Enhanced Moisture Transport Research Articles

Low‐Level Jet and Its Effect on the Onset of Summertime Nocturnal Rainfall in Beijing

AbstractLow‐level Jets (LLJs) play a critical role in triggering nocturnal rainfall in many areas on our planet. Nevertheless, little is known regarding the vertically resolved evolution of LLJs preceding rainfall. Here, the high‐resolution wind measurements from a radar wind profiler network in Beijing are used to monitor the continuous evolution of boundary‐layer jets (BLJs) and synoptic‐system‐related LLJs (SLLJs) before nocturnal rainfall under the southwesterlies synoptic pattern for the summers of 2020–2023. The results show that inertial oscillations precede LLJ‐induced nocturnal rainfall. The typical northward propagation of LLJ is driven primarily by horizontal advection. Starting 48 min before rainfall, the BLJ nose rapidly strengthens and moves downward from 0.8 km above ground level (AGL), while the SLLJ nose moves upward to 2.4 km AGL. This leads to enhanced moisture transport and convergence, which triggers nocturnal rainfall. The findings are of great significance for improving the forecast skill of nocturnal rainfall.

Three-dimensional moisture transport fabric for enhanced moisture management in protective clothing

Effective moisture management within the microenvironment of protective clothing is crucial for maintaining garment performance and wearer comfort. The inherent properties of fabrics and the structural of protective garments often hinder the discharge of sweat to the external environment. Here, we present a novel 3D moisture transport fabric, engineered with gradient wetting properties along both the thickness and length dimensions. This fabric can transport moisture from the inner to the outer surface within approximately 5 s, achieving a maximum accumulative one-way transport capability of 1189.1 in the thickness direction. Additionally, by further directing moisture along the constructed wetting gradient on the fabric's outer surface, the moisture diffusion distance in the gradient direction was up to 2.6 times greater than in other directions. This approach will enhance moisture transport and management within protective clothing and can be further extended to the development of materials for oil-water separation, wound dressings, flexible microfluidics, and fuel cell membranes.

Impact of Arctic Stratospheric Polar Vortex on Mediterranean Precipitation

Abstract The Mediterranean precipitation has significant implications for the local ecology and human livelihoods. This study explores the impact of the Arctic stratospheric polar vortex on the Mediterranean precipitation during the wet season (winter) using reanalysis data and large-scale ensemble experiments that are forced by anomalous stratospheric polar vortex states. Our findings reveal that total and extreme precipitation over the Mediterranean region are increased under weak polar vortex (WPV) conditions and decreased under strong polar vortex (SPV) conditions. Moisture budget suggests that the changes in vertical motion over the Mediterranean play the dominant role in precipitation changes. It is further found that the tropospheric quasi-stationary wave train propagating from Greenland to the European continent is enhanced under WPV conditions, accompanied by warming advection over the eastern Mediterranean and vorticity advection in the upper troposphere over the whole region of the Mediterranean. Consequently, the vertical motion and precipitation there are enhanced. The southward shift of the Atlantic jet stream under WPV conditions leads to enhanced moisture transport toward the Mediterranean, providing a favorable moisture source for precipitation. In addition, the background baroclinicity in the lower troposphere around the northern Mediterranean is enhanced under WPV conditions, intensifying frontogenesis and cyclonic activities, which are commonly accompanied by intensified precipitation. These results are consistent with earlier literature and suggest that the changes in the stratospheric polar vortex may be used as a potential predicting factor for Mediterranean precipitation.

Mid-Pleistocene climate transition triggered by Antarctic Ice Sheet growth.

Despite extensive investigation, the nature and causes of the Mid-Pleistocene Transition remain enigmatic. In this work, we assess its linkage to asynchronous development of bipolar ice sheets by synthesizing Pleistocene mid- to high-latitude proxy records linked to hemispheric ice sheet evolution. Our results indicate substantial growth of the Antarctic Ice Sheets (AISs) at 2.0 to 1.25 million years ago, preceding the rapid expansion of Northern Hemisphere Ice Sheets after ~1.25 million years ago. Proxy-model comparisons suggest that AIS and associated Southern Ocean sea ice expansion can induce northern high-latitude cooling and enhanced moisture transport to the Northern Hemisphere, thus triggering the Mid-Pleistocene Transition. The dynamic processes involved are crucial for assessing modern global warming that is already inducing asynchronous bipolar melting of ice sheets.

