoplasia (VIN) is a rare yet aggressive precursor lesion of vulvar cancer. Our objectives were to estimate its long-term incidence, the risk of recurrent disease and progression to vulvar cancer, and risk factors thereof. Patients with HPV-independent VIN between 1991 and 2019 in a selected region were identified from the Dutch Nationwide Pathology Databank (Palga). Data were collected from the pathology reports. Crude and European age-standardized incidence rates were calculated for 10-year periods. Kaplan-Meier analyses were performed to determine the cumulative recurrence and cancer incidence, followed by Cox regression analyses to identify associated risk factors. A total of 114 patients were diagnosed with solitary HPV-independent VIN without prior or concurrent vulvar cancer. The European age-standardized incidence rate increased from 0.09 to 0.69 per 100,000 women-years between 1991-2010 and 2011-2019. A cumulative recurrence and cancer incidence of 29% and 46% were found after 8 and 13 years of follow-up, respectively. Nonradical surgery was identified as the only independent risk factor for recurrent HPV-independent VIN. Risk factors associated with progression to cancer were increasing age and a mutant p53 immunohistochemical staining pattern. The incidence of detected HPV-independent VIN has substantially increased the last decade and the subsequent recurrence and vulvar cancer risks are high. Although HPV-independent VIN may present as a wide morphologic spectrum, surgical treatment should aim for negative resection margins followed by close surveillance, especially for p53 mutant lesions.

Epidemiology of porocarcinoma in England 2013-2018: apopulation-based registry study.

Porocarcinoma (PC) is a cutaneous malignancy that differentiates towards (possibly arises from) the sweat ducts and glands. Lack of histological diagnostic markers makes clinical and pathological diagnosis complex. The limited data available suggest the incidence is increasing; however, this remains to be established in national epidemiological studies. To report the incidence, treatment and survival of patients with PC in England from 1 January 2013 to 31 December 2018 using national cancer registry data. PC diagnoses in England during 2013-2018 were identified from the National Disease Registration Service using morphology and behaviour codes. These were registered from routinely collected pathology reports and cancer outcomes and services datasets. The 2013 European age standardized incidence rates (EASRs), Kaplan-Meier all-cause survival and log-rank test were calculated. In total, 738 tumours (396 in males and 342 in females) were diagnosed. The median age at diagnosis was 82 years old (interquartile range 74-88). The most frequently affected site were lower limbs (35.4%), followed by the face (16%). The majority of the cohort received surgical excision (73.0%). The Kaplan-Meier all-cause survival was 45.4% at 5 years, which was lower than in previous studies. The EASR for the whole population was 0.25 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.23-0.27] per 100 000 person-years (PY)]. PC incidence rates in the East of England (EASR of 0.54, 95% CI 0.47-0.63 per 100 000 PY) were three times higher than the South West (EASR of 0.14, 95% CI 0.10-0.19 per 100 000 PY) where the regional rates were the lowest. This study shows that there is large variation in the EASRs of PC across England. This may reflect differences in how PC is diagnosed and registered in different regions in England. These data support national assessment of the management of PC, which will inform future studies and guideline development.

Trends in incidence, treatment and survival of Merkel cell carcinoma in England 2004-2018: a cohort study.

Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC) is a rare tumour with neuroendocrine differentiation and high associated mortality. Studies that describe the epidemiology of MCC are often limited by small sample size, short duration of follow-up, absence of nationwide data and paucity of data on different risk factors. To determine the incidence, demographics and survival for MCC in England between 2004 and 2018. This national retrospective cohort study identified all cases of MCC in England from 2004 to 2018 using national population-based data from the National Disease Registration Service. Crude counts, European age-standardized incidence rates (EASRs) and joinpoint analysis were conducted. Patient demographics and treatments received were described. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to study risk factors for MCC-specific mortality, by including a priori defined demographic factors, tumour characteristics and immunosuppression. Treatment data were not included in the Cox regression analysis. A total of 3775 MCC tumours were registered. The median age at diagnosis was 81 years (interquartile range 74-87). Overall, 96·6% of patients identified as White ethnicity, and 8·3% of patients were immunosuppressed. The most common site was the face (27·4%). Patients most often presented with stage one disease (22·8%); however, stage was unknown in 31·0%. In total, 80·7% of patients underwent surgical excision, 43·5% radiotherapy and 9·2% systemic therapy. The EASR increased from 0·43 per 100 000 person-years (PYs) to 0·65 per 100 000 person-years between 2004 and 2018, representing a significant annual percentage change of 3·9%. The EASR was greater in men than in women for all years, with an overall male-to-female ratio of 1·41 : 1. The highest EASR was in South West England. Five-year disease-specific survival was 65·6% [95% confidence interval (CI) 63·8-67·4], with a median follow-up of 767 days. MCC-specific mortality increased with age [hazard ratio (HR) 1·02, 95% CI 1·02-1·03], deprivation (HR 1·43, 95% CI 1·16-1·76), immunosuppression (HR 2·80, 95% CI 2·34-3·34) and stage at diagnosis (HR 8·24, 95% CI 5·84-11·6). This study presents the largest national MCC dataset in Europe, and the most complete reporting of MCC incidence and survival ever published. With the EASR of MCC increasing and high associated mortality, this study encourages further research into the pathology, diagnosis and therapeutic options for MCC to support management guidelines.

Epidemiology and Molecular Profile of Mucosal Melanoma: A Population-Based Study in Southern Europe.

Simple SummaryThere are few population-based studies focused on the epidemiology of mucosal melanoma, a rare neoplasm. Its poor prognosis, the different etiology from cutaneous melanoma and the lack of effective treatment beyond corrective surgery, make the knowledge of the mutational profile of this type of cancer a useful tool in understanding its natural history and also for the investigation of new target therapies. The aim of our population-based study is to analyze the incidence and survival of mucosal melanoma, which mainly arises from the head and neck sphere, genitourinary tract and rectal area, and to carry out the mutational analysis of selected cases. We used the Girona Cancer Registry database, which registered all cancer cases in Girona, a province of Spain in southern Europe, during the period of 1994–2018.Background: Mucosal melanoma is a rare neoplasm on which few epidemiological population-based studies have been published. A good surgical approach is the standard treatment, but the prognosis is worse than that of skin melanoma. The analysis of mucosal melanoma’s mutational profile can help to develop target therapies in advanced disease or adjuvant settings. Methods: We analyzed the database of the Cancer Registry of Girona, a region located in the north-east of Spain, in the period of 1994–2018. We selected cases of primary invasive melanoma, excluding those located in the skin, eye, central nervous system and an unknown primary site. Epidemiological analysis included incidence and survival. Mutational profile analysis was performed with a custom gene panel. Results: Forty-two patients were identified: 14 (33%) had vulvar-vaginal melanoma, 15 (35.7%) had rectal melanoma, 12 (28.6%) had melanoma located in the head and neck sphere and 1 male patient had a urethral melanoma. European age-standardized incidence rates for vulvar-vaginal, rectal and head and neck melanoma were 0.09, 0.1 and 0.09 cases/100,000 inhabitant-years, respectively. Five-year observed survival rates were 37.5%, 20% and 25% for these types of cancers. NRAS Q61 was the most frequent mutation found. Conclusion: Our study confirms the steady incidence and low survival of mucosal melanomas in a region of southern Europe. NRAS and NF1 play a role in the molecular landscape of mucosal melanoma. MEK and PI3K/mTOR inhibitors could be reasonable treatment options and are being studied in clinical trials.

Trends over time in the incidence and use of hormonal therapy in endometrial cancer: a population-based study in the Netherlands

IntroductionAccording to current guidelines, hormonal therapy may be applied in endometrioid type endometrial cancer as an alternative to surgery for fertility preservation and in medically unfit patients. Since it is...

Epidemiology of Primary Epithelial Salivary Gland Tumors in Southern Poland-A 26-Year, Clinicopathologic, Retrospective Analysis.

