PurposeTo validate the ability of theranostic imaging biomarkers in assessing the propensity of corneal cross-linking (CXL) in flattening the maximum keratometry (Kmax) index. DesignProspective, randomized, multicenter, masked clinical trial (NCT05457647). ParticipantsFifty patients with progressive keratoconus. InterventionParticipants were stratified to undergo epithelium-off (epi-off; 25 eyes) and epithelium-on (epi-on; 25 eyes) CXL protocols using UV-A medical device incorporating theranostic software module. The device used controlled UV-A light both for performing CXL and for estimating the corneal riboflavin concentration (riboflavin score) and assessing treatment effect (theranostic score) in real time. A 0.22% riboflavin formulation was applied onto the cornea for 15 minutes and 20 minutes in epi-off and epi-on protocols respectively. All eyes underwent 9 minutes UV-A irradiance at 10 mW/cm2. Main Outcome MeasuresThe primary outcome measure was validation of the combined use of theranostic imaging biomarkers through measurement of their accuracy (proportion of correctly classified eyes) and precision (positive predictive value) to correctly classify eyes and positively predict a Kmax flattening at 1 year after CXL. Other outcome measures were the change of Kmax, endothelial cell density, uncorrected and corrected distance visual acuity, manifest spherical equivalent refraction, and central corneal thickness one year after CXL. ResultsAccuracy and precision of the combined use of theranostic imaging biomarkers in predicting eyes that had more than 0.1 diopter (D) Kmax flattening at 1 year were 91% and 95% respectively. The Kmax value significantly flattened by a median of -1.3 D (IQR: -2.11, -0.49 D; P < 0.001); both the uncorrected and corrected distance visual acuity improved by a median of -0.1 LogMAR (IQR: -0.3, 0.0 LogMAR; P < 0.001 and IQR: -0.2, 0.0 LogMAR; P < 0.001 respectively). There were no significant changes in endothelial cell density (P = 0.33) and central corneal thickness (P = 0.07) 1 year postoperatively. ConclusionsThe study demonstrated the efficacy of integrating theranostics in a UV-A medical device for the precise and predictive treatment of keratoconus with epi-off and epi-on CXL protocols. The concentration of riboflavin and its UV-A light mediated photo-activation in the cornea are the primary factors determining CXL treatment efficacy.