How Might the May 2015 Flood in the U.S. Southern Great Plains Induced by Clustered MCSs Unfold in the Future?

AbstractThe historic 22–26 May 2015 flood event in Texas and Oklahoma was caused by anomalous clustered mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) that produced record‐breaking rainfall and $3 billion of damage in the region. A month‐long regional convection‐permitting simulation is conducted to reconstruct multiple clustered MCSs that lead to this flood event. We further use the pseudo global warming approach to examine how a similar event may unfold in a warmer climate and the driving physical factors for the changes. Tracking of MCSs in observations and simulations shows that the historical simulation reproduces the salient characteristics of the observed MCSs. In a warmer climate under a high‐emission (SSP5‐8.5) scenario, the Southern Great Plains is projected to experience a near surface warming of 4–6 K, accompanied by enhanced moisture transport by the strengthened Great Plains low‐level jet. A warmer and moister lower troposphere leads to 36%–59% larger convective available potential energy, supporting wider and more intense convective updrafts and rainfall production. Consistently, MCSs have wider convective areas and stronger rainfall intensities, producing 50% larger rain volumes during the mature stage. Extreme (99.5%) MCS rainfall frequency and amount will increase by threefold. However, MCS stratiform rain area decreases as a result of elevated stratiform cloud bases that lead to stronger sublimation and evaporation of precipitation in response to warming, resulting in reduced weak‐to‐moderate surface precipitation. Results suggest that global warming greatly increases precipitation intensity of clustered MCS events under strong synoptic influence, with much higher potential to produce serious floods without additional climate adaptation.

CloudSat Observations Show Enhanced Moisture Transport Events Increase Snowfall Rate and Frequency Over Antarctic Ice Sheet Basins

AbstractElevated moisture transport over the Antarctic ice sheet can increase snowfall and ice mass. Previous studies used ground‐based observations, reanalysis products, and atmospheric models to evaluate the relationship between extreme moisture transport and snowfall properties. Here, we build on previous studies by combining reanalysis and CloudSat radar snowfall retrievals to examine impacts of extreme moisture intrusions on changes in snowfall frequency and intensity over glacier basins on the Antarctic ice sheet. We examine the impacts of enhanced moisture transport events on snowfall frequency and intensity over two different regions on the Antarctic ice sheet: the Amery Ice Shelf of East Antarctica and the Thwaites and Pine Island glacier basins of West Antarctica. We determine when the median integrated water vapor transport from reanalysis exceeds the 95th percentile within the glacier basins of interest to define enhanced moisture transport events. We then use CloudSat radar snowfall retrievals to evaluate differences between snowfall frequency and intensity during enhanced water vapor transport events compared to the seasonal means for 2007–2010. We find that enhanced moisture transport events over the Amery Ice Shelf and Thwaites and Pine Island glacier basins coincide with higher snowfall frequency and intensity. These enhanced moisture transport events have the potential to alter surface mass balance within glacier basins, with implications for future rates of sea level rise.

Evaluating the climatic state of Indian Summer Monsoon during the mid-Pliocene period using CMIP6 model simulations

The Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall (ISMR) plays a critical role in agriculture, thereby significantly affecting the economy of India. Yet, there is a large spread in the ISMR variability for future projections (by the end of 21st century) as simulated by coupled general circulation models. Gaining insight into the variations of the ISMR during warm periods could enhance our ability to understand ISMR variability in the future. In this study, we have selected the mid-Pliocene warm period from 3.0 to 3.3 million years ago (Ma), which has similar external forcing (orbital parameters) comparable to the end of the 21st century. To evaluate the ISMR mean state during the mid-Pliocene, we have used six available Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) model simulations and their multi-model ensemble mean. Our analysis suggests that the ensemble of CMIP6 models is better than individual models in capturing the ISM rainfall patterns and its characteristics for the historical period of 1914–2013. During the mid-Pliocene, we find an increase in the JJAS rainfall over most parts of India in comparison to the pre-industrial period with an increase of 34% in seasonal precipitation. This higher precipitation conditions during the mid-Pliocene is accompanied by thermo dynamical (higher CO2 forcing led to higher tropospheric temperature and higher precipitable water) and dynamical (larger tropospheric temperature gradient between Indian landmass and southern Indian Ocean corresponds to enhanced moisture transport, enhanced low-level cross-equatorial flow and intensified Monsoon Hadley Circulation) aspects.