(1) Background: Epidemiological studies of epithelial salivary gland neoplasms are difficult to conduct effectively due to tumor rarity, histological heterogeneity, tumor location diversity, and a lack of national registries collecting data. This study presents 26 years of epidemiological data from a single institution in southern Poland that estimates incidence rates of primary epithelial salivary gland tumors. (2) Methods: The charts of 805 patients with epithelial salivary gland tumors were retrospectively reviewed. (3) Results: Pleomorphic adenomas occurred less frequently in elderly patients; however, Warthin tumors were more common (p < 0.001). Pediatric patients mainly suffered from mucoepidermoid carcinoma. The estimated crude and European age-standardized incidence rates of all primary epithelial salivary gland tumors were 6.7 and 6.02 per 100,000 population, respectively. The incidence rates of salivary gland tumors increased in recent years; however, this is attributed to an increase in benign tumors (p < 0.001). (4) Conclusions: The incidence of primary epithelial salivary gland tumors in southern Poland has increased over the past 26 years. This increase is attributed to a rise in the number of patients with benign tumors, particularly Warthin tumors in elderly patients. Moreover, the incidence of malignant salivary gland tumors appears to be higher in pediatric patients.

Epidemiology of basal and cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma in the U.K. 2013-15: a cohort study.

SummaryBackgroundBasal cell carcinoma (BCC) and cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC), together known as keratinocyte cancers (KCs), are the commonest cancer in white ethnic populations. Recent improvements to registry data collection in England has allowed more accurate analysis of the epidemiology of BCC and cSCC and for the first time we are able to provide an accurate (representative) tumour burden for KC in the U.K.ObjectivesTo estimate the incidence of BCC and cSCC in the U.K.MethodsA cohort of patients with KCs between 2013 and 2015 were identified using linkage to diagnostic codes derived from pathology reports collected into the national cancer registry. Data from England's cancer registry were combined with data from Scotland, Northern Ireland and Wales. European age‐standardized incidence rates (EASRs) of the first BCC and cSCC per patient per annum (PPPA) were calculated.ResultsIn the U.K, the EASR of the first BCC and cSCC PPPA in 2013–15 were 285 and 77 per 100 000 person years, respectively (211 120 KCs total in 2015). The mean annual percentage increase was 5% between 2013 and 2015 for both BCC and cSCC. By counting the first KC PPPA, we include an additional 51% KCs compared with the previous reporting technique which counts only the first BCC and cSCC in a patient's lifetime, yet it represents a probable underestimation of 5–11% of the true tumour count.ConclusionsBased on an improved methodology, a more representative incidence of KC is presented, which is essential to healthcare planning and will lead to improved understanding of the epidemiology of KC. What's already known about this topic? Keratinocyte cancers (KCs) are the most common cancers affecting white ethnic populations.The incidence of basal cell carcinoma (BCC) and cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC) is increasing worldwide including the U.K., most commonly in elderly male Caucasian patients.These cancers are traditionally substantially underreported and frequently excluded from national cancer statistics. What does this study add? Using improved data collection methods in England and validated tumour‐reporting techniques, we report the most accurate BCC and cSCC incidence data for the U.K. ever published.Identifying the first BCC and cSCC per patient per annum, the incidence of BCC and cSCC in the U.K. (excluding Wales) was 285 and 77 per 100 000 person years, respectively, between 2013 and 2015, with more than 210 000 KCs in the U.K. in 2015.

Variability of cancer risk within an area: time to complement the incidence rate.

The aim of this study was to show that age-adjusted cancer incidence rates for an area may not be representative of the incidence in subareas. We propose a simple measure to show the amount of geographical variability. European age-standardized incidence rates (ASRs) for ‘all sites excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer’, for men, in 2014, for Nordic countries as a whole, for each country (Denmark, Faroe Islands, Finland, Greenland, Iceland, Sweden and Norway) and for their regions, were retrieved from the Nordcan with corresponding standard errors SEs. We compared the ASR for Nordic countries versus single country and single country versus specific regions. The overlapping of 95% confidence intervals was used for ASRs comparisons. As a measure of variability, we computed the range between the highest and the lowest ASR within an area and the ratio between this range and the ASR of the overall area, r/R=(range/ASR)×100. The 95% confidence interval of the ASR for Nordic countries as a whole did not overlap those of the majority of the single countries; in fact, the r/R – which provides a clue for the amount of underlying geographical variability – was rather large (57.1%). Within countries, the variability was negligible in Iceland (r/R=9.6%), whereas the highest value was found in Sweden (37.1%). The ASR does not provide any information on underlying geographical variability. Therefore, its interpretation could be misleading. When data for subareas are available, the r/R, which is simple to compute and to understand, should be added to the ASR for providing more truthful information.

Malignant pleural mesothelioma incidence and survival in the Republic of Ireland 1994–2009

ObjectiveMalignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) is a rare malignancy associated with exposure to asbestos. The protracted latent period of MPM means that its incidence has continued to rise across Europe after the introduction of restrictions on asbestos use. In order to obtain a clearer indication of trends in the Republic of Ireland (ROI), incidence and survival were assessed based on all MPM cases reported since the establishment of the National Cancer Registry of Ireland (NCR). MethodsNCR recorded 337 MPM diagnoses in the ROI during 1994–2009. Survival was assessed for all cases diagnosed with adequate follow-up (n=330). Crude and European age-standardized incidence rates were calculated for all cases and for 4-year periods. A Cox model of observed (all-cause) survival was used to generate hazard ratios for the effect of: gender; age at diagnosis; diagnosis cohort; region of residence; histological type; and tumour stage. Single P-values for the variables indicated were calculated using either a stratified log-rank test or stratified trend test. ResultsOver the study period the age-standardized MPM incidence in the ROI rose from 4.98cases per million (cpm) to 7.24cpm. The 1-year survival rate for all MPM cases was 29.6% (CI 24.7–34.6%). Excess mortality risk was associated with age at diagnosis (75–89 yrs vs. 55–64 yrs, HR 1.88, 95% CI 1.35–2.63, P<0.001) and tumour stage (III vs. I HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.00–2.48, P<0.05; IV vs. I HR 1.55, 95% CI 1.08–2.21, P<0.05). Age showed a significant survival trend (P<0.001) but tumour stage did not (P=0.150). There was significant heterogeneity between the survival of patients resident in different regions (P=0.027). ConclusionMPM incidence and mortality continued to rise in the ROI after the restrictions on asbestos use and the predictors of survival detected in this study are broadly consistent with those identified for other countries.

Opportunistic screening strategy for cutaneous melanoma does not change the incidence of nodular and thick lesions nor reduce mortality

The aim of the present population-based descriptive study was to evaluate the incidence and mortality trends for melanoma to gain insights on the effectiveness of opportunistic secondary prevention strategies. Data on all invasive cutaneous melanoma cases occurring between 1996 and 2011 were retrieved from the Ticino Cancer Registry, southern Switzerland. The European age-standardized incidence rates were computed by the period of diagnosis, Breslow thickness and histological types. Trends in incidence and mortality rates were measured as the annual per cent change (APC). A total of 1230 patients had a diagnosis of invasive cutaneous melanoma. Cases were categorized as follows: superficial spreading melanoma (55.7%), nodular melanoma (10.0%), lentigo maligna melanoma (5.5%), melanoma not otherwise specified (25.2%) and other types (3.6%). The incidence rate of invasive melanoma rose from 17.4 per 100,000 inhabitants in 1996-2003 to 20.6 in 2004-2011, with an overall APC of +2.1% [95% confidence interval (CI): -0.8%, +5.1%]. An increase in incidence was observed for superficial spreading melanoma (APC = +2.9%; 95% CI: -1.1%, +7.0%) and thin melanomas (i.e. ≤ 1.00 mm) (APC = +3.4%; 95% CI: +0.2%, +6.7%), whereas we detected a descriptive growing incidence of thick melanomas (APC = +2.1%; 95% CI: -1.4%, +5.8%). Mortality trend analysis revealed constant rates throughout the study period (APC = -1.0%; 95% CI: -5.5%, +3.7%). This population-based study confirms that in a country with the highest incidence of cutaneous melanomas, that is, Switzerland, the opportunistic screening strategy does not change the incidence of thick melanomas nor the overall mortality. This study suggests there is still a need for public health efforts in primary and secondary prevention.