Anthropogenic warming degrades spring air quality in Northeast Asia by enhancing atmospheric stability and transboundary transport

Air pollutants can travel long distances from their sources, often causing severe particulate matter (PM) pollution in downwind regions. This transboundary pollution is largely influenced by meteorology and hence its changes associated with climate change. However, the effects of anthropogenic warming on transboundary pollution remain unclear. We show that springtime PM pollution can worsen with anthropogenic warming not only in the upwind region (northern China) but also in the downwind regions (South Korea and southern Japan). The worse air quality in northern China is attributed to a shallower boundary layer due to warmer air advection in the upper levels from high-latitude Eurasia and thus increased atmospheric stability. In the downwind regions, enhanced westerly/southwesterly anomalies induced by anthropogenic warming strengthen transboundary transport. The increase in primary aerosol concentrations due to the shallower boundary layer and/or enhanced transboundary transport is ~14% in northern China, ~13% in South Korea, and ~17% in southern Japan. The elevated relative humidity due to enhanced moisture transport by the wind anomalies promotes secondary aerosol formation, which further degrades the air quality in the downwind regions. The enhancement ratio of secondary aerosols relative to changes in primary aerosols is ~1 in northern China, ~1.12 in South Korea, and ~1.18 in southern Japan due to anthropogenic warming.

Impacts of tropical cyclones on the global water budget

Tropical cyclones (TCs) require substantial amounts of moisture for their genesis and development, acting as important moisture drivers from the ocean to land and from tropical to subtropical and extratropical regions. Quantifying anomalous moisture transport related to TCs is crucial for understanding long-term TC-induced changes in the global hydrological cycle. Our results highlight that, in terms of the global water budget, TCs enhance moisture transport from evaporative regions and precipitation over sink regions, leading to predominantly anomalous positive surface freshwater flux areas over the tropics and more regionally concentrated negative areas over the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Furthermore, we detected seasonal variability in the impact of TC on the hydrological cycle, which is closely related to the annual and seasonal TC frequency. Our analysis also revealed a global statistically significant drop (~40 mm year−1) in TC-induced surface freshwater fluxes from 1980 to 2018 in response to the increasing sea surface temperature and slightly decrease in global TC frequency and lifetime in the last two decades. These findings have important implications for predicting the impacts of TCs on the hydrological cycle under global warming conditions.

Moisture Sources of the Tohoku Heavy Rainfalls in August 2022 and the Influences of Tropical Storms

AbstractIn August 2022, the Tohoku region of Japan suffered three major heavy rainfall events, while one was related to an anticyclone, and the others were induced by a “Baiu‐like” stationary front. By using the Lagrangian backward trajectories, we found the moisture sources of the three events varied much due to the rapidly changing atmospheric conditions. In general, moisture from the Sea of Japan contributed the most in all events, while the western Pacific also played a certain role. Surprisingly, moisture from tropical storms and the East China Sea did not contribute much due to the along‐transport precipitation. But, based on forward‐traced trajectories, we confirmed that tropical storms did enhance moisture transport from subtropical regions via their southerly wind. Overall, this study highlights the role of the moisture gains nearby and the outer flows of tropical storms during heavy rainfalls in a northern region.