Population-based incidence, treatment and survival of patients with peritoneal metastases of unknown origin

AimUntil recently, peritoneal metastases (PM) were regarded as an untreatable condition, regardless of the organ of origin. Currently, promising treatment options are available for selected patients with PM from colorectal, appendiceal, ovarian or gastric carcinoma. The aim of this study was to investigate the incidence, treatment and survival of patients presenting with PM in whom the origin of PM remains unknown. MethodsData from patients diagnosed with PM of unknown origin during 1984–2010 were extracted from the Eindhoven Cancer Registry. European age-standardised incidence rates were calculated and data on treatment and survival were analysed. ResultsIn total 1051 patients were diagnosed with PM of unknown origin. In 606 patients (58%) the peritoneum was the only site of metastasis, and 445 patients also had other metastases. Chemotherapy usage has increased from 8% in the earliest period to 16% in most recent years (p=.016). Median survival was extremely poor with only 42days (95% confidence interval (CI) 39–47days) and did not change over time. Median survival of patients not receiving chemotherapy was significantly worse than of those receiving chemotherapy (36 versus 218days, p<.0001). ConclusionThe prognosis of PM of unknown origin is extremely poor and did not improve over time. Given the recent progress that has been achieved in selected patients presenting with PM, maximum efforts should be undertaken in order to diagnose the origin of PM as accurately as possible. Potentially effective treatment strategies should be further explored for patients in whom the organ of origin remains unknown.

Increased incidence and improved survival in endometrioid endometrial cancer diagnosed since 1989 in The Netherlands: a population based study

To measure progress against endometrioid endometrial carcinoma (EEC) in the Netherlands by analyzing trends in incidence, survival and mortality simultaneously. Descriptive study of incidence, survival and mortality rates of women with EEC in the Netherlands. Rates were age-standardized to the European standard population. Population-based data were extracted from the nationwide Dutch Cancer Registry (NCR) between 1989 and 2009. Mortality data since 1989 came from Statistics Netherlands. European age standardized incidence rates were calculated according to age, histology and stage. Five year relative survival estimates were calculated in four periods. Optimal progress against cancer is defined as decreasing incidence and/or improving survival accompanied by declining mortality. 80% of the 32,332 patients newly diagnosed with a corpus uteri malignancy had an EEC. The incidence of EEC rose significantly from 11/100,000 to 15/100,000, being most pronounced in women with FIGO stage IB and in the group with grade 1&2 tumours (P<0.05). Coinciding with the increased incidence, 5-year relative survival increased, especially for patients aged 60-74 years, in women with FIGO stage I, and in histology group grade 1&2, being 87%, 94% and 93%, respectively, during 2005-2009. The incidence of EEC (being 80% of corpus uteri cancer) increased markedly between 1989 and 2009, especially in women of 60-74 years. Five-year survival for patients with EEC increased from 83 to 85%. Progress against EEC has been less than was assumed previously, because mortality proportionally decreased only slightly, and because of the increasing incidence although survival improved.

The impact of socio-economic circumstances on overall and grade-specific prostate cancer incidence: a population-based study

Background:If the observed increasing incidence of prostate cancer and higher incidence in more affluent men are due to differences in diagnostic sensitivity, an excess of asymptomatic low-grade tumours might be expected.Methods:We conducted a descriptive population-based study of incident cases of prostate cancer (International Classification of Diseases version 10 codes for prostate cancer) in the West of Scotland, using the Scottish Cancer Registry data from 1991 to 2007. Socio-economic circumstances were measured using the Carstairs score, and disease grade measured using the Gleason score. Deprivation-specific European age-standardised incidence rates were calculated, and joinpoint regression analysis were used to identify significant changes in trends over time.Results:A total of 15 519 incident cases of prostate cancer were diagnosed. Incidence increased by 70% from 44 to 75 per 100 000 cases between 1991 and 2007, an average annual growth of 3.6%. Men aged <65 years experienced the largest increase in incidence. A widening socio-economic deprivation gap in incidence appeared from 1998 onwards in low-grade disease only. From 2003 to 2007, the deprivation gap (affluent to deprived) was 40.3 per 100 000 cases (P<0.001; trend), with rates 37% lower among the most deprived compared with the most affluent. This deprivation gap represents an estimated 1764 cases of prostate cancer over a 5-year period.Conclusion:Prostate cancer incidence continues to increase; an increase in low-grade disease in affluent men may suggest that prostate-specific antigen testing is responsible, but it does not explain the overall increases in all grades of disease.

The changing association between socioeconomic circumstances and the incidence of colorectal cancer: a population-based study

Background:There is emerging evidence to suggest that the association between socioeconomic circumstances and colorectal cancer incidence has changed over recent decades.Methods:We conducted a descriptive population-based study to describe the relationship between socioeconomic circumstances and the incidence of colorectal cancer in a pre-screened population. Incident cases of colorectal cancer from the West of Scotland were identified from the Scottish Cancer Registry and European age-standardised incidence rates (EASR) were calculated. Socioeconomic circumstances were measured using the area-based Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD).Results:In total, 14 051 incident cases of colorectal cancer were recorded from 1999 to 2007. Incidence of colorectal cancer was associated with increased deprivation in men but not among women; an association that became evident from 2005 onwards. From 2005 to 2007, the deprivation gap in incidence among men was 13.3 per 100 000 (95% confidence interval 3.2–23.4), with rates 19.5% lower among the least deprived compared with the most deprived. This deprivation gap now accounts for an estimated 75 excess cases per year of male colorectal cancer in the West of Scotland.Conclusion:Deprivation was associated with higher incidence rates of male, but not female, colorectal cancer before the implementation of a national bowel screening programme.

Reduced risk of oestrogen receptor positive breast cancer among peri- and post-menopausal women in Scotland following a striking decrease in use of hormone replacement therapy

Many countries report a decline in breast cancer incidence among peri- and post-menopausal women following a decline in HRT prescribing. To investigate recent Scottish incidence trends, European age-standardised incidence rates from 1997 to 2005 were stratified by method of first detection, ER status and age group. We developed change point models of the annual age-specific cases for the peri- and post-menopausal age groups and ER status using Poisson regression. In Scotland all HRT categories together show a 32.4% increase in the number of items dispensed in 1993–2000 followed by a striking 61.8% decline by 2007. The incidence rates of screen-detected tumours increased gradually in the 50–64 and 65–74 age groups. For the older age group this increase accelerated after 2003 corresponding to an extension of the age range of screening. For ER positive tumours in the 50–64 age group, age-standardised rates increased 31.5% from 1997 to 2000, followed by a statistically significant decrease of 11.2% by 2005 (change in slope = −0.0943, P < 0.0001). We conclude that an overall incidence in the 50–64 age group declined since 2000 reflecting the sudden fall in HRT dispensed items and is largely accounted for by the decrease in ER positive tumour incidence. A longer term decline in ER negative tumours for this age group was pre-existing and is unaffected by the collapse in HRT prescribing.

Trends in incidence of oesophageal and stomach cancer subtypes in Europe

Time trend studies in the USA have shown that the incidences of adenocarcinomas of the oesophagus and gastric cardia have risen strongly since the 1970s, whereas the incidence of squamous cell carcinomas of the oesophagus has declined. Earlier, we found that the incidence of these adenocarcinomas also rose in some European countries until the early 1990s. The main goal of this study was to investigate more recent trends in the incidence of oesophageal and stomach cancer subtypes in the European countries. Eurocim cancer incidence data of 23 cancer registries from 13 European countries were used to investigate the incidence trends in oesophageal and stomach cancer subtypes during the 1983-1997 period. We calculated estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) in European age-standardized incidence rates and 95% confidence intervals. The incidence of adenocarcinomas of the oesophagus and gastric cardia rose in most, but not all, registration areas (EAPCs were usually 1-7%), the strongest in the UK and Ireland. Oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma incidence rose mostly in Northern European and Slovakian men (EAPCs: 1-5%) and in women from all regions (EAPCs: 1-8%), but declined mostly in Southern and Western European men (EAPCs: -1 to -5%). Our results are partly in line with earlier findings on adenocarcinomas of the oesophagus and gastric cardia. There was, however, substantial heterogeneity in trends of subtypes of these cancers within Europe. There may be different risk factors for these cancers, and the prevalence of these risk factors may differ among countries.