The Impact of Tropical SST Biases on the S2S Precipitation Forecast Skill over the Contiguous United States in the UFS Global Coupled Model

Abstract This work investigates the impact of tropical sea surface temperature (SST) biases on the Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction project (S2S) precipitation forecast skill over the contiguous United States (CONUS) in the Unified Forecast System (UFS) coupled model Prototype 6. Boreal summer (June–September) and winter (December–March) for 2011–18 were analyzed. The impact of tropical west Pacific (WP) and tropical North Atlantic (TNA) warm SST biases is evaluated using multivariate linear regression analysis. A warm SST bias over the WP influences the CONUS precipitation remotely through a Rossby wave train in both seasons. During boreal winter, a warm SST bias over the TNA partly affects the magnitude of the North Atlantic subtropical high (NASH)’s center, which in the reforecasts is weaker than in reanalysis. The weaker NASH favors an enhanced moisture transport from the Gulf of Mexico, leading to increased precipitation over the Southeast United States. Compared to reanalysis, during boreal summer, the NASH’s center is also weaker and in addition, its position is displaced to the northeast. The displacement further affects the CONUS summer precipitation. The SST biases over the two tropical regions and their impacts become stronger as the forecast lead increases from week 1 to 4. These tropical biases explain up to 10% of the CONUS precipitation biases on the S2S time scale.

Contribution of PDO to Decadal Variations of Glaze Dipole Pattern in China

Abstract Based on the in situ observations, reanalysis, and model simulation, the variations in glaze dipole pattern in China and its underlying physical mechanism have been explored. The glaze dipole pattern features an out-of-phase relationship between winter glaze in the south of the Yangtze River valley (YRV) and northern China, accompanied by pronounced interdecadal variation around the late 1970s. The results from synoptic analyses suggest that cold air brought by the northerly winds and warm moist air by the southwesterly winds, as well as the occurrence of inversion layer are vital to the glaze weather in the south of YRV. Further analyses indicate that the interdecadal shift of the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) contributes largely to variations in glaze dipole pattern. Specifically, the warm PDO provides a beneficial environment for the occurrence of glaze dipole pattern by stimulating the tropical–extratropical circulation configuration with the deepened East Asian trough, strengthened East Asian westerly jet, anomalous anticyclone over the tropical western Pacific Ocean, and cyclone over the southern Tibetan Plateau at the decadal time scale. Consequently, the enhanced moisture transport brought by southwesterly and cold air intrusion induced by the deepened East Asian trough benefit the glaze weather in the south of YRV, while the decreased precipitation and a much lower temperature in northern China depress the generation of glaze. Moreover, the results from the CAM4 model simulation indicate the atmospheric circulation anomalies forced by PDO-like SST can roughly reproduce the extratropical configuration related to the glaze, but it has difficulties in capturing the tropical circulation anomalies. Significance Statement The purpose of this study is to better understand how the glaze dipole pattern in China responds to climate anomalies, which focuses on the spatial–temporal evolution of glaze days and its underlying physical mechanism. This study highlights the important role of Pacific Ocean sea surface temperature anomalies in the interdecadal variations in glaze dipole pattern, and it gives a clear clarification to demonstrate the impacts of Pacific decadal oscillation on the climatological background for the occurrence of glaze. Our results provide a guide on what drives the interdecadal variation in the glaze dipole pattern and help to understand the climate dynamic mechanism of variations in freezing events in China.

Evaluation and future projection of the extreme precipitation over India and its homogeneous regions: A regional earth system model perspective

AbstractA regional earth system model (ROM) was used to examine the projected change in the precipitation extremes (PEs) and associated dynamical and thermodynamical processes over India during the Indian summer monsoon (ISM). In this regard, PEs are computed for India, its six homogeneous regions and subregions the Western Ghats (WG) and central India (CI). The changes are computed for mid‐future (2040–2069: MDF) and far‐future (2070–2099: FRF) with respect to the historical period (1969–2000). ROM showed better resemblance with observation in simulating PEs over other regional climate models (RCMs) that participated in the CORDEX‐CORE simulation. The intense rainfall (95th percentile: R95) is expected to be enhanced over most of the region during MDF that further intensifies in FRF except CNE (central northeast) and NEI (northeast India), where the increase in R95 was restricted only up to MDF. Interestingly, very intense rainfall (99.9th percentile: R99) showed robust increases in both MDF and FRF for all regions. Additionally, long wet (dry) events were shortened (lengthen). Moreover, the short wet and dry spell frequency has increased, while the duration of the wet (dry) spell has decreased (increased) in both time slices over India with noticeable regional variation. This is attributed to the strong cyclonic circulation, reduced vertical wind shear and enhanced moisture transport during the ISM in both time slices. It is very important to highlight the substantial changes in the precipitation extremes to have better planning and strategies that will be helpful to minimize the incurred losses.

Roles of External Forcing and Internal Variability in Precipitation Changes of a Sub‐Region of the U.S. Mid‐Atlantic During 1979–2019

AbstractObservations of the seasonal mean precipitation averaged over a sub‐region of the U.S. mid‐Atlantic show significant increases in summer but no changes in winter during 1979–2019. Clarifying the drivers of these observed changes is important for understanding and interpreting future projections of regional precipitation by climate models. This study examines the relative effects of external forcing and internal variability in the observed multi‐decadal changes using the historical and RCP8.5/SSP585 simulations from 37 models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5), 35 models in CMIP6, as well as large ensemble simulations from 6 models, each including more than 20 members. During 1979–2019, enhanced warming over land relative to ocean due to external forcing induces low pressure anomalies over land that contribute to the wetting summer. While similar wetting also occurs during winter, such effect is offset by the drying associated with the positive phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) in recent decades. Internal variability produces large uncertainty in the multi‐decadal precipitation changes simulated by climate models through changes in large‐scale circulation associated with the NAO in winter and the North Atlantic Subtropical High in summer. These multi‐decadal relationships between precipitation and large‐scale circulation under internal variability also manifest on inter‐annual timescale. These relationships highlight enhanced moisture transport from the Gulf of Mexico and North Atlantic in winter and near the mid‐Atlantic coast in summer that modulates precipitation change in the study region.

Last millennium hydroclimate and atmospheric circulation change in Northeast China: A dual δ13C and δ18O approach from a mountaintop Sphagnum bog

Northeast China receives most moisture through warm air masses from the western Pacific Ocean and some moisture from the Eurasian Continent predominantly through the westerlies. Changes in the contribution of these different moisture sources affect the amount and isotopic composition of precipitation, which would in turn influence peatland surface moisture and peat moss (Sphagnum) growth. Recently a dual δ13C and δ18O approach from peat-core archive has been used not only as a proxy for peatland moisture/wetness but also as a constraint for interpreting isotope in precipitation and moisture trajectories. Here we used the coupled δ13C and δ18O measurements of peat moss cellulose, along with macrofossil and other proxy data, from a well-dated peat core retrieved from a Sphagnum-dominated ombrotrophic (meteoric water-fed) bog in Northeast China to reconstruct regional climate and moisture sources of precipitation over the last millennium.Our results show no sign of extremely negative δ13C signals that would have been caused by the uptake of respired CO2 by peat moss for photosynthesis, thus we argue that the cellulose δ13C signatures document the peatland moisture conditions, owing to water-film effect. We found a positive correlation between δ13C and δ18O, suggesting that δ18O primarily reflects the δ18O signal in precipitation rather than evaporative 18O-enrichment, because the evaporative enrichment would result in a negative correlation between these isotopes as documented in modern process studies along the hummock-hollow moisture gradients. We propose that the positive δ13C-δ18O correlation is a general feature in regions that are influenced by both summer monsoon and the westerlies, as warm Pacific moisture that has high δ18O values also brings abundant precipitation, resulting in wet conditions that induce high δ13C values, and vice versa. The δ13C results show a decrease of ca. 6‰ from −23 to −29‰, with large-magnitude fluctuations, over the last 1000 years, suggesting a long-term drying trend. An abrupt decrease at 1370 CE of 4‰ in δ18O from >21‰ to ca. 17‰ represents the transition from the warm and wet Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA) at 815–1370 CE to the cold and dry Little Ice Age (LIA) at 1370–1940 CE, reaching the lowest δ18O value of ca. 15‰ at around 1850 CE. The increase in δ18O to 19‰ after 1900 CE reflects post-LIA climate warming. Enhanced moisture transport from the western Pacific might have contributed to the warm and wet MCA. Three short intervals with pronounced low δ13C and δ18O values occurred at 1370–1450 CE, the 19th Century, and the 1990s, suggesting extreme dry periods with reduced Pacific moisture inputs. The driest period with consistently low δ13C value of < -25‰ (Suess effect-corrected value of −23‰) occurred after 1990 CE, with a corresponding increase in dry-adapted moss Polytrichum.Variability in the regional atmospheric circulation—the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH)—might have explained the change in moisture sources. The westward extension of the WPSH—often corresponding with the El Niño-like conditions—would block the Pacific moisture from transporting to Northeast China. Our record, together with other paleo-records over monsoon-influenced regions in East Asia, shows synchronous but opposite shifts of summer rainfall anomalies in North or Northeast China and South China on decadal to centennial scales, substantiating a coherent atmospheric circulation pattern associated with WPSH and ENSO variability. We argue that there were major shifts in synoptic-scale atmospheric circulation and associated hydroclimate change during the MCA, LIA, and Current Warming Period in Northeast China.

Time-dependent water vapor desorption isotherm model of hardened cement paste

This study aims to enhance moisture transport modeling by elucidating the so-called anomalous water diffusion in cementitious materials. Water desorption isotherms are measured from samples at various drying stages using techniques with different durations to quantify the impact of the drying duration on the water sorption ability. A single water sorption isotherm does not solely give a relationship between the water content and relative humidity but also represents the state of microstructure. The continuous evolution of a desorption isotherm due to drying-induced microstructural rearrangement is demonstrated. For numerical modeling, the microstructural alteration can be explicitly considered through a dynamic desorption isotherm model, which governs the local thermodynamic equilibrium at the capillary meniscus. This approach is implemented into a multiphase transport code, whose ability to predict drying is validated using literature data. Finally, the effect of prolonged drying on the colloidal nature of the calcium-silicate-hydrate gel is discussed.

Heavy versus extreme rainfall events in southeast Australia

AbstractFocussing on the major cities of Brisbane, Sydney, and Melbourne in southeast Australia, this study seeks to determine the environmental factors that distinguish between heavy rainfall events (HREs) and extreme rainfall events (EREs). Using daily rain gauge observations, HREs and EREs are defined for each domain based, respectively, on the 95th and 99th percentiles of wet‐day rainfall for the period 1979–2018. K‐means clustering is applied to mean sea‐level pressure, data from ERA5 to obtain a set of representative large‐scale circulation patterns associated with these events. Composite synoptic maps, mean vertical profiles, and a series of column‐integrated diagnostics are then examined for each cluster and used to compare the environmental characteristics of HREs and EREs. For all three cities, HREs are associated with an upper‐level trough to the west, with large‐scale ascent, positive column water vapour (CWV) anomalies, and strong moisture transport over the analysis domain. For Brisbane and Sydney, the clusters are characterised by a coastal trough/low with moist onshore flow from the Tasman and Coral Seas. For Melbourne, circulation patterns are more distinct, with clusters characterised by a front, a cut‐off low, and an inland trough. Compared with HREs, EREs show a more amplified upper‐level trough, with stronger vertical motion and larger CWV anomalies over the analysis domain. In Brisbane and Sydney, EREs also feature stronger and deeper onshore flow, promoting enhanced moisture transport. A diagnostic termed upward vapour transport, which combines the key ingredients of high CWV and large‐scale ascent, is shown to discriminate well between HREs and EREs in all three domains. In contrast, surface temperature, which is frequently linked to rainfall extremes via Clausius–Clapeyron scaling, shows significant overlap between the different event categories, particularly for Brisbane and Sydney.

Enhanced moisture transport associated with the interdecadal change in winter precipitation over Northwest China

AbstractIn this study, the interdecadal increase in winter precipitation in northwest China (NWC) since the late 1980s and the associated moisture flux transport are investigated. The results show that an interdecadal change in moisture flux transport also occurred in the late 1980s, resulting in anomalous moisture transport convergence over NWC. The examination of boundary moisture transport shows enhanced incoming net moisture flux transport over NWC after the late 1980s. The zonal and meridional components both play a key role in the net moisture flux transport, with increased incoming transport from the western boundary dominated and followed by increased incoming transport from the southern boundary. The circulation responsible for the moisture flux transport anomalies is a Eurasian (EU)‐like teleconnection over mid‐to‐high latitudes of the Eurasian continent. The EU teleconnection pattern transformed from a positive phase to a negative phase in the late 1980s. The related anomalous cyclone over central Asia and the anomalous anticyclone over Japan result in westerly anomalies to the west of NWC and southeasterly anomalies to the east, respectively. Together, these anomalies enable an enhanced net gain of moisture transport and the anomalous moisture transport convergence over NWC. The enhanced moisture supply, strengthened upward movement and anomalous convergence result in an interdecadal increase in winter precipitation in NWC. In addition, the transition of the EU teleconnection is likely attributed to changes in the zonal mean wind. Sea surface temperature warming in the North Atlantic and northwestern Pacific regions also play a role in the change in the EU teleconnection pattern.

Variability of the precipitation over the Tianshan Mountains, Central Asia. Part II: Multi‐decadal precipitation trends and their association with atmospheric circulation in both the winter and summer seasons

AbstractThe annual precipitation over the Tianshan Mountains experienced an inter‐decadal transition shift towards an increasing trend in the late 1980s. This study conducts attribution analysis from atmospheric circulation factors based on the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) dataset and NCEP/NACR reanalysis data. The results show that (a) Winter precipitation in the Tianshan Mountains is affected by multi‐decadal oscillations with periods of 26.8 and 44.7 years, and has entered a period of positive anomalies after 1988. Although the non‐linear trend of winter precipitation in the Tianshan Mountains firstly increased and then decreased after 1979, the multi‐decadal fluctuation of precipitation caused the Tianshan Mountains in winter to be in a wet period from the 1980s until 2011. (b) We find that the East Atlantic‐West Russia (EATL/WRUS) teleconnection pattern has a similar multi‐decadal variability as Tianshan precipitation in winter. The wet period of Tianshan in winter after 1988 is mainly due to the enhanced meridional feature of the EATL/WRUS triggering more water vapour flux from low‐latitude oceanic areas. (c) Summer precipitation in the Tianshan Mountains has an obvious multi‐decadal scale of 33.5 years and shows a non‐linear growth trend. Tianshan Mountains in summer entered a humid period after 1986. (d) The Scandinavia (SCAND) teleconnection pattern represents important circulation variability affecting Tianshan summer precipitation. The vigorous high pressure over the Ural Mountains and the low pressure over Central Asia during the SCAND negative phase in summer jointly lead to enhanced moisture transport from the Arctic Ocean to the Tianshan Mountains. (e) Apart from SCAND, the Silk Road pattern (SRP) and East Asia‐Pacific teleconnection (EAP) also impacted Tianshan summer precipitation during the periods 1964–1984 and 1985–2004.

The Relationship between Melt Season Sea Ice over the Bering Sea and Summer Precipitation over Mid-Latitude East Asia

Independent datasets consistently indicate a significant correlation between the sea ice variability in the Bering Sea during melt season and the summer rainfall variability in the Lake Baikal area and Northeastern China. In this study, four sea ice datasets (HadISST1, HadISST2.2, ERA-Interim and NOAA/NSIDC) and two global precipitation datasets (CRU V4.01 and GPCP V2.3) are used to investigate co-variations between melt season (March−April−May−June, MAMJ) Bering Sea ice cover (BSIC) and summer (June−July−August, JJA) East Asian precipitation. All datasets demonstrate a significant correlation between the MAMJ BSIC and the JJA rainfall in Lake Baikal−Northeastern China (Baikal−NEC). Based on the reanalysis datasets and the numerical sensitivity experiments performed in this study using Community Atmospheric Model version 5 (CAM5), a mechanism to understand how the MAMJ BSIC influences the JJA Baikal−NEC rainfall is suggested. More MAMJ BSIC triggers a wave train and causes a positive sea level pressure (SLP) anomaly over the North Atlantic during MAMJ. The high SLP anomaly, associated with an anti-cyclonic wind stress circulation anomaly, favors the appearance of sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in a zonal dipole-pattern in the North Atlantic during summer. The dipole SST anomaly drives a zonally orientated wave train, which causes a high anomaly geopotential height at 500 hPa over the Sea of Japan. As a result, the mean East Asian trough moves westward and a low geopotential height anomaly occurs over Baikal−NEC. This prevailing regional low pressure anomaly together with enhanced moisture transport from the western North Pacific and convergence over Baikal−NEC, positively influences the increased rainfall in summer.